General Theory
When a product is first introduced in a particular country, it sees rapid growth in
sales volume because market demand is unsatisfied. As more people who want the
product buy it, demand and sales level off. When demand has been satisfied,
product sales decline to the level required for product replacement. In
international markets, the product life cycle accelerates due to the presence of
"follower" economies that rarely introduce new innovations but quickly imitate
the successes of others. They introduce low-cost versions of the new product and
precipitate a faster market saturation and decline.
Growth
An effectively marketed product meets a need in its target market. The supplier of
the product has conducted market surveys and has established estimates for
market size and composition. He introduces the product, and the identified need
creates immediate demand that the supplier is ready to satisfy. Competition is low.
Sales volume grows rapidly. This initial stage of the product life cycle is
characterized by high prices, high profits and wide promotion of the product.
International followers have not had time to develop imitations. The supplier of
the product may export it, even into follower economies.
Maturity
In the maturity phase of the product life cycle, demand levels off and sales volume
increases at a slower rate. Imitations appear in foreign markets and export sales
decline. The original supplier may reduce prices to maintain market share and
support sales. Profit margins decrease, but the business remains attractive because
volume is high and costs, such as those related to development and promotion, are
also lower.
Decline
In the final phase of the product life cycle, sales volume decreases and many such
products are eventually phased out and discontinued. The follower economies
have developed imitations as good as the original product and are able to export
them to the original supplier's home market, further depressing sales and prices.
The original supplier can no longer produce the product competitively but can
generate some return by cleaning out inventory and selling the remaining products
at discontinued-items prices.
Coca-Cola is a great example of a product that has had a very long product life
cycle. Since being introduced in 1886, it has spent the majority of its life in the
maturity stage. However, its sales over recent times lead to the question of
whether it is has now entered the decline stage.
Publicly available information about individual brands that the Coca-Cola
company sell is difficult to come by but information about the soft drink industry
as a whole can be used to make some assumptions about Coca-Cola sales.
1) Falling soda sales in the USA.
This Fortune.com story reveals how overall sales of carbonated soft drinks fell for
the 11thconsecutive year in the USA, with 2015s decline of 1.2% a bigger fall
than 2014s 0.9%. The article states that the decline in demand for diet soda drinks
is even more significant.
Of course, just because sales are declining in one market does not mean that
overall sales are falling. Coca-Cola is a global soft drink and perhaps it is growing
strongly in emerging markets?
2) Falling global sales for Coca-Cola.
The Reuters article (and accompanying video) states that the first quarter of 2016
has followed recent trends and global sales have now fallen four quarters in a row.
Part of that reason was attributed to a stronger US$ but sales revenue fell in nearly
all markets, including China.
So perhaps Coca-Cola has entered the decline stage although again this stage is
likely to be relatively far longer than other goods and services. And no doubt the
marketing department at Coca-Cola will be hard at work on extension strategies.
The 2014 Share a Coke campaign was successful at giving a jolt to sales figures
although it appears to have only been temporary.
But money invested into a clever marketing campaign can pay dividends,
especially in the short-term. Industry research by Beverage Insider shows the
change in sales in the US by the big soft drink brands in 2015.
As can be seen, the only brand with a significant increase was Sprite. I was
puzzled by this as I was unaware of any particular marketing campaign. But in the
US, Sprite has included quotes from hip-hop stars on their cans and this seems to
be resonating with their target market.
It remains to be seen how temporary this sales increase is and whether the
carbonated soft drink market continues to decline. Perhaps it is worth doing some
"market research" with your classes who after all will be the consumers of the
future. You might also consider doing a "Business Time Capsule" and make some
predictions about the future of this industry (and others).
CONCLUSION
Transcript of The Product Life Cycle of Coca-Cola
The Introduction Stage The first stage of the Product Life Cycle
Identical to commercialization or the last stage of the new product development
process.
Profits are often low in this stage
Length of introduction stage varies
The Decline Stage Sales decrease and continue to drop to lower levels.
Companies decide whether to harvest the product or divesting the product. By:
Azzeza Mussa The Product Life Cycle of Coca-Cola The Growth Stage The
Maturity Stage Number of potential new customers decline and the sales of a
product typically begins the level off.
Competition causes profits to fall until the strongest competitor is standing.
Longest stage in the PLC
Companies look for marketing strategies to market their product.