r
LM 1
r1
IS1
0 Y1 Y
Aggregate output
(b) Ignore the policy actions in Part (a). The Fed announces an immediate
increase in the reserve requirement and decrease in the discount rate.
Interpret these policy actions.
(i) Are they expansionary or contractionary?
(ii) How will they affect the interest rate?
(iii) Importantly, how will they affect planned business investment?
(iv) The following IS-LM diagram shows the economy before the policies
are initiated. Show how the curve(s) shift(s) in response to the
policies.
r
LM 1
r1
IS1
0 Y1 Y
Aggregate output
(c) Ignore the policy actions in Parts (a) and (b). The government initiates an
aggressive program of highway construction and inner-city development,
effective immediately. Simultaneously, the Fed announces an immediate
increase in its purchases of bonds on the open market. Interpret these policy
actions.
(i) Are they expansionary or contractionary?
(ii) Is the Fed action accommodating? Why?
(iii) How will the policy actions affect the interest rate?
(iv) Importantly, how will they affect planned business investment?
(v) Williamson’s business sells to the consumer sector. What other
factor(s) ought she to include in determining her investment plans?
(vi) The following IS-LM diagram shows the economy before the policies
are initiated. Show how the curve(s) shift in response to the policies.
r
LM 1
r1
IS1
0 Y1 Y
Aggregate output
2. (a) The Arbocali Minister of Finance (a confirmed believer in the multiplier)
notes that the marginal propensity to consume out of income is 0.8. Because
Arboc is presently in a recession, he predicts that a 5 million opek increase in
government spending will boost output by 25 million opeks. Although a quite
junior official in the Ministry, you believe that he is incorrect. Indicate as
many assumptions as you can that he had made to arrive at his prediction.
(b) The Minister (also a confirmed believer in IS-LM analysis) suspects that the
economy is at some point above the LM curve but on the IS curve. This must
be a point of disequilibrium. Explain the situation to him.
3. Farview, an economic forecasting firm, has hired you as a promising addition to the
staff. Your assignment is to predict the effect of a given economic change on a
number of variables, where “+” represents increase, “–” represents decrease, “0”
represents no change, and “?” represents ambiguous result. Assume that there are
progressive federal income taxes and that the initial change in a variable is the
dominant one.
(a) The Fed reduces the discount rate. Predict the effect on:
Y r C S I Ms Md federal deficit
(b) The government cuts personal income taxes. Predict the effect on:
Y r C S I Ms Md federal deficit
(c) The capital utilization rate is 70% and firms believe that it should be 85%.
Predict the effect on:
Y r C S I Ms Md federal deficit
(d) There is heightened expectation of an interest rate decrease. Predict the effect
on:
Y r C S I Ms Md federal deficit
4. Determine the effect of each policy and other actions on the following five given
variables. Label it (I) if the variable will increase, (D) if it will decrease, (U) if it will
remain unchanged, and (?) if the result is ambiguous.
Policy/Action r Y Ms Md I
Increase Ms
Increase T
Increase G
An increase in optimism by entrepreneurs
Income and payments become better synchronized
5. Refer to the following diagram to answer this question.
AE
45°
AE
0 1000 2000 Y
Aggregate output
}
Open Market sale/purchase
Discount rate increase/ decrease
Reserve requirement increase/
decrease
Ms (I/D) → r (I/D) → I (I/D) → Y (I/D) → Md (I/D) → r (I/D)
Note that the effects go in the opposite direction for contractionary policies.