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1.

Model Pertumbuhan Seragam


Masa sekarang
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 10 60 80 50 200 310 1.55
2 80 50 150 50 330 230 0.70
3 20 150 40 50 260 440 1.69
4 100 90 60 20 270 640 2.37
dᵈ 210 350 330 170 1060
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.95 1.26 0.79 3.00 1.53

Masa yang akan datang


Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 15 92 122 76 306 310 1
2 122 76 229 76 504 230 0
3 31 229 61 76 397 440 1
4 153 138 92 31 413 640 2
dᵈ 321 535 504 260 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1 1 1 2 1

2. Model Pertumbuhan Rata - Rata


Masa sekarang
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 10 60 80 50 200 310 1.55
2 80 50 150 50 330 230 0.70
3 20 150 40 50 260 440 1.69
4 100 90 60 20 270 640 2.37
dᵈ 210 350 330 170 1060
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.95 1.26 0.79 3.00 1.53

Masa yang akan datang iterasi : 1


Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 17.511905 84.214286 93.515152 113.75 308.991342 310 1.00
2 105.97403 48.852814 111.36364 92.424242 358.614719 230 0.64
3 36.446886 221.20879 49.60373 117.30769 424.5671 440 1.04
4 216.13757 163.2381 94.747475 53.703704 527.82684 640 1.21
dᵈ 376.07038 517.51399 349.22999 377.18564 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.09 0.85 0.74 1.35 1.00

Iterasi 2
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 18.330462 78.04487 81.720993 133.96245 312.058773 310 0.99
2 91.751161 36.433828 77.166752 92.122763 297.474504 230 0.77
3 38.753449 208.66275 44.168271 140.0929 431.677365 440 1.02
4 248.85434 168.35866 92.711063 68.865285 578.789357 640 1.11
dᵈ 397.68942 491.50011 295.76708 435.04339 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.03 0.90 0.88 1.17 1.00

Iterasi 3
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 18.553708 73.698596 76.510165 145.0612 313.823669 310 0.99
2 82.765547 30.39299 63.749214 89.611144 266.518895 230 0.86
3 39.72684 199.74223 41.923416 153.51216 434.904649 440 1.01
4 265.86498 168.44073 92.007685 78.439391 604.752787 640 1.06
dᵈ 406.91108 472.27455 274.19048 466.6239 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.01 0.93 0.95 1.09 1.00

Iterasi 4
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 18.511099 70.731392 74.064203 150.91973 314.226422 310 0.99
2 77.409348 27.272233 57.732057 87.63681 250.050449 230 0.92
3 40.110346 194.08728 41.08415 161.54647 436.82825 440 1.01
4 274.62189 167.5939 92.308071 84.371017 618.894879 640 1.03
dᵈ 410.65268 459.68481 265.18848 484.47403 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.00 0.96 0.98 1.05 1.00

Iterasi 5
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 18.371899 68.741271 72.841569 153.8806 313.835344 310 0.99
2 74.244274 25.594881 54.852646 86.431909 241.12371 230 0.95
3 40.224089 190.63626 40.831392 166.38874 438.080478 440 1.00
4 279.08613 166.8631 92.978968 88.032268 626.960469 640 1.02
dᵈ 411.92639 451.83551 261.50457 494.73352 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.00 0.97 0.99 1.03 1.00

Iterasi 6
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 18.21668 67.420917 72.186927 155.31455 313.139073 310 0.99
2 72.358123 24.66928 53.429595 85.771794 236.228791 230 0.97
3 40.218158 188.55712 40.803384 169.32048 438.899141 440 1.00
4 281.33577 166.41288 93.678378 90.305965 631.732995 640 1.01
dᵈ 412.12873 447.0602 260.09828 500.71279 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 0.99 0.98 1.00 1.02 1.00
Iterasi 7
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 18.078327 66.550613 71.811468 155.97646 312.416865 310 0.99
2 71.217295 24.14925 52.715094 85.436442 233.51808 230 0.98
3 40.164729 187.3047 40.846847 171.1031 439.419376 440 1.00
4 282.45 166.1877 94.273627 91.734345 634.645678 640 1.01
dᵈ 411.91035 444.19226 259.64704 504.25035 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.00

Iterasi 8
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 17.966478 65.979143 71.582511 156.26239 311.790522 310 0.99
2 70.515685 23.853379 52.353833 85.279957 232.002855 230 0.99
3 40.098127 186.54456 40.901597 172.19164 439.735919 440 1.00
4 282.98651 166.10451 94.735385 92.644308 636.470704 640 1.01
dᵈ 411.5668 442.48159 259.57333 506.37829 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.01 1.00

Iterasi 9
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 18 66 71 156 311 310 1
2 70 24 52 85 231 230 1
3 40 186 41 173 440 440 1
4 283 166 95 93 638 640 1
dᵈ 411 441 260 508 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1 1 1 1 1
3. Model Detroit
Masa sekarang
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 10 60 80 50 200 310 1.55
2 80 50 150 50 330 230 0.70
3 20 150 40 50 260 440 1.69
4 100 90 60 20 270 640 2.37
dᵈ 210 350 330 170 1060
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.95 1.26 0.79 3.00 1.53

Masa yang akan datang iterasi : 1


Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 19.800999 76.499471 63.925178 152.12963 312.35528 310 0.99
2 71.229402 28.665491 53.895861 68.406285 222.19704 230 1.04
3 43.237914 208.80749 34.897119 166.09687 453.03939 440 0.97
4 302.81098 175.48266 73.3192 93.058985 644.67183 640 0.99
dᵈ 437.0793 489.45511 226.03736 479.69177 1632.2635
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 0.94 0.90 1.15 1.06 0.99

Iterasi 2
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 18.573718 68.767993 73.528072 161.73717 322.60695 310 0.96
2 69.686355 26.875963 64.656676 75.852299 237.07129 230 0.97
3 39.68993 183.68676 39.28029 172.807 435.46398 440 1.01
4 284.12653 157.79403 84.358217 98.96526 625.24403 640 1.02
dᵈ 412.07653 437.12474 261.82325 509.36172 1620.3863
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 0.99 1.01 0.99 1.00 1.00

Iterasi 3
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 17.762182 66.531168 70.179428 155.6486 310.12138 310 1.00
2 67.283121 26.25208 62.306149 73.699582 229.54093 230 1.00
3 39.910786 186.8655 39.422466 174.86753 441.06628 440 1.00
4 289.43545 162.61919 85.768236 101.452 639.27487 640 1.00
dᵈ 414.39153 442.26794 257.67628 505.6677 1620.0035
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 0.99 0.99 1.01 1.01 1.00

Iterasi 4
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 18 66 71 157 311 310 1
2 67 26 63 74 230 230 1
3 39 185 40 176 440 440 1
4 287 162 87 102 638 640 1
dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1 1 1 1 1
4. Model Furness
Masa sekarang
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 10 60 80 50 200 310 1.55
2 80 50 150 50 330 230 0.70
3 20 150 40 50 260 440 1.69
4 100 90 60 20 270 640 2.37
dᵈ 210 350 330 170 1060
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.95 1.26 0.79 3.00 1.53

Masa yang akan datang iterasi : 1


Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 15.5 93 124 77.5 310 310 1.00
2 55.757576 34.848485 104.54545 34.848485 230 230 1.00
3 33.846154 253.84615 67.692308 84.615385 440 440 1.00
4 237.03704 213.33333 142.22222 47.407407 640 640 1.00
dᵈ 342.14077 595.02797 438.45998 244.37128 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.20 0.74 0.59 2.09 1.00

Iterasi 2
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 18.574226 68.769876 73.530085 161.74159 322.61578 310 0.96
2 66.816376 25.769097 61.99384 72.728381 227.30769 230 1.01
3 40.559104 187.70934 40.140493 176.59132 445.00026 440 0.99
4 284.05029 157.75169 84.335582 98.938705 625.07627 640 1.02
dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Iterasi 3
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 17.847887 66.080653 70.654716 155.41674 310 310 1.00
2 67.607771 26.074314 62.728115 73.589799 230 230 1.00
3 40.103361 185.60014 39.689454 174.60705 440 440 1.00
4 290.83201 161.51802 86.349098 101.30087 640 640 1.00
dᵈ 416.39103 439.27312 259.42138 504.91446 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.00

Iterasi 4
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 17.573947 66.189998 70.812305 156.98211 311.55836 310 0.99
2 66.570084 26.11746 62.868025 74.331002 229.88657 230 1.00
3 39.48783 185.90726 39.777977 176.3657 441.53876 440 1.00
4 286.36814 161.78529 86.541693 102.32118 637.0163 640 1.00
dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00

Iterasi 5
Zona 1 2 3 4 oᵢ Oᵢ Eᵢ
1 17 66 70 156 310 310 1
2 67 26 63 74 230 230 1
3 39 185 40 176 440 440 1
4 288 163 87 103 640 640 1
dᵈ 411 440 260 509 1620
Dᵈ 410 440 260 510 1620
Eᵈ 1 1 1 1 1

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