Permintaan Pasar produksi Ingot Timah

x x2 y xy x
2013 -3 9 210000 -630000 2012 -2
2014 -1 1 225000 -225000 2013 -1
2015 1 1 260000 260000 2014 0
2016 3 9 270000 810000 2015 1
4 0 20 965000 215000 2016 2
5 0
a= 241250 a= 76000
b= 10750 b= 7500
persamaan = 241250 + 10750 x ton
2017 5 295000 2017 3
2018 7 316500 2018 4
2019 9 338000 2019 5
2020 11 359500 2020 6
2021 13 381000 2021 7
2022 15 402500 2022 8
2023 17 424000 2023 9
2024 19 445500 2024 10
2025 21 467000 2025 11
2026 23 488500 2026 12
2027 25 510000 2027 13
2028 27 531500 2028 14
Permintaan
Penjualan Konsentrat pasir timah
tahun x
2012 60000
2013 70000
2014 75000
2015 85000
Peluang Pasar 2016 90000
2019 199657.351 5 380000
2020 113494.705 SigmaX2 144400000000
2021 119560.493 a= -8550000000000
2022 125626.28 b= 5865000000
2023 131692.068 Rencana Penjualan (?)
2024 137757.855 2019 138342.6495
2025 143823.643 2020 246005.295
2026 149889.43 2021 261439.5075
2027 155955.218 2022 276873.72
2028 162021.005 2023 292307.9325
2024 307742.145
Kapasitas jika peluang 25% 30% 2025 323176.3575
2019 188256.987 2019 198239.9 2026 338610.57
2020 274378.971 2020 280053.7 2027 354044.7825
2021 291329.631 2021 297307.7 2028 369478.995
2022 308280.29 2022 314561.6
2023 325230.949 2023 331815.6
2024 342181.609 2024 349069.5
2025 359132.268 2025 366323.5
2026 376082.928 2026 383577.4
2027 393033.587 2027 400831.3
2028 409984.246 2028 418085.3

35% 40%
2019 208222.722 2019 218205.6
2020 285728.442 2020 291403.2
2021 303285.68 2021 309263.7
2022 320842.918 2022 327124.2
2023 338400.156 2023 344984.8
2024 355957.394 2024 362845.3
2025 373514.632 2025 380705.8
2026 391071.871 2026 398566.3
2027 408629.109 2027 416426.9
2028 426186.347 2028 434287.4

45% 50%
2019 228188.457 238171.3
2020 297077.912 302752.6
2021 315241.729 321219.8
2022 333405.546 339686.9
2023 351569.363 358154
2024 369733.18 376621.1
2025 387897 395088.2
2026 406060.814 413555.3
2027 424224.63 432022.4
2028 442388.447 450489.5

55% 60% 65%

2019 248154.192 2019 258137.1 2019 268119.927325
2020 308427.383 2020 314102.1 2020 319776.85325
2021 327197.778 2021 333175.8 2021 339153.827625
2022 345968.174 2022 352249.5 2022 358530.802
2023 364738.57 2023 371323.2 2023 377907.776375
2024 383508.965 2024 390396.9 2024 397284.75075
2025 402279.361 2025 409470.5 2025 416661.725125
2026 421049.757 2026 428544.2 2026 436038.6995
2027 439820.152 2027 447617.9 2027 455415.673875
2028 458590.548 2028 466691.6 2028 474792.64825
rencana penjualan
kapasitas 55% Peluang Pasar rencana penjualan rencana penjualan x 60%
2019 248154.192 2019 199657.4 2019 199657.4 119794.4103
2020 308427.383 2020 113494.7 2020 113494.7
2021 327197.778 2021 119560.5 2021 119560.5
2022 345968.174 2022 125626.3 2022 125626.3
2023 364738.57 2023 131692.1 2023 131692.1
2024 383508.965 2024 137757.9 2024 137757.9
2025 402279.361 2025 143823.6 2025 143823.6
2026 421049.757 2026 149889.4 2026 149889.4
2027 439820.152 2027 155955.2 2027 155955.2
2028 458590.548 2028 162021 2028 162021

harga konsentrat nilai penjualan =

x x2 y xy
2012 -2 4 150000 -300000 rencana penjualan * harga
2013 -1 1 151500 -151500 2019 Rp19227002853.150
2014 0 0 153000 0 2020 Rp18386142210.000
2015 1 1 154500 154500 2021 Rp19548140523.750
2016 2 4 156000 312000 2022 Rp20728336200.000
5 0 10 765000 15000 2023 Rp21926729238.750
2024 Rp23143319640.000
a 153000 y=a+bX 2025 Rp24378107403.750
b 1500 2026 Rp25631092530.000
2027 Rp26902275018.750
2019 160500 5 2028 Rp28191654870.000
2020 162000 6
2021 163500 7
2022 165000 8
2023 166500 9
2024 168000 10
2025 169500 11
2026 171000 12
2027 172500 13
2028 174000 14
x2 y xy
4 60000 -120000
1 70000 -70000
0 75000 0
1 85000 85000
4 90000 180000
10 380000 75000

98500
106000
113500
121000
128500
136000
143500
151000
158500
166000
173500
181000

x2 y xy
3600000000 120000 7200000000
4900000000 142000 9940000000
5625000000 150000 11250000000
7225000000 175000 14875000000
8100000000 180000 16200000000
29450000000 767000 59465000000

2850000000 -3000
2850000000 2.057894737

160,500,000 2.2204E+13
162,000 39852857790
163,500 42745359476
165,000 45684163800
166,500 48669270761
168,000,000 5.17007E+13
169,500 54778392596
171,000 57902407470
172,500 61072724981
174,000 64289345130
kapasitas x 60%
148892.515365
 Proyeksi Produksi Ingot Timah
Tahun x x2 y (konsentrat) xy
2012 -2 4 60000 -120000
2013 -1 1 70000 -70000
2014 0 0 75000 0
2015 1 1 85000 85000
2016 2 4 90000 180000
5 ∑ 0 10 380000 75000
Tahun x x2 Y=76000+7500x xy
2017 3 9 98500 295500
2018 4 16 106000 424000
2019 5 25 113500 567500
2020 6 36 121000 726000
2021 7 49 128500 899500
2022 8 64 136000 1088000
2023 9 81 143500 1291500
2024 10 100 151000 1510000
2025 11 121 158500 1743500
2026 12 144 166000 1992000
2027 13 169 173500 2255500
2028 14 196 181000 2534000
∑ 102 1010 1677000 15327000

Proyeksi Permintaan Konsentrat P.Timah

Tahun x x2 y xy
2013 -3 9 210000 -630000 a 241250
2014 -1 1 225000 -225000 b 10750
2015 1 1 260000 260000 y= 241250+10750x
2016 3 9 270000 810000
4 0 20 965000 215000
Tahun x x2 y= 241250+10750x xy
2017 5 25 295000 1475000
2018 7 49 316500 2215500
2019 9 81 338000 3042000
2020 11 121 359500 3954500
2021 13 169 381000 4953000
2022 15 225 402500 6037500
2023 17 289 424000 7208000
2024 19 361 445500 8464500
2025 21 441 467000 9807000
2026 23 529 488500 11235500
2027 25 625 510000 12750000
2028 27 729 531500 14350500

Proyeksi Penjualan Konsentrat P.Timah

Tahun x x2 y xy
2012 60000 3600000000 120000 7200000000
2013 70000 4900000000 142000 9940000000
2014 75000 5625000000 150000 11250000000
2015 85000 7225000000 175000 14875000000
2016 90000 8100000000 180000 16200000000
5 ∑ 380000 29450000000 767000 59465000000
∑ (x)2 1.444E+11
Tahun Y= -3000+2,057895x
2017 199702.6575
2018 215136.87
2019 230571.0825
2020 246005.295
2021 261439.5075
2022 276873.72
2023 292307.9325
2024 307742.145
2025 323176.3575
2026 338610.57
2027 354044.7825
2028 369478.995
∑ 3415089.915
a 76000
b 7500
Y= a+bx
Y=76000+7500x

a= [ ∑Y(∑X² ) – (∑X)(∑XY) ] / [ n∑X² - (∑X)² ]

a= [ ∑Y(∑X² ) – -8.55E+12 2850000000 -3000
b= [ n∑XY – (∑X)(∑Y) ] / [ n∑X² - (∑X)² ]
b 5865000000 2.057895
Y= a+bx
Y= -3000+2,057895x
1. PERHITUNGAN JUMLAH DANA INVESTASI
Kapasitas Produksi 20,000 369478.995
Specific Inv. Cost (USD) 700
Harga Alat Total (Rp) 189,000,000,000 4843556
Luas Tanah (m2) 2,500 174,069,400.00
Harga Tanah/m2 1,000,000 1000000
Total Harga Tanah 2,500,000,000 174069400000000
Aktiva Tetap Langsung (Rp) 191,500,000,000
Aktiva Tetap Tak Langsung 47,875,000,000
Total Aktiva Tetap 239,375,000,000
Modal Kerja 59,843,750,000
Dana Investasi 299,218,750,000
 Alat Harga 1 Alat (USD) Total Harga (USD)
4 Jig 40000 160000
Thickener 93000 93000
Rotary Dryer 66200 66200
Pump QI 150 1989 1989
Pump QI 200 2367 2367
5 Conveyor 904000 4520000
4843556
1. PERHITUNGAN JUMLAH DANA INVESTASI
Harga Alat Total (IDR) 6808806000
Luas Tanah (m2) 3,000.00
Harga Tanah/m2 (IDR) 1,000,000
Total Harga Tanah (IDR) 3000000000
ATL (IDR) 9,808,806,000
ATTL (IDR) 2452201500
Total Aktiva Tetap 12,261,007,500
Modal Kerja 3065251875
Kebutuhan Dana Investasi 15,326,259,375

2. PERHITUNGAN BIAYA PRODUKSI

Indeks Konsumsi Unit/ton Unit
Konsentrat
Pasir 2 ton
Air 0.5 m3
Listrik 40 KWh
2.1 Biaya Variabel Produksi
Harga IDR/Unit
Tahun Rencana Produksi (ton)
Pasir
2019 138342.6495 82,400
2020 246005.295 83,200
2021 261439.5075 84,800
2022 276873.72 85,600
2023 292307.9325 86,400
2024 307742.145 87,200
2025 323176.3575 88,000
2026 338610.57 88,800
2027 354044.7825 89,600
2028 369478.995 90,400

2.2 Biaya Tetap

2,019
Depresiasi 680880600 680880600
Amortisasi 490440300 490440300
Total 1171320900 1171320900
2.3 Biaya Overhead
10% x Biaya Variabel 2,280,467,902,887.90
Total Biaya Produksi 25,086,318,252,666.90

2.4 Biaya Usaha (IDR)

Nilai Produksi 22,203,995,244,750
Biaya Usaha 177631961958

2.5 Biaya Lain-Lain (IDR)

DER 60/40
Pinjaman 3065251875
 KMK 1839151125
KI 1226100750
Bunga KMK 239089646.25
Cicilan Pokok KI
Bunga KI 147132090
Total Biaya Lain-Lain 386221736.25

2.6 Perhitungan Laba-Rugi

Nilai Produksi 22,203,995,244,750
Total Biaya Produksi 25086318252666.9
Laba Kotor -2,882,323,007,917
Biaya Usaha
Laba Usaha
Biaya Lain-lain
Laba Sebelum Pajak
Pajak
Laba Bersih
 Jumlah Alat
4 Jig
1 Thickener
1 Rotary Dryer
1 Pump QI 150
1 Pump QI 200
2 Conveyor

Harga IDR/Unit Biaya IDR/ton Konsentrat

Air Listrik Pasir
4,000 1,000 164800
4,000 1,000 166400
4,080 1,040 169600
4,080 1,040 171200
4,080 1,040 172800
4,080 1,040 174400
4,080 1,040 176000
4,160 1,080 177600
4,160 1,080 179200
4,160 1,080 180800

T
2,020 2,021 2,022
680880600 680880600 680880600
490440300 490440300 490440300
1171320900 1171320900 1171320900

4,094,561,331,039.00 4,435,154,969,210.73 4,741,286,363,314.08

45,041,345,962,329.00 48,787,875,982,218.00 52,155,321,317,354.90

39,852,857,790 42,745,359,476 45,684,163,800

318822862.32 341962875.808 365473310.4
239089646.25 239089646.25 239089646.25

147132090 147132090 147132090

386221736.25 386221736.25 386221736.25

39,852,857,790 42,745,359,476 45,684,163,800

45041345962329 48787875982218 52155321317354.9
-45,001,493,104,539 -48,745,130,622,742 -52,109,637,153,555
 Harga Alat (USD) Total Harga (USD)
40,000 160000
93,000 93000
66,200 66200
1,989 1989
2,367 2367
90,400 180800
504356

Biaya IDR/ton Konsentrat Biaya x Rencana Produksi

Air Listrik Pasir
2000 40000 22798868637600
2000 40000 40935281088000
2040 41600 44340140472000
2040 41600 47400780864000
2040 41600 50510810736000
2040 41600 53670230088000
2040 41600 56879038920000
2080 43200 60137237232000
2080 43200 63444825024000
2080 43200 66801802296000

Tahun
2,023 2,024 2,025
680880600 680880600 680880600
490440300
1,171,320,900.00 680880600 680880600

5,052,356,705,417.43 5,368,365,995,520.78 5,689,314,233,624.13

55,577,095,080,491.70 59,052,706,831,328.60 62,583,137,450,465.40

48,669,270,761 51,700,680,360,000 54,778,392,596

389354166.088 413605442880 438227140.768
239089646.25 239089646.25 239089646.25
408700250 408700250 408700250
98088060 49044030 0
745877956.25 696833926.25 647789896.25

48,669,270,761 51,700,680,360,000 54,778,392,596

55577095080491.7 59052706831328.6 62583137450465.4
-55,528,425,809,731 -7,352,026,471,329 -62,528,359,057,870
Biaya x Rencana Produksi
Total Biaya Variabel
Air Listrik
276685299 5533705980 22,804,679,028,879.00
492010590 9840211800 40,945,613,310,390.00
533336595.3 10875883512 44,351,549,692,107.30
564822388.8 11517946752 47,412,863,633,140.80
596308182.3 12160009992 50,523,567,054,174.30
627793975.8 12802073232 53,683,659,955,207.80
659279769.3 13444136472 56,893,142,336,241.30
704309985.6 14627976624 60,152,569,518,609.60
736413147.6 15294734604 63,460,856,171,751.60
768516309.6 15961492584 66,818,532,304,893.60

2,026 2,027 2,028

680880600 680880600 680880600

680880600 680880600 680880600

6,015,256,951,860.96 6,346,085,617,175.16 6,681,853,230,489.36

66,168,507,351,070.60 69,807,622,669,526.80 73,501,066,415,983.00

57,902,407,470 61,072,724,981 64,289,345,130

463219259.76 488581799.848 514314761.04
239089646.25 239089646.25 239089646.25

465025743 465025743 465025743

57,902,407,470 61,072,724,981 64,289,345,130

66168507351070.6 69807622669526.8 73501066415983
-66,110,604,943,601 -69,746,549,944,546 -73,436,777,070,853