Ginting
Director of Government Debt Securities
Directorate General of Budget Financing and Risk Management, Ministry of Finance
Presented at the 20th ADBI Annual Conference
“Managing Private and Local Government Debt”
Tokyo, 1 December 2017
The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI), the
Asian Development Bank (ADB), its Board of Directors, or the governments they represent. ADBI does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and
accepts no responsibility for any consequences of their use. Terminology used may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.
Comment on the presented papers
Debt strategy and government securities market
development
Debt profile
Lessons learned from the government securities
market development
Sept 2017
Description 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Nominal %
a. Foreign Loan (in billion USD) 63.6 58.4 54.2 54.4 54.0 54.3 18.9%
Bilateral 37.2 31.5 26.9 24.7 23.2 23.1 8.1%
Multilateral 23.8 23.7 23.5 26.1 27.5 27.8 9.7%
Commercial 2.5 3.3 3.8 3.6 3.3 3.3 1.2%
Suppliers 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0%
b. Domestic Loan (in billion USD) 0.19 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1%
c. Government Securities (in billion USD) 140.8 136.3 155.2 174.7 207.0 231.9 80.9%
Foreign Currency Denominated 27.4 32.8 36.7 47.8 57.1 62.9 22.0%
Rupiah Denominated 113.4 103.5 118.5 126.9 149.9 169.0 59.0%
Total Central Government Debt
204.5 194.9 209.7 229.4 261.3 286.6
(in billion USD)
Total Central Government Debt
1,977.7 2,375.5 2,608.8 3,165.1 3,511.0 3,866.4
(in trilion IDR)
Exchange Rate Assumption (IDR/USD1) 9,670.0 12,189.0 12,440.0 13,795.0 13,436.0 13,492.0
GDP (in trillion IDR) 8,615.7 9,524.7 10,542.7 11,540.8 12,406.8
Debt to GDP Ratio 23.0% 24.9% 24.7% 27.4% 28.3%
Variable Rate Ratio (%) Refixing Rate (%) FX Debt to GDP Ratio (%)** FX Debt to Total Debt Ratio (%)
22.5 23.2
21.0 44.4 46.7 44.5
20.7 43.4
19.2 41.8 40.9
17.8
16.2 16.0
14.8
13.7
12.3
10.8
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Sep-17 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Sep-17
9.7 9.7
9.6 39.7
9.4 34.7 36.5
32.4 33.4 33.9
9.0 23.0 25.2
8.9 21.5 21.8 20.1 21.4
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Sep-17 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Sep-17
Malaysia
57%
40%
2006 2016
South Africa Vietnam
52% 62%
31% 38%
Philippines
2006 2016
Turkey
52% 47%
33% 32%
2006 2016
36.97
36.69
36.53
28.25
7.34
7.13 1.57
1st issuance
Bond of Samurai
2001 2002 2003 2004
Stabilization Bond 1st Private Placement Issued
Framework Issuance T-Bills for 1st time
2009 2008 2006 2005
2007
2010 Crisis Management Primary 1st Debt Switching Auction
Protocol
- 1st Direct Transaction
Dealer System 1st issuance of 1st Retail Bond
Through Dealing Room Establishment Zero Coupon issuance
Establishment
- PLTE ((Securities Transaction Bond
of IBPA
2013 Report Receiver System)*
2015
70.00%
600.00
% Insurance Company 599.66 ; 28.63%
60.00%
500.00
461.35 ; 38.13%
% Banks* 50.00%
400.00
375.55 ; 31.04%
40.00%
300.00
% Foreign Holders
30.00%
200.00
20.00%
100.00 10.00%
- 0.00%
Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Dec 2016 June 2017 Oct 2017 15 Nov 2017
% Foreign Holders % Banks* % Insurance Company % Others % Mutual Funds % Pension Fund
% Individual % Bank Indonesia** Foreign Holders Banks* Insurance Company Others
Mutual Funds Pension Fund Individual Bank Indonesia**
DIRECTORATE GENERAL OF BUDGET FINANCING AND RISK MANAGEMENT *) Including the Government Securities used in monetary operation with Bank Indonesia.
**) net, excluding Government Securities used in monetary operation with Banks. 18
MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF THE REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA
Ownership of Tradable Domestic Government Securities by Region (in IDR Trillions)
Others
South Korea; 0.71%
4.99
1% China; 6.19%
Japan; 10.76%
Others; 14.64%
Asia
North America 258.42
190.41 32%
24% ASEAN; 67.70%
Europe
342.37
43%
YTD Oct 2017 YTD Oct 2016 YTD Oct 2015 *Using JISDOR as of Oct. 31, 2017 : IDR13,572/USD
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES
DOMESTIC MARKET
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
Foreign Currency
Denominated Bonds:
Foreign Currency
Global Bonds (USD)
Denominated Bonds
Global Euro (EUR)
Samurai Bond (JPY)
GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS
Government Regulations No. 76 Year 2005 concerning Management, Responsibility, and
Information Publication of Government Debt Securities Management
DIRECTORATE
GENERAL OF BUDGET
FINANCING AND RISK
MANAGEMENT
Executive
Secretariat
Directorate of
Infrastructure Directorate of
Directorate of Directorate of State Directorate of
Directorate of Loan Directorate of Financing and Evaluation,
Government Debt Fiscal Risk Financing Strategy
and Grant Syariah Financing Government Accounting, and
Securities Management and Portfolio
Support Settlement
Management
Ministry of Ministry of
Finance Finance
Domestic
Non-bank financial institution associations
Local government officers
Colleges
Overseas
Roadshows: investors update
Investor visits at office
Not Satisfied
Least Satisfied
OK
Satisfied
Very Satisfied