PROBABILITAS
Statistik Perolehan Gol Paris Saint
German dalam Liga Prancis
2013/14-2014/15
Nur Safitrah Setiawati | 1406607741
1
A. Statistik Deskriptif PSG Liga Prancis 2013/14
Sumber :http://www.psg.fr/en/News/201001/Fixtures-results?cboSaison=2013
2. Distribusi Frekuensi
Jumlah
Jumlah
Pertandinga fix
Gol(x)
n(fi)
0 2 0
1 10 10
2 11 22
3 7 21
4 6 24
5 2 10
38 87
2
12
10
Jumlah Pertandingan 6
2 2
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Jumlah Gol
Kumulatif
40
38
35
30
25
Jumlah Pertandingan 20
15
10
5
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Jumlah Gol
3. Pemusatan Data
a. Mean ( x )
x =
f i x m ,i = 87 =2.2895
f i 38
3
2+2
= 2 =2
4. Penyebaran Data
2 3 4
x [x x ] [x x ] [x x ] [x x ]
- -
5.2416897
2.2894736 12.0007107 27.47531144
51
0 8 5
- -
5.2416897
2.2894736 12.0007107 27.47531144
51
0 8 5
- -
1.6627423
1.2894736 2.14406254 2.76471223
82
1 8 6
- -
1.6627423
1.2894736 2.14406254 2.76471223
82
1 8 6
- -
1.6627423
1.2894736 2.14406254 2.76471223
82
1 8 6
- -
1.6627423
1.2894736 2.14406254 2.76471223
82
1 8 6
- -
1.6627423
1.2894736 2.14406254 2.76471223
82
1 8 6
- -
1.6627423
1.2894736 2.14406254 2.76471223
82
1 8 6
- -
1.6627423
1.2894736 2.14406254 2.76471223
82
1 8 6
- -
1.6627423
1.2894736 2.14406254 2.76471223
82
1 8 6
- -
1.6627423
1.2894736 2.14406254 2.76471223
82
1 8 6
- -
1.6627423
1.2894736 2.14406254 2.76471223
82
1 8 6
- -
0.0837950
0.2894736 0.02425645 0.007021604
14
2 8 1
2 - 0.0837950 - 0.007021604
0.2894736 14 0.02425645
4
8 1
- -
0.0837950
0.2894736 0.02425645 0.007021604
14
2 8 1
- -
0.0837950
0.2894736 0.02425645 0.007021604
14
2 8 1
- -
0.0837950
0.2894736 0.02425645 0.007021604
14
2 8 1
- -
0.0837950
0.2894736 0.02425645 0.007021604
14
2 8 1
- -
0.0837950
0.2894736 0.02425645 0.007021604
14
2 8 1
- -
0.0837950
0.2894736 0.02425645 0.007021604
14
2 8 1
- -
0.0837950
0.2894736 0.02425645 0.007021604
14
2 8 1
- -
0.0837950
0.2894736 0.02425645 0.007021604
14
2 8 1
- -
0.0837950
0.2894736 0.02425645 0.007021604
14
2 8 1
0.7105263 0.5048476 0.35870753
0.254871145
3 2 45 8
0.7105263 0.5048476 0.35870753
0.254871145
3 2 45 8
0.7105263 0.5048476 0.35870753
0.254871145
3 2 45 8
0.7105263 0.5048476 0.35870753
0.254871145
3 2 45 8
0.7105263 0.5048476 0.35870753
0.254871145
3 2 45 8
0.7105263 0.5048476 0.35870753
0.254871145
3 2 45 8
0.7105263 0.5048476 0.35870753
0.254871145
4 2 45 8
1.7105263 2.9259002 5.00482942
8.560892431
4 2 77 1
1.7105263 2.9259002 5.00482942
8.560892431
4 2 77 1
1.7105263 2.9259002 5.00482942
8.560892431
4 2 77 1
4 1.7105263 2.9259002 5.00482942 8.560892431
5
2 77 1
1.7105263 2.9259002 5.00482942
8.560892431
4 2 77 1
1.7105263 2.9259002 5.00482942
8.560892431
5 2 77 1
2.7105263 7.3469529
19.9141092 53.97771704
5 2 09
63.815789 26.6592797
-9.77E-15 243.7798695
47 8
my,x =
( x ix ) y
i=1 -2.6405E- 1.7247510 0.72052107
n1 16 67 5 6.588645122
a. Standard Deviasi
(x i x )2
i=1
s=
n1
s=
63.81578947
37
s=1.3132977
b. Varians
s2= 172475
c. Skewness
m3, x
a3 = 3
( m2, x )
0.720521075
a3 = 3
( 1.724751067)
Skewnes s=0.318095
d. Kurtosis
Faktor Kurtosis
m4, x
a 4= 4
( m2, x )
6
6.588645122
a 4=
2.97477
a 4=2.214845
Kurtosis ( 2
2 a 43
=
2 = 2.214845 3
Kurtosis = -0.785155
7
B. Statistik Deskriptif PSG Liga Prancis 2013/14
1. Distribusi Frekuensi
Distribusi Frekuensi
f
Jumlah Gol Jumlah Pertandingan x
0 4 0
1 9 9
2
2 11 2
2
3 9 7
4 2 8
5 1 5
1
6 2 2
8
38 3
12
10
Jumlah Pertandingan 6
2
1
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Jumlah Gol
8
Kumulatif
40
36
30
Jumlah Pertandingan 20
10
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Jumlah Gol
2. Pemusatan Data
d. Mean ( x )
x =
f i x m ,i = 8 3 =2.18421
f i 38
e. Modus = 2
f. Median= 2
3. Penyebaran Data
x [x x ] [x x ]2 [x x ]3 [x x ] 4
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
- -
4.7707756
2.1842105 10.4203783 22.76030005
23
0 3 4
1 - 1.4023545 - 1.966598342
9
1.1842105 1.66068304
71
3 4
- -
1.4023545
1.1842105 1.66068304 1.966598342
71
1 3 4
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
- -
1.4023545
1.1842105 1.66068304 1.966598342
71
1 3 4
- -
1.4023545
1.1842105 1.66068304 1.966598342
71
1 3 4
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
- -
1.4023545
1.1842105 1.66068304 1.966598342
71
1 3 4
- -
1.4023545
1.1842105 1.66068304 1.966598342
71
1 3 4
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
- -
4.7707756
2.1842105 10.4203783 22.76030005
23
0 3 4
0 - 4.7707756 - 22.76030005
10
2.1842105 10.4203783
23
3 4
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
- -
1.4023545
1.1842105 1.66068304 1.966598342
71
1 3 4
- -
1.4023545
1.1842105 1.66068304 1.966598342
71
1 3 4
- -
1.4023545
1.1842105 1.66068304 1.966598342
71
1 3 4
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
- -
4.7707756
2.1842105 10.4203783 22.76030005
23
0 3 4
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
11
3.8157894 14.560249 55.5588460
212.0008599
6 74 31 4
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
- -
0.0339335
0.1842105 0.00625091 0.001151484
18
2 3 1
81.710526
-4.885E-15 93.6066482 621.3465702
32
e. Standard Deviasi
(x i x )2
i=1
s=
n1
s=
81.71052632
37
s=1 .48607
f. Varians
s2= 2.20839
g. Skewness
m3, x
a3 = 3
( m2, x )
2.5299
a3 = 3
( 2.20839)
Skewness=0.813713724
h. Kurtosis
Faktor Kurtosis
12
m4, x
a 4= 4
( m2, x )
16.7931
a 4=
4.87 7
a 4=3.7905
Kurtosis ( 2
2 a 43
=
2 = 3.7905 3
Kurtosis = 0.7905
13
C. Perbandingan Hasil dengan Distribusi Poisson
Freque
X real Bin ncy
2.29 0 2
Laju Goal 1 10
2.28 2 11
3 7
4 6
5 2
38
Prob Poisso
Dist. n
0.052631 0.1022 0.0496
58 84 53
0.263157 0.2332 0.0299
89 08 5
0.289473 0.2658 0.0236
68 57 17
0.184210 0.2020 0.0178
53 51 41
0.157894 0.1151 0.0427
74 69 25
0.052631 0.0525 0.0001
58 17 14
total
error
terkecil 0.1639
14
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
Distribusi Poisson
0.15 Hasil Aktual
0.1
0.05
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Freque
X real Bin ncy
2.18 0 4
Laju Goal 1 9
2.25 2 11
3 9
4 2
5 1
6 2
Prob Poiss
Dist. on
0.10526 0.105 0.000
316 399 136
0.23684 0.237 0.000
211 148 306
0.28947 0.266 0.022
368 792 682
0.23684 0.200 0.036
211 094 748
0.05263 0.112 0.059
158 553 921
0.02631 0.050 0.024
579 649 333
0.05263 0.018 0.033
158 993 638
total 0.177
error 765
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
D.Poisson
0.15 Hasil Aktual
0.1
0.05
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Analisis :
Pada tahun 2013/14, Gol tim PSG per 6 hingga 7 Pertandingan dari
awal musim hingga akhir musim terbilang stabil , hal ini dapat dilihat dari
nilai a yang tidak terlalu besar dan grafik regresi menunjukakan garis
yang hampir datar .
Sample
I 1 1 2 2 2 4 1 2 2 4 2 4 3 3 4 0 5 3 2
2013/1
4 2 5 1 2 1 3 4 2 3 2 1 1 3 0 1 1 1 3 4
Sample
II 2 2 0 5 1 1 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 3 1 1 2 0 0
2013/1
5 2 4 1 1 1 2 3 0 4 2 3 3 3 3 6 2 6 2 3
1. Hipotesis :
H0 : 1 = 2 uji dua-ujung
H1 : 1 2
2. = 0,05
5. Aturan Keputusan:
Tolak H0 dan terima H1 jika RUz < -1,96 atau RUz > +1,96.
Jika tidak demikian terima H0.
6. Rasio uji:
21 22
2 2
1.724751 2.20839
x x = + = + =0.4546
1 2
n1 n2 38 38
x1 x2 2.28952.1842
RU z = = =0.23163
x x
1 2
0.4546
7. Pengambilan keputusan:
Karena -1,96 < 0.23163 < +1,96 maka H0 : 1 = 2 diterima.
Analisis:
Baik dengan menghitung secara manual maupun pada data
analysis menggunakan excel, terlihat bahwa nilai z berada dalam
daerah penerimaan hipotesis H0 : 1 = 2 (Pada Hitungan : -1,96 <