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A Longitudinal Analysis of the

Connection Between Oral Language


and Early Reading
FROMA P. ROTH
DEBORAH L. SPEECE
DAVID H. COOPER
University of Maryland

may exhibit different patterns of linkage to reading across


ABSTRACT To clarify the relationship between oral lan- the early school years has not been explored systematically.
guage and early reading development, the authors adminis- Clarification of the oral languagereading connection will
tered to 39 children a broad range of oral language measures advance theoretical constructs of the relationship between
in 3 areas (metalinguistics, structural language, and narrative
discourse); measures of background variables (IQ, socioeco-
these two knowledge domains. Such clarification is critical
nomic status, ethnicity, gender, family literacy); and measures because of the important implications for early identifica-
of reading ability (word recognition, pseudoword reading, pas- tion and effective instruction of children who may be at risk
sage comprehension) in kindergarten and in 1st and 2nd for reading problems.
grades. The authors used regression analyses to identify parsi- Beyond the role of phonemic awareness, the relationship
monious models that explained variance in early reading. The
main finding of the study was that semantic abilities (i.e., oral
between oral language and reading currently can be charac-
definitions and word retrieval), not phonological awareness, terized only in general terms. For example, it is widely
predicted 2nd-grade reading comprehension. As expected, acknowledged that reading is a language-based skill
phonological awareness skill in kindergarten predicted single- (Menyuk et al., 1991; Shankweiler, Crane, Brady, & Macar-
word reading at 1st and 2nd grades. The finding that semantic ruso, 1992) and that an oral language deficit in the
skills predicted passage comprehension suggests that the
importance of different oral language skills to early reading
preschool years constitutes a risk factor for successful liter-
varies as a function of language domain, reading skill, and acy acquisition (Aram & Nation, 1980; Catts, 1993; Wilson
measurement point. & Risucci, 1988). Moreover, oral language has been shown
Key words: early reading, oral language, oral language to have varying degrees of importance to reading, depend-
reading relationship ing on which variables have been controlled (Roth et al.,
1996; Scarborough, 1990). Catts, Fey, Zhang, and Tomblin
(1999), for example, found that oral language accounted for
13.8% of unique variance in second-grade reading compre-
I n this article, we present findings from the first 3 years of
a longitudinal study designed to clarify the relationship
between oral language and early reading acquisition in nor-
hension and 19.7% in word recognition. When IQ was con-
trolled, however, the amount of unique variance attributed
to oral language on these two reading measures was
mally developing children. Despite abundant evidence that
reduced to 3.6% and 1.2%, respectively.
skill in phonological awareness is important for learning to
To advance our knowledge, the next step is to identify the
read, the precise nature of the oral languagereading con-
specific contributions of different language skills and back-
nection remains underspecified. Several factors contribute to
ground factors to early reading acquisition. This requires
this circumstance. In the past, researchers typically focused
the adoption of a broad oral language framework and the
on only one or two aspects of language, rather than consid-
use of an analysis strategy that provides a stringent test of
ering the multidimensional nature of the linguistic system
the relative influence of different variables. Several
(Ricard & Snow, 1990). In the same vein, Roth, Speece,
approaches are available, including factor analysis for data
Cooper, and De La Paz (1996) showed that performance
reduction followed by regression modeling. The strategy
comparisons between normal and impaired reading groups
that we selected for the present study was parsimonious
often have been made without independent measures of
reading ability. Thus, it is not known whether the identified Address correspondence to Froma P. Roth, Department of Hear-
language differences were related to reading performance. ing and Speech Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park,
Finally, the likelihood that different oral language skills MD 20742. (E-mail: froth@hesp.umd.edu)
259
260 The Journal of Educational Research

regression modeling, because it permitted an examination unique variance in reading and spelling scores when IQ and
of the roles that different oral language domains may play social background had not been entered into the regressions.
in relation to reading development. As depicted in Figure 1, But then with IQ and social background variables (SES and
our approach to parsimony involved two stages. In Stage 1, level of parent education) scores entered, in addition to oral
we first sought to identify variables within each domain language variables, the results changed in two significant
(i.e., structural language, narrative discourse, metalinguis- ways. First, the linguistic variables were no longer significant
tics, and background factors) that were significant predic- predictors of reading and spelling performance of their 6-
tors of early reading. These variables were then carried for- year-old participants; second, the metalinguistic variable
ward to Stage 2, in which all significant domain-specific (syntactic awareness) also was no longer a significant predic-
predictors were tested together to determine which vari- tor. These findings show that the examination of background
ables were most important to early reading. A parsimonious factors is essential to an accurate account of how the domains
strategy applied to a broad view of oral language will of oral and written language relate to one another; failure to
inform our understanding of which language skills (in addi- control for these variables can lead to spurious results.
tion to phonological awareness), or combinations thereof,
are the strongest precursors of reading acquisition and Oral Language Framework
which may have less direct or no demonstrable influence.
A clear understanding of the oral languagereading con- In addition to phonological awareness, there is theoreti-
nection also necessitates consideration of the relative impor- cal or empirical support that three domains of oral language
tance of the variety of background variables that children are related to the development of reading ability: structural
bring to the literacy learning environment. These variables language (semantics, morphology, and syntax), metaseman-
include a childs level of intellectual functioning (IQ), ethnic- tics, and narrative discourse.
ity, gender, socioeconomic status (SES), and the home/family Structural language. Researchers have proposed that
literacy environment. Unfortunately, inclusion of background semantic and syntactic knowledge are integrally related to
variables in previous studies has been inconsistent (Roth et reading, in that both subsystems serve as primary cues for
al., 1996). The potential importance of these variables is constructing meaning from written text (Liberman, 1983;
underscored by Bryant, MacLean, and Bradleys (1990) lon- Vellutino, Scanlon, Small, & Tanzman, 1991). These oral
gitudinal study of linguistic and metalinguistic predictors of language skills presumably enable a child to derive mean-
early literacy. These variables accounted for significant and ing from printed words and to use sentence structure infor-

Figure 1. Conceptual Model of Background Factors, Oral Language Domains, and Early Reading

Background Structural Metalinguistics Narrative Discourse


Race Gender SES Language Phonological Familiar Story Production
Family Literacy Semantics Awareness Story Comprehension
Performance IQ Morphology Syntax Metasemantics

STAGE ONE:
Domain-Specific Regression Analyses
to Identify Significant Predictors of Reading

STAGE TWO:
Multi-Domain Regression Analyses to Identify
Parsimonious Models

Early Reading
Print Awareness
Decoding
Comprehension
May/June 2002 [Vol. 95(No. 5)] 261

mation to predict the grammatical order and form of words. Shankweiler et al. (1995) and Gottardo, Stanovich, and
Children with reading difficulties frequently perform poor- Siegel (1996) reported that syntactic performance was not
ly on tasks that measure aspects of structural language, such connected to reading in middle elementary school-aged
as understanding morphological rules, comprehending and children. Shankweiler et al. (1995) found that morphologi-
producing complex sentence forms, retrieving words from cal, rather than syntactic, knowledge served to differentiate
their mental lexicons, and understanding and using abstract good and poor readers between 7 and 9 years of age. Simi-
vocabulary words (Denckla & Rudel, 1976; German, 1984; larly, Gottardo et al. found that syntactic processing did not
Vogel, 1974, 1977; Wiig, LaPointe, & Semel, 1977). How- predict word recognition, pseudoword reading, and reading
ever, data are uneven regarding the relationship between comprehension in third-grade children once working mem-
reading acquisition and structural language. ory and phonological sensitivity were controlled.
Supportive evidence was provided by Torgesen and Wagner, Torgesen, Laughon, Simmons, and Rashotte
Davis (1996) and Magnusson and Naucler (1990). Torgesen (1993) and Wagner and colleagues (1997) followed a group
and Davis showed that semantics plays an indirect role in of normally developing children between kindergarten and
reading acquisition. They identified individual child charac- fourth grade and found that expressive vocabulary (Stan-
teristics that predicted growth in phonological skills of ford-Binet Vocabulary subtest) did not add any unique vari-
kindergarten children following training. Vocabulary ance to word-level reading beyond the contribution of
knowledge at pretest predicted growth on both segmenta- phonological awareness. Vellutino and his colleagues (Vel-
tion and blending skills, but was most strongly related to lutino & Scanlon, 1987; Vellutino et al., 1991) examined the
segmentation ability. Magnusson and Naucler longitudinal- contribution of semantic (WISC-R Vocabulary and Similar-
ly examined the linguistic and metalinguistic prerequisites ities subtests) and syntactic variables (Wug Test and gram-
to reading and spelling of 37 pairs of language-impaired matical judgment task) in predicting reading comprehen-
(LI) and normally achieving (NA) children matched for sex, sion in younger (second and third grades) and older (sixth
age, and nonverbal cognitive level prior to, and at the end and seventh grades) good and poor readers. Of the language
of, first grade. In all cases, both the LI and NA good spellers areas measured, the vocabulary tasks were the best predic-
and readers scored higher on the metaphonological and syn- tors of reading comprehension; the grammatical tasks
tactic comprehension and production tasks compared with accounted for no unique variance.
the poor LI and NA spellers and readers, indicating that Vellutino and colleagues (1991) reported mixed results
both linguistic (syntactic) and metalinguistic abilities may for group differences on the semantic and syntactic mea-
be important for the acquisition of literacy skills. sures at each grade level. Neither vocabulary nor grammat-
In their study of 9-year-old students in three ability ical measures distinguished the second- and third-grade
groups (those with reading disabilities, those with attention good and poor readers, but both language areas differentiat-
deficit hyperactivity disorder without an accompanying ed groups at sixth and seventh grades. Recently, Vellutino et
reading disability, and typical readers), Lombardino, Ric- al. (1996) reported no group differences on semantic mea-
cio, Hynd, and Pinheiro (1997) showed that, as a combined sures in kindergarten and first-grade normal and poor read-
sample, the expressive language composite score and ers, whereas group differences were found on some of the
phonemic awareness accounted for 59% of unique variance syntactic measures. These findings were interpreted as con-
in word attack, with phonemic awareness alone accounting firming that phonologically based skills are most important
for 49% of the word attack variance. Passage comprehen- in the early stage of reading but that syntactic and semantic
sion was best predicted by phonemic awareness, the expres- abilities may be influential when the reading task becomes
sive language composite score, and the receptive language more a meaning-based than a decoding activity.
composite score, contributing 57% of its variance. Expres- In summary, the relationship between structural language
sive language alone accounted for 49% of the unique vari- knowledge and reading acquisition remains equivocal
ance in reading comprehension. Recently, Catts and col- because the data supporting this connection are mixed.
leagues (1999) followed a group of good and poor readers Metasemantics. Given the strong positive correlation
from kindergarten to second grade and found that oral lan- between phonological awareness and reading, other met-
guage (a composite score derived from receptive and alinguistic skills such as metasemantic awareness are prob-
expressive language measures) accounted for small but sig- ably also related to reading. Metasemantics is the ability to
nificant unique variance in predicting second-grade reading manipulate the meanings of words, phrases, and sentences
comprehension and word recognition controlling for IQ. and includes the ability to understand and generate nonlit-
The literature also contains counter- or equivocal evi- eral language forms such as idioms (e.g., He hit the ceiling);
dence for the relationship between structural language vari- metaphors (e.g., Butterflies are rainbows); similes (e.g., The
ables and reading with both normally developing and dis- clouds are like ice cream); and proverbs (e.g., Dont count
abled samples. Mann (1984) reported that a measure of your chickens before theyre hatched). Metasemantics is a
syntactic comprehension administered in kindergarten mar- likely candidate for analysis of successful reading acquisi-
ginally differentiated good and poor readers in first grade tion for several reasons. First, basic vocabulary knowledge
but did not distinguish poor from average readers. Both has been shown to be related to reading (Torgesen & Davis,
262 The Journal of Educational Research

1996; Vellutino & Scanlon, 1987; Vellutino et al., 1991), Despite prevailing sentiment, few researchers have con-
and children with language and reading disabilities demon- ducted studies that directly test the connection between nar-
strate reduced receptive and expressive vocabulary funds rative skill and reading. Most previous investigations are
(Leonard, 1989). cross-sectional and are characterized by a group-difference
Second, metasemantics is a higher order semantic skill design, in which children with and without disabilities are
that is based on the organization of word knowledge into compared on some dimension of oral language without an
semantic networks. Thus, it is not surprising that children independent measure of reading. As a result, the connection
with language and learning disorders across the elementary between narration and reading has been inferred, not
school years demonstrate particular difficulty with tasks demonstrated. The exception is the work of Feagans and
that require metasemantic processing (Lutzer, 1988; Nip- Appelbaum (1986) and Feagans and Short (1984), which
pold & Fey, 1993; Seidenberg & Bernstein, 1986). The dif- provides direct evidence that oral narration abilities con-
ficulties that these children exhibit on metasemantic tasks tribute to reading achievement and offers convincing impe-
may be an extension of their reduced vocabularies. Gibbs tus for further pursuing the strength of the connection.
(1991), for example, showed that knowledge of literal word
meaning helped facilitate childrens interpretation of figura- Developmental Patterns of Oral Language and Reading
tive meaning. Finally, Torgesen (1995) showed that vocab-
ulary knowledge plays a larger role than phonological Oral language and reading are developmental processes
awareness in childrens reading performance as they ad- that undergo both quantitative and qualitative changes over
vance through the primary grades. Therefore, a childs level time. In their attempts to specify the relationship between
of metasemantic proficiency may be a sensitive predictor of oral language and reading, researchers must acknowledge
developing reading skill; however, data directly addressing both the dynamic nature of the language acquisition process
this hypothesis have yet to be reported in the literature. and the breadth of linguistic skills that children acquire.
Narrative discourse. There is a widely held belief that This knowledge leads us to suspect that the link between
narrative discourse serves as a major transition between oral oral language skills and reading is not uniform over time but
language and literacy (Bashir & Scavuzzo, 1992; Westby, changes during the developmental period of early reading.
1984, 1991). Developmentally, children are thought to Although phonological awareness plays the crucial role in
progress from conversational discourse, an interactive use word decoding, other higher order oral language skills may
of language, to narrative discourse, a literate language form. become more influential as reading acquisition proceeds.
Moreover, oral narration and written text share many com- The results of Vellutino and Scanlon (1987); Vellutino et al.
mon properties. Both are monologue forms of language. (1991); and Vellutino et al. (1996) provide support for a
Also, like written text, the syntactic structure of narratives developmental progression and underscore the importance
is both more concise and complex and involves the use of of developmental studies. Snyder and Downeys (1991)
unfamiliar and abstract vocabulary. Finally, both narration work also is consistent with a developmental proposal.
and text are considered decontextualized language forms Those authors found that narrative discourse accounted for
because they are generated after, or independently of, an unique variance in reading in an older group of participants
experience and are therefore distanced from reality (1114 years of age), and, to a lesser extent, in a younger
(Dickinson & Snow, 1987; Westby, 1991). group (811 years of age). A similar developmental pattern
Children purportedly bring a basic knowledge of narra- is anticipated in the area of metasemantics. Metasemantic
tive structure to the reading acquisition task and apply this abilities are relatively late-developing oral language forms,
knowledge in their efforts to learn how to decipher written emerging throughout the elementary school years. As
text. Thus, we reasoned that deficits in oral narration may increased facility is gained with these forms, children will
have a substantial impact on childrens reading achievement likely access this knowledge to help in the reading compre-
when narrative structure has not been sufficiently developed hension process, and vice versa.
or cannot be effectively accessed.
The potential role of narrative discourse skill in reading The Present Study
acquisition is supported by studies demonstrating that chil-
dren with language and reading disabilities perform signifi- To elucidate the oral languagereading connection, we
cantly more poorly on tasks that measure several different followed a group of normally developing kindergarten chil-
narrative processes, including story memory (Gillam & John- dren for 3 years, obtaining measures of structural language,
ston, 1992; Graybeal, 1981), story comprehension (Merritt & metalinguistics, narrative discourse, and background vari-
Liles, 1987; Oakhill, 1984), and story production (Roth & ables in kindergarten. We collected reading measures in
Spekman, 1986; Roth, Spekman, & Fye, 1995). Researchers kindergarten and in first and second grades. The purpose of
also have demonstrated that skill in narrative discourse may this study was twofold: (a) to determine the predictive rela-
be a predictor of reading achievement and later academic tionships of a broad spectrum of oral language skills mea-
success (Bishop & Edmundson, 1987; Feagans & Appel- sured in kindergarten with the reading ability of children in
baum, 1986; Paul & Smith, 1993; Stephens, 1988). first and second grades, taking into consideration a variety
May/June 2002 [Vol. 95(No. 5)] 263

of background factors and (b) to determine whether differ- Materials and Procedures
ent aspects of oral language are important to reading skill at
different points in development. The materials consisted of three types of measures: oral
language, background, and reading variables. The measures
Method included both norm-referenced and experimental tasks
known to be reliable and valid (see Table 2). The kinder-
Participants garten battery is presented in the Oral language section that
follows.
The children who participated in this study attended a Oral language. We measured three domains of oral lan-
public elementary school in the mid-Atlantic states. The guage. Structural language was assessed with measures of
initial sample for the kindergarten analysis consisted of 88 semantics and syntax. The semantic measures were the
children from a population of 109. Reasons for attrition Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test-Revised (PPVT-R; Dunn
included parents and childrens refusal to participate and & Dunn, 1981)receptive vocabulary; Oral Vocabulary
limited English proficiency. According to school records, subtest of the Test of Language Development-Primary:2
the primary language of 22 (25%) of the children was a (TOLD-P:2; Newcomer & Hammill, 1988)word defini-
language other than English. The sample selected for this tions; and the Boston Naming Test (Boston; Goodglass &
study comprised the 66 children who were native English Kaplan, 1983)word retrieval. The syntactic and morpho-
speakers. logic measures were the Test of Auditory Comprehension of
As shown in Table 1, the study sample was diverse eco- Language-Revised (TACL-R; Carrow-Woolfolk, 1985)
nomically (32% received free/reduced-price lunches) and receptive morphology and syntax; and the Formulated Sen-
racially (45% African American, 1% American Indian, 48% tences subtest of the Clinical Evaluation of Language Fun-
White, and 5% Asian American). The mean age of the chil- damentals-Revised (CELF-R; Semel, Wiig, & Secord,
dren at the time of testing was 5 years, 6 months (range: 5 1987)expressive morphology and syntax.
years, 2 months to 6 years, 3 months). There were 38 boys Metalinguistic skills were measured by phonological
(58%) and 28 girls (42%) in the sample. awareness and metasemantic tasks. Phonological awareness
Of this sample, 48 children were located for follow-up was assessed by tasks of blending and elision (Torgesen,
testing in first grade and 39 in second grade. Chi-square n.d.). Both tasks have adequate internal consistency and
analyses were conducted for the nominal variables and t predictive validity with reading measures (Wagner et al.,
tests for continuous variables. No significant differences 1993; Wagner, Torgesen, & Rashotte, 1994). For the phono-
were found between the original kindergarten sample and logical blending task, children were asked to listen careful-
the sample remaining after second-grade attrition with ly as the examiner separately pronounced each sound of a
respect to gender, SES, race, intelligence, or the score on a word (e.g., /c/ /a/ /n/). They were then instructed to put the
measure of print awareness, the Test of Early Reading sounds together to say the whole word. There were 5 prac-
Achievement-2 (TERA-2; Reid, Hresko, & Hammill, tice items and 29 test items that ranged in difficulty from
1989). (All ps > .10.) one-syllable, two-phoneme words to four-syllable, eight-
phoneme words. The phonological elision tasks (also
referred to as sound deletion) required the children to say a
Table 1.Participant Characteristics word and then to say what the word would be if a specified
phoneme were deleted. For example, after repeating the
Grade word bat, the children were asked what word would be
K 1 2 left if the word was said without the /b/. There were 4 prac-
Variable n % n % n % tice items and 25 test items consisting of two- to six-
phoneme, one- to two-syllable words. The raw scores for
Gender each task were summed to provide a single measure of
Female 28 42 19 40 15 38
Male 38 58 29 60 24 62 phonological awareness. The use of a combined phonolog-
Free/reduced-price ical awareness score was based on recent findings by
lunches Schatschneider, Francis, Foorman, Fletcher, and Mehta
No 44 67 31 65 26 67
Yes 21 32 16 33 12 31 (1999) that blending and elision tasks in kindergarten are
Ethnicity measures of the same skill. Metasemantic skill was assessed
African American 30 45 23 48 18 46 through the Ambiguous Sentences and Figurative Language
American Indian 1 2 1 2 0 0
Asian American 3 5 2 4 2 5 subtests of the Test of Language Competence-Expanded
White 32 48 22 46 19 49 (TLC-E; Wiig & Secord, 1988)comprehension and pro-
n 66 48 39 duction of lexical ambiguity and idioms.
Narrative discourse was measured through an experimen-
Note. K = kindergarten. tal task of familiar story production (Roth & Spekman,
1986) and an adaptation of the Del Rio English Story Com-
264 The Journal of Educational Research

Table 2.Oral Language, Background, and Reading Measures in Kindergarten

Domain Test/variable name

Structural language
Semantics Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test-Revised
Test of Language Development-Primary:2/oral vocabulary
Boston Naming Test
Syntax Test of Auditory Comprehension of Language-Revised
Clinical Evaluation of Language Fundamentals-Revised/formulated sentences
Metalinguistics
Phonological awareness Torgesen's Tasks/elision
Torgesen's Tasks/blending
Metasemantics Test of Language Competence-Expanded/ambiguous sentences
Test of Language Competence-Expanded/figurative language
Narrative discourse
Familiar story production Propositions
Episodes
Story comprehension Del Rio English Story Comprehension Test
Reading
Print awareness Test of Early Reading Ability-2
Decoding Woodcock-Johnson Psychoeducational Battery-Revised/Letter-Word
Identification
Woodcock-Johnson Psychoeducational Battery-Revised/Word Attack
Comprehension Woodcock-Johnson Psychoeducational Battery-Revised/Passage
Comprehension
Background
Race Parent report
Socioeconomic status Free/reduced-price lunches
Family literacy Modified Morrison Parent questionnaire
Performance IQ Raven Coloured Progressive Matrices

Note. Reading comprehension measure added and structural language measures deleted in Grades 1 and 2.

prehension Test (San Felipe-Del Rio Consolidation Indepen- assessed by the Coloured Progressive Matrices (Raven,
dent School District, 1975)literal and inferential story 1965); and (e) family literacy, as measured by responses to
comprehension. The story production task required the chil- a modified form of a parent questionnaire developed by
dren to tell one of their favorite stories (e.g., Goldilocks and Morrison and his colleagues (Morrison, McMahon-Griffith,
the Three Bears). All stories were audiotaped, transcribed, Williamson, & Hardway, 1993). This 21-item questionnaire
and segmented into propositions (Fillmore, 1968). The over- asked parents to report on environmental and experiential
all strategy for analyzing stories followed a story grammar aspects of literacy in the home environment from which a
approach. Propositions, which approximate a main clause, single score was derived (maximum score = 36).
were used as a measure of story length and as the basic unit Reading measures. The kindergarten reading measures
of meaning within a story. The variables of interest were the included the TERA-2 (print awareness) and the Letter
number of propositions and the number of episodes within a Word Identification (LWID; identification of single letters
story. For the story comprehension task, each child listened and words)and Word Attack (WA; the pronunciation of
to three stories read by the examiner. Immediately following pseudowords) subtests of the Woodcock-Johnson Psycho-
the completion of each story, the child was asked two literal educational Battery-Revised (WJ-R; Woodcock & Johnson,
and two inferential questions about its content, from which 1989). In first and second grades, the reading measures
a single score was calculated. The order of story presentation included the LWID and WA subtests of the WJ-R, as well as
was held constant across children; the order of question the addition of the Passage Comprehension (PC) subtest.
types (literal vs. inferential) was randomized. The test battery was reduced in first and second grades and
Interrater reliability was calculated on 15% of the proto- included the metalinguistic, narrative, and reading measures.
cols each year for proposition segmentation (minimum of In kindergarten, the children were tested in two 1-hr sessions;
92% agreement) and episode segmentation (minimum of in first and second grade, a single 1-hr session was conduct-
85% agreement). Previous work provided evidence of con- ed. Testing occurred between February and April each year.
current validity in that the measures discriminated between
children (and adults) with and without learning disabilities Data Analysis
(Roth & Spekman, 1986, 1994).
Background measures. The background variables con- The analysis plan relied on multiple regression in which
sisted of (a) race; (b) gender; (c) SES, as measured by the primary aim was to identify parsimonious models con-
free/reduced-price lunches; (d) nonverbal intelligence (IQ), taining oral language and background variables to explain
May/June 2002 [Vol. 95(No. 5)] 265

significant variance in early reading (LWID, WA, PC). The domain-specific analyses, variables were retained if they
search for parsimony necessitates the use of a stringent, accounted for unique variance.
model-testing analysis strategy because the goal is to iden-
tify, from an array of variables, only the most influential Results
and theoretically relevant contributors to the explanation of
Descriptive Statistics
reading variance. A two-staged analysis strategy was used
(see Figure 1). In Stage 1, a preliminary set of analyses was Table 3 shows the descriptive statistics for all oral lan-
conducted to identify measures in the domains of oral lan- guage and reading measures. Table 4 reports the correla-
guage (structural language, metalinguistics, and narrative tional data for all continuously measured variables during
discourse) and background variables that explained unique the kindergarten year, and Table 5 gives the correlations
variance in reading. Variables were said to explain unique longitudinally for measures taken from kindergarten with
variance in reading if, when entered last in the hierarchical reading measures taken from first and second grades.
series, the variables regression parameters were statistical-
ly significant (p < .05). For each domain-specific model Predicting First-Grade Reading From Kindergarten
tested, the autoregressor for the dependent measure (i.e.,
WA, LWID, PC) was entered prior to the analysis of the lan- In this section, we report the results of regressive analy-
guage and background variables. The autoregressor was ses that explored the prediction of first-grade reading from
entered first into each regression model to control for a variables assessed in kindergarten. The unique and overall
childs initial skill for each of the dependent measures. The R2 values, standardized beta weights, and t ratios for each
significant variables from each domain-specific analysis variable in the parsimonious regression models are con-
were carried forward to the Stage 2 analysis to ascertain the tained in Table 6. The test statistics for the parsimonious
parsimonious model for the prediction of LWID, WA, and models are presented in text.
PC. At this stage, candidate variables from multiple do- Pseudoword reading. There were no significant kinder-
mains were tested simultaneously to establish their relative garten predictors of first-grade pseudoword reading scores
influence on the reading measures. Two sets of predictive for the domains of narrative discourse beyond the influence
models were tested for each reading skill (kindergarten to of the autoregressorpseudoword reading score in kinder-
first grade; kindergarten to second grade). As with the garten. Among the background variables, IQ (unique R2 =

Table 3.Descriptive Statistics for All Measures

Grade
K 1 2
Variable name (test) M SD M SD M SD

Receptive vocabulary (PPVT-R) 104 16


Oral vocabulary (TOLD-P:2) 10 2
Word retrieval (Boston Naming Test) 26 8
Receptive morphology and syntax (TACL-R) 101 14
Expressive morphology and syntax (CELF-R) 8 3
Blending (Torgesen's Tasks) 9 6 14 6 18 5
Elision (Torgesen's Tasks) 6 4 11 6 16 5
Ambiguous sentences (TLC-E) 8 3 10 4 11 3
Figurative language (TLC-E) 10 3 10 3 12 3
Propositions (Familiar story production) 22 21 27 19 43 46
Episodes (Familiar story production) 3 2 4 2 4 3
Story comprehension (Del Rio) 7 3
Print awareness (TERA-2) 109 13
Word reading (WJ-R/Letter-Word Identification) 105 17 110 18 116 19
Pseudoword reading (WJ-R/Word Attack) 106 17 108 24 109 18
Reading comprehension (WJ-R/Passage Comprehension) 109 20 115 16
Family literacy (questionnaire) 29 5
Nonverbal intelligence (Raven) 20 5
n 66 48 39

Note. K = kindergarten. PPVT = Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test-Revised; TOLD = Test of Language Development:Oral Vocabu-
lary; TACL-R = Test of Auditory Comprehension of Language-Revised; CELF-R = Clinical Evaluation of Language Fundamentals-
Revised; TLC-E = Test of Language Competence-Expanded; Del Rio = Del Rio English Story Comprehension Test; TERA-2 = Test
of Early Reading Ability (2nd ed.); WJ-R = Woodcock-Johnson Revised; Raven = Raven Coloured Progressive Matrices.
266 The Journal of Educational Research

Table 4.Correlations in Kindergarten

Variable 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17

1. Receptive vocabulary (PPVT-R)


2. Oral vocabulary (TOLD-P:2) .31
3. Word retrieval (Boston Naming Test) .74 .38
4. Receptive morphology and syntax
(TACL-R) .54 .42 .58
5. Expressive morphology and syntax
(CELF-R) .56 .33 .77 .58
6. Blending (Torgesen's Tasks) .27 .22 .22 .46 .36
7. Elision (Torgesen's Tasks) .29 .23 .54 .53 .66 .51
8. Ambiguous sentences (TLC-E) .64 .27 .68 .54 .54 .27 .36
9. Figurative language (TLC-E) .55 .11 .56 .45 .34 .14 .20 .47
10. Propositions (Familiar story production) .12 .18 .12 .01 .16 .08 .14 .05 .06
11. Episodes (Familiar story production) .13 .32 .03 .04 .09 .08 .15 .06 .07 .87
12. Story comprehension (Del Rio) .39 .30 .48 .40 .29 .15 .27 .33 .42 .01 .07
13. Print awareness (TERA-2) .36 .26 .53 .56 .63 .44 .67 .42 .43 .00 .00 .40
14. Word reading (WJ-R/Letter-Word
Identification) .17 .24 .41 .38 .57 .49 .72 .18 .19 .20 .16 .18 .77
15. Pseudoword reading (WJ-R/Word Attack) .13 .18 .31 .27 .53 .50 .70 .05 .07 .22 .24 .06 .60 .86
16. Family literacy (questionnaire) .33 .44 .47 .45 .35 .15 .28 .27 .29 .23 .25 .25 .21 .29 .14
17. Nonverbal intelligence (Raven) .47 .23 .54 .51 .54 .26 .27 .37 .39 .09 .03 .11 .33 .27 .13 .26

Note. PPVT = Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test-Revised; TOLD = Test of Language Development: Oral Vocabulary; TACL-R = Test of Auditory Comprehension of Lan-
guage-Revised; CELF-R = Clinical Evaluation of Language Fundamentals-Revised; TLC-E = Test of Language Competence-Expanded; Del Rio = Del Rio English Story
Comprehension Test; TERA-2 = Test of Early Reading Ability (2nd ed.); WJ-R = Woodcock-Johnson Revised; Raven = Raven Coloured Progressive Matrices.

.07) and family literacy (unique R2 = .07) were significant Reading comprehension. We used the print awareness
predictors, along with the autoregressor. Within the domain measure (TERA-2) as the autoregressor for first-grade com-
of metalinguistics, phonological awareness (unique R2 = .04) prehension because we did not administer the WJ-R Pas-
and ambiguous sentences (unique R2 = .03) were significant, sage Comprehension subtest in kindergarten. The kinder-
together with the autoregressor, accounting for 73% of the garten print awareness scores correlated .74 with first-grade
variance. Within structural language, comprehension of syn- reading comprehension, making it a reasonable surrogate.
tax (TACL-R) was significant, along with the autoregressor, As in the other analyses, the autoregressor in kindergarten
accounting for 69% of the variance in pseudoword reading. was a significant predictor of every model predicting first-
The final model tested included the autoregressor, phono- grade reading comprehension. The domain-specific analy-
logical awareness, ambiguous sentences, and comprehen- ses identified as significant predictors, narrative discourse
sion of syntax. The parsimonious model included the autore- (episodes, R2 = .06) and metalinguistics (phonological
gressor, F(1, 37) = 27.1, p < .0001, phonological awareness, awareness, R2 = .08) beyond the autoregressive effect of
F(1, 37) = 6.7, p < .05, IQ, F(1, 37) = 7.4, p < .05, and fam- print awareness. Beyond the autoregressor, the only signifi-
ily literacy, F(1, 37) = 5.8, p < .05, with the overall R2 = .80 cant variable from the background domain was family liter-
(see Table 7). acy (R2 = .08). For structural language, significant predic-
Word reading. The autoregressor was a significant pre- tors were oral receptive (R2 = .05), expressive vocabulary
dictor of every model predicting word reading. The signifi- (R2 = .02), and word retrieval (R2 = .08). The final model
cant variables and unique variances (R2) for the domain- tested the effects of these variables and the autoregressor
specific analyses of word reading were as follows: (print awareness). The parsimonious model retained print
background (IQ, R2 = .05) and family literacy (R2 = .06); awareness, F(1, 42) = 37.5, p < .0001; oral vocabulary, F(1,
metalinguistics (phonological awareness, R2 = .04 and 42) = 4.2, p < .05; narrative episodes, F(1, 42) = 16.4, p <
ambiguous sentences, R2 = .05); and structural language .001; and family literacy, F(1, 42) = 9.3, p < .01, with a total
(receptive syntax, R2 = .09). There were no significant pre- R2 = .74 (see Table 6).
dictors from the domain of narrative discourse. The final
model included the significant domain variables and the Predicting Second-Grade Reading From Kindergarten
autoregressor (word reading) measured in kindergarten.
The parsimonious model included the autoregressor, F(1, In this section, we report the results of regression analy-
47) = 22.4, p < .0001; phonological awareness, F(1, 47) = ses that explored the prediction of second-grade reading
6.6, p < .05; and ambiguous sentences, F(1, 47) = 8.3, p < from variables assessed in kindergarten The unique and
.01. The overall R2 was .75. overall R values, standardized beta weights, and t ratios for
May/June 2002 [Vol. 95(No. 5)] 267

Table 5.Correlations for Oral Language, Background, and Reading Variables: Kindergarten to First
and Second Grades

First grade Second grade


Kindergarten variable WR PR RC WR PR RC

Receptive vocabulary .43 .38 .38 .47 .45 .51


Oral vocabulary .56 .48 .53 .65 .58 .70
Word retrieval .68 .62 .68 .72 .64 .76
Receptive morphology and syntax .68 .58 .59 .70 .68 .72
Expressive morphology and syntax .66 .58 .66 .58 .55 .58
Phonemic awareness (elision + blending) .77 .80 .71 .78 .78 .66
Ambiguous sentences .58 .48 .51 .65 .60 .60
Figurative language .40 .29 .47 .44 .41 .51
Propositions .16 .17 .22 .07 .02 .06
Episodes .16 .18 .24 .06 .00 .08
Story comprehension .34 .24 .38 .42 .31 .56
Print awareness .76 .66 .74 .73 .70 .70
Word reading .79 .75 .78 .65 .62 .58
Pseudoword reading .66 .76 .64 .53 .56 .39
Nonverbal intelligence .47 .44 .48 .42 .38 .38
Family literacy .50 .40 .50 .52 .44 .58

Note. WR = word reading; PR = pseudoword reading; RC = reading comprehension.

Table 6.Parsimonious Models: Kindergarten to First Grade

R2 Unique
Criterion (overall) Predictor Std. t ratio R2

Pseudoword reading .80 Word Attack in kindergarten .54 5.20*** .15


Phonological awareness .29 2.59* .04
IQ .22 2.73* .04
Family literacy .19 2.42* .06
Word reading .75 Word reading in kindergarten .49 4.73*** .13
Phonological awareness .29 2.58* .04
Ambiguous sentences .25 2.87** .05
Reading comprehension .74 Print awareness .56 6.10*** .25
Oral vocabulary .20 2.05* .03
Narrative episodes .34 4.00*** .11
Family literacy .30 3.00*** .06

Note. Std. = standard. Overall R 2 was adjusted for number of variables in the model. Unique R 2 is the variance accounted for
by the predictor variable when entered last.
*p < .05. **p < .01. ***p < .001.

each variable in the parsimonious regression models are comprehension of syntax. The parsimonious model includ-
contained in Table 7. The test statistics for the parsimonious ed only phonological awareness, F(1, 37) = 59.67, p <
models are presented in the text. .0001, R2 = .61.
Pseudoword reading. There were no significant kinder- Word reading. The significant variables and unique vari-
garten predictors of second-grade pseudoword reading ances (R2) for the domain-specific analyses of word reading
scores for the domains of narrative discourse and back- were as follows: background (race, R2 = .14 beyond the
ground variables beyond the influence of the autoregressor effect of the autoregressor); metalinguistics (phonological
(pseudoword reading score in kindergarten). Within the awareness, R2 = .60 with nonsignificant autoregressor
domain of metalinguistics, phonological awareness alone effect); and word retrieval (R2 = .16 beyond the effect of the
(i.e., the autoregressor was nonsignificant) was significant, autoregressor). There were no significant predictors from
accounting for 61% of the variance. Within structural lan- the domain of narrative discourse. The final model included
guage, comprehension of syntax was significant, account- the significant domain variables and the autoregressor
ing for 23% of the variance in pseudoword reading beyond (word reading) measured in kindergarten. The parsimonious
the effect of the autoregressor. The final model tested model retained only phonological awareness, F(1, 37) =
included the autoregressor, phonological awareness, and 59.35, p < .0001, R2 = .61.
268 The Journal of Educational Research

Table 7.Parsimonious Models: Kindergarten to Second Grade

R2 Unique
Criterion (overall) Predictor Std. t ratio R2

Pseudoword reading .61 Phonological awareness .78 7.72*** .61


Word reading .60 Phonological awareness .78 7.70*** .60
Reading comprehension .71 Print awareness .28 2.36* .04
Oral vocabulary .36 3.39** .09
Word retrieval .36 2.78** .06

Note. Std. = standard. Overall R 2 was adjusted for number of variables in the model. Unique R 2 is the variance accounted for
by the predictor variable when entered last.
*p < .05. **p < .01. ***p < .001.

Reading comprehension. Print awareness (TERA-2) was portions of unique variance are small, but they are the con-
used as the autoregressor for second-grade reading compre- sequence of a stringent data analysis plan. Even so, a post
hension because we did not administer the reading compre- hoc analysis showed substantial shared variance between
hension subtest in kindergarten. The correlation between oral language variables other than phonological awareness.
the kindergarten TERA-2 scores and second-grade reading Specifically, oral vocabulary and word retrieval together
comprehension was .72, making it a reasonable surrogate. accounted for 23% of the variance in second-grade reading
Phonological awareness significantly predicted reading comprehension beyond the influence of kindergarten print
comprehension (R2 = .04) independent of the autoregressor. awareness skill. The following discussion addresses the
Story comprehension was a significant narrative predictor results for each of the three oral language domains exam-
of reading comprehension (R2 = .05) also independent of ined in this study as well as developmental and method-
the autoregressor. The only significant predictor for the ological issues.
background domain independent of the autoregressor was
race (R2 = .06). Oral vocabulary (R2 = .09) and word Structural Language
retrieval (R2 = .06) were significant. The final model includ-
ed these variables and the autoregressor. The domain-spe- A major finding of this study was that semantic knowl-
cific significant variables for metalinguistics were kinder- edge, as measured by word definitions and word retrieval,
garten phonemic awareness, ambiguous sentences, and in combination with kindergarten print awareness, was a
figurative language (R2 = .39, .69, and .75, respectively). more potent predictor of reading comprehension in first and
The parsimonious models retained print awareness, oral second grades than was phonological awareness. Although
vocabulary, and word retrieval, but not race, F(3, 35) = phonological awareness was highly predictive of word and
31.55, p < .0001, R2 = .71 (see Table 7). pseudoword reading ability in second grade, it did not pre-
dict reading comprehension. Torgesen, Wagner, Rashotte,
Discussion Burgess, and Hecht (1997) reported a modest but significant
proportion of unique variance associated with phonological
This longitudinal study was undertaken to clarify the awareness in the prediction of reading comprehension.
developmental relationship between oral language and Their analysis, however, was based on increases in reading
beginning reading. We measured a broad range of receptive comprehension between the second and fourth grades. The
and expressive skills in a group of normally developing present findings indicate that different aspects of oral lan-
kindergarten children to understand the predictive relation- guage are important for different reading tasks during the
ship between oral language skills measured in kindergarten development of early reading skill.
and reading performance in first and second grades. As The two semantic skills that were important for reading
expected, phonological awareness skill measured in kinder- comprehension were oral definitions and word retrieval.
garten predicted word and pseudoword reading in first and According to Snow (1991), Dickinson and Snow (1987),
second grades. What is more interesting is what phonologi- and Snow, Tabors, Nicholson, and Kurland (1995), the abil-
cal awareness does not predict: reading comprehension in ity to define a word is a decontextualized language skill in
first and second grades. The results of multidomain predic- that it necessitates distancing oneself from language and
tive models indicate that semantic abilities, in conjunction talking about the world beyond the here and now. Thus,
with the autoregressor, were most predictive of first- and word definitions can be considered a higher level semantic
second-grade reading comprehension; phonological aware- skill than concrete (i.e., labeling) vocabulary knowledge
ness contributed no unique variance. Thus, oral language because one must be able to reflect on the lexicon and state
ability contributes to early reading skill in ways other than explicitly what is known implicitly (Watson, 1985). Snow
through the influence of phonological awareness. The pro- and colleagues found evidence that decontextualized lan-
May/June 2002 [Vol. 95(No. 5)] 269

guage skills are strongly correlated with childrens subse- influence on second-grade word-level reading, whereas the
quent reading and spelling achievement (Snow, Cancino, autoregressor did not.
Gonzalez, & Shriberg, 1989). More recently, Snow and col- The data also support our hypothesis that metalinguistic
leagues (1995) showed that oral definitions measured in skills in addition to phonoloigcal awareness were signifi-
kindergarten and first grade were the strongest oral lan- cant correlates of beginning reading. Metasemantic skill
guage predictors of all three forms of literacy tested (word measured via comprehension and production of lexically
decoding, reading comprehension, and spelling) within and ambiguous sentences contributed unique variance to first-
across grades. Other language skills measured were vocab- grade word reading equal to that contributed by phonologi-
ulary, narrative discourse, knowledge of superordinates, and cal awareness. The inference is that the ability to manipu-
listening comprehension. Our finding that oral definitions late the meaning component of language is one of the
was a significant predictor of reading comprehension pro- significant indicators of single-word reading in first grade.
vides support for Snows hypothesis that decontextualized
language is important to reading comprehension ability as Narrative Discourse
children move into middle elementary school grades and
skilled reading begins to emerge. On the basis of the extant literature, we anticipated that
Word retrieval measured in kindergarten was the other narrative discourse would increasingly account for variance
aspect of semantics that combined with oral definitions to in reading comprehension between kindergarten and second
predict reading comprehension in second grade. In the pres- grade as children master single-word reading and begin to
ent study, we measured word retrieval using a confrontation read connected text for meaning. However, we found that
naming (CN) task in which the children were required to narrative skill measured in kindergarten accounted for
name individually presented pictures of familiar objects in an unique variance in reading comprehension in first grade but
untimed format. Our results are consistent with previous not second grade. Further examination of the kinder-
reports regarding the relationship between word finding and gartenfirst grade relationship revealed that the bivariate
reading ability that also used a CN task (Catts, 1993; Troia, correlation was negative (r = .24). Our results may indicate
Roth, & Yeni-Komshian, 1996; Wolf, 1991). It is important to that conventional thinking regarding the presumed role of
note that, in this study, word retrieval was conceptualized as narrative discourse in literacy acquisition is inaccurate
a measure of semantic knowledge, that of lexical naming (Bashir & Scavuzzo, 1992; Klecan-Aker & Kelty, 1990;
accuracy. However, word retrieval also involves a phonolog- Westby, 1984, 1991). It is possible that task-related variables
ical processing component. The ability to successfully access such as the types of elicitation tasks and coding procedures
words from ones mental lexicon relies, in part, on the effi- used affected the outcome. However, the narrative measure
ciency with which information is phonologically coded in was selected on the basis of its sensitivity to narrative per-
memory (Baddeley, 1984). So, in the case of word retrieval as formance differences between school-aged students with
measured in this study, it is probably most accurate to con- and without learning disabilities (Roth & Spekman, 1986).
clude that its influence on reading comprehension represents It may be that reading at the end of second grade is still
a confluence of semantic and phonological knowledge. primarily a decoding task, and narrative skill may become
Although our findings indicate that semantic language more important when children become more skilled readers.
skills have a direct link with early reading acquisition, the This explanation is supported by Snyder and Downey (1991)
precise nature of the relationship is still unresolved in that who found that narrative discourse skill accounted for a sig-
the structural language variables were measured only in nificant proportion of variance in reading comprehension in
kindergarten. It will be important to investigate the pattern normally developing 8-to-11-year-old children, and
of influence of semantic and syntactic skills on reading in explained an even higher proportion of unique reading com-
the primary grades as children begin to receive formal read- prehension variance in their older group of normal achievers
ing instruction and gain proficiency in decoding. who ranged between 11 and 14 years of age. Still, the likeli-
hood of a strong connection between oral narration and read-
Metalinguistics ing is diminished by the finding that lexical-level skills were
significant predictors of text-level reading, whereas oral nar-
The findings are consistent with previous work in that ration showed no relationship to text-level reading.
phonological awareness measured in kindergarten predicted
first- and second-grade word identification and pseudoword Developmental Issues
reading. Because the autoregressors were not significant at
second grade, our results also showed that phonological Scarborough (1998) noted that the predictors of reading
awareness was a better predictor of second-grade perfor- will likely change depending on the time periods during
mance than was word decoding or pseudoword reading which the independent and dependent measures are collect-
measured in kindergarten. This latter finding is similar to ed. Our results bear this out. We found that a semantic skill
that of Wagner and colleagues (1994) who reported that measured in kindergarten accounted for unique variance in
kindergarten phonological awareness exerted a significant first-grade, but not second-grade word reading. Another
270 The Journal of Educational Research

kindergarten semantic skill (word retrieval) accounted for variance attributed to the language variables. However, the
unique variance in second-grade, but not first-grade reading unique influence of syntax and word retrieval is diminished
comprehension. The role of the background variables and in the presence of (a) phonological awareness in the predic-
the autoregressors also varied in the prediction of first- and tion of word-level reading skills and (b) semantics and
second-grade reading. In each first-grade parsimonious metasemantics in the prediction of reading comprehension.
model, the autoregressors accounted for the most unique The discrepancies also may be due, in part, to the frame-
variance in reading skill. In addition, the influence of the work of oral language adopted in this study. Our approach
background variables was evident at first grade but not at sec- represents a departure from methods in which one or two
ond grade. Family literacy was a significant predictor for measures were used to represent language skill. Ricard and
both pseudoword reading and reading comprehension, and Snow (1990) cautioned against using a single measure to
IQ also significantly predicted pseudoword reading. Howev- assess oral language skill, suggesting that different tasks
er, these results did not hold for second grade, wherein nei- reflect different levels of proficiency. The framework adopt-
ther the autoregressors nor background variables accounted ed in this study regards language as a complex system of
for unique variance. We speculate that the background vari- skills that interact and overlap with one another but assumes
ables served as a springboard for acquiring first-grade read- that different tasks measure different aspects of language.
ing skills but then were mediated by the effects of instruction, Accordingly, we examined a broad range of language vari-
the further development of oral language, and increased skill ables within different components of the linguistic system.
in reading. Further elaboration of these relationships and In addition, there are different perspectives regarding which
their implications for instruction are warranted. variables require inclusion in an examination of the oral lan-
guagereading connection. Catts et al. (1999), for instance,
Methodological Issues argued that IQ, particularly full-scale IQ, should not be con-
trolled because it is a general variable whose connection
This study provides longitudinal evidence that oral lan- with reading is not specific or clear. The differential selec-
guage variables other than phonological awareness are pre- tion of variables to be controlled across studies has con-
dictive of beginning reading for both word-level reading tributed to the diverse results obtained (Roth et al., 1996;
and text comprehension. When considered in the context of Roth, Cooper, & Speece, 1999). On the basis of the present
the existing literature, our findings both mirror and chal- findings, semantic and metasemantic variables, in addition
lenge previous work and assumptions. Most discrepant to phonological awareness, appear to be the best candidates
from previous assertions is the absence of data to support to elaborate the oral languageearly reading connection.
the presumed influence of narrative discourse on reading
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