2, 2012, 394–408
Original article
Economic evaluation of a 100% whey-based
partially hydrolyzed infant formula in the
prevention of atopic dermatitis among
Journal of Medical Economics Downloaded from informahealthcare.com by University of Maastricht on 06/18/14
Danish children
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Abstract
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Michael Iskedjian
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PharmIdeas Research and Consulting Inc., Oakville,
a
m
Objective:
D
ON, Canada, PharmIdeas Europe SAS, Lyon, France,
and Université de Montréal, Montréal, QC, Canada A pharmacoeconomic analysis was undertaken to determine costs, consequences, and cost-effectiveness
or
le is al of a brand of partially hydrolyzed 100%-whey formula manufactured by Nestlé (PHF-W), in the prevention of
Ferdinand Haschke
ng or i
nf
For personal use only.
atopic dermatitis (AD) in ‘at risk’ Danish children compared to extensively hydrolyzed formula (EHF-Whey or
si th rc
Bechara Farah
1
Methods:
20
Given the non-significant differences between PHF-W and EHF, the base case analytic approach amounted
ON, Canada to a cost-minimization analysis (CMA) reporting the difference in formula acquisition costs over the period of
o
la d le ©
Jenny van Odijk formula consumption for the population of interest. However, sensitivity analyses (SAs) were undertaken to
C
Nestlé Infant Nutrition, Nordic Region, Helsingborg, explore applying the nominal efficacy of PHF-W and EHF, thus leading to a cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA).
t
ht
ew p r
Sweden Hence, an economic model based on a 12-month time horizon was developed synthesizing treatment
vi e o
an h
pathways, resource utilization, and costs associated with the treatment of AD in the population of interest.
ig
Jade Berbari
o
The final economic outcome of the SAs was the incremental cost per avoided case (ICER) defined as the
r
yr
expected cost per avoided case of AD for PHF-W vs EHF, determined from three perspectives: the Ministry of
ON, Canada
di or S
y, us
No op
from the MOH, family, and SOC perspectives. In the sensitivity CEA, PHF-W was dominant over EHF-Whey
th
Conclusion:
Keywords: Under a range of assumptions, this analysis demonstrated the attractiveness of PHF-W vs both types of EHF
Cost-minimization analysis – Economic – Atopic in the prevention of AD among ‘at risk’ Danish infants who are not or cannot be exclusively breastfed.
dermatitis – Allergy – Infant nutrition – Infant
formula – Prevention
394 Economic evaluation of partially hydrolyzed infant formula in Denmark Iskedjian et al. www.informahealthcare.com/jme ! 2012 Informa UK Ltd
Journal of Medical Economics Volume 15, Number 2 April 2012
adjuvant factors (e.g., tobacco smoke, air pollution, and society16. A review of the literature did not yield any stud-
infections)3. Hence, allergen avoidance is key in the pri- ies reporting the cost of AD for Denmark. However, a 2006
mary prevention of allergy, as experimental and clinical study of 33 Italian children with AD reported a mean cost
data indicate that early exposure to dietary allergens may of E1254 per year for the family17; a 1999 study based in
be crucial for the development of allergies such as food Germany estimated the annual cost of AD from the soci-
allergies and AD4. Furthermore, infants are deemed to be etal perspective to be DM 4827 (E2468)18; and a second
at high risk of developing AD if they have a parent or German study, based on 91 children and published in
sibling with a history of allergy3,5,6. 2003, reported annual direct healthcare costs ranging
The World Health Organization as well as numerous from US$164 in mild cases to US$911 in severe cases19.
regional and national guidelines recommend exclusive The cost-effectiveness of PHF-W in the prevention of
breastfeeding for the first 6 months of life7–12. When the AD for ‘at risk’ children has been established in France20,
Journal of Medical Economics Downloaded from informahealthcare.com by University of Maastricht on 06/18/14
infant cannot be breastfed or breastfeeding duration is but no such economic evaluation has been published for a
shorter than recommended, extensively hydrolyzed Danish setting. This has prompted the present pharmacoe-
infant formulas based on whey (EHF-Whey) or casein pro- conomic analysis in order to determine the costs and con-
teins (EHF-Casein) are indicated both for treatment and sequences of PHF-W vs EHF in the prevention of AD in ‘at
prevention of cow’s milk and food allergy in ‘at risk’ infants risk’ children in Denmark.
in Denmark. Amino acid-based formulas (AAF) are also
available for allergy treatment, but at a much higher cost.
One specific brand of 100% whey-based partially hydro-
lyzed formula, NAN-HAÕ , manufactured by Nestlé S.A,
Switzerland (PHF-W) and branded under NAN-HA 1Õ in
Methods
Denmark, has been shown in randomized trials to be as Product, disease, and population of interest
effective as EHF in the prevention of AD, a fact confirmed
by two meta-analyses13,14. In addition, partially hydrolyzed The product of interest was PHF-W and the comparators
For personal use only.
formula is associated with lower rates of discontinuation were EHF-Whey and EHF-Casein. All three were assessed
due to a host of factors such as better taste, better texture, for their effectiveness in preventing the disease of interest,
and less bitterness4,6,15. AD, the most quantifiable of all allergic manifestations
Treatment for AD engenders an important amount of which can be associated with milk consumption. The pop-
health service resources (be they financial or logistical) ulation of interest was defined as healthy yet ‘at risk’ sub-
and places a significant burden on the child, family, and jects who were not exclusively breastfed. The term ‘at risk’
Mild cases
Medical Treatment
Atopic Dermatitis
Moderate cases
Symptoms
Combined Approach
(medical treatment
PHF-W Severe cases
and formula change)
No Atopic
Healthy “at risk” Dermatitis
newborns that are not
exclusively breastfed.
EHF:
Subjects will follow
the same pathways
as the branch above.
Figure 1. Decision tree model depicting the treatment patterns of atopic dermatitis in Denmark in a population ranging from newborns to 3-year olds.
! 2012 Informa UK Ltd www.informahealthcare.com/jme Economic evaluation of partially hydrolyzed infant formula in Denmark Iskedjian et al. 395
Journal of Medical Economics Volume 15, Number 2 April 2012
refers to children with at least one parent or sibling with a nominal efficacy and, in turn, was associated with a spe-
diagnosed history of allergies. cific set of outcomes and costs.
In a meta-analysis based on six studies comparing the effi- (Birth cohort in Denmark) (1 – Average Exclusive
cacy of PHF-W vs EHF-Whey and/or EHF-Casein in the Breastfeeding rate) (Rate of ‘at risk’ infants)
prevention of AD in ‘at risk’ children4,15,21–25, Szajewska The number of live births in Denmark in 2010 was
and Horvath13 reported no significant difference in the obtained from Statistics Denmark26. The average of the
relative risk (RR) of developing AD symptoms between exclusive breastfeeding rates at 1 and 4 months of age
PHF-W and either EHF preparation. Given that PHF-W was reported for Denmark by Benn et al.27. Three studies
and its comparators have a similar efficacy, the economic provided an approximation of the rate of newborns who
evaluation which was deemed most appropriate for the were born ‘at risk’ of developing AD (33%)3,5,6. The key
For personal use only.
base case analysis was a cost-minimization analysis components of the starting cohort are presented in
(CMA). In this type of analysis, all costs attributable to Table 1.
PHF-W and its comparators (i.e., the cost of treatment,
medical visits, laboratory testing, hospitalization, and all
indirect costs) would be equal except for the acquisition Cost of infant formula
cost of the formulas themselves. Hence, the CMA would One specific brand of EHF-Whey (ProfylacÕ , Hørsholm,
amount to an analysis of the difference in the acquisition ALK, Denmark) and one specific brand of EHF-Casein
costs of PHF-W vs EHF (Whey and Casein) when these (NutramigenÕ , Illinois, Mead Johnson, USA) were
formulas are used in prevention. This approach did not selected as the comparators to PHF-W in the present
take into consideration the cost of EHF preparations for study given that these brands had also been used as com-
the treatment of AD, rather its prevention, although these parators in the Szajewska and Horvath13 meta-analysis.
costs were taken into account in the sensitivity analyses The cost of the AAF was derived from Nutramigen AAß
(SAs) described below. (Mead Johnson). The price of the infant formula was
Although there was no significant difference in the obtained from a survey of pharmacies and large-scale
efficacy of PHF-W and its EHF comparators, there still retail outlets in Denmark. Infant formulas used by ‘at
existed a nominal difference in their efficacy in pre- risk’ infants are reimbursed by the MOH at a rate of 60%
venting AD symptoms. The nominal RRs for PHF-W in Denmark, for up to 4 months if these formulas are used
vs both EHF preparations were reported in an exten- for prevention and up to 6 months if they are used for
sion of the Szajewska and Horvath13 meta-analysis treatment (i.e., used after the occurrence of AD symp-
which was published by Iskedjian et al.14. In this toms)28. The proportion of formula costs which was not
latter scenario, if the statistical non-significance would covered by the MOH was assigned to the family of the
not be taken into account, the outcomes and the subject. The impact of modifying the reimbursement rate
costs associated with each infant formula would not for infant formulas and the length of such coverage was
be considered equal and would warrant the adoption explored in a set of secondary SAs. The parameters per-
of a cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) approach, rather taining to the cost of infant formula are presented in
than a CMA. Table 2.
Hence, a series of CEAs were undertaken as SAs to the When determining the quantity of infant formula
base case CMA in order to explore the possible consumed, one important distinction was brought forth:
cost-effectiveness of PHF-W vs both EHFs when the nom- not all subjects who consumed infant formula did so exclu-
inal differences in their efficacy in prevention of AD symp- sively. Indeed, subjects who were not exclusively breastfed
toms were considered. Each formula was then assigned its could be either exclusively formula-fed or fed a
396 Economic evaluation of partially hydrolyzed infant formula in Denmark Iskedjian et al. www.informahealthcare.com/jme ! 2012 Informa UK Ltd
Journal of Medical Economics Volume 15, Number 2 April 2012
Table 1. Epidemiological and clinical parameters applied in the base case analysis and in the primary sensitivity analysis.
Initial cohort
26
Newborns in Denmark in 2009 63,411
27
Exclusively breastfed infants in Denmark 78.5%
3,5,6
Percentage of ‘at risk’ newborns 33%
Infants forming starting cohort 4544 Calculation
Of formula-fed infants in Denmark, average 2.5% Calculation29
percentage who are exclusively formula-fed
Of formula-fed infants in Denmark, average 97.5% Calculation29
percentage who are both formula-fed and breastfed
Incidence rates of AD with PHF-W
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Time points
13,14
0–3 months 0.97%
13,14
3–6 months 1.35%
13,14
6–12 months 3.83%
13,14
12–18 months 0.96%
13,14
18–24 months 0.97%
13,14
24–30 months 1.48%
13,14
30–36 months 1.86%
Nominal relative risk of developing AD
PHF-W vs EHF-Whey
14
0–3 months 1.0
14
3–6 months 1.0
14
6–12 months 1.8
14
12–18 months 1.3
14
18–24 months 1.3
14
For personal use only.
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Journal of Medical Economics Volume 15, Number 2 April 2012
Table 1. Continued.
Third-line treatment
Mild 100% EP
Moderate 97% EP
Severe 95% EP
Fourth-line treatment
Mild Not required EP
Moderate 100% EP
Severe 99% EP
Estimated response rates to the combined management approach
First-line treatment
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Severe 99% EP
Rates of AD flare-ups
Mild 25% EP
Moderate 30% EP
Severe 50% EP
Mortality rate in the general Danish population
30
At the end of the first year of life 0.39%
30
At the end of the second year of life 0.03%
AD, Atopic dermatitis; EHF, Extensively hydrolyzed formula; EP, Expert panel; PHF-W, Nestlé brand of 100% whey-based partially
hydrolyzed formula.
combination of mother’s milk and infant formula. In order AAF. Exclusively formula-fed infants followed this feeding
to determine the percentage of infants who are exclusively regimen for the entire 6 months of formula consumption. It
formula-fed within those who receive formula, the follow- was assumed that infants who consumed both formula and
ing equation was applied: breast milk were fed formula 20% of the time in the first
month, 50% in the second month, 75% in the third
[100% (% ever-breastfed)]/[100% (% exclusively
month, and fully formula-fed for the remainder of the
breastfed)].
first 6 months of life.
The rate of infants who were ever-breastfed in Denmark
(including those exclusively breastfed) was derived from
the Organization of Economic Cooperation and
Expert panel
Development29. In turn, the percentage of infants consum- Five Danish expert clinicians (SH and AH, two pediatri-
ing both formula and breast milk among those infants who cians with an expertise in nutrition and allergy, BFV, a
were not exclusively breastfed amounted to: pediatrician, as well as PS and ML, two family physicians)
were presented with questionnaires developed in a similar
100% % of exclusively formula-fed infants.
fashion to those used in a previous publication by Iskedjian
The daily intake of infant formula was determined for et al.20. The answers to these questionnaires were synthe-
each of the first 6 months of life, based on the manufac- sized to determine an average approach to treatment path-
turer’s instructions for the preparation of PHF-W (4.7 g of ways and evaluate the resources utilized in the
formula/30 ml of water with various volumes of water, management of AD symptoms in a Danish setting.
depending on the age of the infant). These instructions In order to undertake the sensitivity CEAs mentioned
were comparable to those for both EHF brands and for in the ‘Type of Economic Evaluation’ section above, a
398 Economic evaluation of partially hydrolyzed infant formula in Denmark Iskedjian et al. www.informahealthcare.com/jme ! 2012 Informa UK Ltd
Journal of Medical Economics Downloaded from informahealthcare.com by University of Maastricht on 06/18/14
For personal use only.
Table 2. Economic parameters applied in the base case analysis and in the primary sensitivity analysis.
Formula
b
PHF-W (Nestlé – NAN-HA 1Õ ) Varied with the age of the subject Calculation DKK 80.95/600 g
b
EHF-Whey (ALK – ProfylacÕ ) and with the rate of partial Calculation DKK 198.50/400 g
b
EHF-Casein (Mead Johnson – NutramigenÕ ) breastfeedinga Calculation DKK 198.00/400 g
b
Amino Acid Based Formula (Mead Johnson – Calculation DKK 198.00/400 g
Nutramigen AAÕ )
Medical visits
32
General Practitioner All 1st-line Tx, 2nd-line Tx of all EP DKK 129.40/visit
mild cases and 50% of mod-
erate cases
nd 33
Specialist (Dermatologist or Allergist) 2 -line Tx of 50% of moderate EP DKK 650.00/first two visits, then DKK 462.00/visit
399
(continued )
Journal of Medical Economics Volume 15, Number 2 April 2012
38,39
38,39
AD, atopic dermatitis; DKK, Danish kroner; EHF, Extensively hydrolyzed formula; EP, Expert panel; PHF-W, Nestlé brand of 100% whey-based partially hydrolyzed formula; Tx, Treatment.
Structure of the model
MS ExcelÕ 2003 was used to construct a spreadsheet
model applying a series of 3-month cycles, starting with
Journal of Medical Economics Downloaded from informahealthcare.com by University of Maastricht on 06/18/14
DKK 248.81/hour
DKK 248.81/hour
Assumption
Assumption
expert panel.
Reference
approach.
each way)
8 h per day
period
400 Economic evaluation of partially hydrolyzed infant formula in Denmark Iskedjian et al. www.informahealthcare.com/jme ! 2012 Informa UK Ltd
Journal of Medical Economics Volume 15, Number 2 April 2012
secondary SAs, the estimated response rates for each line Time horizon
of therapeutic or combined management were reduced by In the primary SA, a time horizon of 12 months was
50% in order to test the effect of these parameters on the adopted as it represented the time during which most
results of the sensitivity CEAs. cases of AD first occur while extending beyond the
In addition to treatment, the economic model also took period of milk consumption. Secondary SAs were carried
into consideration the resource utilization and costs of out by applying a time horizon of 6 months (the period of
medical visits, of laboratory testing and of hospitalization, milk consumption) or of 3 years, at which point most AD
as well as all the indirect costs associated with these symptoms have either dissipated or have evolved
resources (further explained below). into broader allergic manifestations such as rhinitis or
Statistics Denmark published the baseline mortality rates asthma.
for infants born in Denmark in 2008–200930. Although
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Calculation of the incremental cost-effectiveness medical visits are fully reimbursed, but the cost of medical
ratios visits varies according to the specialty of the consulted
The final outcome of the sensitivity CEAs were incremen- physician and the number of medical visits32,33.
tal cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) detailing the expected Pharmacies in Denmark were surveyed to obtain the
cost per avoided case of AD by adopting PHF-W rather cost of emollients and the brand with the lowest price
than either EHF preparation. The ICER in this study is the was selected. In accordance with the recommendations
difference in costs between PHF-W and EHF preparations of the expert panel, all subjects used 2000 g of emollient
divided by the negative value of the difference in the creams for a period of 2 months at every occurrence of AD
number of cases between PHF-W and EHF preparations, symptoms, as per the quantity per month (1000 g) reported
as presented in the following simplified mathematical in a study by Beattie and Lewis-Jones34.
formulation: Depending on the age of the subject as well as the sever-
ity and location of AD symptoms, the expert panel recom-
CostPHF-W CostEHF mended the use of one or a combination of corticosteroid
ICER ¼
ðCasesPHF-W CasesEHF Þ creams (of very low, low, moderate, or high potency) and
immunosuppressants (details of the regimen are available
The number of cases of AD attributable to each infant upon request). The Danish Medicines Agency provided the
formula was determined by applying the nominal RRs for cost of the medications35 and the reimbursement rate for
PHF-W vs EHF-Whey and PHF-W vs EHF-Casein. This these medications for each range of medication costs36.
approach using avoided cases rather than occurring cases was According to the expert panel, subjects with mild symp-
warranted as this economic evaluation explored the pre- toms of AD were not administered any laboratory tests.
vention of AD when PHF-W was consumed. A similar However, 50% of subjects with moderate AD and all sub-
approach has previously been adopted in the analysis of jects with severe AD were given a Prick Test and an Oral
other preventative interventions such as vaccines31. Provocation Test. In addition, 10% of all moderate or
The intermediate economic outcomes associated with severe cases were eligible for a Specific IgE Test and
each infant formula were the aggregated costs applicable to 10% of severe cases were also subject to the Food
the MOH perspective (i.e., the reimbursed costs of for- Eviction Test. Furthermore, according to the expert
mula, medical visits, medications, and laboratory tests), panel, 1% of all severe cases are hospitalized for a period
the perspective of the family (i.e., the non-covered portion of 2 days. The cost of the laboratory testing and hospital-
of formula costs, travel costs, as well as such indirect costs ization are fully reimbursed in Denmark; these costs were
as time loss and productivity loss), and the societal per- obtained from a survey of a local medical clinic and hos-
spective (all of the above-mentioned costs). pital, respectively.
! 2012 Informa UK Ltd www.informahealthcare.com/jme Economic evaluation of partially hydrolyzed infant formula in Denmark Iskedjian et al. 401
Journal of Medical Economics Volume 15, Number 2 April 2012
When analyzing the family perspective and the societal within the CEA analysis. Monte Carlo ICERs were
perspective, indirect costs due to leisure time and/or pro- obtained by dividing the average incremental costs by
ductivity loss were included in the model. The calculation the average avoided cases which were obtained as a
of time lost was based on the population rate of participa- result of the simulations while median ICERs were identi-
tion in the workforce in Denmark (published by the fied by using the ICERs generated from each Monte Carlo
Statistics Denmark for 2010)37 as well as the average gross simulation, thus accounting for the incremental costs and
hourly wage and weekly hours of work published for outcomes of each simulation.
2007 and 2008, respectively, by the International
Labour Organization38,39. This calculation yielded a daily
number of hours worked of 7.27. A total of 4 hours loss was Results
granted to the family for physician visits and laboratory
Cost minimization analysis—Base case analysis
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Table 3. Results of the base case analysis presented from the perspective of the Ministry of Health, of the family of the subject, and of society as a whole.
Perspective Formula acquisition costs (in DKK) Savings with PHF-W (in DKK)*
PHF-W EHF-Whey EHF-Casein PHF-W vs EHF-Whey PHF-W vs EHF-Casein
*These savings are presented in parentheses because they are negative values.
Note: At time of analysis, 1 DKK ¼ 0.134 E ¼ 0.194 USD.
DKK, Danish kroner; EHF, Extensively hydrolyzed formula; MOH, Ministry of Health; PHF-W, Nestlé brand of 100% whey-based partially hydrolyzed formula.
402 Economic evaluation of partially hydrolyzed infant formula in Denmark Iskedjian et al. www.informahealthcare.com/jme ! 2012 Informa UK Ltd
Journal of Medical Economics Volume 15, Number 2 April 2012
Table 4. Results of the primary sensitivity analysis comparing PHF-W to The results of the primary CEA are presented in
EHF-Whey, presented from the perspective of the Ministry of Health, of the Table 6. The expected number of avoided cases by select-
family of the subject, and of society as a whole.
ing EHF-Casein over PHF-W was 26. The total costs asso-
PHF-W EHF-Whey ciated with EHF-Casein were DKK 44,982,191 and the
highest cost driver was the cost of formula. The expected
Outcomes ICERs for EHF-Casein vs PHF-W were DKK 365.585,
Number of Cases 453 728 DKK 746,073, and DKK 1,111,658 from the MOH,
Avoided Cases 274
family, and societal perspectives, respectively.
Costs (in DKK) These ICERs convey an unattractive cost-effectiveness
Ministry of Health Perspective
Cost of Formula 3,591,340 13,034,530 for EHF-Casein vs PHF-W, an outcome which was con-
Physician Costs 371,749 596,623 firmed in the secondary SAs (particularly the SA where
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Treatment Costs 10,057 16,167 the time horizon was limited to 6 months), presented in
Hospitalization Costs 47,975 77,016
Cost of Lab Tests 63,020 101,169 Table 7. The only secondary SA which yielded a negative
Total Cost 4,084,141 13,825,505 ICER (displaying dominance for PHF-W) was the SA
Incr Cost 9,741,364 applying the lower bound of the 95% CI of the RR of
Incr C/AC (ICER) 35,502*
developing AD, where the advantage of PHF-W over
Family Perspective EHF-Casein was greatly increased.
Cost of Formula 7,157,386 26,658,963
Treatment Costs 310,399 498,312
Cost of Time Lost 4,621,057 7,412,350
Travel Costs 287,355 461,447 Cost effectiveness analysis—Probabilistic
Total Cost 12,376,196 35,031,072 sensitivity analyses
Incr Cost 22,654,875
Incr C/AC (ICER) 82,565* PHF-W vs EHF-Whey
Societal Perspective The parameter distribution and variation applied in the
Total Cost 16,460,337 48,856,577 probabilistic SAs comparing PHF-W, EHF-Whey, and
For personal use only.
EHF-Casein vs PHF-W
avoided case of AD (i.e., the expected ICERs) were DKK As in the primary SA, the probabilistic SA comparing
35,502, DKK 82,565, and DKK 118,067 from the EHF-Casein to PHF-W used EHF-Casein as the basis for
MOH, family, and societal perspectives, respectively. the analysis, given its higher nominal efficacy. EHF-
These negative ICER values and the fact that more cases Casein was associated with a 76% likelihood of causing
were avoided by using PHF-W rather than EHF-Whey less cases of AD than PHF-W but with average Monte
indicate dominance of PHF-W over EHF-Whey from all Carlo ICERs of DKK 315,930, DKK 408,407, and DKK
three perspectives. The findings of the secondary SAs 724,337, from the MOH, family, and societal perspectives,
which were undertaken by varying some parameters of respectively. This probabilistic SA did not yield any prob-
the primary SA are presented in Table 5. PHF-W was ability of EHF-Casein being dominant over PHF-W, but
again dominant over EHF-Whey in all scenarios except the opposite, with PHF-W causing less cases of AD and
one: when applying the upper bound of the 95% CI of costing less than EHF-Casein, was true in 24% of observed
the RR of developing AD, a scenario with low probability. cases.
EHF-Casein vs PHF-W
Given that the nominal efficacy of EHF-Casein is better
Discussion
than that of PHF-W, the CEA comparing these two for- To our knowledge, this is the first published economic
mulas was geared towards evaluating the incremental cost evaluation of PHF-W in the prevention of AD in Danish
of EHF-Casein, not PHF-W; this analysis effectively ‘at risk’ children. This study differs in some aspects from a
became an analysis of EHF-Casein vs PHF-W. Hence, similar study published for France20: the French MOH
the formula presented in the Methods was reversed to does not reimburse EHF for prevention, thus prompting a
show the incremental cost of EHF-Casein, which had a CEA comparing PHF-W to the most commonly used
higher acquisition cost, for each additional expected infant formula, standard cow’s milk-based formula. In the
avoided case of AD. present analysis, EHF-Whey and EHF-Casein were
! 2012 Informa UK Ltd www.informahealthcare.com/jme Economic evaluation of partially hydrolyzed infant formula in Denmark Iskedjian et al. 403
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For personal use only.
404
Table 5. Results of the secondary sensitivity analyses comparing PHF-W to EHF-Whey, presented from the perspective of the Danish Ministry of Health, of the family of the subject, and of society as a whole.
PHF-W EHF-Whey PHF-W EHF-Whey ICER PHF-W EHF-Whey ICER PHF-W EHF-Whey ICER
MOH covered 100% of infant 453 728 4,127,674 13,869,368 35,503 12,332,663 34,987,209 82,564 16,460,337 48,856,577 118,067
formula program for treatment
MOH covered 100% of infant 453 728 6,434,835 22,471,329 58,444 10,025,503 26,385,248 59,622 16,460,337 48,856,577 118,067
formula program for prevention
MOH covered 100% of infant 453 728 11,197,994 40,440,605 106,574 5,262,344 8,415,972 11,493 16,460,337 48,856,577 118,067
Volume 15, Number 2
up to 6 months of age
Lower bound CI of the relative risk 251 731 3,828,725 13,807,400 20,804 10,033,821 35,082,065 52,221 13,862,547 48,889,464 73,024
used
Upper bound CI of the relative risk 812 785 4,566,747 13,935,723 349,304 16,543,350 35,650,714 712,381 21,110,098 49,586,437 1,061,684
used
Lower bound CI of incident rates 325 531 3,921,094 13,593,755 47,022 10,889,416 32,779,762 106,416 14,810,510 46,373,517 153,438
used
Table 6. Results of the primary sensitivity analysis comparing EHF-Casein A series of SAs were undertaken to explore a scenario
to PHF-W, presented from the perspective of the Ministry of Health, of the wherein the nominal efficacy of PHF-W and its compara-
family of the subject, and of society as a whole.
tors were applied, thus requiring a CEA approach. In the
EHF-Casein PHF-W primary comparison to EHF-Whey, PHF-W displayed
dominance from all perspectives. These findings were con-
Outcomes firmed by a set of secondary SAs in which PHF-W was
Number of Cases 428 453 always dominant over EHF-Whey except for the scenario
Avoided Cases 26
which applied the upper bound of the 95% CI of the RR
Costs (in DKK) of developing AD, a low-probability scenario wherein
Ministry of Health perspective
Cost of Formula 12,999,064 3,591,340 the advantage of PHF-W over EHF-Whey in prevention
Physician Costs 350,706 371,749 was greatly diminished. The probabilistic SA yielded
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Treatment Costs 9,488 10,057 an 86% probability of PHF-W being dominant over
Hospitalization Costs 45,259 47,975
Cost of Lab Tests 59,453 63,020 EHF-Whey.
Total Cost 13,463,971 4,084,141 For the comparison of PHF-W and EHF-Casein when
Incr Cost 9,379,830 nominal efficacy was taken into account, the SAs used
Incr C/AC (ICER) 365,585
EHF-Casein as the basis for the analyses as its nominal
Family perspective
Cost of Formula 26,594,813 7,157,386
efficacy was, very moderately, better than that of
Treatment Costs 292,829 310,399 PHF-W. The observed expected ICERs for the primary
Cost of Time Lost 4,359,488 4,621,057 and secondary SAs did not point to EHF-Casein as
Travel Costs 271,090 287,355
Total Cost 31,518,220 12,376,196
being an attractive alternative to PHF-W when used
Incr Cost 19,142,024 in prevention. The expected ICERS of DKK 365,582
Incr C/AC (ICER) 746,073 for the MOH and DKK 1,111,658 for society would
Societal perspective indicate that the cost of preventing one case of AD
Total Cost 44,982,191 16,460,337
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406
Table 7. Results of the secondary sensitivity analyses comparing EHF-Casein to PHF-W, presented from the perspective of the Danish Ministry of Health, of the family of the subject and of society as a whole.
PHF-W EHF-Casein EHF-Casein PHF-W ICER EHF-Casein PHF-W ICER EHF-Casein PHF-W ICER
MOH covered 100% of infant 453 428 13,505,040 4,127,674 365,489 31,477,151 12,332,663 746,169 44,982,191 16,460,337 1,111,658
formula program for treatment
MOH covered 100% of infant 453 428 22,088,945 6,434,835 610,129 22,893,246 10,025,503 501,529 44,982,191 16,460,337 1,111,658
formula program for prevention
MOH covered 100% of infant 453 428 40,017,715 11,197,994 1,123,268 4,964,476 5,262,344 11,610 44,982,191 16,460,337 1,111,658
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up to 6 months of age
Lower bound CI of the relative risk 251 339 13,352,890 3,828,725 107,980 30,514,033 10,033,821 232,194 43,866,923 13,862,547 340,175
used
Upper bound CI of the relative risk 812 531 13,600,874 4,566,747 32,131 32,680,785 16,543,350 57,394 46,281,659 21,110,098 89,525
used
Lower bound CI of incident rates 325 307 13,315,837 3,921,094 510,781 30,138,718 10,889,416 1,046,562 43,454,555 14,810,510 1,557,343
used
Table 8. Parameter distributions and variations in the probabilistic sensitivity analyses and presentations of the results of the probabilistic sensitivity analysis
for PHF-W vs EHF-Whey.
MOH milk program coverage for prevention for a period of 4 months Uniform 60–100%
MOH milk program coverage for treatment Uniform 60–100%
Quantity of milk consumed Uniform 85–141 grams
Relative risk Log Normal 95%CI
Incidence rates consideration Uniform 95%CI
Number of subsequent physician visits after finalizing treatment DUD 1–2 visits
Rounding down or up the number of cans used DUD round down or up
Laboratory tests from the diagnostic approach DUD include or exclude
Transportation costs DUD include or exclude
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Cost of time lost for the application of emollients DUD include or exclude
Cost of time lost for the application of medication DUD include or exclude
Align medical visits and laboratory tests or not DUD same or different times
Cost of leisure time lost DUD include or exclude
Days lost due to child at homea DUD 1 or 2 days
Time horizon DUD 6 months, 1 year, 3 years
Discount rate Uniform 0–5%
Discounting of outcomes DUD include or exclude
PHF-W
Average Costs (in DKK) 5,213,150 10,539,607 15,752,757
Average Number of AD Cases 485 485 485
EHF-Whey
Average Costs (in DKK) 17,861,541 28,995,136 46,856,677
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Conclusions Transparency
Under a certain range of assumptions and using both a Declaration of funding
CMA and CEA approach, the present analysis has estab- This study was funded by the Nestlé Nutrition Institute (NNI,
lished the attractiveness of NAN HA 1Õ , a specific brand Vevey, Switzerland).
of 100% whey-based partially hydrolyzed formula, in the
Declaration of financial/other relationships
prevention of AD in infants and very young children in
Professor Dr Ferdinand Haschke, Dr Jenny van Odijk, and Dr Jörg
Denmark. NAN HA 1Õ demonstrated dominance over
Spieldenner are employed by NNI; Michael Iskedjian, Bechara
EHF-Whey and EHF-Casein from all perspectives in Farah, and Jade Berbari are employed by PharmIdeas.
the base case CMA. In a series of SAs, a CEA approach
confirmed dominance of PHF-W over EHF-Whey, while Acknowledgments
it failed to establish attractive cost-effectiveness ratios The authors would like to acknowledge Dr Pia Ehlers, Dr Peter
for EHF-Casein, effectively confirming PHF-W to be Stokvad, Dr Mette Lystrom, and Dr Birgitte Frederiksen
the alternative of choice in the prevention of AD in Videbaek for their clinical input; these experts received hono-
Denmark. raria for their services. Further clinical input was provided by
! 2012 Informa UK Ltd www.informahealthcare.com/jme Economic evaluation of partially hydrolyzed infant formula in Denmark Iskedjian et al. 407
Journal of Medical Economics Volume 15, Number 2 April 2012
Dr Susan Halken and Dr Arne Høst. We would also like to 20. Iskedjian M, Dupont C, Kanny G, et al. Economic evaluation of a 100% whey-
acknowledge Dr Patrick Detzel (of NNI) for his analytical and based, partially hydrolyzed formula in the prevention of atopic dermatitis
among French children. Curr Med Res Opin 2010;26:2607-26
editorial input.
21. Halken S, Hansen K, Jacobsen H, et al. Comparison of a partially hydrolyzed
infant formula with two extensively hydrolyzed formulas for allergy prevention:
a prospective, randomized study. Pediatr Allergy Immunol 2000;11:149-61
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408 Economic evaluation of partially hydrolyzed infant formula in Denmark Iskedjian et al. www.informahealthcare.com/jme ! 2012 Informa UK Ltd