Q1 2017
25 April 2017
Accelerating success.
Highlights
Office Sector Industrial Estate Sector
Office developers have gone through a challenging time during the A total of 160 hectares of new industrial land parcels will be
last three years, as occupancy continued to drop and is now delivered by KIIC by the end of 2017. In the meantime, total in-
registered at 83.3% in the CBD and 81.9% outside the CBD. This dustrial land sales in Q1 2017 were 51.8 hectares representing
situation has created a lot of pressure on landlords to reduce asking 30% of the total transaction volume last year which was even
base rental rates to below IDR300,000/sq m/month in the CBD. higher than sales during the first two quarters of last year. Land
Meanwhile there are additional office buildings to be completed prices remain unchanged; sales during the first quarter were
before the end of 2017 - twelve new buildings in the CBD totaling contributed by only six industrial estates (only two IEs recorded
731,164 sq m and nine new buildings totaling 197,609 sq m outside a substantial amount of sales). Colliers believes that the indus-
the CBD. trial market will strengthen primarily on the back of sound pro-
jected economic growth.
Apartment Sector
Going forward, the pipeline of new apartment units will be sig- Hotel Sector
nificant. During Q1 2017, a total of 59,017 apartment units were Two new hotels were opened in Jakarta during the quarter pro-
under construction of which 21,167 units are expected to reach viding a total of 342 rooms which brought the total star-rated
completion before the end of 2017, followed by 28,303 and 9,547 hotels in Jakarta to 192, comprising 39,310 rooms. For the re-
units in 2018 and 2019, respectively. The annual sales of apart- mainder of 2017, there will be a total of 4,356 additional hotel
ments in Jakarta continue to increase, but at a slower rate than rooms in Jakarta that will bring the total number in Jakarta to
in the past. The cumulative take-up rate for existing and under 43,666 rooms, representing a 12% growth in supply YoY. The
construction projects dropped modestly this quarter to 85.9%. Average Daily Rate (ADR) dropped from USD81.19 last quarter
Meanwhile, the average apartment price in Jakarta was set at to USD79.45, primarily triggered by the lower occupancy (AOR)
IDR32.1 million/sq m, slightly up by 1.4% QoQ. from 57.9% last quarter to only 50.7% this quarter.
Retail Sector
Three shopping centres to be completed in DKI Jakarta during
the remainder of 2017 are expected to bring 139,000 sq m of
new supply to the market which brings the current cumulative
supply to 4.57 million sq m. The average occupancy rate re-
mained stable at 86%, whilst the average rents of typical re-
tail space in Jakarta increased 4.4% QoQ to IDR587,904/sq m/
month. In Jabodetabek outside DKI Jakarta, asking rents grew
by 2% to 4% QoQ to an average of IDR353,790/sq m/month.
Ferry Salanto Senior Associate Director | Research Office Spaces Offered For Lease
The office market has gone through a gloomy period CBD
over the last three years, as occupancy continued to
decrease. In the end, landlords were pressured to drop
their asking rental rates to below IDR300,000/sq m/ Newly Operating Office Buildings in CBD
month. Office Building Marketing
Location SGA (sq m)
Project Name Scheme
Thamrin
5,000,000
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
0
4,000,000
sq m
3,000,000
2,000,000 sq m
Cumulative Supply 2017YTD Future Supply 2017F - 2020F
1,000,000
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017F
2018F
2019F
2020F
700,000
CBD Office Annual Supply
600,000
900,000
500,000
800,000
sq m
400,000
700,000
300,000
600,000
500,000 200,000
sq m
400,000 100,000
300,000
0
200,000 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018F 2020F
2018F
2019F
2020F
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
sq m
2,000,000
1,500,000
Puri Indah Financial Tower began operation and brought
the cumulative supply outside the CBD to 3.03 million sq 1,000,000
m as of Q1 2017. In addition to Puri Indah Financial Tower,
eight other office buildings outside the CBD will be com- 500,000
pleted and bring around 160,000 sq m of additional office
0
spaces in the remainder of 2017. All of these office build-
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017F
2018F
2019F
2020F
ings outside the CBD will raise the cumulative supply to
6.6% YoY by the end of 2017.
Furthermore, the projected office supply will relatively be Existing Supply Additional Supply YTD Supply Future Supply
stable outside the CBD, at around 230,000 sq m per an- Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
num between 2018 and 2020. Most of these future office
buildings are currently under construction, including The
Unity Square that is owned by Pakuwon. The Unity Square Outside the CBD Office Cumulative Supply
will become the third office tower within a mixed-use de- Based on Area
velopment in Kota Kasablanka (South Jakarta) and will be-
come the largest future office building in 2017-2020 outside TB Simatupang
the CBD. In addition, SOHO Pancoran and One Belpark
Office will contribute additional office spaces by the end of
West Jakarta
2020 in South Jakarta.
Based on area, the total amount of future office spaces in East Jakarta
South Jakarta (excluding TB Simatupang) will be the third-
largest outside the CBD. Central Jakarta and West Jakarta North Jakarta
will contribute the largest future supply outside the CBD
from 2017 to 2020. Most of the future supplies in Central South Jakarta
Jakarta will be concentrated in Kemayoran, whilst Kem-
bangan is expected to become a growing commercial area
Central Jakarta
in West Jakarta. Except Ciputra International, we recorded
two office buildings that are ready to open in 2017. Over-
all, Central Jakarta and West Jakarta will contribute around 0 300,000 600,000 900,000 1,200,000
60% of the total number of projected supply outside the sq m
CBD between 2017 and 2020. Cumulative Supply 2017YTD Future Supply 2017F - 2020F
After saturating the market with significant amount of office Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
spaces in 2015, TB Simatupang area will see limited future
supply. Without new additional spaces forthcoming, the to-
tal supply in TB Simatupang remained at 957,328 sq m as
of Q1 2017. We recorded only five office buildings that are
expected to bring around 145,000 sq m of additional office
spaces by the end of 2020 in TB Simatupang. Arkadia Tow-
er G has recently begun construction in TB Simatupang, as
well as three other office buildings, including Zuria, a small
office building that will contribute additional spaces of less
than 7,000 sq m in 2017.
400,000
200,000
350,000
300,000
150,000
250,000
sq m
sq m
200,000 100,000
150,000
50,000
100,000
50,000 0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017F
2018F
2019F
2020F
0
2017F
2018F
2019F
2020F
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
CBD
2017 Telkom Landmark Tower II Gatot Subroto 65,000 For Lease Under Construction
2017 Menara Palma 2 Rasuna Said 50,000 For Lease Under Construction
2017 Ciputra World Jakarta 2 Satrio 70,000 For Lease & Sale Under Construction
2017 The Tower Gatot Subroto 56,492 For Sale Under Construction
2017 PCPD Tower Sudirman 90,500 For Lease Under Construction
2017 Prosperity Tower (within District 8) Sudirman 71,545 For Sale Under Construction
2017 Treasury Tower (within District 8) Sudirman 139,000 For Sale Under Construction
2017 Revenue Tower (within District 8) Sudirman 40,000 For Lease Under Construction
2017 Sopo Del Tower B Mega Kuningan 39,200 For Lease Under Construction
2018 Mangkuluhur Tower Gatot Subroto 53,000 For Lease & Sale Under Construction
2018 Lippo Thamrin Office Tower Thamrin 16,500 For Sale Under Construction
2018 Sequis Tower Sudirman 78,000 For Lease Under Construction
2018 Sopo Del Tower A Mega Kuningan 64,000 For Lease Under Construction
2018 Sudirman 7.8 Sudirman 52,000 For Sale Under Construction
2018 World Capital Tower Mega Kuningan 72,000 For Lease & Sale Under Construction
2018 World Trade Center III Sudirman 70,000 For Lease Under Construction
2018 Astra Tower Sudirman 80,000 For Lease Under Construction
2019 Tower Two at The City Center Sudirman 101,260 For Lease & Sale Under Construction
2019 T Tower Gatot Subroto 24,000 For Lease & Sale Under Construction
2019 Thamrin Nine Thamrin 97,500 For Lease Under Construction
2019 Millenium Centennial Tower Sudirman 120,000 For Lease Under Construction
2020 Icon Tower Sudirman 72,500 For Lease Under Construction
2020 Chitaland Satrio 90,000 For Lease Under Construction
2020 Indonesia Satu North Tower Thamrin 130,000 For Lease Under Construction
2020 Indonesia Satu South Tower Thamrin 120,000 For Lease Under Construction
continued
continuation
2020 Surya Semesta Internusa (SSI) Tower Rasuna Said 80,000 For Lease In Planning
2020 Gayanti City Gatot Subroto 25,000 For Lease In Planning
2017 Gallery West Kebun Jeruk 29,000 For Sale Under Construction
2017 Tamansari Parama Wahid Hasyim 10,800 For Sale Under Construction
2017 One Belpark Office Pondok Labu 17,800 For Lease Under Construction
2017 St Moritz Office Tower Puri Indah 19,500 For Sale Under Construction
2017 BKP Office Tower Sunter 16,000 For Lease Under Construction
2017 Hermina Office Building Kemayoran 20,000 For Sale Under Construction
2017 Puri Matahari Puri Kembangan 28,925 For Lease Under Construction
Utara
2018 SOHO Pancoran Pancoran 30,000 For Sale Under Construction
2018 One Tower Kemayoran 21,400 For Sale Under Construction
2018 Ciputra International Puri 1 Phase 1 Puri Kembangan 15,000 For Lease Under Construction
2018 Ciputra International Puri 2 Phase 1 Puri Kembangan 20,000 For Lease Under Construction
2019 The Unity Square Casablanca 80,000 For Lease Under Construction
2019 MNC Tower II Kebun Sirih 60,000 For Lease Under Construction
2019 Agung Sedayu Office Tower Pantai Indah Kapuk 50,000 For Lease Under Construction
2019 Ciputra Business District Kemayoran Tower 1 Kemayoran 40,000 For Sale Under Construction
2019 Ciputra Business District Kemayoran Tower 2 Kemayoran 40,000 For Lease Under Construction
2019 Ciputra International Puri 3 Phase 1 Puri Kembangan 30,000 For Lease Under Construction
2019 Ciputra International Puri Phase 2 Puri Kembangan 15,000 For Lease In Planning
2019 Ciputra International Puri 1 Phase 3 Puri Kembangan 15,000 For Lease In Planning
2019 Ciputra Internatinal Puri 2 Phase 3 Puri Kembangan 15,000 For Lease In Planning
2019 Jakarta Box Tower Kebun Sirih 36,000 For Lease In Planning
2020 Menara Jakarta Kemayoran 70,000 For Sale In Planning
2020 Lippo Tower Holland Village Cempaka Putih 27,000 For Sale In Planning
TB Simatupang
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
office market.
60%
Average Occupancy Rates in the CBD
55%
100%
50%
95% Thamrin Sudirman Rasuna Mega Gatot Satrio
Said Kuningan Subroto
90%
75%
70%
65%
60%
55%
50%
2017F
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
2016 70%
60%
50%
0 70,000 140,000 210,000 280,000 350,000
40%
sq m
30%
Space Absorbed Space Unabsorbed
20%
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
10%
0%
Outside the CBD 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
Despite moderately, occupancy continued to decline QoQ
in outside the CBD. Some office buildings that began op-
Outside CBD exclude TB Simatupang TB Simatupang
eration in 2015 still register low occupancy rates, which
contributed to an overall occupancy of 81.9% outside the Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
CBD. The rest of 2017 will be tough for the office market
outside the CBD, particularly given a substantial amount of
upcoming office supply. Pre-Committed Absorption at Office Buildings
for Lease in Outside the CBD in 2016 2018
The absence of new office buildings this quarter helped lift
the average occupancy in TB Simatupang. The average
occupancy was recorded at 74.1%, and this upward trend
2018F
may continue given the limited future supply in TB Sima-
tupang.
IDR350,000
IDR0
IDR300,000
Kuningan
Sudirman
Thamrin
Subroto
Satrio
Rasuna
Gatot
Said
Mega
IDR250,000
IDR200,000
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
IDR150,000
IDR100,000
Outside the CBD
IDR50,000
Average Rents
IDR0 TB Simatupang
Overall Outside CBD ONLY AT TB
and
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
TB Simatupang
Central Jakarta
North Jakarta
West Jakarta
South Jakarta
East Jakarta
vacancies, an office building located at Pondok Indah low-
ered the base rental in 2017. Meanwhile, office buildings
located at Simatupang corridor recorded the average rents
at IDR246,154/sq m/month as of Q1 2017 and maintained
to achieve the highest average rents outside the CBD. Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
Average Asking Rents in Outside the CBD The Range of Asking Rents Based on Building
IDR300,000 Grade
IDR400,000
IDR250,000
IDR350,000
IDR200,000
IDR300,000
IDR150,000
IDR250,000
IDR100,000
IDR50,000 IDR200,000
IDR0 IDR150,000
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
IDR100,000
IDR50,000
Outside CBD (excl. TB Simatupang)
TB Simatupang (incl. Pondok Indah Area) IDR0
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research Grade A Grade B Grade C
IDR120,000
IDR80,000
IDR60,000 IDR90,000
IDR40,000
IDR60,000
IDR20,000
IDR30,000
IDR0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
IDR0
for Lease Strata-title
IDR30,000
Outside the CBD area, office prices are offered starting
at IDR20 million to IDR42 million/sq m with average ask-
ing price at IDR36.7 million/sq m. Again, the location de-
IDR0 termined the price. One office building located at Blok M
Outside CBD excluding TB TB Simatupang (Kebayoran Baru), with proximity to the CBD, achieved
Simatupang an asking price at IDR50 million/sq m. In the secondary
market, two office buildings located in Kelapa Gading and
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research TB Simatupang were offered at IDR40 million/sq m for the
secondary market.
The Range of Service Charge Based on
TB Simatupang itself offered office spaces for sale at rela-
Marketing Scheme tively the same price with other areas outside the CBD,
IDR150,000 i.e. between IDR28 million and IDR37 million/sq m. In fact,
unsold spaces in existing office buildings and the number
of projected office spaces for sale are limited in TB Simatu-
IDR120,000 pang. Average prices were recorded relatively flat QoQ at
IDR34.1 million/sq m in TB Simatupang.
IDR50,000,000 2018F
IDR40,000,000
IDR30,000,000
2017F
IDR20,000,000
IDR10,000,000
2016
IDR0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
The Range of Asking Prices in the CBD Based Pre-Committed Absorption of Strata-Title
on Area Office Buildings for Sale in Outside the CBD
IDR120,000,000
2019F
IDR100,000,000
IDR80,000,000
2018F
IDR60,000,000
2017F
IDR40,000,000
IDR20,000,000
2016
IDR0
CBD Outside CBD TB Simatupang 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000
excluding TB
Simatupang sq m
Space Absorbed Vacant Space
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
Rent
Accepting market conditions, landlords were
more realistic, as they deployed flexible rental
strategies in the upcoming quarters. Further-
more, with the additional future supply and weak-
ening demand, we expect rents to come under
more pressure as availability arises.
Price
The average asking price of apartments in Jakar-
ta rose by 1.4% to IDR32.1 million/sq m, slightly
higher than in the previous quarter of 1.3%. We
expect apartment price in the near term rather
than in the longer term, given the governments
supportive stance will take into effect in the sec-
ond half of 2017.
APARTMENT FOR STRATA- projects scattered in non-prime areas, including Central
and West Jakarta. The Nerine Tower was the eighth tower
TITLE handed over from The Green Pramuka Citys mixed-use
development (apartment and mall) project, whilst Elpis
Residence and Paradise Mansion were brand new proj-
ects that are exclusively for residential purposes. Including
Supply the newly completed projects, the total number of exist-
ing strata-title apartments in Jakarta has reached 178,968
By the end of the first quarter of 2017, the total cumulative units, which is an increase of 1.6% compared to the previ-
supply of strata-title apartments in Jakarta grew at a moder- ous quarter and 9.9% YoY. Furthermore, regarding loca-
ate pace. The Jakarta apartment market saw 2,790 new units tion, West Jakarta dominates the total existing supply by
from the handover of three newly completed projects: The 22.15%, followed by North Jakarta and South Jakarta, at
Green Pramuka (Nerine Tower), Elpis Residence and Para- 21.18 and 18.9%, respectively.
dise Mansion, which are middle to lower market segmented
Kicking-off this year, there are 5,616 units from five new Penthouse is in Kemang, an area that is renowned for its
projects scattered in Central, South and East Jakarta. Two expatriate communities. Amongst the districts in South Ja-
projects in Central Jakarta are targeting different market karta, TB Simatupang remains to be the spotlight, due to
segments. The middle to lower segmented project, Magno- its growing number of office developments, which drive
lia Tower of Green Pramuka City, offers 1,000 units in stu- the growth for apartment developments in the surround-
dio to two-bedroom configurations, whilst The Pakubuwo- ing area. Meanwhile, East Jakarta will continue to receive
no Development will build another luxury apartment project massive units from middle to lower segmented projects,
in Jalan Sabang, Menteng, consisting of 340 units. On the namely Jakarta Living Star, developed by PT Sindeli Prop-
other hand, South Jakarta saw three new middle to upper ertindo Abadi, a subsidiary of Wuzhou Investment Group of
segmented projects during the reviewed quarter, namely China. Located in the Cibubur area (southern part of East
TBS Tower Apartment, Southgate Residence and Kemang Jakarta), Jakarta Living Star will consist of six apartment
Penthouse. TBS Tower Apartment and South Gate Resi- towers, featuring a hotel and mall that will be built in stages,
dence are located on Jalan TB Simatupang, whilst Kemang
Foreign Asian Developers with Apartment Projects in Jakarta Over the Last Three Years
Name of Date of
Location Region Foreign Developer Origin ASP in IDR /unit
Project Launching
Citra Lake Suites Kalideres West Jakarta 2014 Mitsui Fudosan Japan 1.3 - 2.3 billion
Branz Simatupang TB Simatupang South Jakarta 2015 Tokyu Land Japan 3 - 9 billion
West Vista Duri, Kosambi West Jakarta 2015 Keppel Land Singapore 800 million - 1.7 billion
Daan Mogot City Daan Mogot West Jakarta 2016 China Communications China 400 - 800 million
Construction Group
Tomang Park Tomang West Jakarta 2016 Phoenix Property Hong Kong 600 million - 2 billion
Jakarta Living Star Cibubur East Jakarta 2017 Wuzhou Investment China 250 - 550 million
Group
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
For the first quarter of 2017, a total of 59,017 apartment units accessibility to the area and proximity to Soekarno-Hatta
were under construction, of which 21,167 units are expect- International Airport. Above all, developers continue to opt
ed to reach completion in 2017 and followed by 28,303 and to build apartment projects in South Jakarta due to its well-
9,547 units in 2018 and 2019, respectively. West Jakarta will supported facilities and established neighbourhoods, as
dominate future supply mainly benefiting from the intercon- well as the Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) project that is now
nection of Jakartas Outer Ring Road, which has increased underway, adding to the attractiveness for investors.
CBD
CBD 6%
West
14% Central
Jakarta
22% Jakarta
13%
West
Jakarta
Central 32%
Jakarta
15%
East
Jakarta
9%
South
East Jakarta
South Jakarta 25%
North 10%
Jakarta Jakarta
21% 19% North
Jakarta
14%
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
2017
2018
Gayanti City (2 Towers) Jl. Gatot Subroto CBD PT Buana Pasifik Inter- 318 Under-construction
national
Verde Two Jl. Rasuna Said CBD Farpoint Realty 152 Under-construction
Anandamaya Residences (3 towers) Jl. Jend Sudirman CBD Hongkong Land 500 Under-construction
Lavie Jl. Denpasar Raya CBD Wilsor Group 302 Under-construction
South Hill Jl. Denpasar Raya CBD Tan Kian 611 Under-construction
Le' Parc Jl. Thamrin CBD PT. Putragaya Wahana 100 Under-construction
Regent Residences (tower 1) Semanggi CBD PT. Kencana Graha 100 Under-construction
Global
The Hundred Residence Mega Kuningan CBD PT. Farpoint Realty 100 Under-construction
Indoneasia
The Elements Epicentrum Rasuna Said CBD Sinar Mas Land 372 Under-construction
(2 Towers)
Sudirman Hill Residence Jl. Karet Pasar Baru Barat Central Jakarta PT. Muliaguna Proper- 299 Under-construction
tindo Development
Capitol Suites Jl. Prapatan Raya Central Jakarta The Capitol Group 327 Under-construction
Royal Suites Kemayoran Central Jakarta Springhill Golf Group 450 Under-construction
Holland Village (Phase II) Cempaka Putih Central Jakarta Lippo Karawaci 230 Under-construction
Signature Park Grande Jl. MT. Haryono East Jakarta KSO Fortuna Indonesia 1,100 Under-construction
(Pikko)
The Sahid Asena Apartment and Ciracas East Jakarta Sahid Group 476 Under-construction
Garden (was Sahid Garden Resi-
dence)
Pluit Seaview (Tower Ibiza) Pluit North Jakarta Binakarya Propertindo 500 Under-construction
Group
Gold Coast Apartment Pantai Indah Kapuk North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 568 Under-construction
(Atlantic Tower)
Regatta Apartment (Tower New Pantai Mutiara North Jakarta Intiland 186 Under-construction
York)
Sedayu City (Tower Melbourne) Jl. Pegangsaan Dua Raya North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 912 Under-construction
Sedayu City (Tower Darwin) Jl. Pegangsaan Dua Raya North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 936 Under-construction
The Kensington Royal Suites (4 Kelapa Gading North Jakarta Summarecon 790 Under-construction
Tower)
Gold Coast Apartment Pantai Indah Kapuk North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 600 Under-construction
(Bahama Tower)
Gold Coast Apartment Pantai Indah Kapuk North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 600 Under-construction
(Carribean Tower)
Gold Coast Apartment Pantai Indah Kapuk North Jakarta Agung Sedayu 600 Under-construction
(Honolulu Tower)
Grand Marina Ancol Ancol North Jakarta PT. Bangun Setia Cipta 672 Under-planning
(Jaya Ancol)
Pakubuwono Terrace Grand Tower Kebayoran Lama South Jakarta PT. Selaras Mitra Sejati 435 Under-construction
Bellevue Place MT Haryono, Tebet South Jakarta Gapura Prima 240 Under-construction
The Foresque Pasar Minggu, Ragunan South Jakarta PT Griya Karunia 660 Under-construction
Sejahtera (Binakarya
Propertindo Group)
Antasari Heights Jl. Pangeran Antasari No.8 South Jakarta PT Radinka Quatro 360 Under-construction
Land
The Aspen Peak at Admiralty Jl. Fatmawati South Jakarta PT. Harmas Jalasveva 322 Under-construction
(Tower D)
Casa Grande Residence 2 (Tower Jl. Casablanca South Jakarta Pakuwon Group 350 Under-construction
Angelo)
continued
2019
The Suites (W Hotel Tower) Jl. Prof. Dr. Satrio CBD Ciputra 200 Under-planning
The Residences at The St. Regis Jl. H.R Rasuna Said CBD Rajawali Property 164 Under-construction
Jakarta Group
Arandra Residence Jl. Cempaka Putih Raya Central Jakarta Gamaland 687 Under-construction
No.1
Menara Jakarta (Tower Equinox) Kemayoran Central Jakarta Agung Sedayu 396 Under-construction
Menara Jakarta (Tower Azure) Kemayoran Central Jakarta Agung Sedayu 860 Under-construction
The Linq Kemayoran (2 towers) Kemayoran Central Jakarta KG Global 1,020 Under-construction
Menteng 37 Jl. Menteng 37 Central Jakarta Pikko Group & Wijaya 99 Under-planning
Wisesa (JV)
continued
Q2 2015
3Q 2015
4Q 2015
Q1 2016
Q2 2016
Q3 2016
Q4 2016
Q1 2017
CBD 94.0% 90.8% 91.5% 0.7% -2.5 Bumi Serpong Damai IDR6,300 IDR7,220 15%
South Jakarta 85.3% 85.8% 86.1% 0.3% 0.8 Pakuwon Jati IDR2,300 IDR2,700 17%
Non-Prime area 85.4% 86.6% 85.0% -1.6% -0.4 Summarecon IDR3,000 IDR4,500 50%
today comes from embassies and a much broader base of CBD 441,757 434,988 -1.5% 230,453 226,855 -1.6%
smaller companies involved in a wide range of businesses. South Jakarta 376,132 361,105 -4% 167,348 166,761 -0.4%
(incl. Non-Prime)
Rental Rate
Considering recent market conditions, landlords were Average Rental Rate (IDR/sq m/month)
more realistic, as they deployed flexible rental strate- Q4 2016 Q1 2017 QoQ change
gies in the reviewed quarter. Most rental apartments CBD 371,321.93 365,610.41 -1.5
still maintain their previous rents to attract new tenants,
South Jakarta (incl. 218,790.51 218,625.18 -0.1
whilst some apartments lowered the rents. As a result, Non-Prime)
average rental rates of apartments for lease experienced
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
their first negative QoQ growth in the early part of the
year, and was down by 1.5% and 0.1% in the CBD and
South Jakarta (including non-prime areas), respectively.
Concluding Thought
As mentioned above, in the area of market segment,
the average rental rates for serviced apartments in On the macroeconomic perspective, the economy is im-
the CBD declined by 1.5% QoQ to IDR434,988/sq m/ proving albeit at a gradual pace, with larger government
month, whilst serviced apartments in South Jakarta (in- infrastructure spending and some recovery on the domes-
cluding non-prime areas) declined by 4.0% QoQ to tic consumption expected to permeate into the economy to
IDR361,105/sq m/month. For non-serviced apartments, support its 5.2% growth target this year. Moreover, higher
the average rental rate in the CBD area declined by direct investments, both local and overseas, should be
1.6% QoQ to IDR226,855/sq m/month, whilst non-ser- triggered by the implementation of the governments pol-
viced apartments in South Jakarta (including non-prime icy packages. A relatively modest political tension, stable
areas) adjusted by 0.4%, to IDR166,761/sq m/month. rupiah, low interest rate, increasing real wage and declin-
ing unemployment rate should pave the way to support
Furthermore, given a generally weaker demand in both Indonesias GDP in 2017. Thus, we expect more visible
serviced and non-serviced apartments, we expect rents to improvements on the demand side of apartments in the
come under more pressure in the upcoming quarters as second half of 2017.
Supply
50,000
New Glodok Plaza and Aeon Jakarta Garden
City will begin operation in 2017 and contribute
new additional retail spaces. Outside the CBD, 0
more future shopping centres will be completed,
2017F
2018F
2019F
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
bringing around 185,000 sq m of projected ad-
ditional retail spaces in 2018.
Demand For Lease Strata-title
Malls that are expected to open in 2018 have Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
secured some committed tenants coming from
home furnishing, cinema, fashion, and food and
beverages. In Jakarta, three shopping centres are expected to bring
139,000 sq m of new supplies in 2017. Nevertheless, none
Occupancy of them began operation in Q1 2017 and caused the cur-
Occupancy for shopping centres for lease (mall) rent cumulative supply to still register at 4.57 million sq m.
is forecasted to be relatively flat, although two Should these three shopping centres be completed, the
malls will soon be completed and bring large cumulative supply will increase by 3% YoY. As recorded,
spaces in 2017. On the back of sound GDP the 2017 growth of cumulative supply is the same as the
growth and low inflation, the retail market is ex- previous year, which was contributed by four shopping
pected to perform better with higher occupancy, centres in 2016.
particularly because the amount of future supply
will be much more controlled. The number of future retail centres will be very limited in
Jakarta. Apart from the future supply in 2017, the city will
Rent see another seven future shopping centres until 2019.
The cost of occupancy has gradually moved in DEntrance retail centre, a newly launched project in Ja-
an upward trend, much underpinned by a mod- karta, will bring more lifestyle and al fresco dining experi-
erate amount of new retail spaces. A regulated ences. This retail centre will stand on the former location
number of future retail spaces will provide rooms of Arkadia Office Tower A at TB Simatupang (South Ja-
for landlords to continue adjusting their rental karta), which was demolished in 2016. Including this proj-
rates going forward. ect, South Jakarta will contribute five of 10 future shopping
centres in 2017-2019.
Based on area, 18.4% of the current total supply was lo- Greater Jakarta (BoDeTaBek)
cated in the CBD. Nevertheless, the CBD does not expect
to have additional supply in 2017 and 2018, and so the pro- Annual Retail Supply in Greater Jakarta
jected cumulative supply will remain the same at 839,985
sq m by the end of 2018. Meanwhile, cumulative supply 350,000
outside the CBD was recorded at 3.73 million sq m as of
300,000
Q1 2017, with an expected 310,000 sq m additional supply,
approximately, up to 2019. Four of eight future shopping 250,000
centres have been under construction, representing 50%
of the total projected additional retail spaces outside the 200,000
CBD, up to the end of 2019.
sq m
150,000
5,000,000 50,000
4,500,000
0
4,000,000
2017F
2018F
2019F
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
sq m
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017F
2018F
2019F
2017YTD
2,500,000
Cumulative Supply Based on Area in Greater
2,000,000 Jakarta
1,500,000
sq m
Bekasi
1,000,000
Tangerang
500,000
0
Depok
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017F
2018F
2019F
2017YTD
jakarta
2017
Shopping Mall @ SOHO Pancoran South Jakarta Agung Podomoro Land 8,000 Under Construction
Pancoran
New Harco Plaza Glodok West Jakarta Wahana Sentra Sejati (Agung 60,000 Under Construction
Podomoro Land)
Aeon Mall Jakarta Garden City Cakung East Jakarta Metropolitan Land & Aeon 71,000 Under Construction
2019
2018
2019
2020
AEON Mall Deltamas Deltamas Bekasi Sinarmas Land & Aeon 90,000 In Planning
Lippo Grand Mall Karawaci Tangerang Lippo Karawaci 120,000 In Planning
Embarcadero Bintaro Tangerang Lippo Karawaci 30,000 In Planning
Kota Harapan Indah Bekasi Bekasi Hasana Damai Putera 51,000 In Planning
Shopping Mall at Green Lake Cimanggis Depok Cempaka Group 20,000 In Planning
Shopping Mall at Kota Wisata Kota Wisata Bekasi Sinarmas Land 45,000 In Planning
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
20%
10%
Upper Class Middle Class Middle Lower Class
0%
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
cupancy rates in 2017. Meanwhile, occupancy has been
recorded relatively flat at 77% for middle lower class shop-
ping centres since 2015 and will continue to flatten by the
end of 2017, due to the availability of large vacant spaces. Central Jakarta (excl. CBD) South Jakarta (excl. CBD)
North Jakarta East Jakarta
South Jakarta (the non-CBD area) led with the highest oc-
cupancy rates since 2016, exceeding East Jakarta. With- West Jakarta
out additional supply, occupancy in South Jakarta was Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
JAKARTA
PIK Avenue Pantai Indah 2016 Uniqlo, The Food Hall, Flix Cinema, Ace Hardware, Golds Gym, Informa, H&M, Optik Melawai, Sports Station,
Kapuk, North Giordano, Levis Store, Timberland, Pizza Hut, Starbucks, Excelso, Kidz Station, Carls Junior, Payless
Jakarta
Neo SOHO Podo- Slipi, West 2016 Central Dept Store, Kid Station, Electronic Solution, Pedro, The Body Shop, Clarks, Staccato, Polo Ralph
moro City Jakarta Lauren, Samsonite, Wrangler, Wood, Cotton On, Mango, Nine West, Charles & Keith, Armani Jeans, Furla, Ta
Wan, Pizza Hut, Pepper Lunch, Muji, Pedro, Kidz Station, Electronic Solution, Cotton On
Bassura City Mall Cipinang, East 2016 XXI, Lion Superindo, Optik Melawai, Sports Station, The Body Shop, Starbucks, Imperial Kitchen, Wood
Jakarta
Green Pramuka City Pramuka, 2016 CGV, Lotte Mart, Ace Hardware, Funworld, Kidz Station, Wood, Ta Wan, Starbucks, Marugame Udon, Elec-
Mall Central Jakarta tronic Solution, Optik Melawai
Aeon Jakarta Garden Cakung, East 2017 Footgear, Ichiban Sushi, H&M, Clarks, Charles & Keith, Uniqlo, Guess, Wood, Wrangle, CGV Blitz
City Jakarta
IDR450,000
IDR750,000
IDR300,000
IDR600,000
IDR150,000
IDR450,000
IDR0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
IDR300,000
IDR150,000
Middle-Lower Class Middle Class Upper Class
still offered launching rates that are lower than IDR700,000. 400,000
On regular/typical floors, landlords offered rents starting at
300,000
IDR300,000/sq m/month. This range currently brought the
asking rents to IDR857,816/sq m/month, which is a 7.4% 200,000
increase QoQ for upper class shopping centres. We fore-
100,000
cast asking rents to likely increase 10% YoY, as contributed
by steady occupancy performance with limited additional 0
retail spaces at upper class shopping centres by the end
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
of 2017.
Middle and middle lower class shopping centres showed Central Jakarta (excl. CBD) South Jakarta (excl. CBD)
a calm growth YoY in asking rents. As of Q1 2017, asking
North Jakarta East Jakarta
rents were recorded at IDR433,923/sq m/month for middle
class shopping centres, which is a 3.4% increase QoQ, West Jakarta
whilst middle lower was at IDR289,863/sq m/month. Middle Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
to middle lower class shopping centres currently offer rents
at IDR200,000 to IDR550,000/sq m/month.
IDR300,000 IDR30,000
IDR250,000
IDR0
IDR200,000
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
IDR150,000
IDR100,000
CBD Outside the CBD Jakarta
IDR50,000
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
IDR0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
Grades
IDR20,000
IDR160,000
IDR140,000 IDR0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
IDR120,000
IDR100,000
Bogor Depok Tangerang Bekasi Overall
IDR80,000
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
IDR60,000
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
Sector
land, KIIC has already started selling their extension land
of around 160 hectares. Most parts of the land have been
developed while in some other part is waiting for harden-
ing process. The whole construction process including the
Ferry Salanto Senior Associate Director | Research road infrastructure is scheduled to complete by the end of
2017.
Notwithstanding having only six performers this quar-
ter, the total industrial land sales reached more than 50 Whilst other estate properties still focus on selling the re-
hectares, reflecting around 30% of the total sales last maining land, KIIC has already started selling their exten-
quarter. Thanks to two industrial estates i.e. GIIC and sion land of around 160 hectares. Most parts of the land
Modern Cikande, which recorded a significant volume have been developed and some parts are waiting for the
of transactions that helped fuel the overall sales in the hardening process. The whole construction process, in-
earlier year. cluding the road infrastructure, is scheduled to complete
by the end of 2017.
Forecast at a glance Parts of Podomoro Industrial Park, which is around 216
hectares, have been acquired by CFLD, a developer and
Supply
operator of new industries cities based in China. CFLD will
KIIC may finish delivering the total 160 hectares
run their own industrial estate but has yet to get a name,
expansion by the end of the year, whilst the other
whilst Podomoro Industrial Park will run the remaining 325
possible expansion plans from several industrial
hectares under their brand. Within the same area called
estates might.
Trans Hexa Karawang, GT Techpark @ Karawang has
started to offer the land for sale.
Demand
The quarters land absorption rate suggests that
In Bekasi region, Delta Silicon 8 with a total industrial de-
industrial market started seeing a pick-up in de-
velopment of 150 hectares has developed around 83% of
mand. Looking ahead, with all the good assump-
the land, of which 48% has already been sold.
tions in the economic performance, we expect to
see a growth in demand over the next quarter,
Another significant amount of industrial land will come
which potentially makes the overall sales this
from two industrial estates in Serang of more than 2,000
year better than last year.
hectares. This expansion plan will be delivered in stages.
Price Quite a few upcoming industrial estates in Karawang are
Landlords tend to maintain land price at the cur- holding big parcels of land for future market expansions,
rent level. Industrial land price would likely be which will remain as land stock until there is a trigger from
adjusted when sales show an increasing trend. big companies to require sizeable land. Similarly, the two
industrial estates in Serang have also introduced the next
stage of their development. Similar to other sectors, indus-
trial landlords will wait for serious investors with commit-
ment to buy before starting any development work on their
land.
Industrial Land Stock Status in Some Active In Bekasi, Delta Silicon continued to focus on selling Delta
and Future Industrial Estates Silicon 8. This quarter, Delta Silicon only sold small par-
cels of land (0.16 hectare) as part of the expansion plan
4,000 from the operating company. Bekasi Fajar Industrial Estate
basically reported a substantial transaction this quarter of
3,500
around 11 hectares. However, we excluded this deal be-
3,000 cause the purpose is for non-industrial uses.
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
600
400
Bogor Bekasi Tangerang Karawang Serang
200
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
0
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
USD/sq m/month
years. Other industrial estate within the same region that
USD0.06
primarily sells land also offer industrial buildings for lease
at USD7.25/sq m/month. This industrial estate also of- USD0.05
fers industrial land plots for lease at IDR1.00/sq m/month. USD0.04
One under-construction industrial estate in Karawang has USD0.03
also indicated their rental tariffs for industrial buildings at
USD0.02
IDR40,000 / sq m / month.
USD0.01
Bekasi offers higher rental tariff than Karawang. One in- USD0.00
dustrial estate that only focuses on selling industrial land
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017YTD
indicated that the secondary rental market for industrial
buildings is generally quoted between IDR40,000 and
IDR100,000/sq m/month. Meanwhile, standard industrial
Bogor Bekasi Tangerang Karawang Serang
buildings within one industrial estate in Serang are offered
at IDR45,000/sq m/month. Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
Maintenance Cost
Concluding Thought
Industrial estate operator saw no reason to make adjust-
ment in the maintenance tariff. Bekasi continues to capture The industrial market began with slow start of which the
the highest tariff. Next quarter we anticipate one industrial majority of industrial landlords reported a slow sales con-
estate in Serang will increase service charge cost by 20% dition highlighted by decreasing amount of sales volume
just to catch up with the average market rate. during the quarter. Nonetheless, most landlords have an-
ticipated such condition and believe that Indonesia econ-
omy is in the preparation period to rebound. On the other
hand, potential inquiries coming from logistics sector fol-
lowed by automotive and food industry and others con-
tinued to occur. Such interested companies are typically
small to medium scale corporation.
Performance
6,000
Gubernatorial elections have somewhat affect-
ed Jakartas hotel market. If the elections go
smoothly with no riots or cases of violence, there 5,000
is a better hope for the hotel market to perform
steadily. 4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2017F 2019F
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017F
2018F
2019F
2017YTD
Yello Hotel Manggarai 3-star Undefined Jl Minangkabau Timur No 9 South Jakarta 102 Q1
Total 3-star hotel rooms 102
Harris Hayam Wuruk 5-star Upscale Class Hayam Wuruk Central Jakarta 240 Q1
Total 5-star hotel rooms 240
Total rooms 342
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research
New Pipeline
STR CHAIN projected
STARRED project
HOTEL NAME SCALE LOCATION REGION ROOMS completion
RATING status
RATE TIME
Harper TB Simatupang 3-star Undefined TB Simatupang South Jakarta 180 Under 2017
Construction
Des Indes Boutique Hotel by 3-star Undefined HOS Central Jakarta 97 Under Q2 2017
Preference Tauzia Cokroaminoto Construction
Ibis Styles TB Simatupang 3-star Upper TB Simatupang South Jakarta 110 Under 2017
Midscale Construction
Class
Dalton Jakarta Hotel 3-star Undefined Otto Iskandar East Jakarta 147 Under 2017
Dinata Construction
Santika TB Simatupang 3-star Upper TB Simatupang South Jakarta 151 Under Planning Q4 2018
Upscale
Class
Hotel Pasar Senen 3-star Undefined Pasar Senen Central Jakarta 200 Under 2018
Construction
Whiz Prime Hayam Wuruk 3-star Undefined Hayam Wuruk Central Jakarta 130 Under Planning 2018
Hotel by Graha Gatsu Lestari 3-star Undefined Jl Gatot Subroto South Jakarta 100 Under 2018
construction
Total 3-star hotel rooms 1,115
continued
Pullman PIK Avenue 5-star Upper Pantai Indah Non CBD 200 Under 2017
Upscale Kapuk construction
Class
Alila - SCBD lot 11 5-star Luxury Class SCBD CBD 250 Under 2017
construction
The Langham District 8@Lot 5-star Luxury Class SCBD CBD 200 Under 2017
28 SCBD construction
JW Marriott @St Moritz 5-star Luxury Class Puri Indah West Jakarta 208 Under 2017
construction
Park Hyatt Hotel 5-star Luxury Class Kebon Sirih Central Jakarta 150 Under Q1 2018
construction
InterContinental Jakarta 5-star Luxury Class Pondok Indah South Jakarta 300 Under 2018
Pondok Indah Hotel & construction
Residences
Regent 5-star Luxury Class Gatot Subroto CBD 160 Under 2018
construction
St Regis 5-star Luxury Class HR Rasuna Said CBD 280 Under Q1 2019
construction
Waldorf Astoria 5-star Luxury Class Thamrin CBD 181 Under 2019
construction
Total 5-star hotel rooms 1,929
Total hotel rooms 5,578
Source: Colliers International Indonesia - Research, STR
40%
Performance 30%
Most of the time, the first quarter sees sluggish hotel per- 20%
formance. However, the official visit of King Salman in early
10%
March, as well as the IORA Summit, brought an immense
number of delegations to Jakarta and Bali. This helped in- 0%
crease hotel performance, despite happening only in cer- 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017YTD
tain hotels in selected areas.
Jakarta CBD Outside CBD
The recent overheated political situation highlighted by Source: STR Global
massive and intense street demonstrations may have less
impact on the local market but not on overseas market.
Some hoteliers, particularly those in the central commercial
area, have reported that their overseas travellers are quite
sensitive over security-related issues and may postpone or
even cancel their trip to the city.
90%
USD120.00
80%
USD100.00
70%
60% USD80.00
50%
USD60.00
40%
USD40.00
30%
20% USD20.00
10% USD0.00
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Oct-16
Feb-17
0%
Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17
Average Daily Rate (ADR) As predicted, the Q1 2017 performance was low. Political
issues related to the gubernatorial elections in Jakarta are
USD140.00 almost the same with the effects of a presidential election.
Business tends to wait and see, particularly with overseas
USD120.00 guests.
USD0.00
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017YTD
Accelerating success.