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PEMILIHAN SEGMEN PROYEK TOLL

Data Perencanaan:
1. Tipe jalan 6/2 D (1 lajur = 3,6 meter)
2. Harga lahan setiap segmen
- Segmen 1 = Rp 500.000,-/m2
- Segmen 2 = Rp 600.000,-/m2
- Segmen 3 = Rp 300.000,-/m2
3. Biaya Konstruksi Jalan Toll Rp 5 Milyar/km/lajur
4. Biaya Feasibility Study = 0,5% (dari biaya konstruksi)
5. Biaya DED = 1,5% (dari biaya konstruksi)
6. Biaya AMDAL = 1,0% (dari biaya konstruksi)
7. Biaya Andalalin = 0,75% (dari biaya konstruksi)
8. Biaya OM = 1% (dari biaya konstruksi)
9. Inflasi tidak diperhitungkan
10. MARR 15%/tahun
11. Bunga kredit bank 10%/tahun
12. Usia Konstruksi Jalan = 20 tahun
13. Tarif Toll Rp 1000/km/kend.
14. Pertumbuhan Lalu Lintas, i = 1% per tahun
15. Tarif Toll naik setiap 2 tahun sebesar 10%/2tahun

Pertanyaan:
Catatan: Soal point a dan point b diasumsikan semua terbangun dan beroperasi
a. Layak/tidak jika waktu investasi adalah 30 tahun
b. Jika waktu 30 tahun tidak layak, tahun berapakah waktu bahwa proyek tersebut mulai layak

c. Jika diminta memilih pelaksanaan proyek secara segmentasi berdasarkan prioritas, Segmen
manakah yang paling pertama dapat dibangun?
Skema Cashflow Proyek

Perhitungan Komponen Outflow dan Inflow


Biaya Konstruksi Total = Rp 1,050,000,000,000
Pembebasan Lahan Total = Rp 510,600,000,000

Tahun Kegiatan Outflow Inflow


1 FS Rp 5,250,000,000 Rp -
2 DED, Amdal, Andalalin Rp 34,125,000,000 Rp -
3 Pembebasan lahan Rp 127,650,000,000 Rp -
4 Pembebasan lahan Rp 127,650,000,000 Rp -
5 Pembebasan lahan Rp 127,650,000,000 Rp -
6 Pembebasan lahan Rp 127,650,000,000 Rp -
7 Konstruksi Rp 350,000,000,000 Rp -
8 Konstruksi Rp 350,000,000,000 Rp -
9 Konstruksi Rp 350,000,000,000 Rp -
10 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,067,625,000,000
11 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,078,301,250,000
12 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,197,992,688,750
13 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,209,972,615,638
14 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,344,279,575,973
15 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,357,722,371,733
16 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,508,429,554,995
17 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,523,513,850,545
18 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,692,623,887,956
19 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,709,550,126,835
20 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,899,310,190,914
21 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 1,918,303,292,823
22 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 2,131,234,958,327
23 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 2,152,547,307,910
24 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 2,391,480,059,088
25 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 2,415,394,859,679
26 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 2,683,503,689,103
27 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 2,710,338,725,994
28 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 3,011,186,324,580
29 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 3,041,298,187,825
30 Re- Konstruksi Rp 1,050,000,000,000 Rp 3,378,882,286,674
31 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 3,412,671,109,541
32 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 3,791,477,602,700
33 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 3,829,392,378,727
34 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 4,254,454,932,765
35 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 4,296,999,482,093
36 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 4,773,966,424,605
37 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 4,821,706,088,851
38 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 5,356,915,464,714
39 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 5,410,484,619,361
40 OM Rp 10,500,000,000 Rp 6,011,048,412,110
NPV
BCR
Rp26,022,447.57
i coba-coba 33.63% IRR
10%
Manfaat = Inflow - outflow PV Manfaat Pay Back Period
Rp (5,250,000,000) Rp (5,250,000,000) Rp (5,250,000,000)
Rp (34,125,000,000) Rp (31,022,727,273) Rp (36,272,727,273)
Rp (127,650,000,000) Rp (105,495,867,769) Rp (141,768,595,041)
Rp (127,650,000,000) Rp (95,905,334,335) Rp (237,673,929,376)
Rp (127,650,000,000) Rp (87,186,667,577) Rp (324,860,596,954)
Rp (127,650,000,000) Rp (79,260,606,889) Rp (404,121,203,842)
Rp (350,000,000,000) Rp (197,565,875,519) Rp (601,687,079,361)
Rp (350,000,000,000) Rp (179,605,341,381) Rp (781,292,420,742)
Rp (350,000,000,000) Rp (163,277,583,073) Rp (944,570,003,815)
Rp 1,057,125,000,000 Rp 448,324,194,822 Rp (496,245,808,993)
Rp 1,067,801,250,000 Rp 411,683,606,382 Rp (84,562,202,611)
Rp 1,187,492,688,750 Rp 416,208,943,086 Rp 331,646,740,474
Rp 1,199,472,615,638 Rp 382,188,940,342
Rp 1,333,779,575,973 Rp 386,348,433,580
Rp 1,347,222,371,733 Rp 354,765,756,978
Rp 1,497,929,554,995 Rp 358,592,425,981
Rp 1,513,013,850,545 Rp 329,275,896,733
Rp 1,682,123,887,956 Rp 332,799,243,662
Rp 1,699,050,126,835 Rp 305,589,099,808
Rp 1,888,810,190,914 Rp 308,835,559,369
Rp 1,907,803,292,823 Rp 283,582,803,002
Rp 2,120,734,958,327 Rp 286,576,125,712
Rp 2,142,047,307,910 Rp 263,141,886,981
Rp 2,380,980,059,088 Rp 265,903,466,744
Rp 2,404,894,859,679 Rp 244,158,388,743
Rp 2,673,003,689,103 Rp 246,707,543,617
Rp 2,699,838,725,994 Rp 226,531,191,030
Rp 3,000,686,324,580 Rp 228,885,404,581
Rp 3,030,798,187,825 Rp 210,165,697,985
Rp 2,328,882,286,674 Rp 146,811,362,124
Rp 3,402,171,109,541 Rp 194,973,504,371
Rp 3,780,977,602,700 Rp 196,983,960,432
Rp 3,818,892,378,727 Rp 180,872,063,998
Rp 4,243,954,932,765 Rp 182,730,967,297
Rp 4,286,499,482,093 Rp 167,784,361,755
Rp 4,763,466,424,605 Rp 169,503,678,644
Rp 4,811,206,088,851 Rp 155,638,592,510
Rp 5,346,415,464,714 Rp 157,229,253,866
Rp 5,399,984,619,361 Rp 144,367,849,347
Rp 6,000,548,412,110 Rp 145,839,854,643
Rp 6,534,936,413,007
7.80

33.63%
Tarif tol per km

Rp 1,000
Rp 1,000
Rp 1,100
Rp 1,100
Rp 1,210
Rp 1,210
Rp 1,331
Rp 1,331
Rp 1,464
Rp 1,464
Rp 1,611
Rp 1,611
Rp 1,772
Rp 1,772
Rp 1,949
Rp 1,949
Rp 2,144
Rp 2,144
Rp 2,358
Rp 2,358
Rp 2,594
Rp 2,594
Rp 2,853
Rp 2,853
Rp 3,138
Rp 3,138
Rp 3,452
Rp 3,452
Rp 3,797
Rp 3,797
Rp 4,177