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Although child physical abuse remains abuse rates, emerging reports of in- a hospital’s quarterly data. Patients
a critical issue in the United States with creasing cases of physical abuse in admitted to 38 of the 43 PHIS hospitals
.120 000 children determined to be medical settings, and uncertainty about between January 1, 2000 and Decem-
victims of physical abuse by Child Pro- how economic circumstances of this ber 31, 2009 were included in the study.
tective Services (CPS) in 2010, data from recession may have impacted com- Three hospitals were excluded because
the National Child Abuse and Neglect munities, this study sought to examine of incomplete data, as were a hospital
Data System (NCANDS) suggest that the the relationship between local macro- that briefly closed and another that
number of cases has been declining economic indicators and child abuse moved. Hospital data were linked to
over the past 15 years.1–8 The thriving trends by using a database of children’s macroeconomic data for the associated
US economy was hypothesized as 1 of hospital administrative data. Hospital metropolitan statistical area (MSA).25
the factors contributing to the dra- administrative data serve as an alter- Data were combined for 2 sets of 2
matic decrease in cases of physical native source of data that is unrelated hospitals located in the same MSA. Un-
abuse that began in the late 1990s and to CPS-derived data sources and is one employment data were obtained from the
continued into the mid-2000s.9 that captures the most severe, albeit US Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Local Area
Despite these encouraging numbers, small proportion of severe physical Unemployment Statistics Database,26 and
the onset of the recession in late 2007 abuse cases reported to CPS. The pri- mortgage foreclosure and 90-day mort-
has raised concerns that rates of phy- mary aims of the study were to (1) gage delinquency data were obtained
sical abuse might begin to rise again. describe the trend in physical abuse from CoreLogic, a real estate data and
These concerns have been supported by admissions to pediatric hospitals from analytics company that collects property
2 recent studies and numerous anec- 2000 to 2009 in relationship to other address level data from public records
dotal reports in the popular press of injury admissions, and (2) examine the at county recorder’s offices, courthouse
increased rates of injuries from severe relationship between local macroeco- filings, tax assessors, sheriff’s offices,
forms of physical abuse during the re- nomic indicators and the rate of pedi- newspaper filings, proprietary sources,
cession, including abusive head trauma atric hospital admissions for such and selected vendors for the number of
in some regions of the country.10–14 Na- injuries over time. new and outstanding unique notices of
tional data from NCANDS, however, in- default, as well as for notices of trustee
dicate that trends in physical abuse METHODS sales (McLean, VA). CoreLogic’s broad
coverage includes .140 million proper-
rates did not change and continued to Study Design and Data Sources ties and 99% of the US population.27 This
decrease during the recession.5,6 The
We used hospital discharge data from study was determined as exempt from
conflicting reports regarding rates of
the Pediatric Health Information System institutional review board approval, be-
physical abuse during the economic
(PHIS), an administrative database main- cause it did not meet the definition of
recession have raised questions about
tained by Child Health Corporation of human subjects research.
child maltreatment trends as well as
America (Shawnee Mission, KS). Forty-
questions regarding the relationship of Study Measures
three hospitals that are located in 17 of
macroeconomic indicators with child
the 20 major metropolitan areas submit The primary outcomes were the monthly
maltreatment rates.
patient-level data to PHIS. These hos- rate of admissions for (1) physical abuse
Although research has established a pitals represent 85% of freestanding and (2) high-risk traumatic brain injury
strong relationship betweenpovertyand children’s hospitals in the U.S. that are (TBI) at each hospital. Physical abuse
child maltreatment, less is known about registered with the National Associa- admissions included children ,6 years
the impact of changes in the economy on tion of Children’s Hospitals and Related of age with International Classification
maltreatment trends.15–19 Results from Institutions (Alexandria, VA). Maintain- of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical
studies of changes in unemployment ing and validating the quality of the Modification (ICD-9-CM) discharge di-
rates and child maltreatment rates have PHIS data are a joint effort between agnosis codes (995.54–995.55, 995.50,
been mixed.20–24 Even less is known Child Health Corporation of America, 995.59) or E-codes (E960–E967, E968.0–
about the impact of the residential fore- participating hospitals, and Thomson E968.3, E968.5–E968.9) for child physical
closure crisis, an economic stressor that Reuters, the data warehouse vendor abuse or assault. The group was limited
marked the recent recession, on child for PHIS. Validity and reliability checks to children ,6 years old, because
maltreatment rates. of the data are performed and data are the majority of hospitalized victims of
Given concerns about the accuracy of included in the database only when physical abuse are young children, and
reported trends in national child physical classified errors occur in ,2% of because of concern that some older
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FIGURE 1
Trends in pediatric injury admission rates and economic indicators between 2000 and 2009. Locally weighted scatter plot smoothing of the rates of physical
abuse admissions in children ,6 years of age per 1000 all-cause hospital admissions and high-risk TBI admissions per 1000 all-cause hospital admissions
were created. The percentage of unemployment, percentage of 90-day delinquency, and percentage of foreclosure in the MSAs in which the hospitals were
located were also graphed. The periods of recession from March 2001 to November 2001 and December 2007 to June 2009 are marked by the shaded areas.
increase in the abuse admission rate for but not with the change in those rates hospitals across the country over the
areas experiencing a 1.25 percentage over the previous year. For each 1% in- past 10 years. Within geographic regions,
point increase in 90-day delinquency and crease in the current rates of 90-day macroeconomic housing trends, in par-
a 28.68% increase in the abuse admission delinquency, foreclosure, and unem- ticular, 90-day delinquency rate and
rate for areas experiencing a 9.28% point ployment, there were 0.44%, 0.56%, and active mortgage foreclosures, were
increase in 90-day delinquency. 0.43% decreases in the all-cause injury associated with both diagnosed physi-
In contrast to the rates of admissions for rate, respectively (all P # .01). cal abuse admissions as well as high-
physical abuse and high-risk TBI, the rate risk TBI admissions that carry a high
of admission for all-cause injuries was DISCUSSION suspicion for abuse.
negatively associated with the current This study revealed that rates of hos- The major finding of the study was the
and 1-year lagged 90-day delinquency, pital admissions for physical abuse and relationship between child physical
foreclosure, and unemployment rates, high-risk TBI have increased at children’s abuse admissions and housing security
TABLE 1 Relationship Between Economic Indicators and Hospital Admissions for Injuries Within MSAs
Economic Indicator % Change in Admission Rate for Each 1% Point Change in Economic Indicator (95% CI)
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in child physical abuse rates between sources of data. For example, NCANDS the percentage of investigated cases
the third study in 1996 and the fourth data rely on cases of abuse that are that are substantiated has declined
study in 2005–2006.16,51 In addition, substantiated by state and local CPS steadily over the past decade,1–7 which
NCANDS, the most cited source on yearly agencies and might not capture the full may be due in part to changing thres-
national maltreatment trends, has re- spectrum of actual abuse.16,51–55 CPS holds in the definition of substantiated
ported that child physical abuse rates data are also sensitive to changes in abuse that are linked to alternative
continue to decline for .15 years. One administrative protocols, regulations, pathways.
possible explanation for this divergence and data-reporting practices at the
is that the trends in the type of severe state and local levels.56,57 Of note, 4 CONCLUSIONS
physical abuse among young children states had decreases in their rates of Ultimately, the challenge raised by this
captured by hospital data differ from maltreatment of at least 25% in 2007 study is how best to monitor the safety
the trends in the broader range of phy- that were associated with administra- and well-being of children ata population
sical abuse that is reported in NCANDS, tive or data-reporting changes.57 Finally, level and respond to the needs of fami-
National Incidence Studies of Child Abuse many CPS agencies have created sys- lies during times of economic hardship.
and Neglect, and survey data of adoles- tems to differentially respond to families Although this study cannot confirm a
cent victimization. in need through alternative pathways causal pathway between macroeconomic
Alternatively, it is possible that the di- based on level of risk for future mal- conditions and child abuse rates, it
vergence of our findings from other treatment and reporting mechanisms suggests the need to examine how
reports of child abuse trends may separate from the primary system society’s response to economic hard-
call into question the accuracy of these that substantiates cases.58,59 Nationally, ship can mitigate the risk to children.
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Local Macroeconomic Trends and Hospital Admissions for Child Abuse, 2000−
2009
Joanne N. Wood, Sheyla P. Medina, Chris Feudtner, Xianqun Luan, Russell Localio,
Evan S. Fieldston and David M. Rubin
Pediatrics 2012;130;e358; originally published online July 16, 2012;
DOI: 10.1542/peds.2011-3755
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