i := 0 .. 2
Uc_1 :=
current velocity (1 yr return period) i
0.5
0.8
0.2
P1 :=
probability of current velocity (scatter) (1 yr return period) i
35%
20%
45%
(the below are for 10yr and 100 yr return period current velocity and probability)
Uc_10 := Uc_100 :=
i P10 := i P100 :=
i i
0.65 0.75
35% 40%
0.67 0.77
25% 30%
0.7 0.8
40% 30%
2
10 := Uc_10i P10i
1 :=
Uc_1i P1 i
i= 0
i= 0
2
U
2 2
U 10 := c_10i 10 P10i
2
1 := c_1i 1 P1 i
i= 0
i= 0
1 of 4
2
U
2 3
U c_10i 10 P10i
3
c_1i 1 P1 i
i= 0
i= 0 10 :=
1 := 3
3 10
1
2
100 :=
Uc_100 P100
i i
i= 0
2
U
2
100 := c_100i 100 P100 i
i= 0
2
U
3
c_100i 100 P100 i
i= 0
100 :=
3
100
1
x 1 t
( x ) := t e dt
( 0.1) = 9.284
0
Given
1 = 1 1 +
1
+ 1
1
2
1 = 1 1 +
2
1 +
1
1 1
2 of 4
3
1 3 1 + 1 1 + 2 + 2 1 + 1
3
1 +
3
1 = 1 1 1 1
1
0.699
Find( 1 , 1 , 1 ) = 1.504
0.193
x 1
1
F1 ( x ) := 1 e
1
Given
10 = 10 1 +
1
+ 10
10
2
10 = 10 1 +
2
1 +
1
10 10
3
10 3 1 + 1 1 + 2 + 2 1 + 1
3
1 +
3
10 = 10 10 10 10
10
0.061
Find( 10 , 10 , 10) = 2.415
0.65
x 10
10
F10( x ) := 1 e
10
Given
3 of 4
100 = 100 1 +
1
+ 100
100
2
100 = 100 1 +
2
1 +
1
100
100
3
100 3 1 + 1 1 + 2 + 2 1 + 1
3
100 =
+
100 100 100 100
1 3
100
0.062
Find( 100 , 100 , 100 ) = 1.592
0.75
x 100
100
100
F100 ( x ) := 1 e
0.66
F 1( x) 0.65
F 10( x)
0.64
F 100( x)
0.63
0.62
0 2 4 6 8 10
x
d
F1 ( x ) dx = 0.369
dx
0
F1 ( .5) = 0.637
F1 ( .8) = 0.64
F1 ( .2) = 0.631
4 of 4