Korth-Holland
Robert COMMENT
New York tinwers~ty, Xew York. .VY ll)OOj, USA
Gregg A. JARRELL
The A kur Group. Inc.. Skokie. IL 60077.1035, USA
We measure the ditTerential effects on shareholder wealth and tendering behavior of any-or-all.
two-tier and partial tender offers and find no evidence that shareholders are disadvantaged by
front-end-loaded corporate takeovers. Shareholders fare as well when the terms of an offer for
control are negotiated with target-firm management as when they are not. Most cash tender offers
executed between 1981 and 1984 were negotiated. and almost all two-tier offers aere negotiated.
1. Introduction
In deciding to sell their shares in a tender offer, investors compare the bid
value of the offer with the expected post-expiration value of any untendered
shares. A takeover is front-end loaded when the tender bid exceeds the value of
any unpurchased shares. Bradley (1980) and Grossman and Hart (1980) argue
that successful corporate takeover offers must be front-end loaded. Otherwise,
each shareholder will refrain from tendering in an attempt to free-ride on the
bidders value increasing activities and the tender offer will fail. A front-end-
loaded takeover discourages such free-riding by penalizing individual holdouts.
Front-end loading is controversial because its coercive potential is not
limited to the solution of free-rider problems. In theory, front-end loading can
give shareholders individual incentives to tender even when it is in their
collective interest to refrain. If shareholders are atomistic and cooperation is
costly. a front-end-loaded takeover may dominate an alternative, uniform offer
that would otherwise be preferred by all. Conversely, regulatory and contractual
or corporate charter proscription of front-end loading is also controversial for
*We thank Annette Paulsen, David MaJmquist, Michael Bradley and Michael Jensen (the
editor) for their suggestions. This paper is a substantial revision of a 1985 memorandum of the
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Office of the Chief Economist. entitled The Economics
of Any-or-All. Partial and Two-Tier Tender Offers. This research was largely conducted while the
authors were employed by the SEC as Financial Economist and Chief Economist, respectively.
Tender offers can be classified into three groups according to the maximum
number of shares to be accepted in the offer and the bidders intentions for the
untendered or unaccepted shares. An any-or-all offer specifies no maximum
and accepts all shares tendered, or none if the conditions of the offer are not
met. A two-tier offer specifies a maximum number of shares to be accepted
and is accompanied by at least the announced intention to obtain the
remaining shares in a follow-up merger if the conditions of the offer are met.
A partial offer also specifies a maximum number of shares to be accepted but
is not accompanied by any disclosed intention to acquire the remaining shares
in the near future. Bidders are required to disclose such intentions at the time
of their offer. The execution of either type of offer is often made conditional
on the receipt of a minimum number of tenders sufficient to guarantee voting
approval of a subsequent merger. In a two-tier offer this is typically also the
maximum number accepted. Partial offers are typically unconditional offers.
In each type of offer, the front-end value is given by the terms of the offer,
and almost all interfirm tender offers are for cash. The back-end value of an
any-or-all offer is given by the terms of a cleanup merger - typically cash at
the offer price. In two-tier takeovers, the back-end value is also given by the
terms of a follow-up merger - typically offering an exchange of securities. The
back-end value of a partial offer is the market value of the remaining traded
shares.
To varying degrees, all three types of tender offer can be front-end loaded.
Even in an any-or-all cash tender offer followed by a cash merger at the same
terms, the front-end payment is slightly more valuable by virtue of arriving
sooner. The potential for front-end loading is greater, however, when the
bidder limits shareholder participation in the front-end tender offer, as in
two-tier and partial offers.2
On average, target shareholders receive a weighted average or blended price
per share, weighting the price paid in the front- and back-end values by the
fraction of shares receiving each price, expressed as
P,=(FxP,)+((l-F)XP,),
Prorationing is required when more than the maximum number of shares is tendered into a
two-tier or partial offer. With prorationing, the same fraction of shares is accepted from each
tendering account so that each tendering holder obtains a proportionate share of the front- and
back-end consideration. Hence, the effects of front-end loading are uniform across tendering
shareholders. penalizing only those who do not tender.
R. Comment and C.A. Jarrell, Two-ner and negorlated render offers 187
((P&J - 1) x 100,
where
P, = blended price of the offer,
P, = per-share tender offer price,
P,,= pre-contest market price of target shares,
P, = post-offer market price of target shares,
F = fraction of shares purchased in the front-end offer.
The Prisoners dilemma is created by placing two suspected perpetrators of a crime in separate
rooms and presenting each with the following proposition. If you confess and your partner does
not, your partner receives the harshest punishment and you go free. If your partner confesses and
you do not, you receive the harshest punishment and your partner goes free. If you both confess.
you both receive moderate punishment. If neither of you confesses, you both go free.
288 R. Commenl and CA. Jarrell. Two-lier and negottured tender offers
advantage was eliminated in December 1982. when the SEC extended proration
rights throughout the twenty business-day minimum offer period, the two-tier
and partial offers in our 1981-1984 sample period may have had this
motivation.
The second motive also stems from a regulation-induced timing advantage.
Because of the delay in registerin g and issuing publicly traded securities,
takeovers can be accomplished more quickly as cash transactions. Capital-
market imperfections, however, may make it prohibitively costly to finance a
cash any-or-all offer for relatively large target firms. A two-tier offer allows a
cash-constrained bidder to gain voting control of a target without waiting for
regulatory review of the registration statement of the securities to be ex-
changed for the targets remaining shares.
The third motive is that bidders demanding only partial ownership will
prefer partial offers to any-or-all offers. A bidder with a limited goal must
estimate the supply response to a given bid price when using an any-or-all
offer. By specifying a maximum number of shares to be accepted in a partial
offer, the bidder can eliminate the risk that too many shares will be tendered.
Also, by specifying a maximum number of shares to be accepted for cash,
bidders can better control their cash outlay and can limit the risk that the
price offered will attract more shares than sought.
Finally. the two-tier form of merger allows some shareholders to continue to
defer personal capital-gains taxes without the bidders having to forego the
timing advantage of a cash tender offer described above. As long as less than
half of the shares are taken for cash, a two-tier transaction with a share-
exchange merger as a back end qualifies as a tax-free exchange of shares for
those target shareholders who do not tender. For tax purposes, the two tiers
are treated as a single transaction. If more than half the shares are taken for
cash, all shareholders may be required to recognize an immediate capital gain
or loss, rather than just those who tender.j See Gilson (1986, p. 457).
Summarizing, front-end loading can counter shareholder opportunism by
reducing the incentives of individual shareholders to hold out in an attempt to
free-ride on the bidders value-increasing changes, but this same coercive
potential can allow (monopsonist) bidders to expropriate the wealth of non-
cooperating shareholders as a group. Two-tier tender offers are an effective
vehicle for front-end loading and may thus be used to serve either purpose.
Competition among bidders in front-end loading, however, amounts to
competition in overall value to shareholders. Also, only atomistic, non-
The 1987 tax changes disfavor ah-cash transactions in relation to their previous treatment by
eliminating the General Utilities doctrine which had allowed an avoidance (through liquidation)
of the targets corporate-level taxable gain on any asset write-up. Bidders who want to use as
much cash as possible and still avoid a corporate-level taxable gain can do either a two-tier cash
tender offer for up to half the shares with a share-exchange for the rest, or a single-step merger
with shareholders allowed to elect to receive cash for up half the outstanding shares.
R. Comment und GA. Jurrell, Tuo-rrer and negorrated render offers 291
The tender offers considered in this study were identified from the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commissions (SECs) computer list of 14D-1 filings.
Anyone making a tender offer must file a 14D-1 statement with the SEC,
within five days of the public announcement of the offer, disclosing the terms
of the offer and their intentions regarding any unpurchased shares. The bidder
also files amended statements disclosing any material changes as well as the
results of the offer upon expiration. From these filings, we take all cash offers
for common stock made by bidders owning less than 50 percent (before any
offer-related agreements to purchase), initiated between January 1981 and
December 1984, for New York and American Stock Exchange and
frequently-traded OTC firms. Information on smaller firms is difficult to
obtain. We exclude non-cash offers to simplify our calculations of the value of
the offer.
In most of the analysis we consider only executed tender offers - those in
which at least some shares are purchased. While we report the incidence of all
initial cash tender offers (the first filed) that are withdrawn without being
executed (but otherwise satisfy our criteria). we do not consider their wealth
effects because they are relatively few in number and because we are primarily
interested in the relative frequency and wealth effects of tender offers which
survive a competitive process. Because they fail to overcome e,xisting market
forces, contracts, and regulations, these offers that are withdrawn provide little
evidence on whether tender offers should be further regulated with respect to
front-end loading, or on whether the demand for new target defensive steps is
consistent with stated justifications which cite the coercive potential of two-tier
offers.
Our selection rules result in a sample of 241 initial and 210 executed cash
tender offers. A total of 123 initial offers for common stock were excluded
completely. These include 81 offers for thinly-traded OTC firms. 22 offers by
parent corporations, and 19 non-cash offers. The 31 initial cash offers which
were withdrawn and not followed by an executed offer consist of three that
were revised to share-exchange mergers with the bidder, nine that were
withdrawn in the face of a third-party merger, eight that were withdrawn by
agreement with target-firm management. five that were blocked by courts or
regulators, and six that were unilaterally withdrawn by the bidder.
announcement of any kind of tender offer or merger proposal for the target
firm. This earlier price is used to lower the probability that leakage of
information about an impending offer has raised P,, above its value in the
absence of information about a contest for control. In three cases. however. we
use a price less than twenty days before the offer because earnings an-
nouncements by the target firm during that time caused a substantial decline
in the market price. Announcement dates were obtained from the Dow Jones
News Retrieval Semice or the Wall Street Journal company index.
We estimate the value of the back-end consideration (Pe) in each type of
offer as the closing market price (or the bid price for OTC firms) two days
after the effective offer deadline. In any-or-all offers and undersubscribed
two-tier or partial offers. shares are accepted throughout the offer period. In
oversubscribed two-tier and partial offers, shares tendered after the last day of
prorationing rights are all returned to shareholders so the effective deadline in
these offers is the last day of prorationing rights.
In partial offers and unnegotiated two-tier offers the face value of the back
end is not specified in the offer, so the market price of the shares after
expiration is the only available estimate of P,. Even when the terms of a back
end are specified in a negotiated two-tier offer. the actual value to shareholders
may differ from face value as stated by the bidder, so here the post-expiration
market price is a more accurate measure of back-end value. This is true even
when the back end is a cash payment, since receipt of the merger price is
deferred until after a vote by shareholders. and the market price reflects the
present value of the deferred payment. Of necessity, we do use a stated cash
merger price rather than a market price in well-subscribed, any-or-all offers
where trading ceases before expiration and no post-expiration market value is
available, but here F is close to one and P, contributes little to P,. As
calculated, blended percentage premiums are not risk-adjusted or calculated
net of marketwide price changes during the offer. Nominal values of P, and
P, better approximate the alternatives that shareholders actually face when
deciding to tender.
Investors make their tendering decisions by comparing P, with the expected
value of P,. These expectations are not measurable, so of necessity we use the
realized value of P, two days after the tendering deadline. Average realizations
are likely to be unbiased estimates of the expected values, and our conclusions
are largely based on these averages. We report the frequency distribution of
our estimate of P,/P, (table 5), however, and this reported distribution may
exhibit a greater spread than would be the case if the true expected value of P,
were used to calculate this measure.
To weight the front and back ends in the blended price calculation. we use
the number of shares actually purchased in the tender offer, as reported in the
final amended 14D-1 filing. as a fraction (F) of the total number of shares
available to be tendered. Shares available for tendering are calculated as the
294 R. Comnwnr und GA. Jurrell. Two-tter und negotrated trnder ofen
total number of shares outstanding plus the number of shares reserved for
conversion of convertible debt and preferred stock (we assume conversion),
less the number of shares known to be withheld from the offer by large-block
holders. Shares known to be withheld are primarily those that the bidder owns
before making the tender offer or that he has contracted to purchase separately
after the offer.
4. Empirical findings
Table 1
Number of initial and executed cash tender offers by year: initial offers by type and negotiation
btatub at announcement and executed offers by type and negotiation status at expiration
(percentages in parentheses).
Type and
1981 1982 1983 1984 Total
negotiation
status of offer V (oc) ,v (4c) !V (8) x (c) ,v (cd)
litid offers
Any-or-all 34 (54) 32 (52) 18 (55) 61 (73) 145 (60)
Two-tier 10 (16) 18 (30) 10 (30) 9 (11) 47 (20)
Partial 19 (30) 11 (18) 5 (15) 14 (17) 49 (20)
Negotiated 28 (44) 27 (44) 14 (42) 51 (61) 120 (50)
Unnegotiated 36 (56) 34 (56) 19 (58) 33 (39) 121 (50)
Total 63 (100) 61(100) 33 (100) 84 (100) 241 (100)
E.~ecuted offerx
Any-or-all 32 (57) 31 (61) 23 (74) 58 (81) 144 (68)
Two-tier 12 (21) 14 (27) 5 (16) 8 (11) 39 (19)
Partial 12 (21) 6 (12) 3 (10) 6 (8) 27 (13)
Negotiated 41 (73) 40 (78) 25 (81) 66 (92) 172 (82)
Unnegotlated 15 (27) 11 (22) 6 (19) 6 (8) 38 (18)
Total 56 (100) 51 (loo) 31(100) 72 (100) 210 (100)
An initial cash tender offer is the first one filed with the SEC for the common stock of a target
firm. An executed tender offer is one in which some shares are purchased. Initial and executed
offrrs need not be made by the same bidder. although most are. and initial offers may not be
executed. An any-or-all offer accepts all tendered shares if any minimum condition is met. In a
two-tier tender offer the bidder accepts a maximum number of shares under prorationing and
intends to effect a subsequent merger. In a partial tender offer the bidder accepts a maximum
number of shares under prorationing and does not intend to effect a subsequent merger. A
negotiated tender offer is one made under a written agreement with the management of the target
firm. as of the start for an initial offer and as of its expiration for an executed offer.
in our sample that started out negotiated, two were blocked by the FTC and
not followed by any other offer, but not one was followed by an unnegotiated
executed offer. Of those that begin and end as negotiated offers. only three
were initially negotiated with a bidder unaffiliated with target managers and
then later withdrawn in favor of an offer negotiated with some other, third-party
bidder. In two of these cases the winning bidder paid the losing bidder a fee to
relinquish its claims.6 Management cannot issue legally binding merger rights
In one case. Texaco reached a merger agreement and made a tender offer for Getty Oil despite
Pennzoils prior agreement in principle to purchase Getty. In a second case, Dart & Kraft
accepted a payment of $18 million to abandon its definitive merger agreement with CFS
Continental in deference to a negotiated bid by A.E. Staley. In a third case. First Union Corp.
abandoned its definitive agreement to merge Florida Coast Banks in deference to a negotiated
offer by Bamett Banks of Florida and received over $13 million from Bamett (20% of the total
purchase price) by tendering new shares obtained by exercising its lock-up option.
296 R. Comment und GA. Jarrell. Two-trer and negorrared render ofers
Table 2
Disposition of initial cash tender offers in the period 1981-1984; type of initial offer by type of
offer executed. and negotiation status of initial offer by negotiatron status of executed offer
(percentages in parentheses).
An initial cash tender offer is the first one filed with the SEC for the common stock of a target
firm. An executed tender offer is one in which some shares are purchased. Initial and executed
offers need not be made by the same bidder and initial offers need not be executed. An any-or-all
offer accepts all tendered shares. In a two-tier tender offer the bidder accepts a maximum number
of shares under prorationing and intends to effect a subsequent merger. In a partial tender offer
the bidder accepts a maximum number of shares under prorationing and does not intend to effect
a subsequent merger. A negotiated tender offer is one made under a written agreement with the
management of the target firm. as of the start of initial offers and as of the expiration of executed
offers.
Table 3
Number of executed tender offers and average blended premiums for offers executed in the period
19X1-1984. by type and negotiation status of the executed offer and by type and negotiation
status of the corresponding initial offer (percentages in parentheses).
AIt),-or-crll
Number 131 126 144
Percent (2, (::, (100) (88) (ii, (100)
Mean premium 50.7 68.0 56.1 56.5 57.1 56.6
Std. dev. premium 26.4 31.5 29.1 29.0 21.5 28.7
Two-trer
Number (ii, 21 36
Percent (50) (1:) (92) (i, (12,
Mean premium 56.9 49.6 53.2 56.8 46.1 55.9
Std. dev. premium 45.9 24.0 36.3 38.3 37.7 37.9
Partrul
Number 30
Percent (1;) (81) (12, (E, (& (lZ,
Mean premium 14.7 42.0 36.9 20.2 24.4 22.8
Std. dev. premium 8.8 31.1 30.2 12.2 21.5 18.4
Totol
A tender offer is included if some shares are purchased for cash. An any-or-all offer accepts all
tendered shares. In a two-tier tender offer the bidder accepts a maximum number of shares under
prorationing and intends to effect a subsequent merger. In a partial tender offer the bidder accepts
a maximum number of shares under prorationing and does not intend to effect a subsequent
merger. A negotiated tender offer is one made under a written agreement with the management of
the target firm as of the announcement of the initial offer and as of the expiration of the executed
offer. The initial offer is the first offer made by any bidder. not necessarily the bidder making the
executed offer.
abandoned indicate the value of merger rights and further confirm that target
managers wield bargaining power that can be used to alter the terms of
executed tender offers, including the use of front-end loading in two-tier offers.
Table 3 cross-classifies executed offers and their corresponding initial offers
by type and by negotiation status. Two-tier offers are almost all negotiated at
execution, and are slightly more frequently negotiated at that stage than are
any-or-all offers [92% (36 of 39) compared to 88% (126 of 144)]. Half of all
initial two-tier offers (21 of 42) are negotiated from the start, compared with
two-thirds of any-or-all offers (90 of 131) in cases where an offer is executed.
Partial offers are the least likely to be negotiated. Few initial partial offers (7
298 R. Comment und GA. Jarrell. Tno-tter und negotruted ruder offers
Table 4
Distribution (number and percent) of blended premiums received in 210 cash tender offers
executed in the period 1981-1984. by type of offer executed (percentages in parentheses).
A tender otTer is included if some shares are purchased for cash. An any-or-ail offer accepts all
tendered shares. In a two-tier tender offer the bidder accepts a maximum number of shares under
prorationing and intends to effect a subsequent merger. In a partial tender offer the bidder accepts
a limited number of shares under prorationing and does not intend to effect a subsequent merger.
of 37) and somewhat more executed partial offers (10 of 27) are negotiated.
We show below (table 6) that partial offers typically result in a less-than-
majority interest in the target firm, whereas two-tier and any-or-all offers
typically result in majority control by the bidder before any second-step
merger. So, those offers that typically result in majority corporate control,
two-tier and any-or-all, tend to be successfully negotiated with target managers.
The type of offer that typically results in less-than-majority control, the partial
offer, is generally not negotiated.
405 and 69% of any-or-all blended premiums exceed 40%. Only one offer was
executed with a negative blended premium.
Blended premiums for negotiated and unnegotiated tender offers are also
given in table 3. Blended premiums are significantly higher when the executed
offer is negotiated. with mean premiums of 54.5% for negotiated and 41.6% for
unnegotiated executed offers (t-statistic of 5.93). However, this is because of
the greater frequency of low-premium partial offers among unnegotiated
offers. Shareholders receive a mean premium of 56.5% when a negotiated
any-or-all offer is executed. compared with a mean premium of 57.1% when an
unnegotiated any-or-all offer is executed. Similarly. the mean premium of
56.8% in negotiated two-tier offers differs insignificantly from the mean
premium of 46.1% for the three unnegotiated two-tier offers (f-statistic of
0.47). Mean premiums differ little in negotiated and unnegotiated partial offers
as executed.
Table 3 also categorizes average blended premiums received in executed
offers by the type and negotiation status of their corresponding initial offers.
Blended premiums do not differ significantly according to whether the initial
offer is any-or-all, at 56.1%. or two-tier, at 53.2% (r-statistic of 0.47). Average
blended premiums are insignificantly lower when the initial offer is negotiated,
at 49.7%. than when it is not, at 55.3% (r-statistic of - 1.28). On average when
an offer is executed, target shareholders fare best when the contest is initiated
by an unnegotiated any-or-all offer (68.0%) and least well when the initial
offer is a negotiated partial (14.7%). It makes little difference, however.
whether the initial offer is an unnegotiated two-tier (49.6%) or a negotiated
at-iv-or-all (50.7%).
Ignoring partial offers, the above results can be generalized as saying that
the shareholder wealth effects of tender offers do not materially depend on
whether the offer is structured as any-or-all or two-tier, negotiated or unnego-
tiated, either initially or at execution. Partial offers do provide lower blended
premiums, but they differ from any-or-all and two-tier offers in that they
typically produce a less-than-majority holding for the bidder.
TAfter negotiating for five months, National Semiconductor agreed to acquire Data Terminal
Systems in a tender offer for up to 58% o f the shares at f8.00 per share, followed bq a cash merger
at S7.25 per share. The offer was oversubscribed. with 73% tendering. One month before the other
announcement. Data Terminal traded at 57.875 per share. giving a blended premium of - 2.9%
The market price one month prior may have increased because of an earlier announcement of
ongoing merger talks. This earlier announcement was not treated as the tirst offer for purposes of
calculating fu because no merger proposal was made.
300 R. Comntenr und CA. Jarrell. Tno-frer and negorrured rrrdrr offers
Table 5
Mean and distnbution of the percentage difference between front- and back-end pnce and average
front- and back-end premiums. in 210 cash tender oflers executed in the period 19X1-1984. by
type of offer executed (percentages in parentheses).
Front-end
mean premium 57.4% 63.28 35.4% 55.6%
Back-end
mean premium 54.0% 45.34, 14.5% 47.3%
A tender ofler is included if some shares are purchased for cash. An any-or-all offer accepts all
tendered shares. In a two-tier tender offer the bidder accepts a limited number of shares under
prorationing and intends to effect a subsequent merger. In a partial tender offer the bidder accepts
a limited number of shares under prorationing and does not intend to effect a subsequent merger.
The front-end percentage premium is the tender-offer bid (P,) divided by the market price
twenty trading days before the announcement of the initial offer (f,). minus one times 100. The
back-end percentage premium is the market price the day after expiration (P,) divided by the
prior market price. minus one times 100. The 3 difference between tier values is based on the ratio
of the bid price to the market price after expiration. or (( Pr/P,) - 1) x 100.
Overall, 7% of executed offers are actually back-end loaded, but recall that
offers need only be executed and not successful to be included in our
sample.x
We find the observed degree of front-end loading in two-tier offers surpris-
ingly small, especially since the back end of many two-tier offers comprises a
tax-free or tax-deferred exchange of securities in contrast to an immediately
taxable cash receipt in the front end. On an after-personal-tax basis, the
degree of front-end loading in two-tier and partial offers is likely to be even
smaller than our reported, nominal differences suggest.
On average. these fifteen back-end-loaded offers drew 39% of the targets shares. compared
with 70% for the other executed offers. Four of the fifteen did draw more than half of the targets
shares. but these were any-or-all offers that were minimally back-end loaded.
302 R. Conmenr und G.A. Jurrell. Tito-nrr und negomred render offers
Table 6
Average percentage of total target-firm shares held by the bidder before the offer. tendered.
purchased. finally held by the bidder. and traded in the open market, for 210 cash tender offers
executed in the period 1981-1984, by type and negotiation status at expiration.
A tender offer is included if some shares are purchased for cash. An any-or-all offer accepts all
tendered shares. In a two-tier tender offer the bidder accepts a limited number of shares under
prorationing and intends to effect a subsequent merger. In a partial tender offer the bidder accepts
a limited number of shares under prorationing and does not intend to effect a subsequent merger.
A negotiated tender offer is one made under a written agreement with the management of the
target tirm.
Percentages are of the target firms fully diluted shares outstanding. The bidders prior holdings
comprise shares held by the bidder before the bid and any shares privately purchased outside the
ofTer. Lock-up option shares are the target firms authorized but unissued shares, or mangers
personal shares that have been optioned to the bidder, and are in addition to prior holdings.
Shares traded are cumulative NYSE-. ASE-. or OTC-reported transactions between the initial
ofTer and the tendering deadline of the executed offer.
offers. Similarly, 62.2% are tendered into negotiated two-tier offers compared
with 50.2% for the three unnegotiated two-tier offers. Finally, 54.8% are
tendered into negotiated partials, compared with 24.2% into unnegotiated
partial offers.
These data on tendering contradict three important pieces of conventional
wisdom. First, a surprisingly large fraction of equity holders forego the
opportunity to participate in these tender offers. Without speculating about
the underlying motivations, it is notable that there remains untendered an
average of 12% of the outstanding shares even after the high-response any-or-all
offers. The second surprising result is that the tendering response is actually
less for the supposedly more coercive types of offers. In particular, the
response is greatest for any-or-all offers and less for two-tier and partial offers.
The tendering response runs directly counter to the coerciveness of the offer,
as measured by the difference between tiers (shown in table 5). The third
surprising result is that the tendering response for each type of offer is less for
unnegotiated offers than for those that are made after a written agreement has
been reached with the management of the target firm. This contradicts the
popular notion that unnegotiated offers are more coercive than negotiated
offers. Apparently, many stockholders heed target-managements advice in
determining whether to tender or hold.
Table 6 also presents data on the volume of trading between the an-
nouncement of the first offer of any kind and the expiration date or end of
prorationing of the executed cash tender offer. Shareholders are vulnerable to
the prisoners dilemma of a front-end-loaded offer only to the extent that the
shares are held diffusely by uncooperating shareholders. Although this may be
true at the announcement of an offer. it need not be the case at the tendering
date. Overall, more than a third (36.4%) of the outstanding shares are traded
during a typical executed tender offer. More shares trade in two-tier (52.7%)
than in any-or-all (34.4%) or partial offers (19.5%). More shares trade in
negotiated (39.4%) than in unnegotiated offers (23.2%). Although some shares
will trade more than once, these data are consistent with a substantial increase
in the concentration of ownership in target firms during tender offers.
Finally, table 6 also presents the average percentage of outstanding shares
optioned to the bidder in negotiated offers. These optioned shares are either
new shares or existing shares that the bidder has a right to acquire if they are
not tendered. The magnitude of optioned shares is an indication of how much
prior control can be delivered to favored bidders by incumbent target
management. Overall in negotiated offers, 18.9% of the outstanding shares are
held under a lock-up option by the bidder executing the offer. Such options
are somewhat larger in negotiated any-or-all offers, where bidders hold options
on an average of 20.6%, compared with 15.3 % in negotiated two-tier offers and
9.3% in negotiated partial offers.
We review all 210 successful tender offers executed during our time period
for visible evidence (public announcements) of competing tender offers or
merger proposals. Here we consider intermediate offers and merger proposals
in addition to initial and executed cash tender offers that comprise our sample.
If partial or two-tier offers involving prorata acceptance of shares enjoy a
fundamental tactical advantage over any-or-all tender offers or merger propo-
sals that do not, the advantage may be evident in multiple-bidder contests.
However, this survey fails to identify any evidence that unnegotiated two-tier
and partial offers dominate offers for any-or-all shares. With the two exceptions
described below, the offer with the highest (blended) value always dominates,
irrespective of whether it is formulated as an any-or-all, two-tier, or partial
offer.
304 R. Conmenr urld GA. Jurrell. Tlto-ner und negomted render offers
5. Conclusion
This study of the terms of 210 cash tender offers executed by non-parent
companies and individuals between 1981 and 1984 has several noteworthy
results. Any-or-all offers are much more frequent than partial and two-tier
offers, accounting for two-thirds of the total, and the relative incidence of
any-or-all offers grew during this period while the incidence of two-tier offers
declined. The incidence of negotiated tender offers is surprisingly high, at
four-fifths of the total, and increasing throughout the four-year period for both
initial offers and executed offers. Interestingly, two-tier offers are more
frequently negotiated than any-or-all offers.
The high frequency of negotiated tender offers has important implications
for models of the tender offer process that assume target shareholders are
atomistic and non-colluding, as well as for regulations and defensive corporate
charter provisions designed to protect individual investors from front-end
loading. The bargaining power of target management that is apparent in these
results reduces any tactical advantage bidders may have as a result of diffuse,
atomistic ownership of the target firms common stock. As an empirical rule,
the agency of target management provides a means of ensuring cooperative
tendering behavior by shareholders. One implication is that the
manager-shareholder agency relationship is the proper focus of policy-maker
and shareholder concern over coercive bidder tactics.
We present detailed comparisons of percentage premiums in any-or-all
offers with two-tier and partial offers. The average premium for the 144
any-or-all offers, at 56.6% above the pre-offer market price, does not differ
significantly from the average yield on the 39 two-tier offers of 55.9%, whereas
the 27 partial offers yield 22.8%. Over two-thirds of any-or-all premiums and
two-tier premiums exceed 40%. Two-tier tender offers are approximately as
beneficial to target-shareholder wealth as any-or-all tender offers and more
beneficial than partial offers, which have no back-end purchases. The average
premiums paid provide no evidence that target shareholders are absolutely or
relatively disadvantaged by the two-tier form of tender offer.
R. Comment und GA. Jurrell, Two-tter and negottated render offers 305
Appendix
Table 7
Same of target. name of bidder, type of offer executed and whether negotiated before expiration.
announcement date of the initial offer and (prorationing) expiration date, for 210 cash tender
offers executed in the period 1981-1984 for NYSE. ASE or OTC firms by non-parent bidders.
Adams Drug Co. Inc.: a negotiated any-or-all by Pantry Pride. Inc., 841002-841107
Aegis Corp.: a negotiated any-or-all by Minstar Inc., 840406-840514
Amalgamated Sugar Co.: a negotiated any-or-all by National City Lines Inc.. 820903-821110
Amerace Corp.: a negotiated any-or-all by Raceco, 840410-840924
American Motor Inns Inc.: a negotiated any-or-all by Prime Motor Inns Inc.. 840801-840907
American Sterilizer Co.; a negotiated any-or-all by Amsco Acq. Co., 840919-841210
American Welding & Mfg. Co.: a negotiated any-or-all by Hoover Universal Inc.. 820727-820826
Anta Corp.: an unnegotiated any-or-all by Manor Care Inc.. 831121-840105
Applied Solar Energy Corp.; a negotiated partial by Stauffer Chem. Co.. 841121-841219
Assoc. Coca-Cola Bottling Co.; a negotiated any-or-all by Coca Cola Co., 820510-820716
Atlantic Oil Corp.: an unnegotiated any-or-all by Stephens Inc.. 830114-8320218
Avco Corp.: a negotiated any-or-all by Textron Inc., 841127-850130
Bathe Group Inc.: a negotiated any-or-all by Prudential Insurance Co. of America, 810319-810416
Baker Brothers Inc.: a negotiated any-or-all by Roth Corp., 820420-820517
Bangor Punta Corp.: a negotiated any-or-all by Lear Siegler Inc.. 831205-840227
Bassett-Walker Inc.: a negotiated any-or-all by VF Corp., 841001-841031
Beck/Arnley Corp.: a negotiated any-or-all by Guest. Keen & Nettlefolds. PLC. 840713-840816
Bekins Co.: a negotiated any-or-all by Minstar Inc., 830412-830624
Belco Petroleum Corp.: a negotiated two-tier by Intemorth Inc.. 830222-830524
Belknap Inc.: a negotiated any-or-all by David A. Jones. 840125-840328
Bendix Corp.: an unnegotiated two-tier by iMartin Marietta Corp.. 820830-821001
Breeze Corporations Inc.: a negotiated two-tier by TransTechnoIogy Corp.. 820526-820730
Brunswick Corp.: a negotiated partial by American Home Products Corp.. 820125-820225
ButTalo Forge Co.: an unnegotiated any-or-all by Ampco-Pittsburgh Corp.. 810105-810320
Bunker Ramo Corp.: a negotiated two-tier by Allied Corp.. 810511-810604
Burgess Industries Inc.: an unnegotiated any-or-all by Valley Inds. Inc.. 820305-820419
Burns Intl. Sec. Svcs. Inc.; a negotiated any-or-all by Borg-Warner Corp., 820427-820525
CFS-Continental Inc.: a negotiated any-or-all by A.E. Staley Mfg. Co., 841001-841119
Camelot Industries Corp.: a negotiated any-or-all by Buckbee-Mears Co.. 820315-820604
Cannon Mills Co.: an unnegotiated any-or-all by Pacific Holding Corp., 820105-820305
Cardif Equities (TFI Cos.): an unnegotiated any-or-all by Leucadia National Corp., 820224-820326
Caressa Group Inc.: a negotiated any-or-ail by AEA Investors Inc., 841015-841116
Carnation Co.: a negotiated any-or-all by Nestle S.A., 840904-850121
Carpenter Paper Co.: a negotiated any-or-all by Alto Standard Corp., 810618-810831
Cedar Point Inc.: a negotiated partial by S. Pearson & Son Ltd.. 810226-810401
Cenco Inc.: a negotiated any-or-all by Manor Care Inc., 810903-811030
Chem-Nuclear Systems Inc.: a negotiated two-tier by Waste Management Inc., 820628-820803
Chesapeake Life Insurance Co.: a negotiated partial by Lifeshares of Nebraska Inc..
810717-810831
Chieftain Dev. Co. Ltd.: an unnegotiated partial by Alberta Energv Co. Ltd.. 820617-820720
Childrens World Inc.: a negotiated any-or-all by Grand Metropoiitan Ltd.. 830531-830708
Cities Service Co.; a negotiated two-tier bv Occidental Petroleum Corn.. 820528-820904
Clark Oil & Refng. Co&: a negotiated any-or-all by Apex Oil Co.. 8iO622-810916
Clausing Corp.: a negotiated any-or-all by Rexnord Inc.. 840514-840620
Coldwell. Banker & Co.: a negotiated two-tier by Sears, Roebuck & Co., 811005-811106
Compugraphic Corp.: a negotiated any-or-all by Bayer AG. 811022-820129
Connecticut Gen. ,Litg. & Rlty.: an unnegotiated any-or-all by Prudential Insurance Co. of
America. 810616-810901
306 R. Commenr 1.4 GA. Jarreil. Ttio-rler und negnrrared lender ofers
This study also investigates the relative differences between front- and
back-end prices for the three types of offers. Empirically, front-end loading is
used in moderation. Nearly three-fourths of the two-tier offers have less than a
20% difference between front- and back-end value, compared with almost all
of the any-or-all offers and more than half of the partial offers. By this
measure. two-tier offers are more coercive than any-or-all offers but less
coercive than partial offers. In the context of the extensive public policy
debate over the coercive potential of two-tier offers, however, we find the
actual differences in value between tiers to be surprisingly small in most
two-tier offers.
A higher proportion of outstanding shares is tendered into any-or-all offers
(75.1%) than into two-tier offers (61.8%) or into partial offers (35.5%). Since
the holders of relatively more target shares resist tendering into two-tier and
partial tender offers than any-or-all tender offers, these results are inconsistent
with claims that shareholders are stampeded into tendering into two-tier and
partial offers because of the greater coerciveness of these forms. In addition,
the greater fraction of shares tendered into negotiated tender offers compared
with unnegotiated tender offers confirms that target managements can and do
influence the tendering decisions of their shareholders. Finally, a substantial
fraction of the shares of target firms (36.4%) is traded in the open market
during tender offers, with 55.9% traded during two-tier offers, so one can not
safely assume that the shares of target firms are still diffusely held as of the
tendering date, if they were before the offer.
Target-firm stockholders probably would not benefit from regulatory
changes that would encourage the use of partial tender offers instead of
two-tier offers. The back-end premium in two-tier offers is on average three
times as large as the market price or implicit back-end value of partial offers.
Also, these results suggest it is problematic whether target shareholders would
benefit from further regulatory inducements to use negotiated rather than
unnegotiated offers, or any-or-all instead of two-tier offers. If potential
premiums are close to the premiums realized by target stockholders in the
various types of offers, such a switch will not change the returns to target
shareholders appreciably, and might leave them worse off, in any case, if the
inducement deters many takeovers. The losses to target shareholders from
such foregone transactions, even if they are few, can outweigh the scant
benefits indicated in this sample.
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