July 24, 2017

To: Interested Parties

From: ALG Research
Re: NV Poll: Heller Vulnerable and Titus very competitive in Senate Matchup

A recent poll of 2018 voters in Nevada finds Dean Heller vulnerable in his race for re-
election and Dina Titus in a statistical tie with him in a potential 2018 Senate match-up.

Hellers job and popularity rating are both below 50%. The share of voters
approving of Hellers job performance (47%) and the share rating him favorably (44%)
both fall short of a majority, a troubling sign for any incumbent.

Heller is also below a majority vote (47%) and Titus keeps it a 2-point race. In a
potential 2018 Senate match-up, Titus is within the margin of error of Heller (45% Titus /
47% Heller). Titus does especially well for a Democrat in Northern Nevada, trailing
Heller by just 1-point in Washoe County (45% Titus / 46% Heller), despite him defeating
Shelley Berkeley in the county by 12 points in 2012 (39% Berkeley / 51% Heller). After
positive and negative messages from both candidates, Titus takes a 1-point lead in the
race (48% Titus / 47% Heller).

Titus net job and popularity ratings exceed Hellers. Titus positive job rating in
Congress is even with Hellers positive rating (47%), and her negative rating is much
lower than his (29% Titus vs. 41% Heller). As a result, Titus net job rating is +18
compared to just +6 for Heller. Titus also holds an advantage when it comes to
popularity ratings, as she enjoys a net favorable rating of +12 (43% favorable / 31%
unfavorable) vs. +5 for Heller (44% favorable / 39% unfavorable).

Democrats hold an advantage on the generic ballot, creating headwinds for

Heller. In addition to the challenges posed by his middling support ratings and Titus net
+18 job rating, Heller faces a structural challenge as well, with voters favoring
Democrats on the generic congressional ballot by a 3-point margin (43% Democrat /
40% Republican).

These results demonstrate that Nevada is a strong pickup opportunity for Democrats in
the Senate, and Dina Titus is a competitive challenger with real strengths.
This memo is based on the results of a telephone poll of 600 likely 2018 voters in Nevada conducted by Anzalone
Liszt Grove Research June 23-29, 2017. The survey used a mix of landline and cellphone dialing, bilingual dialing
and has a margin of error of +/- 4.0%.
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research 2