Uncertainty is at the heart of risk. You may be unsure if an event is likely to occur or not.
Also, you may be uncertain what its consequences would be if it did occur. Likelihood
the probability of an event occurring, and consequence the impact or outcome of an
event, are the two components that characterize the magnitude of the risk.
All risk management processes follow the same basic steps, although sometimes
different jargon is used to describe these steps. Together these 5 risk management
process steps combine to deliver a simple and effective risk management process.
Step 1: Identify the Risk. You and your team uncover, recognize and describe
risks that might affect your project or its outcomes. There are a number of techniques
you can use to find project risks. During this step you start to prepare your Project Risk
Register.
Step 2: Analyze the risk. Once risks are identified you determine the likelihood and
consequence of each risk. You develop an understanding of the nature of the risk and
its potential to affect project goals and objectives. This information is also input to your
Project Risk Register.
Step 3: Evaluate or Rank the Risk. You evaluate or rank the risk by determining the
risk magnitude, which is the combination of likelihood and consequence. You make
decisions about whether the risk is acceptable or whether it is serious enough to
warrant treatment. These risk rankings are also added to your Project Risk Register.
Step 4: Treat the Risk. This is also referred to as Risk Response Planning. During this
step you assess your highest ranked risks and set out a plan to treat or modify these
risks to achieve acceptable risk levels. How can you minimize the probability of the
negative risks as well as enhancing the opportunities? You create risk mitigation
strategies, preventive plans and contingency plans in this step. And you add the risk
treatment measures for the highest ranking or most serious risks to your Project Risk
Register.
Step 5: Monitor and Review the risk. This is the step where you take your Project
Risk Register and use it to monitor, track and review risks.
Risk is about uncertainty. If you put a framework around that uncertainty, then you
effectively de-risk your project. And that means you can move much more confidently to
achieve your project goals. By identifying and managing a comprehensive list of project
risks, unpleasant surprises and barriers can be reduced and golden opportunities
discovered. The risk management process also helps to resolve problems when they
occur, because those problems have been envisaged, and plans to treat them have
already been developed and agreed. You avoid impulsive reactions and going into fire-
fighting mode to rectify problems that could have been anticipated. This makes for
happier, less stressed project teams and stakeholders. The end result is that you
minimize the impacts of project threats and capture the opportunities that occur.
http://continuingprofessionaldevelopment.org
9 Steps to Managing Risk
Risk and uncertainty are inherent parts of all project work. Which is why so many projects
especially large technology projectsrun into trouble. When studies tell us that easily half of all IT
projects run over budget and past deadline, we see how easily risk turns into real trouble for
projects and their organizations.
But there are ways you can mitigate and manage risk. When teams have a good risk
management process in place, then you can identify and deal with all the projects risks in an
appropriate and thorough manner. When youre good at managing risk, it means that fewer issues
crop up and that youre prepared for all eventualities. (And, people start asking for you to run their
projects!)
Here are nine risk management steps that will keep your project on track.
Reference:
Susanne Madsen | November 30, 2015
A good risk management plan is critical to cutting down on unexpected project risks. A strong plan can decrease problems on a
project by as much as 80 to 90 percent. Follow this practical approach to creating an effective risk management plan.
Research has shown that well-designed risk management plans can decrease problems encountered on a project by as much as 90
percent. Combined with a world-class project management methodology, a good risk management process can be essential in
diminishing unexpected project risks.
Risk management planning should be completed early during the project planning stage since it is crucial to successfully
performing the other project management phases. The risk management plan identifies and establishes the activities of risk
management for the project in the project plan.
Definition of Risk
According to PMBOK, Project Management Institute defines a project as 'an endeavor to create a product or service.' A project is
therefore, a large or major undertaking, especially one involving considerable money, personnel, and equipment. By definition,
projects are a risky endeavor. They aim to create new products, services, and processes that do not currently exist. With that
much at stake, a solid risk management plan is critical to the success of a project.
Every project is faced with risks. There is no 100% certainty that risks will not occur. There are risks that creep up at various
phases of the project that the team has to be vigilant and ready to handle. However, while some risks may be beneficial, in that
the sponsor and all team members have to take them to reach the end product, there are many risks that harm and hinder the
project.
The risks that are identified have to be analysed for their probability and impact using the PI Matrix and also translated into
numerical values so as to accurately know the outcome of these risks on the cost, time and resource factors. There are two
methods of risk analysis; Qualitative and Quantitive Risk Analysis.
Step Five: Risk Resolution Action Plan In Step Five, based on the collective ideas of all the departmental teams, the project
manager will have to decide on a plan of action to bring about risk resolution. Risks with a high P-I valuewill have to be treated
with utmost urgency while those with the least probability or impact can just be monitored without having any real action plan.
Identifying the most serious risks at the onset of a project saves time, cost and resources, and likewise identification of such risks
also trigger the resolution plan at the earliest moment.
Step Six: Responsibility and Accountability
The last step in writing a risk management plan is assigning an owner for each risk on the master list. Use the Responsibility
Assignment matrix. Using this chart, various teams and team members may be assigned responsibility for carrying out the risk
resolution plans. At the end, the project manager is solely accountable to the project sponsor for all the plans and actions related
to the risks and project at large.
Proper documentation, such as risk assessment reports, is important during every step of the planning process. A risk
management plan should be incorporated into every project management plan. A generic list of risks and triggers can be
generated from this initial plan. To apply the risk plan to future projects, simply add project-specific risks and triggers and assess
the probability, impact, and detectability for each risk. This, in turn, will save time and help institutionalize the risk management
plan into the project team's culture. This practical approach to writing a project management plan holds good for all project types
and works well as basic risk management guidelines.
REFERENCE:
Amanda Dcosta edited by: Rebecca Scudder updated: 2/4/2014
http://www.brighthubpm.com
10 GOLDEN RULES OF PROJECT RISK
MANAGEMENT
~ By Bart Jutte
The benefits of risk management in projects are huge. You can gain a lot
of money if you deal with uncertain project events in a proactive
manner. The result will be that you minimise the impact of project
threats and seize the opportunities that occur. This allows you to deliver
your project on time, on budget and with the quality results that your
project sponsor demands. Also, your team members will be much
happier if they do not enter a fire fighting mode needed to repair the
failures that could have been prevented.
This article gives you the ten golden rules to apply risk management
successfully in your project. They are based on personal experiences of the
author who has been involved in projects for over fifteen years. Also, the big
pile of literature available on the subject has been condensed in this article.
Are you able to identify all project risks before they occur? Probably not.
However if you combine a number of different identification methods, you are
likely to find the vast majority. If you deal with them properly, you will have
enough time left for the unexpected risks that take place.
Unfortunately, a lot of project teams struggle to cross the finish line, being
overloaded with work that needs to be done quickly. This creates a project
dynamic where only negative risks matter (if the team considers any risks at all).
Make sure you create some time to deal with the opportunities in your project,
even if it is only half an hour. The chances are that you will see a couple of
opportunities with a high payoff that doesn't require a big investment of time or
resources.
Ownership also exists on another level. If a project threat occurs, someone has
to pay the bill. This sounds logical, but it is an issue you have to address before
a risk occurs. Especially if different business units, departments and suppliers
are involved in your project, it becomes important who bears the consequences
and has to empty his wallet. An important side effect of clarifying the ownership
of risk effects is that line managers start to pay attention to a project, especially
when a lot of money is at stake. The ownership issue is equally important to
project opportunities. Fights over (unexpected) revenues can become a long-
term pastime of management.
Another level of risk analysis investigates the entire project. Each project
manager needs to answer the usual questions about the total budget needed or
the date the project will finish. If you take risks into account, you can do a
simulation to show your project sponsor how likely it is that you finish on a
given date or within a certain time frame. A similar exercise can be done for
project costs.
The information you gather in a risk analysis will provide valuable insights into
your project and the necessary input to find effective responses to optimise the
risks.
If you deal with threats, you have three options, risk avoidance, risk
minimisation and risk acceptance. Avoiding risks means you organise your
project in such a way that you don't encounter a risk anymore. This could mean
changing supplier or adopting a different technology or, if you deal with a fatal
risk, terminating a project. Spending more money on a doomed project is a bad
investment.
The biggest category of responses are the ones to minimise risks. You can try to
prevent a risk occurring by influencing the causes or decreasing the negative
effects that could result. If you have carried out rule 7 properly (risk analysis)
you will have plenty of opportunities to influence it. A final response is to
accept a risk. This is a good choice if the effects on the project are minimal or
the possibilities to influence it prove to be very difficult, time-consuming or
relatively expensive. Just make sure that it is a conscious choice to accept a
particular risk.
Responses to risk opportunities are the reverse of the ones for threats. They will
focus on seeking risks, maximising them or ignoring them (if opportunities
prove to be too small).
Rule 9: Register Project Risks
This rule is about bookkeeping (however don't stop reading). Maintaining a risk
log enables you to view progress and make sure that you won't forget a risk or
two. It is also a perfect communication tool that informs your team members
and stakeholders what is going on (rule 3).
A good risk log contains risk descriptions, clarifies ownership issues (rule 5)
and enables you to carry our some basic analyses with regard to causes and
effects (rule 7). Most project managers aren't fond of administrative tasks, but
doing your bookkeeping with regards to risks pays off, especially if the number
of risks is large. Some project managers don't want to record risks because they
feel this makes it easier to blame them in case things go wrong. However, the
reverse is true. If you record project risks and the effective responses you have
implemented, you create a track record that no one can deny. Even if a risk
happens that derails the project. Doing projects is taking risks.
Tracking risks differs from tracking tasks. It focuses on the current situation of
risks. Which risks are more likely to happen? Has the relative importance of
risks changed? Answering these questions will help to pay attention to the risks
that matter most for your project value.
In Summary
The ten golden risk rules above give you guidelines on how to implement risk
management successfully in your project. However, keep in mind that you can
always improve. Therefore, rule number 11 would be to use the Japanese
Kaizen approach: measure the effects of your risk management efforts and
continuously implement improvements to make it even better.
I wish you success with your project!
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