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Tabel jumlah larva yang mati setelah tujuh hari pengamatan

Ulangan ke-
1 2 3 4 5 6
Perlakuan Larva mati
M1 (100000000) 20 20 20 19 11 12
M2 (10000000) 18 13 15 13 17 11
M3 (1000000) 18 9 12 14 12 15
M4 (100000) 17 15 15 4 11 11
Jabarkan data
diatas dalam
bentuk seperti
dibawah ini dalam
exel:

data ulat;
input con n r;
cards;
100000000 20 20
100000000 20 20
100000000 20 20 Ada 4 perlakuan & 6 ulangan
100000000 20 19 Perlakuan 1, ulangan ada 6
100000000 20 11
100000000 20 12
10000000 20 18
10000000 20 13 jumlah larva 20
10000000 20 15 jumlah larva yang mati warna kuning
10000000 20 13
10000000 20 17
10000000 20 11
1000000 20 18
1000000 20 9
1000000 20 12
1000000 20 14
1000000 20 12
1000000 20 15
100000 20 17
100000 20 15
100000 20 15
100000 20 4
100000 20 11
100000 20 11
;
proc probit log10;
var con n r;
run;
Cara : 1. Kopi data diatas dan dimasukkan ke dalam layar editor dalam SAS.
2. klik run, setelah itu klik submit, maka akan muncul data hasil analisis,
seperti di bawah ini.

The SAS System 09:55 Thursday,


June 19, 2014 1

Probit Procedure

Iteration History for Parameter Estimates

Iter Ridge Loglikelihood Intercept Log10(con)

0 0 -332.71065 0 0
1 0 -279.27603 -0.743633055 0.1963525482
2 0 -278.75643 -0.957029085 0.2364659772
3 0 -278.75622 -0.961924207 0.237359189
4 0 -278.75622 -0.961924207 0.237359189

Model Information

Data Set WORK.ULAT


Events Variable r
Trials Variable n
Number of Observations 24
Number of Events 342
Number of Trials 480
Name of Distribution Normal
Log Likelihood -278.7562199

Number of Observations Read 24


Number of Observations Used 24
Number of Events 342
Number of Trials 480

Parameter Information

Parameter Effect

Intercept Intercept
con con

Last Evaluation of the Negative of the Gradient

Intercept Log10(con)

-0.000091653 -0.000709063

Last Evaluation of the Negative of the Hessian


Intercept Log10(con)

Intercept 264.66303945 1686.1154259


Log10(con) 1686.1154259 11061.10708
The SAS System 09:55 Thursday,
June 19, 2014 2

Probit Procedure

Algorithm converged.

Goodness-of-Fit Tests

Statistic Value DF Pr > ChiSq

Pearson Chi-Square 76.4037 22 <.0001


L.R. Chi-Square 85.1393 22 <.0001

Response-Covariate Profile

Response Levels 2
Number of Covariate Values 24

All variances and covariances have been multiplied by the heterogeneity factor H=
3.4729.

Please check to be sure that the large chi-square (p < 0.0001) is not caused by
systematic
departure from the model. A t value of 2.07 will be used in computing fiducial
limits.

Type III Analysis of Effects

Wald
Effect DF Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Log10(con) 1 5.1783 0.0229

Analysis of Parameter Estimates

Standard 95% Confidence Chi-


Parameter DF Estimate Error Limits Square Pr >
ChiSq

Intercept 1 -0.9619 0.6743 -2.2836 0.3597 2.03


0.1537
Log10(con) 1 0.2374 0.1043 0.0329 0.4418 5.18
0.0229

Estimated Covariance Matrix

Intercept Log10(con)

Intercept 0.454707 -0.069314


Log10(con) -0.069314 0.010880
The SAS System 09:55 Thursday,
June 19, 2014 3

Probit Procedure

Probit Model in Terms of Tolerance Distribution

MU SIGMA

4.05260993 4.21302417

Estimated Covariance Matrix


for Tolerance Parameters

MU SIGMA

MU 1.270706 -1.886067
SIGMA -1.886067 3.427693
The SAS System 09:55 Thursday,
June 19, 2014 4

Probit Procedure

Probit Analysis on Log10(con)

Probability Log10(con) 95% Fiducial Limits

0.01 -5.7483 -130.3842 0.0755


0.02 -4.5999 -117.4337 0.6811
0.03 -3.8712 -109.2176 1.0659
0.04 -3.3231 -103.0372 1.3557
0.05 -2.8772 -98.0103 1.5917
0.06 -2.4977 -93.7318 1.7928
0.07 -2.1649 -89.9806 1.9693
0.08 -1.8670 -86.6220 2.1275
0.09 -1.5960 -83.5676 2.2716
0.10 -1.3466 -80.7562 2.4043
0.15 -0.3139 -69.1179 2.9555
0.20 0.5068 -59.8710 3.3964
0.25 1.2110 -51.9408 3.7775
0.30 1.8433 -44.8226 4.1231
0.35 2.4292 -38.2307 4.4476
0.40 2.9853 -31.9814 4.7611
0.45 3.5232 -25.9433 5.0728
0.50 4.0526 -20.0143 5.3928
0.55 4.5820 -14.1099 5.7374
0.60 5.1200 -8.1651 6.1423
0.65 5.6760 -2.1885 6.7286
0.70 6.2619 3.2272 8.2292
0.75 6.8943 5.7401 13.1802
0.80 7.5984 6.5796 20.6519
0.85 8.4191 7.1774 29.7420
0.90 9.4518 7.8053 41.3035
0.91 9.7012 7.9490 44.1040
0.92 9.9722 8.1030 47.1484
0.93 10.2702 8.2704 50.4978
0.94 10.6029 8.4555 54.2404
0.95 10.9824 8.6647 58.5109
0.96 11.4283 8.9084 63.5301
0.97 11.9764 9.2057 69.7029
0.98 12.7051 9.5982 77.9113
0.99 13.8536 10.2123 90.8533
The SAS System 09:55 Thursday,
June 19, 2014 5

Probit Procedure

Probit Analysis on con

Probability con 95% Fiducial Limits

0.01 1.78505E-6 4.129E-131 1.18991


0.02 0.0000251 3.684E-118 4.79867
0.03 0.0001345 6.06E-110 11.63885
0.04 0.0004753 9.178E-104 22.68425
0.05 0.00133 9.7656E-99 39.05982
0.06 0.00318 1.8544E-94 62.06176
0.07 0.00684 1.0457E-90 93.18143
0.08 0.01358 2.388E-87 134.13241
0.09 0.02535 2.7065E-84 186.88086
0.10 0.04502 1.7532E-81 253.67976
0.15 0.48539 7.6218E-70 902.70715
0.20 3.21247 1.3459E-60 2491
0.25 16.25430 1.146E-52 5991
0.30 69.71045 1.5045E-45 13278
0.35 268.68628 5.8784E-39 28028
0.40 966.61263 1.0438E-32 57694
0.45 3336 1.1395E-26 118238
0.50 11288 9.6756E-21 247062
0.55 38197 7.7642E-15 546275
0.60 131816 6.8381E-9 1387603
0.65 474214 0.00648 5353217
0.70 1827772 1687 169510532
0.75 7838836 549636 1.51412E13
0.80 39662541 3798354 4.48678E20
0.85 262499725 15043558 5.52088E29
0.90 2830203432 63875300 2.01153E41
0.91 5026240850 88918532 1.27058E44
0.92 9380162814 126770589 1.40727E47
0.93 1.86274E10 186394540 3.14612E50
0.94 4.00782E10 285434915 1.73953E54
0.95 9.60325E10 462025409 3.24243E58
0.96 2.68097E11 809805441 3.38926E63
0.97 9.47194E11 1605957013 5.04521E69
0.98 5.07112E12 3964546104 8.15319E77
0.99 7.13789E13 1.63054E10 7.13318E90
Cara :