Return on Equity 27.0% 31.9% 36.1% 40.2% 33.8% 29.3% 31.7% 28.5% 23.5% 28.3% 23.0% 22.6% 21.1% 19.6% 21.6% Return on Equity = Net Income / Avg. Stockholders' Equity
Return on Assets 16.6% 18.8% 21.5% 24.2% 20.3% 15.2% 16.7% 16.3% 14.0% 15.6% 13.4% 13.1% 12.2% 11.4% 12.5% Return on Assets = De-levered Net Income / Avg. Total Assets
Financial Leverage 1.67 1.73 1.69 1.68 1.69 2.23 2.09 1.89 1.83 2.01 1.86 1.87 1.89 1.87 1.87 Financial Leverage = Avg. Total Assets / Avg. Stockholders Equity
Correction Factor 0.98 0.98 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.87 0.91 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 Correction Factor = Net Income / De-levered Net Income
Return on Assets
Return on Sales 6.1% 6.3% 7.5% 9.2% 7.3% 6.8% 8.0% 8.0% 7.0% 7.5% 6.1% 6.0% 5.7% 5.3% 5.8% Return on Sales = De-levered Net Income / Sales
Asset turnover 2.74 2.99 2.85 2.62 2.80 2.23 2.08 2.03 2.00 2.08 2.19 2.18 2.15 2.14 2.16 Asset turnover = Sales / Avg. Total Assets
Profitability
Gross margin 35.0% 36.4% 38.5% 40.5% 37.6% 34.6% 36.0% 36.0% 34.2% 35.2% 36.8% 37.0% 36.5% 36.2% 36.6% Gross Margin = (Sales - Cost of Goods Sold) / Sales
SG&A as % of Sales 21.6% 22.9% 23.5% 22.9% 22.7% 20.0% 19.4% 19.6% 19.3% 19.6% 25.3% 25.1% 25.3% 25.2% 25.2% SG&A as a % of Sales = SG&A Expense / Sales
Operating Margin 10.9% 11.1% 12.3% 14.8% 12.3% 11.2% 13.2% 13.0% 11.3% 12.2% 9.1% 9.4% 8.7% 8.4% 8.9% Operating Margin = Operating Income / Sales
Interest Expense as % of Sales 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 1.9% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% Interest Expense as % of Sales = Interest Expense / Sales
Effective Tax Rate 41.3% 39.9% 38.8% 38.0% 39.5% 36.8% 39.5% 34.2% 40.1% 37.7% 38.1% 38.3% 38.4% 38.3% 38.3% Effective Tax Rate = Income Taxes / Pre-tax Income
Liquidity Analysis
Current Ratio 1.72 1.72 1.45 1.73 1.66 1.63 1.92 1.77 1.59 1.73 1.01 1.21 0.99 1.12 1.08 Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities
Quick Ratio 0.35 0.24 0.31 0.61 0.38 0.23 0.26 0.22 0.19 0.23 0.11 0.13 0.09 0.13 0.12 Quick Ratio = (Cash + Accts Rec) / Current Liabilities
CFO-to-Current Liabilities 1.18 0.64 1.15 1.11 1.02 0.93 0.86 1.01 1.11 0.98 0.87 0.98 0.76 0.86 0.87 CFO-to-Current Liabilities = Cash from Operations / Avg. Current Laibilities
Interest Coverage 55.67 71.33 290.00 111.00 132.00 6.55 7.08 6.43 4.56 6.15 2.43 2.84 2.14 1.83 2.31 Interest Coverage = Operating Income before Depreciation / Interest Expense
Cash Interest Coverage 52.50 57.67 161.50 154.67 106.58 5.12 6.56 5.99 4.59 5.57 2.54 2.43 2.31 1.76 2.26 Cash Interest Coverage = (Cash from Operations + Cash Interest + Cash Taxes) / Cash Interest Paid
Debt to Equity 0.74 0.72 0.67 0.69 0.71 1.21 1.34 1.41 1.53 1.37 1.43 1.56 1.78 1.89 1.67 Debt to Equity = Total Liabilities / Total Stockholders Equity
Long-Term-Debt to Equity 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.12 0.08 0.53 0.58 0.67 0.71 0.62 0.67 0.78 0.86 0.95 0.82 Long-Term-Debt to Equity = Total Long-Term Debt / Total Stockholders Equity
Long-Term Debt to Tangible Assets 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.07 0.05 0.43 0.48 0.51 0.54 0.49 0.54 0.69 0.77 0.81 0.70 Long-Term Debt to Tangible Assets = Total Long-Term Debt / (Total Assets - Intangible Assets)
Other Information
Sales Growth 17.9% 26.8% 21.9% 30.2% 24.2% 14.9% 14.3% 13.2% 16.8% 14.8% 14.3% 13.3% 13.2% 15.1% 14.0% Sales Growth = Change in Sales / Prior Year Sales
Statutory Tax Rate 38.0% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0% 38.0% 38.4% 38.6% 38.5% 38.3% 38.5% Federal Statutory Rate + State and Foreign Statutory Rates (excludes permanent differences)
De-levered Net Income $ 76 $ 100 $ 146 $ 232 De-levered Net Income = Net Income + (Interest Exp. * (1 - Statutory Tax Rate))
Purchases $ 812 $ 1,060 $ 1,194 $ 1,565 Purchases = Ending Inventory + COGS Beginning Inventory
Weighted Avg Depreciation Rate 10.9% 10.9% 11.1% 10.6% 10.9% Weighted Avg Depreciation Rate = Depreciation & Amortization / (Avg. Gross PP&E + Avg. Intangible Assets)
Weighted Avg Interest Rate 14.6% 14.0% 5.1% 8.1% 10.4% Weighted Avg Interest Rate = Interest Expense / Avg. Long-Term Debt
Other Ratios
Sales Growth 0.17891 0.26757 0.21865 0.30248 0.2419
Sales per Square Foot 389 438 481 436
Page 2
Woof Junction Inc. 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Balance Sheet
ASSETS 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Cash and Equivalents 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.09 0.17
Accounts Receivable, Net 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Inventory 0.45 0.40 0.42 0.32 0.27
Other Current Assets 0.05 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.04
Total Current Assets 0.60 0.54 0.55 0.47 0.49
Gross PP&E 0.54 0.59 0.61 0.68 0.64
Accumulated Depreciation 0.18 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.17
Net PP&E 0.36 0.40 0.41 0.49 0.48
Intangible Assets 0.04 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.03
Total Assets 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
Avg
0.10
0.01
0.37
0.05
0.53
0.61
0.18
0.43
0.04
1.00
Avg
0.15
0.03
0.12
0.30
0.04
0.06
0.40
0.60
1.00
Avg
1.00
0.62
0.38
0.23
0.15
0.03
0.12
0.00
0.00
0.12
0.05
0.07
Assumptions Underlying The Forecasting Analysis
Accounts Payable Historical average ratio of account / TA (common size BS) 0.155 0.155 0.155 0.155 0.155 0.155 0.155 0.155 0.155 0.155
Taxes Payable Historical average ratio of account / TA (common size BS) 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.028
Other Current Liabilities Historical average ratio of account / TA (common size BS) 0.121 0.121 0.121 0.121 0.121 0.121 0.121 0.121 0.121 0.121
Long-term Debt 2015 ratio of debt / TA (common size BS) 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071
Other Liabilities Historical average ratio of account / TA (common size BS) 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057 0.057
Total equities Plug (TA - TL)
Supplemental Calculations
Calculation of smoothed total assets
Average total assets (initial est) $ 1,118 $ 1,388 $ 1,724 $ 2,141 $ 2,658 $ 2,791 $ 2,931 $ 3,077 $ 3,231 $ 3,393
Ending total assets (initial est) $ 1,147 $ 1,088 $ 1,688 $ 1,760 $ 2,522 $ 2,795 $ 2,787 $ 3,074 $ 3,081 $ 3,382 $ 3,404
Annual compound growth rate 0.18 0.05
Growth rate in total assets 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05
Ending total assets (final est) $ 1,147 $ 1,357 $ 1,605 $ 1,899 $ 2,247 $ 2,658 $ 2,791 $ 2,931 $ 3,077 $ 3,231 $ 3,393
Average total assets (final est) $ 1,252 $ 1,481 $ 1,752 $ 2,073 $ 2,453 $ 2,725 $ 2,861 $ 3,004 $ 3,154 $ 3,312
Accumulated depreciation
Beginning balance 77 95 114 144 190 250 296 350 415 490 515 541 568 596
+ Depreciation expense 31 38 52 70 85 99 117 138 163 182 191 200 210 221
- Ending balance (95) (114) (144) (190) (250) (296) (350) (415) (490) (515) (541) (568) (596) (626)
Retirements (plug) 13 19 22 24 25 53 63 74 88 157 165 173 182 191
Gross PP&E
Ending balance 286 352 528 738 831 984 1,164 1,377 1,629 1,710 1,796 1,886 1,980 2,079
+ Retirements 13 19 22 24 25 53 63 74 88 157 165 173 182 191
- Beginning balance (234) (286) (352) (528) (738) (831) (984) (1,164) (1,377) (1,629) (1,710) (1,796) (1,886) (1,980)
Net Purchases (plug) 65 85 198 234 118 205 243 287 340 239 250 263 276 290
Page 5
Woof Junction Inc. 1 2 3 4 5
Projected Fin Stmts 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
ASSETS
Cash and Equivalents $ 32 $ 46 $ 38 $ 67 $ 193 $ 133 $ 157 $ 186 $ 220 $ 260
Accounts Receivable, Net 9 6 6 10 8 17 20 24 28 34
Inventory 195 193 244 248 314 506 599 708 838 991
Other Current Assets 23 13 29 40 51 61 73 86 102 120
Total Current Assets 259 258 317 365 566 717 849 1,004 1,188 1,405
Gross PP&E 234 286 352 528 738 831 984 1,164 1,377 1,629
Accumulated Depreciation 77 95 114 144 190 250 296 350 415 490
Net PP&E 157 191 238 384 548 581 687 813 962 1,138
Intangible Assets 18 32 25 28 33 59 69 82 97 115
Total Assets $ 434 $ 481 $ 580 $ 777 $ 1,147 $ 1,357 $ 1,605 $ 1,899 $ 2,247 $ 2,658
INCOME STATEMENT 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Sales $ 1,062 $ 1,252 $ 1,587 $ 1,934 $ 2,519 $ 3,128 $ 3,885 $ 4,825 $ 5,992 $ 7,442
Cost of Goods Sold 654 814 1,009 1,190 1,499 1,947 2,418 3,003 3,730 4,632
Gross Profit 408 438 578 744 1,020 1,181 1,467 1,822 2,262 2,810
Selling, General, and Admin Exp 254 271 364 454 576 719 892 1,108 1,376 1,709
Operating Income before Depr 154 167 214 290 444 463 575 714 886 1,101
Depreciation and Amortization 25 31 38 52 70 85 99 117 138 163
Operating Profit 129 136 176 238 374 377 476 597 748 937
Interest Expense 4 3 3 1 4 7 8 10 12 14
Other Gains and Losses 0 7 10 0 (1) 7 9 11 14 17
Pretax Income 125 126 163 237 371 363 458 576 722 906
Income Tax Expense 55 52 65 92 141 138 174 219 275 344
Net Income $ 70 $ 74 $ 98 $ 145 $ 230 $ 225 $ 284 $ 357 $ 448 $ 562
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Operations
Net Income $ 74 $ 98 $ 145 $ 230 $ 225 $ 284 $ 357 $ 448 $ 562
Depreciation and Amortization 31 38 52 70 85 99 117 138 163
Other Gains and Losses 7 10 0 (1) 7 9 11 14 17
Chg. in Accounts Receivable, Net 3 0 (4) 2 (9) (3) (4) (4) (5)
Chg. in Inventory 2 (51) (4) (66) (192) (93) (110) (130) (153)
Chg. in Other Current Assets 10 (16) (11) (11) (10) (11) (13) (16) (19)
Chg. in Accounts Payable 13 13 21 43 52 38 45 54 64
Chg. in Taxes Payable 9 0 18 (1) 6 7 8 10 12
Chg. in Other Current Liabilities 6 21 28 34 27 30 36 42 50
Chg. in Other Liabilities 6 (6) 5 21 9 5 6 6 6
Net Cash from Operations 161 107 250 321 200 366 453 562 696
Investing
Acquisition of PP&E (65) (85) (198) (234) (118) (205) (243) (287) (340)
Change in Other Assets (14) 7 (3) (5) (26) (11) (13) (15) (18)
Net Cash from Investing Activities (79) (78) (201) (239) (144) (216) (255) (302) (357)
Financing
Net Proceeds from Issuing Debt 3 (1) (3) 63 15 18 21 25 29
Dividends (71) (36) (17) (19) (131) (143) (190) (250) (328)
Net Cash from Financing Activities (68) (37) (20) 44 (116) (125) (169) (226) (299)
9 10 10 11 11
(508) (533) (560) (588) (617)
(498) (523) (549) (577) (605)
13 14 14 15 16
13 14 14 15 16
Woof Junction Inc. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Valuation Analysis 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Actual earnings $ 225 $ 284 $ 357 $ 448 $ 562 $ 583 $ 612 $ 643 $ 675
Expected earnings (r * SE) 102 116 137 162 192 227 238 250 262
Abnormal earnings $ 123 $ 169 $ 220 $ 286 $ 370 $ 356 $ 374 $ 393 $ 413
PV of AE at end of 2015 107 127 145 163 184 154 141 128 117
Dividends $ 131 $ 143 $ 190 $ 250 $ 328 $ 508 $ 533 $ 560 $ 588
PV of dividends at end of 2015 114 108 125 143 163 219 200 183 167
Free Cash Flow (39) 222 237 306 394 398 549 576 605
PV of FCF at end of 2015 (34) 168 156 175 196 172 206 188 172
$ 709
276
$ 433
107
$ 617
152
2001
918
(283)
635
157