9.10 a If the airline is to determine whether or not the flight is unprofitable, they are
interested in finding out whether or not 60 (since a flight is profitable if is at
least 60). Hence, the alternative hypothesis is H a : 60 and the null hypothesis is
H 0 : 60 . Formally,
H 0 : 60 vs. H a : 60
b Since only small values of x (and hence, negative values of z) would tend to
disprove H0 in favor of Ha, this is a one-tailed test.
One-Sample T
Test of mu = 0.6 vs < 0.6
95% Upper
N Mean StDev SE Mean Bound T P
120 0.5800 0.1100 0.0100 0.5966 -1.99 0.024
---Period---
x 0 x 0 58 60
z 1.992
n s n 11 120
The rejection region with .05 is determined by a critical value of z such that
P z z0 .05 . This value is z0 1.645 and H0 will be rejected if z 1.645 (compare the
right-tailed rejection region in Exercise 9.6). The observed value of z falls in the
rejection region and H0 is rejected. The flight is unprofitable.
2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
H 0 : 7 versus H a : 7
-----
-------------------------------- end------
x 0 x 0 6.7 7
z .992
n s n 2.7 80
The rejection region with .05 is z 1.645 (similar to Exercise 9.10). The observed
value, z .992 , does not fall in the rejection region and H0 is not rejected. The data
do not provide sufficient evidence to indicate that 7 .
-----------------------------------------------
--------------------------------
----- Optional-------
x 0 x 0 7.9 7.4
z 2.63
n s n 1.9 100
with p-value P z 2.63 1 .9957 .0043 . To draw a conclusion from the p-value, use
the guidelines for statistical significance in Section 9.3. Since the p-value is less than
.01, the test results are highly significant. We can reject H 0 at both the 1% and 5%
levels of significance.
-------------------------------------------
3
b You could claim that you work significantly fewer hours than those without a
college education.
c If you were not a college graduate, you might just report that you work an average
of more than 7.4 hours per week..
-----------------------------------------------
x 0 x 0 98.25 98.6
z 5.47
n s n .73 130
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
b-c Using the critical value approach, we set the null and alternative
hypotheses and calculate the test statistic as in part a. The rejection region with
.05 is | z | 1.96 . The observed value, z 5.47 , does fall in the rejection region and
H0 is rejected. The conclusion is the same is in part a.
d How did the doctor record 1 million temperatures in 1868? The technology
available at that time makes this a difficult if not impossible task. It may also have
been that the instruments used for this research were not entirely accurate.
-----------------------------------------------
4
x 0 x 0 9.8 5.97
z 10.94
n s n 1.95 31
with p -value P z 10.94 1 .9998 .0002 (or p -value 0 ). Since the p-value is less than
.05, the null hypothesis is rejected . There is sufficient evidence to indicate that the
average diameter of the tendon for patients with AT is greater than 5.97 mm.
------------------------
H 0 : 1 2 0 versus H a : 1 2 0
-----------------------------------------------
To replace:
x1 x2 1 2
z
12 22
n1 n2
with 12 and 22 known, or estimated by s12 and s22 , respectively. For this exercise,
x1 x2 0 11.6 9.7
z 2.09
2
s s 2
27.9 38.4
1
2
n1 n2 80 80
a value which lies slightly more than two standard deviations from the hypothesized
difference of zero. This would be a somewhat unlikely observation, if H 0 is true.
5
Since the p-value is not less than .01 , the null hypothesis cannot be rejected at
the 1% level. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that 1 2 0 .
e Using the critical value approach, the rejection region, with .01 , is z 2.33 (see
Exercise 9.3a). Since the observed value of z does not fall in the rejection region, H0
is not rejected. There is insufficient evidence to indicate that 1 2 0 , or 1 2 .
H 0 : 1 2 0 versus H a : 1 2 0
x1 x2 0 6.9 5.8
z 2.074
2.9 1.2
2 2 2 2
s s
1
2
n1 n2 35 35
The rejection region with .05 , is z 1.645 and H0 is rejected. There is evidence to
indicate that 1 2 0 , or 1 2 . That is, there is reason to believe that Vitamin C
reduces the mean time to recover.
H 0 : 1 2 0 versus H a : 1 2 0
The rejection region with .01, is z 2.33 and H0 is rejected. There is evidence to
indicate that 1 2 0 , or 1 2 . The average per-capita beef consumption has
decreased in the last ten years. (Alternatively, the p-value for this test is the area to
the right of z 5.33 which is very close to zero and less than .01 .)
b For the difference 1 2 in the population means this year and ten years ago, the
99% lower confidence bound uses z.01 2.33 and is calculated as
Since the difference in the means is positive, you can again conclude that there has
been a decrease in average per-capita beef consumption over the last ten years. In
addition, it is likely that the average consumption has decreased by more than 5.63
pounds per year.
H 0 : 1 2 0 versus H a : 1 2 0
b .
H 0 : 1 2 0 versus H a : 1 2 0
Since the value 1 2 0 does not fall in the interval in part b, it is not likely that
1 2 . There is evidence to indicate that the means are different, confirming the
conclusion in part a.
H 0 : 1 2 0 versus H a : 1 2 0
b Since the p-value = ., we can reject H0 at the 5% level (p-value < .05), but not at
the 1% level (p-value > .01). Using the guidelines for significance given in Section
9.3 of the text, we declare the results statistically significant, but not highly
significant.
x 58
With x 58 and n 100 , so that p .58 , the test statistic is
n 100
p p0 .58 .75
z 3.93
p0 q0 .75 .25
n 100
with p-value P z 3.93 2 .0002 .0004 or p -value 0 . Since this p-value is less than .
01, H0 is rejected at the 1% level of significance and the results are declared highly
significant. There is evidence that the proportion of red flowered plants is not .75.
9.35 a-b Since the survival rate without screening is p 2 3 , the survival rate with an
effective program may be greater than 2/3. Hence, the hypothesis to be tested is
H 0 : p 2 3 versus H a : p 2 3
x 164
c With p .82 , the test statistic is
n 200
p p0 .82 2 3
z 4.6
p0 q0 2 3 1 3
n 200
The rejection region is one-tailed, with .05 or z 1.645 and H0 is rejected. The
screening program seems to increase the survival rate.
That is, H0 can be rejected for any value of .0002 . The results are highly
significant.
x 22
With p .275 , the test statistic is
n 80
p p0 .275 .25
z .52
p0 q0 .25 .75
n 80
8
The rejection region is two-tailed .05 , or z 1.96 and H0 is not rejected. There is
insufficient evidence to indicate that the claim is incorrect.
x 15
With p .1875 , the test statistic is
n 80
p p0 .1875 .24
z 1.10
p0 q0 .24 .76
n 80
The rejection region is two-tailed .05 , or z 1.96 and H0 is not rejected. There is
insufficient evidence to indicate that the claim is incorrect.
c Unless the experimenter had some preconceived idea that the proportion might be
greater or less than claimed, there would be no reason to run a one-tailed test.
x 123
with p .41 , the test statistic is
n 300
p p0 .41 .35
z 2.17
p0 q0 .35 .65
n 300
The rejection region with =.01 is | z | 2.58 and the null hypothesis is not rejected.
(Alternatively, we could calculate p-value 2 P z 2.17 2(.0150) .0300 . Since this p-
value is greater than .01, the null hypothesis is not rejected.) There is insufficient
evidence to indicate that the percentage of adults who say that they always vote is
different from the percentage reported in Time.
H 0 : p1 p2 0 versus H a : p1 p2 0
n1 p 1 n2 p 2 18 30
Calculate p1 .36 , p 2 .60 and p .48 . The test statistic is then
n1 n2 50 50
9
p1 p 2 .36 .60
z 2.40
1 1 .48 .52 1 50 1 50
pq
n1 n2
The rejection region, with .05 , is z 1.645 and H0 is rejected. There is evidence of
a difference in the proportion of survivors for the two groups.
p1q1 p 2 q2
p1 p 2 1.96
n1 n2
.36 .64 .60 .40
.36 .60 1.96
50 50
.24 .19 or .43 p1 p2 .05
H 0 : p1 p2 0 versus H a : p1 p2 0
p1 p 2 .280 .259
z 0.74
1 1 .268 .732 1 440 1 560
pq
n1 n2
The rejection region, with .01 , is z 2.58 and H0 is not rejected. There is no
evidence of a difference in the proportion of frequent moviegoers in the two
demographic groups.
b A difference in the proportions might mean that the advertisers would choose
different products to advertise before this movie.
9.50 a Since the two treatments were randomly assigned, the randomization procedure
can be implemented as each patient becomes available for treatment. Choose a
random number between 0 and 9 for each patient. If the patient receives a number
between 0 and 4, the assigned drug is aspirin. If the patient receives a number
between 5 and 9, the assigned drug is clopidogrel.
b Assume that n1 7720 and n2 7780 . It is given that p1 .054 , p 2 .038 , so that
p1 p 2 .054 .038
z 4.75
1 1 .046 .954 1 7720 1 7780
pq
n1 n2
with p-value P z 4.75 2(.0002) .0004 . Since the p-value is less than .01, the results
are statistically significant. There is sufficient evidence to indicate a difference in the
proportions for the two treatment groups.
H 0 : p1 p2 0 versus H a : p1 p2 0
93 119 x x 93 119
Calculate p1 .769 , p 2 .598 , and p 1 2 .6625 . The test
121 199 n1 n 2 121 199
statistic is then
p1 p 2 .769 .598
z 3.14
1 1 .6625 .3375 1 121 1 199
pq
n1 n2
with p-value P z 3.14 1 .9992 .0008 . Since the p-value is less than .01, the results
are reported as highly significant at the 1% level of significance. There is evidence to
confirm the researchers conclusion.
H 0 : p .5 versus H a : p .5
x 6
with p .222 , and the test statistic is
n 27
p p0 .222 .5
z 2.89
p0 q0 .5 .5
n 27
reject H0 at the 1% level (highly significant) and reject the DAs claim of 50% or
greater.
x 455
b If you take x 455 and n 503 with p .905 , the 95% confidence interval for
n 503
p is approximately
pq .905 .095
p 1.96 .905 1.96 .905 .026
n 503
or .879 p .931
c Even with the conservative value of x in part b, you can see that all the possible
values for p are greater than p .5 . You cannot conclude that the DAs claim of 50%
or greater is wrong in fact, it appears that the DA is correct!
H 0 : p1 p2 0 versus H a : p1 p2 0
42 48 x x 42 48
Calculate p1 .636 , p 2 .623 , and p 1 2 .629 . The test statistic is
66 77 n1 n2 66 77
then
p1 p 2 .636 .623
z 0.16
1 1 .629 .371 1 66 1 77
pq
n1 n2
c Since the observed p-value, .4364, is greater than .05 , H0 cannot be rejected.
There is insufficient evidence to support the researchers belief.
9.66 Refer to the figure below, which represents the two probability distributions, one
assuming that p1 p2 0 and one assuming that p1 p2 .1 .
12
The right curve is the true distribution of the random variable p1 p 2 and
consequently any probabilities that we wish to calculate concerning the random
variable must be calculated as areas under the curve to the right. The objective of
this exercise is to find a common sample size so that P reject H 0 when H 0 is true .05
and P accept H 0 when H 0 is false .20 . For .05 consider the critical value of p1 p 2
that separates the rejection and acceptance regions. This value will be denoted by
p1 p 2 C . Recall that the random variable z x measures the distance from a
particular value x to the mean (in units of standard deviation). Since the z-value
corresponding to p1 p 2 C is z 1.645 , we have
p1 p 2 C 0
1.645
p1q1 p2 q2
n1 n2
or
p1q1 p2 q2
p1 p 2 C 1.645
n1 n2
Now P accept H 0 when p1 p2 .1 which is the area under the right hand curve to
the left of p1 p 2 C . Since it is required that .20 we must find the z-value
corresponding to A .2 , which is z .84 (see Table 3). Then
p1 p 2 C .1
.84
p1q1 p2 q2
n1 n2
13
p1q1 p2 q2
where p1 p 2 C 1.645 . Substituting for p1 p 2 C ,
n1 n2
p1q1 p2 q2
1.645 .1
n1 n2
.84
p1q1 p2 q2
n1 n2
.1
2.485
p1q1 p2 q2
n1 n2
The following two assumptions will allow us to calculate the appropriate sample size:
1 n1 n2 n .
.1 .1
2.485 2.485
1 1 .5 2 n
.5 .5
n n
n 17.57 or n 308.76 . Hence, a common sample size for the researchers test will be
n 309 .
H 0 : 1 2 0 versus H a : 1 2 0
x1 x2 0 240 227
z 4.33
2
s s2
980 820
1
2
n1 n2 200 200
The rejection region, with .05, is one-tailed or z 1.645 and the null hypothesis is
rejected. There is a difference in mean yield for the two types of spray.
s12 s22
x1 x2 1.96
n1 n2
980 820
240 227 1.96
200 200
13 5.88 or 7.12 1 2 18.88
9.72 a Let p1 be the proportion of cells in which RNA developed normally when treated
with a .6 micrograms per millimeter concentration of Actinomysin-D, and p2 be the
proportion of normal cells treated with the higher concentration of Actinomysin-D.
The hypothesis to be tested is
H 0 : p1 p2 0 versus H a : p1 p2 0
55 23 x x 55 23
Calculate p1 .786 , p 2 .329 , and p 1 2 .557 . The test statistic is
70 70 n1 n2 70 70
then
p1 p 2 .786 .329
z 5.44
1 1 .557 .443 1 70 1 70
pq
n1 n2
b Since the observed p-value < .0004, is must be less than .05 , and H0 is
rejected. We can conclude that there is a difference in the rate of normal RNA
synthesis for cells exposed to the two different concentrations of Actinomysin-D.
x 499 508
z .92
s n 98 100
Since the p-value, .3576, is greater than .05 , and H0 cannot be rejected and we
cannot conclude that the average verbal score for California students in 2005 is
different from the national average.
x 516 520
z .42
s n 96 100
Since the p-value, .6744, is greater than .05 , and H0 cannot be rejected and we
cannot conclude that the average math score for California students in 2005 is
different from the national average.
c Since the same students are used to measured verbal and math scores, there
would not be two independent samples, and the two sample z-test would not be
appropriate.
H 0 : 5 versus H a : 5
x 0 x 0 7.2 5
z 2.19
n s n 6.2 38
The rejection region with .01 is z 2.33 . Since the observed value, z 2.19 , does
not fall in the rejection region and H0 is not rejected. The data do not provide
sufficient evidence to indicate that the mean ppm of PCBs in the population of game
birds exceeds the FDAs recommended limit of 5 ppm.
9.76 Refer to Exercise 9.75, in which the rejection region was given as z 2.33 where
x 0 x 2.3
z
s n .29 35
16
Solving for x we obtain the critical value of x necessary for rejection of H0.
x 5 6.2
2.33 x 2.33 5 7.34
6.2 38 38
(Get a Minitab output using power calculation and make conclusions to do the
followings)
7.34 6
P x 7.34 when 6 P z
6.2 38
P z 1.33 .9082
b For 7 ,
7.34 7
P x 7.34 when 7 P z
6.2 38
P z .34 .6331
c For 8 ,
17
1 1 P x 7.34 when 8
7.34 8
1 P z
6.2 38
1 P z .66 .7454
For 9 ,
1 1 P x 7.34 when 9
7.34 9
1 P z
6.2 38
1 P z 1.65 .9505
For 10 ,
1 1 P x 7.34 when 10
7.34 10
1 P z
6.2 38
1 P z 2.64 .9959
For 12 ,
1 1 P x 7.34 when 12
7.34 12
1 P z
6.2 38
1 P z 4.63 1
1.0
0.8
0.6
Power
0.4
0.2
0.0
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mean
18
You can see that the power becomes greater than or equal to .90 for a value of a
little smaller than 9 . To find the exact value, we need to solve for in the
equation:
7.34
1 1 P x 7.34 1 P z .90
6.2 38
7.34
or P z .10
6.2 38
From Table 3, the value of z that cuts off .10 in the lower tail of the z-distribution is
z 1.28 , so that
7.34
1.28
6.2 / 38
6.2
7.34 1.28 8.63.
38
H 0 : 1 2 0 versus H a : 1 2 0
x1 x2 0 69.58 64.43
z 10.75
2 2
s s 2.62 2 2.582
1
2
n1 n2 48 77
The rejection region, with .01, is one-tailed or z 2.33 and the null hypothesis is
rejected. There is sufficient evidence to indicate that the average height for males is
greater than females.
s12 s22
x1 x2 2.33
n1 n2
2.62 2 2.582
69.58 64.43 2.33
48 77
5.15 1.12 4.03 or 1 2 4.03
10.23 a If you check the ratio of the two variances using the rule of thumb given in this
section you will find:
4.67
2
larger s 2
1.36
4.00
2 2
smaller s
which is less than three. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that the two
population variances are equal.
b From the Minitab printout, the test statistic is t .06 with p -value .95 .
d Since the p-value .95 is greater than .10, the results are not significant. There is
insufficient evidence to indicate a difference in the two population means.
1 1
x1 x2 t.025 s2
n1 n2
1 1
29 28.86 2.201 19.1844
6 7
.14 5.363 or 5.223 1 2 5.503
Since the value 1 2 0 falls in the confidence interval, it is possible that the two
population means are the same. There insufficient evidence to indicate a difference
in the two population means.
H 0 : 1 2 0 versus H a : 1 2 0
s12 .400
2
x1 .896 n1 14
s22 .679
2
x2 1.147 n2 11
x1 x2 0
t 1.16
1 1
2
s
n1 n2
b It is not necessary to bound the p-value using Table 4, since the exact p-value is
given on the printout as P-Value = .260.
c If you check the ratio of the two variances using the rule of thumb given in this
section you will find:
.679
2
larger s 2
2.88
.400
2 2
smaller s
which is less than three. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that the two
population variances are equal.
10.27 a Check the ratio of the two variances using the rule of thumb given in this section:
larger s 2 2.78095
16.22
smaller s 2 .17143
which is greater than three. Therefore, it is not reasonable to assume that the two
population variances are equal.
b You should use the unpooled t test with Satterthwaites approximation to the
degrees of freedom for testing
H 0 : 1 2 0 versus H a : 1 2 0
x1 x2 0 3.73 4.8
t 2.412
s 2
s 2
2.78095 .17143
1 2
n1 n2 15 15
with
2
s12 s22
.185397 .0114287
2
df n1 n2 15.7
s12
2
s22
2
.002455137 .00000933
n1 n2
n1 1 n2 1
21
With df 15 , the p-value for this test is bounded between .02 and .05 so that H 0 can
be rejected at the 5% level of significance. There is evidence of a difference in the
mean number of uncontaminated eggplants for the two disinfectants.
10.40 a-b The table of differences, along with the calculation of d and sd2 , is presented
below.
Week 1 2 3 4 Totals
di 127.0
1.77 15.03 23.22 5 67.07
di 67.07
d 16.7675
n 4
di 67.07
2 2
d i
2
1499.9047 and sd 11.1849
sd2 n 4 125.102825
n 1 3
H 0 : 1 2 0 or H 0 : d 0
H a : 1 2 0 or H a : d 0
d d 16.7675 0
t 3.00
sd n 11.1849
4
Since t 3.00 with df n 1 3 falls between the two tabled values, t.025 and t.05 ,
for this two tailed test and H0 is not rejected. We cannot conclude that the means are
different.
sd 11.1849
d t.005 16.7675 5.841 16.7675 32.666
n 4
or 49.433 1 2 15.899 .
22
10.43 a A paired-difference test is used, since the two samples are not random and
independent (at any location, the ground and air temperatures are related). The
hypothesis of interest is
H 0 : 1 2 0 H a : 1 2 0
The table of differences, along with the calculation of d and sd2 , is presented below.
Location 1 2 3 4 5 Total
di . 7.9
4 2.7 1.6 1.7 1.5
di 7.9
d 1.58
n 5
di 7.9
2 2
d d 1.58 0
t 4.326
sd n .8167
5
sd .8167
d t.025 1.58 2.776 1.58 1.014
n 5
or 2.594 1 2 .566 .
t 2 SE B
sd
t.025 .2
n
With sd .8167 and n represents the number of pairs of observations, consider the
sample size obtained by replacing t.025 by z.025 1.96 .
.8167
1.96 .2
n
n 8.0019 n 64.03 or n 65
Since the value of n is greater than 30, the use of z 2 for t 2 is justified.
H 0 : 1 2 0 or H 0 : d 0
H a : 1 2 0 or H a : d 0
The table of differences is presented below. Use your scientific calculator to find d
and sd ,
di 3 3 1 3
2 1 1
d d .857 0
t 1.03
sd n 2.193
7
Since t 1.03 with df n 1 6 is smaller than the smallest tabled value t.10 ,
p-value .10
for this one-tailed test and H0 is not rejected. We cannot conclude that the average
time outside the office is less when music is piped in.
24