Series 1 Sat,

36.78533
37.12876
36.8521
36.76625
37.0906 Date
Thu,
Fri,
Sun,
Mon, Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul15
Jul 14
16
17
18 2016Forecast of SerieFitted
2016
2016
2016
2016 Values
37.069059278
37.012312622
37.035601098
36.998901678
36.952370543
37.27185
37.63437
37.55805
37.36725
37.25277
37.54851 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul2219
21
23
2420 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 36.9411418
37.0568908
37.261042
37.406045867
37.440388333
37.396505267
37.38633
37.31872
37.27043
37.18351
37.07727 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
37.3477 Tue,
Sat, Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul
Jul 29 25
26
28
3027 2016
2016
2016
2016 37.4403886
37.411769
37.3771498
37.342388733
37.285108067
36.94206
37.10624
37.16419
37.32838
37.58915
37.39599
36.76821
36.90343
Sun,
36.5654 Mon,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Jul
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
31
56 2432016
1
78
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
37.197031533
37.2305124
37.131356467
37.1120398
37.122985733
37.189949133
37.327093067
37.383754267
37.133289133
36.986486533
36.78753
37.39599
37.31872
37.49257
37.76299
37.57949 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug 12 911
1310
14 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 36.911153267
36.8255188
36.996144733
37.141015333
37.293612467
37.488060667 Series 1
37.55052
37.41531
37.65676 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
37.5312 Fri,
37.96581
37.84026 Thu,
Sat, Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug 19 1615
17
18
20 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 37.564037467
37.577559267
37.535708467
37.567902467
37.547298533
37.687018333
38.19761
37.81129
37.93684
37.77265
37.12556 Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri, Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug 26 21
2322
24
25 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 37.7591316
37.931044467
37.922030667
37.9445656
37.885329733
37.626493933
37.13522
37.00967
37.18351
37.29941
37.51189
37.65676 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu, Aug
Aug
Aug
Aug
Sep 27
28
30
129
31 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 37.411440667
37.271077067
37.133932467
37.116548067
37.177071467
37.297475533
37.81129
37.40565
37.51189
37.86923
37.99479 Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
38.4294 Sat,
Wed, Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep 2 3
642016
52016
2016
2016
2016
72016 37.440415333
37.600095733
37.571121067
37.5627508
37.659330933
37.7739396
38.49701
38.71914
38.95094
38.81572
38.99923 Thu,
38.9123 Fri,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue, Sep
Sep
Sep44 910
Sep
Sep
Sep 82016
11
1312 2016
2016
2016
2016 38.010884267
38.2291566
38.448716133
38.665056933
38.764212467
38.8698074
39.10547
39.33726
39.38555
39.66563
39.88777
40.44793 Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon, Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep 16 1714
15
18
19 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 38.908439667
38.983772867
39.1106148
39.227798733
39.400355667
39.602530667
40.10024
40.5928
40.58315
41.08537
41.73245
41.98357 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep 23 20
2421
22
25 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 39.926397867
40.044870467
40.276663533
40.4247538
40.679083
41.069268133
41.86767
42.09229
41.311
41.61375
41.51609
41.41843 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat, Sep
Sep
Sep
Sep
Oct 3012726
28
29 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 41.457522267
41.681588667
41.895538867
41.748448133
41.687233067
41.601377
41.59422
41.77001
41.8872
41.84814
41.77001
41.71141 Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri, Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct 7 42
635 2016
2016
2016
2016 41.514132933
41.515435267
41.608539867
41.710108
41.780424333
41.802561267
41.52585
42.10206
41.93603
41.38913
41.76024
41.58445 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu, Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct 89
1110
13 2016
122016
2016
2016
2016 41.781726667
41.6912268
41.8090726
41.8572522
41.7172704
41.726385
42.27785
42.17042
42.15089
42.13136
42.07276
42.15089 Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed, Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct 1415
16
18172016
19 2016
2016
2016
2016 41.673648267
41.848137933
41.975098467
42.079922
42.1274504
42.130706067
41.92627
42.07276
42.18996
42.37551
42.26808
42.01416 Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue, Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct 21 20
22
23
2524 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 42.127450467
42.057785
42.053227867
42.092943933
42.1906054
42.232273867
40.97895
40.88129
40.43204
40.05116
39.9535
39.8949 Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon, Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct
Oct 28 27
29
3026
31 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 42.1814898
41.779773333
41.4184246
40.994572533
40.573323467
40.267316133
39.91443
40.10975
39.72887
40.04139
39.93396 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat, Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov 4 1
532 2016
2016
2016
2016 40.0791536
39.969771933
39.989955267
39.9046644
39.9242 Wed,
40.00233
39.99256
40.26601
40.30508
40.22695
38.78155
39.75817
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov42 11
1292016
67
810 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
39.945031333
39.943729267
39.9365678
39.9547978
39.976934667
40.072643067
40.166398667
40.209369533
39.2601 Sun,
39.03548
38.95734
39.50425
39.12337
39.02571
39.62145
40.14882
40.31484
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Nov
NovNov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov 18 13
15
1914
16
17
20
2221
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
39.7503584
39.698271867
39.420912667
39.199545333
39.250330067
39.267909533
39.208010667
39.1578768
39.306973867
39.587589133
40.17812
40.49064
39.8949
39.7777
39.66051
39.81677 Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon, Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov
Nov 25 2623
24
27
28 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 39.880574533
40.057668133
40.2686176
40.1833258
40.040739533
39.88383
38.96711
38.7101
38.66067
38.42343
38.56182
38.65078 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Nov
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 2 29
31
430
20162016
2016
2016
2016 39.822628667
39.502298267
39.197864067
38.9559416
38.709406667
38.591474333
38.87815
38.91768
38.76941
38.81883
38.9078
38.92757 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat, Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 9 68
105
7 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 38.586860733
38.679122667
38.773360667
38.801039533
38.822128
38.855737467
38.20596
37.05928
36.43652
36.27836
36.01146
36.10043 Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri, Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 16 11
1312
14
15 2016
2016
2016
2016
2016 38.878802933
38.658035733
38.1024926
37.453370067
36.910348
36.453655533
36.09054
36.36733
36.13997
35.95215
36.20916 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue, Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 17
18
2019 2016
2016
2016
2016 36.221025667
36.1254688
36.186756867
36.176872267
36.3871 Wed,
36.08066
36.56503
37.00986
36.14985
36.09054
35.71491
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec 23 2421
22
25
2726
28
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
2016
36.113607067
36.139967667
36.116243467
36.1953248
36.332398733
36.589411
36.489241467
36.3732554
36.34756
36.72319
37.12848
37.30641
38.1071 Thu,
Fri,
36.9802 Tue,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon, Dec
Dec
Dec
Jan
Jan
Jan 301
35229
31 2016
2016
2016
2017
2017
2017 36.131400133
36.1452394
36.298788933
36.5571198
36.80952
37.052034867
38.28504
38.75952
39.08573
39.02642
38.18619
38.43331 Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon, Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
40
Jan6 7894 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 37.455346867
37.800666267
38.200024333
38.589498133
38.8287178
38.6731926
38.16642
38.18619
38.89791
39.98528
39.94574
39.91608 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan 1310
12
14
1511 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 38.594770867
38.417497933
38.286355667
38.452424733
38.989516
39.393487267
40.64758
40.88482
40.62781
41.02321
41.19126
41.63609 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat, Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan 201716
19
21 18 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 39.6867458
40.107192
40.4426272
40.559930067
40.7661996
40.956652267
41.98207
41.87333
42.2292
42.23908 Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
42.16 Wed,
42.03149 Thu,
Fri, Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan 27 22
2423
2625 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 41.2103698
41.513513933
41.707262533
41.9365974
42.088828
42.144844067
42.16989
42.04138
42.52575
42.27862
42.16
41.32 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu, Jan
Jan
Jan
Jan
Feb
Feb 28
29
3130
2 1 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 42.123096533
42.1441844
42.102666467
42.235127133
42.266100533
42.249625933
40.8 Tue,
40.81
40.61
41.01
40.96
41.11 Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Wed, Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb 347562017
82017
2017
2017
2017 41.944583467
41.522866333
41.1872418
40.899333867
40.855999667
40.872666067
40.8
41
41.45 Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
42 Wed,
41.36
41.39 Sun,
Mon,
Tue, Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb 10 9
11
12
14132017
2017
2017
2017
2017 40.9633332
40.929999533
40.963999667
41.1220002
41.4340002
41.4633338
41.77
42.01
41.82
42.16
42.06
41.18 Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon, Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb 17 16
18
1915
20 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 41.486000067
41.596
41.734665933
41.772666067
41.935999533
42.012666733
41.25
41.06
41.12
41.21
41.31
41.38 Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun, Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb
Feb 2421
23
25
2622 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 41.751333467
41.552666867
41.3413338
41.200666667
41.159332933
41.208
40.65
40.75
41.12
41.25
41.48
41.73 Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri,
Sat, Feb
Feb
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar 3 28
427
21 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 41.271333667
41.0826676
40.954667467
40.974666933
41.044000067
41.193999933
41.59
41.95
42.36
41.82
41.79
42.04 Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu,
Fri, Mar
Mar
Mar38 10
Mar
Mar 56
79 2017
2017
82017
2017 41.420666533
41.5286666
41.700667
41.9540006
41.9533338
41.920000667
42.07
42.01
41.96
41.88
41.77
41.94 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed,
Thu, Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar 11
12
1413
15
16 2017
2017
2017
2017
2017 41.9660008
41.992000533
41.989999667
41.994666
41.963333067
41.889333133
42.35
42.61 Fri,
42.37
42.09
42.59
42.44 Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue,
Wed, Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar 17 18
19
2120
222017
2017
2017
2017
2017
20 42.507856904
42.394666067 41.8899996
42.035999133
42.165999
42.175332533
42.3373328
42.394666067
Thu,
Fri,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon,
Tue, Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar
Mar 24 23
25
26
2827 201
2017
201
201
20
201 42.475333333
42.493777844
42.511348237
42.508445245
42.504705838
Wed,
Thu,
Sat,
Sun,
Mon, Mar
Fri, MarApr31
Apr
Apr 29
30
1232017201
2017 42.506490347
42.506911524
42.506625594
42.506540135
42.506508277
2017 42.506592807

36

34

32

Series 1 Forecast of Series 1 Fitted Values

Forecast -- Weighted Moving Average Selected

Forecast
Date Daily Weekly Monthly
Thu, Mar 23 2017 42.48
Fri, Mar 24 2017 42.49
Sat, Mar 25 2017 42.51 127.48
Sun, Mar 26 2017 42.51
Mon, Mar 27 2017 42.51
Tue, Mar 28 2017 42.50
Wed, Mar 29 2017 42.51
Thu, Mar 30 2017 42.51
Fri, Mar 31 2017 42.51 382.52
Sat, Apr 1 2017 42.51 297.55
Sun, Apr 2 2017 42.51
Mon, Apr 3 2017 42.51
Avg 42.50 212.51 382.52
Max 42.51 297.55 382.52
Min 42.48 127.48 382.52

Summary Comments
The forecast has an average error of 0.90%
The data has a standard deviation of 2.01
The forecast exceeds the accuracy of a simple average by 94.49%

Audit Trail - Summary Analysis

Audit Trail - Statistics

Accuracy Measures Value Forecast Statistics

AIC 337.79 Mean
BIC 341.32 Standard Deviation
Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) 0.90%
Sum Squared Error (SSE) 55.93
R-Square 94.49%
Adjusted R-Square 94.49%

Method Statistics Value

Method Selected Weighted Moving Average
Average Periods 5.00

ForecastX Configuration Parameters

Item Value
Data Range Selected [AT&T (Daily).xlsx]AT&T (Daily)'!$O$2:$O$253
Time scale for data Daily
Periods to forecast 12
Seasonal Length
Replace Outliers Activated No
Replace Outliers Standard Deviations
Replace Outliers Forecasting Technique
Replace Missing Values No
Replace Missing Values (Lower Limit)
Replace Missing Values (Upper Limit)
Remove Leading Zeros Yes
Remove Trailing Zeros No
Use Holdback Evaluation No
Holdback Evaluation Period
Apply Tracking Signal No
Apply Tracking Signal (Under Forecast Percentage)
Apply Tracking Signal (Over Forecast Percentage)
Forecast Method Selected Weighted Moving Average

Report Details
Run Date: 3/22/2017 3:54 PM
Author: John Galt Development, Inc.
Note: ForecastX
Value
39.60
2.01