Problemas

Requisitos:
Elaboracin de ejercicios a mano
o Letra Legible!
o Indicar el nmero de problema a resolver
Desarrollo de cada problema
o Incluir frmula y desarrollo de los clculos
o Problemas sin desarrollo obtienen CERO PUNTOS
Presentar resultado final

Para firma en libreta

Fecha de Entrega: 22 de Junio
Tema 1: Ambientes de Manufactura

MTS
Leveling Production

1. A company wants to produce 500 units over the next 3 months at a level rate. The months have 19,
20 and 21 working days, respectively. On the average, how much should a company produce each
day to level production?
2. A production line is to run at 1000 units per month. Sales and forecast are shown in the following.
Calculate the expected period end inventory. The opening inventory is 500 units. All periods have
the same number of working days.

Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 TOTAL
Forecast 700 700 1100 1600 1100 800
Planned
Production 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
Planned
Inventory 500

3. A company wants to develop a level production plan for a family of products. The opening
inventory is 100 units, and an increase in 160 units is expected by the end of the plan. The demand
for each period is given in what follows. How much should the company produce each period?
What will be the ending inventories in each period? All periods have the same number of working
days.

Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 TOTAL
Forecast 100 120 130 140 120 110
Planned
Production
Planned
Inventory 100

ATO
Leveling Production

4. If the opening back log is 500 units, forecast demand is 700 units, and production is 800 units, what
will be the ending back log?
5. The opening back log is 900 units. Forecast demand is shown in the following. Calculate the
weekly production for level production if the backlog is to be reduced to 200 units.

Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 TOTAL
Forecast 600 700 700 700 600 500
Planned
Production
Planned
Inventory 900
 6. The opening back log is 1100 units. Forecast demand is shown in the following. Calculate the
weekly production for level production if the backlog is to be increased to 1200 units.

Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 TOTAL
Forecast 1200 1100 1200 1200 1100 1000
Planned
Production
Planned
Inventory 1100

Tema 2: Pronsticos

7. Over the past 3 months, the demand for a product has been 255, 219, and 231. Calculate the 3
month moving average forecast for month 4. If the actual demand in month 4 is 228, calculate the
forecast for month 5.
8. Given the following data, calculate the 3 month moving average forecast for months 4, 5, 6 and 7.

Actual
Month Demand Forecast
1 67
2 75
3 43
4 50
5 77
6 65
7 80
9. Monthly demand over the past ten months is given in what follows.
a. Graph the demand
b. What is your best guess for the demand for month 11?
c. Using a 3 month moving average, calculate the forecast for months 4,5,6,7,8,9,10 y 11

Actual
Month Demand Forecast
1 102
2 91
3 95
4 105
5 94
6 100
7 109
8 92
9 101
10 98
11 102

10. If the forecast for February was 122 and actual demand was 135, what would be the forecast for
March if the smoothing constant () is 0.15? Use exponential smoothing for your calculation.
11. If the old forecast is 100 and the latest demand is 85, what is the exponentially smoothes forecast
for the next period? Alpha is 0.2
12. Using exponential smoothing, calculate the forecast for months 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. The smoothing
constant is 0.2, and the old forecast for month 1 is 245.

Actual
Month Demand Forecast
1 260 245
2 230
3 225
4 245
5 250
6
13. Given the following forecast and actual demand, calcular el cuadrado medio del error.
Actual
Period Forecast Demand Absolute Deviation
1 100 85
2 100 105
3 100 120
4 100 100
5 100 90
Total

14. Para la siguiente Serie de Tiempo, realic lo siguiente:

a. Grafique la demanda e identifique: tendencia, estacionalidad y variablidad.
b. Calcule el pronstico por promedios mviles de 4 meses a partir del mes de Abril y
grafquelo (misma grfica del punto a.)
c. Calcule el pronstico ponderado para el Mes de Enero 2015 con los ltimos 4 meses de
demanda tomando los siguientes pesos y grafquelo (misma grfica del punto a.):
a. Septiembre: 10%
b. Octubre: 20%
c. Noviembre: 30%
d. Diciembre: 40%
d. Calcule el pronstico por suavizacin exponencial con una constante de suavizacin de
0.4. Calcule el pronstico a partir del mes de Abril, suponiendo que el pronstico de
Marzo fue de 4 y grafquelo (misma grfica del punto a.).
e. Calcule el cuadrado medio del error para los clculos de Promedios Mviles Simples y
Suavizacin exponencial y determine cul es el mejor mtodo de pronstico.

Enero 2014 8
Febrero 8
Marzo 2.6
Abril 1
Mayo 10
Junio 6.6
Julio 7.2
Agosto 4.3
Septiembre 1
Octubre 8.0
Noviembre 10
Diciembre 9
Tema 3: Economic Order Quantity

15. An item that has a $10 is ordered in quantities of 500 units, annual demand is 5200 units, carrying
costs are 20%, and the cost of placing and order is $50. Calculate de following:
a. Average inventory
b. Number of orders placed per year
c. Annual inventory-carrying cost
d. Annual ordering cost
e. Annual total cost

16. A company decides to establish an EOQ for an item. The annual demand is 400,000 units, each
costing $8, ordering costs are $32 per order, and inventory-carrying costs are 20%. Calculate the
following:
a. The EOQ in units
b. Number of orders per year
c. Cost of ordering, cost of carrying inventory and total cost

17. A company decides to establish an EOQ for an item. The annual demand is $800,000, the ordering
costs are $32 per order, and inventory-carrying costs are 20%. Calculate the following:
a. The EOQ in dollars
b. Number of orders per year
c. Cost of ordering, cost of carrying inventory and total cost

18. The EOQ for an item is 1150 units, and the annual usage is 15,600 units. What is the period order
quantity?