Matt Bottomley, CPA, CA, CBV | Analyst | Canaccord Genuity Corp. (Canada) | mbottomley@canaccordgenuity.com |
Canadian Equity Research 1.416.867.2394
8 January 2018 Neil Maruoka, MSc, MBA | Analyst | Canaccord Genuity Corp. (Canada) | nmaruoka@canaccordgenuity.com |
1.416.869.3073
Jenny Wang | Associate | Canaccord Genuity Corp. (Canada) | jwang@canaccordgenuity.com | 1.416.869.3643
Industry Update
Canaccord Genuity is the global capital markets group of Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. (CF : TSX)
The recommendations and opinions expressed in this research report accurately reflect the research analyst's personal, independent and objective views about any and all
the companies and securities that are the subject of this report discussed herein.
For important information, please see the Important Disclosures beginning on page 13 of this document.
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
• Namaste Technologies Inc. (N:CSE | Not rated). After recently divesting its US
assets and re-focusing on its Canadian business, Namaste began its revitalized
strategy by inking an agreement with O Cannabis (private) for patient consulting
services to its NamasteMD business. O Cannabis will provide patient education,
strain recommendations, and medical documentation through NamasteMD to the
company’s medical customers. Subsequent to this, Namaste also signed a letter
of intent with Supreme Cannabis Company (FIRE-TSX-V:$3.04 | SPECULATIVE BUY,
C$2.30 target price) to supply Namaste’s wholly owned subsidiary CannMart with
premium-quality dried cannabis flower. Under the terms of the agreement, Supreme
will become a preferred vendor as it relates to the development of possible branded
partnerships, including the development of Namaste’s own in-house branded medical
cannabis.
• Delta 9 Cannabis, Inc. (NINE:TSX-V | Not rated). Delta 9 is a licensed producer of
dried bud medical marijuana pursuant to the ACMPR and recently began trading on
the TSXV on November 6. The company operates out of a 80,000 sq. ft. facility in
Winnipeg, Manitoba (one of only two LPs in the province) and has plans to build out
its pod-based cultivation with a goal to increase its annual capacity to >17,000kg. In
addition to this capacity, the company is considering leasing or acquiring a 350,000
sq. ft. building adjacent to its licensed facility that it believes could accommodate at
further ~38,000 kg of capacity.
• MPX Bioceutical Corp. (MPX:CSE | Not rated). MPX Bioceutical Corporation
(previously Canadian Bioceutical Corp (BCC-CSE)) provides management, staffing,
procurement, advisory, financial, real estate rental, logistics and administrative
services to cannabis operators in the United States. The company currently
provides services in Arizona (with a number of successful brands launched to date);
Massachusetts (a state that is planning to implement legal recreational sales in
mid-2018); and recently signed a definite agreement to expand into the growing
Nevada and Maryland markets. In addition, the company also has an application with
Health Canada for a cannabis production and sales license under the ACMPR.
• WeedMD, Inc. (WMD:TSX-V | Not rated). WeedMD Inc. is licensed under the ACMPR
to cultivate and sell dried bud as well as the production of oil products. The company
is located in Aylmer, Ontario, and currently operates a 26,000 square foot indoor
facility that includes space for future expansion, including space for additional grow
rooms and a large commercial scale extraction lab. WeedMD is looking to target
the long-term care and assisted living markets in Canada through what it believes
is a comprehensive platform tailored for the industry. The company has announced
a 610,000 sq. ft. greenhouse expansion initiative as part of a lease and purchase
option agreement with Perfect Pick Farms Ltd. The company believes the first phase
of this expansion (~220,000 sq. ft.) will increase its capacity to 21,000 kg, with the
potential to reach >50,000 kg down the road.
• DOJA Cannabis Company Limited (DOJA:CSE | Not rated). With its first harvest
nearing completion and a pending cannabis sales license under ACMPR regulations,
DJOA announced a merger agreement whereby the company would acquire all
outstanding shares of Tokyo Smoke. This combination will bring together two of the
premier lifestyle brands in Canadian cannabis: DOJA, as a craft grower of premium
cannabis, and Tokyo Smoke, a retail-focused cannabis brand. The company will
rename itself Hiku Brands company once the merger is complete. DOJA is a premium
cannabis lifestyle brand operating out of the Okanagan valley in British Columbia.
Leveraging its high-quality cannabis brand, DOJA intends to open multiple Culture
Café retail cannabis stores to market appealing lifestyle products and to provide
information on its cannabis.
• InMed Pharmaceuticals Inc. (IN:CSE | Not rated). During the month of December,
InMed announced a non-brokered private placement in which the company raised
a total of $9.4 million. The proceeds will be used to advance the company’s clinical
programs, including INM-750 for epidermolysis bullosa, INM-085 for glaucoma, and
INM-405 for pain. InMed is a soon-to-be clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company
focusing on the development of cannabinoids for the treatment of disease. The
company’s lead product is INM-750 for the treatment of epidermolysis bullosa, a
rare dermatology condition addressing a total market potential of ~US$1 billion.
8 January 2018 2
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
InMed leverages its biosynthesis platform for the efficient and low-cost manufacturing
of cannabinoids, providing greater purity and the potential to develop minor
cannabinoids into drugs, which would not be feasible using conventional methods.
• Kalytera Therapeutics Inc. (KALY:TSX-V | Not rated). Kalytera has announced the
initiation of a Phase II study of cannabidiol (CBD) in the treatment of graft versus
host disease (GvHD). The Phase II will enroll 36 GvHD patients and will evaluate the
pharmacokinetics and safety of CBD, with results expected in the third quarter of this
year. Following the completion of this study, Kalytera plans to quickly move its CBD
development into a Phase III study in this indication. Kalytera is a biotech company
developing CBD in the treatment of graft versus host disease. In two separate Phase
IIa studies, Kalytera has demonstrated that CBD treatment can result in substantial
improvements compared to what would be expected with the standard of care.
Kalytera has identified a 505(b)2 pathway to approval confirmed by the FDA, and has
received Orphan Drug designation for GvHD.
8 January 2018 3
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
Cannabis Monthly
A significant number of transactions closed during 2017.
Figure 1: Selected transactions in the cannabis space
Closing Deal Issue
Price Private
Company Name Date Size ($) ($/share) Description Issue Terms Placement
Delta 9 Cannabis Inc. 12/28/2017 23,008,050 2.70 Share and warrant Bought Underwritten No
MJardin Group 12/27/2017 20,000,000 N/A Units N/A Yes
Cannabis Strategies Acquisition Corp 12/21/2017 125,000,000 10.00 Units IPO No
Village Farms International Inc. 12/21/2017 13,500,000 5.40 Common Shares Bought Underwritten No
OrganiGram Holdings Inc. 12/18/2017 57,500,000 3.50 Share and warrant Bought Underwritten No
Merrco Payments Inc. 12/12/2017 10,000,000 10.00 Common Shares Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
DOJA Cannabis Company Ltd. 12/7/2017 15,000,000 1000.00 Conv. Debs Bought Underwritten Yes
Beleave Inc. 12/5/2017 9,950,000 1.50 Units Non-Brokered Yes
MedReleaf Corp 12/4/2017 100,500,000 16.55 Common Shares Bought Underwritten No
CannTrust Holdings 11/30/2017 20,000,000 5.00 Common Shares Bought Underwritten Yes
ICC International Cannabis Corp 11/22/2017 20,000,000 1.00 Share and warrant Marketed Best Efforts Agency No
iAnthus Capital Holdings, Inc. 11/21/2017 12,023,250 1.70 Units Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
Hydropothecary Corp 11/17/2017 60,000,000 1000.00 Warrants and Conv. Debs Bought Underwritten No
Emblem Corp. 11/16/2017 13,800,000 1.75 Units Bought Underwritten Yes
Cronos Group Inc. 11/14/2017 15,000,000 3.15 Common Shares Bought Underwritten No
Supreme Pharmaceuticals Inc. 11/9/2017 35,000,000 1000.00 Convert Debs. Bought Underwritten Yes
Aphria Inc. 11/7/2017 80,000,000 7.25 Common Shares Bought Underwritten No
Nuuvera Corp. 11/2/2017 20,000,000 TBD Sub. Receipts Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
Aurora Cannabis Inc. 11/2/2017 115,000,000 1000.00 Convert Debs. Bought Underwritten No
Golden Leaf Holdings 11/2/2017 15,000,000 1000.00 Convert Debs. Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
Maricann Group Inc 10/27/2017 26,000,000 1000.00 Units Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
Cronos Group 9/26/2017 15,000,000 2.25 Common Shares Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
CannTrust Holdings 8/21/2017 25,200,000 2.00 Common Shares IPO No
Canopy Growth Corporation 7/26/2017 25,000,000 8.05 Common Shares Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
Hydropothecary Corp 7/18/2017 25,000,000 1000.00 Convert Debs. Bought Underwritten Yes
Cannabis Wheaton Income Corp. 6/29/2017 50,200,000 1.00 Warrants and Conv. Debs Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
Sunniva Holdings Corp 6/27/2017 5,851,575 6.75 Units Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
Canopy Rivers Corp 6/16/2017 36,230,000 0.60 Common Shares Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
MedReleaf Corp 6/7/2017 100,000,000 9.50 Common Shares IPO No
Golden Leaf Holdings 6/2/2017 35,000,000 0.28 Sub. Receipts Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
High Hampton Holdings 6/1/2017 5,635,000 0.50 Units Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
InMed Pharmaceuticals 5/31/2017 5,004,000 0.45 Common Shares Marketed Best Efforts Agency No
Invictus MD Strategies Corp. 5/24/2017 25,000,000 1.35 Units Bought Underwritten Yes
National Access Cannabis Corp 5/17/2017 4,500,000 0.25 Sub. Receipts Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
Aphria Inc. 5/9/2017 75,000,120 6.50 Common Shares Bought Underwritten No
ABcann Medicinals (Panda Capital Inc) 5/3/2017 15,000,000 0.80 Convert Debs. Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
ABcann Medicinals (Panda Capital Inc) 5/3/2017 11,800,000 0.80 Sub. Receipts Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
Aurora Cannabis Inc. 5/2/2017 75,000,000 1000.00 Convert Debs. Bought Underwritten Yes
Emerald Health Therapeutics, Inc. 4/20/2017 24,364,500 2.60 Common Shares Bought Underwritten No
Resolve 3/28/2017 5,000,000 N/A Common Shares Series A Yes
Cronos Group 3/9/2017 17,336,250 2.25 Common Shares Bought Underwritten No
Aequus Pharmaceuticals Inc. 3/2/2017 15,000,000 0.30 Units Bought Underwritten No
Invictus MD Strategies Corp. 3/2/2017 15,015,000 1.65 Units Bought Underwritten Yes
Aurora Cannabis Inc. 2/28/2017 75,000,053 2.25 Units Bought Underwritten Yes
iAnthus Capital Holdings, Inc. 2/28/2017 20,000,000 100.00 Convert Debs. Bought Underwritten Yes
Aphria Inc. 2/24/2017 50,000,000 5.00 Common Shares Bought Underwritten No
Harvest One Capital 2/22/2017 25,000,500 0.75 Units Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
Kalytera 2/16/2017 15,000,000 0.45 Common Shares Marketed Best Efforts Agency Yes
CannaRoyalty Corp. 2/15/2017 15,000,000 3.00 Units Bought Underwritten No
Emerald Health Therapeutics, Inc. 2/10/2017 12,015,000 1.35 Units Bought Underwritten No
Emblem Corp. 1/31/2017 13,913,042 3.63 Units Bought Underwritten No
Source: Company Reports, Canaccord Genuity, FP Infomart
2
8 January 2018 4
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
900
800
700
500
400
300
200
100
3
8 January 2018 5
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
Cronos
TSX Venture
Canopy Growth
OrganiGram
iAnthus
Invictus MD
CannTrust
MedReleaf
CanniMed
CannaRoyalty
Supreme
Emblem
Aphria
Cronos
OrganiGram
iAnthus
TSX Venture
Canopy Growth
Invictus MD
CannTrust
CannaRoyalty
MedReleaf
CanniMed
Supreme
Three Month Price Return One Year Price Return
300%
256% 600%
250% 506%
500%
200% 178% 400% 314%
172%
157% 300% 244% 266% 268%
150% 135% 134%
200%
94% 70% 81%
100% 100% 34% 43% 13%
0% 0% 4%
60% 59%
43% 0%
50% 21% 19% 14%
0%
Aphria
Emblem
Cronos
iAnthus
TSX Venture
Canopy Growth
OrganiGram
Invictus MD
CannTrust
CannaRoyalty
MedReleaf
CanniMed
Supreme
Emblem
Growth
Aphria
Cronos
TSX Venture
OrganiGram
iAnthus
Invictus MD
MedReleaf
CannTrust
CanniMed
CannaRoyalty
Canopy
Supreme
Source: Factset
In the graph below, we have looked at the relative performance of the top eight
Canadian-listed cannabis companies (by market cap) over the past six months.
Figure 4: Stock performance of top eight companies, by market cap
475%
425%
375%
325%
275%
225%
175%
125%
75%
25%
4
8 January 2018 6
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
Canopy Growth
11.4%
Aphria
1.0%
Aurora Cannabis
28.6%
1.0% 2.9%
OrganiGram
Supreme
6.9% Emblem
0.7% Cronos
2.9% Hydropothecary
2.6% Cannimed
Maricann
13.5%
MedReleaf
CannTrust
26.3%
The Canaccord Genuity Cannabis Index has substantially outperformed the S&P/TSX
Venture Composite Index (rebased) over the past 12 months, providing a 277% return
relative to the S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index at ~41% over that period.
Figure 6: Canaccord Genuity Cannabis Index performance, one-year return vs. S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index
230%
180%
130%
80%
30%
-20%
Dec-16
Dec-17
May-17
Feb-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Jun-17
Mar-17
Nov-17
Apr-17
Jan-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
5
8 January 2018 7
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
6
8 January 2018 8
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
7
8 January 2018 9
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
Province # of LPs
Ontario 47
Applications refused British Columbia 18
Alberta 4
5% 16% Saskatchewan 4
Applications in
Manitoba 2
process
25% New Brunswick 2
Applications Prince Edward Island 1
50% withdrawn Quebec 4
Applications Newfoundland and Labrador 0
returned Northwest Territories 0
Licenses granted Nova Scotia 2
Nunavut 0
4% Yukon 0
Total 84
Source: Health Canada website www.hc.sc.gc.ca Source: Health Canada website www.hc.sc.gc.ca
8
8 January 2018 10
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
Company Ticker Share Rating Shares Market Estimated Funded Market Cap/
Price ($) O/S (M) Cap (M) Capacity (tonnes) Funded Capacity (x)
Canopy Growth WEED 34.00 HOLD 220 $ 7,490 320 23.4x
Aphria Inc. APH 19.16 SPEC BUY 160 $ 3,066 100 30.7x
OrganiGram Holdings OGI 4.78 SPEC BUY 139 $ 664 46 14.4x
Supreme Cannabis Company FIRE 3.04 SPEC BUY 323 $ 981 75 13.1x
Emblem Corp EMC 2.38 SPEC BUY 121 $ 288 30 9.6x
CannTrust TRST 10.35 SPEC BUY 96 $ 990 43 23.0x
MedReleaf Corporation LEAF 27.20 SPEC BUY 98 $ 2,652 100 26.5x
Cronos Group Inc. MJN 10.54 HOLD 198 $ 2,084 60 34.7x
Invictus MD IMH 2.20 HOLD 94 $ 207 17 12.2x
Average 21.6x
As at January 5, 2018, market close
9
8 January 2018 11
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
We have also looked at selected publicly traded cannabis companies based on their
current EV/Revenue multiple against the projected two-year revenue CAGR. For
uncovered names, we have used the consensus estimates from FactSet. Although this
is not a perfect analysis (due to confounding factors including a very low base year
revenue forecast and the discrepancy between analyst estimates (particularly for
companies with limited analyst coverage)), we believe it is somewhat illustrative of
relative valuations.
Figure 15: Comparable analysis; EV/Revenue vs. two-year revenue CAGR
14.0x
Cronos
12.0x
Aphria
10.0x CannTrust
Canopy
8.0x MedReleaf
EV/Revenue
6.0x
Supreme
Emblem
4.0x
Hydropothecary CannaRoyalty
Invictus MD
iAnthus
2.0x OrganiGram
0.0x
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% 450%
2Yr Revenue CAGR
10
8 January 2018 12
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
Investment Recommendation
Date and time of first dissemination: January 08, 2018, 09:56 ET
Date and time of production: January 08, 2018, 09:56 ET
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*Total includes stocks that are Under Review
8 January 2018 13
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
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8 January 2018 14
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
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8 January 2018 15
Canadian Cannabis
Industry Update
8 January 2018 16