CURAH

THN HUJAN
(mm)
1985 123.00
1986 79.00 P(xKarakteristik
>= Xm) Debit
T (m3/dt) Menurut Probabilitasnya
1987 81.00
Probabilitas Kala- NORMAL LOG-NORMAL GUMBEL
1988 66.00 Ulang XT KT XT KT XT
1989 52.00 0.50 2 79.184 0 77.56153 -0.09781 76.45898
1990 101.00 0.20 5 93.14514 0.841621 92.37967 0.795476 91.11869
1991 68.00 0.10 10 100.4429 1.281552 101.22 1.3284 100.8247
1992 88.00 0.07 15 104.0846 1.501086 105.9431 1.61312 106.3007
1993 77.00 0.04 25 108.2251 1.750686 111.5812 1.953006 113.0883
1994 63.00 0.02 50 113.2524 2.053749 118.8319 2.3901 122.1861
1995 56.00
1996 81.00
1997 105.00
1998 87.00
1999 74.50
2000 95.00
2001 54.00
2002 82.40
2003 76.00
2004 70.20
2005 80.00
2006 94.30
2007 69.50
2008 67.80
2009 88.90
 LOG-PEARSON III
KT XT KT
-0.16427 77.5576 -0.00024
0.71946 92.37832 0.841551
1.304569 101.2233 1.28171
1.634682 105.9499 1.501394
2.043854 111.593 1.751193
2.5923 118.8514 2.05454
UJI CHI - SQUARE Hujan Harian Maksimum

1. Aplikasi NORMAL
Kelas P(x >= Xm) Ef Hujan (mm) Of Ef - Of ( Ef-Of )2 / Ef
5 0.2 0 < P <= 0.2 5 93.14514 5 0 0
0.4 0.2 < P <= 0.4 5 83.38662 3 2 0.8
0.6 0.4 < P <= 0.6 5 74.98138 7 2 0.8
0.8 0.6 < P <= 0.8 5 65.22286 6 1 0.2
0.999 0.8 < P <= 0.999 5 27.92202 4 1 0.2
25 25 Chi-Kuadrat = 2
DK = 2
Distribusi NORMAL Diterima Chi-Kritik = 10.596634733
Ket. : Chi-Kuadrat = Harga Chi-Kuadrat
Ef = Frekuensi sesuai pembagian kelasnya
Of = Frekuensi dengan aplikasi distribusi frekuensi
DK = Derajat Kebebasan

2. Aplikasi LOG-NORMAL
Kelas P(x >= Xm) Ef Hujan (mm) Of Ef - Of ( Ef-Of )2 / Ef
5 0.2 0 < P <= 0.2 5 92.37967 5 0 0
0.4 0.2 < P <= 0.4 5 81.75288 4 1 0.2
0.6 0.4 < P <= 0.6 5 73.58507 7 2 0.8
0.8 0.6 < P <= 0.8 5 65.1203 5 0 0
0.999 0.8 < P <= 0.999 5 40.81778 4 1 0.2
25 25 Chi-Kuadrat = 1.2
DK = 2
Distribusi LOG-NORMAL Diterima Chi-Kritik = 10.596634733
Ket. : Chi-Kuadrat = Harga Chi-Kuadrat
Ef = Frekuensi sesuai pembagian kelasnya
Of = Frekuensi dengan aplikasi distribusi frekuensi
DK = Derajat Kebebasan

3. Aplikasi GUMBEL
Kelas P(x >= Xm) Ef Hujan (mm) Of Ef - Of ( Ef-Of )2 / Ef
5 0.2 0 < P <= 0.2 5 91.11869 5 0 0
0.4 0.2 < P <= 0.4 5 80.40661 6 1 0.2
0.6 0.4 < P <= 0.6 5 72.84922 5 0 0
0.8 0.6 < P <= 0.8 5 65.56343 5 0 0
0.999 0.8 < P <= 0.999 5 46.72174 4 1 0.2
25 25 Chi-Kuadrat = 0.4
DK = 2
Distribusi GUMBEL Diterima Chi-Kritik = 10.596634733
Ket. : Chi-Kuadrat = Harga Chi-Kuadrat
Ef = Frekuensi sesuai pembagian kelasnya
Of = Frekuensi dengan aplikasi distribusi frekuensi
DK = Derajat Kebebasan

4. Aplikasi LOG-PEARSON III

Kelas P(x >= Xm) Ef Hujan (mm) Of Ef - Of ( Ef-Of )2 / Ef
5 0.2 0 < P <= 0.2 5 92.37832 5 0 0
0.4 0.2 < P <= 0.4 5 81.749 4 1 0.2
0.6 0.4 < P <= 0.6 5 73.58158 7 2 0.8
0.8 0.6 < P <= 0.8 5 65.11935 5 0 0
0.999 0.8 < P <= 0.999 5 40.83557 4 1 0.2
25 25 Chi-Kuadrat = 1.2
DK = 1
Distribusi LOG-PEARSON III Diterima Chi-Kritik = 7.8794385766
Ket. : Chi-Kuadrat = Harga Chi-Kuadrat
Ef = Frekuensi sesuai pembagian kelasnya
Of = Frekuensi dengan aplikasi distribusi frekuensi
DK = Derajat Kebebasan

Kesimpulan : 1. Menurut Uji Chi-Kuadrat, Distribusi yang terbaik adalah GUMBEL

2. Dengan nilai Chi-Kritik = 10.597
3. Dan nilai Chi-Kuadrat adalah 0.400
UJI SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV Hujan Harian Maksimum

NORMAL LOG-NORMAL
Hujan (mm) m P = m/(N+1)
P(x >= Xm) Do P(x >= Xm) Do
123 1 0.0384615385 0.004128633 0.034332905 0.0132195268 0.025242012
105 2 0.0769230769 0.059822066 0.017101011 0.0724142553 0.004508822
101 3 0.1153846154 0.094232007 0.021152608 0.1018506748 0.013533941
95 4 0.1538461538 0.170184141 0.016337987 0.1644671723 0.010621018
94.3 5 0.1923076923 0.18108456 0.011223133 0.1734392465 0.018868446
88.9 6 0.2307692308 0.279034939 0.048265708 0.2556559046 0.024886674
88 7 0.2692307692 0.297551416 0.028320647 0.2716552475 0.002424478
87 8 0.3076923077 0.318758646 0.011066339 0.2902004757 0.017491832
82.4 9 0.3461538462 0.423138636 0.07698479 0.3854105588 0.039256713
81 10 0.3846153846 0.456413213 0.071797829 0.4172980902 0.032682706
81 11 0.4230769231 0.456413213 0.03333629 0.4172980902 0.005778833
80 12 0.4615384615 0.480383531 0.01884507 0.4407724557 0.020766006
79 13 0.5 0.504425015 0.004425015 0.464755776 0.035244224
77 14 0.5384615385 0.552372729 0.01391119 0.513951339 0.024510199
76 15 0.5769230769 0.576105968 0.000817109 0.5389958358 0.037927241
74.5 16 0.6153846154 0.61116861 0.004216005 0.5768585901 0.038526025
70.2 17 0.6538461538 0.705947287 0.052101133 0.6844031342 0.03055698
69.5 18 0.6923076923 0.720316416 0.028008724 0.7013506339 0.009042942
68 19 0.7307692308 0.749909955 0.019140724 0.7367381172 0.005968886
67.8 20 0.7692307692 0.753726374 0.015504395 0.7413459646 0.027884805
66 21 0.8076923077 0.78662712 0.021065187 0.7814286998 0.026263608
63 22 0.8461538462 0.835374095 0.010779751 0.8415781667 0.004575679
56 23 0.8846153846 0.91888397 0.034268586 0.9415533981 0.056938014
54 24 0.9230769231 0.935514238 0.012437315 0.9593344665 0.036257543
52 25 0.9615384615 0.949365909 0.012172553 0.9728658432 0.011327382

DKritik = 0.32 0.07698479 0.056938014

Diterima Diterima
Ket. : m = Peringkat
P = Peluang di lapangan
Do = Selisih peluang lapangan dengan peluang teoritis

Kesimpulan : 1. Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov menggunakan nilai Delta Kritik 0.320

2. Menurut Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov, Distribusi yang terbaik adalah LOG-NORMAL
3. Dengan nilai Delta Maksimum adalah 0.057
 GUMBEL LOG-PEARSON III
P(x >= Xm) Do P(x >= Xm) Do
0.018791735 0.019669803 0.0132522583 0.02520928
0.073454618 0.003468458 0.072452426 0.004470651
0.098722517 0.016662098 0.1018776894 0.013506926
0.152356029 0.001490125 0.1644645929 0.010618439
0.160112202 0.03219549 0.1734322309 0.018875461
0.232717872 0.001948641 0.2556114197 0.024842189
0.24722594 0.022004829 0.2716042995 0.00237353
0.264215589 0.043476719 0.2901425362 0.017549772
0.354586244 0.008432397 0.3853251338 0.039171288
0.38609755 0.001482166 0.4172070026 0.032591618
0.38609755 0.036979373 0.4172070026 0.00586992
0.409709036 0.051829425 0.4406782985 0.020860163
0.434199035 0.065800965 0.464659512 0.035340488
0.485598564 0.052862974 0.5138541162 0.024607422
0.51236406 0.064559017 0.5388998389 0.038023238
0.553581685 0.061802931 0.5767666101 0.038618005
0.675209552 0.021363398 0.6843364835 0.03049033
0.694899827 0.002592135 0.7012896836 0.008981991
0.736338794 0.005569563 0.7366905212 0.00592129
0.741759509 0.02747126 0.7413001657 0.027930604
0.789025933 0.018666375 0.7814003676 0.02629194
0.859454527 0.013300681 0.841578573 0.004575273
0.965653963 0.081038579 0.9415952824 0.056979898
0.980455058 0.057378135 0.9593782164 0.036301293
0.989878429 0.028339968 0.9729074202 0.011368959

0.081038579 0.056979898
Diterima Diterima
HITUNGAN STATISTIK Hujan Harian Maksimum

m P = m/(N+1) Tahun Hujan (mm) Ln Hujan (mm)

1 0.038461538 1985 123 4.8121843554
2 0.076923077 1997 105 4.6539603502
3 0.115384615 1990 101 4.6151205168
4 0.153846154 2000 95 4.5538768916
5 0.192307692 2006 94.3 4.5464811896
6 0.230769231 2009 88.9 4.4875121425
7 0.269230769 1992 88 4.4773368145
8 0.307692308 1998 87 4.4659081187
9 0.346153846 2002 82.4 4.4115854369
10 0.384615385 1987 81 4.3944491547
11 0.423076923 1996 81 4.3944491547
12 0.461538462 2005 80 4.3820266347
13 0.5 1986 79 4.3694478525
14 0.538461538 1993 77 4.3438054219
15 0.576923077 2003 76 4.3307333403
16 0.615384615 1999 74.5 4.3107991254
17 0.653846154 2004 70.2 4.251348311
18 0.692307692 2007 69.5 4.2413267526
19 0.730769231 1991 68 4.2195077052
20 0.769230769 2008 67.8 4.2165621949
21 0.807692308 1988 66 4.189654742
22 0.846153846 1994 63 4.1431347264
23 0.884615385 1995 56 4.0253516907
24 0.923076923 2001 54 3.9889840466
25 0.961538462 1989 52 3.9512437186

Jumlah Data = 25.00 25.00

Nilai Rerata (Mean) = 79.18 4.35
Standar Deviasi = 16.59 0.21
Koefisien Skewness = 0.61 0.00
Koefisien Kurtosis = 0.74 0.03
Koefisien Variasi = 0.21 0.05
Nilai Tengah = 79.00 4.37