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Review

The revised global yellow fever risk map and recommendations


for vaccination, 2010: consensus of the Informal WHO Working
Group on Geographic Risk for Yellow Fever
Emily S Jentes, Gilles Poumerol, Mark D Gershman, David R Hill, Johan Lemarchand, Rosamund F Lewis, J Erin Staples, Oyewale Tomori,
Annelies Wilder-Smith, Thomas P Monath, for the Informal WHO Working Group on Geographic Risk for Yellow Fever*

Lancet Infect Dis 2011; The changing epidemiology of yellow fever and continued reports of rare but serious adverse events associated with
11: 62232 yellow fever vaccine have drawn attention to the need to revisit criteria for the designation of areas with risk for yellow
*Members listed at end of paper fever virus activity, and to revise the vaccine recommendations for international travel. WHO convened a working
Epidemic Intelligence Service group of international experts to review factors important for the transmission of yellow fever virus and country-
(E S Jentes PhD) and Division of specic yellow fever information, to establish criteria for additions to or removal from the list of countries with risk
Global Migration and
Quarantine
for yellow fever virus transmission, to update yellow fever risk maps, and to revise the recommendations for
(E S Jentes, M D Gershman MD), vaccination for international travel. This report details the recommendations made by the working group about
Centers for Disease Control and criteria for the designation of risk and specic changes to the classication of areas with risk for transmission of
Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA;
yellow fever virus.
International Health
Regulations (G Poumerol MD),
Public Health Information and Introduction a travellers ocial documentation; it becomes valid
GIS (J Lemarchand MS), and Yellow fever is an acute infectious disease caused by the 10 days after vaccination and remains so for 10 years.6
Yellow Fever Initiative, Global
yellow fever virus, a avivirus transmitted in tropical or Yellow fever vaccine is given for two reasons: to protect
Alert and Response
Department (R F Lewis MDCM), subtropical areas, mainly through the bite of infected travellers visiting areas with risk of yellow fever virus
WHO, Geneva, Switzerland; Aedes spp mosquitoes in Africa or Haemagogus spp transmission and to prevent international spread by
National Travel Health mosquitoes in South America. On both continents, both minimising the risk of importation and translocation of
Network and Centre, UCLH
jungle (sylvatic) and urban transmission cycles exist. In the virus by viraemic travellers.
NHS Foundation Trust, and
London School of Hygiene and the jungle cycle, the virus is transmitted between non- Every year, about 9 million people from Asia, Europe,
Tropical Medicine, London, UK human primates and various mosquito species in the and North America travel to countries where yellow fever
(D R Hill MD); Division of forest canopy. In the urban cycle, the virus is transmitted is endemic;7 the number of travellers who actually visit
Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers
between human beings and mosquitoes (predominately areas within these countries where transmission of the
for Disease Control and
Prevention, Fort Collins, CO, Aedes aegypti) in urban areas. In Africa, transmission of virus occurs might exceed 3 million.8 Unvaccinated
USA (J E Staples MD); the virus can also occur in an intermediate cycle between travellers who visit areas in Africa during periods of
Department of Biological human beings or non-human primates and Aedes spp epidemic activity have an estimated risk of illness of one
Sciences, Redeemers
University, Ikeja, Lagos State,
mosquitoes that breed in tree holes in savannah areas. in 267 and risk of death of one in 1333, although the risks
Nigeria (O Tomori DVM); During the past decade, ocial reports of yellow fever are likely to be lower during interepidemic periods.8 Risk
Travellers Screening and incidence (50120 cases a year from South America and of illness and death for individuals travelling to South
Vaccination Clinic, National 2001200 cases a year from Africa1) probably under- America might be about ten times lower than it is for
University Hospital, Singapore,
and Institute of Public Health,
estimate the true number of cases. Many cases of jaundice those travelling to Africa, because the rate of transmission
Heidelberg University, and fever (a surveillance denition of yellow fever) are in the jungle cycle is lower there.8 However, the risk of
Heidelberg, Germany not assessed, unexplained deaths go unreported, yellow fever for travellers visiting any area depends on
(A Wilder-Smith MD); and symptoms suggest alternative diagnoses, and, in some the time of year, the travellers itinerary and activities,
Pandemic and Biodefense
Fund, Kleiner Perkins Caueld
countries, surveillance systems for yellow fever are not in vector population densities, and the presence of
and Byers, CA, USA place. The case-fatality rate ranges from 20% to 50% and circulating yellow fever virus. In endemic areas with high
(T P Monath MD) is partly dependent on case recognition and testing vaccination coverage, the occurrence of yellow fever
Correspondence to: practices.2,3 Because no antiviral treatment exists for the outbreaks has decreased substantially.8 Yellow fever
Dr Emily S Jentes, Division of disease, prevention through use of personal protection surveillance in human beings in these areas does not
Global Migration and
Quarantine, Centers for Disease
measures and vaccination is crucial to lower disease risk accurately show the underlying risk for exposure,
Control and Prevention, and mortality. especially for non-immune travellers, because the jungle
1600 Clifton Road, MS E-03, Yellow fever 17D (YF 17D) is a live, attenuated vaccine cycle of the virus in non-human primates is not aected
Atlanta, GA 30333, USA that has been in use for more than 70 years, with by widespread human vaccination. This hidden risk for
ejentes@cdc.gov
hundreds of millions of doses given during this period.3 virus exposure presents a challenge for health-care
Although immunity from vaccination probably lasts for a providers about whether to vaccinate patients preparing
lifetime,4,5 a 10 year interval between vaccinations is for travel.
stipulated in the International Health Regulations Countries where the vectors and non-human primate
(2005)3,6 for individuals travelling to countries with a hosts exist are vulnerable to the introduction of yellow
yellow fever vaccination entry requirement. The fever virus, even if the disease is not endemic. Importation
International Certicate of Vaccination or Prophylaxis is of the virus by an infected traveller could initiate an

622 www.thelancet.com/infection Vol 11 August 2011


Review

Classication criteria Risk for Vaccination


infection
Endemic Areas with persistence of enzootic yellow fever virus transmission for long periods of time, where yellow fever High Vaccination recommended for all travellers aged
vectors and non-human primate hosts are present, and where yellow fever infections are repeatedly reported 9 months or older
in human beings, non-human primates, or both, where yellow fever cases in human beings were reported
regularly before high yellow fever immunisation coverage was achieved, or where serosurveys (prevaccination
era) show evidence of high levels of yellow fever virus infection
Transitional Areas bordering zones that are endemic for yellow fever with periodic evidence of virus transmission during Moderate Vaccination recommended for all travellers aged
epizootic or epidemic expansions, where yellow fever vectors and non-human primate hosts are present, and to high 9 months or older
where yellow fever infections are reported in human beings, non-human primate hosts, or both (sporadic or
epidemic) at long intervals and during yellow fever epizootic cases or epidemic expansions from bordering
endemic areas, or where serosurveys (pre-vaccination era) show evidence of yellow fever virus infection in
individuals born before the previous yellow fever virus expansion
Low Areas bordering zones where yellow fever is endemic or transitional, where yellow fever vectors and Low Vaccination generally not recommended for travellers
potential non-human primate hosts are present, where no yellow fever infections have been reported in either human to areas with low potential for exposure; however,
for exposure beings or non-human primates, and where serological or other evidence of low levels of yellow fever viral vaccination might be considered for a small subset of
transmission in the past might exist travellers whose itineraries would place them at an
increased risk for exposure to yellow fever virus (eg,
prolonged travel, heavy exposure to mosquitoes,
inability to avoid mosquito bites)
No risk Areas where no past or present evidence of virus circulation exists or environmental conditions are not None Vaccination not recommended
conducive to yellow fever virus transmission

Criteria were dened at the 2008 and 2010 WHO consultations on yellow feversome criteria include elements for which there is no scientic basis for denition (eg, high levels, long intervals) and which will
need interpretation by experts with experience in this disease area. Decisions regarding the use of yellow fever vaccine for travellers must consider several factors, such as a patients risk of infection, country entry
requirements, and the potential for serious adverse events after vaccinationin the absence of such information, a conservative approach to vaccination is justied.

Table 1: Classications of geographical areas, according to risk of transmission of yellow fever virus

enzootic transmission cycle, leading to a long-term some cases might choose to issue a letter of medical
infection risk for the local population. This risk is probably exemption from yellow fever vaccination. Contraindications
highest in densely populated regions infested with and precautions to yellow fever vaccination are given in
A aegypti, such as Asia, the Caribbean, Central America, the WHO website20 and position paper,3 and are presented
and coastal South America. The International Health in the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices
Regulations state that proof of vaccination might be recommendations for yellow fever vaccine.18
required from travellers entering such vulnerable countries
from areas with a risk of yellow fever transmission.6 The global yellow fever risk map
Historically, YF 17D vaccine has been regarded as one of Since the mid-20th century, the global yellow fever risk
the safest vaccines.9 However, yellow fever vaccine- map has depicted the best estimate of the distribution of
associated neurological disease (YEL-AND) has been the virus and has been used to guide vaccination
recognised for many years, and, since 2001, yellow fever recommendations for travellers. The rst risk map was
vaccine-associated viscerotropic disease (YEL-AVD) has created at the end of World War 2 by the Expert
been reported.1016 Clinically, YEL-AVD resembles naturally Commission on Quarantinewhich had been appointed
acquired yellow fever, and, in its most severe form, by the UN Relief and Rehabilitation Administration
presents with jaundice, multiorgan failure, and distributive and relied on the results of serosurveys and expert
shock. YEL-AVD is estimated to occur in 04 per opinion.21,22 In 1948, responsibility for maintenance of
100 000 doses.17 For people aged 60 years or older, the the global yellow fever risk map was assumed by the
reported incidence is roughly four times higher.17 YEL-AND Yellow Fever Panel, which had been appointed by the
can develop as meningoencephalitis (direct invasion of newly formed WHO. However, the many subsequent
the CNS by the yellow fever vaccine virus) or as changes made to the map were often done without
autoimmune manifestations in which antibodies or T cells documentation of the rationale or methods used.
produced in response to the vaccine cross-react with Historically, the US Centers for Disease Control and
neuronal epitopes and lead to central or peripheral nerve Prevention (CDC) used the WHO risk map in its
damage.18,19 YEL-AND is estimated to occur in 08 per publications. However, in 2005, CDC created a map that
100 000 doses.17 In people aged 60 years or older, YEL-AND diered from the WHO map.23,24 The publication of
occurs at 18 per 100 000 doses.17 Because of these serious dierent versions of the global yellow fever risk map by
adverse events, clinicians are advised to vaccinate only public health institutions was problematic for public
those individuals truly at risk for exposure to yellow fever health professionals and travel medicine clinicians.
virus or who must be vaccinated to meet country entry The scarcity of well documented and consistent methods
requirements. Clinicians should carefully consider the in yellow fever risk assessment and the changing global
risks and benets of vaccination for every patient, and in epidemiology of the disease emphasised the need to revise

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Review

Switzerland (the 2008 consultation), after recognition by


travel medicine experts at WHO and CDC of the need to
harmonise both the classications of geographical risk
for yellow fever and vaccine recommendations. The goals
of the 2008 consultation were to discuss factors important
for transmission of the virus, to establish criteria for the
addition or removal of countries and geographical regions
in annex 1 of the ITH publication, and to revise the yellow
Pando fever risk map and recommendations for vaccination.
The 2008 consultation outlined four levels of yellow
Bolivia fever risk and classied geographical areas into four
corresponding categories: endemic, transitional, low risk
(changed to low potential for exposure in the second
El Beni WHO consultation in 2010), and no risk (table 1). The
factors identied in table 1 were adopted as the criteria
La Paz for the addition or removal of countries and geographical
regions in annex 1 of the ITH publication.
After the 2008 consultation, a working group (the
Informal Working Group on Geographic Risk for Yellow
Fever) was formed to systematically assess the risk for
Cochabamba
yellow fever virus transmission in South America and
Santa Cruz Africa and to ensure that risk maps and vaccination
recommendations were harmonised on the basis of
Oruro
consistent criteria.
The working group met by teleconference regularly
(roughly every month) from September, 2008, to May,
2010. The yellow fever risk prole (all available studies
and reports) for every country that had risk for yellow
Potos Chuquisaca
fever virus transmission was systematically reviewed
Tarija with the criteria outlined in table 1. In the absence of
Elevation and yellow fever
virus transmission risk specic yellow fever virus data, the working group
<2300 (m): endemic members provided expert opinion and used available
2300 (m): no risk data sources on vegetation and elevation of a country or
region to reach a consensus. Whenever possible, the
Figure 1: Use of elevation to dene yellow fever risk areas in South America
second administrative level boundaries within countries
Bolivia is used as an example here, but the same method (specic areas <2300 m in elevation dened as being
endemic for yellow fever) was used for countries situated along the Andes Mountains. Areas 2300 m or above in were used to describe risk areas. However, subnational
elevation were identied with GTOPO30, a global digital elevation model (United States Geological Survey, Reston, data did not exist for some countries (eg, Rwanda,
VA, USA).30 Uganda, and Angola). In these cases, decisions were
made on a country-wide basis.
and standardise the geographical risk assessment for
yellow fever. For instance, in late 2007 and early 2008, the The 2010 consultation on yellow fever and
disease re-emerged in Paraguay and Argentina after more international travel
than 30 years.25,26 Furthermore, increased numbers of In South America, the expert consensus was that areas at
cases were reported from many countries in central Africa an elevation of 2300 m or higher are not suitable for
that had previously reported cases only rarely.27,28 In yellow fever vectors. Furthermore, no cases of yellow
addition to vaccine safety concerns and the changing fever were documented to occur above this elevation.
epidemiology of yellow fever, the International Health These areas were identied with a global digital elevation
Regulations require WHO to regularly publish a list of model (gure 1).
countries and areas with risk for disease transmission.6 In Africa, the barren or sparsely vegetated lands of the
WHO updates this list every year in annex 1 of the Sahara desert are not suitable for the development of
International Travel and Health (ITH) publication (widely immature mosquitoes and were, therefore, not thought
referred to as the Green Book).29 to harbour a risk for virus transmission. By use of the
normalised dierence vegetation index, a conservative
The 2008 consultation on yellow fever and vegetation line was used to separate barren or sparsely
international travel vegetated zones (eg, Sahara desert) from others, including
WHO convened a consultation on yellow fever and shrubland zones, which might be conducive to the
international travel on Sept 45, 2008, in Geneva, development of immature mosquitoes (gure 2).

624 www.thelancet.com/infection Vol 11 August 2011


Review

Although this line could be readily established west to


east from Mauritania to Eritrea along the southern edge
of the Sahara desert, the separation of vegetation zones
was more complicated in eastern and southern Africa,
where the mixture of zones is more complex. In such
areas, vegetation data were used in conjunction with
expert opinion and historical information about virus Niger
circulation. Insucient data were available to allow an
estimation of an elevation limit for yellow fever risk Vegetation line
Shrublands
in Africa. Savannah
Agadez
Initial working group decisions based on yellow fever Grasslands
case data, serological evidence, vegetation zones, and Croplands
Cropland or natural vegetation
elevation boundaries were used to produce an interim Barren or sparsely vegetated
harmonised global map published in WHOs 2009 ITH Rivers and lakes
publication and CDCs Health Information for Dia

International Travel 2010 (widely referred to as the Yellow Tahoua


Book).31,32 The working groups review of all countries in
South America and Africa continued after the Tillabry Zinder
Maradi
aforementioned publications were issued.
Niamey Dosso
WHO convened the second consultation on yellow
fever and international travel in March, 2010 (the 2010
consultation), to review country-specic risk designations
and vaccine recommendations, criteria for the addition Figure 2: Use of vegetation to dene yellow fever risk areas on the southern border of the Sahara desert
Niger is used as an example here, but the same method was used to delineate the barren or sparsely vegetated
or removal of countries and geographical regions in
zones from other vegetation zones on the southern border of th Sahara desert.
annex 1 of the ITH publication, and the implications of
these criteria for the ITH. Future steps for yellow fever
risk mapping were also proposed. international airport be considered to pose no risk for
This consultation resulted in three major outcomes. yellow fever virus transmission, irrespective of the yellow
First, the consultation adopted a new termlow potential fever risk classication of the country in which the airport
for exposure (table 1). Potential exposure to yellow fever is located. Although data for vectors infected with yellow
virus in these areas is expected in only rare fever virus in airports are scarce, the working group
circumstanceseg, prolonged travel, heavy exposure to judged the risk to passengers transiting airports for 12 h
mosquitoes, and inability to avoid mosquito bites. or less to be negligible.
Vaccine recommendations for travel to these areas should
be based on an assessment of travellers potential for Country-specic outcomes of the working group
increased exposure to the virus on the basis of their The following countries in Africa and South America
specic travel plans. had no change to their holoendemic classication and
Second, the 2010 consultation suggested changing are not discussed in more detail in this paper: Angola,
the harmonised map published in WHOs ITH Benin, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Central
publication and CDCs Health Information for African Republic, Congo (Brazzaville), Cte dIvoire,
International Travel from a risk map to a vaccination Equatorial Guinea, French Guiana, Gabon, Ghana,
map. The yellow fever risk maps for South America Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana, Liberia, Nigeria, For the yellow fever risk maps
(including Panama and Trinidad and Tobago; gure 3) Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Suriname, The Gambia, see http://www.who.int/YFrisk.
pdf
and Africa (gure 4) will be published online and will Togo, and Uganda. These countries either repeatedly
For the WHOs vaccination map
be used by the working group to periodically reassess reported yellow fever infection in human beings or non-
for Africa see http://
the four classications of risk. However, vaccination human primates, had insucient subnational data or gamapserver.who.int/
maps (published in WHOs ITH [one for Africa and inadequate surveillance systems to establish whether the mapLibrary/Files/Maps/ITH_YF_
one for the Americas] and CDCs Health Information virus was circulating at low levels in specic areas, or vaccination_africa.png

for International Travel) will provide more clarity and were ecologically similar to adjacent countries with risk For the WHOs vaccination map
for the Americas see http://
ease of use for clinicians by designating where for yellow fever virus transmission. Cape Verde and
gamapserver.who.int/
vaccination is always recommended (endemic and Djibouti were also reviewed, and no change was mapLibrary/Files/Maps/ITH_YF_
transitional areas), generally not recommended except recommended to their classication of no risk. vaccination_americas.png
in specic circumstances (areas with low potential for The working group proposed changes to the risk For CDCs vaccination map see
exposure), and never recommended (areas with no classications of the countries outlined in table 2. http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/
yellowbook/2012/chapter-3-
risk; table 1). Selected countries with the most substantial changes to
infectious-diseases-related-to-
Third, the 2010 consultation endorsed the working their risk classication are described below to show the travel/yellow-fever.htm#2853
groups proposal that a transit time of 12 h or less in an process and complexity of assigning risk. A full

www.thelancet.com/infection Vol 11 August 2011 625


Review

similar epizootic expansion occurred in border areas of


Trinidad and Tobago
Brazil (Paran) and Paraguay. Yellow fever was widely
Panama Guyana detected in non-human primates in the districts of
Suriname Misiones and Corrientes, and at least ve human cases
Venezuela were conrmed in Misiones in areas aected in 1966. In
French Guiana view of these periodic expansions of epizootic activity
Colombia
and subsequent human cases, all departments of
Equador
Misiones and selected departments of Corrientes were
classied as transitional; selected departments of Chaco,
Jujuy, Formosa, and Salta were classied as having low
potential for exposure. All other areas of the country were
classied as posing no risk.
In Brazil, the Amazon region is holoendemic for yellow
Peru Brazil fever, as are areas bordering this region (eg, Maranho,
Tocantins, western Bahia State, and the Distrito Federal
Bolivia [Brasilia])all these areas are regarded as endemic.
Regions in the south, including the grassland areas of the
Pantanal of Mato Grosso do Sul, western So Paulo,
Paran, Santa Catarina, and Rio Grande do Sul, have
Paraguay
intermittent yellow fever virus activity when there is
southward epizootic expansion of the virus. These areas
Chile were classied as transitional. In the endemic areas in
Brazil, routine immunisation has been practised for
many years and most infections are in unvaccinated
Argentina
Uruguay migrants. Several yellow fever cases have been reported
in unvaccinated tourists entering the endemic region
from the Europe or USA.3436
Rivers and lakes Areas of Colombia east of the Andes and lower than
Yellow fever virus transmission risk 2300 m were classied as endemic for yellow fever, except
Endemic
Transitional
for the arid Guajira Peninsula (Uribia), which is probably
Low potential for exposure unsuitable for Haemagogus spp mosquitoes. The
No risk municipalities bordering Panama (Acandi, Unquia,
Jurado, and Riosucio) in Choc Department were
reclassied as transitional because during the late 1940s
outbreaks occurred in the Antioquia Department in
Colombia, and in eastern Panama, suggesting that
Figure 3: Areas with risk of yellow fever virus transmission in South America, 2010 conditions in these municipalities could support the
transmission of yellow fever virus.37 The Pacic coastal
description of the rationale for changes to risk region has had no reports of human cases, and no
classications for all countries is beyond the scope of this serological data exist from which to establish past
See Online for webappendix report, but is included in the webappendix (pp 12). presence of the virus. However, surveillance has been
restricted or absent in this highly forested area, which is
South America ecologically suitable for yellow fever virus transmission.
After reporting of yellow fever was instituted in 1927, the Because this region is positioned between the transitional
rst ocial notication of human cases in Argentina and endemic areas in the north of Colombia and the area
occurred in 1966. However, during the extensive 1948 with low potential for exposure in the south in Ecuador
epizootic in Brazil, the virus was detected in the Misiones (gure 3), the entire departments of Narino, Cauca, and
Province in Argentina, and one person with yellow fever Valle de Cauca, and all municipalities of the Choc
was identied in Campos de Taranco.33 In 196566, Department, except for those bordering Panama, were
another epizootic was detected in southern Brazil and classied as having low potential for exposure. The cities
northern Argentina, with 54 cases of yellow fever in of Barranquilla, Cartagena, Cali, and Medelln were
human beings reported from Misiones and Corrientes classied as areas of low potential for exposure because
provinces during 196567; suspected cases and the they are large urban areas with good surveillance and
presence of yellow fever vectors and non-human primate restricted potential for Haemogogus spp activity.
hosts were recorded in surrounding provinces.33 In 2001, In Ecuador, areas east of the Andes below 2300 m were
an epizootic occurred in border areas of Brazil, but no included in the endemic areas, on the basis of ecology
human cases were reported in Argentina. In 200708, a (Amazonian forest) and the repeated notication of

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Algeria Libya Egypt


Western Sahara
Saudi Arabia

Mali
Mauritania
Niger Chad Eritrea
Cape Verde

Yemen
Senegal
The Gambia
Burkina Faso Sudan Djibouti
Guinea-Bissau Guinea
Nigeria Somalia
Cte Central Ethiopia
Ghana South Sudan
DIvoire African Republic
Sierra Leone
Benin Cameroon
Liberia Togo
Democratic Republic
So Tom and
of the Congo
Prncipe* Uganda Kenya
Gabon Rwanda

Equatorial Guinea Burundi


Rivers and lakes
Yellow fever virus transmission risk Congo Tanzania
Endemic
Low potential for exposure Seychelles
Malawi
No risk
Comoros
Angola
Zambia Mayotte

Zimbabwe

Namibia Botswana Madagascar


Mozambique
Swaziland
South Africa
Figure 4: Areas with risk of yellow fever virus transmission in Africa, 2010
*So Tom and Prncipe was classied as low potential for exposure.

human cases of yellow fever. Much like in Colombia, the of the country since 1974has led to high levels of
coastal areas were classied as areas with low potential immunity in the population, eliminating the disease in
for exposure. The cities of Guayaquil and Quito and the people who live in the area. However, the virus
Galpagos Islands were though to have no risk, either presumably still circulates in forests and is capable of
because of elevation or distance from an endemic or causing disease in unvaccinated people such as travellers.
transitional zone. Therefore, despite the absence of reported human cases
Previously, the region of Panama to the east of the since 1974, travellers to eastern Panama could risk yellow
Canal Zone was classied as an endemic area. Cases of fever virus infection, especially during extensive outdoor
yellow fever in human beings (sporadic individual cases activity. Consequently, areas east of the canal were
or clusters of cases) have been reported at long intervals classied as transitional.
during expansions of virus transmission from bordering Southeastern Paraguay, northern Argentina, and
endemic areas. Yellow fever outbreaks were recorded in southern states of Brazil have a history of intermittent
Panama in 1948, 195657, and 1974.38,39 Epizootics in 1948 epizootic yellow fever, which often result in infections in
aected the entire country, whereas the outbreak in human beings. From 1927 to 2007, the only year in which
195657 was conned to eastern Panama. Similarly, a human cases of yellow fever were reported in Paraguay
third epizootic wave with four associated human cases in was 1974, when nine cases of were reported from Amambay
Darin Province in 1974 did not reach the Panama Canal. Department, which borders Brazil.40 In 2008, 24 individuals
Whether the virus is permanently present in Panama or from the departments of San Pedro and Caaguaz, and the
is periodically introduced during infrequent epizootic urban area of Laurelty, near Asuncin, were reported as
waves from South America is unclear. However, yellow having yellow fever, eight of whom died.25 Both the 1974
fever vectors and non-human primates are present in and 2008 outbreaks resulted from epizootics that began in
this area, the ecological setting in which the virus is Brazil. Unrecognised sporadic cases might have occurred
transmitted has not changed, and surveillance of in Paraguay in other years. Furthermore, whether or not
infections in human beings, although improving, enzootic transmission continues after recognised outbreaks
inherently lacks sensitivity. Additionally, routine is not clear. Although cases of human disease have not
vaccination of infantsimplemented in the eastern part been reported in northwestern Paraguay, this region is

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bordered by endemic areas in Bolivia and Brazil. Because non-human primate hosts are present in Eritrea, and the
of these reports of yellow fever virus in Paraguay and in western districts are characterised by savannahs
neighbouring countries during the past 3 years, all of conducive to transmission of yellow fever virus by Aedes
Paraguay was classied as transitional. The city of Asuncion spp mosquitoes that breed in tree holes. Therefore, the
was regarded as an area with low potential for exposure working group classied the western region as having a
because the outbreak in Asuncin in 2008 was a result of low potential for exposure, and the rest of the country
epizootic expansion into the northern part of the country where for ecological reason, yellow fever vectors are not
and subsequent translocation of the virus into the city. expected to be supportedas having no risk.
Somalia had previously been classied as endemic in
Africa the southern part of the country (WHO) or the entire
Most of the Democratic Republic of the Congo is regarded country (CDC), despite the absence of reported human
as endemic, because many outbreaks have been reported cases. A low prevalence of yellow fever antibodies (37%)
in the country since 1912.41 The only controversial area is was recorded in adults in southeastern Somalia (Middle
Katanga Province in the south of the country, which has Shabelle District) in 1942,44 and a 196667 serosurvey
been included and excluded from various yellow fever showed neutralising antibodies (with a prevalence of
risk maps as an endemic area. No human cases have 85%) also in Middle Shabelle District (near Mogadishu).46
been reported from Katanga Province. Although yellow Furthermore, south and south-central Somalia probably
fever antibodies were absent in one location have enough rainfall and vegetation to support
(Elizabethville) in 1934,42 such antibodies were detected transmission of the virus. Therefore, the working group
in 215% of adults at six of 14 locations in Katanga designated districts in the south of Somalia
Province in 195153.43 Without more up-to-date data for (gure 4; table 2) as areas with low potential for exposure.
yellow fever virus activity and because this region is The northern areas of Somalia are ecologically
contiguous with endemic areas of the country to the unfavourable for transmission of yellow fever virus and
north and the western region of Zambia (an area of low therefore have no risk. This view is supported by the
potential for exposure) to the southeast, it is viewed as an absence of serological evidence for human infection in
area with low potential for exposure. adjacent Djibouti.43
In the past, Eritrea has been both included and excluded Tanzania was previously classied as endemic.
from yellow fever risk maps. Although no cases have However, no cases of yellow fever in human beings or in
been reported in Eritrea, serosurveys in 194243 detected non-human primates have been reported. The only
neutralising antibodies in children and adults from seven evidence for virus activity comes from serological surveys
of 15 locations, with an overall seroprevalence of 49% in done in the 1940s, which showed a low prevalence of
children younger than 15 years.43,44 These ndings were seropositivity in children and adults (<5%).21,47 Positive
conrmed during the 195354 serosurvey,43,45 when 6% of serum samples were also detected in the 1940s in regions
children were seropositive. Yellow fever vectors and bordering Rwanda and in Moshi (in adults only). A

Previous classication 2010 consultation on yellow fever and international travel revised classications Listed in revised
annex 1 (2011) of
International Travel
and Health29
Africa
Democratic Republic Endemic (whole country) Endemic: all areas except as mentioned below Yes
of the Congo Low potential for exposure: Katanga Province
Eritrea No risk (whole country) Low potential for exposure: Anseba, Debub, Gash Barka, Mae Kel, and Semenawi Keih Bahri states No
No risk: all other areas not listed above, including Dahlak Archipelagos
Ethiopia Endemic (whole country) Endemic: all areas except as mentioned below Yes
Low potential for exposure: Afar and Somali provinces
Kenya Endemic (whole country) Endemic: all areas except as mentioned below Yes
Low potential for exposure: the entire North Eastern Province; states of Kili, Kwale, Lamu, Malindi, and Tanariver, in the
Coast Province; and the cities of Nairobi and Mombasa
So Tom and Endemic (whole country) Low potential for exposure: whole country No
Prncipe
Somalia Endemic (whole country) Low potential for exposure: Bakool, Banaadir, Bay, Galguduud, Gedo, Hiiraan, Lower Jubabada, Middle Jubabada, Middle No
Shabelle, and Lower Shabelle regions
No risk: all other areas not listed above
Tanzania Endemic (whole country) Low potential for exposure: whole country No
Zambia No risk (whole country) Low potential for exposure: North-Western and Western provinces No
No risk: all other areas not listed above
(Continues on next page)

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Previous classication 2010 consultation on yellow fever and international travel revised classications Listed in revised
annex 1 (2011) of
International Travel
and Health29
(Continued from previous page)
South America
Argentina Transitional (specic Transitional: all departments of Misiones; and Departments of Bern de Astrada, Capital, General Alvear, General Paz, Yes
regions only) Ituzaing, Itat, Paso de los Libres, San Cosme, San Miguel, San Martn and Santo Tom in Corrientes Province
Low potential for exposure: all departments of Formosa Province; Department of Bermejo in Chaco Province; Departments
of Ledesma, Santa Brbara, San Pedro, and Valle Grande in Jujuy Province; and Departments of Anta, General Jos de San
Martn, Oran, and Rivadavia in Salta Province
No risk: areas above 2300 m and all areas not listed above
Brazil Endemic (specic regions Endemic: entire states of Acre, Amap, Amazones, Distrito Federal (including the capital city of Braslia), Gois, Maranho, Yes
only) Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Minas Gerais, Par, Rondnia, Roraima, and Tocantins; and designated areas of Bahia,
Paran, Piau, and So Paulo
Transitional: designated areas of Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul states
No risk: all other areas not listed above, including the cities of Fortaleza, Recife, Rio de Janeiro, Salvador, and So Paulo
Colombia Endemic (whole country) Endemic: all areas except as mentioned below Yes
Transitional: Acandi, Unguia, Jurado, and Riosucio municipalities in the Choco department
Low potential for exposure: entire departments of Narino, Cauca, and Valle de Cauca; the Alto Baud, Atrato, Bagad, Baha
Solano, Bajo Baud, Beln de Bajir, Bojay, Carmen del Darin, Crtegui, Condoto, El Cantn de San Pablo, El Carmen de
Atrato, Istmina, Litoral del San Jun, Llor, Medio Atrato, Medio Baud, Medio San Jun, Nvita, Nuqu, Quibd, Ro Ir, Ro
Quito, San Jos del Palmar, Sip, Tad, and Unin Panamericana municipalities of the Choco Department; and the cities of
Barranquilla, Cartegena, Cali, and Medellin
No risk: areas above 2300 m, Uribia municipality in the La Guajira department, and the city of Bogot
Ecuador Endemic (specic regions Endemic: entire Morona-Santiago, Orellana, Pastaza, Napo, Sucumbios, and Zamora-Chinchipe provinces Yes
only) Low potential for exposure: entire provinces of Esmeraldas, Guayas, Manabi, and Los Rios, and designated areas of the
provinces of Azuay, Bolivar, Canar, Carchi, Chimborazo, Cotopaxi, El Oro, Imbabura, Loja, Pichincha, and Tungurahua
No risk: Areas above 2300 m, the cities of Guayaquil and Quito, the Galpagos Islands, and all areas not listed above
Panama Endemic (specic regions Transitional: entire comarcas (autonomous territories) of Ember and Kuna Yala, the entire province of Darin, and areas of Yes
only) the provinces of Coln and Panam that are east of the Canal Zone
No risk: city of Panama, the Canal Zone, San Blas Islands, Balboa Islands, and all areas not listed above
Paraguay Endemic (specic regions Transitional: whole country except as mentioned below Yes
only) Low potential for exposure: city of Asuncin
Peru Endemic (specic regions Endemic: entire regions of Amazonas, Loreto, Madre de Dios, San Martin, and Ucayali and designated areas of Ancash, Yes
only) Apurimac, Ayacucho, Cajamarca, Cusco, Huancavelica, Huanuco, Junin, La Libertad, Pasco, and Puno regions
Transitional: designated areas of Piura
Low potential for exposure: entire regions of Tumbes and Lambayeque, and designated areas of Cajamarca and Piura
regions
No risk: areas above 2300 m and all areas listed above
Trinidad and Tobago Endemic (whole country) Endemic: all areas except as mentioned below Yes
Low potential for exposure: city of Port of Spain
No risk: Tobago
Venezuela Endemic (specic regions Endemic: all areas except as mentioned below Yes
only) Low potential for exposure: Aragua, Carabobo, Miranda, Vargas, and Yaracuy, and the Distrito Federal
No risk: entire states of Falcon and Lara; the peninsular section of the Paez municipality of Zuila Province; Margarita Island;
and cities of Caracas and Valencia

Vaccination is recommended for travellers visiting endemic or transitional areas. In general, vaccination is not recommended for travellers whose itineraries are restricted to areas with low potential for exposure.
Although not generally recommended for travellers to areas with low potential for exposure, vaccination might be considered for a small subset of travellers whose itinerary would place them at increased risk
of exposure to yellow fever virus, such as prolonged travel, heavy exposure to mosquitoes, or inability to avoid mosquito bitesrisk of exposure should be weighed against individual risk factors for
vaccine-associated adverse events (eg, age, immune status) when deciding to vaccinate. Vaccination is not recommended for travellers whose itineraries are restricted to areas regarded as having no risk.

Table 2: Classications for selected areas with risk for transmission of yellow fever virus

survey on Zanzibar done in 195153 detected neutralising conrmed cases have been ocially reported from the
antibodies in two of 55 unvaccinated children with no country, a suspected case was described from the
history of travel to the mainland.43 Because of the absence North-Western Province in 1943.48 Many locations in the
of human cases and low prevalence of antibodies detected western part of Zambia in the Zambezi River basin were
in serosurveys, Tanzania was classied as having low surveyed in 1944,44 and again in 195153; neutralising
potential for exposure. antibodies were detected with a seroprevalence up to
Western Zambia was designated as endemic on WHO 18%.1,43 In view of this information and the fact that
and CDC maps until 2005, when for unclear reasons, it neighbouring areas in Angola and the Democratic
was removed from the lists of areas or countries with risk Republic of the Congo are designated as having yellow
for transmission of yellow fever virus. Although no fever risk, the working group reclassied the North

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Review

Western and Western provinces as areas with low risk for urban transmission, the disease has not been
potential for exposure. detected in these cities, and surveillance would be
Because serological evidence from surveys done expected to promptly identify cases. Therefore, they were
6075 years ago was the principal rationale for the designated as no risk or low potential for exposure.
designation of all or parts of So Tom and Prncipe,
Tanzania, Zambia, Somalia, and Eritrea as areas with a Implications for the ITH and national
low potential for exposure, the relevance of such historical immunisation policies
data should be considered. During this time, ecological The working group agreed that countries with areas with
changes such as land use changes, reduced the availability only low potential for exposure be excluded from the list
of breeding sites in tree holes, reduced populations of of countries with risk in annex 1 of the ITH publication.
specic non-human primates, and climate change could Such exemptions apply to Eritrea, So Tom and Prncipe,
have altered the dynamics of yellow fever virus Somalia, Tanzania, and Zambia (table 2). Yellow fever
transmission. However, no available evidence suggest that vaccination will generally not be recommended for travel
such changes have occurred or aected virus transmission. to these countries, unless travellers itineraries indicate
Another limitation of the remote serological data is that potentially increased risk of exposure and the benet of
they were derived by use of undiluted or minimally diluted vaccination outweighs the risk of vaccine-associated
(a 1:10 dilution) human serum samples tested against only adverse events (eg, age, altered immune status).17
yellow fever virus in a mouse neutralisation test, raising This change to annex 1 of the ITH publication has
the possibility that detected antibodies could have been implications for vaccine entry requirements for travellers
caused by cross-reactions with heterologous aviviruses. from So Tom and Prncipe, Somalia, and Tanzania who
These concerns are most relevant for areas of uncertain are travelling outside their countries (Eritrea and Zambia
risk at the borders of endemic zones. However, in the were not previously listed). The working group
absence of more up-to-date serosurvey data, including recommends that travellers arriving from these countries
results from tests for multiple aviviruses, no evidence do not need to provide evidence of vaccination. However,
refutes the data from 6075 years ago. according to the International Health Regulations,
countries with vulnerable populations and susceptible
Special situations outlined by the working group vector species can dene their own yellow fever vaccine
Although Central America and western Panama have entry requirements.
reported yellow fever cases in the past, they have been The ndings of the working group regarding the
classied by the working group as having no risk, on the geographical risk for yellow fever might also aect
basis of the following considerations. First, no yellow countries national immunisation policies. Priority
fever virus activity (ie, in human beings, non-human setting for vaccination campaigns and introduction of
primates, or mosquitoes) has been reported for an yellow fever vaccine in infant immunisation schedules
extended period of time (ve to eight times the typical have always relied on the ocial WHO maps, and the
cycle of re-emergence of epizootic yellow fever in tropical new classication will need to be taken into account
America). The interval between epizootics in South during formulation of national vaccination policies.3,52
America varies, but is generally 710 years.49 Second, after Additionally, when gaps in information exist, countries
the elimination of yellow fever in urban areas in this are encouraged to pursue eld research such as
region by 1925, the virus was not detected until its serological surveys and detection of the virus in vectors
introduction from Panama in 1948, with an ensuing and non-human primates to guide the development of
spread into Central America that ended in 1954. Third, risk maps and immunisation policies in the future.
natural barriers prevent the introduction of the virus
across the Canal Zone, with the disease disappearing Concluding remarks
from Central America west of the Canal Zone shortly The working group knows of no other systematic review of
after the last event was reported in 1956.50 Several groups all countries considered to have risk for yellow fever virus
of researchers with active eld and surveillance transmission. Through the WHO consultations and the
programmes, including the Gorgas Memorial Informal Working Group on Geographic Risk for Yellow
Laboratories and the Middle America Research Unit, Fever, criteria were developed for risk of virus transmission,
have not detected the virus west of the Canal Zone, countries and geographical regions with risk for virus
suggesting that persistent virus activity in an enzootic transmission were reassessed with these criteria, and
cycle has not occurred since.51 vaccine recommendations for travellers were made on the
basis of yellow fever risk. This process provides transparent
Cities with no risk or low potential for exposure decision-making and clear descriptions of areas with risk
The working group identied specic cities (table 2), for yellow fever virus transmission. These data provide the
some of which are major tourist destinations, as posing framework underlying the yellow fever vaccination maps
little to no risk for yellow fever virus transmission. that will be published in CDCs Health Information for
Although A aegypti might be present, posing a theoretical International Travel and WHOs ITH publications. By

630 www.thelancet.com/infection Vol 11 August 2011


Review

Contributors
Search strategy and selection criteria ESJ contributed to the primary writing of the report, the data search,
gure creation, data analysis, data interpretation, and editing of the nal
The working group identied studies and reports that paper. GP, MDG, DRH, JL, RFL, JES, OT, and AW-S contributed equally
contained potentially useful data about the transmission of to the writing of the report, gure creation, data analysis, data
yellow fever virus by searching PubMed, reviewing relevant interpretation, and editing of the nal paper. TPM contributed to the
writing of the report, research, data review, and data analysis.
bibliographies, consulting subject matter experts, assessing
unpublished data (including serosurvey, entomological, and Conicts of interest
WHO provided travel support for ESJ, MDG, DRH, JES, OT, AW-S, and
disease incidence data), and examining ocial case reports TPM. DRH declares that his institution (the National Travel Health
from national or international health organisations (eg, Network and Centre) receives a registration fee from yellow fever
WHO). To capture all historical data, we searched PubMed up vaccination centres in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland as part of a
to May, 2010, with the search term yellow fever. There were programme of registration, training, standards, and audit for yellow
fever centres. RFL declares that WHO receives funding from the Global
no language restrictions on the PubMed search. Additional Alliance for Vaccines and Immunization for the Yellow Fever Initiative.
references were sought from those papers bibliographies, AW-S has been sponsored to attend conferences and has received
from subject matter experts, and from the personal speakers fees from Sano Pasteur, Novartis, and GlaxoSmithKline.
collections of the members of the working group. TPM declares board membership, patents, and stock options for
Xcellerex. GP and JL declare that they have no conict of interests.
Acknowledgments
We thank WHO and PAHO for their help, including the coordination of
presenting only vaccination maps in these publications,
the Informal Working Group on Geographic Risk for Yellow Fever, and
clinicians will have clear guidance on where vaccination is the technical development from the WHO Public Health Information
always recommended (balanced against any vaccine and GIS team of the yellow fever risk maps shown here and the
precautions or contraindications), generally not vaccination maps produced in the WHO International Travel and
Health (Green Book) and the CDC Health Information for International
recommended, and not recommended. Because some of
Travel (Yellow Book). We also thank the US Centers for Disease Control
the boundaries for areas with risk of yellow fever virus and Prevention, the UK National Travel Health Network and Centre,
transmission have changed, clinicians should thoroughly National University Singapore, Redeemers University in Nigeria,
review with travellers their itineraries and activities to European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, and the Public
Health Agency of Canada. Specically, we would like to thank
ascertain the potential exposure to yellow fever virus. Herv Zeller, Jennifer Geduld, William Perea, Fenella Avokey,
Decisions on whether to give a yellow fever vaccination Martin Opoka, Nohelly Nombela, Sheila Nakpil, Patricia Njera-Aguilar,
should take into account patients risk of infection, country Nina Marano, Gary Brunette, and Kevin Liske for their support of this
vaccination requirements, and the potential for serious work. Mark Sotir, Ava Navin, Marc Fischer, and Clive Brown are
acknowledged for their careful review of the manuscript. Finally, we
vaccine-associated adverse events. thank authorities of the following countries for providing information,
The epidemiology of this vector-borne disease is valuable feedback, thoughtful critique, productive discussion, or
dynamic and subject to changes resulting from climate participation in consultations: Angola, Argentina, Benin, Bolivia, Brazil,
change, including cyclical events aecting rainfall Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad,
Colombia, Congo (Brazzaville), Cte dIvoire, Democratic Republic of
patterns, and human factors, such as migration and air the Congo, Ecuador, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Ethiopia, French
travel. Many areas in the Americas, Africa, and Asia are Guiana, Gabon, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Guyana, Kenya, Liberia,
susceptible to the introduction and spread of yellow fever; Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Nigeria, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Rwanda,
the establishment of dengue fever and chikungunya, So Tom and Prncipe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, Sudan,
Suriname, Tanzania, The Gambia, Togo, Trinidad and Tobago, Uganda,
transmitted by A aegypti, in these areas shows that they Venezuela, and Zambia.
are also at risk for urban yellow fever. The monitoring of
The Informal Working Group on Geographic Risk for Yellow Fever
countries or geographical regions with risk for The working group includes several participating experts, country
transmission is important. WHO continues to document representatives, and organisations, including regular and extensive
ndings of case reports, outbreaks, and scientic research contributions by: WHO headquarters and regional personnel
on yellow fever, and updates on disease activity in South (Gilles Poumerol, Rosamund F Lewis, Johan Lemarchand, Otavio Oliva,
Patricia Njera-Aguilar, Luz Maria Vilca); US Centers for Disease Control
America and Africa are published regularly in the Weekly and Prevention (J Erin Staples, Mark D Gershman, and Emily S Jentes),
Epidemiological Record.53 Yellow fever outbreaks are also UK National Travel Health Network and Centre (David R Hill), National
reported in the WHO Disease Outbreak News. The University-Singapore (AW-S), Redeemers University-Nigeria (Oyewale For the WHO Disease Outbreak
Tomori), European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control News see http://www.who.int/
working group will continue to incorporate this
(Herv Zeller), and the Public Health Agency of Canada csr/don/en/index.html
information and use input from WHO member states to (Jennifer Geduld). Gilles Poumerol organised the study and led the
make updates to yellow fever risk maps and to assess groups activities during the entire period covered by this report
vaccine recommendations for travellers. The working (200810).
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