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Changing coverage?
Brexit’s effect on US insurers
and reinsurers

How might Brexit affect


US insurers and
reinsurers, and what
can you do to prepare?
An introduction

On June 23, 2016, the UK voted to leave the European Union. The economic
and political implications are expected to be significant and long-lasting,
and not just for the UK and the EU. The repercussions may be felt far and
wide, including by US insurers and reinsurers. The specifics of how the UK
exits the EU will be the subject of negotiations for at least the next two years.
Learn how Brexit is expected to affect US insurers and reinsurers and what
you can do now to prepare for the future.

How did we get here? In our paper, “Not just To better understand these factors, this
across the pond: How US financial paper presents a framework for determining
institutions prepare for Brexit,” we how Brexit may affect specific areas within
discussed the broader implications from your insurance or reinsurance organization.
Brexit: how it started, likely exit scenarios Knowing how your organization might be
for the UK, and their impact on US financial disrupted can help you better understand
institutions, and we examined these how to prioritize and begin to make
scenarios through their effects on key contingency plans.
business functions.1 This paper continues
the series by focusing on the effect Brexit As you read this paper, remember that we’re
could have on insurance and reinsurance still very much at the start of a long process.
companies within the United States. In other There’s a lot of uncertainty about what
publications, we dig deeper into other comes next: how the negotiations between
sectors within financial services, including the EU and UK develop, when new
asset and wealth management, banking and
agreements might take place, and what
capital markets, and commercial real estate.
relationships may develop between the UK
In our view, the degree to which individual and non-EU countries. Firms should use this
US insurers feel the effects of Brexit depends time to plan for a range of scenarios so they
can make the best of any situation that
on a variety of factors:
arises. They should also keep monitoring the
 Their exposure to the UK economy business and political environment,
assessing the actions of customers,
 The degree to which they are subject to suppliers, competitors, and regulators to
the legal, regulatory, and tax keep their plans current.
environment within the UK

 Their reliance on free movement of


goods and services between the UK and
the EU

 The degree to which their business


depends on the free movement of people
between the UK and the EU.

………………………..…..…
1
For more information on broader US Brexit concerns, visit http://www.pwc.com/brexitus
For more information on the EU referendum, visit http://www.pwc.co.uk/the-eu-referendum.html

Changing coverage?
Brexit’s effect on US insurers and reinsurers 1
What we now know about the
insurance and reinsurance sectors
In the wake of the Brexit vote, financial The US insurance industry may experience
markets experienced profound fluctuations short-term economic pressures, but some
in the EU, the UK, and elsewhere. London is analysts believe the Brexit could actually
a focal point for the global insurance market, have a positive effect on the market in the
and it is one of the largest trading partners future.3 US insurers may see growth as it’s
for US insurers.2 The insurance industry is
seen as a more stable market during this
relatively well positioned to weather turmoil
period of uncertainty, and Brexit may even
in the UK. The degree to which individual
US insurers feel the effects of Brexit depends present new opportunities. Earlier this year,
on a variety of factors: their exposure to the we released a report explaining that now—
UK economy; the degree to which they are even before Brexit—is the time for insurance
subject to the legal, regulatory, and tax innovation in a sector that has remained
environment within the UK; their reliance largely unchanged for more than 100 years.4
on free movement of goods, and services Brexit may help accelerate some of this
between the UK and the EU; and their innovation, and how well insurers do on the
reliance on the free movement of people other side of Brexit depends on the planning
across those borders. they do now. Planning can be done by
identifying key business functions to see
how and where Brexit is likely to matter
most.

………………………..…..…
2
Bronson, Caitlin, “What Brexit means for the US insurance market,” Insurance Information Institute Database, June 24, 2016, accessed on Factiva August 5, 2016.
3
Ibid.
4
“Top issues: An annual report,” PwC, http://www.pwc.com/us/en/insurance/publications/assets/pwc-top-issues-the-insurance-industry-2016.pdf.

Changing coverage?
Brexit’s effect on US insurers and reinsurers 2
Impact of Brexit on insurance and
reinsurance in the United States
Insurance companies headquartered in the
United States have varying degrees of
exposure to the situation in Europe.
Exposures include holdings; physical assets
such as offices; as well as employees,
contractors, and vendors. We now examine
how these emerging issues may influence
UK operations and what US insurers and
reinsurers should do to prepare
(see Figure 1).

Figure 1: Potential effects from Brexit on US insurers and reinsurers

Changing coverage?
Brexit’s effect on US insurers and reinsurers 3
Affected organizational areas Opportunities in the United States:
Understanding the ways Brexit might US insurers are both competing with and
disrupt your organization can strengthen customers of the London insurance
your to-do list as well as your contingency market. While US companies operating
plans. Examining the repercussions of Brexit in London will face increased exposure,
at this level of detail can help you prioritize they also may become more competitive.
the issues and start to uncover effective As many insurers operate through
responses. We’ve gathered this information subsidiaries, each serving their own
based on client conversations over the domestic market, this would most likely
months leading up to the Brexit vote and the limit the direct impact of Brexit.
time since the result came in. However, the indirect consequences of
lower interest rates and slowed economic
Business models and operations
growth would set the stage for reduction
In the wake of the Brexit referendum,
in costs, business model transformation,
liquidity and volatility could keep many
and acquisition opportunities. This
business leaders awake at night. Potential
declines in UK economic growth and growth may be felt in US companies
fluctuating exchange rates may require whether or not they operate in the UK.
changes in business models in the medium  Reinsurance: London is a global focal
term. Insurers should also revisit their point in the reinsurance market, serving
business structures to account for changes in
the US market as well as others. Even
the tax code and the regulatory
where US firms do not do business in the
environment.
UK, they may still use the London
Some considerations for insurance Market for the pricing of certain risks. As
companies: a result of the Brexit vote, US insurers
may want to revisit or renegotiate their
 Passporting: Passporting is attracting terms with UK-based reinsurers.5
considerable attention in the Brexit Furthermore, turmoil in the European
aftermath, as it may be a thing of the past insurance market may influence the
for the UK. With London being a major amount of risk reinsurers are willing to
hub for insurance and reinsurance, US take on.
insurers with operations there should
consider the impact of the UK losing
passporting rights. You may want to
consider acquisitions or opening new
locations and subsidiaries within the EU
itself to retain access to the market.

………………………..…..…
5
Postal, Arthur, “US insurers ‘less exposed’ by Brexit than other sectors,” LifeHealthPro, June 24, 2016, accessed on Factiva August 5, 2016.

Changing coverage?
Brexit’s effect on US insurers and reinsurers 4
Treasury Legal/compliance
US financial institutions have been handling Regardless of the outcome of Brexit
liquidity and volatility based on assumptions negotiations, you should consider the effect
made long before the Brexit vote. Treasury of the scenarios on key contracts; legal
should prepare for potential difficulties as structures; credit guarantees; client
the situation continues to unfold. You agreements; contracts with third parties,
should revisit funding arrangements, credit suppliers, and employees; and a host of
risk, trapped cash risk, and the possible other issues that may arise in the new
triggering of off-balance-sheet geopolitical environment. For your firm,
contingencies. Brexit represents a rare chance to revisit or
renegotiate contractual relationships with
Some considerations for insurance
UK business partners.
companies:
Some considerations for insurance
 High pressure, low yields: As the companies:
yields on long-term bonds fall, insurers
are faced with a potential discrepancy  Solvency II: Solvency II introduces
between their liabilities and their consistent regulatory standards for
inability to reinvest at a sufficient yield. insurance companies operating in the
As UK bond portfolios mature, insurers European Union. As the Brexit process
may not be able to find enough yield to begins, US insurers with operations in
meet the future payout demands of their the UK should work to understand the
product offerings.6 The consequences of implications of these changes to their
lower interest rates and potentially lower business, especially as the UK may have
GDP growth may lead to profitability little influence over regulation in the
challenges in the future. future.

 Higher operating costs: Brexit may  Covered agreement negotiations: In


force some US insurance companies to an effort to harmonize regulations and
adjust their cost structures with an eye ease current barriers on US insurers, the
toward maintaining adequate capital for United States and the EU have been
their various businesses. working toward a covered agreement
addressing supervision and exchange of
information. It will be important to keep
the lines of communication open.
 Increased oversight: Governing
bodies such as the UK’s Prudential
Regulation Authority and the UK’s
Financial Conduct Authority may be
more influential than before. Specifically,
you should make sure your stress testing
is up-to-date and accounts for different
Brexit scenarios. Oversight organizations
expect remediation to be done as
necessary to make sure solvency
requirements are being met.7

………………………..…..…
6
Foster, Mike, “Brexit undermines European insurers; As investors drive up bond prices, yields go so low that long-term liabilities cannot be covered,” Financial News,
June 28, 2016, accessed on Factiva August 5, 2016.
7
For more details on stress testing in insurance, refer to Stress testing in the insurance industry: A ‘20/80’ opportunity:
https://www.pwc.com/us/en/insurance/publications/assets/pwc-insurance-stress-testing.pdf

Changing coverage?
Brexit’s effect on US insurers and reinsurers 5
Finance/tax manage exchange-rate risk may have
Brexit also presents significant challenges negative effects on bottom-line results.
for finance and tax executives in terms of
Human resources
planning, budgeting, and forecasting. In
addition, you should understand the Brexit may require HR functions to deal
immediate tax consequences arising from with increasing organizational complexity
various exit scenarios. All the while, you while managing limited resources. While
should distinguish tax changes you can plan changing employment rules will likely affect
for from changes that require additional all firms, any changes to the freedom of
information to properly execute. travel between the UK and Europe could
have a profound impact on the available
Some considerations for insurance workforce for insurers operating in the UK.
companies: Insurers operating in the UK should develop
a contingency plan for European nationals
 Principal VAT Directive: While
working for them in a post-Brexit UK.
insurers operating in the EU have
historically been exempt from Valued Some considerations for insurance
Added Tax (VAT) on insurance and companies:
reinsurance transactions, the UK does  Brain drain: You should think about
impose the Insurance Premium Tax. how competition for talent may change if
Though the UK government has you relocate or add locations in the EU. It
expressed its intentions to be an may be important to determine how to
attractive place to do business, you remain attractive to both current and
should still assess your current tax future talent in areas such as appraising
arrangements. and underwriting.
 Tax exemptions for back-office  Transition troubles: Changes in
operations and related services: workforce laws might influence not only
The EU’s Principal VAT Directive the “who” and “where,” but also the
contains a provision that excludes VAT “how.” Insurers should consider
exemption status for certain back-office developing services to help their
operations and other related services workforce adjust during the transition
provided to insurers. Currently, insurers period. These services could include
operating in the UK have to comply with providing training to employees on new
the EU’s policy. Post-Brexit, however, insurance and reinsurance regulation as
these same insurers may only need to it comes out and how it directly impacts
satisfy the broader definition of the work they’re performing.
insurance transactions in the UK’s
domestic tax law to realize the exemption
status.8
 Foreign exchange volatility: The
European Union made it possible for
global insurers and reinsurers to reduce
exchange-rate volatility and risk. In the
wake of the Brexit vote, the pound’s value
dropped dramatically. During times
when both financial markets and the
insurance market are experiencing
higher levels of risk, an inability to

………………………..…..…
8
HM Revenue & Customs, “VAT and Insurance Transactions,” February 12, 2013, www.gov.uk. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/vat-notice-70136-
insurance/vat-notice-70136-insurance#vat-and-insurance-transactions

Changing coverage?
Brexit’s effect on US insurers and reinsurers 6
Adapting to a post-Brexit market
While the UK insurance sector has been It’s important to remember that the political
shaken a bit by the EU referendum, the vote environment is changing, and we expect
also has shown the resiliency of insurance additional considerations and opportunities
companies. In fact, at many firms, planning to arise as the Brexit process begins. These
done earlier in the year has clearly helped in are early-stage observations, and we are
the immediate aftermath. US insurers will
likely to know more about the shape of
likely face many challenges, but there are a
upcoming negotiations as we get closer to
number of opportunities for them. Planning
works—and by preparing for the different formal exit talks. But this is no time to sit
Brexit scenarios that could emerge, back and watch. The Brexit vote is a once-in-
companies will likely adjust more easily to a-generation shift, and firms should be
any new regulatory norms. prepared to act—or be acted upon.

Changing coverage?
Brexit’s effect on US insurers and reinsurers 7
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“Changing coverage? Brexit’s effect on US insurers and reinsurers,” PwC, August 2016, www.pwc.com/fsi.

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