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D RAFT VERSION N OVEMBER 3, 2017

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SIGNATURES OF NITROGEN CHEMISTRY IN HOT JUPITER ATMOSPHERES

RYAN J. M AC D ONALD 1 AND N IKKU M ADHUSUDHAN 1

1 Institute
of Astronomy
University of Cambridge
arXiv:1711.00467v1 [astro-ph.EP] 1 Nov 2017

Cambridge CB3 0HA, UK

Submitted to ApJL

ABSTRACT
Inferences of molecular compositions of exoplanetary atmospheres have generally focused on C, H, and O-bearing molecules.
Recently, additional absorption in HST WFC3 transmission spectra around 1.55 m has been attributed to nitrogen-bearing
chemical species: NH3 or HCN. These species, if present in significant abundance, would be strong indicators of disequilibrium
chemical processes e.g. vertical mixing and photochemistry. The derived N abundance, in turn, could also place important
constraints on planetary formation mechanisms. Here, we examine the detectability of nitrogen chemistry in exoplanetary atmo-
spheres. In addition to the WFC3 bandpass (1.1-1.7 m), we find that observations in K-band at 2.2 m, achievable with present
ground-based telescopes, sample a strong NH3 feature, whilst observations at 3.1 m and 4.0 m sample strong HCN features.
In anticipation of such observations, we predict absorption feature amplitudes due to nitrogen chemistry in the 1-5 m spectral
range possible for a typical hot Jupiter. Finally, we conduct atmospheric retrievals of 9 hot Jupiter transmission spectra in search
of near-infrared absorption features suggestive of nitrogen chemistry. We report weak detections of NH3 in WASP-31b (2.2),
HCN in WASP-63b (2.3), and excess absorption that could be attributed to NH3 in HD 209458b. High-precision observations
from 1-5 m (e.g., with the James Webb Space Telescope), will enable definitive detections of nitrogen chemistry, in turn serving
as powerful diagnostics of disequilibrium atmospheric chemistry and planetary formation processes.

Keywords: planets and satellites: atmospheres methods: data analysis techniques: spectroscopic

Corresponding author: Ryan J. MacDonald


r.macdonald@ast.cam.ac.uk
nmadhu@ast.cam.ac.uk
2 M AC D ONALD & M ADHUSUDHAN

1. INTRODUCTION Photochemistry can enhance HCN abundances, at the ex-


Chemical characterisation of exoplanetary atmospheres is pense of NH3 , CH4 and N2 , at pressures . 103 bar (Zahnle
rapidly entering a golden era. Robust detections of C, H, et al. 2009; Moses et al. 2011). Photochemical deviations
and O-bearing molecules from infrared spectroscopy are now should become more pronounced for lower temperature plan-
commonplace (e.g. Snellen et al. 2010; Deming et al. 2013; ets, due to deeper quench points and slower reaction rates im-
Sing et al. 2016). Optical transmission spectra have offered peding attempts to drive products back towards equilibrium
detections of Na, K, and TiO (e.g. Snellen et al. 2008; Wil- (Moses et al. 2011). These conclusions are relatively insen-
son et al. 2015; Sing et al. 2015; Sedaghati et al. 2017), sitive to the C/O ratio (Moses et al. 2013). An atmosphere
though are often plagued by clouds or hazes (Knutson et al. subjected to extreme photochemistry may display abundant
2014; Kreidberg et al. 2014; Ehrenreich et al. 2014). H2 O HCN and depleted NH3 in the photosphere, whilst one with
is the most frequently observed molecule in exoplanetary strong vertical mixing and minimal photochemistry could
atmospheres (Madhusudhan et al. 2016), enabled by high- display abundant NH3 and / or HCN.
precision spectra from the Hubble Space Telescopes (HST) The impact of disequilibrium nitrogen chemistry on trans-
Wide Field Camera 3 (WFC3). However, H2 O is not the mission spectra has been considered before (e.g. Shabram
only molecule with strong features in the 1.1-1.7m WFC3 et al. 2011; Moses et al. 2011). Shabram et al. (2011) iden-
range. Additional features, due to CH4 , NH3 , and HCN, need tified HCN absorption features at 1.5, 3.3 and 7 m, sug-
to be considered when modelling exoplanetary atmospheres gesting that the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) NIR-
(MacDonald & Madhusudhan 2017). Spec prism will be able to observe the former two. Moses
Nitrogen chemistry is expected to exist in exoplanetary et al. (2011) strongly recommended including HCN and NH3
atmospheres (Burrows & Sharp 1999; Lodders & Fegley within spectral analyses. Without including these disequi-
2002). However, the anticipated equilibrium abundances of librium products, as is somewhat common in atmospheric
such species in the upper atmospheres of hot Jupiters are retrievals, the prospect of detecting nitrogen chemistry has
small: 107 and 108 for NH3 and HCN respectively been artificially quenched.
assuming solar composition, C/O = 0.5, and N/O = 0.2 at Recently, in MacDonald & Madhusudhan (2017), we re-
1500 K (Madhusudhan 2012; Heng & Tsai 2016). De- ported tentative evidence of nitrogen chemistry in the hot
tecting such trace abundances is impractical with current ob- Jupiter HD 209458b. We identified a slope from 1.5-1.7
servations, often leading to the exclusion of such molecules m in the WFC3 transmission spectrum, suggesting NH3 or
from exoplanetary spectral analyses. However, observable HCN as possible contributors. At the precision of the data,
nitrogen chemistry may occur under some circumstances. either molecule provided reasonable fits. However, quali-
One avenue is enhanced elemental ratios: HCN abundances tatively different WFC3 features become apparent at higher
increase by 104 for C/O & 1 (Madhusudhan 2012); both resolution: an NH3 shoulder redwards of the 1.4 m H2 O
NH3 and HCN weakly increase with N/O (Heng & Tsai feature, vs. a HCN peak around 1.55 m. The NH3 feature
2016). Such enhanced ratios could be remnants of plane- appears to have been missed in prior studies, possibly due to
tary formation (berg et al. 2011; Madhusudhan et al. 2014; not including it in models (Deming et al. 2013; Madhusudhan
Mordasini et al. 2016; Piso et al. 2016). et al. 2014; Barstow et al. 2017) or a priori assumed chem-
Alternatively, disequilibrium chemistry can enhance NH3 istry (Benneke 2015; Sing et al. 2016). Incomplete opac-
and HCN abundances by & 2 orders of magnitude over ity data below 3m (e.g. Shabram et al. 2011, Fig. 5)
equilibrium expectations at altitudes probed by transmission could also contribute, as many studies pre-date the latest NH3
spectra (Zahnle et al. 2009; Moses et al. 2011, 2013; Venot and HCN line-lists (Tennyson et al. 2016). This initial evi-
et al. 2012). There are two principle disequilibrium avenues: dence has motivated retrievals to include nitrogen chemistry
transport-induced quenching (e.g., via vertical mixing) and for other planets. For example, Kilpatrick et al. (2017) ob-
photochemistry (e.g., by UV irradiation). Quenching occurs served an apparent absorption feature at 1.55 m in WASP-
in atmospheric regions where a dynamical transport process 63bs transmission spectrum. Atmospheric retrievals by four
is characteristically faster than a certain chemical reaction different groups identified this as consistent with super-solar
(e.g. N2 + H2
NH3 ). The transport process then fixes HCN.
the chemical abundances to equilibrium values from atmo- In this letter, we identify spectral signatures of nitrogen
spheric regions where local conditions result in a commen- chemistry in exoplanetary atmospheres that are detectable
surate chemical reaction timescale. For NH3 and HCN, this with present and upcoming instruments. We then examine
occurs in the deep atmosphere (pressures 1bar Moses transmission spectra of 9 hot Jupiters for signs of nitrogen
et al. 2011), where equilibrium abundances are considerably chemistry.
higher. Vertical mixing then dredges-up these molecules to
the upper atmosphere.
N ITROGEN C HEMISTRY IN H OT J UPITER ATMOSPHERES 3

10 -18 NH 3 (1000 K) H 2 O (1000 K) HCN (1000 K) H 2 O (1000 K)


10 -19 NH 3 (1500 K)
NH 3 (2000 K)
H 2 O (1500 K)
H 2 O (2000 K) Diagnostic
NH 3 HCN (1500 K)
HCN (2000 K)
H 2 O (1500 K)
H 2 O (2000 K)
Diagnostic HCN
Cross Section (cm 2 )

10 -20 Diagnostic Diagnostic Diagnostic

10 -21
10 -22
10 -23
10 -24
10 -25
HST WFC3 K Band Spitzer HST WFC3 K Band Spitzer
10 -26
1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
Wavelength (m) Wavelength (m)

Figure 1. Near-infrared NH3 and HCN absorption cross sections (smoothed for clarity). Left: NH3 cross section (red solid) compared to H2 O
(blue dashed), at 1000, 1500 and 2000 K (darker implies higher temperature) and 1 mbar. Right: HCN cross section (orange solid) compared
to H2 O under the same conditions. Shading indicates the WFC3, K-band, and Spitzer IRAC bandpasses. The plotted wavelength range is
observable by JWST NIRISS / NIRSpec. Diagnostic strong NH3 and HCN absorption features are annotated.

2. ATMOSPHERIC MODELLING AND RETRIEVAL multimodal nested sampling algorithm, implemented by Py-
FRAMEWORK MultiNest (Buchner et al. 2014).
We model transmission spectra in a plane-parallel ge-
ometry for planetary atmospheres under hydrostatic equi- 3. DETECTABILITY OF NITROGEN CHEMISTRY
librium, using the POSEIDON radiative transfer and re- We first examine the optimum near-infrared regions to
trieval algorithm (MacDonald & Madhusudhan 2017). We search for nitrogen chemistry. We begin by comparing the
assume uniform-in-altitude terminator-averaged mixing ra- cross sections of NH3 and HCN to H2 O. We then explore
tios, terminator-averaged temperature structure, and allow how atmospheric properties alter NH3 and HCN absorption
for inhomogeneous clouds / hazes. We consider the major signatures. Finally, we consider how these findings can be
sources of opacity expected in H2 dominated atmospheres: employed by ground and space based facilities to uniquely
H2 O, CH4 , NH3 , HCN, CO, CO2 , Na, K (Madhusudhan et al. detect NH3 and HCN in exoplanetary atmospheres.
2016), along with H2 -H2 and H2 -He collision-induced ab-
sorption (CIA). The opacity sources are described in Gandhi
3.1. NH3 / HCN Absorption Features
& Madhusudhan (2017) and use molecular line lists from the
EXOMOL (Tennyson et al. 2016) and HITEMP databases Figure 1 contrasts the NH3 and HCN cross sections to H2 O
(Rothman et al. 2010). from 1-5 m at 1000, 1500, and 2000 K. Where the H2 O
We use this forward model in two ways. In section 3, we cross section possesses local minima, the cross sections of
first generate transmission spectra to investigate signatures nitrogen-bearing molecules may exceed H2 O by 2 orders
of nitrogen chemistry over a range of planetary parameters. of magnitude. The WFC3 bandpass contains NH3 and HCN
Secondly, in section 4, we couple the forward model with features around 1.5-1.6 m (MacDonald & Madhusud-
a Bayesian parameter estimation and model comparison re- han 2017), along with a weaker unique NH3 feature at
trieval code. This enables us to derive constraints on nitrogen 1.2 m. NH3 possesses a prominent feature at 2.2 m
chemistry from observed spectra of a sample of hot Jupiters. (K-band), whilst HCN has an especially strong feature at
Our models have a maximum of 19 free parameters: 6 3.1 m. Both molecules absorb at 4 m, between the two
for the temperature profile, 8 for mixing ratios, 4 encod- Spitzer IRAC bands. The K-band NH3 feature is a powerful
ing clouds / hazes, and a reference pressure, Pref . For each diagnostic, coinciding with minima for both H2 O and HCN.
parameter set, we generate transmission spectra at R=1000 The cross section contrast between NH3 or HCN and H2 O
from 0.2-5.2 m. The model spectra are convolved with tends to increase at lower temperatures, suggesting that lower
the relevant instrument point-spread-functions and binned to temperature planets may posses amplified nitrogen chemistry
the data resolution. The parameter space is mapped via the features (see section 3.2.2). HCN peaks become sharper than
MultiNest (Feroz & Hobson 2008; Feroz et al. 2009, 2013) NH3 features at lower temperatures, which can enable unique
identification in regions of overlapping absorption (e.g. the
WFC3 bandpass).
4 M AC D ONALD & M ADHUSUDHAN

800 800
700
Mixing Ratio K Band NH 3 700
Mixing Ratio HCN
Spitzer
Transit Depth Excess (ppm)

NH /H O = 1
3 2 HCN/H 2 O = 1
NH 3 /H 2 O = 10 1 HCN/H 2 O = 10 1
600 NH 3 /H 2 O = 10 2 600 HCN/H 2 O = 10 2

500 Spitzer 500


HST WFC3
400 400
300 300 HST WFC3
200 200
100 100 K Band

0 0
1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
500 500
450 Temperature NH 3 450 Temperature HCN
Transit Depth (%)

1. 6
Transit Depth Excess (ppm)

1000 K 1000 K
400 1500 K 400 1500 K
350 2000 K
K Band 350 2000 K Spitzer
300 1. 5
1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
Wavelength (m)
300
250 250
200 HST WFC3
Spitzer 200
150 150
100 100 HST WFC3
50 50 K Band
0 0
1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
500 500
450 Cloud Fraction
K Band NH 3 450 Cloud Fraction HCN
Transit Depth Excess (ppm)

400 0% 400 0%
50% 50%
350 100% 350 100% Spitzer
Spitzer
300 300
HST WFC3
250 250
200 200
150 150 HST WFC3
100 100
50 50 K Band
0 0
1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
Wavelength (m) Wavelength (m)

Figure 2. Nitrogen chemistry absorption features in near-infrared transmission spectra. A reference model with enhanced nitrogen chemistry
(section 3.2), is perturbed in mixing ratio, temperature, and cloud fraction. The transit depth excess results from subtracting a model with
enhanced nitrogen chemistry from an identical model without nitrogen chemistry (see inset). The intermediate shading shows this subtraction
for the unperturbed reference model. Left: reference model with enhanced NH3 . Right: reference model with enhanced HCN. Dashed lines
indicate covered regions. The WFC3, K-band, and Spitzer IRAC bandpasses are indicated.

3.2. Factors Influencing Detectability tween a transmission spectrum model with and without en-
The relative strengths of absorption cross sections are not hanced nitrogen chemistry varies as a function of NH3 /
the only consideration governing the imprint of nitrogen HCN abundance, atmospheric temperature, and across the
chemistry into transmission spectra. We henceforth illus- transition from clear to cloudy atmospheres. We perturb a
trate how the transit depth excess here the difference be- reference hot Jupiter system with the following properties:
N ITROGEN C HEMISTRY IN H OT J UPITER ATMOSPHERES 5

R p = 1.2 RJ , R = R , g = 10 m s2 , T = 1500 K (isothermal). these regions. Where H2 O absorption is also prominent, (e.g.
The volume mixing ratios, with the exception of NH3 and 3.1 m), features are less sensitive to the cloud fraction. This
HCN, are representative of chemical equilibrium: log(H2 O) change in the relative amplitudes of NH3 or HCN absorption
= -3.3, log(CH4 ) = -6.0, log(CO) = -3.3, log(CO2 ) = -7.0 features (especially 3.1 m vs. 4.0 m) may offer an avenue
(Madhusudhan 2012). These background abundances are to constrain the terminator cloud fraction.
held constant throughout. The reference model considers
NH3 /H2 O or HCN/H2 O = 0.1. We take Pcloud = 1 mbar, Pref 3.3. A Strategy to Uniquely Detect NH3 and HCN
= 10 mbar, and a terminator cloud fraction of 50%. Figure 2 indicates that WFC3 spectra can enable detec-
3.2.1. Mixing Ratio tions of nitrogen chemistry. In particular, absorption at
1.2 m and in K-band uniquely indicates NH3 . HCN absorbs
Figure 2 (top) demonstrates that the transit depth excess strongly around 3.1 and 4.0 m. We suggest ground-based
is strongly correlated with the relative mixing ratios of each K-band photometry and/or spectroscopy as a promising av-
nitrogen-bearing species to water dictated by the relative enue to assess the presence of NH3 . Null detections in K-
cross section differences (Figure 1). Since the cross sec- band could rule out NH3 , whilst suggesting HCN as a possi-
tions of NH3 and HCN are rarely enhanced by more than ble cause of 1.55 m WFC3 absorption. Furthermore, robust
100 over H2 O from 1-5 m, it is unsurprising that absorp- detections of HCN via the 3.1 and 4.0 m features will be
tion signatures become negligible for relative mixing ratios feasible with JWST.
below 102 . However, when nitrogen chemistry abundances
become commensurate with H2 O, a plethora of features & 4. EVIDENCE OF NITROGEN CHEMISTRY IN
300 ppm emerge throughout the near-infrared. KNOWN HOT JUPITERS
3.2.2. Temperature Having identified prominent nitrogen chemistry absorption
features, we present tentative signs of these in 3 hot Jupiter
Figure 2 (middle), illustrates two effects compete as tem-
atmospheres. We apply a uniform atmospheric retrieval anal-
peratures lower: i) the H2 O cross section minima deepen
ysis to 9 hot Jupiter spectra, spanning visible to near-infrared
(Figure 1); ii) the atmospheric scale height decreases pro-
wavelengths ( 0.3-5.0 m). After briefly describing our
portionally. The combined effect is for many NH3 / HCN
planet selection, we examine the extent to which current ob-
features to initially intensify from 2000 K 1500 K, be-
servations can constrain nitrogen chemistry in exoplanetary
fore the stronger features dampen from 1500 K 1000 K
atmospheres.
as the atmosphere contracts. Generally, HCN features be-
come sharper for cooler temperatures, as expected from the 4.1. Planet Selection
cross sections (Figure 1). Overall, nitrogen chemistry ab-
sorption features remain potent over a wide range of temper- We focus on the Sing et al. (2016) hot Jupiter transmis-
atures expected in hot Jupiter atmospheres ( 1000-2000 K), sion spectra with WFC3, STIS, and Spitzer observations:
especially in the WFC3 bandpass for cooler temperatures. K- WASP-12b, WASP-17b, WASP-19b, WASP-31b, HAT-P-1b,
band is a robust NH3 diagnostic for T & 1000 K, whilst the HAT-P-12b, HD 189733b, HD 209458b. We also retrieve
3.1 and 4.0 m HCN features are prominent for T & 1500 the WFC3 spectrum of WASP-63b (Kilpatrick et al. 2017),
K. Thus enhanced nitrogen chemistry, if present, may even where indications of HCN have been considered. Our goal
be detectable in some of the higher temperature hot Jupiters. is to identify planets with plausible suggestions of nitrogen
chemistry, such that follow-up observations can robustly es-
3.2.3. Clouds tablish whether nitrogen chemistry is present in these objects.
Figure 2 (bottom), demonstrates that clouds generally An initial retrieval was performed for each planet including
dampen absorption contrasts. This is unsurprising, as a high- all model parameters. Candidates were identified wherever
altitude grey cloud deck with near-complete terminator cov- the best-fitting retrieved spectrum featured a WFC3 transit
erage indiscriminatingly blocks electromagnetic radiation. depth excess due to NH3 or HCN >30ppm. This resulted
Despite this, the strongest absorption features (K-band NH3 in 3 candidates planets: WASP-31b, WASP-63b, and HD
and 3.1 and 4.0 m HCN) can remain prominent even for 209458b. We provide the posterior distributions from these
uniform terminator clouds (dark shading). Increased damp- retrievals online1 . For each candidate, we ran three additional
ening can result from higher altitude clouds, though it is retrievals: with NH3 (no HCN), with HCN (no NH3 ), and
unclear if grey cloud decks can exist at Pcloud < 1 mbar (Fort- without nitrogen chemistry.
ney et al. 2010; Parmentier et al. 2013). Absorption features
located near H2 O cross section minima strengthen consider-
ably as the terminator becomes cloud-free, as NH3 / HCN,
1 Online posteriors
rather than clouds, become the dominant opacity source in
6 M AC D ONALD & M ADHUSUDHAN
1. 76
WASP-31b 6
1. 72 WFC3 Spitzer Spitzer
K Band
4
1. 68

2
Transit Depth (%)

1. 64

Scale Heights
0
1. 60

-2
1. 56

-4
1. 52

-6
1. 48

-8
1. 44 H2 O NH 3 + H 2 O HCN + H 2 O Binned Model Data

1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0


10
0. 70
WASP-63b
0. 69
8
0. 68

0. 67
6
Transit Depth (%)

0. 66

Scale Heights
0. 65
4
0. 64

0. 63 2

0. 62

0. 61 0

0. 60

0. 59 -2

1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0

1. 54
HD 209458b
6
1. 53

1. 52
Transit Depth (%)

1. 51 4

Scale Heights
1. 50

1. 49
2
1. 48

1. 47

1. 46 0

1. 45
1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
Wavelength (m)

Figure 3. Nitrogen chemistry candidate spectra. Best-fitting transmission spectra (plotted at R=5000) from three atmospheric retrievals are
shown: no nitrogen chemistry (blue), including NH3 (red), and including HCN (orange). Spectra are shown only where the transit depth excess
of NH3 or HCN in the best-fitting model exceeds 30ppm. The dark curves are smoothed model representations.

4.2. Inferences of Nitrogen Chemistry Figure 3 displays the best-fitting spectra from retrievals
with and without nitrogen chemistry from 1-5 m. WASP-
N ITROGEN C HEMISTRY IN H OT J UPITER ATMOSPHERES 7
1. 72 0. 67

WASP-31b 0. 66 WASP-63b
1. 68
0. 65
Transit Depth (%)

1. 64 NH 3
0. 64 HCN
1. 60 0. 63
0. 62
1. 56
0. 61
1. 52 0. 60

1. 48 0. 59
Best fit (NH3) Binned Model Best fit (HCN) Binned Model
0. 58
No N Chem Data No N Chem Data
1. 44
0. 57
1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8
Wavelength (m) Wavelength (m)

Figure 4. Evidence of nitrogen chemistry in WFC3 hot Jupiter transmission spectra. Left: weak detection of NH3 in WASP-31b (2.2). Right:
weak detection of HCN in WASP-63b (2.3). The blue spectra result from removing nitrogen-bearing molecules from the best-fitting model.
The dark curves are smoothed model representations.

31b and WASP-63b feature large nitrogen chemistry tran- We further reassert a weak detection of HCN in WASP-63b
sit depth excesses: 400 ppm NH3 (WASP-31b) and (2.3, Bayes factor = 4.7), due to a 200 ppm peak around
200 ppm HCN (WASP-63b) at 1.55 m (Figure 4). HD 1.55 m. We predict a 400 ppm feature near 3.1 m and
209458b has an 50 ppm NH3 transit depth excess. 200 ppm absorption near 4.0 m (Figure 3). These detec-
Uniquely identifying nitrogen-bearing species is challeng- tion significances include integration over the entire param-
ing at the resolution and precision of present WFC3 observa- eter space, including inhomogeneous clouds; thus the trans-
tions, given overlapping NH3 and HCN absorption features. mission spectra of WASP-31b and WASP-63b cannot be ad-
This difficulty is particularly apparent for HD 209458b, as equately fit without disequilibrium nitrogen chemistry.
shown in MacDonald & Madhusudhan (2017). Moreover, Derived mixing ratio posteriors for NH3 and HCN are
in the present work we report more conservative estimates shown in Figure 5. The maximum a posteriori modes show
of evidence for nitrogen chemistry by marginalising over the abundances enhanced by 3-4 orders of magnitude over
cloud fraction. We also utilise higher resolution cross sec- equilibrium expectations for WASP-31b and WASP-63b, and
tions (0.1cm1 ) and Spitzer observations. As such, the sig- 1 order of magnitude for HD 209458b.
nificance of nitrogen chemistry in HD 209458b is lower than
in MacDonald & Madhusudhan (2017). However, for mod- 4.3. Resolving Degenerate Solutions
erate NH3 or HCN mixing ratios relative to H2 O, nitrogen The limited wavelength range of current observations per-
signatures become sufficiently strong to permit unique detec- mits a range of possibilities. Especially for WASP-63b,
tions. This is the case for both WASP-31b and WASP-63b, where the lack of Spitzer or optical data precludes determin-
where strong WFC3 features permit unique identification of ing the spectral continuum (Figure 3). With low resolution or
signatures attributable respectively to NH3 and HCN (Figure limited precision data, retrievals have flexibility in adjusting
4). other parameters to partially compensate for removing NH3
We report a weak detection of NH3 in WASP-31b (2.2). or HCN. For example, molecular abundances can be degen-
Nested model comparison, whereby we computed the erate with terminator cloud coverage. Such degenerate so-
Bayesian evidences of retrievals with NH3 + HCN and with- lutions cause the mixing ratio tails in Figure 5. However,
out NH3 , establishes a Bayes factor of 3.8 for NH3 ; uniquely present observations are sufficient to distinguish NH3 / HCN
identifying it as the cause of the 400 ppm WFC3 feature features from CH4 , due to a lack of absorption at 1.7 m.
around 1.5 m. Previous studies of WASP-31b were unable Despite WFC3 degeneracies, Figure 3 indicates that model
to fit this feature, either due to excluding NH3 (Sing et al. differences arise at longer wavelengths. Observing WASP-
2015; Barstow et al. 2017) or assuming chemical equilib- 31b in K-band and WASP-63b with Spitzer will permit
rium (Sing et al. 2016). Our retrieval without NH3 (Figure tighter constraints on their NH3 and HCN abundances. HD
3, blue) similarly struggles to fit these elevated points. We 209458b is more challenging, as the low inferred NH3 abun-
predict a 500 ppm K-band NH3 feature for this planet dance only predicts 25 ppm K-band absorption. Ulti-
(Figure 3). If confirmed, this represents the first inference of mately, observations in K-band and at 3.1 or 4.0 m are
ammonia in an exoplanetary atmosphere. critical to resolving model degeneracies.
8 M AC D ONALD & M ADHUSUDHAN

1.0

WASP-31b WASP-63b HD 209458b


Probability density (normalized)

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0.0
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 10 9 8 7 6 5 4

log(VMR) log(VMR) log(VMR)

Figure 5. Posterior distributions of NH3 and HCN volume mixing ratios (VMR) inferred from current transmission spectra. NH3 posteriors are
light red, and HCN light orange.

5. SUMMARY AND DISCUSSION Observable nitrogen chemistry signatures result when NH3
Nitrogen chemistry will open a new window into dise- or HCN exceed 102 the H2 O mixing ratio. HCN fea-
quilibrium atmospheric chemistry and planetary formation tures at 3.1 and 4.0 m weaken and become sharply peaked
mechanisms. High NH3 abundances are indicative of ver- for lower temperatures, whilst most NH3 features, especially
tical mixing; with abundance measurements constraining the in the WFC3 bandpass, strengthen and remain broad. Ex-
eddy diffusion coefficient (Moses et al. 2011). High HCN tensively cloudy atmospheres have dampened absorption fea-
abundances can also indicate vertical mixing, enhanced C/O, tures, though some can exceed 100 ppm even for uniform
or, through an absence of CH4 and NH3 , photochemistry clouds at 1 mbar.
(Zahnle et al. 2009; Moses et al. 2011; Venot et al. 2012). Our inferred NH3 and HCN abundances are enhanced over
We have demonstrated that nitrogen-bearing molecules can equilibrium values by 3-4 orders of magnitude. Such high
be observed in WFC3 spectra. We identified a 400 ppm values suggest that chemical equilibrium is violated in hot
NH3 feature in WASP-31b (2.2), and a 200 ppm HCN Jupiter atmospheres, and should not be imposed a priori in
feature in WASP-63b (2.3). Nitrogen chemistry is poten- atmospheric retrievals. Though more work is needed to ex-
tially present on HD 209458b; though current WFC3 ob- plore scenarios producing enhanced NH3 or HCN, the un-
servations are insufficient to definitively identify a specific expected should be embraced, not shunned, as we seek to
species, given overlapping NH3 and HCN features. Ambi- elucidate the nature of these worlds.
guities may be resolved by observing strong NH3 absorption
at 2.2 m (K-band) and strong HCN absorption at 3.1 R.J.M. acknowledges financial support from the Science
and 4.0 m. JWST will be ideally suited to observing the and Technology Facilities Council (STFC), UK, towards his
plethora of features exceeding the 10 ppm precision ex- doctoral programme. We thank Siddharth Gandhi for sharing
pected of NIRISS / NIRSpec (Beichman et al. 2014). Such high-resolution opacities, Arazi Pinhas for retrieval compar-
observations will enable unique detections of NH3 and HCN isons, and the anonymous referee for helpful comments.
in many exoplanetary atmospheres.

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