Jumlah Penduduk Makassar 2003 - 2010

A.
PENDUDUK
Jumlah Penduduk Makassar 2003 - 2010

Jumlah Penduduk
No Tahun
(Yi)
1 2003 1160011
2 2004 1179023
3 2005 1193434
4 2006 1223540
5 2007 1235239
6 2008 1253656
7 2009 1272349
8 2010 1339374
Jumlah 9856626
B. PDRB
No Tahun PDRB (Milyar)
1 2003 8837.26
2 2004 9785.33
3 2005 10177.04
4 2006 11341.85
5 2007 12261.35
6 2008 13551.83
7 2009 14798.19
8 2010 16252.45
Jumlah 97005.3
C. Kunjungan kapal Asumsi
Ship Call
Tahun
Tahun Ship Call General Cargo Bag cargo Curah Cair
2003 5393 2003 1079 647 431
2004 4689 2004 891 656 656
2005 4317 2005 604 561 691
2006 5015 2006 903 853 652
2007 5405 2007 892 865 838
2008 5256 2008 841 999 841
2009 5308 2009 1168 849 796
2010 5547 2010 1248 749 1220
D. Muatan barang bongkar dan muat
Bongkar Muat (Ton/m^3)

Tahun
Tahun Bongkar Muat (Ton) General Cargo Bag cargo Curah Cair
2003 8278474 2003 564392 1291336 1480997
2004 8964875 2004 145439 1345953 1678645
2005 9682802 2005 101498 1372531 2057641
2006 9737071 2006 88538 1443437 1857291
2007 9864517 2007 82935 1341066 1599840
2008 10147364 2008 71099 1287304 1843281
2009 12284400 2009 65044 1216288 2438152
2010 14374965 2010 126637 1176024 2954828
E. Penumpang (turun dan naik)
Tahun Arus Penumpang

2003 756.99
2004 1119.495
2005 1144.51
2006 1311.956
2007 794.283
2008 895.976
2009 904.824
2010 688.15
D. Petikemas
Tahun Teus
2003 232.154
2004 249.844
2005 244.199
2006 256.071
2007 302.05
2008 354.228
2009 373.482
2010 447.377
Asumsi
Ship Call 100%
Curah Kering Petikemas Lain-lain Penumpang
539 1888 404 404 5393
516 1407 305 258 4689
518 1166 432 345 4317
652 1204 391 361 5015
649 1243 459 459 5405
683 946 473 473 5256
743 902 414 435 5308
666 888 444 333 5547
Bongkar Muat (Ton/m^3)

Curah Kering Petikemas Lain-lain 8.5
1235326 2940535 765888
1789252 3036786 968800
1973294 3112201 1065637
2178446 3303012 866347
2023925 3929704 887047
1496816 4112148 1336716
1603265 5946732 1014919
1615256 6958037 1544183
Karakteristik Kapal
Panjang Lebar Draft Panjang Lebar
Bobot Bobot
Loa (m) (m) (m) (m) (m)
Kapal Penumpang (GRT) Kapal Minyak (lanjutan)
5000 51 10.2 2.9 20000 162 24.9

1000 68 11.9 3.6 30000 185 28.3
2000 88 13.2 4.0 40000 204 30.9
3000 99 14.7 4.5 50000 219 33.1
5000 120 16.9 5.2 60000 232 35.0
8000 142 19.2 5.8 70000 244 36.7
10000 154 20.9 6.2 80000 255 38.3
15000 179 22.8 6.8 Kapal Barang Curah (DWT)
20000 198 24.7 7.5 10000 140 18.7

30000 230 27.5 8.5 15000 157 21.5
Kapal Barang (DWT) 20000 170 23.7
700 58 9.7 3.7 30000 192 27.3

1000 64 10.4 4.2 40000 208 30.2
2000 81 12.7 4.9 50000 222 32.6
3000 92 14.2 5.7 70000 244 37.8
5000 109 16.4 6.8 90000 250 38.5
8000 126 18.7 8.0 100000 275 42.0
10000 137 19.9 8.5 150000 313 44.5
15000 153 22.3 9.3 Kapal Ferry (DWT)
20000 177 23.4 10.0 1000 73 14.3

30000 186 27.1 10.9 2000 90 16.2
40000 201 29.4 11.7 3000 113 18.9
50000 216 31.5 12.4 4000 127 20.2
Kapal Minyak (DWT) 6000 138 22.4
700 50 8.5 3.7 8000 155 21.8

1000 61 9.8 3.7 10000 170 25.4
2000 77 12.2 5.0 13000 188 27.1
3000 88 13.8 5.6 Kapal Peti Kemas (DWT)
5000 104 16.2 6.5 20000 201 27.1

10000 130 20.1 8.0 30000 237 30.7
150000 148 22.8 9.0 40000 263 33.5
- - - - 50000 280 35.8
Tinggi Gelombang Kritis di Pelabuhan

Tinggi gelombang kritis
Ukuran Kapal untuk bongkar muat (H )
1/3
Kapal Kecil 0,3 m
Kapal Sedang
0,5 m
dan Besar
Kapal Sangat
0,7 – 1,5 m
Besar
Draft
(m)
ak (lanjutan)
9.8
10.9 Kapal Besar di Kelasnya
Kapal
Kapal Kapal Kapal Kapal Kapal Kapal Peti
11.8 Barang
Penumpa Barang Minyak Minyak Ferry Kemas
12.7 Curah
ng (GRT) (DWT) (DWT) (lanjutan) (DWT) (DWT) (DWT)
13.6 230 216 148 255 313 188 280
14.3
14.9
g Curah (DWT)
8.1
9.0
9.8
10.6
11.4
11.9
13.3
14.5
16.1
18.0
erry (DWT)
3.7
4.3
4.9
5.3
5.9
6.1
6.5
6.7
Kemas (DWT)
10.6
11.6
12.4
13.0
rata2 = 148
A. Proyeksi Penduduk
Jumlah Penduduk
No Tahun Xi Xi . Yi Xi2
(Yi)
1 2003 1160011 1 1160011 1
2 2004 1179023 2 2358046 4
3 2005 1193434 3 3580302 9
4 2006 1223540 4 4894160 16
5 2007 1235239 5 6176195 25
6 2008 1253656 6 7521936 36
7 2009 1272349 7 8906443 49
8 2010 1339374 8 10714992 64
Jumlah 9856626 36 45312085 204
→ Model Linear [ Y =(a.x)+b ]

Dimana :
x = Jumlah pasang observasi atau pengukuran
a dan b = Nilai koefisien, diperoleh dengan trade line linear
a= 22792.095 b= 1129513.821
Proyeksi pendududuk
No Tahun Jumlah penduduk
Linear Pertumbuhan Rata-rata
1 2003 1160011
2 2004 1179023
3 2005 1193434
4 2006 1223540
5 2007 1235239
6 2008 1253656
7 2009 1272349
8 2010 1339374
9 2011 1334642.676 1367290.171642 1350966.42
10 2012 1357434.771 1395788.191698 1376611.48
11 2013 1380226.866 1424880.187462 1402553.53
12 2014 1403018.961 1454578.538992 1428798.75
13 2015 1425811.056 1484895.884379 1455353.47
14 2016 1448603.151 1515845.125128 1482224.14
15 2017 1471395.246 1547439.431643 1509417.34
16 2018 1494187.341 1579692.248839 1536939.79
17 2019 1516979.436 1612617.301856 1564798.37
18 2020 1539771.531 1646228.601904 1593000.07
19 2021 1562563.626 1680540.452225 1621552.04
20 2022 1585355.721 1715567.454179 1650461.59
21 2023 1608147.816 1751324.513457 1679736.16
22 2024 1630939.911 1787826.846425 1709383.38
23 2025 1653732.006 1825089.986601 1739411
24 2026 1676524.101 1863129.791262 1769826.95
25 2027 1699316.196 1901962.448192 1800639.32
26 2028 1722108.291 1941604.482575 1831856.39
27 2029 1744900.386 1982072.764022 1863486.58
28 2030 1767692.481 2023384.513755 1895538.5
29 2031 1790484.576 2065557.31193 1928020.94
30 2032 1813276.671 2108609.105122 1960942.89
31 2033 1836068.766 2152558.213962 1994313.49
32 2034 1858860.861 2197423.340932 2028142.1
33 2035 1881652.956 2243223.578322 2062438.27
B. Proyeksi PDRB
PDRB (Milyar)
No Tahun Xi Xi . Yi Xi2
(Yi)
1 2003 8837.26 1 8837.26 1
2 2004 9785.33 2 19570.66 4
3 2005 10177.04 3 30531.12 9
4 2006 11341.85 4 45367.4 16
5 2007 12261.35 5 61306.75 25
6 2008 13551.83 6 81310.98 36
7 2009 14798.19 7 103587.33 49
8 2010 16252.45 8 130019.6 64
Jumlah 97005.3 36 480531.1 204
Dimana :
x = Jumlah pasang observasi atau pengukuran
a dan b = Nilai koefisien, diperoleh dengan trade line linear
a= 1047.8 b= 7410.6
Proyeksi PDRB
No Tahun PDRB (Milyar)
Linear Pertumbuhan Rata-rata
1 2003 8837.26
2 2004 9785.33
3 2005 10177.04
4 2006 11341.85
5 2007 12261.35
6 2008 13551.83
7 2009 14798.19
8 2010 16252.45
9 2011 16840.8 17848.49458446 17344.6473
10 2012 17888.6 19601.27604956 18744.938
11 2013 18936.4 21526.18647767 20231.2932
12 2014 19984.2 23640.12950484 21812.1648
13 2015 21032 25961.66876029 23496.8344
14 2016 22079.8 28511.19088332 25295.4954
15 2017 23127.6 31311.08454894 27219.3423
16 2018 24175.4 34385.93707444 29280.6685
17 2019 25223.2 37762.75033333 31492.9752
18 2020 26271 41471.1778728 33871.0889
19 2021 27318.8 45543.78531692 36431.2927
20 2022 28366.6 50016.33634221 39191.4682
21 2023 29414.4 54928.10673706 42171.2534
22 2024 30462.2 60322.22930273 45392.2147
23 2025 31510 66246.0726249 48878.0363
24 2026 32557.8 72751.6570417 52654.7285
25 2027 33605.6 79896.11146132 56750.8557
26 2028 34653.4 87742.17504051 61197.7875
27 2029 35701.2 96358.74812964 66029.9741
28 2030 36749 105821.4973224 71285.2487
29 2031 37796.8 116213.5199234 77005.16
30 2032 38844.6 127626.0736685 83235.3368
31 2033 39892.4 140159.3781066 90025.8891
32 2034 40940.2 153923.4946791 97431.8473
33 2035 41988 169039.2932267 105513.647
34 2036 43035.8 185639.5134098 114337.657
35 2037 44083.6 203869.9303648 123976.765
Grafik Pertumbuhan Penduduk
1400000
1350000
1300000 f(x) = 22792.0952380952x + 1129513.82142857

R² = 0.9410647788
Jumlah Penduduk
1250000
1200000
1150000 Column D
Linear (Column
1100000 D)
1050000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jumlah Tahun
Rata-rata
Pertumbuhan/Thn
2500000
0.0163894998
0.012222832
0.0252263636 2000000
0.0095615999
0.0149096653
0.0149107889
0.0526781567 1500000
1000000 Jumlah penduduk
Proyeksi pendududuk Linear
500000 Pertumbuhan
Rata-rata
0
0 5 10 15 20 25
Grafik Pertumbuhan PDRB
18000
16000
f(x) = 1047.7916666667x + 7410.6
14000 R² = 0.9825911402
12000
Jumlah PDRB
10000
8000
6000 Col umn D
4000 Li near
(Col umn
2000 D)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tahun
Rata-rata
Pertumbuhan/Thn
0.1072809898 Proyeksi Jumlah PDRB

0.0400303311 140000
0.1144546941
0.0810714301
120000
0.1052477908
0.0919698668
100000
0.0982728293
Jumlah PDRB
80000
60000
40000
20000
80000
Jumlah PD
60000
40000
20000
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Tahun
Jumlah penduduk
Proyeksi pendududuk Linear
Pertumbuhan
Rata-rata
20 25 30
ol umn D
near
Col umn
)
8 9
ah PDRB
Li near
PDRB (Mi l yar)
Pertumbuha n
Li near
PDRB (Mi l yar)
Pertumbuha n
Rata-rata
25 30 35
HINTERLAND PROPINSI SULAWESI SELATAN (PELABUHAN MAKASSAR)
→ Tahap 1
Tahun (Y) SHIPP CALL X1 (BM) X2(PDRB) X3 (PENDUDUK)

2003 1079 564392 8837 1160011
2004 891 145439 9785 1179023
2005 604 101498 10177 1193434
2006 903 88538 11342 1223540
2007 892 82935 12261 1235239
2008 841 71099 13552 1253656
2009 1168 65044 14798 1272349
2010 1248 126637 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X1 = BM
X2 = PDRB (Milyar Rupiah)
X3 = Jumlah penduduk (Juta Orang)
Y1(Call Kapal) X1 (BM) X2 (PDRB) X3 (Jml Penduduk)

Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X1(BM) 0.2507672312 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.5593140005 -0.5453736366 1
X3(JUMLAH PENDUDUK) 0.5560272669 -0.5200483996 0.9824508662 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8680731446
R Square 0.7535509844
Adjusted R Square 0.5687142228
Standard Error 134.4010892744
Observations 8
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 3 220928.183744935 73642.7279149782 4.0768458483 0.10404536
Residual 4 72254.6111925654 18063.6527981413
Total 7 293182.7949375
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 442.9879494936 4590.8326553746 0.0964940312 0.9277695195 -12303.206905
X Variable 1 0.0009720327 0.000363947 2.6708085274 0.0557590459 -3.844611E-05
X Variable 2 0.0918602387 0.1077358462 0.852643219 0.4419021711 -0.2072624242
X Variable 3 -0.0006128233 0.004756537 -0.1288381228 0.9037041173 -0.0138190872
Tahap 2
TAHUN Y1(Call Kapal) X2(PDRB) X3 (PENDUDUK)
2003 1078.6 8837 1160011
2004 890.91 9785 1179023
2005 604.38 10177 1193434
2006 902.7 11342 1223540
2007 891.825 12261 1235239
2008 840.96 13552 1253656
2009 1167.76 14798 1272349
2010 1248.075 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X2 = PDRB
Y1(Call Kapal) X2 (PDRB) X3 (Jml Penduduk)
Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.5593140005 1
X3(JUMLAH PENDUDUK) 0.5560272669 0.9824508662 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.5604081854
R Square 0.3140573342
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 92076.2070254379 46038.103512719 1.1446194774 0.3896902521
Residual 5 201106.587912062 40221.3175824124
Total 7 293182.7949375

Intercept -228.4149905003 6840.1359754021 -0.0333933406 0.9746529817 -17811.544276
X Variable 1 0.0296364657 0.1569588919 0.1888167365 0.8576612866 -0.3738392107
X Variable 2 0.0006673314 0.0070615486 0.0945021275 0.9283805963 -0.0174849571
Tanda yang TAHAP
Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 442.9879494936 -228.4149905003
X1 + 0.0009720327 0.0296364657
X2 + 0.0918602387 0.0006673314
X3 + -0.0006128233
R Square 0.7535509844 0.3140573342
Significan F 0.10404536 0.3896902521
Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
13189.1828 -12303.206905 13189.182804
0.0019825116 -3.844611E-05 0.0019825116
0.390982902 -0.2072624242 0.3909829016
0.012593441 -0.0138190872 0.0125934406
17354.71429 -17811.544276 17354.714295
0.4331121422 -0.3738392107 0.4331121422
0.01881962 -0.0174849571 0.0188196199
PDRB Penduduk
Tahun Call Kapal
(Milyar) (jiwa)
2003 1079 8837 1160011
2004 891 9785 1179023
2005 604 10177 1193434
2006 903 11342 1223540
2007 892 12261 1235239
2008 841 13552 1253656
2009 1168 14798 1272349
2010 1248 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 442.9879494936 -228.4149905
X1 + 0.0009720327 0.0296364657
X2 + 0.0918602387 0.0006673314
X3 + -0.0006128233 0
R Square 0.7535509844 0.3140573342
Significan F 0.10404536 0.3896902521
Call Kapal = Intercept + (Xi x Penduduk) + (X2 x PDRB)

Call Kapal = Intercept + (Xi x Penduduk) Lihat
Proyeksi Call Kapal
Bongkat
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Muat Tahap 2
2011 1334643 17345 3334 39326
2012 1357435 18745 3484 40001
2013 1380227 20231 3643 40677
2014 1403019 21812 3810 41352
2015 1425811 23497 3987 42028
2016 1448603 25295 4175 42703
2017 1471395 27219 4374 43379
2018 1494187 29281 4585 44054
2019 1516979 31493 4810 44729
2020 1539772 33871 5051 45405
2021 1562564 36431 5308 46080
2022 1585356 39191 5584 46756
2023 1608148 42171 5880 47431
2024 1630940 45392 6198 48107
2025 1653732 48878 6540 48782
2026 1676524 52655 6910 49458
2027 1699316 56751 7308 50133
2028 1722108 61198 7739 50809
2029 1744900 66030 8205 51484
2030 1767692 71285 8710 52160
2031 1790485 77005 9257 52835
2032 1813277 83235 9852 53511
2033 1836069 90026 10498 54186
2034 1858861 97432 11200 54862
2035 1881653 105514 11965 55537
→ Tahap 1
Tahun Y (BM) X1(PDRB) X2 (PENDUDUK)

2003 564392 8837 1160011
2004 145439 9785 1179023
2005 101498 10177 1193434
2006 88538 11342 1223540
2007 82935 12261 1235239
2008 71099 13552 1253656
2009 65044 14798 1272349
2010 126637 16252 1339374
Y = BM
Y (BM) X1 (PDRB) X2 (Jml Penduduk)

Y(BM) 1
X2 (PDRB) -0.5453736366 1
X3(JUMLAH PENDUDUK) -0.5200483996 -0.5200483996 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.5518755393
R Square 0.3045666109
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 59724986317.7417 29862493158.8709 1.0948806011 0.4033098654
Residual 5 136373286405.758 27274657281.1517
Total 7 196098272723.5

Intercept -690720.505537158 5632695.05193109 -0.1226270017 0.907178929 -15170024.086
X Variable 1 -64.01407169 129.2520466197 -0.4952654396 0.641408164 -396.26703483
X Variable 2 1.3169871996 5.8150232496 0.2264801262 0.8297957466 -13.631005934
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + -690720.505537158
X1 + -64.01407169
X2 + 1.3169871996
R Square 0.3045666109
Significan F 0.4033098654
13788583.08 -15170024.086 13788583.075
268.2388914 -396.26703483 268.23889145
16.26498033 -13.631005934 16.264980333
BONGKAR PDRB Penduduk

Tahun
MUAT (Milyar) (jiwa)
2003 564392 8837 1160011
2004 145439 9785 1179023
2005 101498 10177 1193434
2006 88538 11342 1223540
2007 82935 12261 1235239
2008 71099 13552 1253656
2009 65044 14798 1272349
2010 126637 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

VARIABEL
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + -690720.5055
X1 + -64.0141
X2 + 1.3170
R Square 0.3045666109

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Tahun Penduduk PDRB Bongkar Muat
2011 1334643 17345 -1801022

2012 1357435 18745 -1890660
2013 1380227 20231 -1985808
2014 1403019 21812 -2087006
2015 1425811 23497 -2194849
2016 1448603 25295 -2309988
2017 1471395 27219 -2433141
2018 1494187 29281 -2565095
2019 1516979 31493 -2706714
2020 1539772 33871 -2858947
2021 1562564 36431 -3022836
2022 1585356 39191 -3199526
2023 1608148 42171 -3390274
2024 1630940 45392 -3596461
2025 1653732 48878 -3819603
2026 1676524 52655 -4061364
2027 1699316 56751 -4323574
2028 1722108 61198 -4608240
2029 1744900 66030 -4917568
2030 1767692 71285 -5253980
2031 1790485 77005 -5620134
2032 1813277 83235 -6018953
2033 1836069 90026 -6453644
2034 1858861 97432 -6927730
2035 1881653 105514 -7445079
→ Tahap 1

2003 647 1291336 8837 1160011
2004 656 1345953 9785 1179023
2005 561 1372531 10177 1193434
2006 853 1443437 11342 1223540
2007 865 1341066 12261 1235239
2008 999 1287304 13552 1253656
2009 849 1216288 14798 1272349
2010 749 1176024 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X1 = BM

Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X1(BM) -0.1226599848 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.5629840965 -0.694735044 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.804210111
R Square 0.6467539026
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 3 94645.9930771435 31548.6643590478 2.4411834787 0.204275238
Residual 4 51694.0486197315 12923.5121549329
Total 7 146340.041696875

Intercept 4473.3224349413 3891.059141547 1.1496413373 0.3143534689 -6329.989672
X Variable 1 0.0010859324 0.0007108031 1.527754151 0.201291661 -0.0008875734
X Variable 2 0.1875474059 0.0954158431 1.965579298 0.1207797038 -0.0773694446
X Variable 3 -0.0060035469 0.0040877308 -1.4686747102 0.2158447312 -0.0173529071
Tahap 2
TAHUN Y1(Call Kapal) X2(PDRB) X3 (PENDUDUK)
2003 647.16 8837 1160011
2004 656.46 9785 1179023
2005 561.21 10177 1193434
2006 852.55 11342 1223540
2007 864.8 12261 1235239
2008 998.64 13552 1253656
2009 849.28 14798 1272349
2010 748.845 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X2 = PDRB
Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.5629840965 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.6638011095
R Square 0.4406319129
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 64482.0925137744 32241.0462568872 1.9693289765 0.234015279
Residual 5 81857.9491831006 16371.5898366201
Total 7 146340.041696875

Intercept 4973.2079762782 4363.9726120826 1.13960568 0.306084043 -6244.7407475
X Variable 1 0.1348817635 0.1001389896 1.3469455201 0.2358232585 -0.1225337042
X Variable 2 -0.0047370129 0.0045052327 -1.0514468818 0.3411916858 -0.0163180824
Tanda yang TAHAP
Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 4473.3224349413 4973.2079762782
X1 + 0.0010859324 0.1348817635
X2 + 0.1875474059 -0.0047370129
X3 + -0.0060035469
R Square 0.6467539026 0.4406319129
Significan F 0.204275238 0.234015279
15276.63454 -6329.989672 15276.634542
0.003059438 -0.000887573 0.0030594382
0.452464256 -0.077369445 0.4524642564
0.005345813 -0.017352907 0.0053458134
16191.1567 -6244.740747 16191.1567
0.392297231 -0.122533704 0.3922972312
0.006844057 -0.016318082 0.0068440565
PDRB Penduduk
Tahun Call Kapal
(Milyar) (jiwa)
2003 647 8837 1160011
2004 656 9785 1179023
2005 561 10177 1193434
2006 853 11342 1223540
2007 865 12261 1235239
2008 999 13552 1253656
2009 849 14798 1272349
2010 749 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 4473.3224349413 4973.207976
X1 + 0.0010859324 0.134881763
X2 + 0.1875474059 -0.004737013
X3 + -0.0060035469 0
R Square 0.6467539026 0.440631913
Significan F 0.204275238 0.234015279

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Call Kapal
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1 Tahap 2
2011 1334643 17345 9176 184992
2012 1357435 18745 9463 188066
2013 1380227 20231 9766 191141
2014 1403019 21812 10088 194215
2015 1425811 23497 10428 197289
2016 1448603 25295 10791 200363
2017 1471395 27219 11176 203438
2018 1494187 29281 11587 206512
2019 1516979 31493 12027 209586
2020 1539772 33871 12498 212660
2021 1562564 36431 13003 215735
2022 1585356 39191 13545 218809
2023 1608148 42171 14129 221883
2024 1630940 45392 14758 224957
2025 1653732 48878 15436 228031
2026 1676524 52655 16169 231106
2027 1699316 56751 16962 234180
2028 1722108 61198 17821 237254
2029 1744900 66030 18752 240328
2030 1767692 71285 19762 243403
2031 1790485 77005 20860 246477
2032 1813277 83235 22053 249551
2033 1836069 90026 23351 252625
2034 1858861 97432 24765 255700
2035 1881653 105514 26305 258774
→ Tahap 1

2003 647 8837 1160011
2004 656 9785 1179023
2005 561 10177 1193434
2006 853 11342 1223540
2007 865 12261 1235239
2008 999 13552 1253656
2009 849 14798 1272349
2010 749 16252 1339374
Y = BM

Y(BM) 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.5629840965 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.6638011095
R Square 0.4406319129
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 64482.0925137744 32241.0462568872 1.9693289765 0.234015279
Residual 5 81857.9491831006 16371.5898366201
Total 7 146340.041696875

Intercept 4973.2079762782 4363.9726120826 1.13960568 0.306084043 -6244.7407475
X Variable 1 0.1348817635 0.1001389896 1.3469455201 0.2358232585 -0.1225337042
X Variable 2 -0.0047370129 0.0045052327 -1.0514468818 0.3411916858 -0.0163180824
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + 4973.2079762782
X1 + 0.1348817635
X2 + -0.0047370129
R Square 0.4406319129
16191.1567 -6244.740747 16191.1567
0.392297231 -0.122533704 0.3922972312
0.006844057 -0.016318082 0.0068440565

Tahun
2003 647 8837 1160011
2004 656 9785 1179023
2005 561 10177 1193434
2006 853 11342 1223540
2007 865 12261 1235239
2008 999 13552 1253656
2009 849 14798 1272349
2010 749 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

VARIABEL
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + 4973.2079762782
X1 + 0.1348817635 A
X2 + -0.0047370129 B
R Square 0.4406319129

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Bongkar Muat
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1
2011 1334643 17345 184910
2012 1357435 18745 187978
2013 1380227 20231 191045
2014 1403019 21812 194112
2015 1425811 23497 197178
2016 1448603 25295 200244
2017 1471395 27219 203309
2018 1494187 29281 206373
2019 1516979 31493 209437
2020 1539772 33871 212500
2021 1562564 36431 215562
2022 1585356 39191 218623
2023 1608148 42171 221683
2024 1630940 45392 224742
2025 1653732 48878 227800
2026 1676524 52655 230856
2027 1699316 56751 233911
2028 1722108 61198 236964
2029 1744900 66030 240016
2030 1767692 71285 243065
2031 1790485 77005 246112
2032 1813277 83235 249157
2033 1836069 90026 252199
2034 1858861 97432 255238
2035 1881653 105514 258274
→ Tahap 1

2003 431 1480997 8837 1160011
2004 656 1678645 9785 1179023
2005 691 2057641 10177 1193434
2006 652 1857291 11342 1223540
2007 838 1599840 12261 1235239
2008 841 1843281 13552 1253656
2009 796 2438152 14798 1272349
2010 1220 2954828 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X1 = BM

Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X1(BM) 0.8049828506 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.8907859244 0.8203396338 1
X3(JUMLAH PENDUDUK) 0.9362018402 0.8548236845 0.9824508662 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.9492838234
R Square 0.9011397774
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 3 325050.880133503 108350.293377834 12.1537224125 0.017709487
Residual 4 35659.9532883717 8914.9883220929
Total 7 360710.833421875

Intercept -7113.4983052662 3615.2093722429 -1.9676587364 0.1204922599 -17150.928671
X Variable 1 -2.06685303981643E-05 0.0001431568 -0.1443768813 0.8921850132 -0.0004181355
X Variable 2 -0.0752393801 0.0754396315 -0.9973455401 0.3750421056 -0.2846933758
X Variable 3 0.0071689136 0.0037403887 1.9166226248 0.1277674113 -0.0032160703
Tahap 2
TAHUN Y (Call Kapal) X2(PDRB) X3 (PENDUDUK)
2003 431.44 8837 1160011
2004 656.46 9785 1179023
2005 690.72 10177 1193434
2006 651.95 11342 1223540
2007 837.775 12261 1235239
2008 840.96 13552 1253656
2009 796.2 14798 1272349
2010 1220.34 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X2 = PDRB
Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.8907859244 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
R Square 0.9006245999
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 324865.050020461 162432.525010231 22.6571314109 0.0031131298
Residual 5 35845.7834014136 7169.1566802827
Total 7 360710.833421875

Intercept -6876.2903023783 2887.8233556721 -2.3811325886 0.0630764005 -14299.676562
X Variable 1 -0.0730469959 0.0662661613 -1.1023272576 0.3205297222 -0.2433895864
X Variable 2 0.0069214469 0.0029813011 2.3216195336 0.067916401 -0.0007422316
Tanda yang TAHAP
Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + -7113.4983052662 -6876.2903023783
X1 + -2.0668530398E-05 -0.0730469959
X2 + -0.0752393801 0.0069214469
X3 + 0.0071689136
R Square 0.9011397774 0.9006245999
Significan F 0.017709487 0.0031131298
2923.93206 -17150.92867 2923.93206
0.000376798 -0.000418135 0.0003767984
0.134214616 -0.284693376 0.1342146157
0.017553898 -0.00321607 0.0175538975
547.0959575 -14299.67656 547.09595753
0.097295595 -0.243389586 0.0972955947
0.014585125 -0.000742232 0.0145851253
PDRB Penduduk
Tahun Call Kapal
(Milyar) (jiwa)
2003 431 8837 1160011
2004 656 9785 1179023
2005 691 10177 1193434
2006 652 11342 1223540
2007 838 12261 1235239
2008 841 13552 1253656
2009 796 14798 1272349
2010 1220 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + -7113.4983052662 -6876.290302
X1 + -2.06685304E-05 -0.073046996
X2 + -0.0752393801 0.006921447
X3 + 0.0071689136 0
R Square 0.9011397774 0.9006246
Significan F 0.017709487 0.00311313

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Call Kapal
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1 Tahap 2
2011 1334643 17345 -8446 -104368
2012 1357435 18745 -8552 -106033
2013 1380227 20231 -8664 -107698
2014 1403019 21812 -8784 -109363
2015 1425811 23497 -8911 -111028
2016 1448603 25295 -9047 -112692
2017 1471395 27219 -9192 -114357
2018 1494187 29281 -9347 -116022
2019 1516979 31493 -9514 -117687
2020 1539772 33871 -9694 -119352
2021 1562564 36431 -9887 -121017
2022 1585356 39191 -10095 -122682
2023 1608148 42171 -10320 -124347
2024 1630940 45392 -10562 -126012
2025 1653732 48878 -10825 -127676
2026 1676524 52655 -11110 -129341
2027 1699316 56751 -11419 -131006
2028 1722108 61198 -11754 -132671
2029 1744900 66030 -12118 -134336
2030 1767692 71285 -12513 -136001
2031 1790485 77005 -12944 -137666
2032 1813277 83235 -13414 -139331
2033 1836069 90026 -13925 -140996
2034 1858861 97432 -14483 -142660
2035 1881653 105514 -15091 -144325
→ Tahap 1

2003 1480997 8837 1160011
2004 1678645 9785 1179023
2005 2057641 10177 1193434
2006 1857291 11342 1223540
2007 1599840 12261 1235239
2008 1843281 13552 1253656
2009 2438152 14798 1272349
2010 2954828 16252 1339374
Y = BM

Y(BM) 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.8203396338 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
R Square 0.9006245999
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 324865.050020461 162432.525010231 22.6571314109 0.0031131298
Residual 5 35845.7834014136 7169.1566802827
Total 7 360710.833421875

Intercept -6876.2903023783 2887.8233556721 -2.3811325886 0.0630764005 -14299.676562
X Variable 1 -0.0730469959 0.0662661613 -1.1023272576 0.3205297222 -0.2433895864
X Variable 2 0.0069214469 0.0029813011 2.3216195336 0.067916401 -0.0007422316
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + -6876.2903023783
X1 + -0.0730469959
X2 + 0.0069214469
R Square 0.9006245999
547.0959575 -14299.67656 547.09595753
0.097295595 -0.243389586 0.0972955947
0.014585125 -0.000742232 0.0145851253

Tahun
2003 1480997 8837 1160011
2004 1678645 9785 1179023
2005 2057641 10177 1193434
2006 1857291 11342 1223540
2007 1599840 12261 1235239
2008 1843281 13552 1253656
2009 2438152 14798 1272349
2010 2954828 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

VARIABEL
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + -6876.2903023783
X1 + -0.0730469959 A
X2 + 0.0069214469 B
R Square 0.9006245999

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Bongkar Muat
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1
2011 1334643 17345 -104248
2012 1357435 18745 -105903
2013 1380227 20231 -107558
2014 1403019 21812 -109212
2015 1425811 23497 -110865
2016 1448603 25295 -112517
2017 1471395 27219 -114169
2018 1494187 29281 -115820
2019 1516979 31493 -117469
2020 1539772 33871 -119118
2021 1562564 36431 -120765
2022 1585356 39191 -122411
2023 1608148 42171 -124055
2024 1630940 45392 -125697
2025 1653732 48878 -127338
2026 1676524 52655 -128977
2027 1699316 56751 -130613
2028 1722108 61198 -132248
2029 1744900 66030 -133879
2030 1767692 71285 -135508
2031 1790485 77005 -137133
2032 1813277 83235 -138755
2033 1836069 90026 -140372
2034 1858861 97432 -141986
2035 1881653 105514 -143595
→ Tahap 1

2003 539 1235326 8837 1160011
2004 516 1789252 9785 1179023
2005 518 1973294 10177 1193434
2006 652 2178446 11342 1223540
2007 649 2023925 12261 1235239
2008 683 1496816 13552 1253656
2009 743 1603265 14798 1272349
2010 666 1615256 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X1 = BM

Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X1(BM) -0.0214227606 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.837955464 -0.0784558752 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.9035427624
R Square 0.8163895235
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 3 41512.2894690841 13837.429823028 5.9284164246 0.0591987233
Residual 4 9336.3413309159 2334.085332729
Total 7 50848.6308

Intercept 2920.541406314 1704.8313729068 1.7130969389 0.1618527073 -1812.8293139
X Variable 1 4.31224868511644E-05 6.2094122954767E-05 0.6944696986 0.5256138795 -0.0001292784
X Variable 2 0.0892656553 0.0400024142 2.2315066974 0.0894611179 -0.0217988519
X Variable 3 -0.0028060238 0.0017944402 -1.5637321432 0.1929232907 -0.0077881885
Tahap 2
2003 539.3 8837 1160011
2004 515.79 9785 1179023
2005 518.04 10177 1193434
2006 651.95 11342 1223540
2007 648.6 12261 1235239
2008 683.28 13552 1253656
2009 743.12 14798 1272349
2010 665.64 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X2 = PDRB
Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.837955464 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.8912077388
R Square 0.7942512337
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 40386.5877434803 20193.2938717402 9.6507411424 0.0192018512
Residual 5 10462.0430565197 2092.408611304
Total 7 50848.6308

Intercept 2616.7757857484 1560.1265867101 1.6772842717 0.1543308273 -1393.6572779
X Variable 1 0.0801966486 0.0357998352 2.2401401647 0.0752014142 -0.0118297573
X Variable 2 -0.0024093423 0.0016106273 -1.4959030821 0.1949265505 -0.0065495916
Tanda yang TAHAP
Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 2920.541406314 2616.7757857484
X1 + 4.31224868512E-05 0.0801966486
X2 + 0.0892656553 -0.0024093423
X3 + -0.0028060238
R Square 0.8163895235 0.7942512337
Significan F 0.0591987233 0.0192018512
7653.912127 -1812.829314 7653.9121265
0.000215523 -0.000129278 0.0002155234
0.200330163 -0.021798852 0.2003301625
0.002176141 -0.007788189 0.0021761409
6627.208849 -1393.657278 6627.2088494
0.172223055 -0.011829757 0.1722230545
0.001730907 -0.006549592 0.0017309069
PDRB Penduduk
Tahun Call Kapal
(Milyar) (jiwa)
2003 539 8837 1160011
2004 516 9785 1179023
2005 518 10177 1193434
2006 652 11342 1223540
2007 649 12261 1235239
2008 683 13552 1253656
2009 743 14798 1272349
2010 666 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 2920.541406314 2616.775786
X1 + 4.3122486851E-05 0.080196649
X2 + 0.0892656553 -0.002409342
X3 + -0.0028060238
R Square 0.8163895235 0.794251234
Significan F 0.0591987233 0.019201851

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Call Kapal
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1 Tahap 2
2011 1334643 17345 4526 109651
2012 1357435 18745 4652 111478
2013 1380227 20231 4786 113306
2014 1403019 21812 4928 115134
2015 1425811 23497 5079 116962
2016 1448603 25295 5241 118790
2017 1471395 27219 5414 120618
2018 1494187 29281 5599 122446
2019 1516979 31493 5797 124273
2020 1539772 33871 6010 126101
2021 1562564 36431 6240 127929
2022 1585356 39191 6487 129757
2023 1608148 42171 6754 131585
2024 1630940 45392 7043 133413
2025 1653732 48878 7355 135241
2026 1676524 52655 7693 137068
2027 1699316 56751 8060 138896
2028 1722108 61198 8458 140724
2029 1744900 66030 8890 142552
2030 1767692 71285 9360 144380
2031 1790485 77005 9872 146208
2032 1813277 83235 10429 148035
2033 1836069 90026 11036 149863
2034 1858861 97432 11698 151691
2035 1881653 105514 12420 153519
→ Tahap 1

2003 1235326 8837 1160011
2004 1789252 9785 1179023
2005 1973294 10177 1193434
2006 2178446 11342 1223540
2007 2023925 12261 1235239
2008 1496816 13552 1253656
2009 1603265 14798 1272349
2010 1615256 16252 1339374
Y = BM

Y(BM) 1
X1 (PDRB) -0.0784558752 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.8912077388
R Square 0.7942512337
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 40386.5877434803 20193.2938717402 9.6507411424 0.0192018512
Residual 5 10462.0430565197 2092.408611304
Total 7 50848.6308

Intercept 2616.7757857484 1560.1265867101 1.6772842717 0.1543308273 -1393.6572779
X Variable 1 0.0801966486 0.0357998352 2.2401401647 0.0752014142 -0.0118297573
X Variable 2 -0.0024093423 0.0016106273 -1.4959030821 0.1949265505 -0.0065495916
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + 2616.7757857484
X1 + 0.0801966486
X2 + -0.0024093423
R Square 0.7942512337
6627.208849 -1393.657278 6627.2088494
0.172223055 -0.011829757 0.1722230545
0.001730907 -0.006549592 0.0017309069

Tahun
2003 1235326 8837 1160011
2004 1789252 9785 1179023
2005 1973294 10177 1193434
2006 2178446 11342 1223540
2007 2023925 12261 1235239
2008 1496816 13552 1253656
2009 1603265 14798 1272349
2010 1615256 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

VARIABEL
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + 2616.7757857484
X1 + 0.0801966486 A
X2 + -0.0024093423 B
R Square 0.7942512337

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Bongkar Muat
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1
2011 1334643 17345 109609
2012 1357435 18745 111433
2013 1380227 20231 113258
2014 1403019 21812 115082
2015 1425811 23497 116905
2016 1448603 25295 118729
2017 1471395 27219 120552
2018 1494187 29281 122375
2019 1516979 31493 124198
2020 1539772 33871 126020
2021 1562564 36431 127841
2022 1585356 39191 129663
2023 1608148 42171 131483
2024 1630940 45392 133303
2025 1653732 48878 135123
2026 1676524 52655 136942
2027 1699316 56751 138760
2028 1722108 61198 140577
2029 1744900 66030 142393
2030 1767692 71285 144208
2031 1790485 77005 146022
2032 1813277 83235 147835
2033 1836069 90026 149646
2034 1858861 97432 151456
2035 1881653 105514 153265
→ Tahap 1

2003 1888 2940535 8837 1160011
2004 1407 3036786 9785 1179023
2005 1166 3112201 10177 1193434
2006 1204 3303012 11342 1223540
2007 1243 3929704 12261 1235239
2008 946 4112148 13552 1253656
2009 902 5946732 14798 1272349
2010 888 6958037 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X1 = BM

Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X1(BM) -0.7037270498 1
X2 (PDRB) -0.8525942138 0.9434953506 1
X3(JUMLAH PENDUDUK) -0.824374806 0.9389101755 0.9824508662 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.9052055119
R Square 0.8193970189
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 3 630109.094096276 210036.364698759 6.0493428823 0.0573413064
Residual 4 138882.102591224 34720.5256478061
Total 7 768991.1966875

Intercept 2641.4713664904 6555.1192727568 0.402963128 0.7075839159 -15558.457451
X Variable 1 0.000201557 0.0001448452 1.3915339067 0.2364553411 -0.0002005977
X Variable 2 -0.2275489729 0.154377472 -1.4739778413 0.2144959343 -0.6561695493
X Variable 3 0.0003920709 0.0066875727 0.0586267829 0.9560613698 -0.0181756075
Tahap 2
2003 1888 8837 1160011
2004 1407 9785 1179023
2005 1166 10177 1193434
2006 1204 11342 1223540
2007 1243 12261 1235239
2008 946 13552 1253656
2009 902 14798 1272349
2010 888 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X2 = PDRB
Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X2 (PDRB) -0.8525942138 1
X3(JUMLAH PENDUDUK) -0.824374806 0.9824508662 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.8555516484
R Square 0.7319686231
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 562877.427427992 281438.713713996 6.827266192 0.0371932469
Residual 5 206113.769259508 41222.7538519015
Total 7 768991.1966875

Intercept 405.9356819313 6924.7657876139 0.0586208537 0.9555248263 -17394.741461
X Variable 1 -0.1570650873 0.1589008711 -0.9884469874 0.3683227528 -0.5655327801
X Variable 2 0.0021945857 0.0071489178 0.3069815255 0.7712310402 -0.0161822926
Tanda yang TAHAP
Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 2641.4713664904 405.9356819313
X1 + 0.000201557 -0.1570650873
X2 + -0.2275489729 0.0021945857
X3 + 0.0003920709
R Square 0.8193970189 0.7319686231
Significan F 0.0573413064 0.0371932469
20841.40018 -15558.45745 20841.400184
0.000603712 -0.000200598 0.0006037117
0.201071603 -0.656169549 0.2010716035
0.018959749 -0.018175607 0.0189597492
18206.61283 -17394.74146 18206.612825
0.251402605 -0.56553278 0.2514026054
0.020571464 -0.016182293 0.020571464
PDRB Penduduk
Tahun Call Kapal
(Milyar) (jiwa)
2003 1888 8837 1160011
2004 1407 9785 1179023
2005 1166 10177 1193434
2006 1204 11342 1223540
2007 1243 12261 1235239
2008 946 13552 1253656
2009 902 14798 1272349
2010 888 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 2641.4713664904 405.9356819
X1 + 0.000201557 -0.157065087
X2 + -0.2275489729 0.002194586
X3 + 0.0003920709 0
R Square 0.8193970189 0.731968623
Significan F 0.0573413064 0.037193247

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Call Kapal
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1 Tahap 2
2011 1334643 17345 -1036 -209220
2012 1357435 18745 -1350 -212800
2013 1380227 20231 -1684 -216380
2014 1403019 21812 -2039 -219959
2015 1425811 23497 -2418 -223539
2016 1448603 25295 -2823 -227119
2017 1471395 27219 -3256 -230699
2018 1494187 29281 -3720 -234279
2019 1516979 31493 -4219 -237859
2020 1539772 33871 -4756 -241438
2021 1562564 36431 -5333 -245018
2022 1585356 39191 -5957 -248598
2023 1608148 42171 -6630 -252178
2024 1630940 45392 -7359 -255758
2025 1653732 48878 -8147 -259338
2026 1676524 52655 -9002 -262917
2027 1699316 56751 -9930 -266497
2028 1722108 61198 -10937 -270077
2029 1744900 66030 -12032 -273657
2030 1767692 71285 -13223 -277237
2031 1790485 77005 -14520 -280817
2032 1813277 83235 -15933 -284397
2033 1836069 90026 -17474 -287976
2034 1858861 97432 -19154 -291556
2035 1881653 105514 -20989 -295136
→ Tahap 1

2003 2940535 8837 1160011
2004 3036786 9785 1179023
2005 3112201 10177 1193434
2006 3303012 11342 1223540
2007 3929704 12261 1235239
2008 4112148 13552 1253656
2009 5946732 14798 1272349
2010 6958037 16252 1339374
Y = BM

Y(BM) 1
X1 (PDRB) 0.9434953506 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.9456762185
R Square 0.8943035103
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 14002402222924.9 7001201111462.45 21.1526303404 0.0036320466
Residual 5 1654924470100.98 330984894020.195
Total 7 15657326693025.9

Intercept -11091333.3110956 19621882.7002663 -0.5652532675 0.5963216252 -61530988.543
X Variable 1 349.6970649951 450.2584418576 0.776658542 0.4724836678 -807.72910656
X Variable 2 8.9429539875 20.2570355844 0.4414739733 0.6773080439 -43.129413711
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + -11091333.3110956
X1 + 349.6970649951
X2 + 8.9429539875
R Square 0.8943035103
39348321.92 -61530988.54 39348321.921
1507.123237 -807.7291066 1507.1232366
61.01532169 -43.12941371 61.015321686

Tahun
2003 2940535 8837 1160011
2004 3036786 9785 1179023
2005 3112201 10177 1193434
2006 3303012 11342 1223540
2007 3929704 12261 1235239
2008 4112148 13552 1253656
2009 5946732 14798 1272349
2010 6958037 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

VARIABEL
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + -11091333.311096
X1 + 349.6970649951 A
X2 + 8.9429539875 B
R Square 0.8943035103

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Bongkar Muat
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1
2011 1334643 17345 455784406
2012 1357435 18745 463767257
2013 1380227 20231 471750878
2014 1403019 21812 479735345
2015 1425811 23497 487720739
2016 1448603 25295 495707153
2017 1471395 27219 503694687
2018 1494187 29281 511683450
2019 1516979 31493 519673563
2020 1539772 33871 527665159
2021 1562564 36431 535658384
2022 1585356 39191 543653397
2023 1608148 42171 551650374
2024 1630940 45392 559649507
2025 1653732 48878 567651010
2026 1676524 52655 575655113
2027 1699316 56751 583662073
2028 1722108 61198 591672171
2029 1744900 66030 599685713
2030 1767692 71285 607703040
2031 1790485 77005 615724521
2032 1813277 83235 623750566
2033 1836069 90026 631781623
2034 1858861 97432 639818183
2035 1881653 105514 647860786
→ Tahap 1
Tahun (Y) SHIPP CALL X1 (BM) (TEUS) X2(PDRB) X3 (PENDUDUK)

2003 1888 232 8837 1160011
2004 1407 250 9785 1179023
2005 1166 244 10177 1193434
2006 1204 256 11342 1223540
2007 1243 302 12261 1235239
2008 946 354 13552 1253656
2009 902 373 14798 1272349
2010 888 447 16252 1339374
Y = SHIP CALL
X1 = BM (TEUS)
X3 = JUMLAH PENDUDUK (Juta Orang)

Y1 (SHIP CALL) 1
X1 (BM) -0.7652373927 1
X2(PDRB) -0.8525942138 0.9753839872 1
X3 (JUMLAH PEND -0.824374806 0.9648346533 0.9824508662 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.9044597513
R Square 0.8180474417
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 3 629071.281132896 209690.427044299 5.9945841509 0.0581714278
Residual 4 139919.915554604 34979.9788886509
Total 7 768991.1966875
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

Intercept 2086.4327798648 6494.8321298402 0.3212450666 0.7641096469 -15946.112095 20118.97765
X Variable 1 5.7818903724 4.2031103434 1.3756218372 0.2409447244 -5.8878147663 17.45159551
X Variable 2 -0.2933505937 0.1767510979 -1.659681876 0.1723164331 -0.7840903143 0.197389127
X Variable 3 0.0007292191 0.0066709903 0.1093119724 0.9182194733 -0.0177924193 0.019250857
Tahap 2
2003 1888 8837 1160011
2004 1407 9785 1179023
2005 1166 10177 1193434
2006 1204 11342 1223540
2007 1243 12261 1235239
2008 946 13552 1253656
2009 902 14798 1272349
2010 888 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X2 = PDRB

Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X2 (PDRB) -0.8525942138 1
X3(JUMLAH PENDU -0.824374806 0.9824508662 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.8555516484
R Square 0.7319686231
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 562877.427427992 281438.713713996 6.827266192 0.0371932469
Residual 5 206113.769259508 41222.7538519015
Total 7 768991.1966875

Intercept 405.9356819313 6924.7657876139 0.0586208537 0.9555248263 -17394.741461 18206.61283
X Variable 1 -0.1570650873 0.1589008711 -0.9884469874 0.3683227528 -0.5655327801 0.251402605
X Variable 2 0.0021945857 0.0071489178 0.3069815255 0.7712310402 -0.0161822926 0.020571464
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 2086.4327798648 405.9356819313
X1 + 5.7818903724 -0.1570650873
X2 + -0.2933505937 0.0021945857
X3 + 0.0007292191
R Square 0.8180474417 0.7319686231
Significan F 0.0581714278 0.0371932469
Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
-15946.1121 20118.977655
-5.887814766 17.451595511
-0.784090314 0.1973891268
-0.017792419 0.0192508575
-17394.74146 18206.612825
-0.56553278 0.2514026054
-0.016182293 0.020571464
PDRB Penduduk
Tahun Call Kapal
(Milyar) (jiwa)
2003 1888 8837 1160011
2004 1407 9785 1179023
2005 1166 10177 1193434
2006 1204 11342 1223540
2007 1243 12261 1235239
2008 946 13552 1253656
2009 902 14798 1272349
2010 888 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 2086.4327798648 405.9356819
X1 + 5.7818903724 -0.157065087
X2 + -0.2933505937 0.002194586
R Square 0.8180474417 0.731968623
Significan F 0.0581714278 0.037193247

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Tahun Penduduk PDRB Call Kapal

Tahap 2
2011 1334643 17345 7713756 -209220
2012 1357435 18745 7845127 -212800
2013 1380227 20231 7976472 -216380
2014 1403019 21812 8107790 -219959
2015 1425811 23497 8239077 -223539
2016 1448603 25295 8370331 -227119
2017 1471395 27219 8501548 -230699
2018 1494187 29281 8632724 -234279
2019 1516979 31493 8763857 -237859
2020 1539772 33871 8894941 -241438
2021 1562564 36431 9025971 -245018
2022 1585356 39191 9156943 -248598
2023 1608148 42171 9287850 -252178
2024 1630940 45392 9418686 -255758
2025 1653732 48878 9549445 -259338
2026 1676524 52655 9680119 -262917
2027 1699316 56751 9810698 -266497
2028 1722108 61198 9941175 -270077
2029 1744900 66030 10071539 -273657
2030 1767692 71285 10201779 -277237
2031 1790485 77005 10331882 -280817
2032 1813277 83235 10461836 -284397
2033 1836069 90026 10591626 -287976
2034 1858861 97432 10721234 -291556
2035 1881653 105514 10850645 -295136
→ Tahap 1
Tahun Y (BM) (TEUS) X1(PDRB) X2 (PENDUDUK)

2003 2940535 8837 1160011
2004 3036786 9785 1179023
2005 3112201 10177 1193434
2006 3303012 11342 1223540
2007 3929704 12261 1235239
2008 4112148 13552 1253656
2009 5946732 14798 1272349
2010 6958037 16252 1339374
Y = BM
Y (BM) (TEUS) X1 (PDRB) X2 (Jml Penduduk)

Y(BM) 1
X1 (PDRB) 0.9434953506 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.9456762185
R Square 0.8943035103
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 14002402222924.9 7001201111462.45 21.1526303404 0.0036320466
Residual 5 1654924470100.98 330984894020.195
Total 7 15657326693025.9

Intercept -11091333.3110956 19621882.7002663 -0.5652532675 0.5963216252 -61530988.543
X Variable 1 349.6970649951 450.2584418576 0.776658542 0.4724836678 -807.72910656
X Variable 2 8.9429539875 20.2570355844 0.4414739733 0.6773080439 -43.129413711
Variabel Tanda yang TAHAP

Diharapkan 1
Intercept + -11091333.3110956
X1 + 349.6970649951
X2 + 8.9429539875
R Square 0.8943035103
39348321.92 -61530988.543 39348321.921
1507.123237 -807.72910656 1507.1232366
61.01532169 -43.129413711 61.015321686

Tahun
2003 2940535 8837 1160011
2004 3036786 9785 1179023
2005 3112201 10177 1193434
2006 3303012 11342 1223540
2007 3929704 12261 1235239
2008 4112148 13552 1253656
2009 5946732 14798 1272349
2010 6958037 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

VARIABEL
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + -11091333.311096
X1 + 349.6970649951
X2 + 8.9429539875
R Square 0.8943035103

Proyeksi Bongkar Muat
Tahun Penduduk PDRB Bongkar Muat
2011 1334643 17345 6909687

2012 1357435 18745 7603193
2013 1380227 20231 8326796
2014 1403019 21812 9083451
2015 1425811 23497 9876403
2016 1448603 25295 10709219
2017 1471395 27219 11585811
2018 1494187 29281 12510479
2019 1516979 31493 13487945
2020 1539772 33871 14523393
2021 1562564 36431 15622517
2022 1585356 39191 16791571
2023 1608148 42171 18037422
2024 1630940 45392 19367612
2025 1653732 48878 20790422
2026 1676524 52655 22314949
2027 1699316 56751 23951181
2028 1722108 61198 25710089
2029 1744900 66030 27603719
2030 1767692 71285 29645301
2031 1790485 77005 31849366
2032 1813277 83235 34231870
2033 1836069 90026 36810334
2034 1858861 97432 39604005
2035 1881653 105514 42634015
YOR2020 = jumlah arus B/M Thn 2020 x Dw
kapasitas CY x hari kalender x
dimana :
YOR = 70%
Jumlah B/M 2020 = 145233930 TEUs
Kapasitas CY = 7067 TEUs
Hari Kalender = 365 Hari
maka,
1805618.5 70% = 527665159 TEUs x Dwelling
7076 TEUs x 365 har
Dwelling Time = 7067 TEUs x 365 hari x

178956 TEUs
Dwelling Time = 1805619

527665159 TEUs
0.0124325 Dwelling Time = 337979 TEUs.hari
178956 TEUs
Dwelling Time = 1.889

Dwelling Time = 2 Hari
umlah arus B/M Thn 2020 x Dwelling time x 100%
kapasitas CY x hari kalender x jumlah tier
TEUs
TEUs
Hari
527665159 TEUs x Dwelling time x 100%

7076 TEUs x 365 hari
7067 TEUs x 365 hari x 60%

178956 TEUs
563299
→ Tahap 1

2003 404 765888 8837 1160011
2004 305 968800 9785 1179023
2005 432 1065637 10177 1193434
2006 391 866347 11342 1223540
2007 459 887047 12261 1235239
2008 473 1336716 13552 1253656
2009 414 1014919 14798 1272349
2010 444 1544183 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X1 = BM

Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X1(BM) 0.420170111 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.508454644 0.7560478601 1
X3(JUMLAH PENDUDUK) 0.5015971094 0.7910467988 0.9824508662 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.5115090257
R Square 0.2616414834
Adjusted R Square -0.2921274041
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 3 5043.0050289736 1681.0016763245 0.4724741482 0.7179440461
Residual 4 14231.4806669014 3557.8701667254
Total 7 19274.485695875

Intercept 346.8813087405 2206.8232197299 0.1571858161 0.8827135485 -5780.2422174
X Variable 1 1.8326655097847E-05 0.0001439303 0.1273300531 0.9048236551 -0.000381288
X Variable 2 0.0102418969 0.047502898 0.2156057272 0.8398428631 -0.1216472918
X Variable 3 -6.09784218615333E-05 0.0022865286 -0.0266685584 0.9800015443 -0.0064093996
Tahap 2
2003 404 8837 1160011
2004 305 9785 1179023
2005 432 10177 1193434
2006 391 11342 1223540
2007 459 12261 1235239
2008 473 13552 1253656
2009 414 14798 1272349
2010 444 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X2 = PDRB
Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.508454644 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.5085752082
R Square 0.2586487424
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 4985.3214848559 2492.6607424279 0.8722206231 0.4732167098
Residual 5 14289.1642110191 2857.8328422038
Total 7 19274.485695875

Intercept 237.9880438205 1823.2868509187 0.1305269348 0.901238501 -4448.9200146
X Variable 1 0.0091225334 0.041838508 0.218041557 0.836016199 -0.0984267753
X Variable 2 5.41301412076864E-05 0.001882306 0.0287573554 0.9781706414 -0.0047844913
Tanda yang TAHAP
Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 346.8813087405 237.9880438205
X1 + 1.83266550978E-05 0.0091225334
X2 + 0.0102418969 5.41301412077E-05
X3 + -6.0978421862E-05
R Square 0.2616414834 0.2586487424
Significan F 0.7179440461 0.4732167098
6474.004835 -5780.242217 6474.0048349
0.000417941 -0.000381288 0.0004179413
0.142131086 -0.121647292 0.1421310855
0.006287443 -0.0064094 0.0062874428
4924.896102 -4448.920015 4924.8961022
0.116671842 -0.098426775 0.1166718421
0.004892752 -0.004784491 0.0048927516
PDRB Penduduk
Tahun Call Kapal
(Milyar) (jiwa)
2003 404 8837 1160011
2004 305 9785 1179023
2005 432 10177 1193434
2006 391 11342 1223540
2007 459 12261 1235239
2008 473 13552 1253656
2009 414 14798 1272349
2010 444 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 346.8813087405 237.9880438
X1 + 1.8326655098E-05 0.009122533
X2 + 0.0102418969 5.41301E-05
X3 + -6.097842186E-05 0
R Square 0.2616414834 0.258648742
Significan F 0.7179440461 0.47321671

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Call Kapal
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1 Tahap 2
2011 1334643 17345 549 12413
2012 1357435 18745 564 12621
2013 1380227 20231 579 12829
2014 1403019 21812 596 13037
2015 1425811 23497 614 13245
2016 1448603 25295 633 13453
2017 1471395 27219 653 13661
2018 1494187 29281 674 13869
2019 1516979 31493 697 14077
2020 1539772 33871 722 14285
2021 1562564 36431 749 14493
2022 1585356 39191 777 14700
2023 1608148 42171 808 14908
2024 1630940 45392 842 15116
2025 1653732 48878 878 15324
2026 1676524 52655 917 15532
2027 1699316 56751 959 15740
2028 1722108 61198 1005 15948
2029 1744900 66030 1055 16156
2030 1767692 71285 1109 16364
2031 1790485 77005 1168 16572
2032 1813277 83235 1233 16780
2033 1836069 90026 1303 16988
2034 1858861 97432 1379 17196
2035 1881653 105514 1462 17403
→ Tahap 1

2003 404 8837 1160011
2004 305 9785 1179023
2005 432 10177 1193434
2006 391 11342 1223540
2007 459 12261 1235239
2008 473 13552 1253656
2009 414 14798 1272349
2010 444 16252 1339374
Y = BM

Y(BM) 1
X1 (PDRB) 0.508454644 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.5085752082
R Square 0.2586487424
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 4985.3214848559 2492.6607424279 0.8722206231 0.4732167098
Residual 5 14289.1642110191 2857.8328422038
Total 7 19274.485695875

Intercept 237.9880438205 1823.2868509187 0.1305269348 0.901238501 -4448.9200146
X Variable 1 0.0091225334 0.041838508 0.218041557 0.836016199 -0.0984267753
X Variable 2 5.41301412076864E-05 0.001882306 0.0287573554 0.9781706414 -0.0047844913
Intercept + 237.9880438205
X1 + 0.0091225334
X2 + 5.41301412077E-05
R Square 0.2586487424
4924.896102 -4448.920015 4924.8961022
0.116671842 -0.098426775 0.1166718421
0.004892752 -0.004784491 0.0048927516

Tahun
2003 404 8837 1160011
2004 305 9785 1179023
2005 432 10177 1193434
2006 391 11342 1223540
2007 459 12261 1235239
2008 473 13552 1253656
2009 414 14798 1272349
2010 444 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

VARIABEL
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + 237.9880438205
X1 + 0.0091225334 A
X2 + 5.4130141208E-05 B
R Square 0.2586487424

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Bongkar Muat
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1
2011 1334643 17345 12414
2012 1357435 18745 12622
2013 1380227 20231 12830
2014 1403019 21812 13038
2015 1425811 23497 13246
2016 1448603 25295 13454
2017 1471395 27219 13662
2018 1494187 29281 13870
2019 1516979 31493 14078
2020 1539772 33871 14286
2021 1562564 36431 14494
2022 1585356 39191 14703
2023 1608148 42171 14911
2024 1630940 45392 15119
2025 1653732 48878 15327
2026 1676524 52655 15535
2027 1699316 56751 15743
2028 1722108 61198 15951
2029 1744900 66030 16159
2030 1767692 71285 16368
2031 1790485 77005 16576
2032 1813277 83235 16784
2033 1836069 90026 16992
2034 1858861 97432 17201
2035 1881653 105514 17409
→ Tahap 1

2003 404 765888 8837 1160011
2004 258 968800 9785 1179023
2005 345 1065637 10177 1193434
2006 361 866347 11342 1223540
2007 459 887047 12261 1235239
2008 473 1336716 13552 1253656
2009 435 1014919 14798 1272349
2010 333 1544183 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X1 = BM

Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X1(BM) -0.0436815585 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.2906621718 0.7560478601 1
X3(JUMLAH PEN 0.1919131296 0.7910467988 0.9824508662 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.6211964419
R Square 0.3858850195
Adjusted R Squar -0.0747012159
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 3 14356.0100173907 4785.3366724636 0.8378127478 0.5394749765
Residual 4 22846.8076434842 5711.7019108711
Total 7 37202.817660875

Intercept 2968.5533740876 2796.1165102462 1.0616701283 0.3482337102 -4794.7106239 10731.81737
X Variable 1 -0.0001033603 0.0001823644 -0.5667787945 0.6011556548 -0.0006096849 0.000402964
X Variable 2 0.0763315157 0.0601877106 1.2682242746 0.273507137 -0.0907763589 0.24343939
X Variable 3 -0.0027606091 0.0028971058 -0.9528851346 0.3946079094 -0.0108042644 0.005283046
Tahap 2
2003 404 8837 1160011
2004 258 9785 1179023
2005 345 10177 1193434
2006 361 11342 1223540
2007 459 12261 1235239
2008 473 13552 1253656
2009 435 14798 1272349
2010 333 16252 1339374
Y = Call Kapal
X2 = PDRB
Y1(Call Kapal) 1
X2 (PDRB) 0.2906621718 1
X3(JUMLAH PEN 0.1919131296 0.9824508662 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.5801428457
R Square 0.3365657214
Adjusted R Squar 0.07119201
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 12521.1931655491 6260.5965827746 1.2682707704 0.3585046291
Residual 5 24681.6244953259 4936.3248990652
Total 7 37202.817660875

Intercept 3582.6990685517 2396.2849311002 1.4951056204 0.1951262569 -2577.1474461 9742.545583
X Variable 1 0.0826445988 0.0549869519 1.5029856361 0.1931615276 -0.0587038608 0.223993058
X Variable 2 -0.0034098084 0.0024738518 -1.3783398026 0.2265809783 -0.0097690468 0.00294943
Tanda yang TAHAP
Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 2968.5533740876 3582.6990685517
X1 + -0.0001033603 0.0826445988
X2 + 0.0763315157 -0.0034098084
X3 + -0.0027606091
R Square 0.3858850195 0.3365657214
Significan F 0.5394749765 0.3585046291
-4794.710624 10731.817372
-0.000609685 0.0004029644
-0.090776359 0.2434393903
-0.010804264 0.0052830462
-2577.147446 9742.5455832
-0.058703861 0.2239930584
-0.009769047 0.0029494301
PDRB Penduduk
Tahun Call Kapal
(Milyar) (jiwa)
2003 404 8837 1160011
2004 258 9785 1179023
2005 345 10177 1193434
2006 361 11342 1223540
2007 459 12261 1235239
2008 473 13552 1253656
2009 435 14798 1272349
2010 333 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1 2
Intercept + 2968.5533740876 3582.699069
X1 + -0.0001033603 0.082644599
X2 + 0.0763315157 -0.003409808
X3 + -0.0027606091 0
R Square 0.3858850195 0.336565721
Significan F 0.5394749765 0.358504629

Proyeksi Call Kapal
Call Kapal
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1 Tahap 2
2011 1334643 17345 4155 113884
2012 1357435 18745 4259 115767
2013 1380227 20231 4370 117651
2014 1403019 21812 4488 119535
2015 1425811 23497 4615 121418
2016 1448603 25295 4750 123302
2017 1471395 27219 4894 125186
2018 1494187 29281 5049 127069
2019 1516979 31493 5216 128953
2020 1539772 33871 5395 130836
2021 1562564 36431 5588 132720
2022 1585356 39191 5796 134604
2023 1608148 42171 6021 136487
2024 1630940 45392 6265 138371
2025 1653732 48878 6529 140255
2026 1676524 52655 6814 142138
2027 1699316 56751 7125 144022
2028 1722108 61198 7462 145906
2029 1744900 66030 7828 147789
2030 1767692 71285 8227 149673
2031 1790485 77005 8661 151557
2032 1813277 83235 9135 153440
2033 1836069 90026 9651 155324
2034 1858861 97432 10214 157208
2035 1881653 105514 10828 159091
→ Tahap 1

2003 757 8837 1160011
2004 1119 9785 1179023
2005 1145 10177 1193434
2006 1312 11342 1223540
2007 794 12261 1235239
2008 896 13552 1253656
2009 905 14798 1272349
2010 688 16252 1339374
Y = BM

Y(BM) 1
X1 (PDRB) -0.4364555152 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Multiple R 0.4371030648
R Square 0.1910590892
Observations 8
ANOVA
Regression 2 63540.0686979009 31770.0343489505 0.5904605846 0.5885617023
Residual 5 269027.562372099 53805.5124744198
Total 7 332567.63107

Intercept 930.4050011595 7911.3386406157 0.1176039914 0.9109596381 -19406.338397
X Variable 1 -0.0472884218 0.181539512 -0.2604855619 0.8048766341 -0.5139505935
X Variable 2 0.0004829413 0.0081674257 0.0591301709 0.955138949 -0.0205120948
Tanda yang TAHAP

Variabel
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + 930.4050011595
X1 + -0.0472884218
X2 + 0.0004829413
R Square 0.1910590892
21267.1484 -19406.3384 21267.148399
0.41937375 -0.513950594 0.41937375
0.021477977 -0.020512095 0.0214779773
ARUS PDRB Penduduk

Tahun
PENUMPANG/BM (Milyar) (jiwa)
2003 757 8837 1160011
2004 1119 9785 1179023
2005 1145 10177 1193434
2006 1312 11342 1223540
2007 794 12261 1235239
2008 896 13552 1253656
2009 905 14798 1272349
2010 688 16252 1339374
METODE STEPWAYS
Tanda yang TAHAP

VARIABEL
Diharapkan 1
Intercept + 930.4050011595
X1 + -0.0472884218 A
X2 + 0.0004829413 B
R Square 0.1910590892

Proyeksi Call Kapal
ARUS PENUMPANG
Tahun Penduduk PDRB
Tahap 1
2011 1334643 17345 -62174
2012 1357435 18745 -63251
2013 1380227 20231 -64329
2014 1403019 21812 -65406
2015 1425811 23497 -66483
2016 1448603 25295 -67560
2017 1471395 27219 -68636
2018 1494187 29281 -69713
2019 1516979 31493 -70790
2020 1539772 33871 -71867
2021 1562564 36431 -72943
2022 1585356 39191 -74020
2023 1608148 42171 -75096
2024 1630940 45392 -76172
2025 1653732 48878 -77248
2026 1676524 52655 -78324
2027 1699316 56751 -79400
2028 1722108 61198 -80476
2029 1744900 66030 -81551
2030 1767692 71285 -82627
2031 1790485 77005 -83702
2032 1813277 83235 -84776
2033 1836069 90026 -85851
2034 1858861 97432 -86925
2035 1881653 105514 -87999
untuk panjang dermaga dapat di gunakan rumus
Lp = n Loa + (n - 1)15 + 50
Dimana :
Lp = Panjang Dermaga
n = Jumlah Kapal yang di tambat
Loa = Panjang Kapal yang di tambat
15 = Jarak antara buritan ke haluan dari satu kapal ke kapal yang lainya )
50 = Jarak darikedua ujung dermaga keburitan dan haluan kapal
> Dengan Mengambil ukuran kapal terbesar
Kapasitas = 43010 ton

Jumlah Kapal = 2 buah
Panjang Kapal = 216 m
Maka Panjang Dermaga yang di butuhkan :
Lp = n x Loa + (n-1) 15 + 50
= 497 m
Lp = n Loa + (n - 1)15 + 50
Dimana :

Lp = n x Loa + (n-1) 15 + 50
= 176 m
Lp = n Loa + (n - 1)15 + 50
Dimana :

Lp = n x Loa + (n-1) 15 + 50
= 305 m
Lp = n Loa + (n - 1)15 + 50
Dimana :

Lp = n x Loa + (n-1) 15 + 50
= 363 m
Lp = n Loa + (n - 1)15 + 50
Dimana :

Lp = n x Loa + (n-1) 15 + 50
= 920 m
Lp = n Loa + (n - 1)15 + 50
Dimana :

Lp = n x Loa + (n-1) 15 + 50
= 255 m
Lp = n Loa + (n - 1)15 + 50
Dimana :

Lp = n x Loa + (n-1) 15 + 50
= 280 m
232.154
249.844
244.199
256.071
302.05
354.228
373.482
447.377

Jumlah Penduduk Makassar 2003 - 2010

Diunggah oleh

Informasi Dokumen

Judul Asli

Hak Cipta

Format Tersedia

Bagikan dokumen Ini

Bagikan atau Tanam Dokumen

Opsi Berbagi

Apakah menurut Anda dokumen ini bermanfaat?

Apakah konten ini tidak pantas?

Hak Cipta:

Format Tersedia

Jumlah Penduduk Makassar 2003 - 2010

Diunggah oleh

Hak Cipta:

Format Tersedia

A.

Jumlah Penduduk Makassar 2003 - 2010

No Tahun PDRB (Milyar)

D. Muatan barang bongkar dan muat

Bongkar Muat (Ton/m^3)

E. Penumpang (turun dan naik)

Tahun Arus Penumpang

Bongkar Muat (Ton/m^3)

Kapal Penumpang (GRT) Kapal Minyak (lanjutan)

5000 51 10.2 2.9 20000 162 24.9

15000 179 22.8 6.8 Kapal Barang Curah (DWT)

20000 198 24.7 7.5 10000 140 18.7

Kapal Barang (DWT) 20000 170 23.7

700 58 9.7 3.7 30000 192 27.3

15000 153 22.3 9.3 Kapal Ferry (DWT)

20000 177 23.4 10.0 1000 73 14.3

Kapal Minyak (DWT) 6000 138 22.4

700 50 8.5 3.7 8000 155 21.8

3000 88 13.8 5.6 Kapal Peti Kemas (DWT)

5000 104 16.2 6.5 20000 201 27.1

Tinggi Gelombang Kritis di Pelabuhan

Kapal Kecil 0,3 m

→ Model Linear [ Y =(a.x)+b ]

1300000 f(x) = 22792.0952380952x + 1129513.82142857

1000000 Jumlah penduduk

Proyeksi pendududuk Linear

0.1072809898 Proyeksi Jumlah PDRB

Proyeksi pendududuk Linear

Tahun (Y) SHIPP CALL X1 (BM) X2(PDRB) X3 (PENDUDUK)

Y1(Call Kapal) X1 (BM) X2 (PDRB) X3 (Jml Penduduk)

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Tanda yang TAHAP

Call Kapal = Intercept + (Xi x Penduduk) + (X2 x PDRB)

Proyeksi Call Kapal

Tahun Y (BM) X1(PDRB) X2 (PENDUDUK)

Y (BM) X1 (PDRB) X2 (Jml Penduduk)

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Tanda yang TAHAP

BONGKAR PDRB Penduduk

Tanda yang TAHAP

Call Kapal = Intercept + (Xi x Penduduk) + (X2 x PDRB)

Proyeksi Call Kapal

Tahun Penduduk PDRB Bongkar Muat

2011 1334643 17345 -1801022

Tahun (Y) SHIPP CALL X1 (BM) X2(PDRB) X3 (PENDUDUK)

Y1(Call Kapal) X1 (BM) X2 (PDRB) X3 (Jml Penduduk)

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Tanda yang TAHAP

Call Kapal = Intercept + (Xi x Penduduk) + (X2 x PDRB)

Proyeksi Call Kapal

Tahun Y (BM) X1(PDRB) X2 (PENDUDUK)

Y (BM) X1 (PDRB) X2 (Jml Penduduk)

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Tanda yang TAHAP

BONGKAR PDRB Penduduk

Tanda yang TAHAP

Call Kapal = Intercept + (Xi x Penduduk) + (X2 x PDRB)

Proyeksi Call Kapal

Tahun (Y) SHIPP CALL X1 (BM) X2(PDRB) X3 (PENDUDUK)

Y1(Call Kapal) X1 (BM) X2 (PDRB) X3 (Jml Penduduk)

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%