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/AluminiumOutlook:

MarketinsightsandLookingahead
FinishAluminium Days2016,GerdGtz

EUROPEANALUMINIUM
1

/FactsandFigures

EUROPEANALUMINIUM
1 Whoweare

80+ approx. 600 plants 1 million+ 38


in30Europeancountries Directandindirect Billionannual
members jobsacross Europes
(EU28,EFTAandTurkey) valuechain turnover

Foundedin
1981
An innovative value chain serving EU key markets
90%
ofaluminiumis
European recycled in
Aluminium constructionand
representsthe automotive in
entirevaluechain Europe
ofthealuminium
industryinEurope Europeproduces

16%
ofworldwide
aluminium,half of
which from
recycled sources

EUROPEANALUMINIUM 3
1 Overviewaluminium industryinEurope

Morethan
600
aluminium
plants(by
installed
capacity*)

*Source:EuropeanAluminiumStatistics,April2015

EUROPEANALUMINIUM 4
1 Mission

Engage withEuropeandecisionmakers
tocreateasustainablebusiness
climateforthealuminiumindustryin
Europe

Promote aluminiumasaninnovative
andsustainablematerialforthe
futureofEurope

BethevoiceofaluminiuminEurope

EUROPEANALUMINIUM 5
2

/Aluminiummarkets

EUROPEANALUMINIUM
2 Primaryaluminium marketintheworld:
Production,consumptionandglobalbalance

Abalancemarketfor2016(f)withslightlyhighersurplusfor2017(f)

Restoftheworld
production: Chineseproduction:
2016(f):26904kt 2016(f):32063kt
2017(f):27736kt 2017(f):34056kt

ktonnes 2014 2015 2016(f) 2017(f)


Production 54095 57114 58 967 61792
Consumption 54084 56485 59 108 61248
Balance/surplus 11 629 141 544
EUROPEANALUMINIUM 7
2 Recycling:refining+remelting inEurope
Scrapintakestatistics
ContinuousgrowthforH12016withdifferencesbetweensectors

Total scrap
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
intake (kt)
Q1 1 734 1 727 1 888 1 965 2 006
Q2 1 757 1 773 1 900 1 993 2 031
Q3 1 594 1 667 1 730 1 774 -
Q4 1 596 1 696 1 743 1 813 -
7546 Year 6 681 6 862 7 261 7 546 4 036
kt Growth
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
(yoy)
Q1 - -0,4% 9,3% 4,1% 2,1%
Q2 - 0,9% 7,2% 4,9% 1,9%
Q3 - 4,5% 3,8% 2,6% -
Q4 - 6,3% 2,8% 4,0% -
2015data
Year - 2,7% 5,8% 3,9% -

H12016: +2.0%ytd

Source:EuropeanAluminium,dataforEU+EFTA
*Castingandwroughtalloys EUROPEANALUMINIUM 8
2 FlatRolledProducts:
shipmentstoEurope (20002017,'000tonnes)

Market 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017


Volume
Q1 1152.3 1216.0 1213.9 1252.7 1274.8
Q2 1194.4 1238.8 1268.3 1301.7 1323.9
Q3 1157.7 1203.7 1258.0 1294.6 1320.6
Q4 1084.9 1111.1 1194.4 1202.6 1229.5
Year 4589.3 4769.6 4934.6 5051.6 5148.8
Growth 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(yoy)
Q1 3.3% 5.5% 0.2% 3.2% 1.8%
Q2 4.4% 3.7% 2.4% 2.6% 1.7%
Q3 0.9% 4.0% 4.5% 2.9% 2.0%
Q4 0.6% 2.4% 7.5% 0.7% 2.2%
Year 2.3% 3.9% 3.5% 2.4% 1.9%
CARG 10/'00 10/'05 16/'10
1.1% 0.1% 2.9%
EUROPEANALUMINIUM
2 Extrusion&tubeshipmentsinEurope*
in000tonnes
Mainaluminium marketinEurope
Keyfigures:
Shipmentsin:
EU+EFTA:2949kt
Scandinavia:
6%
Scandinavia:200kt

VolumesbyendusesinEurope 34%

11%
10%

*EU25+EFTAuntil2007,EU27+EFTAfrom2008
Basedonendusesannualdata,adjustmentsforSpainsince2007,historicaltrends20012006usingoldSpanishendusedata EUROPEANALUMINIUM 10
2 Extrusion&tubeshipmentsinEurope*
forecasts(in%)
2016forecasts 2017forecasts
TotalEurope:+1.6% TotalEurope:+1.2%

Scandinavia: Scandinavia:
+1.4% +1.6%

Central&Eastern
Central&Eastern
countries:+2.9%
countries:+1.3%

*EU25+EFTAuntil2007,EU27+EFTAfrom2008
Basedonendusesannualdata,adjustmentsforSpainsince2007,historicaltrends20012006usingoldSpanishendusedata EUROPEANALUMINIUM 11
2 ExtrusioninEurope
FocusonFinnishtradedata

Totalimportsin2015:7.6kt (+8%) Totalexportsin2015:11.4kt (9%)


Mainpartners:SW,DE,DK,IT Mainpartners:SW,DE,DK,ES,NO
4countries71%ofimports 5 countries90%ofexports

EUROPEANALUMINIUM 12
3

/Working together

EUROPEANALUMINIUM
3 Beinga member means

being part ofan EUwide industry network


Network opportunities with peer industry colleagues
Receive support in European lobby efforts that benefit our industry

shaping the future ofour industry


Be part ofthe Sustainability Roadmap to 2025
Influence our strategy and positions

accessto globalexpertise
Have access to credible industry resources, studies and updates
Keep up to date with European support programmes

driving the industry agenda


Participating in development and best practices
Get active in working groups andcommittees

increasing your visibility


Leveraging our PR activities

EUROPEANALUMINIUM
3 Membership benefits
Receive market and Guide our work Expand your network by
political intelligence through
through
Ouraluminium statistics Having your say on our Joining anassociation
database advocacy work towards covering all segments of the
the EUinstitutions, sectors value chain
Ourweeklyrecaps on standardization bodies
burning topicsin the andvariousstakeholders Taking part in the industrys
industry and events, including the
Directcontactwith our EuropeanAluminiumspring
Ourmembers database, experts and autumn meetings, the
extranet, meeting biannual recycling congress,
calendar andmany other Direct participation in EHS workshop andthe
resources our horizontal Packaging seminar
committees, specific
working groups andthe Connecting with the
Allour publications possibility tobecome a International Aluminium
member of our market Institute (IAI), Eurometaux
Individual advice groups (packaging, (the EuropeanNonFerrous
automotive& transport, Metals association) and
building) othermultisectorial
alliances and national
aluminium associations

EUROPEANALUMINIUM
3 Examplesofourwork

ParticipationofEUCommissioner
KarmenuVella
attheEuropeanAluminium event

Promotingtheimportanceof
aluminium industryontheEuropean
level

EUROPEANALUMINIUM
3 Examplesofourwork
Strategy/Social MediaCampaigns/Newsletters Industry&publicstakeholderevents Innovation

Accessto Publications&Brochures
variousnetworks

MarketIntelligence

EUROPEANALUMINIUM 17
/Questions?Contactus!
AvenuedeBroqueville 12 1150Brussels,Belgium
Phone+3227756363
Emailgotz@europeanaluminium.eu
www.europeanaluminium.eu
EUROPEANALUMINIUM

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