1 2008 Edition
Energy,
Electricity
and
Nuclear Power
Estimates
for the Period
up to 2030
REFERENCE DATA SERIES No. 1
ENERGY, ELECTRICITY
AND NUCLEAR POWER ESTIMATES
FOR THE PERIOD UP TO 2030
2008 Edition
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
Grouping of countries and areas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
5
The projections presented in this booklet are based on
a compromise among:
6
— Inadequate mechanisms for nuclear technology
transfer and nuclear project funding in developing
countries.
7
Energy Units
8
GROUPING OF COUNTRIES AND AREAS
North America
Canada* United States of America*
Latin America
Anguilla Haiti*
Antigua and Barbuda Honduras*
Argentina* Jamaica*
Aruba Martinique
Bahamas Mexico*
Barbados Montserrat
Belize* Netherlands Antilles
Bermuda Nicaragua*
Bolivia* Panama*
Brazil* Paraguay*
Cayman Islands Peru*
Chile* Puerto Rico
Colombia* S.Georgia & S.Sandwich Islands
Costa Rica* Saint Kitts and Nevis
Cuba* Saint Lucia
Dominica Saint Pierre and Miquelon
Dominican Republic* Saint Vincent & the Grenadines
Ecuador* Suriname
El Salvador* Trinidad and Tobago
Grenada Turks and Caicos Islands
Guadeloupe Uruguay*
Guatemala* Venezuela*
Guyana
Western Europe
Andorra Liechtenstein*
Austria* Luxembourg*
Belgium* Malta*
Cyprus* Monaco*
Denmark* Netherlands*
Finland* Norway*
France* Portugal*
Germany* San Marino
Gibraltar Spain*
Greece* Svalbard and Jan Mayen Islands
Greenland Sweden*
Holy See* Switzerland*
Iceland* Turkey*
Ireland* United Kingdom*
Italy*
9
Eastern Europe
Albania* Lithuania*
Armenia* Montenegro*
Azerbaijan* Poland*
Belarus* Republic of Moldova*
Bosnia and Herzegovina* Romania*
Bulgaria* Russian Federation*
Croatia* Serbia*
Czech Republic* Slovakia*
Estonia* Slovenia*
Georgia* Tajikistan*
Hungary* The Frmr.Yug.Rep. of Macedonia*
Kazakhstan* Turkmenistan
Kyrgyzstan* Ukraine*
Latvia* Uzbekistan*
Africa
Algeria* Malawi*
Angola* Mali*
Benin* Mauritania*
Botswana* Mauritius*
Burkina Faso* Mayotte
Burundii* Morocco*
Camero oon* Mozambique*
Cape Verde e* Namibia*
Central Africaan Republic* Niger*
Chad * Nigeria*
Comoros Reunion
Congo o* Rwanda
Côte d'IIvoire* Saint Helena
Democratic Rep. of the Congo* Sao Tome and Principe
Djibouti Senegal*
Egypt* Seychelles*
Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone*
Eritrea* Somalia
Ethiopia* South Africa*
Gabon* Sudan*
Gambia Swaziland
Ghana* Togo *
Guinea Tunisia*
Guinea-Bissau Uganda*
Kenya* United Republic of Tanzania*
Lesotho Western Sahara
Liberia* Zambia*
Libyan Arab Jamahiriya* Zimbabwe*
Madagascar*
10
Middle East and South Asia
Afghanistan* Kuwait*
Bahrain* Lebanon*
Bangladesh* Nepal*
Bhutan Oman
British Indian Ocean Territory Pakistan*
Cocos (Keeling) Islands Qatar*
French Southern Territories Saudi Arabia*
Heard Island&McDonald Islands Sri Lanka*
India* Syrian Arab Republic*
Iran, Islamic Republic of* T.T.U.T.J of T. Palestinian A.
Iraq* United Arab Emirates*
Israel* Yemen*
Jordan*
Far East
Cambodia Macau, China
China* Mongolia*
Dem. P.R. of Korea Philippines*
Japan* Taiwan, China
Korea, Republic of* Vietnam*
Lao P.D.R.
11
12
13
FRANCE 76.8
LITHUANIA 64.4
SLOVAKIA 54.3
BELGIUM 54.0
UKRAINE 48.1
SWEDEN 46.1
ARMENIA 43.5
SLOVENIA 41.6
SWITZERLAND 40.0
HUNGARY 36.8
BULGARIA 32.1
FINLAND 28.9
JAPAN 27.5
GERMANY 27.3
USA 19.4
SPAIN 17.4
RUSSIA 16.0
UK 15.1
CANADA 14.7
ROMANIA 13.0
ARGENTINA 6.2
MEXICO 4.6
NETHERLANDS 4.1
BRAZIL 2.8
INDIA 2.5
PAKISTAN 2.3
CHINA 1.9
0 20 40 60 80 100
14
15
% % % %
17
2400
2200
2000
1800
1600
1400
GW(e)
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2007
2010
2020
2030
18
Total Capacity - High Estimate
Total Capacity - Low Estimate
Nuclear Contribution - High Estimate
Nuclear Contribution - Low Estimate
2007
2010
2020
2030
19
2007 2010
% % % %
21
35
30
25
Percentage (%)
20
15
10
0
2007
2010
2020
2030
22
Nuclear Low Estimate
Nuclear High Estimate
2007
2010
2020
2030
23
2007 2010 2020 2030
25
260
240
220
200
180
160
140
EJ
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2007
2010
2020
2030
26
Total - High Estimate
Total - Low Estimate
Nuclear - High Estimate
Nuclear - Low Estimate
2007
2010
2020
2030
27
29
120
100
80
60
EJ
40
20
0
North Latin Western Eastern
America America Europe Europe
30
Renew ables
Nuclear
Hydr o
Biomass
Gases
Liquids
Solids
31
500 Nuclear
Hydr o
Biomass
450 Gases
Liquids
Solids
400
350
300
250
EJ
200
150
100
50
0
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988
Year
32
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
33
35
36
37
39
2500
2000
Millions of Inhabitants
1500
1000
500
0
2007
2010
2020
2030
40
2007
2010
2020
2030
41
43
400
300
200
GJ per capita
100
0
2007
2010
2020
2030
44
High Estimate
Low Estimate
2007
2010
2020
2030
45
18
16
14
12
10
MWh per capita
0
2007
2010
2020
2030
46
High Estimate
Low Estimate
2007
2010
2020
2030
47
49
8 Population
Total Energy
Total Electricity
Nuclear Energy
4
Annual Gr ow th Rate (%)
-1
North Latin Western Eastern
America America Europe Europe
50
Africa Middle East & South East Asia Far East
South Asia & the Pacific
51
53
I N T E R N AT I O N A L AT O M I C E N E R G Y A G E N C Y
VIENNA
ISBN 978-92-0-108608-2
ISSN 1011-2642