I S S U E : AU T U M N 2 0 1 5
MARKE
E
H
Should I Stay, or Should I Go?, our feature story in this edition of The Artisan,
T
T
UPDATE AND focuses on the salient points one should consider before becoming an expat
OUTLOOK during retirement. Next, we examine the serious topic of Elder Abuse, covering
Page 2
what signs to look for and how to prevent it. We then look at the benefits of Tax-Free
Savings Accounts and
how they can benefit
A Focus On Energy
every familys portfolio.
The Canadian energy industry is not
Turning our focus to
going to disappear; it is however going
through a difficult period estate planning issues,
we delve into Death
and Taxes and how
TS NE
HA to create an optimal
W
ORIGINS AND
situation so that more
UNDERSTANDING money stays with your
Page 2 family rather than going
to the government. All
of this together with our
10 Things You Need To Know market insights are in
About Tax Free Savings Accounts this issue of The Artisan.
(TFSAs)
PECTIV
RS
E
PE
STRO
S
U
SH SHOULD I STAY OR SHOULD I GO?
K
BR
FINANCIAL ELDER
ES
ABUSE PROTECTING Many people nearing retirement struggle with this decision. A
ONESELF number of our clients have made this transition over the last few
Page 6 years. They have learned that deciding to relocate is much more
than just picking a nice place to live in retirement - there are a variety of factors
While there are initiatives and programs to consider.
being developed to detect, identify and
mitigate elder financial abuse, there are Health Care Considerations
many preventative measures that can be
implemented to protect yourself. When assessing your needs it is important
to not only look at your current situation
but look at potential needs going forward.
ING F Often those who look at the future with rose
NN I
A
coloured glasses are served a harsh dose of
L
ES
PL
W
ORIGINS AND UPDATE AND
T
T
S
UNDERSTANDING OUTLOOK
A Focus on
Energy
This article will focus on Canadas role as a
significant energy producer and the impact of
recent sharp oil price declines.
Oil price declines had an immediate negative
10 Things You Need To Know About economic impact in Alberta and Saskatchewan.
Tax Free Savings Accounts (TFSAs) Canadas GNP as a whole declined in the first and
second quarters of 2015 - technically a recession.
1. How does a TFSA work? However, lower energy costs, plus a lower
Canadian dollar, had a positive impact outside the
The TFSA was launched in January,
oil producing provinces. Canadian manufacturers
2009 and can be defined by what it is not.
became more competitive and Canadian trade
Unlike a Registered Retirement Savings
balances with the U.S. improved.
Plan (RRSP), the contributions to a
TFSA account are not tax-deductible.
Your contributions to a TFSA account
are made with after-tax cash but you
can withdraw it tax free. Making a
contribution to an RRSP account gives you a tax deduction, but
when you take money out of an RRSP you pay tax on the amount you
withdraw.The tax free savings account, as the name suggests, is a tax
free savings haven rather than a tax-deferred shelter like an RRSP.
T H E A R T I S A N I S S U E : AU T U M N 2 0 1 5 2
ORIGINS AND UNDERSTANDING
(CONTINUED FROM PAGE 2)
3 T H E A R T I S A N I S S U E : AU T U M N 2 0 1 5
PECTIV MARKE
RS H
E
T
PE
S
S
(CONTINUED FROM PAGE 1) (CONTINUED FROM PAGE 3)
One of the most unanticipated effects on Fossil fuels are found concentrated
ones health is climate. Often those thinking underground in particular geological
of moving to a new area fail to consider what it would be formations with some formations allowing for relatively easy
like to live in a different climate at different times of the extraction of both oil and gas. Other formations were called
year. Being aware of typical weather patterns of your new tight with extraction difficult or impossible. For decades the easy
home is very important, both for your health and your peace formations provided the basis for world oil and gas production
of mind. For example, do you tend to get a bit depressed but a decade ago technology developed to produce from tight
without your daily dose of natural sunlight, yet are choosing formations. First it was the natural gas sector, with horizontal
to move to a region known for its rain? Are you moving drilling plus fracking rapidly growing natural gas production.
somewhere to get away from the winter, but are unsure
Horizontal drilling increases the exposure of a particular well bore
whether you will like the heat?
to a product producing section. Fracking shatters the tight rock
Social Considerations to allow hydro-carbons to
Budgeting for an extended vacation in the area you are escape. In North America
considering moving to is a good way to avoid making a big increased gas production
decision too soon. That way you can take the time to really caused prices to drop from
get to know the community you are planning to join. Get $6.00 to under $3.00 per
involved in activities that allow you to meet people and million cubic feet. Recently
make friends. Take the time to explore and try different Texas tight shales provided
areas move around. an excellent source of oil
When thinking about relocating in retirement, its critical using the same technology.
that you have an honest discussion with your family and
more importantly with your spouse. It is important that
Oil prices under $50.00 U.S. make most
everyone is in line with what the future will look like. Moving
world oil production uneconomical.
can be an adventure, but it can also put space between Oil prices under $50.00 U.S. make most world oil production
you and your loved ones. With that added distance, some uneconomical. The drilling of new oil wells has already declined
family members may not be able, or willing, to visit as much. sharply and where wells are drilled it is into high production
locations. Saudi Arabia has already lost billions of dollars at
these price levels but is showing no signs of changing its strategy.
Given falling production world wide and rising consumption, the
present oversupply of approximately 2.0 million barrels daily will
likely disappear within the next year. Where will prices settle as
demand and supply come into balance? With oil industry cost
cutting and efficiencies we see $60.00 US oil prices as the point
at which drilling and then production rise again particularly in the
Texas shales. We also have the prospect of Iranian oil entering the
market in 2016, which will not be price sensitive they need the
foreign exchange. So $60.00 could well be the new norm.
Consult your current social network to see who has Recent reports from the industry indicate
contacts in your new home town. Entering into an existing significant cost cutting has been achieved.
social network can have many advantages that will make
the transition for you much easier. All the foregoing is not good news for Canada and its oil and gas
industry. Recent reports from the industry indicate significant cost
Financial Considerations cutting has been achieved. Gas producers have had longer to adjust
Typically, the trend when making a move in retirement to lower prices and can live with present price levels. The large
is towards downsizing. However, there are often many oil sands projects face particularly difficult problems. At prices in
expenses (or perceived savings) that are overlooked. When
T H E A R T I S A N I S S U E : AU T U M N 2 0 1 5 4
PERSPECTIVES:
(CONTINUED FROM PAGE 4)
the $60.00 U.S. range profit margins are slim if non-existent it comes to the physical move, be sure to take into consideration
for any new projects. Unfortunately a number of large scale commissions, moving, renovation and decorating costs. There
oil sands projects are still coming on stream with production could also be changes in taxation, which could include income,
increases in excess of 200,000 barrels daily occurring over property and sales tax. All of this translates into the affordability
the next several years. Once a multi billion dollar oil sands and ultimately the standard of living you will be able to enjoy.
project is in place and producing then operating costs become Utilizing a financial plan prior to making your transition is an
the hurdle to overcome for production to continue. Since excellent way to avoid any surprises. Making sure you have a good
operating costs can be under $30.00 per barrel production grasp of basic cost-of-living expenses, property taxes and how
will continue. In this environment oil sands projects not much you will need to visit your family will help ensure a smooth
transition to your retirement destination.
already underway will likely be shelved and existing projects
will continue to be under pressure to reduce costs. One of the greatest benefits of retirement is having time to do the
things you enjoy most. Dont pick up and move without giving a new
The Canadian energy industry is not going to disappear. It is
town a trial run. Finding the right place to live is an important part
however going through a difficult period that will see some
of the equation. By doing careful homework and considering all of
companies disappear, lower profits, job losses and much slower your alternatives, you can ensure that your retirement is everything
growth. The industry has already shown the ability to cut costs you want it to be. If you are considering relocating, please let us know
and improve technology to further increase efficiency. With and we would be happy to assist you with your transition planning.
significant infrastructure in place, experienced operators and
the best technologies, the Canadian industry is world class
and will survive and grow in Jeff Sproul,
the future. With a major source Hon BBA, PFP, CIM
of national growth neutralized, Vice President, Wealth Management
Canada as a whole will struggle and Associate Portfolio Manager
to achieve GNP growth in
the 2% range in the near term.
Longer term U.S. growth and a Industry Involvement
low Canadian dollar will bring Arthur Salzer, our CEO, attendedThe Carlyle Group Investor Conference
better times. this past month which was held in Washington, D.C.. Carlyle is one of
the most successful private equity firms in the world with assets of over
Longer term U.S. growth and a low $190 billion and investments in over 200 companies and 250 real estate
Canadian dollar will bring better investments.
times. This invitation only event had over 900 attendees from sovereign
Equity markets continue to be volatile because of investor wealth funds, pension funds, and family offices from places such as
concerns about a potential slowdown in China and the Europe, Asia, the Middle East and North America. The exciting program
direction of future Federal Reserve policy. Investors should featured a series of provocative panel discussions on the global
continue to focus on equities that pay safe dividends and investment environment, the Global Energy Outlook, Perspectives from
display lower than average volatility, combined where leading Portfolio CEOs and current events including World Affairs and
Washingtons politics.
appropriate, with alternative investments such as private real
estate, private equity and debt along with carefully chosen The highlights this year were the two distinguished guest speakers
hedge funds in order to better diversify a portfolio. With the George W. Bush, 43rd President of the United States and Eric Schmidt,
Greece problem put to bed for the present and the prospect Executive Chairman of Alphabet (the conglomerate that controls Google).
for quantitative easing in Europe, it makes that area worth We received an update on Carlyles global investment perspective
considering for investment. and a comprehensive review of theirportfolio of funds and investing
opportunities. Northland Wealth will be bringing our clients access
David Cockfield, MBA, CFA to many of the exciting opportunities and resources that Carlyle has
Managing Director & Portfolio Manager available.
5 T H E A R T I S A N I S S U E : AU T U M N 2 0 1 5
ING F STRO
NN I SH
A U FINANCIAL ELDER
K
ES
PL
BR
DEATH ANDTAXES
ES
ABUSE PROTECTING
ONESELF
T H E A R T I S A N I S S U E : AU T U M N 2 0 1 5 6
(according to an article published from the Canadian Foundation for Advancement of
Investor Rights (FAIR) newsletter in July 2014). DEATH ANDTAXES
While there are initiatives and programs (CONTINUED FROM PAGE 6)
7 T H E A R T I S A N I S S U E : AU T U M N 2 0 1 5
DED R
NN
ING F EN E
A
I M
M
L
AD
ES
PL
R E CO
Seven Pillars of Wisdom
ING
(CONTINUED FROM PAGE 7)
by T.E. Lawrence
In his classic book, T.E. Lawrence
forever known as Lawrence of Arabia
recounts his role in the origin of the
If an estate trustee discovers additional assets, they must modern Arab world. At first a shy Oxford
be disclosed within six months on an amended return scholar and archaeologist with a facility for
and the Ministry of Finance has up to four years from the languages, he joined and went on to lead the Arab revolt against
the Ottoman Turks while the rest of the world was enmeshed in
issuance of the estate certificate to audit the estate and
World War I. This is an indispensable primary historical source.
issue a reassessment. At this point, there is no provision
It helps us to understand todays Middle East, while giving us
for issuing a tax clearance certificate to the estate trustee, thrilling accounts of military exploits, clandestine activities, and
but penalties for failing to properly disclose assets start human foibles.
at $1,000 increasing up to twice the amount of estate tax
payable and two years in prison.
The Sleepwalkers: How Europe Went To
War In 1914
Ultimately, the response will be increased legal and tax by Christopher Clark
planning by individuals and professionals to preserve as The Sleepwalkers is one of the most important books of the
early 21st century, providing deep insight into the political and
much as possible of the intended gifts to beneficiaries.
historical background of the beginning of the 1st World War,
The implementation of this EATA and aiding the understanding of the entire 20th century political
regime will have clear implications scene.
for the estate and trust industry in
Ontario. The potential liability for
estate trustees will make their
appointment and acceptance even
more problematic. Completing
the listings, valuations and tax
returns for an estate will increase costs, and although
the tax rates arent changing at this point, as the province
monitors the revenue generated by the tax, rates will
change to meet fiscal targets. Ultimately, the response
will be increased legal and tax planning by individuals
and professionals to preserve as much as possible of the
intended gifts to beneficiaries.
The information provided in this newsletter is for informational purposes only and
should not be used as investment or tax advice. For investment advice tailored to
your specific situation and investment objectives, please contact a Northland Wealth
Management professional.
T H E A R T I S A N I S S U E : AU T U M N 2 0 1 5 8