Geometry: Unit 14 - Experimental and Theoretical Probability Student Notes - Experimental and Theoretical Probability Pages 612-616 Aneventisa_ SINQIE outcome or a Group of outcomes, ‘The probability of an event is a nunjerical value from_Q to | __ that measures the of the event. You can write the probability of an event as a fraction, decimal or percent uly eyo cet ‘tot ce cern el 0 =—esihaly 0S wereliey—e 1 ' Theoretical Probability of an event is the | measures the that an event of the number of 1utcomes to the numbers of i i "1 i Acual it ‘occurs based on the results of 1! —Pinsellaler outcomes. "1 "1 ' 1 Experimental Probability of an event an_eX0ey iment _ a of event ocr TANS pryen) =f OF fANOrAbLC OUTCOMES Hofivials 1! total tt of outcomes Example 1: A quality control inspector samples 500 LCD monitors and finds defects in three of them. What is the experimental probability that a monitor selected at random will have a defect? 3 ° ap 0b =.U% Example 2:+-pariches-63¢rees: You choose 40 at random and determine that 25 are maple trees. What is the experimental probability that a tree chosen as random is a maple tree? maple 26 _ = W2.5% sampled = - 428 U2. Example 3: What is the probability of rolling numbers that add to 7 when rolling two standard (sixed-sided) number cubes? wnataddste1? add & Lu qe uT% tu 5tZ frais G4 30 Utl B+4 145, 4t3 Example 4: A jar contains 10 red marbles, 8 green marbles, 5 blue marbles and 6 white marbles. What is the probabilty that a randomly selected marble is not green, P(not green)? not green acl =12.4% +otal gq THA ToGeometry: Unit 14 - Experimental and Theoretical Probability Example 5: A music collection includes 10 rock CDs, 8 country CDs, 5 classicals CDs and 7 hip hop CDs. ‘What is the probability that a CD randomly selected from the collection is a not classical CD? Not classical. _29 - _ %, macs aCa0 . 0337 OB. B% How are experimental and theoretical probability similar or different? vs) fram ain one vertical Example 6: A bag contains 12 marbles. Each marble is green blue or red. The probability that a randomly selected marble is green is 3 The probability that a randomly selected marble is blue is ; How many of each color marble are in the bag? x .t Kt 2 «3 2° 2 2red BX= 12 ZK= 12 X=4 green Xe & blue Example 7; A medical study tests a new cough medicine on 4250 people. It is effective for 3982 people. ‘What is the experimental probability that the medicine is effective? For a group of 9000 people, predict the approximate number of people for whom the medicine will be effective. 1 2. Chenoa, = 131 = 93.1% effeciwe aeeor VO00X = B433000 Q000 1000 K= O4DSpeopie Example 8: If there is a 70% chance of rain this weekend, what is the probability that it will not rain? 30. 3. ° joo = jo 30%