1.

Depending upon the availability of parts a company can manufacture

3,4,5 or 6 units of a certain item per week with probabilities 0.1, 0.4,
0.3 and 0.2 respectively. The probability that there is weekly demand
for 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 or 8 is 0.05, 0.10, 0.30, 0.30, 0.10, 0.05, 0.05,
0.04 and 0.01 respectively. If a unit is sold during the week it is
made, it will yield a profit of Rs. 100/ - and this profit is reduced by
Rs. 20/- for each week that the unit has to be stored. Use random
numbers for simulating the operation of this company for next 10
consecutive weeks and estimate their expected weekly profit.
Assumed that there is delayed supply reduced the profit by Rs. 30/-
per week. Take the random numbers for the manufacturing and the
demand of the units as follows:
81, 02, 60, 04, 46, 31, 67, 25, 24, 10 and 99, 89, 10, 27, 50, 93, 92, 57,
50, 78.

2. A bread vendor buys loves of bread every morning at Rs. 0.45 each by
placing an order in Advance ( at the time of receiving his previous
order ) and sells them at Rs. 0.70 a loaf. Each unsold loaf can be sold
next day at Rs. 0.20 per loaf and there after should be treated as of no
value. The pattern of demand for the bread is given below.

For fresh bread

Demand 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60
probabilit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
y 1 3 4 7 9 1 5 0 6 8 6

For one day old bread

Demand 0 1 2 3
Probability 0.07 0.20 0.08 0.02

He orders 55 loves of bread per day. Simulate the demand supply pattern for
10 days and calculate the vendors profit per day. Use the following random
numbers:

Fresh bread: 72, 08, 12, 74, 79, 17, 32, 71, 21, 98
One day old bread 92, 77, 86, 54, 88, 58, 92, 96, 78, 34
 3. At a service station a study was made over a period of 25 days to
determine both the number of automobiles being brought in for
service and the number of automobiles serviced. The results are:

Number of automobiles Relative frequency of Relative frequency of

arriving for service or arrivals for service daily completion of
completing service per service
day
0 0.08 0.12
1 0.16 0.08
2 0.40 0.48
3 0.20 0.12
4 0.12 0.16
5 0.04 0.04

Simulate the arrival service pattern for a 10-days period and estimate the
mean number of automobiles that remain in service for more than one
day. The random numbers for arrivals and completion of service are
respectively 09544201800606265779 and 11301811855263182901

4. A news paper vendor stocks 30 copies of DNA every morning. The

printed price on the paper is Rs 4/, but he gets it from the publishers
for Rs 3/-. The daily demand for news paper is a random variable
with probability distribution is as given below.
Daily 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
demand
Probability 0.05 0.18 0.22 0.30 0.12 0.10 0.03
He can not return unsold news paper and there is no loss of goodwill if he
cannot satisfy his customers. Simulate the demand for 10 days and find
the average frofit per day. Use the following random numbers:
17, 83, 04, 71, 64, 92, 27, 34, 69, 88
5. A book store wishes to carry a famous book in stock. Demand is
probabilistic and replenishment of stock takes 2 days (i.e. if an order is
placed at the end of 1st. March, it will be delivered at the beginning of the
day 4th. March). The probability of demand is:

Daily 0 1 2 3 4
demand
Probability 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1

Each time an order is placed, the store incurs an ordering cost of Rs 100/-
per order. The store also incurs a carrying cost of Rs. 4/- per book per day.

At the beginning of first day the store has a stock of 8 books plus 6 books
ordered 2 days ago are expected to arrive next day. The manager of the book
store decides to order 8 books when inventory at the end of the day plus
orders out standing is less than 8 books.
Simulate for 15 days and estimate
i) Number of order to be placed, ii) total inventory cost.

Use the following random numbers:

89 34 78 63 61 81 39 16 13 73 38 87 46 70 27

6. A warehouse has one dock. It is used to unload rail-road freight cars.

Incoming freight cars are delivered to the warehouse during the night. It
takes exactly half a day to unload a car (i.e. only 2 cars can be unloaded
during the day). If more than 2 cars are waiting to be unloaded on a day,
the remaining cars are unloaded on the following day. Past experience
has shown that the number of cars arriving during the night has following
frequencies.

No. of cars 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 or more

arriving
Relative 0.23 0.30 0.30 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.00
frequency

With the help of following random numbers generate the number of cars
arriving during the next 15 days. And hence find the average number of cars
delayed for unloading per day. Random numbers are
92, 02, 80, 66, 96, 55, 50, 29, 58, 51, 04, 86, 24, 39, 47.
 7. The inter arrival time and the service time along with their respective
probabilities are as given below:
Inter-arrival time ( in 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
minute )

Probability 0.03 0.1 0.12 0.31 0.26 0.18

Service time ( in minute) 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0

Probability 0.05 0.22 0.25 0.15 0.2 0.13

Estimate the average customer-waiting time and the idle time of the server
by simulation for the next 10 arrivals. The random numbers for arrivals and
service are as follows:

85, 66, 96, 28, 68, 45, 19, 69, 59, 35, and 67, 74, 29, 92, 24, 44, 31, 52, 43,
07

8. The inter arrival time and the service time along with their respective
probabilities are as given below:
Inter-arrival time ( in 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
minute )

Probability 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.1

Service time ( in minute) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

Probability 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1

Simulate the process of 10 arrivals and estimate the average idle time and
waiting time. Use the following random numbers:
25, 19, 64, 82, 62, 74, 29, 92, 24, 23 and
02, 41, 46, 04, 44, 31, 52, 43, 07, 55