STOCKS
32 Cover Story
creating benami assets unknowingly. The Act
has hefty penalties and rigorous imprisonment.
The government has already cracked the
whip and attached assets worth crores of
rupees. There is a thin dividing line between a Ensure Your Assets Dont Fall under the
transaction being deemed a benami or genuine. Benami Act
Vijay Mallya got arrested in UK and was The Benami Transactions Amended Act can be a pain even for
those who may not have any unaccounted wealth. Raj Pradhan
released on bail. Sucheta points out, in her describes ways in which you may inadvertently create a benami
Crosshairs column, that Indian investigation asset. How can you ensure that you do not cross the fine line
agencies will succeed in getting Mr Mallya which can jeopardise your asset? Will your gift to parents or
extradited only if they present an ironclad siblings be considered a benami transaction?
case. Industrialists in the dock have routinely
influenced investigation agencies to present
weak cases. Shockingly, in Mr Mallyas case,
Indian regulators have sat on evidence shared
12 Public Interest
Regulation of Retirement Homes under Consideration
by UK regulators a few years back. On Jan-Dhan Accounts: Who Do They Serve?
4th August, Securities and Exchange Board
of India (SEBI) issued a circular making it
mandatory for companies to report any lapse
on payment of interest or principal to their
16 Your Money
NCDRC Asks Unitech To Refund Rs41 Lakh to
lenders from 1st October onwards. Suddenly, Home-buyer
on 29th September, SEBI suspended this move. TATA AIG General Insurance Directed To Pay Car
Theft Insurance Claim of Rs5.22 Lakh
Sucheta points out, in her Different Strokes DSP BlackRock Launches Equal-Weight Nifty50 Scheme
column, that this shockingly anti-investor Roadside Parking in Specific Residential Areas in Delhi
decision comes after a series of missteps by the Will Be Paid Parking
present government that has put businesses Real Estate Developer AN Buildwells Director Arrested
and consumers alike under severe pressure. Piramal Finance Enters into Housing Finance Segment
SBI Waives Account Closing Fees
There is a disconnect between the current Government Has Decided To Audit Aadhaar Enrolment
tepid economic growth and strong bull market. Centres
What should investors do in such a situation?
Bala explains what he himself would do. A lot
of investors, I think, would find that his is the
right path. As always, do write in with your
views including what you would like us to
17 MONEYLIFE
QUIZ
cover.
Disclaimer: Moneylife has a policy of not allowing its editorial staff to
Debashis Basu buy and sell stocks that are written about in the magazine. All personal
transactions in individual stocks are subjected to internal disclosure rules.
MONEYLIFE | 13-26 Oct 2017 | 4
Vijay Kedia: My
Investment Journey so Prof Sanjay Bakshi: Vijay Kedia: An Open
for & what I learnt from What Happens After Session With successful
my Failures You Buy a Stock? investor Vijay Kedia
https://advisor.moneylife.in/icvideos/
Prof Sanjay Bakshi Investing Traps & How To Avoid Them Rs.800
Dr Vijay Malik How To Assess the Management Quality before Buying Stocks Rs.700
Vijay Kedia My Investment Journey so for & what I learnt from my Failures Rs.700
Prof Sanjay Bakshi What Happens After You Buy a Stock? Rs.850
Vijay Kedia An Open Session With successful investor Vijay Kedia Rs.600
25 Best 52 Queries
Will Venal Indian Regulators
Save Vijay Mallya from & Worst Mutual at Moneylife
Extradition? Fund Schemes Foundations Tax Helpline
PULSE BEAT
22 Different Strokes
Going Easy on Loan
INSURANCE
56 Weight Loss
Defaulters: What Is behind
the SEBI Move? 30 Insurance
Trends
from Black
Tea?
Accident Insurance Get Lean, Cure Diabetes
Motor Accident Death Worth Less
FUND POINTERS than Rs10 Lakh?
Health Insurance LEGALLY SPEAKING
Mediclaim Renewal Notice Not
26 Smart Money
Investing during
Economic
48 Perils of Claiming
Wrongful I-T Deduction 60 IsLeaks
Protection from Data
Possible?
Sluggishness G-Sec Yields Up
40 Stock Watch
Shemaroo Entertainment: Is Old, CYBER SECURITY
Really Gold in the Digital Age?
50 Rise
India
of Revenge Porn in
PS
xUSEFUL APPS
66 End This Obsequious
Protocol Now!
KNR Constructions: Will
Growth Accelerate?
54 Mumbai T2 App:
A Must for All Air Is Blue Whale for Real?
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HERE WeGo:
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E-mail: mail@moneylife.in This is with regard to What Is the Opposite
of Achche Din? Will the BJP Course-correct?
(Moneylife, 29 September-12 October 2017) by
E-mail: Sucheta Dalal. Politicians can go to any extent
sales@moneylife.in Mutual Fund investments
Subscription e-mail to retain power. Everything is fair in love, war are subject to market risks,
read all scheme related
subscribe@moneylife.in and politics. To serve the country is no longer documents carefully.
the motive of politicians. In politics, showing big
dreams to the voters is called vote-bank politics.
New Delhi
DDA Flats, J-3/66, Kalkaji, Nothing is done for the common man, especially
New Delhi - 110 019 the middle-class. Knowing pretty well that middle- Write to
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Ourselves To Blame?
the
Best
letter
T his is with regard to 4 Schemes, Same Fund House,
Same Returns! (Moneylife, 28 September-12 October
2017). The article only reminds us of the principle of KISS:
Mutual Fund investments
Keep it simple, stupid. are subject to market risks,
read all scheme related
The KISS principle states that most systems work best documents carefully.
if they are kept simple rather than made complicated;
therefore, simplicity should be a key goal in all our daily
activities (living, habits, investments, etc) and all unnecessary Congratulations
complexity should be avoided. KISS is also an acronym for: Sunil Rebello
Keep it simple, silly, keep it short and simple, keep it simple and
straightforward and keep it small and simple. We have to avoid all extra clutter
YOU WIN A
PERSONALISED
(also extra noise) in our daily lives. CLOCK
Investments are mainly on the principle of RISK & REWARD. But if we are
more greedy than fearful, we have only ourselves to blame.
Sunil Rebello, online comment
In the larger interest of the country, it is better that the Of course, this is not
use of Aadhaar card be abandoned. to say that everything Sunil Rebello
ASSIGN CLEAR RESPONSIBILITIES! multi-bagger retail investor buys the stories and cries
This is with regard to Who To Blame in a Lift foul when the tide turns.
Accident? (Moneylife, 4-17 August 2017) by Kunal Singh, online comment
SD Israni. How did the lift door open when the lift was
not at the third floor landing? Does this reflect poor BEST OPTION FOR A DEFENSIVE
maintenance or poor installation quality? Given that INVESTOR?
most building projects come in the form of towers, can This is with regard to Picking Winning Equity
the bye-laws include clear guidelines for preventing lift Schemes (Moneylife, 18-31 August 2017) by Debashis
mishaps and assign clear responsibilities and culpability Basu, Pratibha Kamat and Clinton Fernandes. With all
in this regard on the managing committee of the due respect, I disagree with the authors that a superior
cooperative housing society? equity mutual fund scheme can be selected. As John
Kumar R, online comment Bogle has repeatedly said, Always remember the
relentless rules of humble arithmetic. Its all
ROOT OF THE PROBLEM about the cost.
This is with regard to Fortnightly In constructing the model used in the article,
Market View: Creeping Frustration only the total returns of the mutual fund
(Moneylife, 15-28 September 2017). schemes were considered, and not the NET
The root of the problem is the RETURNS, which equals total returns
finance ministry which has turned a minus expense ratio. So, a more complete
prosperous economy into a stagnating picture of the mutual funds returns should
one with constant problems for Indian take into account the expense ratio as well.
businessmen. Unless this is fixed, nothing I also believe that Matthew (19:30) was
much will happen (fixed means change right when he said: But many who are
of finance minister). first will be last, and many who are last
Suketu Shah, online comment will be first. These words may equally
apply to mutual fund returns.
TERRIFIC READ! All said and done, a periodic investment in a low-cost
This is with regard to The Fraud at RicohExclusive: index fund is, and always will continue to remain,
PwC Forensic Report (Moneylife, 29 September- the best option for a non enterprising/defensive (in
12 October 2017) by Debashis Basu and Shashank Grahams definition) investor, for creating wealth.
Manilawala. Terrific read! This feels like a crash-course While I do understand that a large majority of people
in auditing. believe that they are superior to others and, therefore,
Aditya G, online comment can spot an investment strategy better than others, I
would like to quote Kato on the matter: There must
CRYING FOUL WHEN THE TIDE TURNS? certainly be a vast fund of stupidity in human nature,
This is yet another interesting expos by Sucheta Dalal else men would not be caught as they are, a thousand
HFCL Scrip Drama: Raises Intriguing Questions times over, by the same snare; and while they yet
(Moneylife, 29 September-12 October 2017). You remember their past misfortunes, go on to court and
would be surprised to know how many corporate deals encourage the causes to which they were owing, and
are done over messaging apps and blogs/forums which which will again produce them.
seem to be far from reality. Yet, the ever hungry for Eashan, online comment
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H
ardeep Singh Puri, minister of into retirement homes/townships could be encouraged among this set
state for housing and urban which are a booming new sector of residents to give them access to
development, has agreed to that meets the changing cash if they begin to run out of
examine Moneylife Foundations requirementsts of society. savings.
study on retirement homes with a The regulations
ulations Mr Puri readily
re agreed
view to formulating appropriate should include
ude prescribing to have his offi
of cials consider
regulations and guidelines to protect minimum standards
tandards of how best to ensure
en the
middle-class and affluent elders infrastructure,
ure, service, orderly development
develop of such
who move to such homes in the contracts and
nd protection townships forfo the benefit
expectation of hassle-free silver (in the form
m of of all stakeholders
stak and
years. I met Mr Puri and presented a supervision,, enhance confidence
copy of the study to him on swift grievance
nce in this sector.
29th September at New Delhi and redress and Simultaneously,
Simul
briefed him on the key findings empowerment ent at the
th initiative
as well as the need for formal of residents)) of Praveen
Pr Singh
regulations and disclosure norms in line with Hardeep Singh Puri, Pardeshi,
Par
minister of state for
to protect those who chose to move what has housing and urban
additional
ad chief
development
IN E
P L
H EL
E D IT
CR The main objective of this helpline is to provide
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The Bank recently agreed to allow commissions. This information comes stipulation of a minimum threshold
economically weak customers as well from a source who has worked with limit, to encourage them for business
as students and pensioners to convert the biometric identification and development.
their regular accounts into basic enrolment agencies. Despite efforts, More importantly, banks have
accounts with stringent restrictions, we were unable to verify whether been allowed to pay commissions
after a furore over its decision to this is happening routinely, or even to BCs in order sell new products
impose huge costs for failing to meet in pockets, or get information launched by them. Although BCs
minimum balance requirements. about the action taken by banks in are not allowed to collect the
Charging Jan-Dhan account- commission directly from
holders for more than four customers, the guidelines are
transactions is a relatively clear that since the delivery
new development. It has of services and products are at
happened mainly due to the convenience of customers,
RBIs studious silence with we may recover the incentives
regard to exploitation and commission from the
of bank customers and customers such commissions/
generated anger and incentives. BCs are also paid
confusion about bank commissions for new products
charges. launched by banks for these
Interestingly, while banks insist such cases, or the turnover of BCs rural folks who are the target of
on capping transactions on the claim employed by banks. The Indian financial inclusion. In an environment
of high costs, our sources tell us that Banks Association has prescribed a where educated urban consumers
banking correspondents (BCs), who minimum compensation of Rs5,000 have been subject to the most brazen
earn a commission per transaction, per month, but the guidelines for mis-selling of financial products
have been encouraging needless engaging BCs say that BCs may be and services, it is anybodys guess
deposits and withdrawals of the incentivized on business volume/ what is being sold to this vulnerable
same sum of money to bump up their transaction/milestone basis, with segment. SD
A ccording to a complaint to
NCDRC (National Consumer
Unitech Horizon, a residential project
in Alistonia Estate at Greater Noida
(Uttar Pradesh).
litigation cost to Mr Mathur and said
that the firm had failed to hand over
the possession even after eight years of
Mr Mathur was promised delivery date. The opposite
promised delivery of party (firm) is not in a position to
of the apartment by offer possession of the apartment.
the end of 2008, but The company shall refund the amount
he failed to get it. with simple interest at 10% per
The company said it annum without any further liability.
was not in a position In the absence of any explanation for
to hand over the failure to comply with the stipulation
property as the delay of delivery of possession, we have no
in completing the hesitation in concluding that Unitech
Disputes Redressal Commission), in construction was beyond its control. has committed deficiency in service
2006, DK Mathur had paid over Rs41 NCDRC has asked the company and has indulged in unfair trade
lakh and booked an apartment in to refund Rs41,15,320, to Mr Mathur practice, the Commission said.
TATA AIG General Insurance Directed To Pay Car DSP BlackRock Launches
Theft Insurance Claim of Rs5.22 Lakh Equal-Weight Nifty50
Scheme
A complaint was submitted before the Central Mumbai District Consumer Disputes
Redressal Forum in 2015 by the owner of a car, M/s Banswara Syntex Limited,
against TATA AIG General Insurance Co Ltd. The complaint said that, on 7 May 2012, D SP BlackRock Investment
Managers Pvt Ltd, one of
the car was parked in the parking slot of the companys director. The driver of the Indias premier asset management
car slept in the vehicle for the night. The following morning, after the driver returned companies, launched its first passive
from the washroom, he found that the car was not in the parking spot. A complaint fund, DSP BlackRock Equal Nifty 50
was lodged with the police and on 9 May Fund. This index fund is different from
2012, the RTO (Road Transport Oce) was other index funds as it assigns equal
informed. weight to each stock and invests
The insurance company was intimated equally in them. In this scheme, each
and the claim submitted. However, the company will be apportioned 2%
insurance company repudiated the claim of the portfolio, given that there are
through a letter dated 25 March 2013 on 50 companies in the Nifty 50 index.
the grounds that proper care was not taken, The scheme also gets rebalanced on
and the vehicle was left unattended without a quarterly basis and has a built-in
locking it. It said that this was a breach of the policy conditions. profit-booking mechanism, in effect
The complainant said that the claim was repudiated on the basis of the insurance buying the underperformers at low
company investigators report. The advocate pointed out that the report said, It was and selling the outperformers at high.
found that the location is well secured and guarded by a fleet of security persons. The minimum investment for this
The Forum ruled against the insurance company and ordered the insurance company scheme is Rs1,000 and in multiples of
to pay Rs5.22 lakh, along with a compensation of Rs40,000, to the owner of the Rs500 thereafter. There is no entry- or
Skoda car stolen from a heavily secured and guarded Mumbai building in 2012. exit-load in the scheme.
Real Estate Developer AN Buildwells Director Arrested S tate Bank of India (SBI) has waived
account closing charges for all savings
bank customers, provided the account has
Moneylife
MONEYLIFE
Quiz no
269
QUIZ Answer
Correctly! Win
Another quiz to tease your brain. The answers are in a personalised
sed
this very issue. The winner will be chosen by a lucky clock with an Rajendra Kumar Phophalia
investmentnt
draw from correct entries and answers published in the Mutual Fund
investments are quote!
issue dated 23 November 2017. Send in your answers to subject to market risks,
read all scheme related
quiz@moneylife.in with the Quiz no., name, address & documents carefully.
telephone number before 1 November 2017.
1. During the global stock market crash of 2011, which of the 5. What is the name of the director of AN Buildwell who was
following countries did not have a rising debt problem? arrested by the economic offences wing of the Delhi
a. Germany b. Spain Police?
c. Italy d. Greece a. Mohinder Singh b. Surendra Kumar Hooda
c. Mohinder Hooda d. Kumarrao Mohite
2. When, in the past 10 years, were stock market highs similar
those in September 2017? 6. Who is the current chairman of the Indian Railway Board?
a. September 2008 b. December 2008 a. Piyush Goyal b. Suresh Prabhu
c. October 2010 d. December 2011 c. Laloo Prasad Yadav d. Ashwini Lohani
3. Among equity diversified mutual fund schemes, what was 7. How much is the minimum monthly compensation
the largest decline in one-year returns for 30 September recommended for banking correspondents by the Indian
2011? Banks Association?
a. 18% b. 25% a. Rs5,000 b. Rs10,000
c. 39.3% d. 40.2% c. Rs15,000 d. Rs20,000
4. What was the business activity of Shemaroo Entertainment 8. When did the Benami Transactions (Prohibition) Amended
in 1962? Act come into force?
a. Cinema hall b. Circulating library for books a. June 1975 b. January 1988
c. Photography laboratory d. Film production c. December 2008 d. November 2016
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MONEYLIFE | 13-26
27 November
Oct 2017
2014
| 20| 14
B
arely a month ago, Deepak Parekh, chairman of Remember, while SEBI was all set to force corporates
Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC) to disclose information about defaults, RBI has refused to
was all praise for the speed with which Ajay Tyagi, name defaulters, despite a Supreme Court order. Consider
chairman of the Securities and Exchange Board of India how the SEBI circular would have affected banks. Bankers
(SEBI), had accepted his suggestion to get listed companies do not report defaults for at least three months and they
to mandatorily report to stock exchanges every default are used to ever-greening accounts and delayingas
in payment to banks or financial institutions. Mr Parekh long as possiblethe classification of loan defaults as
had told us that this move would give investors timely non-performing assets (NPAs). By forcing companies to
information, since there is a huge lag today before they get report payment defaults immediately, banks would no
to know about financial difficulties of listed companies. longer have the power to make a variety of adjustments,
On 4th August, SEBI issued a including offering fresh loans (or
circular making it mandatory for other forms of finance, including
companies to report any lapse on loans to group entities) to hide the
payment of interest or principal to NPAs in their own books.
their lenders. This was to become Public sector banks (PSBs)
applicable from 1st October. The were already reeling under the
reporting requirement would cover pressure of bad loans when the
default in payment of interest on national democratic alliance
loans from banks and financial (NDA) came to power. The
institutions, interest/instalment Congressled United Progressive
obligations on debt securities Alliance (UPA) had ignored the
(including commercial paper), bad loans issue and routinely
external commercial borrowings
(ECBs), medium term notes
That SEBI was forced to defer papered over a possible panic by
doling out thousands of crores
(MTNs) and foreign currency an investor-friendly action to of rupees to recapitalise PSBs.
convertible bonds (FCCBs). SEBI allow banks and companies NDA was expected to force
said the move would fill a critical to hide corporate defaults them to clean up their books
gap in the information available reflects adversely on this and stop their corrupt lending
to investors. government, which was voted practices. But prime minister
Then, on Friday, 29th September, in with such hope (PM) Narendra Modi began his
a press release sent after 11pm from innings by launching the Pradhan
an iPhone scuttled the move with Mantri Jan-Dhan Yojana in
one line: It has been decided to defer implementation of August 2014. His stiff targets forced banks to divert
SEBI circular no. CIR/CFD/CMD/93/2017 dated August 4, almost all their energy into opening these accounts. Since
2017 until further notice. The SEBI chairman was in New many nationalised banks were also kept headless for a long
Delhi for the weekend and, perhaps, the action was dictated time, there was nobody to ensure that core functions did
by instructions received there. It is not clear whether the not take a hit. Barely had the pressure about Jan-Dhan
objections of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) have forced ended, when the PM announced demonetisation of Rs500
SEBI to withdraw its circular; but the market regulators and Rs1,000 notes on 8 November 2016, once again
silence reflects a panic about the state of bank finances plunging banks and the entire country into chaos for the
and the governments struggle to deal with bad loans. The next few months.
SEBI circular was aimed at protecting retail investors and Bad loans have now reached a crisis point, with stressed
mutual funds (which pool retail investment) by providing assets of the entire banking industry estimated at nearly
immediate information about payment difficulties of 10% of all outstanding loans. The government passed
listed companies. the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) to help banks
with faster loan recovery from wilful defaulters. But, as Goods and Services Tax (GST) with multiple tax slabs,
with all grandiose schemes disconnected with ground onerous reporting requirements, frequent changes in rates
reality, there were two major problems. The first case of and an online filing system that was not robust enough.
successful resolution under IBC, involving Synergies Dooray While a simple GST would be beneficial in the long run,
Automotive Ltd, has led to a complaint by Edelweiss especially if we are able to move towards a single rate, at
Asset Reconstruction before the National Company Law the moment, GST has caused a huge disruption, especially
Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) calling it a fraud and a among exporters and traders.
sham. Lenders took a 95% haircut in this case and there In this scenario, the instant reporting of defaults would
are grounds to suspect that an associate company of the force banks and rating agencies to take immediate action
promoter group has contrived to wangle control. such as classifying loans as a default (with commensurate
The decision has had a huge hidden impact. Only in provisioning for bad loans) and downgrading of credit
July this year, industrialists believed that the PMs office rating. All this would have had a big impact on loss-making
was directly monitoring the 12 cases marked for insolvency nationalised banks, which are seeking a fat government
action, where the outstanding debt is over Rs5,000 crore bailout (or recapitalisation) at public expense. With the bull
and 60% of it is classified as non-performing. A steel run of the Indian capital market having paused, in response
industry magnate told me that bankers were asked to to bleak economic numbers, a spate of rating downgrades
ensure that at least six of these companies had a change would have only precipitated a further decline in share
in management. After Essar prices. A desperate government
Steels audacious, but failed, legal appears to have pressured SEBI
challenge to the recovery process, to drop the investor-friendly
the Synergy Dooray case and lower move and allow the obfuscation
GDP numbers, the mood has by lenders and borrowers to
changed completely. Three months continue.
later, the same source says that While institutional investors
every defaulter company will sail with large research teams have
through the National Company ways to ferret out information
Law Tribunal proceedings with about corporate health, this move
lenders taking a haircut and leaves retail investors at the mercy
promoters retaining control either of sketchy disclosures made to
directly or indirectly. Prashant stock exchanges. That SEBI
Ruia of Essar Steel has already
After the Synergy Dooray case was forced to defer an investor-
gone public about his confidence and lower GDP numbers, the friendly action to allow banks
that the family will remain firmly mood has changed. Prashant and companies to hide corporate
in the saddle. Ruia of Essar Steel has defaults reflects adversely on this
This has cast a shadow already gone public about his government which was voted in
over the entire IBC process and confidence that the family will with such hope and expectation.
raises concern about yet another remain firmly in the saddle What is worse, every problem
mechanism to recover bad loans faced by the economy today is
that may be doomed to fail. Was self-inflicted. With low oil prices
the IBC legislation pushed through in a hurry without and a good monsoon after two years of drought, and
taking the time to eliminate possible loopholes? There enormous goodwill and support from the public, the
seems some merit to this disconcerting view, but it fits government ought to have pushed for high economic
in perfectly with this governments quick-fix approach. growth, job creation and kick-starting investment supported
A bankruptcy legislation has a significant weightage in by a clean and efficient administration. Instead, with less
the World Banks Ease of Doing Business, which is due than two years for the next general elections and negative
for a revision in October. Government mandarins rushed outbursts from its own party stalwarts, the government is
through the IBC legislation hoping for a 20-point jump in defensive mode and angrily attacking those who raise
in Indias rank, from 130 last year. valid questions.
Indias GDP growth, which was 9.2% in the third
quarter of 2016, has steadily dropped to 5.7% in the April- Sucheta Dalal is the managing editor of Moneylife. She was
June quarter of 2017. While companies were struggling awarded the Padma Shri in 2006 for her outstanding contribution
to cope, the government went ahead with a complicated to journalism. She can be reached at sucheta@moneylife.in
7,000 21,000
6,600 19,000
6,200 17,000
Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17
Debt Schemes
Income (Category Avg: 2.32%, Crisil Composite Bond: 2.55%)
ICICI Prudential Long Term Plan 20-Jan-10 3134.43 2.88% 9.65% 11.53% 1.26%
DHFL Pramerica Dynamic Bond 12-Jan-12 185.69 2.66% 10.35% 10.64% 1.70%
ICICI Prudential Income 09-Jul-98 2389.75 2.66% 8.38% 10.63% 1.71%
L&T Triple Ace Bond 31-Mar-97 601.89 1.96% 3.98% 7.83% 1.09%
DHFL Pramerica Premier Bond 21-Jan-03 1718.39 1.91% 6.50% 7.65% 1.55%
Invesco India Bank Debt 29-Dec-12 116.92 1.71% 6.19% 6.84% 0.65%
Liquid (Category Avg: 1.88%, Crisil Liquid Index: 1.89%)
Escorts Liquid Plan 03-Oct-05 172.89 1.99% 6.91% 7.97% 0.90%
Indiabulls Liquid 25-Oct-11 6881.50 1.93% 6.87% 7.74% 0.15%
JM High Liquidity 31-Dec-97 5125.67 1.93% 6.85% 7.70% 0.50%
Quantum Liquid 10-Apr-06 121.179 1.77% 6.12% 7.07% 0.26%
Reliance Liquid Fund - Cash Plan 07-Dec-01 6142.63 1.72% 5.82% 6.87% 1.06%
L&T Cash 27-Nov-06 475.03 1.64% 5.44% 6.58% 0.78%
# Please note the table represents a comparative performance of mutual fund schemes over a three-year period and it is not a recommendation; * Latest quarter average
assets under management; We have only considered schemes having a corpus above Rs100 crore. **Annually compounded
I
do not know if our markets will correct deep enough seems to be on its own clean-up mode. As some of its
to catch up with earnings. Hope and money inflows commodity supplies slow down, Indian producers rejoice
seem to be the two props holding up our markets. without realising that profit gains are due to protection
Flows from foreign institutional investors (FIIs) used to be rather than increasing efficiencies. These are not permanent
the sole driver of our markets. However, of late, domestic gains at all. The government is now pushing out
retail has made the systematic investment plans (SIPs) infrastructure project launches in a hurry. Will it provide
into a monthly inflow of Rs5,000 crore. And domestic jobs and turn consumption demand? Demonetisation and
insurance companies and other pension funds seem to be forced digitisation have affected confidence. The costs
big buyers. They seem to have provided some hope to a of compliance and a less than perfect implementation
falling market as FII flow slows down. infrastructure are more a bottleneck than an enabler.
One continuing problem is the lack of sufficiently Yes, we are probably changing for the better; but, to use
reliable data on where the economy is going. Sometimes, a clichd saying: Things will get worse before they get
it may be a question of how much. This time, I feel it is a better.
question of direction rather than the quantum. The absence A major bottleneck is banking, specifically public
of new jobs, the panic in the software sector sector banks (PSBs). Lending by PSBs has effectively
and the paralysis in government banks are all dried up as they face higher disclosure of non-performing
pointers. The economy is slowing down. There assets (NPAs) and this translates into a fear of lending.
is a virtual 180 degree change in Merely lowering the interest rate is not going to make a
the business environment. Sales difference. For loans to be picked up, we also need a viable
tax, excise and service tax business. Today, the environment of rocky implementation
rolled into a single goods of GST and closed door at banks do not encourage risk
and services tax (GST), a taking. In all this slowdown, we are very lucky that global
new law for real estate, oil prices are low. Probably, it will continue so long as the
demonetisation, growth rates remain muted. Geopolitical tensions are also
not the best of factors, to boost investment sentiments.
Looking at our markets, one does not get the impression
digitisation and fewer that they reflect a slowing economy. It has been held up
cash deals and rising on a lot of hope over the past three years. In the three
compliance costsall this years, we have seen cyclicals steal the show. And super
is happening together. profits accrued as stock multiples expanded for the
Meanwhile, there have below par earnings. However, what matters most
been few structural reforms. is what lies ahead. First is to figure
There have been no reforms out if industrial growth will get
of labour laws, leading to some worse. My instinct is, NO. In
reluctance to invest in new capacities. Start-ups are fact, it may pick up a bit.
able to create many jobs because they are more in Infrastructure activity
e-commerce and alternative energy. Traditional will boost industry. And
businesses seem to have enough capacities and are it will be a sustained
reaping the profits from better capacity utilisation one. One thing that
plus some retaliatory tariff protection measures. As infrastructure companies
global growth slips, every country is resorting to overt need is money. Equity
forms of protection by politicians who have to repay will be not easy to come
their support lobbies. An indirect form of subsidy from by. However, debt will be
consumers to industries happens and the world goes on. available. And if projects
China, the eternal mystery in world economic stage, are tied to foreign aid
(like the good deal done for the Bullet train), we can see the latter and take a call on the others, one by one;
things easing. The government will be forced to encourage iv) Sell off mid-cap stocks that have rallied sharply in
public sector companies to lend as the slowdown hits our the past six months;
economy. v) Keep a list of good shares (where 10-year average
Turning to investments, the valuation matrices are RoE is more than 20% and buy them gradually as
deceptive. If I take an optimistic perspective, saying that the market falls;
earnings will double from this level in three years, it vi) Wait for a clear sign that the economy is recovering
means that the markets may be valued at 10-12 times, before I get back actively in to markets;
assuming stock prices do not move from here. On the vii) I may still keep some trading going on, knowing
ground, I see a lot of emphasis being given by promoters full well that there could be losses, because I am a
to margin improvements, which compulsive stock market-player.
is a good thing. Return on equity But I have to set aside a certain sum
(RoE) is set to rise from here. Banks for it and decide how much of loss
can only give out more loans from
I want to keep can I bear before I down shutters
here on. Private sector banks and more cash handy. I for a break;
finance companies are growing their think, better buying viii) Keep some of my money in
books rapidly. Real estate, in a lot liquid mutual funds, for the time
of ways, is the lead indicator of
opportunities will come. being.
good times. We are yet to see this However, if they do What I am saying may sound
sector doing better. Unsold inventory, not come, I have lost pessimistic to you. On the contrary.
abandoned projects and lower new I want to keep more cash handy. I
starts are visible. The government is
nothing. I do not think think, better buying opportunities
hoping to fill this gap by speeding that the markets will run will come. However, if they do not
up the launch of new infrastructure away from here come, I have lost nothing. I do not
projects. Coming to the markets, I think that the markets will run
will be wrong, whatever forecast I away from here. Yes, I know that
make. Rather, I will limit myself to what I should be doing. probably the government will do its best through fiscal
i) Continue my SIPs, if it is less than two years old; incentives to keep the engines firing. However, I am of
ii) Probably, take most of my money off the table on the view that we need a long-term fix and not band-aid.
SIPs that are more than two years old (not a dividing One final call. It is time to get rid of low-quality (low
line, but older SIPs that have given more than 20% RoE, poor management) stocks and stay with high-quality
growth should probably be liquidated); stocks.
iii) Take a quick review of stocks I hold. Divide them
into opportunistic buys and long-term holdings. Keep The author can be reached at balakrishnanr@gmail.com
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he Benami Transactions (Prohibition) corruption. The Benami Act and Black Money Act
Act, 1988, was comprehensively amended are not just about property but also about all financial
through Benami Transactions (Prohibition) assets. A saver and investor should be careful about not
Amended Act, 2016, which came into force violating these stringent legislations. The Acts also have
in November 2016. Indians with benami the potential to punish genuine investors who may be
assets will have a lot to worry about, with the amended ignorant of the regulatory changes.
Act having got its teeth which were lacking in the original An honest taxpayer will not have anything to fear
legislation. Those having benami property to hide their from both the Acts; but it will be worth checking if you
unaccounted money will be in trouble as will those who have violated some provisions inadvertently. It is possible
happened to inadvertently create benami property, even that you may have created an asset for a family member
with legitimate money. without your name anywhere in the asset. Questions
After the demonetisation drive, prime minister can be raised to explain the reasoning behind it. For
Narendra Modi warned of action against benami example, to avoid taxation in the country of residence,
property-holders, to eradicate black money and an NRI (non-resident Indian) may transfer money in
parents/relatives name for investment without his/her common practice is to put a family members or friends
own name being mentioned in the account. Through name as the owner. There are cases of even putting the
such action, the NRI is creating a benami asset, even asset in the name of cooks, maids, peons or drivers
though the source of money is legitimate. The same can without their knowledge or by paying them peanuts to
happen with a resident Indian investing in the name use their permanent account number (PAN) and other
of parents or siblings without own name in the asset. details.
A second example: a resident Indian with a legitimate A transaction is termed benami if an asset is held
foreign account may not declare it in tax returns to avoid by one person but has been provided, or paid for,
paying tax on income generated from it or to avoid any by another person. Such an asset can be movable,
tax scrutiny. It may tantamount to actually converting immovable, tangible, intangible, any right or interest,
white money into black money. legal documents, gold, financial securities and any
One makes several decisions when opening financial other financial assets. So, benami definition is not just
accounts or buying property. Will it be a single or joint for physical property, but it is also applicable for any
account and in whose name? financial asset.
Who is paying for it? Is the For example, you may pay
person putting the money for a property in name of your
going to be an account-holder sister or put your money in a
or not? Are you putting your bank account of your brother.
money in your family members In both cases, your name is
name? Can you give a gift to not there as the owner of the
a family member? Can the property/financial account or
Benami Act be applied even if as a joint account-holder. It is
the gift is genuine? There is a a benami transaction because
thin line of difference between your money is used to create
whether or not a transaction an asset without your name.
will be deemed to be a benami There could be various reasons
transaction. why you may have done such
These blurred lines mean arrangement. It could be to
that mistakes can happen Movable, immovable, tangible evade taxes by utilising the
unintentionally. The semantics or intangible, any right or low tax bracket of your family
of the definitions could interest, legal documents, gold, member. Or it could be that
impact genuine asset-owners. you have taken a loan and
Moreover, if you think you
financial securities and any want to keep your assets away
can pull a fast one and no other financial assets can be a from creditors who can attach
one will notice, you will be declared a benami asset the asset, if you default on the
caught sooner or later. For loan repayment.
existing property or financial In an attempt to evade taxes
accounts as well as the future assets you create, you need or finding ways to safeguard your asset, you are creating
to be aware of the rules so that you do not violate any trouble for yourself by turning your legitimate finances
provisions. Remember, you do not want your legitimate into a benami asset. Why would you take risk for your
and accounted finances to be falling in the category of white money? So, while the colour of a benami asset is
benami or black money. Today, it is not just the fraudsters not always black, it can still land you in trouble. This is
who have to worry; even genuine persons who need to the reason for you to know the provisions of the Benami
safeguard their assets by not making any suspicious Act so that you do not make the blunder of creating a
move. benami asset intentionally or inadvertently.
Benami assets are liable for confiscation by the
What Is a Benami Property? government. The guilty are punishable with rigorous
Corruption is one of the sources of benami assets. Bribes imprisonment of not less than one year which may be
are not just paid in cash, but also with gold, diamonds, extended to seven years depending on the severity of the
land, house, car, stake in a company and so on. The offence. The guilty can also be charged with a fine which
person taking such a bribe avoids putting such an asset may extend to 25% of the fair market value of the benami
in his or her name, but will have control over it. The asset. A person could also face rigorous imprisonment
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Benami versus Gifting immovable property, you have to draft the document
A property/financial asset bought with a gifted amount on a stamp paper, have it attested by two witnesses and
cannot be treated as a benami property, provided the gift register it. To gift immovable property, registering a gift
is irrevocable and the property/financial asset is not held deed with the sub-registrar of assurances is mandatory
for the immediate or future benefit, direct or indirect, of as per Section 17 of the Registration Act, 1908, failing
the person who has provided the consideration. The gift which the transfer will be invalid. Besides, such a transfer
has to be genuine to ensure that Benami Act does not is irrevocable. Once the property is gifted, it belongs to
get applicable. Avoid misuse of gifting to help get higher the beneficiary and you cannot reverse the transfer or
interest rate or to shirk the responsibility of paying taxes. even ask for monetary compensation.
What is important is that the gift must be genuine. However, if you want to gift movable property, like
It is not mandatory to document a gift. However, it is jewellery, registration is not compulsory. At the same
advisable to do so where transfer of substantial amounts time, a mere entry in an account book is not sufficient to
and property is involved. The clubbing provisions are establish a transfer. Apart from physically handing over
not dependent on the documentation. Gifting a financial the property, you need to back it with a gift deed. Once
asset to your spouse or minor child will be clubbed again, get a gift deed drawn and executed to complete the
with your income. A gift deed allows you to transfer transfer, but the document need not be registered. Make
ownership without any exchange of money. To gift the gift deed on the stamp paper even if registration is
not required.
The right to give a gift to ones parents is blurred as
Get reward for being the Benami Act forces you to put your name as a joint
account-holder to avoid being called benami asset.
benami property informer Proper documentation can prove that the gift is not a
S
hemaroo Entertainment buys copyrights of Shemaroo. Shemaroo then sells limited copyright to the
media content (movies, TV programmes) and channels.
distributes them through various platforms such India is witnessing a massive shift towards digital
as TV channels, Internet video and also sells the same media. Video streaming accounts for 49% of mobile
content on video compact discs (VCDs) & digital video data consumption in India in 2016. The move has
discs (DVDs). Shemaroo was established in 1962 as been accelerated by Reliance Jio which is giving mobile
a circulating library broadband data at a
for books. It became very low price. Access
a video cassette to Internet is also
circulating library faster than ever before
in 1979. Today, it with the advent of
has copyright for 4G. Increasingly there
over 3,500 titles is a shift towards
and continues to digital media, or
acquire new titles. new media which
Shemaroo has a long- includes Internet
standing relationships services (YouTube,
with various Hotstar, Hooq, Apple
movie production iTunes, Google Play,
companies such as etc) and mobile
RK films, Red Chillies Entertainment, Tips Industries, value-added services. Hence, Shemaroo expects a
Viacom18, Nadiadwala Grandson Entertainment, etc, rise in content acquisition budget for its customers
to source entertainment content. Shemaroo has adapted as well as advertisement budget on digital media,
itself to changing media consumption patterns across especially YouTube. Since customers have moved to the
various media platforms. segment, Shemaroo has set up various revenue models
These platforms can be divided into two major across different platforms like pay per transaction,
categories, viz., traditional media and new media. subscription and advertisement supported (free for
Traditional media includes (which accounts for customers). With the large library the company has,
approximately 75% of revenues) selling content to Shemaroo can also slice and dice content and package
TV broadcast channels, home entertainment (VCDs it in a different ways, for example, small YouTube clips
& DVDs) and other niche segments such as in-flight of different movie scenes, music videos, etc. Shemaroo
entertainment, international film festivals, etc. has a strong presence and relationship in digital space
Disclaimer: None of the stock information presented constitutes a recommendation or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities. Information presented is general in nature that does not take into
account your individual circumstances, financial situation or needs Although information has been obtained from and is based on sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and the
information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute our judgement as on the date of the report and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is no indication of future
results. Investors must do their own research before acting on them. Data Source: Centre for Monitoring Indian Economys Prowess database.
Those who have subscribed to the stockletters should only follow the stocks recommended there.
where a lot of content is already deployed. It has also (rights acquisition) ratio. The sales/inventory ratio is
entered into licensing tie-up with VuClip, a platform constantly reducing (less sales, more acquisition); but
owned by PCCW, a content syndicator based in Hong with the acquisition phase being over, the management
Kong. The YouTube views of Shemaroo content grew now intends to monetise this content; so, gradually, the
rapidly from 50 million per month in June 2014 to ratio will start moving up.
over 300 million a month in June 2017.
Is the Business Model Sustainable?
Lower-Risk ModelFor Now Investors in this stock expect that revenues from the
After the release of a movie, about 80% to 90% of new media segment, which is witnessing a phenomenal
revenue is generated from what is known as the first growth, will be the engine for the future. The new
cycle of a movie when it is released in theatres and then media industry is growing at a rate of 30%-35%;
its copyrights acquired by various TV channels or other
content aggregators at a very high price. At this stage,
it is not very clear which movies will be successful;
Revenue Break-up
Rs Cr
hence, there remains a risk. Shemaroo is not present at 350
this stage; it acquires movie copyrights in the second 300
cycle which generally starts after five years. By this
250
time, it is known what has worked and what hasnt
200
and, therefore, it is easier for Shemaroo to select the
content carefully, thus reducing the risk of not being 150
able to monetise that content. This makes Shemaroo 100
a preferred option for any new player in digital or 50
traditional media which wants to source good content
0
for its new platform. 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Entertainment is a hot sector; new media are
Traditional Media New Media
mushrooming; and Shemaroo is one of the largest
content syndicators. So it should be minting money,
right? However, Shemaroos cash flows, so far, have Shemaroo expects to grow faster or at least at the
been negative. This is so because, since 2012, it has industry average. Moreover, the new media segment
focused on building up its content library not just also has a better operating leverage; hence, operating
monetising it. So, each year, the outflow on acquiring costs do not rise much with high revenue growth;
content has been more than inflows from new media. thus operating margins increase. However, Shemaroos
There is another reason for the negative cash flows: investment attractiveness remains unclear due to three
accounting treatment of rights. Rights are treated as factors: competition, no growth of old media and
raw material (inventories in trade parlance) and have extreme difficulty in getting revenues from new media
to be written off in the year of acquisition; but it commensurate with the growth. Therefore, it is not
can be monetised over many years. According to the clear what kind of management plus technology and
management, Shemaroo is almost near the end of the financing structure is required to make things work in
content acquisition phase. This will reduce the outflows the digital age. Lets start with competition because this
and improve cash flows, especially since it will continue will make or break Shemaroo.
to monetise this content now. The key performance Competition: Indeed, we are not even sure if Shemaroo
indicator to look for here is sales to inventory understands this competitive strength of two of the
worlds biggest digital media aggregatorsNetflix
Key Performance Indicator (in Rs crore) and Amazon Prime Videowho are in India now.
Shemaroo doesnt see them as competition but allies
Financial Year Gross Sales Inventory Sales/ Inventory
Ratio because, to have a good Bollywood collection, they
need content syndicators like Shemaroo. We dont
2014 264.61 200.51 1.32
agree; Netflix and Amazon are not neutral platforms
2015 323.45 288.68 1.26
but content aggregators like Shemaroo and also
2016 375.05 387.64 0.96 produce original content. Secondly, Shemaroo argued,
2017 425.53 500.43 0.85 in a conference call, that Netflix and Amazon Prime
are going after first cycle Bollywood films. This has
*Annualised. Since 25 April 2014 *Annualised. Since January 2012 * Annualised. Since January 2012
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turned out to be incorrect. More than half the content TV18, Hiren Gada, whole-time director & CFO,
of Netflix and Amazon comprises old films. Amazon said that Shemaroo is focusing on the new media as
and Netflix are like Shemaroo only apparently. Their traditional media revenues are consolidating, a polite
much deeper pockets, management bandwidth and, way of saying that it is not growing. The official line is
importantly, strong technological strengths make them that India is a consumption-driven economy, so there
very tough competitors. will be increased spending on advertisement, over time.
Challenges of New Media: Digital media has three We disagree with this optimism. The broadcast media
critical features. One, while growth is fast, it does not is struggling. Except Zee, Star, and a few regional
bring in large revenues. This is because lots of stuff is channels, all others are losing money. And so are
free and cannot be monetised. People are used to free distributors (cable and satellite companies). A supplier
chat on WhatsApp, free Facebook, free search, free to a struggling sector usually has no competitive edge.
newspapers, free emails, etc; they are reluctant to pay As the digital media reduce everyones profits and take
much for other digital services. This is a huge negative eyeballs away from TV channels, there will further
for Shemaroo. Two, this means that players in the compression of margins of everyone associated with
new media must somehow have access to unlimited the broadcast business. Shemaroo showed a slow
low-cost capital to keep growing. Shemaroo does not growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in sales and profitability
have access to capital like Amazon and Netflix do. in quarters ending December 2016 and March 2017,
Three, true digitisation of businesses means that, for whereas the revenue growth in March 2017 was
the first time in history, business owners can leverage negative. This can be seen in the table below.
customers explicit behaviour and latent desires to
give them what they want, on a mass scale. This
Erratic Growth
is achieved by capturing each customer interaction
on digital platforms, allowing business owners to Quarter Sales Operating Net Profit
Growth Profit Growth Growth
extract more lifetime value from its customers. This
March-16 18.5% 34.9% 42.3%
interactivity is much deeper than passively making
available lots of choices, as happens in a department June-16 22.5% 36.8% 39%
store. As Bernadette Jiwa, a marketing expert, puts it September-16 20.4% 41.2% 45.1%
We are the first business owners in history who know December-16 11.6% 16.1% 14.7%
what our customers are thinking, feeling and doing March-17 -8.6% -16.1% -30.3%
even when they are not in our presence. Amazon and
June-17 7.6% 2.3% 1%
Netflix would be focused on this knowledge. We are
not sure Shemaroo will invest in this capability. Its a
different skill-set. Shemaroo will have to be as much a We are not sure whether the slowdown was due to
technology company as it is now a content-aggregating demonetisation; if so, there could be a pick up in the
company. coming quarters. But we dont see much of a long-term
Stagnant Old Media: In an interview with CNBC strength in the traditional media business.
on 30 June 2017 comprising Rs2,844.8 crore in roads increased 124% y-o-y from Rs30 crore in the June
sector, Rs490.7 crore in irrigation and Rs3.3 crore 2016 quarter to Rs68 crore in the June 2017 quarter.
in others. Some 37% of the order-book is for state Other income in the June 2017 quarter was 15% of the
governments and 55% for the Central government. operating profit. This was due to an income-tax refund
About 6% are international orders (from Bangladesh). of Rs37 crore on which it also got Rs7 crore interest.
The management said, in a conference call, that tenders Depreciation was up 85% y-o-y, from Rs13.17 crore in
have decreased in the the June 2016 quarter
first quarter of FY17- to Rs24.38 crore in
18 due to Goods the June 2017 quarter
and Service Tax and due to revision in the
higher costs for land estimated life of the
acquisition. KNR assets for the irrigation
has bid for Rs1,400 project in Telangana.
crore in the irrigation While the company
segment and a few performed well in the
bids in hybrid annuity June 2017 quarter, the
model (HAM) projects. management expects
The results for these the performance of the
bids are awaited. The company to decline in
outstanding tenders, the second and third
results for which the company is awaiting, are worth quarters of FY17-18 due to the rains. At a recent
Rs3,000 crore-Rs4,000 crore. KNR plans to obtain analysts conference, it gave a revenue guidance of
orders worth Rs2,000 crore-Rs2500 crore in FY17-18. Rs1,700 crore for FY17-18 and Rs2,000 crore in
The management said that it wishes to focus on HAM FY18-19. Assuming a profit margin as the average of
projects especially in south India since the number the margin of the past six quarters (10%), we arrive at
of bidders on HAM projects are fewer and many a profit of Rs170 crore for FY17-18 and Rs200 crore
HAM projects (about 80) will come up for bidding in for FY18-19. Taking the most recent available market-
the next 4-5 months. This segment is becoming less capitalisation of Rs2,904 crore, the price-to-earnings
competitive, bids are more reasonable and margins are ratio (P/E) of FY17-18 is 16.5 and FY18-19 is 14.5.
higher. The management hopes to bag orders worth The current P/E is 14.92.
Rs2,500 crore and grow by 10% in FY18-19.
One of the unique selling points of the company is
early completion of its projects. KNR has a long list Consolidated Profits (Rs Crore)
of clients including National Highways Authority of Stand-alone 157.25
India (NHAI), Andhra Pradesh Road Development KNR Constructions 150.49
Corporation (APRDC), Ministry of Road Transport
Subsidiaries -39.67
& Highways (MoRTH) Hyderabad Growth
Non-controlling interest in all subsidiaries -16.15
Corridor Limited (HGCL), Karnataka State Highway
Improvement Project (KSHIP), Karnataka Road Associates 4.12
Development Corporation (KRDCL), Madhya Pradesh Joint Operations -3.13
Road Development Corporation Limited (MPRDCL) Others -37.17
and Bruhat Bangalore Mahanagara Palike (BBMP). The Consolidated 98.76
Walayar Tollway, which was completed a month before
its deadline, caters to commercial traffic towards Kochi
Port and Kochi International Container Transhipment While the stand-alone revenue of the company was
Terminal. Rs1,541 crore for FY16-17 the consolidated revenue
KNR has been performing well in the past quarters. was Rs1,679 crore. The standalone net profit was
The sales jumped 59% year-on-year (y-o-y), from Rs157.2 crore while the consolidated net profit was
Rs303 crore in the June 2016 quarter to Rs480 crore Rs98.76 crore. The consolidated net profit was low due
in the June 2017 quarter. The operating profit shot up to the losses of the subsidiaries and joint ventures. On
93% y-o-y, from Rs44 crore in the June 2016 quarter a consolidated basis, there was hardly any profit
to Rs85 crore in the June 2017 quarter. Net profit growth.
UN UOTED
STORIES OF PRICE MANIPULATION
A ntarctica Ltd claims, on its 2 June 2017 quarter were Rs44.78 lakh
website, that it started off while sales for the March 2017 quarter
with providing pre-press services; were Rs40.96 lakh. It reported a loss of
diversified into printing on a job- Rs17.2 lakh in the March 2017 quarter
work basis with multicolour offset 1 and a meagre profit of Rs4.3 lakh in
printing machines and, now, is in the the June 2017 quarter. It neither pays
packaging and printing business. The tax nor declares dividend. Despite
company was earlier called Antarctica 850% such poor performance, the stock rose
Graphics Limited and, according to 0 850% from Re0.1 on 24 March 2015 to
www.watchoutinvestor.com, it was 24 Mar-15 24 Mar-16 24 Mar-17 Re0.95 on 29 September 2017, after
suspended from trading by the Bombay rising to as high as Rs1.85 in February
Stock Exchange on 30 November 2007 packaging and manufacturing tea bags. 2016, at which point it was up by
for not complying with the listing Antarcticas packaging/printing unit 94.75%. The promoter shareholding
agreement. The company now claims is located at Falta Export Processing in the company is only 31.63%. This
to be into carton box manufacturing, Zone (Free Trade Zone) about 50km looks like a clear case of manipulation,
book printing and finishing, from Kolkata and claims to export to but do you expect market regulators to
manufacturing labels, contract Sri Lanka, the Middle East, Russia, bother?
MARKET TREND
Managing the Mood channels for the first time in three years
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G-Sec Yields Up
Issuer Maturity Next Last Yield ISIN Rating
which sets the tone of the fixed- Axis Bank 8.75% 14-Dec-21 14-Dec-17 8.75 INE238A08427 CRISIL AA
income market, has increased by four (unsecured)
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Sample Questions
How do you collect the data for understanding problem is temporary, one may hold. If there is a
the industry or interpreting on which stage of the structural problem in the company, one may sell.
business cycle it is currently moving around? Also,
industries such as publishing and media are dicult If a small-cap company has metamorphosed
to interpret, how does one link the industry prospects into either a mid-cap or a large-cap over time,
with revenue and growth? It would be an honour, if will it be prudent as a long-term investor, to sell
you could provide answers to these questions. during market highs and buy again during the market
Read annual reports, attend annual general lows, to get better returns?
meetings, read investor presentations, brokerage Only two people can know the lows and highs of
reports, listen to conference calls and watch interviews. the market. One is god and the second is a liar.
If you find a particular industry dicult to interpret,
then move on to another industry, as there are a lot of We can see lots of news about buy this and that
opportunities available. stock but not much news about sell stock and
why. What should be the parameter to sell a stock?
If a stock is not doing well, should one book loss One should exit the stock when the focus of the
or hold? management changes (unrelated diversification),
Find out the reason why the stock is not doing product is becoming obsolete and the valuation is too
well. If a stock is not doing well in spite of good high compared to the leader in the industry, its peers
performance, it should be watched closely. If the and the sector.
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Mumbai T2 App: A Must for want on the underground, bus, bike, train, tram or ferry.
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H ERE WeGo is a free app that makes city (in any city)
navigation effortless. With detailed routes, turn-by-
turn guidance and information about
easy steps. 1. Select the person or group
to whom you wish to send your current
location. 2. Select attachment (the
every way of getting around, its the paper-clip shaped icon) on the top
only app you need, to get through rright of your screen 3. From the list of
the city. It tells you everything about options
t shown, select location and send
your route before you leave. Turn-by- thats it. Your location will be immediately visible to the
turn guidance keeps you stress-free receiver(s) on their phones on Google maps. This simple
behind the wheel. The maps can be trick will save you lots of time and help you communicate
used offline, saving you data charges. You can download your location speedily and efficiently!
the maps before you leave, so that you can keep using
the maps even when there is no signal. Offline maps are Yazdi Tantra is a chartered accountant
available for most cities across the world. by training, computer consultant by
HERE WeGo has public transit information for 1,300 profession, entrepreneur-developer by
cities including New York City (NYC Subway, NYC Bus), hobby and trainer in his leisure time.
He is currently the vice-chairman of
San Francisco (BART), Chicago (CTA), Boston (MBTA), Zoroastrian Co-operative Bank Ltd
London (TfL), Berlin (BVG), Munich, Paris, Barcelona, and has been running a medium-sized computer
Madrid, Rome, Milan, Vancouver, Toronto, Sydney, company ON-LYNE for the past 24 years.
Melbourne and many more. Go where and when you
Option1: Do nothing.
Option2: Rely on friends, relatives, neighbours, oce accountant, derived wisdom from social media
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Option3: Rely on relationship managers, insurance agents, distributors, wealth managers. (But you
are only a sales target for them)
Option4: Research insurance, mutual funds, markets, stocks, financial theories Become a financial
expert yourself. (Is this practical?)
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A
s consumers, we have always been made to believe Commission (NCDRC) about the reasons for the delay
that well-known brands are generally reliable, that in filing the petition and seek condonation for the delay
dealing with reputed companies ensures proper in filing. The counsel for Hawkins contended that the
performance of the product and, in case of any problem, 47 days delay in filing of the petition was unintentional.
the company will come to the rescue of customers. How In fact, the company claimed that the delay took
often have we heard that it is safer to use good products place because of bureaucratic procedure involving taking of
from established companies and, to an extent, this is right. legal opinion and getting permission from the headquarters
In other words, a consumer feels assured while dealing of petitioner-company to file the revision petition. By
with a familiar name that has been around for a long time; taking such a stand, Hawkins had shown itself in poor
the name becomes a guarantee of service. Unfortunately, it light.
can happen that not every reputed company cares for an NCDRC made references to several cases, including
individual consumer and this could be true of some of the some well-known judgements of the Supreme Court on
biggest names in the market. Ask Dwarikanath Baranwal the subject of condonation. After considering the detailed
of Varanasi (UP). He did not expect that purchase of an arguments placed before it, NCDRC said that Hawkins
ordinary pressure cooker will generate so much pressure appears to be taking advantage of its financial clout in trying
for himself even though he was dealing with a well- to defeat the benefit of concurrent finding of the fora below.
known reputed company. Therefore, we do not find any reason to condone the delay.
Application is accordingly dismissed. As a consequence,
the revision petition
is also dismissed as
Hawkins kept on barred by limitation.
(Hawkins Cookers
losing in different Ltd vs Dwarikanath
Around 2012-13, consumer courts but Baranwal, judgement
Mr Baranwal purchased continued to fight, was pronounced on
a pressure cooker worth 22 September 2017).
Rs980 of the well-known
trying to deny a few It is noteworthy
brand Hawkins. The thousand rupees of that NCDRC
cooker turned out to be claim to its customer has specifically
defective
d f and
d so he
h approached
hd remarked that the
Hawkins for replacement. As the company was not responsive, company seemed to
Mr Baranwal approached the district consumer forum. be taking advantage of its financial clout and thwarting the
The forum directed Hawkins to pay Rs980, besides a efforts of the complainant to get justice. This is also
compensation of Rs3,000. Mr Baranwal was also awarded evident from the fact that the company would have spent
litigation cost of Rs2,000. He was relieved that his stand a large sum on fighting before various authorities while
had been vindicated as his claim was upheld by the district refusing to pay the meagre a amount of Rs5,980/- to its
forum. However, his happiness was shortlived as he soon customer.
realised that Hawkins was in no mood to redress his Therefore, every consumer should always be alert
grievance. Instead of complying with the order passed and not get carried away by big and well-known names;
by the district forum, Hawkins chose to file an appeal the true character of a company is known by the
against the order. Much to cheer of Mr Baranwal, the treatment it gives to its customers who approach it with
state commission concurred with the finding of the district a complaint.
forum and dismissed the appeal of Hawkins.
Hawkins should have gracefully accepted the fact
that two statutory bodies had upheld the contention of
the complainant in a matter involving a paltry amount. SD Israni is a corporate lawyer & Fellow
Instead, it opted to file an appeal; but the when it did file of ICSI. Email: sdisrani@gmail.com
the appeal, it was beyond the time limit. Hawkins had
to satisfy the National Consumer Disputes Redressal
I
n September 2017, Equifax, the credit bureau, brokers across the world, who are collecting, storing,
reported a serious data breach that affected analysing and then selling your personal information for
143 million US customers or about 44% of the a hefty fee.
countrys population. This breach into one of the most Citizens believe that government regulation and
sophisticated data centres gave hackers easy access to legislation can protect them. But there is not much hope
every piece of information of customers, like full name, on this front and you will have to make sure you do
social security number, date of birth, addresses, and not share your personal data with anyone, including the
driving licence number. Hackers can use this information government. Share data only on a need to know basis.
to impersonate and dupe the person, while putting entire If the government agency threatens you into sharing
blame on the very person whose ID they have used. This your permanent account number (PAN), share only
is the stark reality of the digital age where more than that number and not any other information. The same
99% people blindly believe that all their online data is applies to other private parties.
safe and secure. Even when you
In the Indian install an app on
context, the same your mobile device,
blind faith can be make sure you read
seen in the statements all the information
of Union ministers about the app. It is
about data storage of important to know
Aadhaar or the unique what information
ID (!) number. Those the app can access
who understand from your device.
technology do Also, if possible (it
not believe such can be done through
statements or trust a privacy guard
the government to put available on some
security ahead of its operating systems),
ever-growing need for make sure that the
surveillance. Especially, when the same set of politicians app is given bare minimum access for working. For
who opposed Aadhaar before coming to power are example, an app for torch does not need access to your
zealously enforcing the UID number for everything. contacts or gallery. So disable this access. If the app does
Coming back to data breaches and data leakages, not work without gaining such access, simply uninstall
your data is protected as long as it is in your possession. it from your mobile. You do not require a snooping app
When the data is not in your possession, all you can do on your mobile device in any case.
is to just pray! This is because, for all those who have Remember, you or any organisation or institution,
access to your data, you are just a product which needs cannot protect your data forever from breaches.
to be sold in the market. In such a situation, you are not However, what you can do is to minimise leakage of
important and your consent, willingness or even your data from your side. Start with social media. Remove all
right to privacy does not matter. the information that is not required for you to use the
You may have heard someone saying data is the social media account. For example, remove your mobile
new oil. Yes, that is true. Your personal information number or other contact details from Facebook. You can
is very valuable and that is why you are lured and even still access it through your email ID. If possible, create a
threatened (by government!) to part with your private separate email ID for your social media presence or for
information and data. All this collected data is then everything that does not affect you financially. Be safe
analysed and sold as classified information to buyers at a until the next data breach happens and pray it does not
premium. As per reports, there could be over 3,000 data- affect you!
AM
M
R Sinha, chief general manager (vigilance). They
discussed the course of action and then planned
to go to the Chairman, Maneck N Goiporias
house. But they were told that Goiporia was out
meeting
eeting somebody and would return only after
10 pm.
m. It was then that Khemani and Subba Rao
decided that Sitaraman should be called back.
Theyy even sent somebody over to the branch
and broke
roke open Sitaramans drawer. It was a
desperate
sperate move. There was nothing there...
Mail in your remittances to Kensource Information Services Pvt Ltd, 316, 3rd Floor, Hind Service Industries Premises, Off Veer
Savarkar Marg, Shivaji Park, Dadar (W), Mumbai 400028. Credit card orders can be faxed to Mumbai 022-24442771.
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THE FIX banks estimates of how much they thought they would
have to pay for funding. As the authors write, the big
Libor: The Big Fat Lie flaw in Libor was that it relied on banks to tell the truth
but encouraged them to lie. When the 150 variants
of the benchmark were released each day, the banks
W
estern financial markets are often characterised individual submissions were also published, giving the
by a colossal failure of supervision, every few
years. Whether it is the Savings & Loans scam
in the 1980s, the insider trading scandal of the late-1980s,
the accounting scandal post dot-com bust in early-2000
or the bursting of the housing bubble in the mid-2000,
companies, traders and bankers have repeatedly gamed
the system and made millions. The supervisory failure is so
routine and regular that it does not shock people anymore.
But fixing the London Interbank Offered Rate? Even for
the world-weary, it was a shock.
It all started on 16 April
2008 when The Wall Street
Journal printed a story on its
front page with the headline
From the first weeks of his probation in
Bankers Cast Doubt on Key the summer of 2006 until he walked out
Rate Amid Crisis. Written the door in September 2009, Hayes and
by Carrick Mollenkamp his colleagues had made more than 2,000
from Fleet Street, London,
it began: One of the most
documented requests on at least 570 days.
important barometers of The trader had sought to manipulate
the worlds financial health Libor about three-quarters of the times
could be sending false he was in the office and made almost no
signals. In a development
that has implications for
attempt to hide it
borrowers everywhere,
from Russian oil producers world a snapshot of their relative creditworthiness. Those
THE FIX to homeowners in Detroit making their firms Libor submissions were prevented
LIAM VAUGHAN, to, bankers and traders are from deviating too far from the truth because their fellow
GAVIN FINCH expressing concerns that the market participants knew what rates they were really
Wiley London Interbank Offered being charged.
Pages216; Rs1,772 Rate, known as Libor, is The central character in all this was Tim Hayes.
becoming unreliable. Sometime in 2006, Hayes, a trader with UBS Securities
That was a serious understatement. Libor was actually based in Tokyo had figured out how to rig Libor. When
being rigged with impunity. Libor is a benchmark of interest he was a junior trader in London, Hayes had got to
rates that the worlds leading banks charge each other for know several of the 16 individuals responsible for making
short-term loans. It was supposed to be the worlds most their banks daily submission for the Japanese yen. He
important number, to which more than $300 trillion of realised that these guys relied on inter-dealer brokers, the
mortgages, loans and derivatives were pegged. And, yet, middlemen involved in all trades, on what rate to submit
a close network of traders and brokers was manipulating each day. In the opaque, over-the-counter derivatives
this number on which a substantial part of the Western market, where there is no centralised exchange, brokers are
economy depended, before getting caught in 2012. Liam at the epicentre of information flow. That puts them in a
Vaughan and Gavin Finchs The Fix tells us the story of powerful position. Only they can get a picture of what all
this monumental scandal. the banks are doing. While brokers had no official role in
The most obvious question is: How was Libor getting setting Libor, the rate-setters at the banks relied on them
manipulated? The starting point was the primitive way for information on where cash was trading.
Libor was calculated. The rate was an average of different Hayes cultivated them, bribed them to submit rates
according to his Finally, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Barclays and other banks
market positions, paid up a fine of a few billion dollars and just one person
which came especially went to jail: Tom Hayes, arrested in 2012 and convicted
handy for him in in 2015 for 14 years, which was reduced to 11. This is
the crisis of 2008, a compelling story of the Libor scandal told through
when, incredibly, Hayes, the obsessive high-risk trader, later diagnosed with
instead of the rate Aspergers disease, who bent the rules, bullied the brokers
shooting up (due to and bribed them to fix Libor to his advantage. The authors
the liquidity crisis), narrate the crime and one punishment in a factual manner,
Libor indicated that without getting into value judgement on whether others
It is the rate at which it would fall. This in the game deserved to be convicted as well.
banks do not lend to each helped Hayes survive Separately, it transpired that even foreign exchange
other... it is not a rate at the 2008 crisis as rates were manipulated, between December 2007 and
which anyone is actually he offloaded his January 2013, in which traders in UBS, Bank of America,
borrowing. Mervyn King, positions based on Citigroup, JP Morgan, Barclays and the Royal Bank of
Governor of the Bank of rigged rates. In 2009, Scotland were involved. Later, six banks were fined $5.6
England, in late-2008 on Hayes left UBS and billion over this separate scam.
Libor joined Citibank, lured The book reads like a novel where characters, events
away for a $3 million and locations come alive with vivid descriptions. It opens
bonus by Chris Cecere. with a secret meeting in a bar with a source, who identifies
Among those who read the WSJ article on Libor was Hayes as the villain of
Vince McGonagle, working at the enforcement division Libor manipulation
of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) setting the tone of
in Washington for 11 years. He asked his staff to put for a gripping thriller.
together a dossier and decided to launch an investigation. But the real villains
Earlier, in March, economists at the Bank for International of the saga are British
Settlements, a group created by central banks around Bankers Association
the world, had published a paper that identified unusual (BBA), Financial
patterns in Libor during the crisis. However, the study Services Authority
concluded that these were not caused by shortcomings (FSA), UK, and Bank
in the design of the fixing mechanism. of England (BoE).
Sometime in the afternoon of 8 December 2009, Cecere BBA continued to
felt that the six-month yen Libor was too high. When The Libor scandal dwarfs claim, long time
he checked the submissions from the previous day, he by orders of magnitude after the WSJ article,
any financial scam in the
was surprised to see that Citigroup had put in one of the that the Libor was
history of markets,
highest figures. Cecere contacted the head of the risk Andrew Lo, professor of reliable even in times
treasury team in Tokyo, Stantley Tan, and asked him to finance, MIT of financial crisis.
find out who the yen-setter was and request that he lower In October 2008,
his input by several basis points. It turned out the risk the International
treasury desk in Canary Wharf was responsible for the Monetary Fund found that although the integrity of the
banks Libor submissions, write the authors. Tan spoke U.S. dollar Libor-fixing process has been questioned by
to the London office to consider moving the quotes lower. some market participants and the financial press, it appears
However, the risk management group in London didnt that U.S. dollar Libor remains an accurate measure of a
budge. Cecere asked Tan to ask London again and was typical creditworthy bank's marginal cost of unsecured
rebuffed by Andrew Thursfield, Citigroups risk head. U.S. dollar term funding. The minutes of the Bank of
Hayes tried to work his contacts in London but failed. Not England show that deputy governor Paul Tucker was
only would Thursfield not oblige but, in March 2009, he aware as early as in November 2007 of concerns that
gave a presentation via video link to investigators on the the Libor was being manipulated. In early 2008, the then
rate-setting process. Hayes tried to push harder and got New York Fed President Tim Geithner wrote to BoE chief
reported by Citibank officials in London. After this, the Mervyn King to fix Libor. But BoE didnt act on it. FSA
scandal unravelled quickly, as CFTC closed its net and couldnt care less about Libor. This is a short, fascinating
even the brokers stopped cooperating with Hayes. book and a must-read. Debashis Basu
120
-2,150
-4,300
100
-5,375
25 Sep-17 4 Oct-17
2,080
Index 22 Sep 04 Oct +/-
ML Mid-cap Index 107.65 108.43 1% 1,040
ML Large-cap Index 106.50 106.53 0%
0
ML Mega-cap Index 110.66 110.61 0% 25 Sep-17 4 Oct-17
ML Small-cap Index 102.70 102.36 0%
Nifty 9,964.40 9,914.90 0% GLOBAL MARKET TRENDS
7,600
Sensex 31,922.44 31,671.71 -1%
FTSE
ML Micro-cap Index 94.09 91.31 -3% 7,480
Kwality 113.55 97.65 -14% The FTSE, Hang Seng, NASDAQ Composite and
Nikkei rose 2% each, while Taiwan Weighted and
Mid-cap Gainers/Losers 22 Sep 04 Oct Change
Shanghai Composite ended flat.
Ador Welding 403.75 603.8 50%
Index 22 Sep 04 Oct + / (-)
Tourism Finance Corpn. of India 157.6 138.75 -12% FTSE 7,311 7,468 2%
Oil and gas companies were a mixed bag during the fortnight. GAIL (India)
Ltd, Hindustan Oil Exploration Company, Oil India and Oil & Natural Gas
Shares of oil & gas companies
and petrochemicals companies
advanced 6% each, while shares
Corporation advanced 9%, 8%, 7% and 5%, respectively.
of non-ferrous metals companies
and hotel companies advanced
Companies 22 Sep 04 Oct +/-
5% each. Stocks of education
ML Oil & Gas Index GAIL (India) 398.55 436.35 9%
companies, paints companies and
110 sugar companies fell 3% each.
Hindustan Oil 85.55 92.30 8% Stocks of engineering, procurement,
construction and infrastructure
100
Oil India 328.85 351.30 7% companies also fell 3%.
ONGC 164.45 172.10 5% ML Sectoral Trends
RURAL INFLATION
Whats N T Combined inflation for urban
and rural areas in August 2017
Engineering, procurement, construction and infrastructure companies rose to 3.36% from 2.36% in
were punished. Gammon India, Pratibha Industries, Unity Infraprojects July 2017. Inflation in rural areas
and C&C Constructions declined 27%, 16%, 10% and 9%, respectively. rose to 3.30% in August 2017
from 2.41% in July 2017. Food &
Companies 22 Sep 04 Oct +/-
beverages inflation rose to 1.88%
Gammon India 8.23 5.97 -27% ML Con_EPC_Infra Index in August 2017 from 0.65% in
Pratibha Industries 9.15 7.73 -16% 110 July 2017 in rural areas. Milk &
milk products inflation decreased
Unity Infraprojects 5.70 5.15 -10%