INVEST MALAYSIA
2010
Shangri-La
30th – 31st March 2010
AGENDA
q Demand
q Fuel Costs
q Managing Debt
q Others
2
HIGHLIGHTS OF 1QFY’10 RESULTS
Financial Results
• 39.3% Increase in Operating Profit Resulting from Lower Generation Costs
• Net Profit Attributable to Equity Holder’s of RM706.3mn
RM'mn 1Q 1Q Varianc e
FY '09 FY'10 %
Revenue 7,414.6 7,338.3 (1.0)
Operating expenses (6,580.2) (6,179.9) (6.1)
Operating inc ome 56.4 82.8 46.8
Operating profit 890.8 1,241.2 39.3
Forex
- Transac tion Gain 2.0 0.9 55.0
- Translation Loss (1,439.7) (45.4) 96.8
Attributable to:
- Equity holders of the Company (944.1) 706.3 174.8
- Minority interests 3.4 (8.8) (358.8)
(940.7) 697.5 174.1
3
HIGHLIGHTS OF 1QFY’10 RESULTS
Year-On-Year Analysis
• 8.6% Decline In Cost Per Unit Sold
Improvement in EBITDA Resulted From the • Significant Improvement in Margin from
11.3% Reduction in Generation Costs 1.8 sen/kwh to 3.2 sen/kwh in FY2010
RM mn FY 2009 FY 2010
GROUP
1Q 1Q Average selling price : 31.0 sen/kwh
Total Units Sold (GW h) 22,587.0 23,117.5
30.4 27.8
Revenue 7,414.6 7,338.3
1.3 1.1
Operating Expenses (w ithout deprec iation) 5,822.8 5,259.3 3.4 4.0
Operating Inc ome 56.4 82.8 1.2
1.0
3.1
EBITDA 1,648.2 2,161.8 3.0
1.0
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.2% 29.5% 1.0
7.0 4.1
Deprec iation and Amortisation 757.4 920.6
EBIT 890.8 1,241.2
67.1% 63.7%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.0% 16.9%
Financ e Cost 285.2 260.0
13.6
13.4
Profit Before Tax & Forex Translation 667.0 1,018.5
Financial Ratios
43.1%
Gearing % Interest Coverage
% ROA ROE %
8.3 sen Basic EPS
9.0% 22.0%
80 18.7%
9 40
(6.9%) 174.8%
8.0% 17.4% 29.8 34.9
70 8 7.1
7.0% 15.8% 30
17.0%
7.0% 7
60 54.3
5.8 16.3
49.3 5.7% 5.8% 20
6.0% 6
47.0 45.9 11.1%
50 12.0%
5.0% 5 10
4.1
40 3.9%
4.0% 4
7.0% 0
30 3.0% 3
-10
20 2.0% 2
2.0%
(21.8)
10 1.0% 1 -20
Technical Performance
0 0 0
0
FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 FY'10
FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 FY'10
1Q 1Q 1Q 1Q
5
HEADLINE KPIS : FY2005 – FY2010
Most Targets That Were Set in 2005 Were Met Ahead of Target
Date
Return on Assets * 1
6.5% 2.2% 3.3% 6.3% 4.6% 4.0% 4.5% 5.8%
(ROA)
*
Achieved Gearing < 60.0% 64.9% 58.1% 49.9% 46.9% 46.5% 44 - 46% 45.9%
Unplanned No targets **
Outage Rate set for 1st 6.1% 4.7% 2.2% 3.3% 2.9% 3.6 - 4.0% 1.4%
(UOR) Phase
No targets 2
T&D Losses set for 1st 10.5% 11.0% 10.0% 9.5% 9.7% 9 - 9.5% 10.0%
Phase
Achieved SAIDI (mins) < 100.0 148.0 101.6 83.0 78.0 68.6 68 - 72 14.2
Ac tual
Item Ac tual Ac tual Ac tual Ac tual Ac tual Target
1QFY'10
Current Ratio (%) N/A 1.4 1.5 1.68 1.65 N/A 1.69
Improved Procurement
N/A N/A N/A 118.1 197.4 N/A 18.6
Strategy/Planning
Savings from Medical Expenses (26.2) (17.6) (20.7) (49.7) (49.7) N/A 4.6
Savings from Overtime (15.3) 19.6 (5.7) (3.0) (3.6) N/A (8.8)
Notes:
* Based on S&P signing
7
HIGHLIGHTS OF 1QFY’10 RESULTS
Cashflow
Cash Balance Continues to Improve
Group Company
FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2009 FY 2010
3 Mths 6 Mths 9 Mths 12 Mths 3 Mths 3 Mths 6 Mths 9 Mths 12 Mths 3 Mths
Cashflow From Operations 778.1 2,486.9 4,711.5 7,409.9 1,550.0 301.8 1,831.2 3,524.8 5,930.4 1,022.1
(-) Capex (683.4) (1,800.5) (2,795.8) (4,128.4) (635.8) (601.8) (1,638.3) (2,467.1) (3,575.1) (557.2)
(-) Interest Servicing (258.2) (617.3) (857.5) (1,188.8) (234.9) (180.2) (438.7) (596.0) (829.8) (169.7)
(+) Dividend from Subs/ 0.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 0.0 54.0 54.0 54.1 16.4
Assocs.
FREE CASH FLOW (163.5) 123.1 1,112.2 2,146.7 679.3 (480.2) (191.8) 515.7 1,579.6 311.6
(+) New Debt 330.7 628.0 652.1 592.2 109.1 40.2 65.0 249.2 289.0 53.4
(-) Repayment (438.7) (1,404.8) (1,615.8) (1,796.7) (393.7) (120.4) (754.0) (1,139.9) (1,178.2) (237.6)
(+) Proceeds from 0.8 0.8 1.6 15.2 17.6 0.8 0.8 1.6 15.2 17.6
Issuance of Shares
Cash Flow After
Debt Servic e (270.7) (652.9) 150.1 957.4 412.3 (559.6) (880.0) (373.4) 705.6 145.0
Others 53.4 (208.3) (438.8) (174.5) 85.8 45.3 (207.2) 315.9 271.2 42.9
Net Cash (217.3) (861.2) (288.7) 782.9 498.1 (514.3) (1,087.2) (689.3) 976.8 187.9
Currency translation
differences 2.0 2.6 (1.9) (2.9) (5.2) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cash Balanc e 5,168.6 4,525.3 5,093.3 6,163.9 6,656.8 3,698.6 3,125.8 3,523.7 5,189.8 5,377.7
TNB KEV SESB LPL MTM TNBJ TNEC UNITEN TSG TNB ES ILSAS OTHERS GROUP
5,377.7 518.5 147.8 24.4 50.3 418.3 19.4 8.4 30.3 9.7 36.8 15.2 6,656.8 8
AGENDA
q Demand
q Fuel Costs
q Managing Debt
q Others
9
DEMAND
Analysis of Electricity Growth M-o-M in Peninsula
As at 2QFY’10, Peninsula Reported 8.0% Growth Y-o-Y
FY 2009 FY 2010
UNITS SALES
Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb
Gwh
Industrial
3,501 3,238 3,086 3,007 2,847 2,500 2,609 2,911 2,956 3,081 3,178 3,346 3,330 3,092 3,429 3,276 3,353 3,402
Growth
(%)
0.4 (1.4) (4.3) (8.2) (15.1) (27.5) (16.1) (14.7) (13.1) (12.8) (7.0) (6.1) (4.9) (4.5) 11.1 9.0 17.8 36.1
Commercial
Gwh
2,349 2,416 2,177 2,193 2,262 2,122 2,162 2,332 2,422 2,446 2,429 2,549 2,385 2,323 2,495 2,353 2,465 2,412
Growth
(%)
1.1 12.2 (2.1) 0.5 1.2 (1.4) 3.4 3.5 1.9 5.0 6.4 9.1 1.5 (3.9) 14.6 7.3 9.0 13.7
Gwh
Domestic
1,318 1,465 1,309 1,312 1,351 1,305 1,371 1,358 1,533 1,491 1,456 1,524 1,541 1,373 1,452 1,370 1,488 1,409
Growth
(%)
(0.9) 13.3 (0.5) 4.2 6.5 (0.4) 6.8 5.4 7.1 10.5 9.0 13.5 16.9 (6.3) 10.9 4.4 10.1 8.0
Gwh
100 107 101 100 106 113 98 103 105 103 99 229 106 106 111 114 125 108
Others
Growth
(%)
(1.0) 9.2 2.0 2.0 1.9 11.9 2.1 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.0 118.1 6.0 (0.9) 10.0 14.0 17.9 (4.4)
Gwh
7,268 7,226 6,673 6,612 6,566 6,040 6,240 6,704 7,016 7,121 7,162 7,648 7,362 6,894 7,487 7,113 7,431 7,331
TOTAL
Growth
(%)
0.4 5.8 (2.8) (3.0) (5.7) (13.8) (5.2) (4.9) (4.1) (2.6) 0.4 4.1 1.3 (4.6) 12.2 7.6 13.2 21.4
1st Qtr FY’09 2nd Qtr FY’09 3rd Qtr FY’09 4th Qtr FY’09 1st Qtr FY’10 2nd Qtr FY’10
1.1% (7.6)% (4.7)% 0.6% 2.7% 13.8%
13,700
13,200
12,700
12,200
MD
11,700
11,200
10,700
10,200
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51
Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
t
WEEK NO. 11
DEMAND
Weekly Electricity Demand Growth (Peninsula)
Electricity Demand Growth Signals a Better Outlook
Weekly
WeeklyGeneration (GWh)
Generation (Gwh) - Week
– Week Ending
Ending 21/03/2010
21st March 2010
2,100
2,000
1,900
1,800
1,700
GWh
1,600
1,500
1,400
1,300
1,200
1Jan 3 5Feb 7 9Mar11 13 Apr
15 17 May
19 21 23Jun
25 27 29
Jul 31 33
Aug35 37Sep39 41 Oct
43 45 Nov
47 49 Dec
51
2,000 7,000
+5.0% 6,000 +6.9%
1,600
5,000
1,200 4,000
800 3,000
-27.6% -12.1%
2,000
400
1,000
0 0
Industrial Commercial Domestic *Others Industrial Commercial Domestic *Others
q Demand
q Fuel Costs
q Managing Debt
q Others
14
FUEL COSTS
Industry Generation in Peninsula (TNB & IPPs)
30.5% Increase in Coal Generation Resulting from Reduction in Gas Allocation & Higher Demand
DISTILLATE
RM34.3mn
1.3%
IPP Oil
TNB 17.4 42.7
16.9 0.7% Oil
1.7%
0.6% Hydro
GAS 117.4 GAS
COAL 1,418.7
RM1,296.5mn 0.5% 13,495.5Gwh
RM1,174.5mn 5.8% TNB
TNB 50.9% 55.0%
46.1% 5,636.9
504.2
Distil.IPP 23.0%
IPP 19.8%
0.0
823.5
0.0%
32.3% IPP
7,858.6
IPP 32.0%
IPP
5,469.2
792.3 Distil.TNB
22.3% TNB
TNB 31.1% 48.9
351.0 3,980.6
0.2% COAL
13.8% 16.2%
9,449.8Gwh
38.5%
A B C D E F G H I J K L
18.0 17.6
14.0 12.5
12.6
11.6
12.0
38% Index Linked
Tonne (mn)
6.0
45% Fixed Price
(secured)
4.0
2.0
0.0
FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 FY'10
Total Consumption Estimated 16
FUEL COSTS
Coal
USD85/MT
100.0 implemented
Mar’09
USD75/MT
80.0 implemented
July’08
60.0
40.0
20.0
0.0
q Demand
q Fuel Costs
q Debt Management
q Others
18
DEBT MANAGEMENT
RM (bn)
34
32.5
32
30.9
30.0
30 29.2
28.3
28 27.7
27.1
26
24.0
24
22.7 22.6
22
20
FY 2000 FY 2001 FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009
19
DEBT MANAGEMENT
Analysis of Debt Exposure & Forex
Weighted Average Cost of Debt 5.16% Weighted Average Cost of Debt 5.06%
[ Based on final exposure, 5.32% ] [ Based on final exposure, 5.26% ]
q Demand
q Fuel Costs
q Managing Debt
q Others
21
2ND PHASE: GEOGRAPHICAL EXPANSION
20-Year Strategic Plan
GLOBAL
LEADERSHIP 2025
• Excel in:
- All business areas
OVERSEAS - Reputation as a
INVESTMENT 2020 strong business
partner
- Ability to continue
to create
• Improve financial shareholder value
GEOGRAPHICAL position and human
EXPANSION resource readiness of • TNB acknowledged as
(SERVICES) 2015 TNB amongst the most
admired companies
• Venture into
T7 • Expand works and power/energy related
globally
SERVICE services related to the investments in the
EXCELLENCE 2010 energy sector international arena
REMACO (O&M)
1. Shuaibah - 900MW/880,000 m3/day Power & Water Desalination Plant
- Contract Value: USD1mn/year, 25 years
2. Liberty Power Ltd - 235MW IPP to supply power to WAPDA
- Contract Value: USD1.5mn/year, 25 years
3. Hubco, Pakistan
- Contract Value: USD5mn/year, 5 years
TNEC
1. District Cooling – BMC, 30,000RT
- Project Cost: RM144.2mn
2. District Cooling – Al-Reef, 8,000RT
- Project Cost: RM58.6mn
23
AGENDA
q Demand
q Fuel Costs
q Managing Debt
q Others
24
RESERVE MARGIN
Reserve Margin Reducing & Capacity Remains Stagnant
50,000 50%
Installed Capacity
Available Capacity
45,000 Reserve Margin for Installed Capacity
Reserve Margin for Available Capacity 40%
30%
35,000
20%
25,000
10%
20,000
15,000
0%
10,000
-10%
5,000
0 -20%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 25
Source: Planning
DISCLAIMER
All information contained herein is meant strictly for the use of this
presentation only and should not be used or relied on by any party for any
other purpose and without the prior written approval of TNB. The
and confidential in nature. TNB has the sole copyright to such information
26
THANK YOU
www.tnb.com.my 27