Matrícula: 1725231
Carrera: IAS
Plan: 401
Correo: edwinmez18@gmail.com
Salón: 9201
Grupo: 010
Frecuencia: 3 horas
In its latest forecasts, the Bank of England predicts an increase in unemployment in 2018 to 5.5% -
compared to 4.9% last May - and warns that up to 250,000 jobs could disappear.
Although the demand for employees remains strong and the number of vacancies increases, the drop
in hiring indicates that companies are very reluctant to hire, "the report states.
On the other hand, the number of temporary contracts increases because the economic uncertainty
leads some companies to prefer this type of contract. However, the increase is "the weakest of the
last ten months," according to the study.
Conclusion
The decision to leave the European Union by one of its "big" Member States has no precedent.
Therefore, the negotiations of disconnection, to some extent of divorce, must be carried out with all
the necessary guarantees so as not to add more uncertainty to the already uncertain current panorama
of the integration of Europe. The European Union, precisely, must contribute to generating stability
and confidence inside and outside its borders and, in this sense, both the result of the referendum
and what is happening up to now, does not induce it.
Another conclusion is of an economic nature, since we must bear in mind that the European Union
is the most important trading partner in the United Kingdom. 44% of British exports are destined
for the Union, representing the European Single Market a prime economic and commercial space
for the activity of British companies. Consequently, an abandonment of the Union will significantly
affect the companies implanted in British territory, in general of all sectors of activity and, in
particular, those of the financial sector due to the relevance of the "City" in London. No agreement
is conceivable between the United Kingdom and the EU, benefiting from access to the European
internal market and excluding the obligation to respect the freedom of movement of persons.
Leaving the EU will have a clear impact on the United Kingdom with regard to the security strategy
and, particularly, action against terrorism and organized crime, as it will lose all measures taken in
the area of Justice and Human Rights Affairs. Interior, you must even leave Europol.
Personal Opinion
Humanity came out losing. Although it may sound somewhat exaggerated, I think we all lose out
with the Brexit. The intolerance to other cultures overcame the economic rationality and even worse,
the practice of universal values. There were no economic arguments that clearly showed a positive
cost-benefit relationship for the United Kingdom, neither short nor long term. The arguments were
'emotional' simply, of misunderstood nationalism and that dug up that intolerant and ignorant British
that a good part of the citizenship had inside. The scenario I was most likely to assign was a situation
similar to the referendum in Scotland in September 2014, where many citizens were emboldened to
leave the UK, but at the time of voting, the economic consequences weighed more and decided to
stay .
In my opinion, the Brexit is another proof of the current anti-establishment or against the status quo,
particularly anti-government, which provides support to populist movements, such as the Brexit or
a few months ago Grexit (exit of Greece from the European Monetary Union ), the Podemos
movements and Catalan separatism in Spain, or more recently Donald Trump in the United States.
In this sense, I believe that this is a consequence of the growth of socioeconomic inequality, which
intensified after the global economic-financial crisis of 2008-2009.
Bibliographic References
Brexit Definition| Investopedia
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/brexit.asp#ixzz57u315jSj
https://elcomercio.pe/economia/mundo/brexit-hunde-mercado-laboral-reino-unido-398131