Geometry: Unit 14 - Conditional Probability with Formulas ‘Student Notes — Conditional Probability with Formulas Pages 637-641 Probability Formulas | | 7 For any two events A and B, the proBability of B occurrin Conditional | occurred is re ae tity) P(B\A)= Pcfhaind BD. / Pens given) yen that event A has Dependent If A and B are dependent events, Events | (Rand B) = PCA): Penang B) Example 1: in a study designed to test the effectiveness of a new drug, half of the volunteers received the drug. The other haif of the volunteers received a placebo, a tablet or pill containing no medication. The probability of a volunteer receiving the drug and getting well was 45%. What is the probability of someone jetting I, give P(newangandwa) . 49. apy, Pine drug) o Example 2: In a survey of pet owners, 45% own a dog, 27% own a cat and 12% own both a dog and a cat. ‘What is the conditional probability that a dog owner also owns a cat? Pidog and cot) = je 2bw1% P(dog) 4S Example 3: In a survey of pet owners, 45% own a dog, 27% own a cat and 12% own both a dog and a cat. ‘What is the conditional probability that a cat owner also owns a doa? P(carand dog) . 12 _ > Plot) Ta HA Exay ERS 4 VERN the epee ae ey 2 Kings from a a bar yang plving) ° *pceing and wna bi St" 94,7 -O% PCKing) Example 5: What is the probability of rolling double threes on two standard number cubes? PL) - PLA) l tlie %, ou 3G 1.10%SH Geometry: Unit 14 - Conditional Probability with Formulas Example 6: You choose a tile at random from the game tiles shown. You replace the first tile and then choose again. What is the probability that you choose a dotted tile and then a dragon tile? P(dotted) - Pid ) Doe ey, ELSIE se) pp am 9% agi so fo Je 3) faauny cane strdocne rooms (oll NE IE INILo} Plivd): P(Flower) 2.1.2 Pi 1 5 - 225 = 8% Example 8: Suppose you choose a tile at random using the same game as above. Without replacing the first tile, you select a second tile. What is the probability that you choose a flower and then a bird tile? P(EIOWer ) - P(bivd) +.2.1 . age 15 1H” jpn 1% cample 9: A soccer team wins 65% of its games on muddy fields and 30% of their games on dry fields. he probability of the field being muddy for their next game is 70%. What is the probability that the team will win their next game? Example 10: A jar contains 10 large red marbles, 4 small red marbles, 6 large blue marbles and 5 small blue marbles. ‘A. What is the conditional probability cases | small)? om tea) 4 ° P(small) q- ‘o B. What is the conditional probability for P(small | red)? Plred and smal) 4 Plred) 4 C. Which of the conditional probabilities is greater? P(ved|srmall) = 20.6%