Models
M.W. Morris, M.A.A.M. Hassan
HR Wallingford, Wallingford, United Kingdom
T.L. Wahl
Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, Colorado, USA
R.D. Tejral, G.J. Hanson, D.M. Temple
Agricultural Research Service, Stillwater, Oklahoma, USA
ABSTRACT: The CEATI Dam Safety Interest Group (DSIG) working group on embankment erosion and
breach modelling has evaluated three physically-based numerical models used to simulate embankment ero-
sion and breach development. The three models identified by the group were considered to be good candi-
dates for further development and future integration into flood modelling software. The evaluation utilized 7
case studies comprising three large-scale tests carried out in Norway (5- to 6-m high embankments); two
large-scale tests from the USA (1.75-m high embankments); and the prototype failures of the Oros (Brazil)
and Banqiao (China) dams. The breach models evaluated were SIMBA, HR-BREACH, and FIREBIRD
BREACH. Results of the evaluation are presented along with details of the continued development of two of
the three models (HR BREACH and SIMBA).
1 INTRODUCTION
In 2004 the Dam Safety Interest Group of CEATI Table 1. — Members of the CEATI Working Group, and other
International (an international consortium of electric project sponsors.
Organisation Roles Primary
power generating utilities with common research in- Representatives
terests) initiated a new research project aiming to CEATI Technical coordination Gary Salmon
International (deceased)
advance the state of practice for computer modelling Electricité de Assemble case studies of Jean-Robert
of embankment dam erosion and breach processes. France real dam failures. Erodime- Courivaud
A working group was formed, composed of repre- ter and piping erosion re-
search.
sentatives from CEATI-member utilities with a Hydro Québec / Review of numerical mod- Tai Mai Phat,
strong interest in this topic, including several pursu- Ecolé els for simulating dam Réne Kahawita
Polytechnique breach, development of
ing dam breach modelling research programs of their Montréal FIREBIRD BREACH model.
own. Other organizations with strong research pro- Bureau of Review of laboratory physi- Tony Wahl
grams on this topic were also invited to join and par- Reclamation cal hydraulic modelling
programs. Investigation of
ticipate in the working group. The resulting collabo- erodimeters.
ration has brought together many of the most active USDA-Agricultural Large-scale laboratory test- Greg Hanson,
Research Service ing and development of Ron Tejral,
researchers and organizations working on dam SIMBA/WinDAM models. Darrel Temple
breach modelling worldwide (Table 1). Development and investi-
The working group has pursued this research us- gation of erodimeters.
HR Wallingford Small- and large-scale Mark Morris,
ing a phased approach. The first phase reviewed physical model testing (IM- Mohamed Hassan
historical developments related to physical modeling PACT project), developers
of HR-BREACH model
of dam breach processes in laboratory environments US Army Corps of Erodimeter evaluation, Jeff McClenathan,
(Wahl 2007) and ongoing efforts to develop im- Engineers breach model evaluation, Johannes Wibowo,
proved numerical models (Kahawita 2007). Labora- potential integration of Michael Gee
breach modelling technol-
tory test data were compiled, especially results from ogy into HEC-RAS suite
recent, large-scale physical model tests, and real- Elforsk, Energo Numerical breach model Ascila Romanas,
world case study dam failure data were also col- Retea evaluation Fredrik Persson
Ontario Power Numerical breach model Allan Kirkham,
lected (Courivaud 2007). The review of numerical Generation evaluation Yibing Zhang
models identified three computer models that the
Other sponsors: Churchill Falls Hydro, EoN Vasserkraft, Great Lakes
working group chose to evaluate in a second phase Power, Manitoba Hydro, New York Power Authority, Seattle City Light,
of the project using the assembled laboratory and Scottish & Southern Energy
real-world case study data sets. Summary results
from that evaluation effort are discussed in this pa- The development and integration of next-
per. generation dam breach modelling tools into dynamic
flood routing models and the continued improve- materials (but assuming surface erosion for
ment of those models going forward is the long-term both), an energy-based headcut migration model
objective of the CEATI-sponsored project. The (although not applied within the CEATI project),
models studied thus far are focused primarily on the and capability to analyse overtopping or piping.
overtopping1 failure mode and relatively simple em- The model can also simulate erosion through a
bankment geometries, but development is underway structure with a core and surface protection lay-
on modules to simulate internal erosion and more ers of grass or rock.
complex embankment geometries. These capabili-
FIREBIRD BREACH – Developed at the Poly-
ties are expected to continue to improve over time.
The three models included in this evaluation are technic School of Montreal through collabora-
all physically-based, simulating fundamental erosion tion with Hydro Québec. (Wang and Kahawita
processes by relating factors causing erosion to fac- 2002). FIREBIRD BREACH models surface
tors resisting erosion. The models utilize quantifi- erosion only (no specific head cut model), but
able erodibility parameters that can be directly includes options for zoned embankments and
measured or estimated from other soil properties failure due to piping.
when measurement is not possible. The models are
not calibrated to reproduce observed data from spe- In addition to these three models, the NWS-
cific dam breach case histories or laboratory tests, BREACH model (Fread 1988) was also evaluated as
but rather rely on verification of the basic erosion a point of comparison, since for many years it has
process models against laboratory tests designed to been one of the most widely used process-based dam
study the basic processes. The three models all have breach models. NWS-BREACH simulates surface
the capability to simulate erosion and breach of em- erosion only and allows for failures due to piping.
bankments that are primarily composed of cohesive The model also allows for the definition of a zoned
materials, and some also include erosion models fo- embankment, but at each time step computes erosion
cused on non- cohesive soils. The models have based on a homogeneous average of soil properties
varying abilities to analyse embankments with com- along the length of the breach channel. This is a
plex internal geometries (i.e., zoned construction). much simpler implementation than HR BREACH,
The models all consider erosion caused by overtop- which computes erosion rates specifically for each
ping flow, and some have the capability to also con- zone.
sider internal erosion. This evaluation focused only The evaluation process was carried out by assem-
on overtopping. The three models evaluated in this bling a team of evaluators from the participating or-
study are: ganizations, including the developers of the various
SIMBA – SIMplified Breach Analysis – Under models. The evaluators were educated in the theory,
development at the USDA-ARS Hydraulic Engi- development history, and use of the programs. The
neering Research Unit, Stillwater, Oklahoma. various case study data sets were presented, dis-
(Temple et al. 2005, Hanson et al. 2005a). This cussed, and reviewed for data accuracy before mod-
elling began. Model evaluators were asked to run
is a research-focused model used to analyse data
each model on the various case studies with at least
from large-scale laboratory tests for the purpose two sets of input parameters. The parameters used
of developing and refining algorithms needed for for initial runs comprised a so-called “best estimate”
the creation of an application-focused model, based on the data that would be available for a hypo-
WinDAM B. The focus of SIMBA is headcut thetical application of the model to prediction of a
erosion in homogeneous cohesive embankments. future breach event (a quasi “blind” run). After this
The version of the model evaluated here had initial run, evaluators were asked to make additional
some optional components disabled or restricted. runs in which modelling options and parameters
(WinDAM B Version 1.0 was officially released were varied with the objective of matching previ-
in August 2011). ously observed behaviour from the real world event
HR-BREACH – Under development at HR Wal- or laboratory test. In making these additional runs
lingford, UK (Mohamed 2002). This model has the evaluators were seeking to evaluate the sensitiv-
been improved through the years in connection ity to various parameters and to determine whether
with several European Union initiatives related observed behaviour could be reproduced with rea-
to flood modelling, including CADAM, IM- sonable parameter values and modelling options.
Evaluations of sensitivity were carried out subjec-
PACT, FLOODsite, and FloodProBE. HR
tively, with the understanding that models should
BREACH has a surface erosion component used exhibit “appropriate” sensitivity, since laboratory
to simulate erosion of cohesive or non-cohesive testing has shown that soil erodibility can vary
widely (Hanson and Hunt 2007) and does dramati-
1 cally affect observed breach behaviour (Hanson et
In this paper, the term ‘overtopping’ is used to mean the
al. 2005b).
continuous overflow of water rather than wave overtopping.
The nature of the models evaluated enables a ity of other input data and actual breach performance
relatively detailed comparison of simulated and ob- data.
served behaviour. The models all simulate both the The model evaluation results showed that the
breach initiation and breach formation phases, as de- SIMBA and HR-BREACH models both performed
scribed by Wahl (1998). Breach initiation begins very well on 6 of the 7 test cases. The Banqiao Dam
with the first flow of water over or through a dam case was poorly modelled by all of the programs,
that is sufficient to initiate warning, evacuation, or and the quality of the input and observed data are
other heightened awareness of the potential for dam questionable for this case. The evaluators were un-
failure. During breach initiation, flow released from able to successfully run the FIREBIRD BREACH
the dam increases very slowly, because the zone of model on most of the test cases. Compared to the
active erosion is not located at the point of hydraulic other two models, this model has received substan-
control of the outflow. When active erosion pro- tially less organizational support for continued de-
gresses through the dam to the point that it reaches velopment since it was first created and the user in-
the hydraulic control section, then the breach forma- terface was found to be difficult to use.
tion phase begins and flow begins to increase rap- Headcut erosion was a dominant feature of most
idly. Breach formation continues until the breach of the case studies. The SIMBA model with its de-
reaches its maximum size. terministic approach to headcut simulation (Hanson
Whereas early attempts to predict embankment et al. 2001) performed very well and exhibited ap-
dam breach parameters focused on just the breach propriate sensitivity to soil parameters. Only the
formation phase, these physically based models surface erosion options in HR BREACH were used
make it possible to evaluate the ability of the models for the evaluation runs, since HR BREACH’s head-
to simulate both breach initiation and breach forma- cut migration model (developed by Temple et al.
tion. Thus, model runs were evaluated for their abil- 2005) is similar to the SIMBA/WinDAM headcut
ity to reproduce the breach initiation time, breach models. In two of the Norway test cases that in-
formation time, erosion rates during each phase of cluded non-cohesive materials, surface erosion was a
breach development, and the complete breach hy- significant process observed during the tests. Here,
drograph (peak flow and duration). the HR-BREACH model performed very well.
To evaluate the models, they were tested using a SIMBA was also able to do a good job on these
set of seven case study dam failures. Two of these cases, but required some user judgment regarding
dam breaches were real, historic events (Oros Dam- how to model the non-cohesive materials.
Brazil 1960; Banqiao Dam-China1975), and five The Oros case study test highlighted the impor-
were large-scale tests conducted in outdoor labora- tance of drowning effects on breach formation. The
tory facilities in Norway (Hassan and Morris 2008) valley immediately downstream of the Oros Dam
and the USA (Hanson et al. 2005b). The laboratory poses a tight constriction. Inclusion of this constric-
tests, especially those from the USA, provided cases tion and the subsequent drowning of the breach dur-
in which erodibility of the embankment soils was ing the formation process produced prediction re-
very well quantified, test conditions were carefully sults far closer to the observed data than without
controlled, and observed erosion and breach devel- consideration of drowning effects.
opment were well documented. The USA tests Table 2 summarizes characteristics of the models
(1.75-m high embankments) included one case of and highlights their relative strengths.
full breach development and one case in which Sensitivity of the SIMBA and HR-BREACH
headcut erosion damage occurred, but breach initia- models to changes in soil erodibility parameters was
tion was not completed. The three tests from Nor- judged to be appropriate and consistent with ob-
way (5- to 6-m high embankments) were all cases of served variations in breach development during the
full breach development, with differences in soil ma- laboratory tests. Some model runs proved to be very
terial (homogeneous clay; gravel dam with moraine sensitive to specific parameters when it affected the
core; and homogeneous gravel). Due to the test fa- relative timing of the peak of the inflow hydrograph
cility (a reach of a large river below an active stor- and the completion of the breach initiation phase.
age reservoir), test conditions were more difficult to This is a real phenomenon which is often dramatic
control, actual behaviour was more difficult to when trying to simulate a laboratory test, where the
document, and there were some questions about the inflow hydrograph may be manipulated significantly
quality and accuracy of the data made available to during the test.
the modellers. Erodibility parameters for the em-
bankment materials were less certain than for the
USA tests. The two real dam breaches provided an
opportunity to test the models on full-scale scenar-
ios, but with typical difficulties estimating soil mate-
rial properties (especially erodibility), the as built
design of the dams and uncertainties about the qual-
Table 2 — Breach model characteristics computational model is the result of research includ-
ing embankment overtopping tests conducted in the
HR- SIMBA / NWS-
BREACH WinDAM FIREBIRD BREACH outdoor laboratory. The model is a simplified repre-
sentation of the observed process of progressive ero-
Erosion Process sion leading to embankment breach. The erosion
Models Good Good Fair Limited
Vegetation technology developed in SIMBA has now been in-
(CIRIA) and Vegetation, rip- corporated into Windows Dam Analysis Modules
Surface protection riprap rap in WinDAM Limited Yes
Headcut erosion Good Best No No
(WINDAM B) which is a modular software applica-
Stress-based — Yes — — tion being developed for the dam safety profession
Yes in response to this need (Hanson et al. 2011).
Energy-based Yes (in WinDAM) — —
Surface erosion Yes No Yes Yes
The SIMBA model used in the DSIG evaluation
Stress-based program was not a full-featured model, but a re-
bank failures search tool, which at the time of the evaluations
Mass-wasting / and arch fail- Bank failures
soil-wasting ure implicit Some Some concentrated on processes observed and material
Effects of Sub- Yes properties required for predicting erosion in over-
mergence Yes (in WinDAM) No Yes topping of homogeneous embankments. For this
Piping progres- In develop-
sion Yes ment Some Yes reason it did not evaluate failure of vegetation or rip-
rap or handle non-level crest profiles. WinDAM B
Data Input Guid- provides a more complete evaluation including sur-
ance Good Good Limited Limited
Ease of Use Good Good Difficult Difficult face protection provided by vegetation and rip-rap.
Computational Idealized three-dimensional shape and growth of
Efficiency Good Good Fair Good breach are determined by coupling a headcut devel-
Documentation Excellent Excellent Limited Good opment and advance model with hydraulic calcula-
Organizational tions based on normal depth flow and unit flow
Support for rates. Flow rate is approximated by assuming hy-
Continued
Development Good Good Weak None
drostatic pressure and an energy coefficient of unity
at the point of hydraulic control. The erosion rate is
Homogeneous,
Embankment Simple (Zoned in Simple Primitive a function of a soil detachment rate coefficient and
Geometry Options Zoning future) Zoning Zoning the excess applied stress.