MILLENNIALS
BRUCE R CARR MD
HRT: WHAT WE KNEW
ESTROGEN 80 YEARS
EXPERIENCE !!!
History of estrogen treatment
1929 estrogen isolated
1930 oral Emmenin from preg women-
estriol used for menopasual symptoms
hot flushes
night sweats
more severe after BSO in premenopause
more severe in thin women
80% of women, 5-8 years duration
ERT/HRT effective in 90-95%
Urogenital Atrophy
burning
dyspareunia
pruritus
thin, easily traumatized epithelium-
viagra problem
OSTEOPOROSIS
HRT/ERT - Prevention
Effect of ERT/HRT on
6
Spinal BMD
% Change from Baseline*
4
Placebo
2 CEE Only
CEE/MPA (cyclic)
0 CEE/MPA (continuous)
CEE/MP (cyclic)
-2
-4
-6
Baseline 12 Months 36 Months
Visit
*Adherent participants only. Significant vs. placebo; no significant differences were
found among active treatment groups. MP = micronized progesterone
The Writing Group for the PEPI Trial. JAMA. 1996;276:1394.
Effect of ERT/HRT on
6
Hip BMD
% Change from Baseline*
4
Placebo
2 CEE Only
CEE/MPA (cyclic)
0 CEE/MPA (continuous)
CEE/MP (cyclic)
-2
-4
-6
Baseline 12 months 36 months
Visit
*Adherent participants only. Significant vs. placebo; no significant differences were
found among active treatment groups. MP = micronized progesterone
The Writing Group for the PEPI Trial. JAMA. 1996;276:1394.
Preventive Effect of ERT/HRT
on Hip Fracture
Weiss, 1980* Relative Risk
for Never Users
Johnson, 1981
Paganini-Hill, 1981
Kreiger, 1982
Kiel, 1987 Ever Users
Current
Naessn, 1990 Users
Cauley, 1995
Michalsson, 1998
*Includes forearm as well as hip fracture patients; patterns of estrogen use were identical for both
HRT AND CARDIOVASCULAR
DISEASE
Observational Studies of CVD Risk
and ERT/HRT
Stampfer et al, 1985
Wilson et al, 1985
Bush et al, 1987
Petitti et al, 1987
Boysen et al, 1988
Criqui et al, 1988
Henderson et al, 1988
Wolfe et al, 1991
Falkeborn et al, 1992
Psaty et al, 1994
Folsom et al, 1995
Sellers et al, 1997
40
30
20
CEE/MPA
10 HERS HERS II
Placebo
0
1 2 3 4 5 >5
Year
Estrogen
0.09
0.06
P = 0.02 P = 0.01
0.03
0.00
Control CEE CEE + MPA
(n = 31) (n = 27) (n = 29)
CEE = conjugated equine estrogens; MPA = medroxyprogesterone acetate.
Clarkson TB, et al. J Clin Endocrinol Metab. 2001;86:5396-404.
Observational Studies of CVD Risk and
ERT/HRT: Primary Prevention
Rosenberg (1993)
Mann (1994)
Psaty (1994)
Sidney (1997)
Grodstein (1999)
Swedish cohort
Grodstein (2000)
Nurses Health Study ERT
HRT
Varas-Lorenzo (2000)
0 1 2 3 4
Relative Risk (95% CI)
Adapted from LeBlanc ES, et al. JAMA. 2001;285:1489-99.
Annual Risk of AD for
HT Users and Nonusers
0.12
Discrete Annual Hazard
Women
0.10 HT Nonusers
HT Use <3 Years
0.08 HT Use 3-10 Years
HT Use >10 Years
0.06 Men
0.04
0.02
0.00
65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100
Age (years)
Zandi PP, et al. JAMA. 2002;288:2123-9.
HT Use May Be Associated With
Decreased Risk of Colorectal
Cancer
Jacobs et al, 1994*
Newcomb and Storer, 1995*
Folsom et al, 1995*
Troisi et al, 1997
Kampman et al, 1997
Grodstein et al, 1998
Paganini-Hill, 1999
Hully et al, 2002
Writing Group for WHI, 2002
1. Endometrial Cancer
2. Breast Cancer
3. Venous thromboembolism
4. Cholelithiasis
5. Stroke +/_
STUDIES REPORTING ESTIMATED RISK OF
BREAST CANCER ASSOCIATED WITH
ERT/HRT
Mack et al, 1975
Hoover et al, 1976
Casagrande et al, 1976
Wynder et al, 1978 This Chart Summarizes the Results of Many
Jick et al, 1980
Ross et al, 1980 Epidemiologic Studies Evaluating the Potential
Hoover et al, 1981
Kelsey et al, 1981 Risk of Breast Cancer with Estrogen or Hormone
Thomas et al, 1982
Hulka et al, 1982 Replacement Therapy. The Squares ( ) Indicate
Gambrell et al, 1983
Sherman et al, 1983
the Relative Risk and the Lines Surrounding Each
Kaufman et al, 1984
Horwitz and Stewart et al, 1984
Square ( ) Represent the 95% Confidence
Hiatt et al, 1984
Normura et al, 1986
Intervals Reported in Each Study.
McDonald et al, 1986
Brinton et al, 1986
Buring et al, 1987 The Statistically Significant Relative Risk is One
Wingo et al, 1987
Hunt et al, 1987 Where the Corresponding Confidence Interval
Rohan and McMichael et al, 1988
Dupont et al, 1989 Does Not Overlap 1.0.
Mills et al, 1989
Bergkvist et al, 1989
Kaufman et al, 1991
Palmer et al, 1991
Risch and Howe et al, 1994
Schairer et al, 1994
Colditz et al, 1995
La Vecchia et al, 1995
Schuurman et al, 1995
Stanford et al, 1995
Newcomb et al, 1995
Schairer et al, 2000
E Only
E/P Only
Ross et al, 2000 JNCI
E Only
E/P Continuous
E/P Cyclic
HRT Placebo
Characteristic n = 8506 n = 8102
Age group at screening, y
50-59 2839 (33.4) 2683 (33.1)
60-69 3853 (45.3) 3657 (45.1)
70-79 1814 (21.3) 1762 (21.7)
Data are number (%) of patients; HRT and placebo groups were similar.
Writing Group for the Womens Health Initiative Investigators. JAMA. 2002;288:321-333.
WHI E+P Substudy
Absolute Annualized Risk per 1,000 Women,
10 Adjudicated Data1-7
Change in Annual Events per 1,000 Women
8
Women treated with E+P
6
Placebo (baseline risk)
4 *
* * 1.8
2 0.6 0.8 0.7 Colorectal Endometrial Hip Vertebral
cancer cancer fracture fractures
0
CHD Invasive Stroke VTE
-2 breast -0.6 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6
cancer * * *
-4
-6
-8
-2 -0.3 -0.6
-8 Onset of Menopause
-10
*Nominal confidence intervals significant.
40 1 0.62
2 0.83
Number of
30
3 1.16
4 1.73 *
20
5 2.64
HRT
10 Placebo 6+ 1.12
0
1 2 3 4 5 6+
*z = 2.56 for trend over time. Year
Writing Group for the Womens Health Initiative Investigators. JAMA. 2002;288:321-333.
2004 WHI Findings: Estrogen
Therapy (ET)
Discontinued in March 2004 due to findings that ET
does not increase or decrease risk of heart
disease, a key end point of the trial
Participants:
Surgically menopaused women
Average age, 70 y
Taking estrogen alone for ~7 y
Most recent data shows
Increase of 8/10,000 women/years in risk of stroke
No increase in risk of breast cancer
Decrease in risk of hip fracture
Writing Group for the Womens Health Initiative Steering Committee. JAMA. 2004;291:1701-
1712.
WHI CEE Alone: Preliminary Results
Primary Outcomes
CHD
Breast Cancer
Additional Outcomes
Stroke
VTE
Pulmonary Embolism
Colorectal Cancer
Hip Fracture
95% nCI
Total Fracture
95% aCI
Death
0.5 1.0 2.0 5.0
Hazard Ratio
VTE = venous thromboembolism (includes deep vein thrombosis and PE).
Women's Health Initiative Steering Committee. JAMA. 2004;291:1701-12.
Difference in Attributable Risk in Estrogen +
Progesterone (EPT) or Estrogen Alone Trial (ET)
vs Placebo per 10,000 Women Based on WHI
25 23
Change in Attributable Risk/10,000
EPT
20 18 ET
15 12 12
Women per Year
10 8 7 7 8
6
5 3
1
0
-5
-5 -6 -5 -6
-10 -7
-47
-56
CHD Breast Dementia* Stroke VTE PE Colorectal Hip Total
Cancer Cancer Fractures Fractures
0.8 1
1
0 0.2 0.3
0
-0.3 -0.2
-1 -0.5 -0.4
-1 -0.8 -1 -0.7
-3 2
Age 50-59 Age 60-69 Age 70-79
-5
*Final, centrally adjudicated data as reported in Hsia, J, et al. Conjugated equine estrogens and coronary heart disease. Arch Intern M
2006; 166:357-365.
Significance by hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval.
1. Hsia J, et al. Arch Intern Med. 2006;166:357-365. 2. Womens Health Initiative Steering Committee. JAMA.
2004;291:1701-1712.
WHI Results: Effect of CEE Alone
on Risk of Invasive Breast Cancer
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
0.05
HR = 0.77
0.04 95% nCI = 0.591.01
Cumulative Hazard
0.02
0.01 CEE
0.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Time, y
4
Lobular
2
0.2
0
-8
JAMA
305:1305
2011
Cumulative Incidence of Coronary Heart Disease, Stroke,
Pulmonary Embolism, and Invasive Breast Cancer
Risk Factors for Breast
Cancer
Alcohol: 2 drinks/day 1.2
Estrogen-Progestogen Rx 1.24
0 2 4 6 8 10
Relative Risk of Breast Cancer
Singletary SE (2003). Annals of Surgery, 237:474-482.
Potential Visual Aids to Explain Risk
In the WHI trial, 3.3 cases of invasive breast cancer were reported
per 1,000 women taking placebo over 1 year.*
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*Based on annualized percentages for the total number of events in each treatment group over 5.6 years.
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For women taking E+P, 4.1 cases of invasive breast cancer per
1,000 women were reported that is approximately 0.8 additional
Cases per 1,000 women over 1 year.*
*Based on annualized percentages for the total number of events in each treatment group over 5.6 years.
Agree Disagree
VTE CHD
Hip fracture
Colon cancer
Writing Group for the Womens Health Initiative Investigators. JAMA. 2002;288:321-333; Zander et al. JAMA. 2003; 288:2129-
2132; Greendale GA, et al. Obstet Gynecol. 1998;92:982-988; Notelovitz M, et al. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2000;182:7-12;
Raz R, et al. N Engl J Med. 1993;329:753-756; Writing Group for the PEPI Trial. JAMA. 1996;276:1389-1396.
Reproductive Stage, Coronary Artery
Atherosclerosis Progression and
ET/HT Effects
Premenopause Perimenopause Postmenopause
~5% ~15%
15-25 yrs 25-35 yrs 35-45 yrs 45-55 yrs 55-65 yrs 65 yrs
~ 5% ~ 15 %
15-2 5 yrs 25-3 5 yrs 35-4 5 yrs 45-5 5 yrs 55-65 yrs 65 yrs
Benefits of Estrogens Prim ary Bene fits of ET/HT Dele terious Effects of ET/HT ??
Fro m Mik kola, Clark son a nd Not elovi tz, Ann Med , 200 4
Emerging Hypothesis
Tom Clarkson, PhD
VASOMOTOR SYMPTOMS
VAGINAL ATROPHY
TIME AS INDICATED
Hormone Options
Oral (estrace, estradiol, CEE)
Transdermal gel (EstroGel, Divigel)
Lotion (Estrasorb)
Mist (Evamist)
Vaginal Cream (estrace, CEE)
Vaginal Ring (Estring)
Patches ( Vivelle Dot, Alora, Climara, Menostar,
Estraderm)
Vaginal tablet ( Vagifem)
HRT uterus
? REDUCE ELIMINATE P?
DOSE LOWER
TIME ? AS INDICATED
CREAM,TABLET, RING
BONE PROTECTION
Bisphospinates
Serms
Bio-identical Hormones
Structurally identical to a substance that naturally
occurs in the body.
Most bio-identical estrogens and progesterone
come from soy or yams and are extracted in a
laboratory.
Two types: FDA-approved: (estrace/prometrium)
non-FDA approved (compounded in
dermabase or eucerin)
Complementary and alternative
medicine - not effective
Red Clover
Evening Primrose oil
Dong Quai
Ginseng
Vitamin E
Wild Yam
Black Cohosh
Estroven
Note: There is a large placebo effect
Peng, Menopause: 2013
BENEFITS OF ESTROGEN
1. VASOMOTOR ONLY TREATMENT
THAT WORKS
2. SAVE THE VAGINA !!!!!
3. ONLY ESTROGEN REDUCES
FRACTURES IN NON-FRACTURED
WOMEN
4. I BELIEVE ESTROGEN REDUCES A.D.,
COLON CANCER AND CHD IF
STARTED IN EARLY MENOPAUSE