DAFTAR ISI

Halaman
LEMBARAN PENGESAHAN JURUSAN
LEMBARAN ASISTENSI
DAFTAR NILAI KERJA PRAKTEK
KATA PENGANTAR .......................................................................................... i
DAFTAR ISI ......................................................................................................... iii
DAFTAR TABEL ................................................................................................ iv
DAFTAR GAMBAR ............................................................................................ vi

BAB I PENDAHULUAN ................................................................................ 1

1.1 Pengertian Kerja Praktek............................................................... 1
1.2 Tujuan Kerja Praktek .................................................................... 1
1.3 Manfaat Kerja Praktek .................................................................. 2
1.4 Ruang Lingkup Kerja Praktek ....................................................... 2
1.5 Metodologi Penyusunan Laporan Kerja Praktek .......................... 3

BAB II GAMBARAN UMUM PERUSAHAAN ............................................. 4

2.1 Sejarah dan Perkembangan PT. Bumisari Prima .......................... 4
2.2 Lokasi PT. Bumisari Prima ........................................................... 6
2.3 Produk-produk PT. Bumisari Prima.............................................. 6
2.4 Visi dan Misi PT. Bumisari Prima ................................................ 6
2.5 Pemasaran Hasil Produksi ............................................................ 7
2.6 Tinjauan Umum Tentang Tepung Tapioka ................................... 7
2.7 Proses Produksi PT. Bumisari Prima ............................................ 9
2.7.1 Penyediaan Bahan Baku ...................................................... 9
2.7.2 Pengolahan Bahan Baku ...................................................... 10
2.8 Manfaat Perusahaan ...................................................................... 13
2.9 Hal-hal yang dilakukan Pengelola dalam Mengembangkan
PT. Bumisari Prima ....................................................................... 16
2.10 Karyawan PT. Bumisari Prima ...................................................... 16
2.11 Organisasi PT. Bumisari Prima ..................................................... 17
2.12 Struktur Organisasi PT. Bumisari Prima ....................................... 18

BAB III TUGAS KHUSUS ................................................................................. 22

3.1 Pedahuluan .................................................................................... 22
3.1.1 Latar Belakang Masalah ...................................................... 22
3.1.2 Rumusan Masalah ................................................................ 23
3.1.3 Tujuan Penelitian ................................................................. 23
3.1.4 Batasan dan Asumsi ............................................................. 23
3.1.4.1 Batasan .................................................................... 23
3.1.4.2 Asumsi .................................................................... 24
3.2 Landasan Teori .............................................................................. 24
3.2.1 Definisi Umum dan Konsep Dasar Peramalan .................... 24
3.2.2 Tujuan dan Fungsi ............................................................... 25
3.2.3 Prinsip-prinsip Peramalan.................................................... 26
3.2.4 Karakteristik Peramalan....................................................... 27

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 3.2.5 Faktor-faktor yang Mempengaruhi Pemilihan Metode
Peramalan ............................................................................ 28
3.2.6 Metode Peramalan ............................................................... 29
3.2.6.1 Klasifikasi Metode Peramalan ................................ 31
3.2.6.2 Metode Peramalan Kualitatif .................................. 32
3.2.6.3 Metode Peramalan Kuantitatif ................................ 34
3.2.7 Kriteria Performance Peramalan ......................................... 38
3.3 Metodologi Penelitian ................................................................... 39
3.3.1 Pengumpulan Data ............................................................... 39
3.3.2 Pengolahan Data .................................................................. 39
3.3.2.1 Tujuan Peramalan ................................................... 39
3.3.2.2 Pembuatan Scatter Diagram ................................... 39
3.3.2.3 Pemilihan Metode Peramalan ................................. 40
3.3.2.4 Perhitungan Parameter-parameter Peramalan......... 40
3.3.2.4.1 Metode Konstan..................................... 40
3.3.2.4.2 Metode Linear ....................................... 40
3.3.2.4.3 Metode Kuadratis .................................. 41
3.3.2.4.4 Metode Siklis ......................................... 42
3.3.2.4.5 Metode Eksponensial............................. 43
3.3.2.5 Menghitung SEE ................................................... 44
3.3.2.5.1 Metode Konstan..................................... 44
3.3.2.5.2 Metode Linear ....................................... 45
3.3.2.5.3 Metode Kuadratis .................................. 46
3.3.2.5.4 Metode Siklis ......................................... 46
3.3.2.5.5 Metode Eksponensial............................. 47
3.3.2.6 Pengujian Hipotesis ............................................... 48
3.3.2.7 Verifikasi Peramalan ............................................. 49
3.4 Analisis Metode Peramalan........................................................... 51

BAB IV PENUTUP ............................................................................................. 53

4.1 Kesimpulan ...................................................................................... 53
4.2 Saran ................................................................................................ 53

DAFTAR PUSTAKA
LAMPIRAN

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