The history of the Cold War remains incomplete without taking into
consideration the role of Soviet energy, in particular in relation to oil and
natural gas. The various Soviet campaigns to extract natural resources in
ever-larger quantities were means to support the needs of the country’s
military as well as its energy-intensive economy. However, Soviet energy
exports also served as an important tool in Moscow’s project to integrate
the socialist states of Eastern Europe into a single economic space. With
regard to the states of the capitalist West, Soviet energy export largely served
the purpose of gaining access to technology and hard currency. While the
growing share of “red” oil and gas in European energy consumption was
viewed with suspicion in the West, Moscow too had reservations about the
prospect of the Soviet Union becoming increasingly dependent on for-
eigners for technology inputs and hard currency. During the period of
détente in the 1970s, however, trade in energy was to become the main
driver of Soviet–West European economic cooperation, eventually evolving
into the kind of East–West energy interdependence that determines rela-
tions between Russia and Europe to this day.
If anything, the Soviet Union was a rather reluctant energy power.
Considering only official statistics, the story of Soviet energy is one of
success, as oil and gas extraction and export figures rose year by year,
making the Soviet Union one of the world’s leading international energy
powers. But in actual politics, the issue of energy was more often a burden
rather than an asset. The image portrayed in the West during the Cold War
about the Soviet Union trying to use energy as a political weapon, as a way
v
vi PREFACE BY THE EDITOR
to tighten its grip over its Eastern European allies and counter American
influence in Western Europe, is at least partly misleading and in need of
revision. Also, the view that Soviet energy policy was generally driven by an
expansionist geopolitical agenda ignores the fact that the Soviet Union
repeatedly faced domestic energy shortages, and Moscow saw cooperation
with Western companies and states as a way to overcome internal economic
problems. In East–West relations, Soviet energy was at times a cause of
tension and confrontation, but much more often a political “softener.” The
Iron Curtain was a dividing line between East and West, but nowhere was
this curtain more porous than in the domain of energy flows.
This book takes a fresh look at international relations during the Cold
War, challenging some of the long-standing assumptions of East–West bloc
relations, as well as shedding new light on relations within the blocs regard-
ing the issue of energy. By bringing together a range of junior and senior
historians and specialists from Europe, Russia and the US, this book repre-
sents a pioneering endeavour to approach the role of Soviet energy during
the Cold War in a comprehensive manner, putting it into a transnational
perspective.
The research for this volume was originally undertaken for a conference
titled “Oil, Gas and Pipelines: New Perspectives on the Role of Soviet Energy
During the Cold War.” This event, which took place at the University of
Zurich on January 14–16, 2015, was organized by Jeronim Perović together
with Dunja Krempin and Felix Rehschuh from the Department of History of
the University of Zurich, and was financed by the Swiss National Science
Foundation (SNSF) and the Hochschulstiftung of the University of Zurich.
This book contains a selection of papers, which were first presented at this
international conference. The authors revised their papers based on discus-
sions during the conference, the editors’ comments and the inputs provided
by an anonymous reviewer.
The editor would like, in particular, to thank all participants of the confer-
ence who provided useful comments to the authors in preparing the resultant
chapters. They were Margarita Balmaceda, Alain Beltran, Elisabetta Bini,
Nada Boškovska, Roberto Cantoni, Nataliia Egorova, Falk Flade, Rüdiger
Graf, Jussi Hanhimäki, Per H€ogselius, Niklas Jensen-Eriksen, Suvi Kansikas,
Galina Koleva, Dunja Krempin, Giacomo Luciani, Lorenz Lüthi, Viacheslav
Nekrasov, David Painter, Tanja Penter, Felix Rehschuh, Oscar Sanchez-
Sibony, Benjamin Schenk, Hans-Henning Schr€oder, Andreas Wenger, and
Jean-Pierre Williot.
PREFACE BY THE EDITOR vii
The editor would like to thank Dunja Krempin and Felix Rehschuh for
their help in organizing this conference, and Felix Frey, Regina Klaus, Tom
Koritschan, and Markus Mirschel for their logistical support during the event.
Christopher Findlay and Tom Koritschan provided valuable help in the prep-
aration of this book. The editor would also like to thank Molly Beck,
Dhanalakshmi Jayavel, and Oliver Dyer at Palgrave Macmillan for their sup-
port during the publication process.
Part I From World War to Cold War: Soviet Oil and Western
Reactions 45
ix
x CONTENTS
Toward a New Gas Contract Between France and the USSR 241
Conclusion 246
Index 421
LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS
xv
xvi LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS
xxi
xxii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
p. papka (folder)
PAAA-MfAA Politisches Archiv des Auswärtigen Amtes, Bestand des
Ministeriums für Auswärtige Angelegenheiten
PAAF IML Party Archive of the Armenian Branch of the Institute for
Marxism-Leninism of the Central Committee of the
Communist Party of the Soviet Union
POWE Records of the Ministry of Power (in the National Archives of
the UK)
PREM Prime Minister’s Office
RAN Rossiiskaia akademiia nauk (Russian Academy of Sciences)
RG Record Group
RGAE Rossiiskii gosudarstvennyi arkhiv ekonomiki (Russian State
Archive of the Economy)
RGANI Rossiiskii gosudarstvennyi arkhiv noveishei istorii (Russian
State Archive of Contemporary History)
RGASPI Rossiiskii gosudarstvennyi arkhiv sotsial’no-politicheskoi
istorii (Russian State Archive of Social and Political History)
RO Working Party on Russian Oil
RRL Ronald Reagan Library
RSFSR Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic
SAPMO-BArch Stiftung Archiv der Parteien und Massenorganisationen der
DDR im Bundesarchiv
SDECE Service de documentation extérieure et de contre-espionnage
SD State Department/Department of State (of the United States)
SHAPE Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe
SNE Soiuznefteksport (Soviet Union’s oil export company)
SNK Sovet narodnykh komissarov (Council of People’s
Commissars)
SNSF Swiss National Science Foundation
SONJ Standard Oil of New Jersey
Sovnarkhoz Sovet narodnogo khoziaistva (Council of National Economy,
usually translated as Regional Economic Soviet)
SSR Soviet Socialist Republic
SSSR Soiuz Sovetskikh Sotsialisticheskikh Respublik (Union of
Soviet Socialist Republics)
SUR Soviet Union ruble
SUR/t Soviet Union ruble per ton
T Treasury
TAG Trans Austria Gasleitung
TAP Transalpine Pipeline
TCE Tons of oil equivalent
TNA The National Archives (of the United Kingdom)
TPES Total primary energy supply
xxvi LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
xxvii
LIST OF TABLES
xxix
The Soviet Union’s Rise as an International
Energy Power: A Short History
Jeronim Perović
In no other domain are Russia and Europe linked together as closely as in the
area of energy. Over the course of the twentieth century, energy flows between
East and West have overcome ideological barriers, wars, and sanctions. Soon
after the Bolsheviks seized power in 1917, they emulated the approach of their
Tsarist predecessors by exporting oil produced in the Caucasus to the capitalist
West in order to buy Western technology necessary for Soviet industrialization.
In the 1930s, a failed energy policy markedly decreased the Soviet Union’s
importance as an oil supplier to international markets. During World War II,
the Soviet Union even had to import fuel, particularly for aviation, from the
United States (US). Intensive efforts to develop new oil fields in the Volga-
Ural region re-established the Soviet Union’s significance on the European oil
market from the late 1950s onward.
In the frosty atmosphere of the early Cold War period, the Soviet “oil
offensive,” as it was sometimes called in the West, stirred fears of Moscow’s
growing influence over European affairs, prompting the North Atlantic
Treaty Organization (NATO) to advise its members to show restraint in
purchasing Soviet oil. In 1962, the Western Alliance even imposed an
embargo on the sale of steel pipes and pipeline technology to the Soviet
Union. Despite these measures, Western Europe’s imports of Soviet oil
increased steadily, and the embargo was lifted in 1966. Especially the global
J. Perović (*)
Department of History, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
energy crises of the 1970s led many West European countries to perceive
energy supplies from the Soviet Union as more reliable than those from the
crises-ridden Middle East, allowing the Soviet Union to regain significance
as an exporter of oil, and increasingly also gas, to Europe. At that time, even
the US considered a proposal by Moscow to import Soviet gas, and several
US companies explored the option of becoming engaged in a large natural
gas project in Western Siberia.
While many in the West remained suspicious of the growing share of
Soviet oil and gas in European energy consumption, Moscow also had
reservations about the prospect of becoming too dependent on foreigners
for technology and markets. However, if Moscow wanted to meet the
growing energy demand at home, keep supplying its communist allies in
Eastern Europe, and continue to ship oil and gas in increasing volumes to
costumers in Western Europe and potentially also beyond, the Soviet Union
needed to boost domestic production. Faced with stagnating production in
existing fields and the prospect of a looming domestic energy crisis, it was
only in the late 1970s, however, that the Soviet leadership finally decided
to expand investments into energy-rich Western Siberia; apart from oil, the
Soviet Union also started to exploit the large natural gas fields in the
northern part of the Tiumen’ region. In exchange for credits, pipe steel,
and technology, some of Western Siberia’s gas was shipped directly to
Europe via a new export pipeline, marking the beginning of a historically
unprecedented expansion of energy relations and laying the foundations for
the Soviet Union’s rise to becoming Europe’s key energy supplier.
Despite the relevance of energy and Russia’s role as the most important
provider of oil and gas to Europe, surprisingly little research has thus far
been conducted on the historical trajectories leading to current interdepen-
dencies.1 While even newer studies on global aspects of the Cold War
generally have little to offer in terms of the role of energy,2 historians of
energy do not typically focus on the Cold War as such and largely exclude
the Soviet Union from their global oil histories.3 When Cold War historians
did address the energy issue, it has been nearly exclusively from a Western
perspective.4 However, no meaningful investigation of East–West energy
relations during the Cold War is possible without taking into account the
Soviet perspective. In particular, there is still very little research based on
new archival material on issues such as Soviet strategic thinking about the
development of the country’s oil and gas sector, the establishment of energy
relations within the Soviet-controlled Eastern European communist states,
or the various meanings that Soviet leaders have attached to energy as a
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 3
factor in their relations with Western Europe and the US. This book will
rectify some of these deficiencies.
After a brief analysis of the main trajectories in Soviet energy policy and
East–West relations from the early 1920s up to World War II, this essay
offers an overview of the Soviet Union’s rise as an international energy
power during the Cold War. It argues that Soviet decision-making in the
sphere of energy politics was influenced and conditioned by a complex
interplay of domestic, regional, and global factors: the Soviet Union
needed to produce energy in ever-larger quantities not only to fuel indus-
trialization and modernization, but also to sustain its ambitions as a great
power. The various Soviet oil and gas campaigns from Stalin to Brezhnev
were designed to support the needs of the country’s military and its energy-
intensive economy. During the Cold War, energy also served as an impor-
tant tool in Moscow’s project to integrate the socialist states of Eastern
Europe into a single “energy space” through the construction of an exten-
sive pipeline system. With regard to the capitalist states of the West, the
primary function of Soviet energy exports was to gain access to Western
technology and hard currency. This access enabled the Soviet Union not
only to finance its own energy development projects, but also to buy wheat,
and to compensate for the losses it made by providing East European allies
with energy below world market prices. Especially in smaller European
countries, such as Finland, or certain states of the Third World, energy
exports also served as a means of expanding Soviet political influence.
The Cold War certainly loomed large over each step of economic rap-
prochement between East and West, as concerns over the security implica-
tions of increased energy trade and the potential dangers resulting from
growing (inter-)dependencies repeatedly emerged in the political discourse
on both sides of the Iron Curtain. However, the story of the Soviet Union
becoming Europe’s key energy supplier is ultimately not one that followed
Cold War logic—if such a logic is understood as a competition between two
opposing political camps, each with its unique economic system and ideo-
logical belief. Rather, cooperation was ultimately driven by national eco-
nomic interests and the challenges presented by the larger regional and
global markets. If the Iron Curtain marked the symbolic—and also the
physical—line dividing East and West during the Cold War, the increasing
flow of energy through an expanding transportation infrastructure, accom-
panied by a growing amount of direct personal contact at all levels (from
engineers and scientists to ministers and heads of state), reveals a different
map of Europe. On this map, the border between East and West became
4 J. PEROVIĆ
increasingly blurred as the two parts became more and more interlinked
through shared economic interests and a common ambition to stabilize
political relations.
By tracing the long historical path leading to these transnational energy
linkages between the Soviet Union and Europe, this essay introduces some
of the key issues that will be addressed in detail in the individual chapters of
the present volume. It then presents the structure of the book, providing
short chapter summaries.5
OIL IN WARTIME
The consequences of this rather ambivalent attitude toward petroleum soon
made themselves felt. Not only did oil export earnings decline sharply at the
beginning of the 1930s following a dramatic fall in the price of oil due to the
international depression. In the beginning of 1932, even export volumes fell
because of the Soviet Union’s increasing domestic demand for oil. In 1940,
despite a poor harvest, the country earned more from sales of grain than of
oil.25 From what they had observed during World War I and from their own
experience in the Russian Civil War, the Bolsheviks were well aware that a
modern mechanized war could not be won without oil. In December 1925,
Stalin described the “petroleum question” as one of the “fundamental issues
for world powers,” which would ultimately lead to friction between impe-
rialist states.26 Two years later, in his political report to the Central Com-
mittee, he stated that it was not possible to wage war “without oil” and that
the “likely victors in the coming war” would be those who had “superiority
in terms of oil.”27 However, the Soviet leadership still did not translate that
awareness into any type of concrete strategy that placed oil at the center of a
new energy policy.
Whereas countries such as the UK, Germany, France, and the US had
begun the transition of their economies from coal to oil at the beginning of
the twentieth century and accelerated this conversion significantly during
World War I, the Soviet Union initiated this change only at the end of the
1930s. In light of increasing political tensions in Europe at this time, the
Soviet leaderships was concerned about a potential fuel shortage in the case
of war. An even bigger concern was that virtually the whole oil-producing
and -processing industry was concentrated in the Caucasus. If a foreign
power succeeded in conquering this exposed region, the Soviet Union
would be de facto cut off from its oil supply. While the Soviet leadership
had been aware of the presence of substantial deposits of petroleum in the
Volga-Ural region since the end of the 1920s, it made little effort to develop
these resources. Given the increasing apprehension about the possible
outbreak of war in the late 1930s, the focus was on boosting production
as fast as possible. In the short term, this could be achieved only by the
extraction of greater oil volumes in the Caucasus.
While Azneft’, the Soviet company operating in the area around Baku,
succeeded in increasing its production,28 the Soviet leadership was dis-
mayed by the dramatic decline in oil production from the fields in the
Groznyi region. The state oil company Grozneft’ represented 36.2 percent
8 J. PEROVIĆ
of total Soviet oil production in 1932, but by 1937, this figure had fallen to
22 percent.29 This decline was not acceptable to the party leadership, and in
spring 1940, it dismissed Fëdor Bykov, the First Secretary of the Commu-
nist Party of the Chechen-Ingush Republic. In his place, the Politburo
appointed Viktor Ivanov, who was in charge of the petroleum industry
within the Chechen-Ingush Party Bureau and thus had substantial experi-
ence. It was now his task to eliminate the problems in the republic and, in
particular, to get oil production back on track. Indeed, in mid-November
1940, he reported to the fourth plenum of the Chechen-Ingush Party
Bureau that the “malicious theory” alleging a shortage of oil in the Groznyi
region had already been rebutted by an increase in production. He claimed
that the oil-processing industry in and around Groznyi, which then
processed around one third of Soviet oil, had also stabilized its production
levels.30 That the oil production targets had been set too high from the
outset and could not be met simply because of the area’s geology (in fact, oil
production in the Groznyi region peaked at the start of the 1930s) was news
that the Soviet leadership did not wish to hear. Ultimately, however, noth-
ing could prevent the decline of Groznyi’s significance within Soviet oil
production over the subsequent years.
While the Soviet leadership’s awareness of the importance of petroleum
increased in the late 1930s, an actual shift in the energy policy paradigm
occurred only after Nazi Germany launched its attack on the Soviet Union
in June 1941. Once it became clear that one of Hitler’s aims was to cut off
the Soviet Union’s oil supply by conquering the Caucasus, Stalin ordered
entire plants to be dismantled and relocated to the Volga-Ural region. He
also ordered the move of approximately 10,000 petroleum workers from
the Caucasus region to the new production site for the fast-tracked devel-
opment of the new deposits.31 The Wehrmacht operation was a failure to
the extent that German troops did not gain control of the oil fields of
Groznyi and Baku and succeeded only in occupying the petroleum complex
at Maikop in Adygeia, which had largely been destroyed by the Soviet Army.
Because Stalin had ordered the precautionary dismantling of parts of the
facilities in Groznyi and Baku, including concreting over some drill holes
(which in some cases caused irreparable damage), and production east of the
Volga had not started up to the required extent, Soviet oil production
decreased by approximately one-third between 1940 and 1946.32 Despite
its proven major resources of fossil energy carriers, the country thus faced a
serious supply shortage during the war with Nazi Germany. Without fuel
deliveries from the US under the Lend-Lease Act, the Red Army would
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 9
factor in the energy balance was that the Soviet Union was now able to
import oil and other raw materials not only from Romania and Austria, but
also from other East European countries, which at the time were still net
exporters of energy carriers. Only in the 1960s, with the expansion of energy-
intensive industries and through the construction of a vast export pipeline
system, did the countries of Eastern Europe become increasingly dependent
on Soviet oil and—later—gas imports.41
Soviet exports to the West were essentially directed at those countries
with which the Soviet Union had traded before the war. Italy, France, the
UK, and, following Stalin’s death in 1953, West Germany purchased oil
from the Soviet Union (although initially only in very modest quantities).
The main recipients at this stage were smaller countries, particularly Fin-
land, Sweden, and Ireland. In 1954, these three countries absorbed nearly
three-quarters of Soviet oil exports to non-communist countries.42 Over-
all, however, at the start of the 1950s, the volumes shipped to the large
European countries were too small to cause concern in the West, partic-
ularly because the Soviet leadership was anxious to present itself to its
major European customers as a reliable trading partner. Much like before
the war, the Soviet Union regarded these countries as important trading
partners and sources of hard currency income. The same did not neces-
sarily apply to the smaller European economies or the countries of the
Third World. In this case, the Soviet Union did not hesitate to use oil as a
political instrument, even as a means of exerting pressure, when the
Kremlin considered it opportune.
Oil could be highly effective as a means of political pressure in situations
of particularly high dependency. In the 1950s, for example, Finland
imported between 80 and 90 percent of its oil from the Soviet Union and
other socialist states in Eastern Europe.43 Finland, which shared a long
border and a bloody history with the Soviet Union, was interested in
good trade relationships to maintain good neighborly relations. The Finnish
government was even prepared to forego economic assistance from the
West to achieve this goal. When the Soviet Union curbed its oil exports in
1958 because it was unhappy with the composition of the new Finnish
government, the government in Helsinki decided to resign and form a new
administration. Rather than accepting the offer of economic assistance from
the US, and shipments of oil to Finland from Western energy companies
such as Shell, Finland opted to accommodate Soviet interests to achieve
better relations with its big neighbor to the east.44
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 11
Oil and politics also mixed in other parts of the world. After the exclusion
of the Yugoslav Communist Party from the Communist Information
Bureau (Cominform) in 1948, the Soviet Union imposed a blockade
against the country and resumed oil shipments only in 1954, following
the rapprochement between Khrushchev and Tito. Moscow also stopped
oil deliveries to Israel in 1956 after the Suez Crisis. In addition, the Soviet
Union interrupted oil exports to China, when Sino-Soviet relations hard-
ened in the early 1960s. Particularly in the Third World, where the Soviet
Union and the US continued the East–West conflict by vicarious means,
exports served as a weapon in the competition between the two political
systems. In the 1950s and 1960s, the Soviet Union thus supplied selected
Third World countries in Latin America, Africa, and Asia with oil and other
goods under favorable conditions and attempted to exploit this in propa-
ganda as a contribution to their “liberation” from the Western “colonial
powers.” At the same time, the Soviet Union had a measure of appeal as a
trading partner for many countries because, in contrast to the international
oil companies, it was prepared to conclude barter transactions. In the 1950s,
the Soviet partner exchanged oil for Egyptian cotton, Cuban sugar,
Uruguayan wool, and Israeli citrus fruits. Even with Finland, its most
significant European partner at the time, trade was mainly conducted
through exchanges of goods: the Finns supplied technology, ships, and
other finished products, and imported oil and other raw materials from
the Soviet Union.45
the world’s largest purchaser of Soviet oil), Soviet oil represented only
16 percent of the country’s total oil consumption in 1959.49 Given the
high global surplus supply of oil at the time, European countries could have
easily switched to other suppliers in the event of difficulties with the Soviet
Union.
Still, from the late 1950s onwards, energy became a topic on the Western
political agenda. When the British government imposed an embargo on
imports of Soviet oil to the UK in 1959, it justified this decision with the
argument that the Soviets would use oil as a means to gain political advan-
tages. Yet British reports from the time show that this was not the main
motive. The government’s primary concern was protecting the economic
interests of domestic energy companies and keeping an unwelcome com-
petitor in the British market at a distance, particularly because the Soviet
Union was offering its products at much more favorable prices than Western
firms.50 Because Britain drew its oil supplies also from other sources at the
time (in the 1960s, the UK’s major suppliers included Saudi Arabia, Iran,
Kuwait and Libya), London was far from reluctant in 1961 to support a
secret recommendation from the NATO Council, which urged its members
“on their own responsibility to exercise caution and restraint in determining
the level of their oil imports from the Soviet bloc” in view of possible
political implications.51
The same British government was, however, less pleased when the US
strengthened its sanctions against the Soviet Union following the Berlin and
Cuba crises in 1961/62. In November 1962, Washington succeeded in
getting a secret resolution passed by the NATO Council designed to
prevent even those deliveries of large-diameter pipes to the Soviet Union
that had already been contractually agreed on.52 The aim was to torpedo
projects such as the Druzhba (“Friendship”) oil pipeline that was to trans-
port Soviet oil via the Soviet republics of Ukraine and Belorussia to Poland,
Hungary, Czechoslovakia, and the German Democratic Republic (GDR)
and, hence, to the borders of Western Europe.53 Because the provisions of
the resolution were left relatively vague, Italy and the UK refused to cancel
existing trade contracts with the Soviet Union. However, the boycott
proved to be of no strategic benefit. The oil pipeline was successfully
completed in 1964 without any major delay, not only because the Soviet
Union ramped up its own production of large-diameter pipes; companies in
non-NATO countries such as Sweden and Japan also jumped into the
breach in some cases. The major losers were West German steel companies,
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 13
which forfeited large orders for the supply of pipes to the Soviet Union
because of the boycott.54
The completion of the Druzhba oil pipeline also had impacts on energy
relations with individual West European countries, because Soviet crude oil
could now be transported to the West faster, cheaper, and in greater
quantities. Although the Federal Republic of Germany (FRG), for example,
nearly doubled its oil imports from the Soviet Union from 3.1 to 5.6 million
tons between 1965 and 1967,55 the share of Soviet oil in the country’s total
oil consumption was still less than 10 percent. Even in the case of Italy, still
remaining the largest European purchaser of Soviet petroleum, the share
did not exceed 20 percent.56 When NATO finally lifted the embargo on
pipe sales in November 1966, the debate in the West was no longer about
the possible risks for Western Europe created by “red oil.” Rather, this time
an increasing number of voices warned about a possible Soviet oil shortage
in the near future, caused by declining growth rates, increasing domestic
demand, and existing supply commitments to East European satellites.
Thus, many doubted the ability of the Soviet Union to maintain its exports
to the West at a high level in the coming years, much less to significantly
increase them.57
The exact state of the Soviet energy economy at the time could not be
determined with any degree of certainty, as Soviet statistics were thought to
be manipulated. The West had therefore to learn to observe the situation
and formulate assumptions. When the head of Gosplan, Nikolai Baibakov,
visited Iran in April 1967 to negotiate the import of Iranian oil and natural
gas in return for Soviet economic aid and technology, the British Foreign
Ministry interpreted this negotiation as an indication that the Soviet Union
was preparing for a domestic shortage of oil.58 More generally, in London,
and even more so in Washington, the prevailing view held that the Soviet
Union could be tempted to become more closely involved with oil-rich
states of the Middle East to solve its energy problems. For example, Central
Intelligence Agency (CIA) reports from the time repeatedly suggested that
in the event of a renewed outbreak of the Arab-Israeli conflict, as last
experienced in the region in June 1967, the Soviet Union might be tempted
to provide assistance to the Arabs and acquire greater influence over the
Arab oil sector in return.59
The Americans and British, who were not importing any Soviet oil,
naturally viewed the global energy situation differently than the Germans,
Italians, and French. As more and more producer countries in North Africa
and the Middle East were nationalizing their oil production and trade, the
14 J. PEROVIĆ
bloc at the time (that is to say, from “uncertain areas,” as the US ambassa-
dor emphasized), does not appear to have concerned Schmidt. NATO
Secretary General Manlio Brosio, an Italian, also found the ambassador’s
arguments less than convincing and asked whether this was truly a problem
for Europe or, rather, an issue for the Americans and the international oil
companies.64
Only three years later, as a result of the energy crisis of 1973/74,
Middendorf’s warning regarding Europe’s dependence on Arab oil proved
to be well founded. As a protest against the support given to Israel in the
Yom Kippur War in October 1973, the Organization of Arab Petroleum
Exporting States (OAPEC) curbed its production and ceased deliveries to
the US and the Netherlands. At the end of November, OAPEC added
Portugal, South Africa, and Rhodesia to the embargo list. This embargo,
which was lifted only in March 1974, led to a massive increase in prices and
supply shortages in numerous European countries. However, Middendorf’s
fear of the Soviet Union jeopardizing Europe’s energy supply did not
materialize. On the contrary, Soviet–West European energy relations had
become closer, and once the crisis of 1973/74 passed, Moscow was endeav-
oring to use the global oil scarcity as an opportunity for economic rap-
prochement, not only with the Europeans, but with the Americans as well.
At the time when Middendorf expressed his warning, the Europeans had
already embarked on a new chapter in their energy relations with the Soviet
Union, aimed at boosting the imports of both oil and natural gas. Austria
became the first European country to import Soviet gas in 1968. One year
later, Italy and the FRG commenced negotiations on Soviet gas imports. In
West Germany, the government, as part of its new Ostpolitik, adopted the
concept of “transformation through trade” (Wandel durch Handel).
Beyond increasing economic benefits, the intensified trade relationships
were to improve political relations as well.65 A milestone in this context
was the large German–Soviet barter deal concluded in February 1970. The
FRG supplied the Soviet Union with 2000 km of pipeline and, in return,
received Soviet natural gas. These pipelines were to be used to transport
Soviet gas from already developed fields of Western Siberia into the
European part of the country, through Czechoslovakia and up to the
West German border in Bavaria. From there, the gas was to be distributed
not only to Germany but also to France and toward Vienna and Milan. This
transaction, guaranteed with a loan from a consortium of German banks,
was to keep the German large-diameter pipe production plant of
Mannesmannr€ ohren-Werke GmbH in Mündelheim running at full capacity
16 J. PEROVIĆ
for two and a half years. It would also, in the words of the German news
magazine Der Spiegel, make up for the “rebuff” suffered by the German
steel industry following the embargo forced on its partners by the US at the
beginning of the 1960s.66
The geographical options for Soviet exports in the beginning of the
1970s were not confined to Europe. Soviet–American relations improved
after US President Richard Nixon initiated a policy of détente, which aimed
for increased trade relationships to facilitate East–West rapprochement. In
the early 1970s, it would have been quite possible for both the US and
Japan to join the list of recipients of Soviet gas. A particularly prominent
issue of Soviet–American trade negotiations was the so-called “North Star,”
a project for the construction of a pipeline from the large, but yet to be
developed, Urengoi gas field in the northern part of Western Siberia. Via a
pipeline of approximately 2400 km, the gas was to be transported near to
the Soviet sea port of Murmansk, where it would be liquefied and shipped
by tanker to the US. Another idea was to transport gas from Yakutsk in
Eastern Siberia to the Pacific coast, from where it would be shipped in liquid
form to Japan and the US West Coast.67
During a visit to the FRG in May 1973, Leonid Brezhnev, General
Secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU), was posi-
tively euphoric in discussions with his German business partners on the
question of energy relations and promised to use all his personal influence
to ensure the Soviet Union could meet the high demand for natural gas not
only of socialist countries, but also of Germany, Austria, France, and, above
all, the US. Just as he was convinced about the economic benefits of
cooperation, the Soviet leader hoped that closer energy relations would
make “people realize that the Soviet Union is not cutting itself off [from the
outside world].”68
Brezhnev’s assurances to personally advocate for this project are indica-
tive of the difficulties the development of Western Siberia contained. The
Soviet leadership had ordered the prospecting and development of Western
Siberia already in the mid-1960s, following the discovery of ever-larger oil
and gas reserves in the region. However, the development was proceeding
slowly, because the undertaking was much more complex and costly than
any of the Soviet energy projects to date. In addition, there was a wide-
spread perception among Soviet planners that a sustainable development of
Siberia required a far more comprehensive approach, which would go
beyond the mere extraction of raw materials. This included the construction
of an extensive infrastructure comprising dozens of new cities for workers
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 17
lesser evil in the eyes of the Europeans in terms of the security of their
energy supply.
The Americans started from a rather different position. Because of their
own considerable fossil fuels production and oil imports, primarily from
Venezuela and Persian Gulf countries, they were not dependent on Soviet
energy, and Washington’s assessment of any possible energy cooperation
with the Soviet Union differed from the European view. Although Nixon
and his National Security Adviser, Henry Kissinger, viewed trade as a force
for improving political relations, the transactions also had to turn a profit.
Given the major investment of capital required for the implementation of
the “North Star” project, it was understandable that the Americans would
be less enthusiastic than the Soviets. The latter were dependent on Western
technology and loans for the development of Siberia, which made them
much more motivated to establish an energy partnership. This became
evident when Moscow attempted to use the 1973/74 crisis to build up
the level of confidence in Soviet-American relations required for the suc-
cessful implementation of such a large and long-term undertaking as the
“North Star” project.
The heated atmosphere of the Arab–Israeli confrontation, however,
required the Kremlin to operate extremely sensitive and balance all interests.
To keep the positive sentiments toward the Soviet Union in the Arab world,
Moscow continued to present itself as a protector of the Arabs. On
November 16, 1973, Radio Moscow hence justified the Arab boycott as a
“necessary measure of self-defense” to resist the “tanks and aircraft supplied
by the USA to Israel.”71 However, in its dealings with the US, Moscow
adopted a very different tone. In a radio broadcast for North America on the
same day, the commentator told listeners that “the energy crisis [could be]
overcome” if countries cooperated more closely with one another. He
argued for the removal of the “discriminatory measures” that continued
to obstruct trade between the US and the socialist states: “How can the US
expect to cope with its economic and energy problems when it refuses
countries rich in resources equal trade conditions?”72
The exact meaning of this had been made clear by Radio Moscow on
November 4, 1973. In a radio interview, Nikolai Nekrasov, member of the
Academy of Sciences responsible for the development of Siberia, said that the
day was approaching when “cold Siberia [would] light and heat New York,”
which was undisguised propaganda in favor of the American-Soviet gas
project.73
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 19
The Soviet charm offensive achieved little in the US. Washington did not
consider the Siberian gas project to be sufficiently profitable and showed
little enthusiasm about providing Moscow with credits. As Kissinger
explained in direct talks with Mao Zedong, the leader of the People’s
Republic of China, in November 1973: “Even if [the Soviets] were able
to produce the natural gas they have claimed, and there is still some dispute
about that, it would only amount to about five percent of our needs. And it
would take ten years to deliver. And within that ten-year period, we will
have developed domestic alternatives, including natural gas in America.
That makes it much less necessary, in fact probably unnecessary, to import
natural gas in quantities. [. . .] They want 8 billion dollars [in credits] just for
natural gas [development].”74
The Soviet offer also encountered major resistance in the US Congress
from political circles that, under the leadership of Senator Henry
M. Jackson, had from the outset argued against a more open US trade
policy toward the Soviet Union and denied the country Most Favored
Nation (MFN) status, which would have been a prerequisite to accessing
large credits.75 Finally, the deterioration in Soviet–American relations
beginning in the mid-1970s led to the definitive burial of all hopes for
implementing the energy projects. A Soviet–American energy partnership
was to remain a utopian dream, which also meant that, for the moment, the
vast potential of Siberia remained largely underused. Delays in the develop-
ment of the energy reserves of Siberia had serious consequences, in that in
the mid-1970s, there were increasing signs that the Soviet Union was,
indeed, heading toward a domestic energy crisis.
The Soviet leadership did not abandon its East European allies, as
maintaining and strengthening intra-bloc alliances remained a top political
priority for Moscow. But in confidential talks with leaders of other East
European socialist parties, Brezhnev was quite blunt in pointing out the
major investment problems his country was facing, including the challenge
of developing Siberian energy, and the inability to further subsidize its East
European allies. During a meeting with leaders of East European socialist
parties in Budapest in March 1975, including János Kádár from Hungary,
Edward Gierek from Poland, and Erich Honecker from the GDR, Brezhnev
made his point quite clear:
Today I came here, figuratively speaking, with empty pockets [. . .]. Naturally,
we are not refusing to continue to develop our cooperation. [But we] have to
state honestly that we are faced with a number of difficult problems [within
the Soviet Union]. Among them are the further improvement of the agricul-
ture, increase of production of oil, [natural] gas, and lumber, construction of
the Baikal-Amur railroad, obligations to the fraternal countries, and further
improvement of the living standards of the population. [. . .] In order to
transport [natural] gas from [Tiumen’] to the European part, to deliver it to
Bratislava or Budapest, we need huge financial and material resources. We do
not have enough pipes of our own, so we have to use currency to purchase
them abroad. [. . .] In short, there are many problems. We have thought
seriously about how to make our economy more profitable. So far, unfortu-
nately, the return of the investment has been decreasing.86
Eastern Europeans and Soviet citizens alike felt the impact of their country’s
“energy crisis” first hand. Concerned about remaining a trustworthy trading
partner, the Soviet leadership was determined to keep supplying its customers
in Western Europe with the contracted gas quantities even in harsh winters,
which meant it was prepared to deliver gas that was not actually available. The
gas supply to Soviet domestic consumers in the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist
Republic (SSR) was repeatedly cut back or even switched off altogether, so
that the West Europeans, who had no knowledge of the desperate state of
affairs in the East, would stay warm in their apartments.87 Naturally, the
Soviet media was careful not to write about such severe cutbacks; in the late
1970s; however, Soviet journals and newspapers repeatedly informed their
readers about the problems of energy production and the challenges of
developing Siberian energy.88
The Soviet energy complex did indeed enter a crisis in the mid-1970s;
yet, the CIA’s assessment ultimately proved to be incorrect. By the end of
22 J. PEROVIĆ
1977, the Soviet leadership finally ramped up its campaign for the develop-
ment of West Siberian energy, and natural gas in particular.89 In 1978,
production at Urengoi started, and at nearly the same time, the conditions
had been put in place for the construction of an export pipeline between
the new Siberian fields and Western Europe. An external event, the
Iranian Revolution of 1979, lent crucial momentum to the creation of
Soviet–European energy linkages.
When Brezhnev started his Siberian campaign at the end of the 1970s, the
region had long since become the Soviet Union’s most significant raw
materials production center. According to Soviet statistics, the Tiumen’
region in Western Siberia had emerged as the country’s largest oil producer
as early as 1974, and three years later, the region was also heading the
statistics for gas production.90 After the discovery of large gas fields, such as
Urengoi and Medvezhe, in the second half of the 1960s, the question was
not whether the region had sufficient fossil energy carriers, but whether
there was sufficient capital investment and manpower to develop these fields
within a reasonable period of time.
Although part of the gas produced was intended for export to Western
Europe, the main priority was supplying the domestic market. Furthermore,
the “gasification” of the country was designed to ensure sufficient oil reserves
for highly profitable sales abroad. Whereas the Soviet Union derived approx-
imately 20 percent of its foreign currency receipts from oil exports at the start
of the 1970s, higher world market prices and growing export volumes caused
this figure to rise to approximately 50 percent by the mid-1970s.91 However,
the Siberian natural reserves were so large, that part of the resource could be
freed up for export if the West was prepared to provide technical and financial
assistance. Once again, the FRG played a central role.
The FRG received Soviet gas via a pipeline through Czechoslovakia for the
first time in October 1973, and a year later, Italy started sourcing gas from
the Soviet Union via a pipeline through Austria. France imported gas from
the Soviet Union in 1976.92 During the 1970s, the countries that became the
main recipients of Soviet gas were hence essentially those that had previously
been the main customers of Soviet oil. As a result of continuing growth in
imported quantities, in 1978, Soviet gas already represented 10.7 percent of
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 23
France’s total consumption of natural gas. At the time, the equivalent figure
in West Germany was 15.9 percent, and in Italy as high as 29.5 percent.93
Given these numbers, it would thus certainly not be appropriate to speak of
there being a European dependency on Soviet natural gas or energy in
general, particularly because gas still represented only a very modest share
of the energy mix in these countries.94 This situation would only change after
the building of a large-scale pipeline used solely for exports of Siberian gas to
Europe.
The idea of building an export gas pipeline between Western Siberia and
Europe had been discussed in German–Soviet trade talks since 1977.95 By
spring 1978, the discussions had “not reached a stage” that would allow
conducting specific negotiations at the political level.96 The reason was the
FRG’s and Soviet Union’s preference for the idea of a tripartite transaction
with Iran, which had been under discussion since spring 1973. Under this
arrangement, Iran was to supply around ten billion cubic meters of gas to
the Soviet Union via a pipeline, and the Soviet Union would release the
same volume from its own production for Western Europe. The FRG was to
be the hub for the on-selling of the gas to other West European countries.97
The Soviet–Iranian pipeline was almost complete when the Shah was
toppled at the beginning of 1979 and the Islamic Republic of Iran was
declared. What the Europeans and Soviets initially perceived as a shock soon
proved to be an opportunity; the establishment of the Iranian Republic
brought the idea of a direct pipeline connection between Siberia and
Western Europe into the foreground, which essentially represented the
continuation and further extension of the project that had been discussed
with the Americans in the early 1970s. When the top leadership of the FRG
and Soviet Union met for talks in Moscow at the end of June and beginning
of July 1980, both Brezhnev and Prime Minister Aleksei Kosygin took the
opportunity to advocate for this project:
For the Soviet Union, the natural gas pipeline deal, which was financed with
West European credit and details of which were negotiated through to
1983,100 was of major benefit: in return for natural gas, Western Europe
supplied the urgently needed steel pipes and other technical equipment.
The Soviet Union had already carried out similar projects with Western
involvement, such as the 2750 km Soiuz (“Union”) gas pipeline
constructed between 1975 and 1978 as an international partnership. That
gas pipeline, which ran from Orenburg in the South Urals to Uzhgorod on
the Ukrainian–Slovak border (from where it continued as the Transgas
pipeline through Eastern Europe to Central and Western Europe), had
also been financed with Western loans. The construction of some sections
of the route involved manpower from natural gas-importing countries
(Bulgaria, the GDR, Poland, Czechoslovakia, and Hungary).101
soldiers of labor, virtually on a par with veterans of the Great Patriotic War.
These workers also gained faster access to apartments, child care, or even a
car. In return, the workers, as highlighted in a report in Der Spiegel, were
prepared to accept a performance-based system unusual for Soviet condi-
tions. Work brigades “who worked too slowly or with an inferior level of
quality” automatically received a lower salary: “Failure meant dropping a
level in the pay scale—a hint of capitalism in the pipeline.”108
The US had already lifted its sanctions by the time the so-called Urengoi–
Uzhgorod pipeline was officially opened at the end of 1983. It was one of
six new Siberian pipelines, with a total length of approximately 20,000 km,
to be opened between 1981 and 1985.109 In addition to further consoli-
dating the Soviet Union’s leading power status as Europe’s main energy
supplier, this definitively established natural gas as the most important
component of the domestic Soviet energy mix, and Western Siberia as the
Soviet Union’s predominant raw materials power house. Through these
energy linkages, Soviet energy exports grew by 270 percent between 1970
and 1988.110 The natural gas from Urengoi, transported via the new gas
pipeline, helped to double the volume of natural gas exported to Western
Europe.111 The level of dependence of some of the larger European coun-
tries on Soviet oil and gas increased significantly, with Soviet oil and gas
representing 20–30 percent of their total consumption. Conversely, the
Soviet Union’s dependence on Western Europe also increased. At the
start of the 1980s, the Soviet Union obtained 80 percent of its foreign
currency from energy exports—which also meant that the Soviet leadership
was almost completely dependent on fossil energy carriers for the acquisi-
tion of foreign currency and, therefore, on a single export commodity.112
The collapse of oil prices in the second half of the 1980s was not the
reason for the demise of the Soviet Union. In spite of the slump in prices, at
the end of the decade exports of oil and gas still accounted for 75 percent of
foreign currency receipts.113 The Soviet Union failed because it was unable
to overcome its ongoing and fundamental systemic crisis. It was the high
income from oil exports that weakened the incentives to carry out the
reforms that were so urgently needed. Instead of reforming the agricultural
sector, for example, Moscow sought to generate funds from short-term
increases in oil exports to buy grain from abroad. In fact, one of the reasons
why the income from energy exports was so essential for the Soviet Union
specifically in the late Soviet period was that these exports enabled it to
repeatedly pay for large grain imports from abroad. With the loss of some of
that income, however, the party leadership had less financial means available
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 27
for the short-term mitigation of defects affecting every area of the economy,
or to mollify political discontent. To compound the problem, the Soviet
Union also had to divert income from commodities to fund such costly
projects as the arms race with the US and the war in Afghanistan, which
were sources of considerable losses.
The Soviet Union collapsed, but Kosygin was, nonetheless, right. The
natural gas connection between Europe and Russia was indeed a project
with long-term viability, surviving even the collapse of 1991 largely
unscathed. Today, Europe still sources its gas mainly from West Siberian
fields—in some cases even through the same transportation routes
constructed in late Soviet times. However, even the West Siberian reserves
are finite, and some of the current transportation lines are in need of repair
or unreliable. Russia has long been working to develop new deposits and has
constructed new pipelines to European destinations. As before, the question
is not whether Russia has sufficient oil and gas reserves but rather when, and
at what cost, they will be developed, and which transport routes will be
taken. In light of its high strategic significance, energy continues to be not
only an economic good, but also a highly political resource. For Europe’s
dealings with Russia, the question is not whether dependencies in the
energy domain are desirable, but how those dependencies should be man-
aged. For the coming years and decades, the Europeans will continue to be
dependent on Russian energy imports, and there will be no easy and cheap
way to circumvent this country’s major raw material basis.114
divided, with strong arguments both for and against importing Soviet oil. In
the end, these divisions allowed the Soviets to score a propaganda victory,
even though the practical benefits for them turned out to be rather limited.
In the final chapter of the section, Roberto Cantoni investigates Soviet
plans to enhance oil exports to West European countries through the
building of a large pipeline system. In his chapter, “Debates at NATO and
the EEC in Response to the Soviet ‘Oil Offensive’ in the Early 1960s,” the
author argues that this caused anxiety at the European Economic Commu-
nity (EEC) and at NATO, as some of their respective members, and
especially their oil companies, feared that Moscow could use oil as a weapon
to weaken the West’s military and economic resources. On the other hand,
countries such as Italy and West Germany were willing to deal with the
Soviets to place considerable industrial orders and acquire Soviet oil. In the
early 1960s, pipelines thus became the main bone of contention, and
the battle for primacy in building them caused tensions not only between
the West and the Soviet Union, but also among the EEC and NATO
member states. To complete the pipeline system, however, the Soviets
needed considerable amounts of large-diameter steel pipes, which they
had to import from the West. Thus, the US delegation at NATO proposed
a comprehensive embargo of such large-diameter pipes to delay the system’s
construction. In 1962, the embargo was in fact enforced. This chapter
argues that the outcome of the battle for pipelines was characterized by
both technical and political considerations, and that the two aspects, in fact,
became indistinguishable. What an oil pipe was—or what it was not—as a
technological product depended on the political struggle to control or
suppress commerce with the Soviet Union.
Viacheslav Nekrasov opens Part II of this book with his chapter titled
“Decision-Making in the Soviet Energy Sector in Post-Stalinist Times: The
Failure of Khrushchev’s Economic Modernization Strategy,” analyzing
Soviet energy policies during the Khrushchev era, from the mid-1950s
until the second half of the 1960s. This was the time when, thanks to
growing oil and gas exports, the Soviet Union became increasingly
entangled with regional and global energy markets, and also emerged as a
major consumer of fossil fuels due to its own expanding heavy industries
(namely, chemical and machine-building). Moscow’s dependency on fast-
growing production rates was caused by the need to maintain both its own
economy and the economies of its socialist allies, which during the 1960s
became net importers of Soviet oil and gas; at the same time, Moscow
needed to keep energy exports to the West at a high level to remain able
30 J. PEROVIĆ
to buy technology and consumer goods in exchange for its raw materials.
This chapter argues that this expansionist economic strategy, which
depended on an ever-increasing production of energy, could not keep
pace with developments inside the Soviet Union, namely the need to
develop new energy frontiers outside the traditional productions areas in
the Caucasus and Volga-Ural regions, whose production rates were stag-
nating or declining. The Soviet Union’s energy policy predicament was
caused by bad planning and a lack of coordination among the various
organizations responsible for formulating and implementing energy policy.
Far from being able to dictate policy, Khrushchev had to deal with influen-
tial interest groups representing different sectors of the economy, some of
which were opposed to certain aspects of his policy.
Following the story, Elisabetta Bini examines, in “A Challenge to Cold
War Energy Politics? The US and Italy’s Relations with the Soviet Union,
1958–1969,” the relationship between the Italian state-owned company
Ente Nazionale Idrocarburi (National Hydrocarbon Agency, ENI) and the
Soviet Union between the late 1950s and the late 1960s. Based on corpo-
rate and state archives in Italy and the US, the author argues that ENI was
one of the first West European oil firms to establish relations with the Soviet
Union, challenging US international energy policies and oil interests in
Italy. ENI used its deals with Moscow not only to access cheap sources of
energy and, in turn, export its own petrochemical and industrial products,
but also to force American and British oil companies to meet Italy’s energy
needs. Therefore, while the agreements that ENI signed with the Soviet
Union between the late 1950s and the early 1960s challenged Cold War oil
policies, they also strengthened Italy’s position and membership inside the
North Atlantic Alliance. At the same time, once the process of détente made
relations between the blocs easier, ENI and Italy became pioneers who had
anticipated certain forms of cooperation between Western Europe and the
Soviet Union.
In another national case study, Alain Beltran and Jean-Pierre Williot
investigate the topic of “Gaz de France and Soviet Natural Gas: Balancing
Technological Constraints with Political Considerations, 1950s to 1980s,”
tracing the beginnings of cooperation between France and the Soviet Union
from first contacts in the second half of the 1950s to the signing of the first
contract of gas purchase in 1971 until the start of gas deliveries in 1976. The
authors also analyze developments in the following years, focusing on the
French reaction to the US embargo on deliveries of pipelines and pipeline
technology to the Soviet Union in 1982. Unlike Italy and West Germany,
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 31
France never became a major importer of Soviet gas, which by the end of the
1980s constituted only a small fraction in the country’s overall energy mix.
France was, however, a key European player in fostering closer ties with the
Soviet Union from the early Cold War period onwards, often going against
US and Western general interests.
The next chapter deals with the “Rise of Western Siberia and the Soviet–
West German Energy Relationship During the 1970s.” Dunja Krempin
analyzes the long path to the Soviet Union’s decision to develop Siberian
oil and gas and explains how the development of this key energy frontier was
closely connected to enhanced international cooperation. While the 1960s
and 1970s mark a period of intense internal Soviet debates on energy policy,
it was only in the late 1970s, when the rising West European interest in
Soviet energy converged with a rapid deterioration of the Soviet energy and
fuel sector, that the Brezhnev leadership finally decided to take the decisive
leap into Western Siberia, with a focus on the production of oil and gas.
Although this decision was largely based on domestic economic consider-
ations, the author argues that the prospect of increased energy exports to,
and cooperation with, West European countries and companies played a
tremendous role as well. In this context, the FRG was to be become a key
partner and the future pillar in the Soviet Union’s comprehensive energy
plans.
The final chapter in this part is David Painter’s “From Linkage to
Economic Warfare: Energy, Soviet–American Relations, and the End of
the Cold War.” The policy of détente during the late 1960s and early
1970s opened up new prospects for Western–Soviet cooperation, namely
in the area of energy. US companies were at the forefront in exploring large
investment options in the case of West Siberian gas. Due to strong US
domestic political opposition and a general worsening of US–Soviet rela-
tions in the second half of the 1970s, these projects failed. Instead, military
buildup and economic “containment,” including sanctions on pipeline
technology, were to become the driving policies during the Reagan era,
aiming at a weakening of the Soviet Union’s potential. Washington sought
in vain to obstruct the Europeans from building up their energy partnership
with Moscow. The Soviet economy had already experienced first economic
turbulences in the early 1980s, but when the price of oil fell in the
mid-1980s, the country’s foreign currency reserves dwindled and the crisis
worsened. When the Soviet Union eventually broke up in 1991, the
so-called “Reagan victory school” saw this in retrospect as a vindication of
Washington’s policy. In contrast, this chapter argues that US policies were
32 J. PEROVIĆ
not the main cause of the oil price collapse. In a longer perspective, by
choosing confrontation over cooperation, the US not only exacerbated
Cold War tensions and damaged relations with its allies, but also missed
an opportunity to set in motion processes that might have ended the Cold
War and facilitated reform in the Soviet Union without creating conditions
that led to instability and future animosity.
Part III opens with Falk Flade’s “Creating a Common Energy Space: The
Building of the Druzhba Oil Pipeline.” The rapidly growing increase of Soviet
oil and gas shipments to the energy-hungry socialist states of Eastern Europe
during the 1960s and 1970s was made possible also through the construction
of a colossal pipeline system. The first major pipeline connecting the oil fields
of the Volga-Urals—and later also Western Siberia—with the socialist allies in
the East was the Druzhba (“Friendship”) pipeline, to be followed by other
large-scale projects with illustrious names such as Bratstvo (“Brotherhood”),
Soiuz (“Union”), or Progress. As a result, the Soviet Union entered into
long-term commitments toward its satellites, which became dependent to a
considerable extent on Soviet energy imports. Based on documents from
Russian and East German archives, this chapter analyzes the history of the
planning and construction of the Druzhba pipeline. The author examines the
motivations of Moscow and the individual socialist countries to initiate this
project, he looks into the way the project was debated, planned, and exe-
cuted, and, finally, considers some of the mid- to long-term consequences
that the existence of the pipeline had for intra-bloc relations.
The aim of the next chapter by Suvi Kansikas is to add a new view on
Soviet trade relations with its allies. In “Calculating the Burden of Empire:
Soviet Oil, East–West Trade and the End of the Socialist Bloc,” the author
examines Cold War politics as a factor restraining Soviet actions vis-a-vis its
allies. Particular emphasis is put on the Soviet intra-bloc mechanisms and
the role of the CMEA in managing the relations. In order to show how
Soviet–East European relations played out, this chapter elaborates internal
CMEA discussions on economic dependency, intra-bloc cooperation, and
changing the CMEA mechanism to better suit Soviet purposes. It is argued
that even though the Soviet Union was the only major energy exporter in
the CMEA, energy was not an easy weapon to be used for exploiting or
controlling the allies. A decision to change the price system had to be made
on the multilateral CMEA forum. And it had to be implemented in a way
that would not leave the allies in economic difficulty. Soviet oil and gas
financed the economic system of the socialist bloc. However, it also fueled
the pattern of interdependency in both East-East and East–West trade.
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 33
“Drifting Apart: Soviet Energy and the Cohesion of the Communist Bloc
in the 1970s and 1980s” is the title of Lorenz Lüthi’s chapter. The author
focuses on multinational oil, gas, and electricity projects within the CMEA
that were initiated to satisfy the increasing energy needs of the socialist states
in Eastern Europe, but largely failed because of a drop in Soviet energy
deliveries during the 1980s. The Soviet Union started large-scale energy
shipments to the fraternal states in socialist Eastern Europe in the early
1960s. Given the relative scarcity of energy resources in Eastern Europe, the
dependency increased over the period from the early 1960s to the early
1980s to such a degree that the Soviet Union progressively found it difficult
to supply the quantities needed or even requested. The economic develop-
ment, and by extension the internal social peace, of the socialist countries of
Eastern Europe depended on annually increasing Soviet energy deliveries.
Subsidized Soviet supplies of energy to a certain degree formed the glue that
kept the CMEA together. Once the Soviet capabilities of increasing energy
deliveries had become exhausted in the early 1980s, the economic integra-
tion of the CMEA reversed itself until its collapse in 1991.
The final chapter of the book is written by Margarita M. Balmaceda, who
takes the analysis beyond the end of the Cold War, investigating “The Fall
of the Soviet Union and the Legacies of Energy Dependencies in Eastern
Europe.” Against the background of the energy (inter-)dependencies cre-
ated during the Soviet period between the energy-rich and energy-poor
Soviet republics, as well during the Cold War between the Soviet Union and
individual European CMEA states, this chapter focuses on the post-Soviet
impact of these legacies on each of these two groups of states. In doing so, it
focuses not only on the way they affected relations between individual
states, but also on their impact on these states’ political and economic
development after the dissolution of the communist “bloc” and the breakup
of the Soviet Union. These legacies, this chapter argues, go well beyond
energy dependency: they affected not only these states’ range of energy
options, but also Russia’s ability to use energy as a foreign policy tool. Most
importantly—as shown through the case studies of Ukraine, Belarus, and
the Baltic states—the energy legacies of the Soviet era synergized with other
characteristics of the transition period and of the external environment at
the time of the Soviet/CMEA dissolution to significantly constrain the
conditions for political and economic development of these newly indepen-
dent states after 1991.
34 J. PEROVIĆ
NOTES
1. With the prominent exception of Per H€ogselius, Red Gas: Russia
and the Origins of European Energy Dependence (New York:
Palgrave Macmillan, 2013), there is no comprehensive study on
Soviet energy from a transnational perspective based on archives in
Eastern and/or Western Europe. Other in-depth works on Soviet
gas include Thane Gustafson, Crisis Amid Plenty: The Politics of
Soviet Energy under Brezhnev and Gorbachev (Princeton, NJ:
Princeton University Press, 1989) and Jonathan Stern, Soviet
Natural Gas Development to 1990: The Implications for the
CMEA and the West (Lexington: Lexington Books, 1980), both
published before the opening of communist archives. Although
H€ogselius’ analysis covers a large timespan, it uses archival material
mostly from the late 1950s, the 1960s, and partly also from the
1970s, and it focuses exclusively on gas. His case studies include
Bavaria and Austria, and to some extent also the FRG, but
H€ogselius writes relatively little about other important West
European consumer countries such as Italy or France. The roles
of NATO, the European Economic Community, or non-European
countries like the US are treated only fleetingly, and intra-
communist bloc relations are not dealt with in any comprehensive
way. And while there is a strong literature on the story of Soviet oil,
most of this research has been written during the Cold War. Newer
studies such as Marshall Goldman, Petrostate: Putin, Power, and the
New Russia (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2010) focus mostly
on events after the fall of the Soviet Union and cover history super-
ficially. Goldman, too, bases his work almost exclusively on second-
ary literature published before the opening of communist archives.
2. E.g., Odd Arne Westad, The Global Cold War: Third World Inter-
ventions and the Making of Our Times (Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 2005).
3. E.g., Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and
Power (New York: Simon & Schuster, 1991).
4. An overview of both the Western literature and newer studies in
Russian is presented in this chapter and the individual essays of the
present volume.
5. This Chapter draws on the author’s previous research, namely:
Jeronim Perović, “Russlands Aufstieg zur Energiegrossmacht:
THE SOVIET UNION’S RISE AS AN INTERNATIONAL ENERGY POWER. . . 35
Felix Rehschuh
For the majority of the Cold War, the Soviet Union was one of the world’s
major oil producers. It not only kept up with oil production in the United
States (US) or Arab countries, but even partly outstripped its competitors.
Indeed, during the late 1970s, Soviet levels of extraction exceeded that of all
other countries, making the communist state the world’s largest oil pro-
ducer until its collapse in 1991. Such a development was, however, far from
foreseeable in the early Soviet period. While the US and some European
states began to switch from coal to oil in the immediate aftermath of World
War I, Bolshevik leaders largely ignored this new trend. They were focused
instead on the construction of giant hydropower stations and the increase in
coal production, as they believed global oil reserves to be limited. World
War II would prove them wrong. Their neglect of the oil industry, which
was almost exclusively concentrated in the exposed Caucasus region, there-
fore came at a high price. In mechanized warfare, access to oil resources
proved decisive in winning or losing a war.
Soviet leaders began to give some thought to the status of the oil industry
toward the late 1930s, but it was only after their territories were attacked by
Nazi Germany that Moscow came to recognize the tactical importance of
oil. Given the German advance toward Baku and the Caucasian oil fields,
Stalin ordered that those parts of the oil industry be relocated to the region
F. Rehschuh (*)
Department of History, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
between the Volga and the Urals in order to build up a new oil-producing
center. In a reference to what was then the main oil-producing center of the
Soviet Union, the Volga-Ural region was soon to be called the “Second
Baku.”1 Oil deposits had been discovered there decades earlier, and a
number of geologists had hinted at the possibility of finding considerable
amounts of oil in this area. Until World War II, however, the area’s
exploration and development had remained largely neglected. As a conse-
quence, the Soviets relied on shipments of petroleum and equipment from
their Western allies to supplement their own limited production and fuel
their war machine, especially their air force. While advancing westwards
during 1943/44, the Red Army occupied parts of Austria and Romania—a
move that was partly driven by the ambition to control these countries’ oil
production and reserves. Following the traumatic experience of World
War II, in 1946 Stalin publicly declared that a priority postwar goal was to
achieve some kind of economic autarky: never again should the Soviet
Union’s defense depend on external assistance.
While oil was thus firmly on the Soviet energy policy radar with regard to
both its domestic and its foreign policy strategies, it was not until the late
1940s and the deterioration of East–West relations that Moscow decided to
prioritize the development of its most promising eastern oil province, the
so-called “Second Baku.” Nevertheless, a few more years passed before the
Soviet Union officially abandoned its coal-centered energy policy during the
late 1950s and entered the “age of oil.”2 By the end of the 1950s, with
production expanding in the Volga-Ural region, the Soviet Union was not
only able to satisfy the needs of its own growing industry (and also those of
its allies), but had also started to export increasing amounts of oil to Western
Europe in exchange for technology and food.
This chapter sets out to explain the relatively slow development of Soviet
energy policy between the late 1930s and the early 1950s, and the reasons
why oil production came to be prioritized over coal. While the history of
Soviet oil politics preoccupied observers in the East3 and the West4 during
most of the Cold War, interest in such topics faded rapidly after the
dissolution of the Soviet Union, especially outside of Russia. Although
some valuable Russian interpretations of early Soviet oil policy prior to
1945 have been published,5 along with promising attempts to analyze
various aspects of post-Stalinist developments,6 the reinterpretation of
events based on declassified archival materials is still in its infancy; moreover,
these sources mostly deal with economic questions. In the case of the late
Stalinist era after World War II, in particular, there is an almost complete
FROM CRISIS TO PLENTY: THE SOVIET “OIL CAMPAIGN” UNDER STALIN 49
absence of any new research, except for studies dealing with specific regional
developments.7 However, even these newer Russian-language studies are
largely neglected outside the former Soviet Union, not least due to a lack of
translations or a dearth of Russian-language skills. Recent Western studies
focusing on current Russian energy policy discuss those historical roots
largely based on Western literature written during the Cold War.8 As a
consequence, the assessment of Stalin’s energy policy has not greatly
changed since the end of the Cold War. A steady growth in oil production,
especially in the eastern regions of the USSR, and continuity in the Krem-
lin’s energy policy priorities during Stalin’s rule are still regarded as its main
characteristics.9
Although World War II influenced the Soviet leadership’s decision to pay
more attention to the oil industry and to build up a second center of oil
production in the Volga-Ural region, this chapter argues that the Soviet
leadership did not prioritize oil production in these parts of the country
until relations with its former Western allies deteriorated in the late 1940s.
Thus, it is likely that military and defense considerations also contributed to
the Soviet leaders’ decision to focus on the Volga-Ural oil industry and
increase overall investment in a region that later became key to the country’s
oil production.
finally occupied the Caucasian oil fields in 1920, large parts of the industry
lay in ruins, most workers were gone, and the production had been set back
by around thirty years.12 Nevertheless, until the mid-1930s, Soviet planners
largely underestimated the potential of Soviet oil resources and they also
miscalculated their own future needs. Investments in oil were far lower in
comparison to other, more prestigious sectors of the economy, such as coal,
steel, or electricity. Little was done for the development of the Caucasian oil
industry apart from repairing the huge damages suffered during revolution
and war.13 In official statements, Stalin stressed on several occasions the
importance of oil. But in actual energy politics, his government emphasized
the development of coal, peat, and especially hydropower, which in the
minds of the communist planners would pave the way to socialism.14
As in the earlier Tsarist period, oil was not considered a fuel for domestic
purposes. Instead, it was to be exported to developed countries in the West
in order for the Soviet Union to buy modern machinery and other goods
urgently needed for Soviet industrialization. In an article dated January 30,
1927, the leading party newspaper Pravda summed up Soviet energy policy
and the role of oil as follows: “It is hardly necessary to say that the possibility
of an increasing oil production [. . .] should by no means change the
perspective of the Soviet oil industry as a predominantly exporting industry.
The [Soviet] oil industry cannot and must not return into the position of a
fuel industry.”15 Oil was perceived as too expensive and rare to compete
with solid fuels. Some leading Bolsheviks even demanded that coal mining
be increased in the eastern regions and that petroleum products be
substituted, whenever possible, with coal. Specifically, this was to happen
in the Volga-Urals in order to strengthen industrialization in this part of the
country.16 Many of the Soviet leaders concerned with economic questions
during that time perceived the term “black gold” in a similar fashion to the
early American oil drillers: “[I]t is just the thing that will give us a perma-
nent inflow of gold, which is necessary for the fastest conversion of the
industry and the fastest industrialization of the country.”17
While the situation within the petroleum industry was characterized by
relatively low levels of investment and a limited interest in a further expan-
sion of oil production, some Soviet geologists were convinced as early as the
1920s that the Volga-Ural region contained potentially large petroleum
deposits. Even though Ivan Gubkin (1871–1939), a famous Soviet oil
geologist often celebrated as the founder of Soviet oil geology, was one of
the earliest and strongest supporters of intensified oil exploration works in
this area, many of his colleagues remained skeptical. Even if there were
FROM CRISIS TO PLENTY: THE SOVIET “OIL CAMPAIGN” UNDER STALIN 51
indeed giant oil fields, they feared the fields would be too deep to explore,
the costs would be too high, and—probably most importantly—the risks of
failing and having to bear the consequences were too great.18
In the late 1920s, owing to these doubts the Geological Committee
came to the nearly unanimous conclusion that any further exploration in
the Volga basin was likely to be counterproductive, even though the
endeavor had previously been authorized by the Supreme Soviet of the
National Economy. The State Planning Committee (Gosplan) subsequently
stopped additional investments. Accordingly, the primary focus of oil pro-
duction remained the Caucasus. Gubkin lost his influence within the oil
industry for several years.19 Notwithstanding first successful results and the
fact that a few oil wells were already operating in the Volga region, large
parts of the area’s material and staff were ordered back to the Caucasus.
Once it had transpired that the now largely underfunded new eastern oil
area could not bring about the expected breakthrough and very little
progress could be reported back to Moscow, even the local political elite,
previously excited about the forecast wealth deep under their feet, became
increasingly pessimistic. In 1931, several geologists even recommended that
further exploration in the east be stopped in favor of a focus on the already
exploited oil fields around Baku.20
Two events likely prevented the complete withdrawal of oil investments
from the Volga-Urals. First, the Great Depression, which caused a global
economic crisis, led to a dramatic collapse of oil prices. The rapid increase in
American oil production and the simultaneous sharp decline in demand for
fuel caused by the global recession created a surplus so high that it devalued
crude oil within the US by more than 95 percent. It was not until the
mid-1930s and following an intervention of the US government that world
market prices stabilized and partly recovered.21 Although other regions
were less affected, the average value of Soviet petroleum exports fell more
than 50 percent during the early 1930s, and ever larger amounts of oil were
needed to generate the same value in foreign currency, which was urgently
needed to modernize the economy.22 Second, due to the Red Army’s
mechanization and enlargement as well as the ongoing motorization of
the whole economy, and especially the agricultural sector, domestic petro-
leum demands were growing fast, which reduced the surpluses available for
export. Gasoline consumption alone rose from 77,000 tons in 1928 to three
million tons in 1940, and Soviet tractors were not even responsible for this
increase—they were mostly running on kerosene.23 It soon became clear
that even if current energy priorities were maintained and all oil exports
52 F. REHSCHUH
were cancelled, the Soviet Union would remain short of oil in the near
future. Valerian Kuybyshev, head of Gosplan at that time and one of the
most influential Soviet politicians, demonstrated in his report to the XVII
party congress in 1934 that the second five-year plan would have to double
oil production and even triple the refining capacity to avoid an acute lack of
fuel. As the most urgent countermeasures, he advocated the immediate
redistribution of budgetary funds to the Volga-Urals and accelerating the
buildup of the refining industry.24
The Peoples’ Commissar (Narkom) of Soviet Heavy Industry, Grigorii
Ordzhonikidze, held a similar opinion in his subsequent report on the
Soviet economy’s reconstruction, although he preferred to focus on the
old Caucasian oil regions.25 In his report to the XVII party congress,
however, even Stalin criticized the “absence of proper attention to the
question of organizing a new oil center in areas of the Urals, Bashkiria,
and the Emba” as one of the main shortcomings of Soviet industry.26
Nevertheless, the final resolution on the second five-year plan accounted
for a targeted increase of refining capacity, whereas the Volga-Urals were
mentioned only briefly.27
Although the XVII party congress led to a modest increase of invest-
ments for oil exploration and production in the Volga-Urals, that interest
was not sustained. A few years later, funding for several oil trusts in the
region was lowered again, notwithstanding rising production rates. Espe-
cially in Bashkiria, until then the most promising area within the “Second
Baku,” archival documents from the late 1930s show a clear reduction of
investment in geological explorations and exploratory drillings.28 Through-
out the interwar period, the share of the Volga-Urals in exploratory drilling,
for example, was a mere 8 percent.29 Furthermore, the eastern oil industry
suffered from constantly changing investment allocation decisions within
Gosplan. Shifts in resources took place not only back and forth between the
old Caucasian trusts and new trusts in the Volga-Urals, but also within the
region itself and between different industries within the entire oil and gas
complex. In particular, the construction of additional refining capacity
absorbed an increasing share of total investments.30 Because of its prefer-
ence for coal, the Soviet leadership simultaneously spent vast sums on the
establishment of a coal liquefaction base, believing that this form of energy
diversification was more sustainable than reliance on oil alone—following
the example set by Hitler’s government in its quest for autarky.31 But while
Germany lacked any substantial oil deposits and had good reason to rely on
liquefied coal, which was more than ten times more expensive than
FROM CRISIS TO PLENTY: THE SOVIET “OIL CAMPAIGN” UNDER STALIN 53
equivalent petroleum products, the oil-rich Soviet Union would have been
better off pursuing conventional investments in oil extraction. As a conse-
quence, the oil refining capacity grew by nearly 50 percent in the second half
of the 1930s, while oil production increased by just below 20 percent.32
Like most other branches of the Soviet economy, the petroleum industry
meanwhile suffered from two further developments in the late 1930s. First,
in the looming shadow of the foreseeable war, increased funds were allo-
cated to the arms industry and the Red Army. This further reduced invest-
ments in the exploration and development of new oil fields. Second, even
though there are no exact figures, thousands of oilmen—primarily specialists,
technicians, managers, and other qualified personnel—were purged during
the Stalinist repression of 1937/38, and could not be replaced easily.33 As the
oilman Nikolai Baibakov, who launched an impressive career within the
Soviet administration just a few years later, recounted: “No one in the oil
industry was safe from slander, discrediting, and denunciation, especially if
one was standing in the way of the career of someone else.”34 And as the
example of Groznyi demonstrates, political considerations prevailed over
scientific rationality in energy policy decision-making: when the oil produc-
tion rate decreased dramatically during the late 1930s, the Soviet leadership
ignored rational explanations of exhausted oil fields and blamed hostile
agitators for the decline. Instead of reducing local investments and focusing
on other regions, “enemies of the people” were said to have spread “harmful
‘theories’ about the absence of oil in Groznyi,” which led to inefficient
decisions and therefore to the decline in oil production.35 As a result of this
political climate, large parts of the regional oil industry leadership were
replaced; some were probably even executed. Supported by instant measures
to improve funding, as well as the provision of technical equipment and staff
urgently required for the promising oil-bearing areas of the East, greater
results were demanded of the successors to the “subversive” oilmen, and
many delivered the expected “results” by manipulating their figures.36
Although the Groznyi oil district and its leadership experienced the
greatest change, other regions suffered as well. What began as harmless
conflicts between leading engineers and their subordinates sometimes esca-
lated into accusations of “anti-Soviet agitation,” which frequently had
negative repercussions for the person accused.37 Several oil trusts, especially
in eastern regions, were hit hard by the imprisonment of their technical elite.
Lacking any stable local educational establishment, these areas suffered
from a lack of engineers and technical staff; many were sent there from
the old Caucasian oil-producing areas.38 As Alec Nove points out, it is not
54 F. REHSCHUH
encompass an increasing share of peat, oil shale, and natural gas, as against
an unchanging (and already very low) share of petroleum.44 In fact, due to
the developments shown above, the Soviet oil industry was nearly stagnat-
ing in absolute terms on the eve of the Second World War, and the share of
oil in total energy consumption was declining further.
To avoid, or at least delay, a German attack, Stalin ensured the punctual
delivery of raw materials requested by Hitler as part of the Molotov–
Ribbentrop Pact of 1939, while the German government, whenever possi-
ble, delayed or postponed the delivery of the goods it was exchanging in the
barter deal, which mostly consisted of advanced armament and industrial
equipment.45 US economist Robert Campbell holds that while the Soviet
Union continued to ship vast quantities of refined and semi-finished petrol
products to Germany, the USSR became a net importer of oil. In particular,
American oil companies were more than willing to send oil to the Soviets to
enlarge their profits—even though they must have been aware that these oil
imports were mostly forwarded to the German Wehrmacht.46
Hoping to appease Hitler further, Stalin did not stop delivering raw
materials to his future enemy until the very end—in fact, the last supply
trains reached Germany in the early morning hours of June 22, 1941, just
before German armed forces started their invasion of the Soviet Union.
Soviet oil and grain supplies during the first half of 1941 did indeed help to
supply the Wehrmacht and thus prepare it for war in the East.47 However,
not all of the oil was exported or used up; the Soviet leadership had begun to
stockpile increasing amounts of oil supplies as a precaution for war. While
there is no doubt the Soviet Union was caught by surprise when the
Germans attacked, Moscow had taken some contingency measures to pre-
pare for a confrontation.48 Nevertheless, once the war started, the
stockpiled oil reserves proved insufficient and were quickly exhausted. The
situation was further worsened by a lack of supply lines and inadequate
transportation capacities; the fuel supply situation of the Soviet economy
and for countless military units was disastrous at the beginning of the war.49
Despite these severe repercussions, the Baku oil district increased its oil
production in 1941. However, as thousands of oilmen were recruited to
fight, the production of equipment was nearly closed down, and parts of the
machinery had to be handed over to the defense and armament industry, it
soon became clear that Baku was unable to continue production on such a
high level. The oil produced at Baku would not suffice to win the war.50 To
make matters worse, Hitler made no secret of his aim to seize the Caucasian
oil wells. After the German offensive had been halted and repulsed in the
56 F. REHSCHUH
per year. The pretended extraordinary increase was first and foremost a
consequence of Baku’s fast decline, which accounted for the loss of more
than 11 million tons of crude oil in 1945.64 Unsurprisingly, the decision to
evacuate the Caucasian oil industry is still criticized, especially by
Azerbaijani historians.65 Nevertheless, the high amount of fuel lost due to
Baku’s production decline and ever-growing demands by the Red Army in
its battles with the Germans forced Soviet decision-makers to find suitable
alternatives for oil. They launched a campaign that extended the synthetic
fuel industry, which had only been established a few years earlier. More
importantly, however, the same campaign laid the foundation for the
country’s natural gas industry, hence marking the beginning of the rise of
another fossil fuel that would increasingly influence Soviet energy policy
two decades later.66
There is no doubt that Soviet leaders learned a lesson about the impor-
tance of oil during the Great Patriotic War. While they had gradually
decreased investments in oil production in the years before, the trend was
reversed during the war—even though the funding considered not of vital
significance for the Caucasian industry was cut.67 Already in 1942, the GKO
rated the extension of oil production in the eastern part of the Soviet Union
one of the most important military, economic, and political factors in
shoring up the Soviet defense against the German aggressor.68 Even Stalin,
who had shown little interest in oil production before the war, now inter-
fered and exerted his influence to support further development. According
to Baibakov, who was appointed head of the Peoples’ Commissariat for the
Oil Industry (Narkomneft’) in November 1944 and was probably the most
influential oilman during the war and thereafter, Stalin personally ensured
that his industrial branch received everything necessary to fuel the country,
praising petroleum as the “soul of military equipment.”69
Even on a social level, the changes were extensive: compared to coal
miners and steel workers, oilmen had previously had a modest reputation;
now they were publicly celebrated as “warriors at the oil front.”70 During
the war and thereafter, they increasingly became part of common Soviet
mass-mobilization campaigns to improve the collective effort. “Everything
for the front,” Stalin’s maxim of the Great Patriotic War, also implied
producing more oil, and “the more fuel we will have, the closer victory
will be,” as a Soviet propaganda poster of 1941 proclaimed.71 The Second
World War hence triggered a radical policy change: for the first time, Soviet
leaders treated oil as a strategic resource, ending a trend of largely
neglecting the need for additional oil. Beyond this, Soviet leaders
FROM CRISIS TO PLENTY: THE SOVIET “OIL CAMPAIGN” UNDER STALIN 59
recognized that Caucasian oil production alone was not enough to feed the
growing needs of an expanding industry; consequently, advanced develop-
ment in other oil regions was now possible.
Although there was little oil in the USSR immediately after the war, other
goods of foreign trade were even rarer, and while the US still complied with
old Lend-Lease contractual agreements, the Soviet Union needed to pay for
any new requirements. Limited barter trade with West European countries
was hence revived to gain access to urgently needed technology and equip-
ment; owing to a lack of other tradable goods, the Soviet government had
to export additional amounts of oil.84 As mentioned above, the USSR
remained a net importer of petrochemicals until the mid-1950s, but simul-
taneously, it was also exporting these liquid fuels in increasing volumes.
The Soviet economy and society had been suffering deprivations for too
long. The needs of the armed forces reduced civil consumption of petro-
chemicals during the war by half; private supply and fuel for transportation
were reduced to the bare minimum. In the agricultural sector, tractors and
trucks were re-equipped with attachments that enabled wood and peat
gasification, although they were highly inefficient and therefore had to be
deactivated as soon as possible after the war.85 For ideological reasons,
private consumption in the Soviet Union was fundamentally less oriented
towards oil than in the West: personal ownership of cars was considered
undesirable, and was even restricted until the late 1960s. Instead, the
government preferred to produce buses for public transportation, in addi-
tion to industrial trucks and tractors.86 Although there was practically no
private consumption, and a non-fuel petrochemical industry had yet to be
built, Soviet economic planners intended to increase the production of
vehicles drastically to satisfy the country’s postwar needs. The planned
annual output of motor vehicles was more than double the prewar produc-
tion rates, reaching half a million cars, trucks, and buses by 1950; the tractor
stock was to grow at least by 50 percent.87 In 1950, civilian gasoline
requirements thus soon climbed to three times the levels of 1937.88
While total investment in oil field development and the industry as a
whole continued to grow, there is in contrast no indication that the Volga-
Urals gained a special prominence in the immediate postwar era. On the
contrary, as early as the later war years, the rudiments of a “back to the
Caucasus” campaign became apparent. Influential party cadres from Baku
lobbied intensively for prioritizing the restoration of Caucasian oil wells,
“without opposing the task to develop new oil-bearing areas in the East.” As
First Secretary of the Azerbaijan Communist Party Mir Dzhafar Bagirov
concluded, however, “it is impossible to ignore that the new areas cannot
provide in the foreseeable future” a production increase equivalent to the
surplus that a “restoration of the prewar level of oil production in the Baku
area” would bring.89 These arguments did bear fruit. According to
62 F. REHSCHUH
*
On March 15, 1946, almost two weeks before several ministries were split up into eastern
and western counterparts, the people’s commissariats were renamed ministries. To avoid
confusion, the author will use the terms “Narkomneft’” and “Narkom” for the period until
the division.
64 F. REHSCHUH
Regions, and his former deputy Mikhail Evseenko as his counterpart in the
eastern regions, already hinted at the leadership’s priorities.103 Although
Baibakov had previously promoted the idea of oil development in the
Volga-Urals even before the war, proclaiming in 1939 that the “Soviet
people is aware of and considering the huge political, economic, and defense
significance of ‘Second Baku,’”104 he nonetheless did not appear optimistic
about achieving swift progress. Baibakov admits in his memoirs that when
Stalin publicly announced the need to produce 60 million tons of oil, he
himself was quite skeptical about reaching these production rates, even
though Stalin gave no particular timeframe or deadline to meet.105
Although Soviet propaganda posters already referred to the USSR as “the
world’s richest country according to known oil resources”106 in reference to
the deposits in the Volga-Urals, the most influential person in the oil
industry seemed to have other priorities. And while large parts of the
equipment-producing industry were still located in the Caucasus and equiv-
alent infrastructure in the Urals had yet to be built, dividing the
Narkomneft’ proved to be a challenge for the ministry responsible beyond
the Volga river. Until a supply base had been completed, development of
the eastern regions largely depended on resources provided by the Cauca-
sian oil industry.107 Although both ministries agreed that an improvement
in the production of equipment and steel pipes was the most pressing issue
after the war, the distribution was clearly disadvantageous to the eastern
regions, as Evseenko complained in a letter to Lavrentii Beria in the summer
of 1946.108 The decision to divide the ministry was indeed rescinded a few
years later, but by this point, in December 1948, the equipment base in the
East (already under construction in 1946) had already begun limited
operations.
Consequently, the eastern oil industry made only little progress in 1946/
47, considering the fact that the amount of funding and workers had been
drastically increased. Although the Caucasian oil industry recovered only
slowly before 1948, more than half of the additional oil production was still
generated around Baku and Groznyi, though in comparison with many
other regions, a greater number of oil wells were required to extract the
same amount of petroleum.109 It appears that Soviet leaders soon became
weary of this development and felt obliged to exercise their authority.
Leading oilmen must have finally realized “Second Baku’s” potential, or
at least felt certain enough to gamble on it.
In a joint letter to Stalin, written in July 1947, both ministers of the oil
industry and Lavrentii Beria, then at the height of his career and in charge of
FROM CRISIS TO PLENTY: THE SOVIET “OIL CAMPAIGN” UNDER STALIN 65
half of total funding in 1955, while less than 10 percent was left for the Baku
district.118 For the first time in Soviet history, the often-announced peace-
time efforts to increase oil production in the “Second Baku” passed from
rhetoric to reality. And the decision soon bore fruits; just a few years later,
“Second Baku” produced more oil than all other regions together.119
The discovery of large Devonian oil deposits in the Volga-Urals may have
been a reason for the new government-launched campaign to increase the
Soviet Union’s oil production and petrochemical base. In particular, in
summer 1948 the gigantic Romashkino oil field in the Tatar Autonomous
SSR was discovered; later, it turned out to be the world’s largest-known oil
field. But economic oil field development was only ordered a month after
the initiation of the ten-year plan, and it still took until 1952 for
Romashkino to produce noticeable amounts of oil.120 Additionally, the
increase of production expected during the 1950s was quite low in the
Tatar Autonomous SSR in comparison to other Volga-Ural regions.121 It is
therefore not likely that Soviet leaders felt compelled to further push
“Second Baku” just because of Romashkino. Instead, it seems more prob-
able that external circumstances, especially the severe crisis over Berlin in
1948, the foundation of NATO in 1949, and the consolidation of the
opposing blocs during the same period, contributed at least in part to the
new Soviet quest for oil. The USSR appeared to be preparing for an
upcoming conflict that lasted for more than four decades: the Cold War.
CONCLUSION
It took more than two decades and one disastrous war to convince Soviet
leaders and planners that despite their preference for coal as the basis of
rapid industrialization, there was no way to avoid the production and use of
petrochemicals in the long term. Several people kept urging the immediate
development of an oil base in the eastern part of the country, especially in
the Volga-Urals. Even Stalin and members of his inner circle repeatedly
criticized the lack of efforts in changing the prevailing situation during the
1930s, but it seems that most Soviet leaders and planners had different
priorities in the interwar years. Only little had been done, and the Soviet
economy and Red Army thus suffered from severe petroleum shortages
during World War II. The campaign launched immediately after the Ger-
man invasion to solve the problem was characterized by fear of losing the
Caucasian oil industry and the precautionary destruction of equipment that
might be helpful to the occupying forces in case the Germans reached Baku.
FROM CRISIS TO PLENTY: THE SOVIET “OIL CAMPAIGN” UNDER STALIN 67
NOTES
1. Though it is not clear who originally coined the term “Second
Baku,” it became popular in the late 1930s after the Soviet news-
paper Pravda and leading Bolsheviks began using it. According to
Iurii Evdoshenko, the term “Second Baku” originally was a sug-
gestion by Ivan Gubkin, even though he does not offer any further
68 F. REHSCHUH
Nataliia Egorova
INTRODUCTION
Since the start of declassification of secret archival holdings in former Soviet
archives beginning in the 1990s, the study of international events in Iran in
the last years of World War II and the early postwar years has advanced
considerably. But despite obvious progress in the study of the Iranian Crisis
of 1945–1946, researchers have not yet come to firm conclusions about its
place in the history of the Cold War, and the goals and motives of Soviet
policy toward Iran.
Works that appeared before the opening of archives in the 1980s shared a
methodology of “post revisionist” synthesis (Bruce Kuniholm, Barry Rubin,
David Alvaris, Mark Lytle, and some others) arguing that the causes of the
Cold War were not to be found in the great powers’ contradictions in
Europe (given their opposing sociopolitical systems), but in their colliding
national interests and political ambitions in the Middle East of the early
postwar years. Although they recognized the influence of communist ide-
ology, these authors rejected attempts to explain the events in Iran with
traditional answers such as “Soviet expansionism” or the “defensive reac-
tion” of the United Kingdom (UK) and the United States (US). Instead,
N. Egorova (*)
Center for Cold War Studies, Institute of World History, Russian Academy of
Sciences, Moscow, Russia
they analyzed the deeper motives of each country’s conduct during the
Iranian Crisis.1 Using documents available at that time, they successfully
advanced the study of US and British foreign policy in the Middle East,
and particularly of those countries’ relations with Iran and Turkey in the
1940s. As emphasized by Kuniholm, the US, which after World War II
aspired to strengthen its leading role in global affairs, considered Iran to be
not only a source of oil, but also a “buffer between the Soviet Union and US
interests in the Middle East,”2 with oil crucially influencing US policy on
Iran.3
Researchers of the 1980s hence attempted to overcome the Western-
centric interpretation of the origin of the Cold War by focusing on the
influence of Iranian and Turkish leaders. With regard to the actions of the
Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) in the Middle East, they were
interested in the factors that guided Soviet leaders in shaping a policy on
Iran: were their main motivations the security of their country’s borders and
the southern oil fields in Baku, or did Moscow have aggressive intentions?
These questions were difficult to answer without access to documents from
the Soviet archives.
In addition to ideological constraints, this lack of archival access also
prevented Soviet historians from studying the deeper causes and the course
of the Iranian Crisis. Authors were forced to adhere to the official interpre-
tation, according to which the Soviet Union had not intervened in Iran’s
internal affairs. According to this narrative, Moscow only provided moral
support to the national liberation movement in Iranian Azerbaijan and
Iranian Kurdistan, while British and American “imperialist circles,” with
the help of reactionary Iranian authorities, used the Iranian issue as a
pretense for international tension and attacks on the Soviet Union.
After the end of the Cold War, access to selected Soviet archival holdings
as well as the opening of archives in some of the former Soviet republics
(especially those of Azerbaijan and Georgia) significantly improved research
possibilities and thus the understanding of Soviet motives and goals in Iran
during and after the final stage of World War II. Most scholars today do not
doubt that one of the main reasons for the delay of the withdrawal of Soviet
troops from Iran (after the Allies’ scheduled deadline of March 2, 1946) was
the USSR’s interest in obtaining an oil concession in the northern parts of
Iran and thereby consolidating the Soviet sphere of influence over the
Middle East region—which ultimately led to the international Iranian
Crisis.4
STALIN’S OIL POLICY AND THE IRANIAN CRISIS OF 1945–1946 81
Russian owner Akakii M. Khoshtaria, and the rest belonged to the Iranian
elite.14
However, the USSR had no financial capacity in the prewar period to
participate in the development of north Iran’s oil. At first, the Kavir-Hurian
company was financed by Azneft’, the largest trust of the Soviet oil syndi-
cate. But it soon became apparent that additional funds were necessary. To
that end, the Soviets tried to attract French capital, but without any success.
Overall, the Soviet government had spent about 600,000 rubles by 1928 to
establish the necessary infrastructure for oil production in the north of Iran.
By the beginning of World War II, Iran had become a leading oil power
in the Middle East, and its oil resources were controlled by the
Anglo-Iranian Oil Company (AIOC) on the basis of a concession con-
cluded in 1903. However, five northern provinces of Iran (Iranian
Azerbaijan, Mazendaran, Gilan, Gorgan, and Astrabad) that had previously
been under the Russian Empire’s influence were not included in the zone of
the AIOC’s activity.
Sinclair Oil, and the British Shell company began talks in Tehran on oil
concessions in southern Iran.
Comparing the draft with the AIOC’s agreement, the authors noted that
while the AIOC offered 20 percent of net profit to Iran, the USSR offered
15 percent. Other differences were in favor of the USSR, although the area
the AIOC finally selected for exploitation was 160,000 km2, as opposed to
the USSR’s selection of 150,000 km2.29 On August 31, 1944, the SNK
approved the decision on negotiations with the Iranian government.
An oil concession for the next 60 years that granted exclusive exploration
and production rights on a territory of 150,000 km2 offered the Soviet
Union great advantages for its geostrategic interests and ambitions to
extend its sphere of influence in Iran. As for its Western Allies, they under-
stood this prospect perfectly—and tried to prevent it. Moreover, a growth
of Soviet influence in northern Iran would help to prevent a Western
presence on the USSR’s southern borders.
On September 9, 1944, the Soviet commission finally flew to Iran.
Interestingly enough, the commission members did not inform Prime
Minister Mohammad Sa’ed about the purpose of their visit during the
first two weeks of their stay. Instead, they claimed to be acquainting
themselves with the activities of Kavir-Hurian Ltd. Even after studying the
situation in the north and concluding that it was time to begin negotiating
with Sa’ed, the commission members tried to conceal the fact that the draft
of an agreement on a Soviet oil concession had been already prepared.30
After difficult negotiations, Sa’ed’s cabinet officially rejected the USSR’s
request on October 11, 1944, declaring that all negotiations about conces-
sions were to be postponed until the end of the war, when the global
economic outlook would become clearer. Kavtaradze’s mission ended in
failure. The Iranian Majlis (where most representatives had no sympathies
for the USSR) adopted a law on December 2 that banned prime ministers
from negotiating with foreign countries and companies on oil concessions.
An information letter from the Soviet embassy in Tehran acknowledged
that the Majlis “had been able to provide strong resistance to our first
attempt to expand economic interests (a rejection of the concession).”31
Despite their oil companies’ dissatisfaction, the US and the UK respected
Iran’s decision to suspend all negotiations until the end of the war, because
this foiled the quite predictable plans of their Soviet ally. The negotiations
on oil concessions uncovered a new trend in Iran’s foreign policy, which
intended to use the US as a counterweight to the traditional influence of the
UK and the USSR in the country. The US embassy in Tehran worked
closely with Sa’ed, advising him on tactics for rejecting the Soviet request.32
90 N. EGOROVA
Analyzing the real reasons for the rejection of their request, Soviet
diplomats thought they were due to fears about Iranian “reactionaries”
supported by the Western Allies: “The provision of a Soviet oil concession
in the north of Iran, i.e., in the most populated and economically most
important areas, will significantly enhance and strengthen our position and
our influence in Iran.”33 The document further states that Kavtaradze
stayed in Iran until December 7, 1944. During his long visit, and together
with the new Soviet ambassador, Мikhail Maksimov, he tried to implement
Moscow’s directives to pressure the government of Sa’ed, who finally had to
resign. According to a directive of December 5, they issued a statement
demanding that the new Prime Minister Morteza Gholi Bayat review the
“wrong decision of the Majlis.”34
Between November 1944 and January 1945, this Soviet policy led to an
exchange of rather harsh diplomatic notes between the Western Allies and
the USSR. The Americans and the British accused Soviet leaders of inter-
vening in Iran’s internal affairs, while Soviet diplomats underlined the
Western Allies’ unfriendly position on Soviet–Iranian negotiations.
Since Iran occupied such an important strategic position in the Middle
East, the regional events of 1944 and the Soviet efforts to get an oil
concession became the catalysts that revealed the Allies’ competing inter-
ests. Another feature of the imminent international Iranian Crisis was
Moscow’s active use of the People’s Party of Iran (the Tudeh) to realize
foreign policy aims. The nucleus of this party consisted of former commu-
nists who had been released from Iranian prisons in 1941. Although the
Iranian Crisis was mainly caused by geopolitics and the beginning struggle
for oil resources, Soviet political activity in Iran also carried an ideological
dimension, which increased the suspicion and distrust of its Anglo-
American allies.
in Iran found various pretenses to delay the Iranian troops that had been
sent from Tehran to suppress the rebellious provinces. The withdrawal of
Soviet troops from Iran then became particularly acute for all players in the
ensuing Iranian Crisis.
8000 died from hunger and thirst during their exile to the south of Iran.54
Education in the Azerbaijani language and the issuing of Azerbaijani publi-
cations were forbidden. On December 20, 1946, the government army
occupied the entire Iranian Azerbaijan. By this time, Pishevari and some
other leaders of the Democratic Party of Azerbaijan, as well as more than
5000 refugees, had sought refuge in the Soviet Union.
After the defeat of the democratic movement in Iranian Azerbaijan, the
Soviet leadership had hoped for the fulfilment of Qavam’s agreement on the
establishment of a mixed Soviet–Iranian oil company. Qavam, however,
who was eager to strengthen cooperation with the United States, claimed in
August 1947 that he had withdrawn from the oil agreement signed on April
4, 1946. The Soviet diplomatic reply underlined that the refusal of the
Iranian government to submit the Soviet–Iranian agreement on oil to the
Majlis was in violation of this agreement. However, on October 22, 1947,
the Majlis announced the denunciation of the Soviet–Iranian oil agreement
of April 4, 1946 referring to a law passed on December 2, 1944, which
banned the granting of oil concessions to foreigners. The Soviet govern-
ment lodged a strong protest against the violation of the agreement and
described the Iranian government’s actions as hostile. Despite the Soviet
protest, the Iranian government would never return to the issue of the
bilateral agreement on northern Iranian oil.
The Soviet Union thus could not strengthen its influence in Iran, and,
because of the events in Iranian Azerbaijan, its image was seriously damaged
in the eyes of the democratic forces.
that time, the frontlines in the Cold War had already been drawn—and its
first battles had started.
Even though it would be wrong to consider the Iranian Crisis the
beginning of the Cold War, its consequences reached far beyond the
regional framework. The Iranian Crisis led to irreversible geopolitical
changes in the Middle East: the US gradually took over the role, which
the UK had played in the past; and the origins of the Truman Doctrine were
rooted not only in the events in Greece and Turkey, but also in the Iranian
Crisis.
However, the specifics of this crisis were determined by geopolitics. It is
the most striking example of the struggle for spheres of influence among the
great powers within the still existing anti-Hitler coalition. Historians who
believe the origins of the Cold War to be dominated by geopolitics usually
refer to the Iranian Crisis, although they do not consider it the starting point
of the Cold War.
We should also take into consideration that the potential for cooperation
had not yet been exhausted between 1945 and 1946, despite increasing
disagreements among the Allies and the revival of ideological clichés in the
utterances of public figures and in the propaganda. In 1945 and 1946,
the postwar peace settlement was still very much in the making; images of
the new enemy had not yet been formed; and in the folding of the Yalta–
Potsdam system of international relations the confrontation between the
USSR and the US as its centerline had not yet manifested itself. All this took
shape in 1947 and 1948, and was associated with the Truman Doctrine, the
Marshall Plan, the formation of bloc politics, and the founding of the
Cominform (Communist Information Bureau56).
With regard to the Soviet policy on oil, the leadership continued to
collect information not only about the world’s oil extraction in 1945,57
but also about the petroleum industry in occupied countries such as Austria
and Romania.58 It did so while simultaneously negotiating for an oil con-
cession. As for Romania, which was part of the Soviet sphere of influence in
Eastern Europe, a special commission was sent to Bucharest in June 1945
“to negotiate with the government of the Romanian Kingdom the estab-
lishment of a Soviet–Romanian joint company for the exploration, produc-
tion, refining, and marketing of oil and petrochemicals.”59
Beria’s letter of July 10, 1945 to Stalin and Molotov is an equally
eloquent testimony of the Soviet leadership’s wish to be aware of postwar
global oil politics, and especially to have information about the US’s par-
ticipation in it. Referring to TASS news agency reports about the
STALIN’S OIL POLICY AND THE IRANIAN CRISIS OF 1945–1946 99
NOTES
1. Bruce R. Kuniholm, The Origins of the Cold War in the Near East:
Great Powers Conflict and Diplomacy in Iran, Turkey and Greece
(Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1980); Barry Rubin, The
100 N. EGOROVA
Great Powers in the Middle East, 1941–1947: The Road to the Cold
War (London: Routledge, 1980); David J. Alvarez, Bureaucracy
and Cold War Diplomacy: The United States and Turkey,
1943–1946 (Thessaloniki: Institute for Balkan Studies, 1980);
Stephen L. McFarland, “A Peripheral View of the Origins of the
Cold War: The Crises in Iran, 1941–1947,” Diplomatic History 4, 4
(1980), 333–51; Fraser J. Harbutt, The Iron Curtain: Churchill,
America, and the Cold War (New York: Oxford University Press,
1986); Mark H. Lytle, The Origins of the Iranian–American Alli-
ance, 1941–1953 (New York: Holmes & Meier, 1987); Richard
W. Cottam, Iran and the United States: A Cold War Case Study
(Pittsburgh, PA: University of Pittsburgh Press, 1988); James
F. Goode, The United States and Iran, 1946–1951: The Diplomacy
of Neglect (London: Palgrave Macmillan, 1989).
2. Kuniholm, Great Powers Conflict, 185.
3. Lytle, Iranian-American Alliance, 64.
4. See Valerii Iungbliud, “Iranskaia politika Moskvy i Vashingtona,”
chap. 3.2.2., in Vstrechnymi kursami: Politika SSSR i SSHA na
balkanakh, blizhnem i srednem vostoke v 1939–1947 gg. (Kirov:
Viatskii gosudarstvennyi gumanitarnyi universitet, 2014), 383–98;
Ilya V. Gaiduk, Divided Together: The United States and the Soviet
Union in the United Nations, 1945–1965 (Stanford: Stanford Uni-
versity Press, 2012); Rashid Khalidi, Sowing Crisis: The Cold War
and American Dominance in the Middle East (Boston: Beacon Press,
2009); Jamil Hasanli, At the Dawn of the Cold War: The Soviet–
American Crisis over Iranian Azerbaijan, 1941–1946 (Lanham:
Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, 2006); Natalia I. Yegorova, The
“Iranian Crisis” of 1945–1946: A View from the Russian Archives,
Cold War International History Project (CWIHP) Working Papers,
Working Paper 15 (Washington, DC: Woodrow Wilson
Center, 1996).
5. Kristen Blake, The U.S.–Soviet Confrontation in Iran, 1945–1962: A
Case in the Annals of the Cold War (Lanham: University Press of
America, 2009), 2.
6. Melving P. Leffler and Odd A. Westad, eds., The Cambridge History
of the Cold War, 3 vols. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,
2010). Naturally, there also other studies following this approach,
for example: Odd A. Westad, The Global Cold War: Third World
STALIN’S OIL POLICY AND THE IRANIAN CRISIS OF 1945–1946 101
Niklas Jensen-Eriksen
INTRODUCTION
When the Soviet Union re-entered world oil markets as a major exporter in
the late 1950s, it was regarded by some in the West as a welcome additional
supplier of cheap energy. Others saw it, however, as a dangerous competitor
who was undermining the position of major Anglo-American oil companies
and possibly trying to use oil as a political weapon against its capitalist
enemies.
Soviet offers also sparked a long and bitter conflict within Whitehall,
between the Board of Trade, the government department responsible for
trade and industrial policies, and the Ministry of Power, which was respon-
sible for energy policy. These departments identified closely with the inter-
ests of particular pressure groups and promoted the goals of these groups
within the administration. Local manufacturing industries sought to gain
access to cheap Soviet fuel. The opponents of such deals argued, however,
that imports of “red oil”, as it was occasionally called, would endanger the
role of the United Kingdom (UK) as an international oil power and its
relations with the United States (US), and at the same time undermine the
N. Jensen-Eriksen (*)
Department of Philosophy, History, Culture and Art Studies, University of
Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
health of the UK’s coal industry. In short, there were severe tensions
between local interests of oil-consuming industries and wider domestic
and international considerations. The oil companies and their supporters
managed to stop Soviet oil from entering the UK in substantial quantities,
but the archival records nevertheless show that the influence of the oil
industry was diminishing. It had been taken for granted that a decline in
international oil prices would have a negative effect on British balance of
payments, but by the early 1960s, the Treasury officials began to question
this proposition.
These divisions went largely unnoticed in the early writings on Soviet
attempts to sell oil to the UK market. In April 1959, the government
imposed an almost total embargo on imports of oil from the Soviet
Union. The embargo was only lifted in the early 1970s. Peter R. Odell, a
well-known expert in international energy policy, argued that “Britain [. . .]
continued for long to refuse to accept the advantages of Soviet oil [. . .]
partly because of its interests in the ownership of two of the international
major oil companies, but mainly because of the unwillingness to act against
a NATO [North Atlantic Treaty Organization] policy strongly supported
by the United States.”1 In fact, the UK had played a key role in the
formulation of NATO’s resolution of 1962, which urged members to
exercise caution when buying Soviet oil. The Foreign Office and the Min-
istry of Power had also supported subsidiaries of British oil companies
abroad when local governments had prevented them from importing oil
from their own sources and forced them to distribute Soviet oil.2 The UK
became known “as a firm opponent of Soviet oil.”3
Bruce W. Jentleson, the author of an important book on the East–West
energy trade, divided the European countries into two discrete groups:
“consumer” and “producer” nations. The former (for example, Italy)
were willing to buy inexpensive Soviet oil, while the latter (for example,
France and the Netherlands) saw this as a threat to their own energy
interests. The UK belonged to the latter group because British Petroleum
(BP) and Royal Dutch Shell, an Anglo-Dutch group, played crucial roles in
the world oil trade. Jentleson did recognize that the UK had somewhat
conflicting interests, being both an oil power and a prospective seller of
ships and energy equipment to the Soviets, but only substantial economic
difficulties in 1963 persuaded the British to consider a temporary change in
policy.4
There is evidence to suggest there was usually little doubt regarding the
nature of British policy towards Soviet oil sales. The Foreign Office pointed
“RED OIL” AND WESTERN REACTIONS: THE CASE OF BRITAIN 107
the world markets. In the beginning, their overall market share was small,
but by the end of the decade, the communist superpower had become “a
force to be reckoned with in the international petroleum field,” as the US
Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) observed.8 In 1959, Soviet oil was
already being exported to thirty non-communist and eleven communist
countries. Three-quarters of the exports were sold to Western Europe.9
As far as the major oil companies were concerned, the Soviet expansion
occurred at a particularly unwelcome moment. The supply of oil was
growing faster than demand, as independent producers from the Middle
East and Venezuela, among others, were pushing more oil into the market.
The oil industry magazine Petroleum Press Service observed in May 1959
that “competition between suppliers is now sharper than at any time in the
post-war period, and inevitably leads to price reductions.”10 Furthermore,
the Soviets were ready to cut prices drastically in order to gain market
shares.11 The established Western oil giants responded to increased com-
petition by cutting the officially posted prices, which reduced the revenue of
oil producing countries. The latter were furious, and in September 1960,
Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, and Venezuela set up the Organization of
the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).12
Standard Oil of New Jersey took the leading role in efforts to contain
Soviet oil exports. The president of the company, Monroe J. “Jack”
Rathbone, explained to the British Chancellor of the Exchequer, Selwyn
Lloyd, in June 1961 that the problem of Soviet oil exports “could only be
met by a delaying action.”13 The major British oil companies agreed; Shell
and BP explained to the British government in July 1961 that they hoped
that the growth of world demand, and in particular an increase in consump-
tion in the Soviet Union, might alleviate the problem in the long run. The
next three years would be difficult for the companies, with 1962 the worst
of all, but after that the situation might get better. If the British bought
Soviet oil, “the price structure would collapse and the companies only
recoup themselves by lowering the price of Middle East crude.” This, BP
and Shell warned, “could lead to serious political consequences and a
disruption of supplies.” After they had achieved all this, the Soviets would
“be free to raise their prices or withdraw entirely from the market with
disastrous consequences.”14
“RED OIL” AND WESTERN REACTIONS: THE CASE OF BRITAIN 109
purchasing Soviet oil would hurt British government relations with Middle
Eastern countries and with US oil companies, and would undermine efforts
to contain the expansion of Soviet oil exports into foreign countries.19 The
ministry therefore felt that “it was to our advantage to pursue a policy of
maximum containment of Russian oil, to the extent of taking none our-
selves, with a view to keeping European prices as high as possible.”20 It was
also questionable whether it was wise to increase the revenues of the Soviets
at the expense of the Anglo-American oil companies. The British and US oil
majors were spending over £200 million a year on British goods and
services, and a part of the royalties paid to the producing countries was
also spent in the UK.21
However, the ministry was initially more concerned about the probable
impact of Soviet imports on the British coal industry, or at least this is what it
told outsiders.22 At first, the Soviets would mainly sell fuel oil, which would
replace British coal. The increased consumption of fuel oil in the UK was
already strongly reducing the demand for coal, and imports of cheap Soviet
fuel oil would accelerate this trend.23 The government had begun to
subsidize operations of the National Coal Board in order to protect the
country against unemployment; it had also banned imports of US and
Polish coal.24
seemed to be the only field of trade where the British government could
actively support Soviet exports. Most other Soviet exports had been placed
on Open General Licenses, which gave the Soviets considerable freedom to
sell their products to the UK, although their ability to attract customers was
weak. The Board of Trade was not suggesting that the British should import
unlimited amounts of Soviet oil. Instead, those purchases should be limited
in such a way as to preclude any danger of Britain becoming overly depen-
dent on Soviet sources.31
Not everyone in Whitehall had clear-cut views on whether or not the
British should import Soviet oil. The Treasury was always meticulously
looking for ways of improving the state of the British balance of payments,
but in this case, it was ready to admit that this was “not necessarily the
decisive, or even the most important, single factor.”32 This was because it
proved difficult to determine whether there was a clear advantage in
importing. The position of the British oil companies in the nationalistic-
minded producing countries had deteriorated, and this persuaded the Trea-
sury to consider “whether our main interest in oil generally is still as a
producer rather than as a consumer.”33 The British economy benefited
from the operations of BP and Shell in various ways, but the companies
also had to pay royalties and taxes to the producing countries. A formula
developed in 1960 by Jack Downie, a senior economic adviser at the
Economic Section of the Treasury, implied that high prices benefited the
UK so long as the producing countries did not take more than 65 percent of
the profits from oil. In Venezuela, the government share was already close
to this level, and other countries might soon follow suit.34
The oil-producing countries did use some of their earnings in the UK,
but the Soviets repeatedly argued that they would be willing to spend all of
their additional sterling proceeds on British goods. After considering these
and the other issues involved, the Treasury concluded in 1960 that there
would be a small negative effect on the British balance of payments if the
embargo were to be lifted. In the following year, it calculated that the lifting
of the embargo would probably have no measurable impact, while in 1962,
it estimated that there would be a small gain if a small quantity of oil were
imported. However, these calculations were partly based on a number of
uncertain assumptions, and they did not include indirect effects, which were
difficult to gauge. Hence, it was easy for anyone who was unhappy with the
conclusions to challenge them. The Ministry of Power certainly did not miss
this opportunity in 1962, when the balance of payments predictions favored
imports of Soviet oil.35
“RED OIL” AND WESTERN REACTIONS: THE CASE OF BRITAIN 113
companies had similar advantages, and hence, the entry of a new actor in the
oil import business was welcome.42
Neither the Board of Trade nor the Ministry of Power was willing to give
in. “It became clear that there was no possibility of reconciling the views of
these two Departments,” a Treasury civil servant observed after he had
attended an inconclusive interdepartmental meeting in December 1958.43
The Treasury officials themselves held mixed views. Some suspected that the
Board of Trade could not limit imports, and that a decision to accept Scott’s
proposal would be “the first step towards complete freedom to import
Soviet oil.”44 Others believed that a limit could be imposed. There were
similar disagreements on other issues, including whether it was more impor-
tant for the government to defend the interests of the coal and oil industries
than those of oil consumers and British exporters of manufactured goods.
The Treasury officials finally decided to recommend to the Chancellor of
the Exchequer that he should support the reasoning of the Ministry of
Power, but it is clear from the minutes that the decision could have gone
either way.45 Nevertheless, an interdepartmental committee of officials
endorsed the Treasury’s conclusion, despite objections from the Board of
Trade.46 By this time the latter had raised the stakes even higher by
proposing that the British should offer to buy two million tons of Soviet
fuel oil in exchange for increased British exports to the Soviet Union.47 This
quantity would represent roughly a fifth of the UK’s total consumption,
excluding power stations whose fuel needs were covered by government
contracts.48
The major oil companies managed to deliver what was probably the final
blow to the Board of Trade plan to allow Soviet oil into the country by
making it clear “they saw the greatest danger in the proposal to import
Russian oil and even if H.M.G. decided that it was in the national interest to
take some, they would have nothing to do with it.”49 “The consequence of
this is that there is no prospect of building up a Trade Agreement with
Russia based on our undertaking to buy a given quantity of Russian oil,”
A. W. France, under-secretary to the Treasury, concluded. Without the
cooperation of the established oil companies, only small quantities of Soviet
oil could be distributed in the UK.50
An ad hoc meeting of key ministers in April 1959, led by Prime Minister
Harold Macmillan, eventually concluded, as the officials had done earlier,
that “at any rate for the time being the possibility of a purchase of Soviet oil
should be ruled out, in view of the repercussions which this would have on
the United Kingdom oil industry.”51 This decision meant that there would
“RED OIL” AND WESTERN REACTIONS: THE CASE OF BRITAIN 115
involved them taking Soviet oil, although they did not entirely rule out a
small deal. For example, they reiterated their previous concerns about the
drastic impact such an alliance would have on relations with Middle Eastern
countries and the US. The companies said that they might not be able to
resist the Soviet expansion forever, but a delay could at least help them to
gain better terms in any possible settlement.73
The outbreak of the Berlin Crisis in the summer of 1961 made it even less
likely that a US–British–Soviet agreement would be concluded in the near
future, but there was so much interest in this option within Whitehall that
Rickett’s working party was resurrected in order to develop the concept
further in the utmost secrecy.74 The results were, to put it mildly, disap-
pointing. The Ministry of Power was particularly good at identifying the
disadvantages, but the other departments had to recognize that there were
indeed a number of practical objections and obstacles to the planned
“accommodation.” It simply did not seem likely that the Americans could
be persuaded to accept the arrangement, given their negative attitude
towards Soviet oil exports to the West and the tensions between the two
superpowers. Furthermore, the cartel could not be formed without the
involvement of the main non-Western producing countries, which were
gradually strengthening their position in the international oil trade. These
nations could take over the new organization and downgrade Anglo-
American oil companies to “little more than carriers of oil,” as the Ministry
of Power warned. This was probably the main reason why the British
companies were so opposed to the idea of “accommodation.” They had
set up cartels before, but this time, it was conceivable that any arrangements
might be dominated by foreign governments, not companies. The British
officials eventually decided to postpone any efforts to build a cartel to an
unspecified later date.75
thus annoyed those members of the Board of Trade who were in charge of
practical licensing arrangements. After all, Powell’s department lacked the
necessary expertise in this field and hence tended to rely on the advice of the
Ministry of Power for these kinds of practical matters.77
At the end of 1962, a new option emerged: the Soviets seemed willing to
exchange oil for British ships. When this issue was taken up at cabinet level
in early 1963, the president of the Board of Trade, Frederick Erroll, painted
an uplifting picture of orders worth £30 million, and possibly substantially
more, which the British shipbuilders could receive from the Soviets if only
the British would grant them licenses in exchange to sell at least one million
tons of fuel oil, worth £4 million, to the UK market. In this way, the British
shipyards, which were in the midst of a deep economic crisis, would receive
orders, and other industries cheap fuel. Furthermore, there was no reason to
think that Britain would become unduly dependent on the energy imports
from its Cold War opponent. By 1962, British fuel oil consumption had
risen to 21.5 million tons, and was expected to grow still more.78
The proposal sounded too good to be true. But was it in fact true? The
answer of the Ministry of Power was “no.” The Soviets had made some
promising overtures, but they had also complained that British prices were
substantially higher than those of their main Western competitors. It was
not self-evident that the Soviets were interested in tying up ship and oil
contracts. After all, they could buy cheaper ships from other countries. The
departments could not even agree on who had initially suggested the idea of
the exchange deal. The Board of Trade and the Ministry of Transport had
originally implied that it was the Soviets, but the Ministry of Power pointed
the finger at these two departments. The truth was probably somewhere in
the middle. The Soviets had claimed for years in general terms that they
were prepared to place more orders in the UK if the British would buy their
oil in exchange. After the Soviets had shown an interest in British ships, the
Board of Trade began to develop a concrete deal with the communist
bureaucrats.79
Theoretically, the plan certainly had benefits. In December 1962, there
were 19,000 unemployed shipbuilders in the UK; without new orders,
another 15,000 were expected to lose their jobs by the end of 1963. The
growth in unemployment was starting to become a political embarrassment
for the government. Soviet orders worth £30 million would create employ-
ment for 20,000 men in struggling areas of the UK, which sounded impres-
sive, although the Ministry of Power argued that importing two million tons
of Soviet fuel oil could cost the British coal industry 9000 to 10,000 jobs.80
“RED OIL” AND WESTERN REACTIONS: THE CASE OF BRITAIN 121
The Board of Trade received strong support from the Ministry of Trans-
port, but neither the officials nor the cabinet’s Economic Policy Committee
managed to reach an agreement.81 The divisions between the departments
were evident in the cabinet meetings, but the ministers eventually decided
to give a cautious green light to Soviet imports by concluding that “if firm
proposals were made by the Soviet Government for the placing of substan-
tial shipbuilding orders in the United Kingdom in exchange for the impor-
tation of a limited quota of Soviet fuel oil, these proposals should be
considered on their merits.” This cautious statement reflected Prime Min-
ister Macmillan’s concerns as to whether, if the British were to enter into
negotiations with the Soviets without first getting a specific undertaking,
the latter were indeed serious about reaching an agreement. If the British
found that there were no orders to be won, they would have antagonized
their allies needlessly.82
Macmillan’s fear was justified, but his method of eliminating the risk was
ineffective. A statement regarding the cabinet’s decision was made in par-
liament, and hence the change in policy was announced to the whole world.
The UK government, which had argued for years that the British did not
need Soviet oil, was now seen to be willing to allow it into the country if the
terms were attractive enough. However, the orders for ships did not mate-
rialize. The Soviets claimed that they had never linked prospective oil and
ship deals together, and were not interested in doing so now.83 The only
winner was the Soviet Union, which had managed to show the world that
the second most important opponent of Soviet oil exports in the world was
now willing to buy its oil. The Board of Trade had caused damage to the
embargo, which it had resented for so long, but had not managed to acquire
any material benefits for those industries whose interests it had been seeking
to promote. The fact that the department had claimed there were “solid
prospects”84 of a “ships for oil” deal may have had a negative impact on its
reputation when it emerged that this had not in fact been the case.
Although the “ships for oil” deal fell through, the Cabinet decision of
1963 was in theory an important precedent for British policy regarding
Soviet oil. In practice, it had little impact on actual British import policy, as
Soviet oil was kept out of the country. In 1964, the Soviets continued to
press the British to grant them oil import licenses, but the Soviets then lost
interest on the whole issue.85 This reflected wider changes in Soviet oil
export capabilities. During the mid-1960s, the Soviet oil offensive began to
lose steam rapidly. Production in the Soviet Union increased, but so did its
domestic consumption. Hence, the Soviets could no longer offer oil at
122 N. JENSEN-ERIKSEN
knock-down prices to all consumers. Its exports did grow, but so did those
of many other oil producers. The Soviet market share in Western Europe
stabilized at around 8 percent.86 The prediction that had been made by the
British oil companies in 1961 proved to be correct: time solved the problem
of Soviet oil.
Some British consumers still showed an interest in Soviet supplies, but
pressure on the government to remove the embargo declined at the same
pace at which the Soviet prices increased. The embargo was officially
removed in 1973, just before the global oil crisis broke out; but by this
time, the embargo had already been weakened as some companies, includ-
ing Imperial Chemical Industries and the Soviet-owned Nafta (UK), had
received licenses to import small amounts of Soviet oil.87
CONCLUSION
The story described in this chapter provides some insights into relations
between the British government and the corporate sector and also into the
formulation of energy policy. A number of scholars have argued that Britain
was so dependent on income generated from the domestic oil industry
during the early Cold War period that this encouraged the government to
offer strong support to the country’s oil industry against foreign threats. For
example, Steve Marsh, writing on British and US policies towards Iran
during the early 1950s, argues: “Government and oil industry were locked
in a symbiotic relationship that the oil majors exploited to advance their
particular commercial concerns, often embroiling their national govern-
ments in their quest for competitive advantage.”88
However, if we want to get a more balanced view on the relations
between the British government and oil companies, we also have to con-
sider events in the domestic UK market and look at the formulation of
government policy in cases where the oil industry’s interests were in conflict
with other British economic interests. This makes the relationship between
the government and the oil industry appear less “symbiotic.” The Board of
Trade rushed to support manufacturing industries, while the Treasury
began to doubt the crucial significance of the oil industry to the country’s
balance of payments already in the early 1960s, when it became clear that
host governments in Middle East and South America were taking an
increasing portion of the oil revenue. The Foreign Office might have been
willing to support British oil interests in the Middle East, but in the British
home market, it was hard to adopt a clear-cut position.
“RED OIL” AND WESTERN REACTIONS: THE CASE OF BRITAIN 123
If Soviet oil had been imported into the UK on a substantial scale, there
would have been a number of direct and indirect effects on the country’s
economy and its international relations. These would have had uneven
consequences throughout the British society. It is therefore hard to disagree
with the Bank of England and the Treasury, which felt that it was difficult to
estimate which course of action would be most advantageous for the UK as
a whole. However, neither the Board of Trade nor the Ministry of Power
were in any doubt as to what the policy should look like. Although they
were officially departments of Her Majesty’s Government, their behavior
more closely resembled the actions of non-governmental special interest
groups. In a way, the Whitehall struggle over Soviet fuel oil was a proxy war
between two important economic groups: the British oil industry and the
oil-consuming industries. Whitehall supporters of British oil-producing and
-manufacturing industries identified so closely with the interests of their
clients that they refused to let the matter drop so long as there was a
possibility that cheap Soviet oil could be allowed into the UK.
It is possible that similar conflicts occurred in other European countries,
although the scholarly literature on these issues is still limited.89 Soviet oil
exports grew fast during the late 1950s and early 1960s and disrupted
existing trading patterns. The Soviets were trying to acquire market shares
by offering oil at cheap prices. Their main competitors, the major Anglo-
American oil companies, regarded the Soviets as a commercial and—to
some degree—also a political threat, but many consumers naturally wel-
comed the opportunity to buy inexpensive energy. The British case shows
that the Soviets could exploit these diverging interests quite skillfully to
undermine anti-Soviet policies. It is possible that they did the same in other
countries. European economies were growing fast and needed cheap
energy, but French and Dutch companies, in particular, controlled substan-
tial crude oil reserves of their own. In addition, many countries had ailing
coal industries. The British case also shows that large oil companies still had
substantial influence. They had loyal friends within the government machin-
ery and also controlled distribution networks. Without the cooperation of
Shell and BP, it was hard to allow an opening of the market to significant
quantities of Soviet oil imports to the UK.
NOTES
1. Peter R. Odell, Oil and World Power, 8th edn (Harmondsworth:
Penguin, 1986), 61.
124 N. JENSEN-ERIKSEN
2. For the efforts of the British to defend their interests in foreign oil
markets, see Niklas Jensen-Eriksen, “The First Wave of the Soviet
Oil Offensive: The Anglo-American Alliance and the Flow of ‘Red
Oil’ to Finland during the 1950s,” Business History 49, 3 (2007),
348–66; Niklas Jensen-Eriksen, “The Cold War in Energy Markets:
British Efforts to Contain Soviet Oil Exports to Non-Communist
Countries, 1950–1965,” in Alain Beltran, ed., Le pétrole et la
guerre—Oil and War (Brussels: Peter Lang, 2012), 191–208.
3. The National Archives of the UK (TNA), Records of the Foreign
Office (FO)371/158054, Economic Relations—Supplies (UES)
1038/32, P. Male, “Oil in Soviet Union,” July 13, 1961.
4. Bruce W. Jentleson, Pipeline Politics: The Complex Political Economy
of East-West Energy Trade, Cornell Studies in Political Economy
(Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1986), 39, 91, 119–22, 219.
5. TNA, Records of the Ministry of Power (POWE)61/94,
E. Melville, FO to A. Mackay, Treasury (T), February 1, 1962
(copy for the Ministry of Power [MOP]).
6. “Mr. Mikoyan’s oil hint to Britain,” The Times, May 23, 1961.
7. “Oil from Russia,” The Times, May 25, 1961.
8. CIA, “Middle East Oil,” NIE 30–60, November 22, 1960, quoted
in Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money and Power
(London: Simon & Schuster, 1993), 515.
9. “Russian Export Statistics,” Petroleum Press Service, September
1960, 329.
10. “Surplus capacity,” Petroleum Press Service, May 1959, 166.
11. “Russia’s Rising Oil Exports,” Petroleum Press Service, April 1960,
125; TNA, POWE33/2443, MOP, “Russian oil imports,” May 19,
1960.
12. Yergin, Prize, 514–23.
13. TNA, Treasury (T)236/6441, A. Mackay, “Russian oil,” June 14,
1961.
14. TNA, T236/6441, G. Walker, “Note of a meeting with the Minis-
ter of Power and representatives of Shell and British Petroleum
(B.P.), 6th July 1961,” July 10, 1961.
15. William Wallace, The Foreign Policy Process in Britain (London:
Allen & Unwin, 1977), 50.
16. TNA, POWE33/2074, Minute by B. Gottlieb, January 21, 1958.
17. TNA, POWE61/20, K. Stock, “Working Party on Russian Oil
[RO],” September 12, 1961.
“RED OIL” AND WESTERN REACTIONS: THE CASE OF BRITAIN 125
Roberto Cantoni
INTRODUCTION
By the late 1950s, Soviet oil exports to Western Europe and plans to
increase them through the construction of a colossal pipeline system were
causing concern at the European Economic Community (EEC) and the
North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). Member states within both
organizations, as well as some Western oil companies, feared Moscow could
use oil as a weapon to weaken the West both militarily and economically.
Between 1955 and 1965, Soviet oil production rose spectacularly from
71 to 243 million tons.1 The new production capacities had significant
implications for Western security and economy, as they created conditions
to boost the production of the Soviet Union’s heavy industries and fuel its
military apparatus. The Soviet Union also increased its exports. Over ten
years, exports expanded from 5.2 percent to 26.4 percent of total Soviet
production, and oil exports to non-communist countries escalated from 3.8
million tons in 1955 to a stunning 35.5 million tons in 1965.2 This bonanza
would not have been possible without an immense prospecting effort. It
bore its finest fruit in the Volga-Ural region, where a number of large
R. Cantoni (*)
CERI, Sciences Po Paris, France
oilfields were discovered throughout the 1950s. Not only could the Soviets
now produce large amounts of oil, they could also offer prices international
companies could not match in normal market conditions without accepting
to decrease their profits.3
In 1958, however, the Soviet Union’s ability to transport oil was
constrained by its overloaded railway network, which carried around 60 per-
cent of its overall amount (compared to 5 percent in the United States
[US]). The Soviets aimed to meet 35 percent of their oil transportation
requirements with a new pipeline system that would connect new oilfields to
the Union’s western periphery. Besides relieving the railway network, the
system would reduce the demand for tankers. In addition, the pipeline
could easily be connected to seaport terminals where the Soviet Navy’s
vessels were moored.4 Nevertheless, the Soviets needed Western technolo-
gies and industrial capabilities to build the pipeline system, especially regard-
ing large-diameter pipes and pipeline equipment. Drafting a strategy to
maintain the Soviet Union’s dependence and counter its technological
development became the main discussion topic among members of
NATO’s Committee of Economic Advisers.
Historians of technology have long recognized the importance of social,
political, and economic factors in defining what a technological artifact is.5
This chapter enriches these analyses by showing, on the one hand, the
crucial role of oil pipes in international relations during the Cold War. On
the other, it underlines that the Cold War discussions in the late 1950s and
early 1960s shaped the very definition of what oil pipes are. In particular, the
actual understanding of their sizes and functions was negotiated in the
measures that NATO implemented to face the Soviet threat.
This study also refines our understanding of the role of pipelines in
political history, which has been emphasized by historian Timothy Mitchell
and by geographer Andrew Barry. Mitchell has highlighted, among other
things, the importance of Middle Eastern pipelines and refineries as sites of
intense political struggle. As we will see, unlike in Mitchell’s case, in my
story no physical attack or sabotage action was carried out towards pipelines;
however, political struggle did take place at a more abstract level, both
strategic and diplomatic.
Besides being sites of conflict, pipelines as material artifacts are also active
agents of politics, as Barry demonstrated in his study of the Baku–Tbilisi–
Ceyhan oil pipeline from the Caspian Sea to the Mediterranean, which was
built in the second half of the 2000s.6 Barry convincingly argued that
DEBATES AT NATO AND THE EEC IN RESPONSE TO THE SOVIET “OIL. . . 133
ENI with 12 million tons of crude and fuel oil in exchange for synthetic
rubber, steel pipes, and pipeline equipment.12 Two months before the
Italian contract came into force, West German firms also signed an
important barter contract with the Soviets (in view of the coal supplies
available to Germany, it was perceived as less threatening; Italy had no
such supplies). Among German exports to the USSR were chemical and
extractive industry plants, iron, and steel products, ships, and large-diameter
pipes; imports included Soviet crude oil and petrol products.13
ENI’s trade with the Soviets soon brought the Italian company to the
attention of international organizations. The US press, as well as the reports
of the US National Security Council and SD, highlighted the dangers
arising from the dependency on Soviet oil: in their narrative, the Russians
might decide suddenly to interrupt their deliveries in retaliation for unfa-
vorable political decisions by Western governments.14 The US view failed to
note that that the USSR was highly dependent on Western technology and
that any disruption of oil supplies would have a serious impact on the
country’s industrial development.
US anxieties were also clearly expressed in two documents by the
Senate in 1961 and 1962.15 In the first study, titled Soviet Oil in the Cold
War, authors Halford Hoskins (a senior specialist in international relations)
and Leon Herman (an analyst of Soviet economics) warned that a spread of
the Italian business attitude across Western Europe would cause more
countries to obtain some of their supplies from the USSR instead of from
the majors, and decrease the revenues of international companies. They
maintained this would not only damage US, but also British, Dutch, and
French interests, since the British and Dutch were both partners in Royal
Dutch-Shell, the British ran British Petroleum (BP), the French ran CFP,
and all of these countries were already exporting their oil to Europe.16 In
Problems Raised by the Soviet Oil Offensive, Hoskins warned that ENI’s
policy was intended to eliminate as many foreign companies from the Italian
market as possible.17
ENI’s further plans to build a pipeline for the Soviets between the USSR
and East Germany, and another one to connect Italy’s Adriatic seaport of
Trieste to Vienna, did not appease Western governments. The first threat
was defused through international diplomatic pressure. France and the US
had been promptly informed by their secret services about the Italian–Soviet
agreement regarding the East German pipeline project.18 The implementa-
tion of ENI’s project was depicted as a dangerous threat: an oil terminal in
East Germany would sooner or later be connected to West Germany and
136 R. CANTONI
thus initiate a Soviet oil invasion. Via the Italian ambassador in Paris, the SD
was able to stop the project, and the agreement was not signed.19 ENI only
supplied certain items of pumping and auxiliary equipment, while the plan
to provide technical assistance with installing the pipelines was dropped.20
As a NATO report argues further, the Soviets could easily link the
Trieste—Vienna pipeline to Bratislava, where they planned to build
the pipeline system’s Czechoslovak terminal (Fig. 1).21 The short distance
between Vienna and Bratislava made the project a threat for the majors’
supplies of Middle Eastern oil.22 By linking the Soviet pipeline to ENI’s
planned pipeline, Soviet oil could be piped to the Mediterranean and then
exported by tanker to areas already supplied by Anglo-American majors in
Southern Europe. This would further increase the Soviet quantities deliv-
ered by tankers through the Black Sea.23
However, the Trieste—Vienna pipeline was not approved until 1963. A
number of other majors besides ENI were included in laying the “Transal-
pine Pipeline.” It was commissioned in 1967, whereas the extension to
Vienna became operational only in 1970.
Fig. 1 Map of existing and proposed Soviet pipelines (1960) (Source: AHTOTAL,
Fonds Total-CFP, b. 92.26/31, excerpt from the Journal des Carburants,
November 20, 1960)
DEBATES AT NATO AND THE EEC IN RESPONSE TO THE SOVIET “OIL. . . 137
committees and the SD, while Hofland intervened with the British and
Dutch governments and contacted the US Embassy in Paris.36 Unlike in the
papers of the US government, Western military security does not seem to
have played a significant role in the companies’ documents.
The EEC inter-executive working group eventually submitted its pro-
posals to the general secretariat of the Council of the European Commu-
nities in January 1961. The proposal aimed at harmonizing energy policies
and safeguarding provisions in case the energy market deteriorated.37 The
former amounted to a renunciation of the right to take decisions on energy
matters before consultation with other EEC countries and the Commission
itself. The second set of provisions, to be introduced over a period of three
to five years, included import quotas for coal, crude and oil products,
custom duties on imported coal and fuel oil, and community-funded sub-
sidies for coal production.38 Although Italy acknowledged the need for a
common energy policy, it did not adhere to the inter-executive proposals,
which it deemed dictated by the majors’ vested interests.39
In April 1961, the group of EEC oil experts met in Brussels to discuss a
survey they had previously submitted to country members for collecting
statistics on their oil regulations. A serious problem emerged regarding
re-exports. In addition to relabeling and re-exporting problems, a country
member could have Soviet oil refined on its behalf in refineries located in
another member country. The situation was further complicated by the lack
of precise data on re-exports, which made it impossible to determine to
what extent supply security was at risk.40 In addition, Italy’s commitment to
Soviet oil also raised anxieties in the Common Market’s industrial environ-
ment: cheap oil implied lower production costs in many Italian industrial
sectors, giving Italy an advantage over its competitors in Europe.41
In view of the July 1961 meeting of oil experts, the European Commis-
sion eventually prepared a draft that limited Soviet imports, taking effect
retroactively from January 1961. Each country would commit to limit its
annual imports from the Eastern bloc to the level of 1960. If a member state
wanted to import beyond that volume, it would have to consult its EEC
partners and the commission three months before taking up negotiations
for additional purchases. The French Fuels Director Maurice Leblond
criticized that the flexibility given to states increasing their Soviet oil quotas
was far too generous. Nothing would oblige them to conform to the advice
received from partners and the Commission. Leblond proposed that a
global EEC quota be established for Soviet oil that could be imported
140 R. CANTONI
A DANGEROUS FRIENDSHIP
The projects for the Soviet pipeline system, and especially its European
branch, Druzhba (“Friendship”), triggered frantic debate at NATO from
the early 1960s onward. Due to the imminent threat, the North Atlantic
DEBATES AT NATO AND THE EEC IN RESPONSE TO THE SOVIET “OIL. . . 141
frequent contacts with the study group’s Italian delegation, which consisted
of two officials from the Ministry of Industry, and was led by the general
director of energy sources.52
NATO’s study group met for the first time two months after the signa-
ture of the 1960 ENI–SNE agreement. The group members were asked to
provide data on current and planned Soviet oil imports into their countries
and of their exports to the USSR, the conditions under which such trade
took place, and the destination of imported oil.53 A draft report by the study
group was ready by May 1961. The delegates came to the conclusion that
restrictive measures had to be undertaken and implemented by all members
at the same time.54 The NATO delegates’ ambitions to reform oil trading
between East and West were taking oil geopolitics to a new level, making
the Alliance the international forum for conflicts that had so far unfolded
through national representatives.
Based on the results of this group, the US delegate to NATO, Alfred
Reifman, suggested an embargo on Western large-diameter pipes and pipe-
line equipment.55 Historian Angela Stent comments that the embargo,
“more than any other single incident, highlighted the USA’s primary role
both in the establishment of the East–West trade agenda and in the polit-
icization of specific economic issues.”56 But the embargo also marked a
turning point in that it transformed pipes from freely tradable to embargoed
merchandise, much like uranium radically changed its status from a simple
radioactive mineral to the principal fuel of nuclear warfare since the 1940s,
as argued by historian Gabrielle Hecht.57 Similarly, large-diameter pipes
were regarded as having a military significance they had not had before the
1960s.
It is difficult to assess to what extent American responses reflected
genuine military concerns, rather than the disguised commercial interests
of US oil majors. At NATO debates on the embargo, these interests were
never enunciated, but their presence lingered in the discussions, and they
are revealed by the constant contacts that the US representatives had with
officers from US oil companies. It is probably safe to say that these two
preoccupations dovetailed subtly, as both aimed at preventing the building
of a Soviet pipeline.
In light of Reifman’s proposition, ECONAD decided to establish a
further group of experts who would be responsible for analyzing large-
diameter pipe supplies. It was not until this second study group had
presented its results that a final examination of the study group’s report
on Soviet oil policy was undertaken. The new Study Group on Soviet Oil
DEBATES AT NATO AND THE EEC IN RESPONSE TO THE SOVIET “OIL. . . 143
and Gas Pipelines was formed in Washington, and when its final report
reached ECONAD in September, the findings closely reflected the US
viewpoint.58 At a meeting of the study group, US General Major Francis
Piggott, Assistant Chief of Staff (Intelligence) at the Supreme Headquarters
Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE), urged that the pipeline’s construction be
delayed to prevent supplying the Soviet Navy. He argued that unlike the
Soviet railway lines, which ran north to south, the planned pipelines would
run east to west, so that the flow of oil in that direction would make it easier
for the Soviets to supply their military machine in Eastern Europe.59
According to the study group’s report, the Soviets were not producing
40-inch pipes, and there seemed to be no evidence they were progressing
rapidly enough to build large-capacity tube mills or steel rolling mills
capable of producing steel plates wide enough to enable single-weld
40-inch pipes to be manufactured. Soviet industries were also reportedly
unable to build gas turbines, electric motors, or other equipment required
for 40-inch lines. As for auxiliary equipment, they were in need of Western
technology because corrosion was a major problem in their pipes and
equipment due to the high sulfur content of their oil. An embargo, the
report’s compilers concluded, would therefore be effective in delaying the
Druzhba’s completion.60
A secret ECONAD memorandum reveals that NATO military authori-
ties were especially worried about the Soviet warships docked along the
Baltic and Pacific coasts. Once the Soviet railway and naval units were
relieved of transporting oil, they could be used to carry logistically critical
goods such as ammunition and food. Moreover, if the Russians managed to
develop a system on par with the NATO military network in Western
Europe, support for their troops in any European campaign would be
materially improved.61
The USSR had already been importing large-diameter pipes from abroad
for a few years. NATO members had not prevented these kinds of exports
ever since the NATO Coordinating Committee on Multilateral Export
Controls (CoCom) had reduced restrictions on pipe and oil equipment
exports to the Soviet bloc in 1958, since there had been little Soviet demand
for large-diameter pipes. Most of the equipment used in the exploration,
refining, production, and transportation of oil had previously been
embargoed or highly restrained in shipments to countries of the Soviet
bloc under the CoCom agreement.62 As a consequence of the new
CoCom policy, by the spring of 1961, new Soviet orders for large-diameter
144 R. CANTONI
pipes and pipeline equipment had been placed, or were being negotiated
with West Germany, Italy, Sweden, and Japan.
Although it was impossible to evaluate the extent to which the USSR
would erode its “pipe gap” thanks to these imports, they still appeared to be
a bottleneck to the government’s plans.63 It was precisely the ease with
which the Soviets could acquire foreign technology that had driven the US
to propose the embargo. The request, however, triggered a British reaction
during ECONAD meetings. The British delegate contended that a ban not
only posed difficulties for the exporting industries of member countries. It
would either be ineffective or would only postpone a growth of oil exports
until the Eastern bloc countries had arranged to produce the necessary
equipment themselves. In fact, he argued, it would push the Russians to
increase their production facilities.64 Despite the amount and quality of
details about Soviet pipelines contained in the American report, it was by
no means welcomed with unconditional acceptance. For the embargo to be
enforced, it needed the agreement of the ECONAD members—and this
was far from being the case.
they rejected any further moves that might antagonize the superpower. The
British reaction to the US embargo proposal was immediate, and clarified
that the “special relationship” between the UK and the US would not go as
far as to jeopardize Britain’s Soviet trade.69
In order to respond on a par to the American summoning of Piggott, the
British invoked the help of the economic adviser to the UK Joint Intelli-
gence Bureau, Edward Radice, who stressed British preference for a focus
on technical and economic analysis, rather than on strategic/military
aspects. Experience in applying economic measures for the latter had proved
that these would never be as effective as hoped, because “economic systems
[were] much more flexible than is generally supposed.” As for the 40-inch
pipes, Radice maintained that the gap between Soviet needs, and current
and scheduled supplies was rather small, and the Soviets could cover it if
they faced an embargo on large-diameter pipe imports. They might increase
their production of 40-inch pipes for example, or use smaller diameters
while doubling the lines of such pipes if necessary; or they could adjust their
priorities and delay the switch from coal to gas in their industrial apparatus,
thereby making more pipes available for oil.70
The crux of the British position was the argument regarding the usage
flexibility of Soviet pipes. Oil and gas pipes produced in Europe could be
distinguished by metallurgical properties, because they were defined by the
amount of pressure needed for the intended material’s transportation
(higher pressure for gas pipes than for oil pipes). The British had intelligence
that the Soviets were planning to manufacture oil and gas pipes that would
operate at similar pressures, hence Soviet pipes lacked a usage distinction.
London maintained that this flexibility, along with Soviet production and
imports, would make the embargo ineffective.71 Ultimately, the argument
relied on estimates of Soviet industrial capabilities and on the nature of
Soviet pipes, both of which were largely open to speculation. To a certain
extent, the trump card in Britain’s hand was the nebulosity of actual Soviet
industrial might.72
As no agreement could be accomplished, the embargo proposal finally
reached the NAC in the spring of 1962. Thirteen out of fifteen countries (all
except the UK and Norway) agreed to adopt the council’s recommenda-
tions, leaving the selection of items to be put under the embargo to
CoCom.73 In April, the NAC also reached agreement about its policy on
Soviet oil imports. The approved study group recommendations were
DEBATES AT NATO AND THE EEC IN RESPONSE TO THE SOVIET “OIL. . . 147
According to NATO sources, this and other similar attempts to break the
embargo did not succeed.79 Maintaining that the embargo was successful,
the NAC noted the furious reaction of Soviet Prime Minister Nikita Khru-
shchev in a television speech on February 27, 1963, where he vehemently
attacked this measure. The Soviets additionally complained to Germany,
and their media extensively covered the blockade. However, other sources
do not seem to agree with this assessment. On the contrary, the embargo
seems to have had only limited success: the construction of the pipeline
system was indeed delayed, but by only one year, with construction ending
in 1964 instead of 1963. Eventually, the NATO embargo—which was lifted
in 1966—was unable to stop Soviet oil exports to Western Europe as these
continued to increase throughout the 1960s. By 1970, SNE had been
exporting to whatever country gave it an opportunity to do so.80
Energy expert and former Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) officer
Robert Ebel contended that Sweden, which was not a NATO member,
continued to deal with the Soviets. Small amounts of pipes were also
delivered to the USSR by Italy and Germany, adding up to 1.1 million
tons, which was sufficient to lay 4000 km of pipeline, and represented
roughly 40 percent of the estimated Soviet demand for 40-inch pipes. In
addition, to vitiate the embargo and manufacture more 40-inch pipes,
production in a number of Soviet pipe mills was switched from small-
diameter to large-diameter pipes. All in all, therefore, the embargo seems
not to have affected the production of 40-inch pipes as much as that of
smaller diameters.81
About four years after the embargo had entered into force, the
ECONAD itself recognized the embargo’s implications for the Soviet
Union, adding that “[T]he result of the embargo has been to greatly
stimulate the growth of Soviet production of pipe. To be sure, this produc-
tion, though rapidly expanding, still leaves much to be desired where quality
is concerned; but the Soviet Union is already able to use its own
manufacturing capacity to implement any project which would be impor-
tant either from the strategic viewpoint, or from that of its economic
policy.”82
The embargo lasted until November 1966, when the French and West
German governments requested its cancellation, arguing that its scope had
been reached, and that the Soviet rolling mills had by then recovered their
backlog.83
DEBATES AT NATO AND THE EEC IN RESPONSE TO THE SOVIET “OIL. . . 149
CONCLUSION
Were the American and most West European diplomats really acting in the
interest of Europe’s security when they tried to limit Soviet oil exports?
Historian Geir Lundestad disagrees, and maintains that the US was more
interested in perpetuating Europe’s dependence on American companies.84
His claim, I believe, has a grain of truth in it, but does not explain the whole
picture. On the one hand, strong economic interests were the elephant in
the room at NATO discussions on trade restrictions with the Soviets: the
plans and lobbying efforts of oil companies, whether American or
European, could not be invoked in the Alliance’s discussions, but were
obviously a strong factor. On the other hand, US military circles appeared
genuinely concerned by the military implications of the Soviet Union’s oil
strategy, and such anxiety may have been increased by nebulous and partial
information on Soviet industrial capabilities sieved through the Iron
Curtain.
There is little doubt that the pipe embargo represents a successful
attempt by the US to alter the East–West trade policies of its European
allies. Furthermore, the pipeline issue might have been part of a larger
strategy. As noted by Stent, the US government was aware that most of
its European allies were opposed to an embargo. Insistence on having it
passed at NATO might have been a matter of principle underlining the
prerogative of the US in making final decisions on the extent and form of
the NATO members’ relations to the Soviet Union, and indeed the com-
munist bloc.85
As for the effective repercussions of the embargo on the Soviet effort, as
mentioned NATO expectations as they appear from archive documents
were to delay the completion of Druzhba by a period between eight months
and two years. So, whereas the intended goal of jeopardizing the Soviet
pipeline plans was not achieved to the maximum extent envisioned, the final
outcome was still not a complete failure, as the minimum objective pursued
by the Alliance was reached.
In analyzing the debate that took place at NATO, we saw the emergence
of two opposed and incompatible attitudes: on one side, the US delegation
urged other country members to make Western military security the para-
mount consideration. On the other side, the British stressed the economic
reasons underlying their opposition to an embargo. In the end, the Amer-
ican standpoint prevailed, and most NATO members sided with the US,
either as a result of American pressure (Germany, Italy) or by conviction
150 R. CANTONI
(France), and even though some of them may not have been convinced an
embargo was the best decision. The price to pay for the American govern-
ment was a temporary disturbance of its special relationship with the
UK. The British government did not endorse the embargo: a decision
that was to cause some embarrassment to that administration in a near
future. What is most interesting in the NATO discussion over the blockade
is the role of technological artifacts. Beyond the Anglo-American debate
about security versus economy, the discourse revolved around steel pipes
and industrial estimates of the enemy’s capabilities.
For the Americans, an oil pipe was essentially any object that could carry
oil, regardless of its size or technical characteristics. They tried to establish
this all-encompassing definition in the debate to block any sort of pipe
exports to the USSR. Essentially, they adopted a prescriptive principle that
stretched the definition of an oil pipe to include as many types of steel pipe
as possible, and to magnify the potential effect of European exports. The
British endorsed this argument, but used it to substantiate their counter-
argument: because Soviet pipes were undistinguishable in their use of oil
and gas, the actual pipe gap suffered by the Soviets would be much smaller
than maintained by the Americans, and ultimately insignificant.
Eventually, the NAC’s prioritization of strategic over economic issues
ensured that most NATO members were on board with the US proposal,
even though it was significantly watered down in the course of negotiations.
While countries with existing contracts with the USSR were left to deal with
the consequences of the embargo on their own, decisions were delegated at
the discretion of each country, and the UK obtained what appeared to be an
informal concession of a monopoly on technological exports to the Soviet
Union—a decision that, surprisingly, does not seem to have generated
much protest among other members of the Alliance.
As for the debate at the EEC, the French position of defending its African
oil on the Common Market clashed not only with Italy’s position, but also
with Dutch interests within Shell and Anglo-American companies’ interests.
Therefore, French influence did not ultimately result in shaping the debate
with the effect of formulating a strong Common Market policy in the short
term. The two transnational debates were triggered and defined by the same
cause of drafting a strategy on Soviet oil exports (including the Druzhba
pipeline), and they revolved to a significant extent around discourses of
Western economic security. But they were also marked by a number of
differences. Considering the objectives and scope of NATO’s activities, it is
not surprising that the military aspect of the Soviet pipeline system played a
DEBATES AT NATO AND THE EEC IN RESPONSE TO THE SOVIET “OIL. . . 151
much more significant role for the Atlantic Alliance than for the EEC.
Moreover, the EEC—unlike NATO—was not subject to the hegemonic
influence of a single country, which made finding a common line much
harder. Ultimately, the French administration could not impose its point of
view of Algerian and Soviet oil on the EEC, whereas the US managed to
impose its embargo proposal.
NOTES
1. John A. Berry, “Oil and Soviet Policy in the Middle East,” Middle
East Journal 26 (1972), 149–61, here 150. Source reported: Econ-
omist Intelligence Unit, Quarterly Economic Review, “USSR Annual
Supplement—1971,” 10; Robert E. Ebel, Communist Trade in Oil
and Gas (New York: Praeger, 1970), 40; D. L. Spencer, “The Role
of Oil in Soviet Foreign Economic Policy,” American Journal of
Economy and Society 25 (1966), 91–107, here 98.
2. Ebel, Communist Trade, 40, 44.
3. To exemplify, in 1957 the Soviet oil barrel on the international
market sold at $2.06, compared to $2.79 for Middle Eastern oil
and to $2.92 for Venezuelan oil; and in the next years Soviet price to
West European countries further decreased to as little as $1 per
barrel in the case of an Italian-Russian agreement signed in 1960.
Ebel, Communist Trade, 40, 44, 61. Ebel’s data are sourced from
various annual statistical trade handbooks issues by the Ministry of
Trade of the USSR; Halford L. Hoskins, and Leon M. Herman,
Soviet Oil in the Cold War (US Senate, Committee on the Judiciary,
Committee Print, Washington, DC: Government Printing Office,
1961), 5.
4. Archives of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATOA),
AC/127-D/68, “Report by the Ad Hoc Study Group on Soviet
Oil Policy to Econad,” confidential, May 23, 1961, 8–12.
5. Trevor J. Pinch and Wiebe E. Bijker, “The Social Construction of
Facts and Artifacts: Or How the Sociology of Science and the
Sociology of Technology Might Benefit Each Other,” Social Studies
of Science 14, 3 (1984), 399–441; Gabrielle Hecht, The Radiance of
France: Nuclear Power and National Identity after World War II
(Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1998); Michael T. Allen and Gabrielle
Hecht, eds., Technologies of Power: Essays in Honor of Thomas Parke
Hughes and Agatha Chipley Hughes (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press,
152 R. CANTONI
Viacheslav Nekrasov
INTRODUCTION
In the post-Stalinist period of the Cold War, energy was a top priority for
the Soviet Union’s political leadership and economic planners. The new
party leader, Nikita Khrushchev, came to see the country’s oil and gas
resources and chemical materials as significant assets for modernizing the
Soviet economy and raising the people’s standard of living.
This chapter was prepared with support from the Grants Council of the President of
the Russian Federation (project MD-6912.2015.6, “The Soviet Union and
modernization challenges of the 1960s: In search of a new foreign economic
policy”), the Russian Humanity Fund (project 14-31-01295, “Gosplan and the
planning practices of the Soviet economy [. . .]: Reforms, institutions, and key
players”), and the German Historical Institute in Moscow (project: “The presidium
of the Central Committee of the CPSU and Gosplan, 1955–1966: An evolution of
economic decision-making mechanisms”).
V. Nekrasov (*)
Surgut State Pedagogical University, Surgut, Russia
This chapter examines the Soviet Union’s energy policy during the
Khrushchev period from the mid-1950s to the mid-1960s, and seeks to
explain why the Soviet leaders’ quest for an effective strategy for achieving
these goals largely failed. The analysis focuses mainly on Khrushchev’s
“petrochemical project,” a complex endeavor involving various institutional
and economic measures that aimed to leverage the country’s hydrocarbon
resources and chemical materials for the modernization of the economy,
and thus to raise the population’s standard of living and progress toward a
“bright communist future.” Based on a large amount of both published and
unpublished material, this chapter investigates the evolution of Soviet
energy policy during the Khrushchev years. It seeks to explain Khrushchev’s
specific choices of priorities within the area of energy policy, and asks why
his policies faced obstacles and were ultimately not implemented the way he
envisioned.
This chapter argues that a key factor in understanding Soviet energy
policy-making was the institutional setup of the Soviet economy. Far from
being able to dictate policy, Khrushchev had to deal with influential interest
and lobby groups representing different sectors of the economy, some of
which were opposed to certain aspects of Khrushchev’s “petrochemical
project.” Especially the State Planning Committee of the Soviet Union
(Gosplan), where the various sectoral and regional economic interests
were represented and coordinated, was unwilling—or proved at times
simply incapable—to carry out the plans accordingly.
Given the significance of the institutional setup, an important goal of this
chapter is to analyze the complex mechanisms of economic policy decision-
making, especially in the sphere of energy policy, and to provide insights
into the various “mentalities” that prevailed among the top political lead-
ership and the Soviet bureaucracy regarding economic strategy. This chap-
ter examines the structure of key interest groups and their influence on
policy-making, as well as the nature of in-fighting among these groups over
allocation of rents to the different branches of the economy. This chapter
also looks into the issue of oil and gas production and exports, and eluci-
dates the diverse positions within the Soviet political and economic elite on
this topic.
The extensive published resources used in this chapter include the typed
transcripts of the XX, XXI, XXII, and XXIII congresses of the Communist
Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU), which provide insights into energy
policy priorities and problems and the views of political leaders and bureau-
crats. Active use has been made of recently released archival documents on
DECISION-MAKING IN THE SOVIET ENERGY SECTOR IN POST-STALINIST. . . 167
huge volumes of associated petroleum gas (APG), and the need to improve
the fuel balance in the economy.17
The last factor was economic cooperation and external trade policy:
Khrushchev believed that the successful implementation of the program
for developing the chemical industry would stimulate cooperation with the
socialist and capitalist countries in the fields of trade as well as science and
technology. He was particularly focused on cooperation with the United
States (US), the Federal Republic of Germany (FRG), and the United
Kingdom (UK), arguing that in this way, they would “play their part” in
“building Communism.”
Source: Institut marksizma-leninizma pri TSK KPSS, KPSS v rezoliutsiiakh i resheniiakh s”ezdov, konferentsii i
plenumov TSK, vol. 9, 1956–1960 (Мoscow: Gospolitizdat, 1985), 367–8
16 percent in 1963.24 Within the economy as a whole, greater use was being
made of polymer materials, particularly in mechanical engineering, electrical
engineering, and the textile industry.
In the 1959–1963 period, petroleum extraction rose from 113.2 million
tons to 205 million tons, crossing the psychological barrier of 200 million tons,
and natural gas production increased from 29.8 billion m3 to 91 billion m3.25
The end of the 1950s and beginning of the 1960s witnessed significant
progress with the harnessing of the hydrocarbon reserves of the Volga-Ural
region and Central Asia.26
Given these impressive statistical figures, the upshot was that at the XXII
Congress of the Communist Party, Khrushchev proudly reported that oil
and gas resources now accounted for 42 percent in country’s fuel balance,
and production of plastic and chemical fibers had more than doubled. Total
savings of three billion SUR had been achieved over the six-year period due
to the transition to cheaper energy sources, and the use of natural and
petroleum gas had led to a decrease in production costs and the conserva-
tion of a large volume of natural resources.27 The allocation of capital
investment spending defined the priorities for a structural transformation
of the economy in the 1960s, and new intersectoral complexes were begin-
ning to form in the economy. In the 1970s and 1980s, these would become
the nucleus of the economy’s leading sectors.
make partisan decisions that ran counter to the interests of the economy as a
whole.39 The Gosplan machinery was thus sufficiently independent as a
government structure to indulge in “opportunistic” interactions with the
CC, the Council of Ministers, and the ministries and Regional Economy
Soviets (Sovnarkhoz, sing.).40
Khrushchev identified the existence of a “metallurgy lobby” within the
Soviet economy, comprising the ferrous and nonferrous metallurgy sectors
of Gosplan, the State Committee for Ferrous and Non-Ferrous Metallurgy,
the Central Urals, Kemerovo, and Krasnoiarsk Sovnarkhozes, the Ukrainian
Soviet Socialist Republic (SSR), and the Council of Ministers of the Kazakh
SSR.41 Archival sources confirm that between 1957 and 1962, the “metal-
lurgy lobby” did indeed manage to reallocate material resources and capital
investment funding away from hydroelectric power generation, the oil and
gas industry, and the chemical industry toward metallurgy.42 In 1960–1961,
the “metallurgy lobby” put forward a plan for the production of 100 million
tons of steel per annum. They received “partial support” in the presidium of
the CC, but generally speaking, the members of the presidium were unable
to withstand the forces of the sector ministers and interest groups in the
economy.43
Khrushchev’s characterization of Gosplan’s performance is also supported
by the statistics of the State Committee for Chemistry. In 1959–1962, only
3.83 billion SUR were allocated to the development of the chemical industry,
far less than the planned figure of 4.54 billion SUR. In 1962, Gosplan
allocated 1.3 billion SUR to development of the chemical industry, 180 mil-
lion SUR less than the seven-year plan envisioned.44 The trend in key
indicators for the oil and gas industry in 1959–1963 indicates low efficiency
in the development of the oil and gas industry (Table 2).
It is particularly striking to note that between 1959 and 1963, the
guideline figures for the seven-year plan were achieved only in the case of
petroleum extraction. In fact, the petroleum industry was, according to
official statistics, the only branch among the sectors of the fuel and energy
complex that was able to fulfill the seven-year plan figures (Table 3).
It is noteworthy to mention that Gosekonomsovet and Gosplan adjusted
the indicators for development of the oil and gas industry in 1962–1965 on
several occasions: the petroleum extraction figure was increased to
245, 247, and even 255 million tons, while the natural gas production
figure was decreased from 145 to 141 billion m3.45 In June 1964, the
chairman of the State Committee for the Petroleum Extraction Industry,
Nikolai Baibakov, reported that in 1965, petroleum extraction “while
DECISION-MAKING IN THE SOVIET ENERGY SECTOR IN POST-STALINIST. . . 175
Source: RGAE, f. 184, op. 1, d. 56, l. 106; RGAE, f. 9571, op. 7, d. 163, ll. 10–11, 13–15, 17, 18, 21, 24–6,
28, 29, 32, 33, 36, 37, 39, 40, 44–6, 49–51; RGAE, f. 9571, op. 7, d. 469, ll. 30–1
Table 3 Fulfilment of the seven-year plan for the fuel and energy complex,
1958–1965
1958 Planned target 1965
Source: Institut marksizma-leninizma pri TSK KPSS, KPSS v rezoliutsiiakh i resheniiakh s”ezdov, konferentsii i
plenumov TSK, vol. 9, 1956–1960 (Мoscow: Gospolitizdat, 1985), 299–303; Tsentral’noe Statisticheskoe
Upravlenie pri Sovete Ministrov SSSR (TSUSM), Narodnoe khoziaistvo SSSR v 1959g. (Moscow:
Gosstatizdat, 1960), 176–93; TSUSM, Narodnoe khoziaistvo SSSR v 1965g. (Moscow: Gosstatizdat,
1966), 169–81
reaching a figure of [. . .] 240 million tons, will be 7 million tons lower than
the levels set by adjustments to the guideline figures, and gas production in
1965 will be 128 billion m3, 22 billion m3 less than the figure provided for
in the seven-year plan.”46
In real terms, therefore, the adjusted seven-year plan was not fulfilled in
the oil and gas complex either, which showed increasing signs of crisis due
to three main reasons: a decentralization of the administration of the oil and
gas industry; errors made in planning the development of the sector; and the
176 V. NEKRASOV
Still, the situation remained critical: at the end of the 1960s, the APG
utilization level was 60–63 percent, and a meagre 6 percent in East Siberian
oil fields.57 In the summer of 1963, Khrushchev instructed the Supreme
Soviet of the National Economy and Gosplan to address the use of natural
gas and APG, calling for an increased use of APG and the use of natural gas
solely as raw material for the chemical industry, with limits on its use for
energy generation and household supply.58 In spite of support from Kosygin
and Dmitrii Ustinov as first deputy chairmen of the Council of Ministers, the
planners and ministers were unable to convince Khrushchev to change his
mind. Khrushchev also continued to criticize Gosplan for failures in imple-
mentation of the program for the production of polymer materials.59
The “gas pause” was Khrushchev’s response to failures in the develop-
ment of the chemical and gas industries and the pressure from increasingly
strong interest groups, which focused on using the rent revenue from
petroleum exports and the country’s gold and foreign exchange reserves
for the purchase of technology and other equipment from abroad that was
in short supply, particularly steel pipes for the oil and gas industry.60 Against
the background of this strong domestic opposition, Khrushchev attempted
to revive his “petrochemical project.”
ahead in the chemical sector. [. . .] If they decided to close down new plants,
apparently there must have been a benefit in doing so.”72
At a meeting of the presidium of the CC on November 10, 1963,
Khrushchev formulated his strategy as follows: “I can’t put it in numbers,
but it seems to me that at the moment, the plan we are putting together may
recognize the importance of the chemical industry, but doesn’t take a
revolutionary approach toward that sector. As far as I am concerned,
comrades, we should put our economy on hold for three years, even
metallurgy, if there is no other alternative, and for those three years put
those capital investment funds into the chemical industry. After three years,
the chemical enterprises we have built will enable us to accumulate capital,
and then we will be able to come back to those other sectors.”73 This
strategy represented the furthest extension of Khrushchev’s earlier pro-
posals for the reallocation of capital investments and rent revenue from
metallurgy to the chemical industry.
The second key element of the new development program for the
chemical industry was the development of new oil and gas fields: as early
as November 1962, attendees at the plenum of the CC had been told of a
number of promising new discoveries of gas and oil deposits in the
Mangashlyk and Tiumen’ oblasts and in Eastern Siberia.74 The new
development program of the chemical industry for 1964–1970 included
the exploration of new petroleum and gas deposits and increased the
production and processing of oil and gas.75
A third element was the focus on external trade policy and a strategy for
the use of resource rent revenues. Khrushchev’s idea was to purchase only
the most modern infrastructure for the chemical industry and licenses from
Western and socialist countries. He suggested making use of gold and
foreign exchange reserves and rent revenues from petroleum for this pur-
pose,76 which was “the only correct and promising course of action.”77 At a
meeting of the CC in March 1963, he unabashedly called for the theft of
licenses, and stated that “what we can’t steal, we will have to buy. That’s
what the whole world is doing.” Khrushchev singled out the Japanese
experience for a special mention: “[T]he Japanese paved their way to
success with theft and purchases, mainly with theft, because the most
cunning thieves of patents are the Japanese.”78 The main countries he
envisaged as more significant cooperation partners and sources for purchas-
ing new infrastructure were Belgium, France, the FRG, UK, Italy, Japan,
and the Netherlands, “so that we don’t have to invent or go right back to
DECISION-MAKING IN THE SOVIET ENERGY SECTOR IN POST-STALINIST. . . 181
square one, but can buy up modern machinery and take that as our own
baseline for further development here.”79
Lastly, the new program focused on Soviet scientific and technical lead-
ership institutions. For Khrushchev, the development of the chemical indus-
try and scientific research became a question of the USSR’s leadership in
science and technology.80 At a plenum of the CC in November 1962, he
argued for the prioritization of the chemical industry. Opposing the
“Cerberus”-like monsters within Gosplan, Khrushchev argued that “there
was a time when the state’s power was determined by the amount of metal it
could produce. And that was the right yardstick for its time. But today,
when other materials that compete with metal have been created, that
yardstick is no longer adequate. It is now chemistry that provides us with
cheaper, stronger, and more easily accessible materials.”81
In December 1963, Khrushchev linked the Soviet Union’s prospect of
becoming the leading industrial power directly to the potential of the
chemical industry. He agreed with researchers’ views that the existing
forms of planning were not appropriate for the development of chemical
science and research.82 At a meeting of the CC presidium on December
23, 1963, he proposed the setting up of a chemistry research agency,
“which would look at all the ideas coming from scientific researchers,
without any predefined priorities and on the basis of scientists’ opinions,
narrow them down, and put all the viable ideas immediately into practice.”
Khrushchev’s suggestion even included a budget proposal and detailed
instructions for these ideas.83
An examination of archival documents shows that Khrushchev continued
his quest for new development practices for the chemical sector and the oil
and gas complex right up until his removal from power in October 1964.84
At this point, essentially, the new program ended before it had begun.
Efficiency (percentage)
Table 6 Exports of petroleum and petroleum products from the USSR (million
tons)
Year Petroleum Petrol products Petroleum-equivalent exports
Table 7 Production cost and capital investment for petroleum extraction, 1964
(SUR per ton)
1964
in the eastern part of the USSR. At the same time, more than 80 percent of
the country’s total demand for fuel was related to enterprises located in the
European part of the USSR and the Urals. This physical distance between
centers of production and consumption required transporting the fuel over
long distances, a phenomenon which was further exaggerated by Soviet
economic policy. As more and more fuel resources from the European part
of the USSR, including the Urals, were exported, domestic demand in this
area had to be met with more supplies from the East. Gosplan noted the
high relative costs and additional economic costs these developments
implied.
The inefficiency of exporting raw material resources was closely linked to
that of the use of resource rent revenue in the Soviet economy. The
literature on the subject states that in the period after World War II, the
resource rent revenue from the extraction of hydrocarbons began to play a
significant role, and that increased oil and gas rent income, particularly after
the development of West Siberian deposits in the 1970s, fundamentally
changed the Soviet economy and led to a dependence on rent revenues.97
The authors in question point out that the entire Soviet system was founded
on the assumption that an inexhaustible flow of rent revenue would be
available to nourish it.98 At the beginning of the 1960s, however, the
volume of petroleum rent revenue in the Soviet economy was still not
very significant, and in 1965, it stood at just 836 million SUR. According
to calculations by Clifford Gaddy and Barry Ickes, the volume of rent
revenue in the Soviet economy in the first half of the 1960s was no more
than $10 billion per annum.99
DECISION-MAKING IN THE SOVIET ENERGY SECTOR IN POST-STALINIST. . . 187
In the mid-1960s, Gosplan was thus skeptical about the need to increase
petroleum exports. In 1964, Gosplan noted that efforts to increase petro-
leum exports from 40.5 million tons in 1965 to 70 million tons in 1970
would create major difficulties for the Soviet economy.100 Given the rela-
tively low prices for oil on the world market and the USSR’s significantly
higher extraction and transport costs in comparison with its principal com-
petitors (at the time, namely countries of the Persian Gulf and in North
Africa), and also the growing deficit in the fuel balance of the European
regions of the USSR, Gosplan specialists advised against boosting petro-
leum export volumes.101
It was against this background, in the first half of the 1960s, that the
export of natural gas in large volumes was considered for the first time
(up to this time, the Soviet Union had only exported modest amounts of gas
from deposits in Western Ukraine to Czechoslovakia).102 Gosplan believed
that the export of natural gas could be profitable in view of the efficiency of
importing products to the USSR for foreign exchange proceeds from gas
sales, at an export price at the western border of the USSR of 16–18 foreign
exchange SUR per 1000 m3.103
Exporting natural gas in large volumes was virtually impossible at this
time, since the country lacked not only a developed gas pipeline system, but
also the steel pipes required for its construction. In the mid-1960s,
Gazprom developed the first large-scale project for the transportation of
natural gas from the newly discovered large fields in Timano-Pechorsk and
Western Siberia to European socialist and capitalist countries (Czechoslo-
vakia, Austria, Italy, and France).104 This project required the availability of
a resource base providing a production volume of 225 billion m3 of natural
gas, the construction of gas pipeline systems, the increased production of
large-diameter pipes (1020–2500 mm), and also the purchase of such pipes
from abroad.105
It has to be noted, however, that it was only after Khrushchev’s removal
from power in autumn 1964 that the new Soviet leadership lifted the
restrictions on the development of the gas industry and allowed Minister
of the Gas Industry Kortunov to start implementing his strategy of promot-
ing large-scale projects for harnessing gigantic gas deposits and creating
ultra-high-capacity transport systems for natural gas.106
188 V. NEKRASOV
the “metallurgists” against the “chemists” in the fight for oil rent revenue,
lobbying for the decisions their interests required. And since in the first half
of the 1960s there was no rent revenue from gas, the “gas faction” actively
competed for the allocation of the rent from oil exports; but as early as the
first half of the 1960s, the situation changed, with Gazprom gaining a
resource of its own following the discovery of huge natural gas deposits.
Accordingly, in 1966/67, after Khrushchev had been removed from power
and the Western sanctions were lifted, the Ministry of Gas Industry nego-
tiated with the West German groups Mannesmann, Thyssen, and Hoesch
over a possible exchange of large-diameter pipes for supplies of Soviet
natural gas and their participation in the construction of oil and gas pipelines
in countries of Eastern and Central Europe.118
In sum, Khrushchev’s criticism represented, on the one hand, a contin-
uation of the “gas pause” in the Soviet economy, intended to allocate more
funding to his “petrochemical project.” On the other hand, it was a clear
attempt to intervene in the battle between the interest groups vying for a
share of rent revenue, in which the stronger “metallurgists” were defeating
the weaker “chemists,” an attempt to create a more rational system for the
administration of resource rent revenue, and to reallocate resources
between interest groups. If one accepts the underlying assumption that
leaders who control the distribution of rent revenue use it for the produc-
tion of those items that will increase their own prestige or credibility, it was
perfectly logical that Khrushchev would endeavor to reallocate rent revenue
from metallurgy to the petrochemical industry.
CONCLUSION
The story of Khrushchev’s “petrochemical project” provides an excellent
example of a reformer’s quest for an effective strategy in resolving a
country’s technological and socioeconomic problems. Khrushchev’s
approach was an out-and-out emulation strategy,119 an attempt to match
the production and use of oil and gas resources and chemical materials in the
leading capitalist countries. Like all reformers, however, Khrushchev faced
the problems involved in the implementation of such a strategy: a deficit of
knowledge and the infeasibility of centralized planning for a fast-paced,
high-tech industry; incompetence and opportunism on the part of those
putting plans into practice; the struggle between interest groups for rent
revenue, and the general sluggishness of the Soviet economic model. In the
terminology of institutional analysis, Khrushchev and the Soviet planners
DECISION-MAKING IN THE SOVIET ENERGY SECTOR IN POST-STALINIST. . . 191
NOTES
1. Rossiiskii gosudarstvennyi arkhiv ekonomiki (Russian State Archive
of the Economy, RGAE), f. 9573, op. 1, d. 596, l. 130. This lack of
consensus on the reconstruction of the rail transport system led to
conflict in the presidium of the CC and the Council of Ministers, for
example: Viacheslav Nekrasov, “Neftegazovyi kompleks SSSR vo
vtoroi polovine 1950-x–pervoi polovine 1960-x gg.:
Institutsional’nye aspekty razvitiia,” Ekonomicheskaia istoriia:
Ezhegodnik (2009), 212–50, here 212–13.
2. Andrei A. Fursenko et al., eds., Prezidium TSK KPSS 1954–1964:
Chernovye protokol’nye zapisi zasedanii, stenogrammy,
postanovleniia, vol. 1: Chernovye protokol’nye zapisi zasedanii,
stenogrammy, postanovleniia (Moscow: ROSSPEN, 2003), 633;
Rossiiskii gosudarstvennyi arkhiv noveishei istorii (Russian State
Archive of Contemporary History, RGANI), f. 2, op. 1, d. 198,
ll. 43–4; RGANI, f. 2, op. 1, d. 312, l. 79; “Doklad Pervogo
sekretaria TS KPSS tov. N. S. Khrushcheva,” February 14, 1956,
in Kommunisticheskaia Partiia Sovetskogo Soiuza (KPSS), XX
s”ezd Kummunisticheskoi partii Sovetskogo Soiuza, 14–25 fevralia
1956 goda: Stenograficheskii otchet, 2 vols. (Moscow: Gospolitizdat,
1956), vol. 1, 9–120, here 48, 50; “Rech’ tov. Pervukhina M. G.,”
February 22, 1956, in KPSS, XX s”ezd Kummunisticheskoi partii,
vol. 2, 115–33, here 120–1; “Rech’ tov. Saburova M. Z.,”
February 22, 1956, in KPSS, XX s”ezd Kommunisticheskoi partii,
vol. 2, 188–203, here 198–9; “Rech’ tov. Kuz’mina I. I.,”
192 V. NEKRASOV
30. Fursenko et al., eds., Prezidium TSK KPSS 1954–1964, vol. 1, 565.
31. RGANI, f. 52, op. 1, d. 233, ll. 4–5; RGANI, f. 52, op. 1, d. 338,
l. 91. Khrushchev’s speech in a meeting of the presidium of the
Council of Ministers on December 4, 1962 reveals his resentment:
“Now look how much I talked about chemicals [. . .] There is no
correct, scientifically valid insight into the economic development
and requirements of these materials. This is why we are inertially
making more cars, but fewer tires, and people get cars not because
they need a car, but because they need tires. What’s smart about
that? It is a fact, comrades, don’t gawk at me. And so they created a
commission, instructed Kosygin two times. He didn’t reach an
understanding of the issue, either. We made a shitty decision; I
think that there is also a lot of shit in the plan that we are deciding
upon. But there is no alternative, we have to realize this right now,
this is the moment to develop, learn more deeply and add correc-
tions on the go, [the moment] not to be afraid. The plan is a wreck,
and its completion has to be the process of its fulfillment. This
makes more sense than, for example, before.” RGANI, f. 52,
op. 1, d. 266, l. 35.
32. Fursenko et al., eds., Prezidium TSK KPSS 1954–1964, vol. 1, 612,
679–80.
33. RGANI, f. 2, op. 1, d. 596, ll. 127–8, 221–2.
34. RGANI, f. 52, op. 1, d. 266, l. 32–4.
35. Fursenko et al., eds., Prezidium TSK KPSS 1954–1964, vol.
1, 451–2.
36. Vladimir N. Novikov, “V gody rukovodstva N. S. Khrushcheva,”
Voprosi istorii 2 (1989), 114.
37. M. Kollakov, Sovetskii minister iz knigi Ginnessa: Sbornik
materialov k stoletiiu so dnia rozhdeniia P. F. Lomako (Saint Peters-
burg: Vita Nova, 2004).
38. RGANI, f. 52, op. 1, d. 257, ll. 2–3; Sergei Khrushchev,
Reformator, 540–1.
39. I. P. Bardin and V. I. Veits, eds., Razvitie proizvoditel’nykh sil
Vostochnoi Sibiri: Raionnye i mezhraionnye kompleksnye problemy:
Trudy konferentsii po razvitiiu proizvoditel’nykh sil Vostochnoi Sibiri
(18–26 avgusta 1958 g.) (Мoscow: Izdatel’stvo akademii nauk
SSSR, 1960), 159.
40. RGANI, f. 2, op. 1, d. 194, l. 48; RGANI, f. 2, op. 1, d. 456,
ll. 74–5; RGANI, f. 52, op. 1, d. 267, ll. 8, 52; Rossiiskii
DECISION-MAKING IN THE SOVIET ENERGY SECTOR IN POST-STALINIST. . . 195
Elisabetta Bini
On November 11, 1960, the New York Times devoted a long article to the
trade agreement recently signed between Italy’s state-owned oil company,
the Ente Nazionale Idrocarburi (National Hydrocarbon Agency, ENI), and
the Soviet government, according to which Italy would import crude oil in
exchange for synthetic rubber and pipeline material. The article pointed out
with concern that the “long-term transaction [. . .] has implications that go
considerably beyond purely economic considerations. It almost certainly has
a significant bearing on Italy’s position regarding the security of the Western
World.”1 According to the journalist, at stake was not only the low price of
Soviet crude and its importance for the international oil market and rela-
tions with the Middle East, but also—and more importantly—the Soviet
Union’s intention of “establish[ing] itself as a large-scale supplier of oil to
Europe through a pipeline system paid for in oil.”2 In the following days,
the New York Times continued to report on Soviet deals with individual
West European countries, arguing that the Soviet Union was trying to
“force its oil in any way possible on the Free World markets” by promoting
price competition on the world market and, in particular, in Western
Europe.3 In this framework, the deal with Italy would allow Soviet oil to
E. Bini (*)
University of Naples, Federico II, Naples, Italy
reach the Common Market, while the pipes and pumps provided by Italian
industries would “link the Soviet oil fields and Czechoslovakia right up to
the border of free Western Europe.”4
The articles published in the New York Times were part of a more general
debate about the meaning and effects that Italy’s oil relations with the
Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) might have on the Atlantic
Alliance and the Cold War itself. Indeed, between the late 1950s and the
early 1960s, the US administration—particularly the State Department—as
well as international oil companies increasingly opposed Italy’s oil deals with
the Soviet Union, which they viewed as a threat to the North Atlantic
Treaty Organization’s (NATO’s) stability and security, as a challenge to
the control oil majors had over international oil resources, and, in particular,
as an expression of a growing divergence between the United States
(US) and Italy. While the US worried about all West European countries
signing agreements with the USSR, it was particularly concerned with Italy.
Through its state-owned oil company ENI, Italy was one of the first
countries to sign an oil deal with the USSR and one of the most aggressive
ones in pursuing its oil interests, through ENI’s President Enrico Mattei.
Given the country’s strategic position in the Mediterranean, the strength of
its Communist party, and its chronic political instability, the US adminis-
tration feared that Italy could easily become a tool for Soviet penetration of
the Western bloc.
This chapter examines the relations Italy and ENI established with the
USSR between 1958 and 1969, and US interpretations and reactions to
them. Based on corporate and government archives in the US and Italy, it
argues that with its agreements, Italy—through ENI—challenged US
energy policies and oil interests in Italy and Western Europe. Given the
country’s lack of autonomous energy resources and its strong dependence
on international oil companies, Italy used the deals with the USSR to access
cheap sources of energy and export its petrochemical and steel products at a
time when the country was experiencing great industrial growth. While the
first agreement was signed in 1958, the most important treaty between ENI
and the USSR was ratified in 1960, when the two countries agreed to
exchange crude oil for synthetic rubber and material the Soviets could use
to build a pipeline linking their oil fields with Western Europe. The US
administration and international oil companies reacted immediately by
putting the Italian government under pressure, challenging ENI’s activities
in oil-producing countries and, eventually, placing an embargo on the sale
of pipeline material to the USSR by NATO members. One of the arguments
A CHALLENGE TO COLD WAR ENERGY POLITICS? THE US AND ITALY’S. . . 203
of this chapter is that ENI and Italy transformed the tensions that accom-
panied the signing of the Italian-Soviet agreements into a tool to force
American and British oil companies and the US government to meet Italy’s
energy needs by providing cheap oil, and to recognize ENI as a legitimate
international actor. Therefore, while the deals undoubtedly challenged
Cold War oil policies, particularly US oil interests, they also strengthened
Italy’s position and membership inside the Atlantic Alliance.
By the mid-1960s, the process of détente replaced many of the tensions
that accompanied the signing of the Italian–Soviet oil deals with various
forms of economic cooperation between the blocs. Italy, in collaboration
with other West European countries, increased its exchanges with the USSR
in a context characterized by the growing power of the Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and of oil producers in general.
Especially in the aftermath of the Six-Day War of 1967, the Italian govern-
ment encouraged ENI to diversify the country’s sources of energy by
importing natural gas from the USSR, as well as from other European
countries. The contracts the oil company signed in 1967 and 1969
transformed the geography of Italy’s energy relations, and strengthened
the country’s international role, while at the same time paving the way for
the establishment of stronger forms of European integration and depen-
dence on Soviet gas. While Italy emerged as a more autonomous actor in
the energy field, the US administration recognized the importance Soviet
energy resources had for the European market, and endorsed growing
forms of exchange between the two blocs as a sign of détente. By the
early 1970s, therefore, the US was mainly concerned not about Soviet–
West European energy relations, but rather about oil producers’ growing
political and economic power on the international oil market, a concern that
only increased with the impact of the 1973 “oil shock.”5
products, cables, and silk from Italy in exchange for wood, wheat, fur, iron,
and crude oil. Some of Italy’s main industrial firms, such as FIAT (Fabbrica
Italiana Automobili Torino) and Olivetti, immediately took advantage of
these agreements, considering the opportunities offered by the Soviet mar-
ket in the context of Nikita Khrushchev’s plan to increase private consump-
tion.16 Following a series of meetings between Italian and Soviet
representatives, ENI signed its first deal with the Soviet Union in August
1958. Just a few weeks earlier, President of AGIP (and Vice President of
ENI) Marcello Boldrini had met with the Soviet ambassador in Rome and
had asked to send a delegation to Moscow in order to discuss the agree-
ment. Giuseppe Ratti, who was responsible for ENI’s marketing operations
(and was a de-facto “ambassador” of ENI in the Soviet Union, and later
China) visited the Soviet Union and obtained a standard contract from
Soiuznefteksport (Soviet Oil Export Company, SNE).17
The deal was ratified in December 1958, when Mattei stopped in Mos-
cow on his way to China, and after SNE President Evgenii Gurov returned
to Moscow from Rome, where he met with ENI representatives. Mattei
signed a contract to import 15,000 tons of crude at a price of $13.80 per ton
(the equivalent of $1.90 per barrel, a much lower price than that usually
paid for Arab oil). The majority of the oil was “Ural,” a type that was
particularly suitable for Italy’s petrochemical industry. The contract intro-
duced a barter method that “swapped” crude oil for other ENI products
and was later also used in subsequent supply contracts. Based on these initial
contacts, at the beginning of 1959, ENI Vice President Eugenio Cefis and
Ratti returned to Moscow to negotiate a new agreement. The idea was to
sign a deal that would allow Italy to receive 800,000 tons of crude at $13.60
per ton in exchange for synthetic rubber produced by the chemical firm
Azienda Nazionale Idrogenazione Combustibili (ANIC) in Ravenna, an
affiliate of ENI. The company would thus create an outlet for its products
and, by doing so, assure the rapid growth of its petrochemical industry.18
While the Soviets were enthusiastic to provide ENI with crude oil (even
accepting a lower price in case ENI requested higher quantities), they were
uneasy about importing rubber from Italy. At the beginning of 1959, the
first 8000 tons of synthetic rubber from ANIC, Europrene, reached the
Soviet Union. But from the very beginning, Europrene was problematic for
the Soviets. They had no experience treating it and caused several accidents,
which the Soviets attributed to the bad quality of Italian rubber. The Soviet
Union refused ANIC’s offer to send its technicians, while it took several
months for Soviet technicians to visit Italy, with the result that the entire
A CHALLENGE TO COLD WAR ENERGY POLITICS? THE US AND ITALY’S. . . 209
between Soviet oil and Italian products, the 1960 deal created a market for
Italian chemical and mechanical products. In 1960, Italy thus became the
largest West European buyer of Soviet crude: it imported 4.7 million tons of
crude, compared to the 2000 tons that were sent to West Germany, the
785 tons exported to France and the 605 tons shipped to Austria. The crude
Italy imported was used not only by ENI, but also by other smaller refin-
eries, such as Anonima Petroli Italiani and even Raffinerie Siciliane Oli
Minerali Petrolio, which was closely linked to Standard Oil (of New Jersey,
SONJ) and refined oil for other West European countries such as France.
Thanks to the contract, the Soviet Union acquired enough material to build
the Druzhba pipeline, while ENI started the construction of another pipe-
line connecting Ravenna to Vienna, through Trieste, and eventually to
Bratislava on the Austrian–Czechoslovak border.23
After the October 1960 agreement had been signed, the State Depart-
ment became particularly concerned about ENI’s and Mattei’s intentions.
A confidential report stated: “The ambition of Enrico Mattei [. . .] threatens
to bring Italy into a dangerous position of subservience to the Iron Curtain
bloc [. . .] We stand in danger of a still much greater deal in line with which
Italy would become a prime instrument for Russia for the penetration of
European markets with Russian oil.”28 Just a few days later, Assistant
Secretary of State David Kohler set up a meeting with Italian Ambassador
Manlio Brosio, during which he “formally expressed the concern of the
United States Government over the implications of the proposed tanker-
wheat barter agreement [. . .] as a particularly ominous development in the
Soviet economic offensive.”29 US fears increased even more when, late in
1960, news spread that Mattei was planning another trip to China.30
American reactions to the Italian–Soviet agreement were part of much
wider concerns over increased economic relations between Western Europe
and the USSR, which involved other countries as well—in particular, the
Federal Republic of Germany (FRG). For the US government, the “Soviet
offensive” might create economic dependence on Soviet oil, which could be
used as a political tool to ensure Western Europe’s subservience to Soviet
policies. Furthermore, it could contribute to decreasing the technological
gap between the Eastern and Western blocs and enhance the image and
prestige of the USSR as a commercial partner and a promoter of interna-
tional forms of economic cooperation. While the US was worried about
several West European countries, it was particularly concerned about Italy,
given the rapid increase in oil imports, its growing dependence on Soviet
products, and the forcefulness with which ENI, with the support of several
members of the Italian government, approached the USSR. Furthermore,
at the end of 1960, ENI was one of the main supporters of the idea that
Soviet oil should reach West European markets through a pipeline, built
with large-diameter pipes supplied by the Italian steel company Finsider.
For the US, a pipeline might have important military and strategic conse-
quences, since it would allow the Red Army to fuel its units without having
to rely on train tracks or trucks. The State Department thus pressured
Ambassador Manlio Brosio to push the Italian government to stop the
pipeline agreement, which was never implemented.31
The US administration was not only concerned about the effects Soviet
oil imports might have on Western Europe or NATO. It also worried that
the Soviet Union might use its agreements with ENI to refine Soviet crude
in the countries where the Italian company was building refineries, namely
212 E. BINI
of the agreement. But even though the Soviets considered Italy to be one of
their most important customers, the two sides disagreed over the exact
route the pipeline should take. With the initial support of the Soviets, ENI
advanced the idea that the Ukrainian gas fields should reach Italy (and West
European markets) through Hungary and Yugoslavia, rather than Czecho-
slovakia and Austria. Thanks to what came to be known as the
“Trans-European pipeline,” northern Italy would become the main entry
point for Soviet gas into Western Europe. In 1966, Premier Aleksei Kosygin
endorsed Soviet negotiations with ENI in a move that, as Per H€ogselius has
argued, “for the first time officially stated [the USSR’s] ambition to export
natural gas to the capitalist world, formulating a role for itself as a player on
the Western European natural gas market.”61 However, the Austrian oil
company Österreichische Mineral€olverwaltung (ÖMV), along with several
German and Austrian steel industries, immediately challenged the Italian
project and pushed the USSR to approve the building of a pipeline that
would reach West European markets through Czechoslovakia and Austria.
After a long series of debates, an agreement was finally reached in 1968,
when Austria and the USSR decided to connect the Bratstvo pipeline to the
ÖMV grid, with the possibility of including Italy in the agreement. ENI and
the Italian government had been unable and partly unwilling to push
forward their initial proposal because of mutual tensions, financial problems,
and the complex challenge for Finsider of producing the large-diameter
pipes required by the Soviets. Nevertheless, the agreement signed between
Austria and the USSR undermined Italy’s prospects of becoming the main
protagonist of Soviet–West European energy relations.62
In the second half of the 1960s, a series of changes in the international oil
market, and also in the relationship between Arab oil producers and oil
consumers, transformed Italy’s relations with the USSR and also, in part,
those with the US. The Six-Day War of 1967, in particular, had a deep and
lasting effect on Italian energy policies, and reconfigured the geography of
West European energy supplies. The closing of the Suez Canal and the Arab
oil embargo had particularly detrimental effects on the Italian economy,
given its strong dependence on the oil provided by American firms through
the Persian Gulf. The response of the Italian government was multifaceted:
while some supported the idea that the European Economic Community
(EEC) should pursue a common energy policy and become more autono-
mous by investing in nuclear power, others pointed out that the EEC
should seek to redefine economic, political, and military relations between
220 E. BINI
the Eastern and Western blocs and in the Mediterranean to assure a con-
stant and stable flow of oil to Europe.63
The main protagonist of Italy’s international policy in Europe was Aldo
Moro, who served as foreign minister between 1969 and 1974. Moro aimed
to establish a clearer international role for the EEC, in a context character-
ized by a profound transformation of the Cold War. He believed that the
EEC should pursue a common energy policy in order to assure access to
secure sources of oil and gas for European actors, and to avoid the
destabilizing effects of oil nationalism. Moro fully endorsed a closer com-
mercial relationship between Italy and the USSR. He repeatedly visited
Moscow, officially approved the agreements between ENI and the Soviets,
and highlighted the importance of the Conference on Security and Coop-
eration in Europe (CSCE) in overcoming bipolarism and strengthening
relations between the Eastern bloc and Western Europe.64
In the late 1960s, the Italian government assigned ENI the important
task of providing the country with enough energy resources to meet its
needs. ENI strengthened its relationship with countries and companies that
did not rely on the Suez Canal to transport their oil, and established a series
of deals with Libya, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the USSR, while at the
same time trying to diversify its sources of energy. ENI signed two impor-
tant agreements with the USSR—in 1967 and 1969—that set the terms of
Italian–Soviet energy relations for years to come. The two deals were the
outcomes of a long series of meetings and debates between Italian and
Soviet representatives, which also—indirectly—involved the US and British
governments as well as other European producing countries, such as the
Netherlands.65
Despite pressure from Shell and SONJ, in August 1967, ENI signed an
agreement with the USSR according to which Italy would import 1.2
billion m3 of gas in 1971, a quantity that was to increase steadily to 6 billion
m3 until 1975 and then remain stable until 1990. Once again, it was agreed
that ENI would provide the USSR with large-diameter steel pipes, valves,
and cables needed for the extraction of natural gas and to build pipelines,
while Italian financial institutes such as the Istituto Mobiliare Italiano and
Mediobanca would offer credit allowances.66 The Italian government offi-
cially supported the deal while at the same time making sure that it could be
leveraged for a stronger role in the international energy market. Once again,
it used the threat of increased Italian reliance on Soviet energy resources to
obtain more advantages from the US and producing countries. During a
meeting held in 1967 between Foreign Minister Fanfani and US President
A CHALLENGE TO COLD WAR ENERGY POLITICS? THE US AND ITALY’S. . . 221
year period (6 billion m3 for the first year, at a fixed price of $12 per m3), in
exchange for plants and machinery to be used in the Soviet automobile,
chemical, and petrochemical industries, as well as uranium enrichment
technology. According to the agreement, the first supplies were to be
provided on January 1, 1973, with volumes increasing steadily each year
from 1.2 billion m3 in 1973 to 4 billion m3 in 1975 and 6 billion m3 in
1976, at which level they were to remain until 1993. However, ENI still
faced the problem of transporting Soviet natural gas from the Austrian–
Czechoslovak border to Italy, while the USSR continued to negotiate
bilateral agreements with several West European countries to assure a
more consistent flow of Soviet gas and, thus, a return on the capital and
technology invested to build the pipeline. It took another four years
before the pipeline connecting the Austrian–Czechoslovak border to the
Italian border in Tarvisio was finally inaugurated in May 1974.70
The CIA noted the importance of the deal, which it defined as “a
multinational East–West joint venture of unprecedented magnitude and
duration,” and “an important Soviet breakthrough into the Western natural
gas market.” According to the agency, the significance of the Soviet–Italian
deal lay not only in the amount of natural gas that the Soviets would sell to
Western Europe in exchange for pipelines, but—most importantly—in the
fact that it involved most of the EEC countries, including Italy, the FRG,
France, and Austria.71 In other words, Western Europe had acquired an
importance and role it had not previously had, and was redefining interna-
tional energy relations in ways that the US could no longer control.
CONCLUSION
Between the late 1950s and the late 1960s, the Italian government, and in
particular the state-owned oil company ENI, sought to overcome the
country’s chronic need for energy resources and dependence on interna-
tional oil companies by signing a series of contracts with the USSR. This
story of Italian–Soviet relations sheds new light on the history of Cold War
energy politics by highlighting the specific role of a relatively small country
such as Italy in challenging US oil policies not only in the Mediterranean,
but also vis-a-vis the Eastern bloc. As I have argued, Italy was one of the first
West European countries to establish an agreement with the USSR for the
import of crude oil in exchange for synthetic rubber, oil tankers, and large-
diameter steel pipes. It did so by approaching East–West relations in a rather
bold way: whereas the Italian government had already presented itself as a
A CHALLENGE TO COLD WAR ENERGY POLITICS? THE US AND ITALY’S. . . 223
supporter of détente in the late 1950s and argued that Italy should have an
important role in facilitating economic and political relations between the
two blocs, ENI’s President Enrico Mattei challenged the oil majors and the
rules of the international oil market by striking some of the first deals with
the USSR and China. By doing so, through the activities, visions, and
interests of individual politicians and industrialists, Italy paved the way for
the establishment of exchanges between the Soviets and West European
countries, and for many years remained one of the USSR’s most important
clients.
However, in the early 1960s, the Cold War shaped Italy’s relations with
the USSR in several crucial ways. As highlighted in this chapter, ENI’s deals
with the Soviets were accompanied by an intense debate about Italy’s
position in the Atlantic Alliance and the future of the country’s political
stability and economic growth. Whereas American oil companies pushed
the US administration to intervene and pressure the Italian government to
put an end to the flow of Soviet oil to Italy, the State Department and the
US embassy adopted a more cautious stance. In the process, they gained a
better understanding of Italian politics and of ENI’s domestic and interna-
tional position. By the time they reached an agreement in 1963, they had
recognized ENI as a legitimate international actor, as well as the importance
of providing the Italian market with large quantities of cheap oil, and
acknowledged the relevance of the center-left government coalition for
the country’s stability.
During the second half of the 1960s, in the context of détente, Italy
strengthened its relations with the USSR and became one of the first clients
of Soviet natural gas. Rome also became one of the main advocates for the
construction of a pipeline connecting the Ukrainian gas fields with the West
European markets. In many ways, ENI and the Italian government thus
anticipated some of the changes that characterized international energy
relations in the late 1960s and early 1970s; namely, that as a result of
détente and of oil producers’ growing power, Western Europe would
become increasingly dependent on Soviet energy resources and more fully
integrated through a system of infrastructures. In this context, the forms of
bipolarism that had characterized US–Italian relations in the early 1960s
were replaced by a growing emphasis on oil producers’ growing use of the
“oil weapon,” and on the importance for Europe of establishing its role in a
multipolar world.
224 E. BINI
NOTES
1. J. H. Carmical, “Italy Arranges Soviet Oil Deal,” New York Times,
November 11, 1960.
2. Ibid.
3. J. H. Carmical, “Goal for Soviet Oil,” New York Times, November
12, 1960.
4. Austin C. Wehrwein, “Rathbone Assails Russian Oil Deals,”
New York Times, November 15, 1960.
5. Ethan Kapstein, The Insecure Alliance: Energy Crises and Western
Politics Since 1944 (New York: Oxford University Press, 1990);
Frank B€ osch and Rüdiger Graf, eds., “The Energy Crises of the
1970s: Anticipations and Reactions in the Industrialized World,”
special issue, Historical Social Research 39, 4 (2014); Elisabetta Bini,
Giuliano Garavini, and Federico Romero, eds., Pivotal Year: The
1973 Oil Shock and its Global Significance (London: I.B. Tauris,
forthcoming).
6. Archivio storico ENI (ASENI), Fondo ENI, Direzione Affari
Societari, binder 11, folder 405E; Daniele Pozzi, Dai gatti selvaggi
al cane a sei zampe: Tecnologia, conoscenza e organizzazione
nell’Agip e nell’Eni di Enrico Mattei (Venice: Marsilio, 2009);
Elisabetta Bini, La potente benzina italiana: Guerra fredda e consumi
di massa tra Italia, Stati Uniti e Terzo mondo (1945–1973) (Rome:
Carocci, 2013).
7. Angelo Pressenda and Marcella Sarale, L’ENI da Mattei a Cefis: La
politica del petrolio tra mito e realt a (Turin: Einaudi, 1978);
Marcello Colitti, Energia e sviluppo in Italia: La vicenda di Enrico
Mattei (Bari: De Donato, 1979); Giulio Sapelli and Francesca
Carnevali, Uno sviluppo tra politica e strategia: ENI (1953–1985)
(Milan: FrancoAngeli, 1992); Giorgio Galli, La sfida perduta:
Biografia politica di Enrico Mattei (Milan: Bompiani, 1976); Nico
Perrone, Enrico Mattei (Bologna: Il Mulino, 2001); Silvio Labbate,
Il governo dell’energia: L’Italia dal petrolio al nucleare (1945–1975)
(Florence: Le Monnier, 2010).
8. Elisabetta Bini, “Fueling Modernization from the Atlantic to the
Third World: Oil and Economic Development in ENI’s Interna-
tional Policies, 1950s–1960s,” in Alain Beltran, Eric Boussière, and
Giuliano Garavini, eds., Europe and Energy from the 1960s to the
1980s (Brussels: Peter Lang), 41–59.
A CHALLENGE TO COLD WAR ENERGY POLITICS? THE US AND ITALY’S. . . 225
9. Daniel Yergin, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power
(New York: Simon & Schuster, 1991); Leonardo Maugeri, L’arma
del petrolio: Questione petrolifera globale, guerra fredda e politica
italiana nella vicenda di Enrico Mattei (Florence: Loggia dè
Lanzi, 1994).
10. Alberto Tonini, Il sogno proibito: Mattei, il petrolio arabo e le “sette
sorelle” (Florence: Edizioni Polistampa, 2003); “L’ENI e il problema
italiano dell’energia,” Il Gatto Selvatico, September 1957, 9; Bruna
Bagnato, Petrolio e politica: Mattei in Marocco (Florence: Edizioni
Polistampa, 2004).
11. Marcello Colitti, ENI: Cronache dall’interno di un’azienda (Milan:
Egea, 2008); Enrico Mattei, Scritti e discorsi, 1945–1962 (Milan:
Rizzoli, 2012).
12. Massimo Bucarelli, “All’origine della politica energetica dell’Eni in
Iran: Enrico Mattei e i negoziati per gli accordi petroliferi del 1957,”
Nuova Rivista Storica 2 (2010), 465–99; Steve Marsh, Anglo-
American Relations and Cold War Oil (New York: Palgrave Mac-
millan, 2003); Ervand Abrahamian, The Coup: 1953, the CIA, and
the Roots of Modern US–Iranian Relations (Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 2013).
13. “Telegram from the Embassy in Italy to the Department of State
(SD),” March 18, 1957, in Foreign Relations of the United States
(FRUS), 1955–1957, vol. 12: Near East Region; Iran; Iraq
(Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, 1991), 920–1;
“Report Prepared by the Operations Coordinating Board,”
September 3, 1957, in FRUS, 1955–1957, vol. 27: Western Europe
and Canada (Washington, DC: Government Printing Office,
1992), 420–4; “Memorandum of a Conversation, SD,” September
25, 1957, in FRUS, 1955–1957, vol. 12, 945–6; “Despatch From
the Embassy in Italy to the SD,” March 7, 1958, FRUS, 1958–1960,
vol. 7, part 2: Western Europe (Washington, DC: Government
Printing Office, 1993), 445–8; National Archives and Records
Administration (NARA), College Park, RG59, Bureau of Economic
Affairs, Office of International Resources, Fuels and Energy Divi-
sion, Records Relating to Fuels and Energy, 1953–64, Box 35. On
the deal with Iran: Ilaria Tremolada, La via italiana al petrolio:
L’ENI di Enrico Mattei e l’Iran (1945–1962) (Milan:
L’Ornitorinco, 2011); Rosario Milano, L’ENI e l’Iran
(1962–1970) (Naples: Giannini Editore, 2013); Georg Meyr,
226 E. BINI
25. “Airgram from the Embassy in Italy to the SD,” December 20,
1958, in FRUS, 1958–1960, vol. 7, part 2, 503–6.
26. CIA, “Italian Oil Combine May Build Pipeline for USSR,” Current
Intelligence Weekly Summary, January 28, 1960, NARA, CREST.
27. CIA Weekly Summary, July 14, 1960, NARA, CREST.
28. November 3, 1960, Dwight D. Eisenhower Library (DDEL), White
House Office, Office of the Staff Secretary, Records, 1952–61,
International Series, Box 8.
29. Italian–Soviet Barter Agreement, November 9, 1960, DDEL, White
House Office, Office of the Staff Secretary, Records, 1952–61,
International Series, Box 8.
30. Guido Samarani, “Enrico Mattei e la Cina,” in Davide Guarnieri,
ed., Enrico Mattei: Il comandante partigiano, l’uomo politico, il
manager di stato (Pisa: BFS edizioni, 2007), 91–98.
31. Nuti, Gli Stati Uniti e l’apertura a sinistra, 391–409; Roberto
Cantoni, “What’s in a Pipe? Technopolitical Debate Over the
Ontology of Oil Pipes at NATO (1960–1962), Technology and
Culture (forthcoming).
32. SD, Memorandum of Conversation, December 8, 1960, in NARA,
RG59, Bureau of Economic Affairs, Office of International
Resources, Fuels and Energy Division, Records Relating to Fuels
and Energy, 1953–64, Box 23.
33. US Embassy in Rome (USMBR) to SD, November 9, 1961, NARA,
RG59, Central Decimal File, 1960–63, Box 2695.
34. “Soviet Oil Offensive,” February 6, 1961, 1, NARA, RG59, Bureau
of Economic Affairs, Office of International Resources, Fuels and
Energy Division, Records Relating to Fuels and Energy,
1953–1964, Box 36.
35. M. H. Kannenberg to Jacques, February 6, 1961, NARA, RG59,
Bureau of Economic Affairs, Office of International Resources,
Fuels and Energy Division, Records Relating to Fuels and Energy,
1953–1964, Box 36.
36. Ibid.
37. “Soviet Denies its Oil Exports Threaten Western Economies,”
New York Times, July 19, 1962.
38. “Memorandum of Conversation,” November 3, 1960, in FRUS,
1958–60, vol. 7, part 2, 620–24.
39. Cantoni, “What’s in a Pipe?”; Bagnato, Prove di Ostpolitik.
40. CIA Weekly Summary, March 2, 1961, NARA, CREST.
228 E. BINI
A. Beltran (*)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne,
Paris, France
J.-P. Williot
Department of History and Archeology, Université François Rabelais, Tours,
France
fourfold increase in the use of petrol products for gas production. The first
transport network, linking the coking plants in eastern France, the Sarre
region, and Luxembourg to the Paris region, became operational in 1949.
By 1963, only 60 gas works remained as the French national gas network
entered a new era.
The turning point marking the beginning of this new phase came in 1958
with the start of production in France’s own Lacq gas field, a large natural
gas field discovered seven years earlier in the region of Aquitaine. The
changeover to natural gas became the key objective of national develop-
ment in a country that was already well equipped with electrical infrastruc-
ture, and had not yet abandoned its coal mines. Growing demand required
that there should be an expansion of the distribution and transport net-
works. As it became clear that domestic gas production would not be
sufficient to meet the fast-growing need for gas, GDF gradually expanded
its international ties in order to seek new sources of gas—and it is in this
context that the Soviet Union, with its rich deposits of natural gas, soon
emerged on the French radar as well.
The first gas contract that GDF concluded with its Soviet counterpart in
1971 was the latest in a series of international contracts that the company
signed, beginning in the 1960s. The first was with Algeria (in 1965; initially,
Algerian gas was shipped to France in the form of liquefied natural gas, or
LNG); this was followed by an agreement with the Netherlands, and finally
with Norway (in the 1970s).
Apart from recognizing the Soviet Union’s potential as a supplier of
natural gas, and the economic benefits to both sides of establishing an
energy partnership, there were other, more political issues that determined
the nature and extent of French–Soviet energy relations. It was clear that
exchanges in the form of technical inspections and visits by delegations of
experts also constituted a basis for establishing sound political ties at gov-
ernment level, a policy aim pursued by General Charles de Gaulle and
continued by Georges Pompidou from as early as 1969. Moreover, by
forging permanent links, as an essential requirement for the fulfillment of
contracts using land-based gas pipelines, the establishment of gas networks
created a favorable climate for long-term technical and economic
partnerships.
When examining the history of French–Soviet gas relations during the
Cold War, it is important to take into consideration these issues as well as
the international changes that were taking place within the European
energy market over the same period, such as the development of
GAZ DE FRANCE AND SOVIET NATURAL GAS: BALANCING TECHNOLOGICAL. . . 233
At that time, the main reason for their visit was to gather information on
gas liquefaction. GDF had embarked on the new technical approach of
LNG, and the same experts who had travelled the length and breadth of
the Soviet empire had visited the United States (US) and United Kingdom
(UK) the previous year with the same aim. The discovery of the huge Hassi
R’Mel gas field in Algeria had not yet occurred—this godsend did not arrive
until six months later, in November 1956. The exchange of information at
this stage was motivated by the increasing level of reciprocal interest
between Western and Soviet parties concerning the future growth of the
Soviet Union’s gas industry.2
In 1960, another mission set off to the USSR, this time producing a
voluminous report on gas transport.3 Three senior executives of GDF
(including René Fort, deputy director of Production and Transport) and
one from Société Nationale des Gaz du Sud-Ouest met their Soviet coun-
terparts from Glavgaz (Glavnoe upravlenie gazovoi promyshlennosti), the
Soviet Union’s main directorate responsible for managing the country’s gas
industry. The Soviet committee members included the Head of Glavgaz,
Aleksei Kortunov, and several of his deputies—the directors of infrastruc-
ture, construction, operations, and the head of the steel welding group of
enterprises. Besides discussions on the state of the transport network, the
delegation took part in a lecture on gas issues and exchanges of ideas on gas
deposits in the Moscow region, as well as several rounds of talks and site
visits on pipeline welding, duct sizing, and underground storage issues.
Visits to the Ukrainian Gas Research Institute (Kiev) and a compression
station and number of meetings at the All-Union Gas Scientific Research
Institute provided a detailed overview of the gas situation in Ukraine. The
visit concluded in Rostov with similar visits to a pipeline laying site and
compression station.
There was nothing unusual about these missions. As part of developing
relations for mutual collaboration, French gas experts had undertaken
similar trips to other countries in which the gas industry was switching to
new technologies. In 1966, when the discovery of the gigantic Urengoi field
in Western Siberia opened up new possibilities for gas production and
export, the Western engineers discussing the technological challenges
included French experts from Sofregaz, a company specializing in the
transfer of engineering. Conversely, Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev’s trip
to France in March 1960 included a visit to Lacq; later, Kortunov, in his
function as the new minister of the Soviet gas industry, came to France as
the head of a Soviet delegation in 1966.4
GAZ DE FRANCE AND SOVIET NATURAL GAS: BALANCING TECHNOLOGICAL. . . 235
The technical bonds formed in this way were also linked inextricably with
the economic prospects that the people’s democracies of Eastern Europe
offered following the initiation of détente between the two blocs. As early as
1967, a mission to Czechoslovakia was planned for the spring of 1968, to be
devoted to the principles of market analysis and the technical and economic
aspects of gas transport; another mission was to visit Romania to investigate
the operation of gas pipelines and compression stations, along with
gas-metering technology. Bilateral cooperation agreements were signed
with Romania in May 1965, with Hungary in January 1966, with Czech-
oslovakia in April the same year, and with Poland in July 1966. This
cooperation was to involve systematic exchanges of documentation, joint
analyses, engineer visits, and mutual assistance for the admission of the
parties to various international or national scientific, technical, or education
bodies. GDF assigned specific tasks to its engineers: they were to inspect
compression stations in Romania and investigate gas allocation in the
Hungarian transport network. Some of these tasks related to the acquisition
of technical know-how that had already been developed in the host coun-
tries, for example in Poland or at the Bechovice Fuels Institute in Czecho-
slovakia, and aimed to tap into the experience gained with the use of steel in
gas distribution networks.5
There were two aspects underlying this policy of technical partnerships.
First, these exchanges were developed in a new context characterized by the
transformation of the gas network in France after the discovery of the Lacq
field (1951) and the growth of the transport network, beginning with a link
to the Netherlands (1959). In just a few years, the structure of the French
gas industry had been changed completely. The introduction of new trans-
port technologies required the synthesis of as much information as possible,
as well as an increased exchange of information. The decade from the
mid-1950s to 1965 was marked by closer relations among French and
Soviet scientists and engineers, leading to the establishment of a transna-
tional network of technical cooperation.
GDF needed to gain expertise about a number of issues, including: the
mechanisms of gas movements over long distances; how to adapt gas
pipeline materials to increasing diameters and higher pressures; and how
to coordinate the changeover to natural gas. This change in technology was
a major nationwide undertaking. There were a total of 17,552 gas con-
sumers (both firms and local utilities) in 1951; 20,782 in 1970; and 30,736
in 1980. Over a period of thirty years, the average annual growth rate was
1.8 percent for domestic consumers, 4.12 percent for industrial users, and
236 A. BELTRAN AND J.-P. WILLIOT
8.96 percent for the services sector (commercial buildings, offices). Whereas
three-quarters of sales served the domestic market in 1950, the share of
industrial consumers was 52 percent in 1980, and of the services sector
13 percent. Gas sales increased from the equivalent of 31.6 million kWh of
energy in 1950 to 1.4 billion kWh in 1980. The total length of the transport
network also continued to increase, quadrupling during the decade of the
1970s.6 This growth was based on the integration of the national network
with a cross-border system, and with the deployment of the Lacq network
being followed by grid extensions to the Netherlands and to Algeria via the
LNG supply chain. Soviet gas offered a further opportunity.
Second, France’s interest taken in the USSR’s resources has to be seen in
the context of General de Gaulle’s policy of bilateralism. His journey to the
Soviet Union in 1966 marked a turning point in the diplomacy of the Fifth
Republic. In particular, it resulted in an agreement on scientific, technical,
and economic cooperation and the establishment of the so-called “Big
Commission” charged with promoting its effective implementation. This
was followed up, during the visit to France of Soviet Prime Minister Aleksei
Kosygin in December 1966, by the establishment of a bilateral Chamber of
Commerce, known as the “Little Commission,” which was structured into
working groups. As early as 1967, France was fully aware of the Soviet
Union’s intention to export its gas. The implementation of an arrangement
for the supply of gas to France by the USSR featured among the topics
slated for discussion in talks held in July 1967, December 1968, and July
1969. Even though the partnerships envisioned the USSR receiving indus-
trial benefits in return through the provision of foreign currency and tech-
nology transfers, monitored by the Coordinating Committee for
Multilateral Export Controls (CoCom), the finalization of a gas contract
took considerable time. Several initial discussions faltered because of the
excessively low gas price offered by France to its Soviet partner.7
In the early 1970s, GDF was importing some 68 percent of its natural gas
purchases for distribution. The gas consumed represented 6.3 percent of
France’s primary energy consumption. While this growing dependence on
foreign sources went hand in hand with a significant general increase in
demand for natural gas over the past years, gas still accounted for a relatively
GAZ DE FRANCE AND SOVIET NATURAL GAS: BALANCING TECHNOLOGICAL. . . 237
small share of the national energy mix. At this stage, there were only two
supply sources: the Netherlands contributed 82 percent of the gas pur-
chased from abroad, with Algeria supplying the remainder.8
By this time, the USSR had already become an important participant in
the global natural gas market, if only on the basis of its gigantic proven
reserves. These were estimated at 9300 billion m3, or 25 percent of total
global reserves, which was just ahead of the US (7790 billion m3, 21 per-
cent) and Iran (3030 billion m3, 8 percent). There had been a spectacular
increase in production, from 48 billion m3 in 1960 to 177 billion m3 in
1970. Capacity continued to increase, with proven reserves rising to 25,750
billion m3 (35 percent of the world total) and production approaching
400 billion m3 in 1980.9
The USSR signed its first export contract with Austria in 1966, for the
supply of 1.5 billion m3 per year, but the opening of the Bratstvo (“Broth-
erhood”) gas pipeline in 1968, which conveyed gas from the Ukrainian SSR
to Czechoslovakia, seemed to mark an initial step toward creating a future
gas grid covering socialist Central Europe.
But at the end of 1969, when Soiuznefteksport (SNE), the Soviet oil
export company, signed a contract with Italy’s national energy company
Ente Nazionale Idrocarburi (ENI) to supply an average of six billion cubic
meters per year for twenty years, starting as early as 1973, and after the
conclusion of long-term agreements with Germany’s Ruhrgas AG for large
quantities of gas shipments in 1970 and again in 1973, the switch to
Western Europe as the emerging destination of Soviet gas exports became
a reality.10 France did not became part of the new structure until a few
months later. In contrast to Italy and Germany, where the negotiations had
not involved a government actor, the transaction in France had a political
dimension, which brought a wider range of issues into the picture. President
Pompidou was fully convinced of the benefits of a partnership with the
USSR. As early as September 1969, he had said: “I again insist on the need
for faster progress toward our participation in the supplies of Russian gas
resulting from the gas pipeline negotiated between the Russians and the
Germans. I believe we should talk directly to the Russians before involving
the Germans in the discussion [. . .] we need to move quickly. We have to be
on a level footing with the Germans.”11
In spite of these instructions, the same concerns were still present in the
comments that a presidential adviser made on March 29, 1970: “We need
to finalize the gas deal [. . .]. The conclusion of an agreement with the USSR
would appear to be extremely important from the political point of view.
238 A. BELTRAN AND J.-P. WILLIOT
This transaction is seen here as a test. If the result is negative, I fear that the
effect would be most unfortunate, and not only in the economic sphere.”12
The president’s request was repeated in April 1970: “I want the matter to
be finalized before my journey to the USSR.”13 This visit took place from
October 6 to 13, 1970. The commitment to the transaction could be seen
in the light of Pompidou’s vision of France as an industrial power, and the
growth in the energy sector, of which he had become directly aware as the
negotiator of the Evian agreements in March 1962. This had resulted, in
particular, in the first contract for the supply of Algerian gas, and as prime
minister, when the first contract for the supply of Dutch gas was signed on
February 24, 1966.
However, the substantive basis for the relationship lay elsewhere. Pom-
pidou would certainly have been aware of the content of the discussions that
had taken place between French Minister of Foreign Affairs Michel Debré
and his Soviet counterpart, Minister of Foreign Trade Nikolai Patolichev, in
July 1967, during which the issue of the import of Soviet gas had been
identified as a matter of the highest priority for the USSR.14
Pompidou was firmly convinced that the gas deal could lend weight to a
wider French–Soviet political strategy, and would at the same time enhance
France’s position within the European Community. GDF was more
reserved with regard to the use of long gas pipelines, which, due to the
need for exchange systems between countries involved in gas transactions,
necessitated negotiations that were sometimes difficult. As Jean Bertrand
Raimond recounts, it was only much later, towards 1976, that the Ministry
of Industry, on the basis of its own calculations, came to support a contrac-
tual relationship. It was hoped that this would result in a more competitive
gas price.15 However, the policy adopted incorporated De Gaulle’s and
Pompidou’s strategy of détente, which was perceived as a structural neces-
sity. In return for imports of Soviet gas, the USSR was to receive the
infrastructure, pipelines, and gas industry equipment required for the pro-
duction and transportation of gas. These benefits for French technology and
industry were viewed as outweighing the concessions that GDF had to
accept in order to guarantee the availability of resources.
The first contract for the supply of Soviet gas to France was finally signed
on August 6, 1971. It was for the purchase of 2.5 billion m3 per year, for
twenty years, deliverable from 1976 at Bratislava. This decision had some
major technical impacts. In the first instance, GDF had to conduct negoti-
ations with Dutch company Nederlandse Aardolie Maatschappij (NAM),
GAZ DE FRANCE AND SOVIET NATURAL GAS: BALANCING TECHNOLOGICAL. . . 239
ENI, and Ruhrgas to arrange the exchange of Soviet gas for Dutch gas from
Drenthe.
More particularly, it was going to be necessary to build a network of gas
pipelines across Europe, marking the start of gas supply integration on a
continental scale. This requirement was the origin of the construction of the
Mittel-Europäische Gasleitung (MEGAL) pipeline system, operated by the
Mittel-Europäische Gasleitungsgesellschaft. In February 1973, agreements
were signed in Paris for the transport of Soviet gas in a network that was to
cross Austria, Italy, and Germany. The Trans Austria Gasleitung (TAG)
supplied Czechoslovakia, Austria, and Italy from 1974 onward, with gas
pipelines of 950 mm in diameter in the Austrian section and 850 mm in the
Italian section. Another network, built in Austria by West Austria
Gasleitung (WAG), a subsidiary of the Österreichische Mineral€olverwaltung
(ÖMV, abbreviated OMV since 1994), GDF, and Ruhrgas, resulted in a
strategic position for Austria’s gas infrastructure. MEGAL laid pipelines in
the heart of Europe, leading to Germany, Austria, and France. The agree-
ment, which linked Ruhrgas and GDF in particular from July 1975 onward,
compensated for the delays occurring in another project to link Monfalcone
(Italy) with Munich.16
The MEGAL network is a good example of the complex corporate
linkages between European gas operators. MEGAL was a subsidiary of
Ruhrgas (50 percent), GDF (43 percent), ÖMV (5 percent), and Stiching
Metal (2 percent), established in 1975 with its registered office in Essen.
With the support of a holding company, MEGAL FinCo, which belonged
to the same shareholders, MEGAL in 1977 became the intermediary for
accumulating the capital required for construction of the pipelines. The
structure operated under a system of royalties paid by gas companies
according to their contracted transport capacity.17
Almost as soon as the grid was in place, new prospects began to emerge.
In 1974, the trend towards an increasingly uniform European gas market
was further accentuated by the agreements negotiated between GDF,
ÖMV, SNAM, and Austria Ferngas on exchanges of Algerian and Soviet
gas, as a way of streamlining gas transit operations. At the end of that year, it
became clear that there was potential to ramp up the supply quantities of
Soviet gas. During his visit to the presidential residence at Rambouillet on
December 4–6, 1974, CPSU General Secretary Leonid Brezhnev had
assured President Giscard d’Estaing that if new resources became available
in the USSR, GDF would be able to increase its gas import volumes beyond
the 4 gm3 envisaged in 1980.18
240 A. BELTRAN AND J.-P. WILLIOT
As the first deliveries of Soviet gas arrived in France in 1976, the possi-
bility of increased volumes became a reality as a result of new discoveries and
the USSR’s need for capital equipment that would have to be funded with
foreign currency. In the following year, GDF embarked on discussions with
SNE with a view to tying the gas price to the fuel oil prices, and extending
the first five-year contract. The context at the time favored efforts to find
new supply sources that could secure supply in France in the face of the
technical difficulties arising at the LNG terminal in Algeria.19
This was the key turning point towards the creation of links extending
the European grid of gas transport networks. In 1979, for example, GDF
and Ruhrgas agreed on the need to explore this new project, whereby
Europe can offer to buy the gas and supply the infrastructure and services
needed for implementation of the project. Ruhrgas responded positively,
and it became clear that Belgium, the Netherlands, and Sweden were also
interested in this project. Ruhrgas and GDF suggested a cooperation
arrangement with Benelux.20
There were two possible routes. One was either along the border
between Austria and Hungary, or along the border between Czechoslova-
kia and Germany. The other was a northern pipeline route, running across
the two Germanies or connecting East and West via the Baltic Sea. Having
formed these understandings, the main European gas actors saw the agree-
ments reached as “creating a framework conducive to undertaking a further
project for the purchase of Soviet gas, if the USSR decides to go ahead with
it.”21
At a time when the harnessing of the Iranian gas resources was starting to
look less likely with the incipient revolution, and supply from the North Sea
fields under Norwegian control had barely started, boosting links with the
USSR became the most credible option for growth in the European gas
market.
Further issues were quick to emerge as latent implications of these closer
relations with the USSR: the level of Europe’s energy supply dependence,
and the substantial infrastructure investments that had to be funded. In
France, the political and diplomatic issues became more pressing as gas was
no longer a negligible source of energy. By 1979, it represented 12 percent
of the country’s primary energy consumption. Natural gas made up 84 per-
cent of total gas purchases, with Soviet gas representing 14 percent of these
imports.22
GAZ DE FRANCE AND SOVIET NATURAL GAS: BALANCING TECHNOLOGICAL. . . 241
The two oil shocks during the 1970s had a relatively severe impact on
France, as a country importing almost three-quarters of its energy—oil in
particular, but also natural gas and coal. At this time only one-quarter of its
energy was generated within the country, mainly in the form of hydroelec-
tricity. The government responded to the 1973/74 oil shock in two main
ways—through the development of a very substantial nuclear power
program and with energy-saving measures, including campaigns to
increase public awareness of the situation. Natural gas was still seen as a
“filler” (énergie de bouclage), designated to make up for the shortfall in the
energy budget once oil and coal supply requirements had been met and
the level of primary and secondary energy generation had been set. Rather
than talking of a long-term gas policy, it is therefore more accurate to
conceive of the process as a series of adaptations to the needs of the moment.
Accordingly, as France entered the 1980s, and in an attempt to supple-
ment the declining production of the Lacq gas field, it was receiving gas
from the Soviet Union, but also from Algeria and the Netherlands. How-
ever, when the USSR’s position as a gas supplier was further strengthened
by the start of production at Urengoi in 1978, Moscow announced it was
prepared to enter into new negotiations with a view to increasing supply
volumes in return for Western infrastructure and currency. In 1979, French
state company GDF indicated that it preferred not to enter into a contract
on its own, and that there were other European actors interested in this
possibility, such as Ruhrgas in Germany, as well as other companies in
Belgium, the Netherlands, and Sweden. Following negotiations, an alloca-
tion plan was formulated, under which 42 percent of the volume of gas to be
purchased from the Soviet Union was to go to Ruhrgas, 28 percent to GDF,
15 percent to the Belgium operator Distrigaz, and 15 percent to Gasunie in
the Netherlands.23
For the transport route, a decision was still required between the options
of a northern or southern pipeline. In the same year, 1979 the Shah of Iran
was overthrown in favor of a theocracy that terminated all the agreements
concluded by the previous regime. Iranian gas was supposed to come
onstream in 1981, but it became increasingly evident that there was little
likelihood of this resource becoming a reality.24 Accordingly, it was neces-
sary to resume negotiations with the Soviets, who had largely met their
commitments: “Overall, we are receiving the annual volumes promised,
242 A. BELTRAN AND J.-P. WILLIOT
with shortfalls in winter being balanced out with extra supplies in summer.”25
The price of gas from the USSR had increased by 10 percent, however,
making it less competitive.
Specific discussions on a new contract with the Soviets started in 1981, a
year of major changes in France, which was marked by the arrival of a
socialist coalition administration. The negotiations proceeded at a slower
pace than expected, however, reflecting changes in the context : “This is a
project on a gigantic scale, and the volumes of gas involved could raise fears
of European dependence on USSR exceeding the acceptable threshold.”26
The GDF negotiators nonetheless believed they had to choose the lesser
of two evils, since the objective remained the diversification of gas supply
sources between Western countries and countries of the Third World and
the communist bloc. A French decision not to buy gas from the USSR
would not have any impact on the nuclear energy program (that had been
accelerated in 1974), the oil program (where the strategy was to buy less,
find long-term contracts, and diversify, particularly towards North Sea
sources), or the coal program (with quantities reducing with every
passing year).
“The choice before us is between importing gas from the USSR or fuel
oil from the OPEC countries, if they see fit to sell to us. Since we have a very
high level of energy dependence on the OPEC countries, but so far only
minimal dependence on the USSR, buying gas from the Soviet Union
means higher diversification.”27 This was the credo espoused by the GDF
buyers, and they endeavored to convince the French government accord-
ingly. The situation from a purely gas-related perspective was that the
proportion of gas in the energy mix in France was low in comparison with
the country’s main neighbors, and if France decided not to buy from the
USSR, other countries would do so, leading to an even lower ratio of gas in
France’s total energy consumption.
Nor were the French greatly preoccupied with the danger of a potential
cessation of energy supplies from the Soviet Union, as they had already
experienced such a termination in the case of Algeria, which during the
global oil shock of 1973/74—that is, at the worst possible time—was
unable to supply natural gas to France. It was argued that, as in the case
of Algeria, France would then be able to invoke solidarity between
importing countries, and would be able to develop various precautionary
measures such as back-up reserves (for three to six months, in any event
enough to get through a winter), and make increased use of contracts with
industrial users allowing an interruptible supply. Finally, as noted by the
GAZ DE FRANCE AND SOVIET NATURAL GAS: BALANCING TECHNOLOGICAL. . . 243
minister of industry himself, it was necessary to plan ahead for the winters of
1984 and 1985, which it would be difficult to get through without new
natural gas resources. By 1990, following an instruction from the French
Ministry of Industry, GDF wanted to store one year’s worth of gas reserves
in order to be prepared for the eventuality of a default by its main supplier
and supply interruptions affecting the second-line supplier.
Indeed, because of its nuclear program and the former predominance of
coal, France was not one of the biggest gas consumers among European
countries. If events were left to take their course, in the absence of fresh
discoveries, the share of natural gas in the French energy mix would become
negligible due to the decline in the Lacq gas field (the only significant
French domestic gas resource, as has already been noted), and the fields
of Groningen and probably also those in the North Sea, not to mention the
lack of supply from Iran. Nevertheless, the use of natural gas was an effective
way to reduce the country’s dependence on members of the Organization
of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), still with only a low level of
dependence on the USSR (less than 5 percent of the total energy budget).
The Soviets also viewed their gas exports as a form of cooperation
between East and West, and hence as a component of political détente.
They needed such cooperation, given that 70 percent of their income from
gas sales was earmarked for infrastructure development, and European
involvement would enable them to accelerate the process of bringing Sibe-
rian gas onstream.28 In this context, France, as a major exporter of
gas-related technologies, was not only an essential partner, but also a way
to achieve political and social stability in Eastern Europe.
Hence there was a mutual interest in continued trade: French wanted to
buy Soviet gas, and the USSR needed to sell it to gain access to better
technology and precious Western currency (mainly US dollars). A new
contract was therefore signed on January 18, 1982 by Pierre Delaporte
for the French side and Yurii Baranovskii representing the Soviet Union.29
The negotiations had focused on quantities and, of course, the price (since
the gas price had to be competitive with respect to other forms of energy, in
line with the so-called “netback” principle). The contract was of the stan-
dard “take or pay” type, requiring payment even if the party did not take
delivery. The financial agreements had been signed with a group of banks
led by Crédit Lyonnais and Deutsche Bank. The commercial agreements
involved several European companies, including the Mannesmann–Creusot
Loire consortium, AEG, Thomson, and Nuovo Pignone. The final price was
$5.50 per million BTU (British thermal unit30).31
244 A. BELTRAN AND J.-P. WILLIOT
The latter did not present a united front, however: GDF, as a business
enterprise, wanted to be able to buy gas according to the country’s require-
ments, whereas the position of the Ministry of External Trade was instead
focused on restoring equilibrium to the trade balance between the USSR
and France (following the discrepancy created by the massive purchases of
gas).
As already noted, France feared that a shortage of gas could cause difficult
winters in 1984 and 1985. In fact, the gas consumption forecast for 1990
was 25 percent down on the forecast figures, and GDF ended up with gas
surpluses for 1983 and 1984, as gas consumption had fallen in Europe for
three successive years. There were also changes in many of the factors
involved—the US dollar and its fluctuations (the dollar exchange rate had
shot upwards in 1984 and 1985); competition between different forms of
energy; and the rigidity of the gas sector (with contracts generally being
signed for 20-year terms)—meaning that the circumstances were no longer
the same as when the contract was originally signed.
In this changed context, GDF called for greater flexibility in the contracts
(including those of 1972 and 1974), which it saw as too rigid with regard to
the supply quantities. In addition, the gas price had been partly tied to the
crude oil price, but this was now plummeting (in what some were calling a
“counter oil shock”). The price per barrel was now an average of $25 rather
than the expected $40 figure. The 1982 contract therefore had to be
renegotiated, they argued, with regard to both the quantities of gas,
which were too high, and the excessively high prices (the aim being to
secure a price per million BTU of less than $5). To compound the situation,
supplier countries Norway, Algeria, and the Netherlands had already
agreed—in June 1985—to review their price schedules. In related develop-
ments, Italy had delayed the signing of a contract with the USSR by two
years (in particular, because of the events in Poland), and had secured a very
attractive price of $3.6 per million BTU, and Germany had done the same.
All these arguments strengthened the French position, particularly since all
gas contracts included renegotiation clauses.
In these potentially difficult negotiations, the French Ministry of External
Relations backed the position of the management of GDF, arguing that the
gas price in fact had nothing to do with the trade balance. It claimed that gas
did not come under the purview of the nineteenth session of the “Big
Commission” which had been set up in the 1960s in order to regulate
trade between the two countries. The position was that a renegotiation of
the Franco-Soviet contract should meet two objectives: to reduce the
246 A. BELTRAN AND J.-P. WILLIOT
CONCLUSION
By way of conclusion, we would like to illustrate the position adopted by
France and its national gas company in their dealings with the Soviet Union
during the Cold War through a series of graphs. They show that in spite of
the international crises during the period—of which there was certainly no
shortage—the Europeans and Soviets managed to find a domain of mutual
understanding around gas-related trade transactions; and these were far
from trivial in scope, since they involved long-term contracts and extremely
significant fixed infrastructure. While the relationship can be seen as based
on constraint, in fact there were constraints on both sides: the Europeans
were obliged to buy (“take or pay” contract), but the Soviets had to provide
gas in sufficient quantities and of consistent quality.
It should be noted that there were no defaults by either party over the
entire period, as Moscow would never use the “energy weapon” in order to
cut off supply to its West European clients (such a policy would not be
characteristic of Russian behavior towards Ukraine and other former Soviet
GAZ DE FRANCE AND SOVIET NATURAL GAS: BALANCING TECHNOLOGICAL. . . 247
republics until after the collapse of the Soviet Union). Gas purchasing actors
regarded the Soviets as reliable suppliers offering reasonable prices. In fact,
contrary to what the Americans might have thought, the French—and the
West Europeans in general—do not seem to have considered natural gas a
source of strategic importance during much of the Cold War. The situation
was quite different from the issues arising in connection with the Soviet
Union’s role as an oil supplier, even though the role of natural gas increased
over the same period and the USSR became an indispensable supplier. It is
nonetheless worth repeating that natural gas was a complementary form of
energy, and offered advantages for both of the two blocs.
It is clear from the first graph (Fig. 1), which shows French purchases of
natural gas from 1947 to 1989, that Paris, having failed to discover new
reserves similar to the Lacq gas field, successfully diversified its supply
sources between Norway and the Netherlands (both countries in the West-
ern bloc), Algeria (a Third World country and not the easiest of negotiating
partners),36 and the USSR. The fact that gas resources are relatively widely
distributed around the world, whereas petroleum deposits are concentrated
in the Middle East, favored this sensible policy.
The next graph (Fig. 2), showing the French energy balance in 1990,
confirms the minor strategic significance of gas contracts with the USSR.
Natural gas imports covered only 10 percent of the country’s energy needs,
350000
300000
250000
Divers/Others
Millions kWh
200000 NORVÈGE/NORWAY
URSS/USSR
150000
PAYS-BAS/NETHERLANDS
100000 ALGÉRIE/Algeria
France
50000
0
1947
1950
1953
1956
1959
1962
1965
1968
1971
1974
1977
1980
1983
1986
1989
Fig. 1 France’s natural gas purchase (Based on data from Gaz de France, Annuaire
statistique, 1990)
248 A. BELTRAN AND J.-P. WILLIOT
11% 5%
7% Energies renouvelables
(électricité hydraulique et
thermique)
Electricité nucléaire
29%
Importaons charbon
33%
10% 5%
Importaons pétrole
Fig. 2 French energy balance, 1990 (without exports, in Mtep: million tonne
d‘équivalent pétrole/million tons of oil equivalent) (Source: Statistics for the year
1990, French Ministry of Industry)
and, accordingly, the contribution of Soviet gas to this balance was only 3 to
4 percent—in other words, a negligible figure, and no comparison with the
significance of Saudi Arabia or Iraq in the oil sector, for example.
Finally, the map of gas transport networks (see Fig. 3) underlines the
extent to which the barrier of the Iron Curtain remained completely invis-
ible in this specific sector; natural gas is a textbook example of a cross-border
commodity. There are some striking differences when this picture is com-
pared to the oil pipelines in NATO and Warsaw Pact countries, with
exchange axes running both north–south and east–west, not to mention
lines to facilitate transactions between consumer countries. The gas network
actually follows a commercial and technical logic, with only very limited
involvement of political issues. It is difficult to say whether the gas network
facilitated or accelerated an understanding between East and West, but it is
clear that it did not reflect Cold War tensions in the way one frequently finds
with regard to oil issues.
GAZ DE FRANCE AND SOVIET NATURAL GAS: BALANCING TECHNOLOGICAL. . . 249
Fig. 3 Proposed priority axes for natural gas pipelines, December 2003 (Source:
Union française des pétroles, rapport 2004)
NOTES
1. Archives Nationales (AN), Centre des Archives du Monde du Tra-
vail (CAMT), Gaz de France, 2011 020-8040; Mission to the
USSR, April/May 1956.
2. For more about this dynamic, see Per H€ogselius, Red Gas: Russia
and the Origins of European Energy Dependence (New York: Pal-
grave Macmillan, 2013), 13.
3. CAMT, Gaz de France, 2011 020-8040; Mission to the USSR,
June 16–July 3, 1960.
4. Archives of Gaz de France (AGDF), “Le Gaz de France et la coop-
ération internationale,” Report of Jean Kec, director of foreign
relations of the executive board, October 1967, 13.
250 A. BELTRAN AND J.-P. WILLIOT
Dunja Krempin
INTRODUCTION
By the late 1980s, the Soviet Union had become an energy superpower, and
natural gas accounted for the main share in the country’s energy mix. This
marked the end of long-lasting political discussions about the direction of
the Soviet Union’s energy strategy, especially regarding the exploitation of
Western Siberia’s massive gas resources. The vast oil and gas fields in the
northern part of Western Siberia had already been discovered in the 1960s.
However, it took almost twenty years and intense discussions until the
political leadership decided to take the great leap into Western Siberia. It
was the combination of rising West European interest in Soviet energy and a
rapidly worsening state of affairs in the Soviet energy and fuel sector that
spurred Moscow to launch a comprehensive program to develop Western
Siberia and its gigantic gas resources in the northern part of the Tiumen’
region.
During the party’s XXV congress in 1976, Leonid Brezhnev, first secre-
tary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU), announced the
D. Krempin (*)
Department of History, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
during the 1960s. The Soviet Union ran the risk of not being able to meet
increasing domestic demand for oil and at the same time fulfill its export
obligations toward the members of the Council for Mutual Economic
Assistance (CMEA) as well as its West European clients. General Secretary
Brezhnev himself underlined the importance of turning to other production
areas. In a speech in November 1965, he pointed out that more investment
was to be allocated in the framework of the ongoing five-year plan for the
development of Siberia.2
As far as the development of Siberian oil and gas was concerned, the head of
the Soviet Union’s Gas Industry Ministry, Aleksei Kortunov, supported this
policy. At a Komsomol meeting in Tiumen’ in 1966, he remarked: “You have
read that in the United States [US], in Canada, the most ambitious, the most
rapacious [. . .] matters are done in exactly these sectors. But in our country,
these resources serve the people; they are directed toward the strengthening of
our country [. . .]. Concerning the production of oil and gas, we are taking a
leading place. Only the US is ahead of us, but we will surely catch up.”3
In his speech, Kortunov also envisioned various directions that the fight
for oil and gas might take on the front line (perednyi krai) of Western
Siberia. His plan was to develop the North with its vast and unsettled land
while using the land’s own resources against the frightening cold. He
conceived of Western Siberia as a “training camp” for young specialists of
the Siberian oil and gas industry. In the future, new resource bases were to
be located even further east. Future specialists were to be taken from cadres
of the region to form a group of pioneers, which were to discover oil and gas
riches in Siberia’s yet to be explored eastern territories.4
Kortunov’s assessment about the potential of West Siberian oil and gas
was shared by many lobbyists on the Siberian home front, which consisted
of the regional party committee and Siberian geologists and scientists.5 Yet
the move toward the east was met with concerns from several members of
the national political and economic establishment. Among the key partici-
pants in the discussions on the development of Western Siberia were the
chairman of the Council of Ministers, Aleksei Kosygin, the chairman of the
State Planning Committee (Gosplan), Nikolai Baibakov, one of Brezhnev’s
favorite advisors on oil and gas, and representatives from the State Com-
mittee for Science and Technology, which was an important institution
advising the country’s leadership for energy matters.
Although Soviet experts did not doubt the crucial role that oil and gas
was to play in the country’s energy mix, they were as yet unsure about the
future role of Siberian oil and gas,6 the extraction of which was thought to
256 D. KREMPIN
unsolved. Eventually, the political leadership realized that it had neither the
financial means nor the technological skills to develop Western Siberia on its
own. This was the time when Moscow, profiting from the détente initiated
in the late 1960s, turned more and more toward the West to foster inter-
national energy projects and obtain the necessary credits and technology.
washing away worries about future energy shortages.17 But the total con-
sumption of energy, including the demand for natural gas, kept rising,18
calling for efficient solutions. Because of the conflict over Berlin, the FRG
was excluded from Soviet foreign trade planning until the mid-1960s,19 and
the FRG “lost years in trading with the Soviets.”20
The easing of political tensions during détente was thus a most welcome
opportunity, as it also paved the way for economic rapprochement. As early
as 1968, the West Germans invited Soviet Minister of Foreign Trade Nikolai
Patolichev to visit one of the biggest industrial fairs, the Hannover Messe,
seeing this as an opportunity for mutual acquaintance and talks about
possible extensions of economic relations. But the Soviets rejected the
German offer. At this time, a real improvement in trade still seemed to be
an unlikely distant prospect in view of the unresolved political questions.
This, however, was about to change.
The Soviet Union emerged as an especially attractive partner for gas
trade. The West viewed Soviet energy as a welcome addition to existing
energy resources and as an opportunity to reduce its dependency on Arab
imports. Bavaria, the first of the German federal states to show interest in
Soviet gas, wanted to replace some of its coal imports from northern
Germany and sought an alternative to expensive Dutch or Algerian gas.
At this stage, however, discussions between the FRG and Soviet Union were
held only informally.21 After cancelling a deal with Algeria, the Bavarian
minister for economy and finances, Otto Schedl, joined trade negotiations
between Austria, Italy, and the Soviet Union on the import of Soviet gas.
The deal envisaged building a gas pipeline along the exiting Transalpine
(oil) Pipeline (TAP) to Linz, the Austrian center of the chemical industry
close to the Bavarian border, and from there via Tyrol to the Italian market,
and possibly to Bavaria.22 However, at this stage Bavaria was ultimately left
out of the Soviet–Austrian and Soviet–Italian deals because the Soviets
doubted that the German federal government would officially support
Bavaria’s participation, and therefore excluded the possibility of Bavarian
involvement.23
A common way of doing business with the Soviet Union was through
so-called “compensation deals,” which also became a topic of significant
interest among West German politicians and entrepreneurs. At that time,
however, many members of the West German political establishment,
including representatives of the Konrad Adenauer and Ludwig Erhard
governments, still questioned whether closer relations between the USSR
and the FRG were advisable. Besides the halfhearted talks with the
RISE OF WESTERN SIBERIA AND THE SOVIET–WEST GERMAN ENERGY. . . 259
Bavarians, the Soviets tried to gain better insight into the functioning of the
German energy market by studying the experience of other international
companies (namely the Dutch ones) in establishing themselves in the
German gas market. This policy continued during the congress of the
International Gas Union in summer 1967. The event was attended by a
Soviet delegation headed by Deputy for International Affairs Aleksei
Sorokin of Glavgaz (Glavnoe upravlenie gazovoi promyshlennosti pri
Sovete Ministrov SSSR—Main Directorate of the Gas Industry at the
Council of Ministers of the USSR).24 In January 1969, Patolichev visited
an exhibition on export goods in Berlin, but the meeting passed without
discussion of political topics.25 It was some three months later, during
Patolichev’s visit of the industrial fair in Hannover in April 1969, that the
Soviet representative in direct talks with German Minister of Economics
Karl Schiller proposed an extension of the Druzhba (“Friendship”) oil
pipeline to West Germany.26
While the Soviets thus showed increasing interest in energy cooperation
with the FRG, sensitive topics—from the Germans’ point of view—
remained unsettled, including the question of the degree of dependency
and other unresolved political issues. With regard to natural gas imports, the
German Ministry of Economics held the view that a Soviet share of less than
20 percent in total German domestic gas consumption was justifiable and
would not threaten Germany’s supply security.27 At the same time, the
country did not want to go it alone. To secure unobstructed deliveries of
Soviet natural gas, Germany wanted other West European countries such as
Austria, Italy, France, or Switzerland to participate in a comprehensive
European supply system relying on Soviet gas imports. Although German
Assistant Secretary of State (Ministerialdirektor) Axel Herbst would have
preferred a lower percentage of imported Soviet gas in the country’s energy
mix, he nevertheless supported a compensation deal with the Soviet Union.
According to one report, gas demand would rise from 8 billion cubic meters
(bcm) in 196928 to 26 bcm in 1975, and it appeared viable to import gas
from the Soviet Union to supply Bavaria and industrial agglomerations such
as the Rhine-Main area.29 Moreover, the Ministry of Economics decided
not to deal with the gas trade in the framework of purely economic com-
pensation deals, but to link the conclusion of economic deals to the suc-
cessful conclusion of a broad economic agreement.30
Meanwhile, Brezhnev, during a Moscow machinery exhibition in May
1969, visited the German pavilion for the first time since the chemistry
exhibition in 1965.31 The Soviets, too, showed increasing interest in
260 D. KREMPIN
pursuing gas compensation deals with the FRG. German Ambassador to the
Soviet Union Helmut Allardt and Kosygin agreed in July 1969 that the
negotiations had taken a positive turn. Kosygin made it clear that the
conclusion of large compensation deals would amount to a “revolution”
in bilateral relations on a scale that not even the Americans had managed to
achieve yet in their bilateral relations with the Soviet Union.32
Finally, on February 1, 1970, the breakthrough was achieved when
representatives of the West German energy industry signed a large contract
on the delivery of Soviet gas.33 The contract obliged the Soviet Union to
deliver gas to the West German company Ruhrgas AG from October 1973
for at least twenty years; a separate contract regulated the delivery of large-
diameter pipes worth 1.2 billion Deutsche Mark from Mannesmann and
Thyssen to the Soviet Union.34 There were obviously both economic and
political reasons for the economic rapprochement: besides benefitting the
economies of both countries, the discussion leading up to the conclusion of
the agreement paved the way for improvement of the overall political
climate.35 In fact, the FRG’s high hopes for resolving the crucial political
question over Berlin was finally met with the signing of the Four Power
Agreement in 1971. Shortly afterwards, in 1972, the FRG and GDR signed
an agreement de facto recognizing each other as sovereign states, and
thereby easing their previously tense relations.
Not everybody was equally happy with the precise terms of the commer-
cial deal signed on February 1, 1970. German Assistant Secretary of State
Herbst, for example, described the signing of the contract with unusually
low credit interest rates as ill-considered.36 French partners, in particular,
criticized the credit’s duration of ten years, the low interest rates, and the
unequal redemption rates.37 Still, this contract represented a major break-
through and was in fact only the first step in a program of energy cooper-
ation that was about to expand. Already in the months following the deal,
the two sides explored further possibilities: during a meeting in September
1970, Kosygin asked how the geological works in Germany were proceed-
ing. Schiller, the German minister, admitted that the progress made thus far
was unsatisfactory, but mentioned that the Netherlands had just found huge
reserves of gas, which the Germans could import. Kosygin hinted at the
high price of Dutch gas and added that Norway would also have problems
developing its resources, which were huge, but difficult to access. But
Kosygin had to admit that the Soviets themselves were encountering tech-
nological problems in the development of their own production in Siberia.
Once in place, their gas power stations would work efficiently, but
RISE OF WESTERN SIBERIA AND THE SOVIET–WEST GERMAN ENERGY. . . 261
transporting the gas from northern Siberia to industrial regions with large-
diameter pipelines was a technical challenge.38
In January 1971, several high-ranking German representatives led by Otto
Wolff von Amerongen, the chairman of the Committee on East European
Economic Relations, met with their Soviet counterparts in Moscow. Talks
were held with Vladimir Kirillin, the head of the State Committee for Science
and Technology, as well as Patolichev, Baibakov, and Kosygin—the most
influential figures when it came to the Soviet Union’s energy policy.
Patolichev reassured the Germans that they were welcome and that the
applications of German companies to open representations in Moscow
would be approved. Although several German firms were interested in the
USSR’s natural resources, Kosygin insisted that his government was not
interested in importing more consumer goods; the Soviet industry, he
claimed, was increasing its own capacity; at most, the Germans would be
offered a part in modernizing Soviet factories.39
Kosygin’s reasoning reflected Moscow’s fear of becoming too dependent
on foreign technologies and manufactured products, while the Soviet
Union had problems exporting its own goods, apart from raw materials.
The German representatives signaled their appreciation of this viewpoint by
offering the Soviets a greater presence at industrial fairs and expositions in
Germany, while the latter offered closer contacts to end consumers. The
Germans were astounded at Kosygin’s detailed knowledge of almost all the
areas under discussion and considered the meeting to have been a demon-
stration of goodwill. Given the political circumstances, the open and con-
structive discussions were indeed a great success. At the same time, the
Germans in general seemed to be warming to the idea of closer cooperation
with the Soviet Union, as evidenced by the publication of a 15-page
portrayal of Brezhnev in the news magazine Der Spiegel in 1971. Despite
his ambivalent consolidation of power and the cult that Brezhnev
established around himself, he seemed to be the first Soviet leader capable
of handling international affairs in a pragmatic way: his striving for peace in
foreign affairs, appropriate and open-minded behavior at international
meetings, a passion for travel and fast cars, his appointment of a consume-
orientated and moderate leadership, freezing of the military budget (with
the Chinese border remaining the only security threat) seemed to appease
European concerns.40
However, Brezhnev’s openness to cooperation with the West met with
internal opposition. Already during the first phase of rapprochement with
the Germans, Soviet officials mentioned that the gas deal had become a
262 D. KREMPIN
political test for the Soviet Union.41 As Nikolai Podgornyi, president of the
Supreme Soviet, explained during a meeting with Brezhnev and other high-
ranking members of the party in April 1972, he feared that the Soviet Union
“intends to sell Siberia.” He also insisted that by concluding such deals, the
Soviet Union would “look technically helpless.”42 But these worries fell on
deaf ears. During the same meeting, Baibakov explained that with the
exception of wood and cellulose, the Soviet Union had nothing else to
trade in exchange for foreign currencies, and that the capitalist countries
(here referring to the US and Japan) were mostly interested in oil and gas.43
In fact, in the months and years to come, the Soviet Union would pursue
further large energy deals: in July 1972, representatives of the German
corporations Mannesmann AG, Thyssen Stahlunion, and Ruhrgas AG
signed a second agreement on additional gas deliveries worth 10 billion
Deutsche Mark for a timespan of twenty years, including the delivery of
large-diameter pipes worth 1.2 million Deutsche Mark and a contract for a
loan amounting to 1 million Deutsche Mark between Deutsche Bank and
the Soviet Foreign Trade Bank (Vneshtorgbank).44 In a conversation
with Patolichev in July 1972, German Chancellor Willy Brandt mentioned
the advances in economic, political, and cultural cooperation that supported
the “cooperative co-existence.” He mentioned that the compensation
scheme that was part of the so-called “gas-for-pipe deals” could also be
implemented in other commercial deals.45
declared role as the protector of Third World countries, including its Arab
allies.47 Although the Soviet Union paid lip service to supporting the Arab
“oil weapon” against the US and other Western states, Moscow tried to
bring about a peaceful settlement of the conflict in order not to harm its
relations with the US. In any case, the Soviet Union did not benefit from
this tactical approach. Due to strong opposition in the US Congress and a
perceived failure of détente, the Soviet Union in 1974 was denied Most
Favored Nation (MFN) status, which severely complicated the conclusion
of major economic projects, since these depended on substantial loans that
could only be granted with the approval of Congress. In reaction to this
decision, the USSR cancelled the trade agreement with the US.
Ultimately, the Congress’ decision brought the “North Star” project to a
halt. In 1976, it was halfheartedly recast as a project with partial European
involvement, but later shelved for good in favor of an exclusively European
pipeline project.48 The US also leveraged its dominant position in trilateral
projects with Japan on the exploitation of various resources in Eastern
Siberia and Sakhalin.49 As the US withdrew and the Japanese were not
willing to act without US support, the projects experienced a major setback;
in 1975, the Soviet Union and Japan only signed a minor formal agreement
on the development of Sakhalin’s resources.50
Therefore, cooperation with Western Europe became even more impor-
tant. Already at a preparatory meeting in April 1973, Brezhnev underlined
the importance of accepting offers for compensation projects from the West
and using the current political climate for the USSR’s own advantage. He
criticized numerous comrades for their disapproving view of these projects
and their attempts to delay them with bureaucracy, arguing that this was a
unique chance for cooperation.51 It was during his trip to West Germany in
May 1973 that Brezhnev pursued precisely this course: he attracted public
attention, and he used the opportunity to declare the end of “the past thirty
years of bad will,” offering instead a joint exploitation of the “vast Siberian
resources.”52 In his view, “all of Europe was waiting [for gas],” and partners
had to think “on a large scale.” He outlined that 8500 km of pipelines had
already been built, but that the Soviet Union urgently needed partners to
fulfill its obligations toward the CMEA and Western Europe. Brezhnev
therefore offered the West Germans joint projects for the exploitation of
West Siberian resources in long-lasting contracts of up to forty years, with a
volume of 250 bcm of gas per year.53
264 D. KREMPIN
During Brezhnev’s visit, a trilateral gas deal with Iran and West Germany
was also discussed.54 Germany was interested in buying gas from Iran and
proposed a trilateral agreement (IGAT II project). Gas was to be
transported from Iran to the Soviet Union, and an equivalent amount of
gas from the Soviet Union to Western Europe. The cost of this pipeline was
estimated at about $600 million, one-third of which was to be covered by
the Soviets, two-thirds by the Germans. In talks with Brandt, Soviet Deputy
Prime Minister Vladimir Novikov referred to other projects for developing
Soviet raw materials and resources. In the beginning, the terms of the deal
remained vague, as Iran had not yet fixed the amount of gas ready for
export.55
By the mid-1970s, negotiations had become tougher. On the one hand,
West German representatives made the extension of East–West cooperation
conditional on adherence to political treaties such as the Four Power
Agreement of Berlin.56 On the other hand, the Soviets distinguished them-
selves by clever tactical negotiating: the Soviet Union even considered
importing Iranian gas and then reselling it to whomever it wished.57 That
would have meant excluding the Germans as the main partner from the
deal, which was unacceptable for the FRG.
At the same time, the FRG was looking for alternatives to Soviet gas. One
option foresaw gas deliveries from Iran to the Turkish port of Iskenderun
(the Iskenderun project), where it would be liquefied and transported
further to Western Europe.58 In the end, however, the Soviet Union was
the more attractive alternative, offering finished goods, energy, and raw
materials,59 and in 1974 a third “gas-for-pipe” deal was concluded between
Ruhrgas AG and the Soviet Union over the delivery of 60 bcm of Soviet gas
over a timespan of twenty years, which indicated that both sides wished to
increase their bilateral trade.60 The negotiations on a trilateral deal went
smoothly, too. When, in November 1975, an agreement on the IGAT II
project was finally reached, the contract stipulated construction of a pipeline
from south Iranian gas fields to the Soviet Union and the delivery of 10.9
bcm per year to Western Europe over a timespan of twenty years.61 This
showed that the West Germans had increasing confidence in the reliability
of the Soviet Union as a trading partner.62
RISE OF WESTERN SIBERIA AND THE SOVIET–WEST GERMAN ENERGY. . . 265
demand with oil imports from abroad. The analysts further anticipated a
huge lack of workforce in the 1980s caused by the sharp drop in birth rates
since the 1960s. Of all the Soviet republics, only the Central Asian republics
had a growing population and thus relatively large labor force, but these
were not considered to be easily willing to move to the northern industrial
regions.74
Already at the CC’s plenary meeting in December 1977, Brezhnev
announced a new energy strategy declaring oil to be the centerpiece of
Soviet energy policy and called for intensified extraction of Tiumen’ oil and
gas fields75 while cutting back steel production.76 This was yet another very
clear indication of Siberia’s political and economic importance for the future
direction of the country’s energy policy. In fact, this time, Brezhnev threw
his full personal weight behind the Siberian project.
areas of the fuel and energy sector, as well as in the coal industries. Only the
targets for natural gas were met, while oil production was still suffering from
a lack of technological innovation. Even the coal industry had to face the
results of extensive exploitation that could not be masked any longer. The
author of these proposals could not help noting the “widening gap between
the Soviet Union and the US.”91
criticism of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan97 in the same year, could stop
international energy cooperation, as the incentives resulting from the pos-
itive developments in Siberia were simply too strong. By 1979, both the
FRG and the Soviet Union acknowledged that trade between the two
countries was developing well; and both expressed the wish to intensify
cooperation further in several areas: development of deposits in the conti-
nental shelf, a new, unspecified gas project, as well as coal, electricity, and
nuclear energy projects.98
Economic cooperation even seemed to be more important than political
disagreements concerning Afghanistan and Iran. On the one hand, the Soviet
Union was about to announce a shift from oil to gas for the upcoming
five-year plan, especially to gas from northern Tiumen’. This shift was caused
by increasing difficulties in exploiting domestic resources in older oil and gas
fields. On the other hand, the price of crude oil rose from $13 per barrel to
$34 per barrel after the 1979 oil crisis.99 Once again, the Europeans were
made acutely aware of their dependency on oil, and Soviet gas provided an
alternative.
Negotiations on credit arrangements started in the beginning of 1980.
The Soviets were again playing Western firms off against each other while
seeking the most profitable credit arrangements.100 In May, Chancellor
Schmidt confirmed talks on a new gas-for-pipe deal, but, in addition to
gas projects, the FRG was interested in other energy projects as well. As a
note from the Ministry of Economy to the chancellery explained, several
questions had to be answered first. German firms had to agree on the
structure of the consortium and the share of gas that each of them would
receive. The Soviet leadership, on the other hand, was demanding assur-
ances, with guarantees supplied by customer countries. It explained to
Ambassador Wieck that there must be no disruption by embargos. Similar
remarks were made to Friedrich Wilhelm Christians, the chairman of
the Deutsche Bank, who assumed that this reasoning was motivated by
internal Soviet struggles: a majority within the Soviet government, in favor
of intensified Soviet–German economic relations, wanted such assurances
in order convince the minority that was opposed to such international
agreements.101
During governmental talks with Schmidt and German Foreign Minister
Hans-Dietrich Genscher in July 1980 in Moscow, Brezhnev announced the
USSR’s interest in extending gas exports to Western Europe and in building
a pipeline from the northern part of Siberia to Western Europe. It would
deliver 40 bcm per year and was already included in the next five-year plan.
RISE OF WESTERN SIBERIA AND THE SOVIET–WEST GERMAN ENERGY. . . 271
Schmidt and Genscher pointed out that gas-for-pipe deals “created depen-
dencies, delayed the Soviet expansionary impulse, and [. . .] consolidated the
Soviet loyalty to agreements.”112 The Soviet ambassador in the FRG,
Vladimir Semënov, praised the project as “immense.”113 For the Soviet
Union, the project meant more than just the “deal of the century and a
matter of peace.”114 After signing the contract, Brezhnev stressed that the
USSR was no “friend of autarky.”115
To nobody’s surprise, Brezhnev declared gas the “winner of the eleventh
and twelfth five-year plans.” Brezhnev had finally realized his political
ambitions, his “favorite foreign policy child:”116 détente, and a pipeline to
Western Europe. At the XXVI party congress in 1981, Brezhnev announced
that a rapid increase of Siberian natural gas production was a top economic
and political priority. He thought the West Siberian fields to be unique in
scale. The largest of them, Urengoi, could not only cover the USSR’s
energy needs, but also ensure exports to capitalist countries for years to
come. The support of natural gas and oil in Western Siberia had to be made
the most important component of the energy programs of the eleventh and
even the twelfth five-year plan, he argued.117 This ambition would be
pursued even after Brezhnev’s death in 1982. Although the struggle for
an efficient energy strategy went on, the share of natural gas in Soviet energy
production continued to rise throughout the 1980s until 1990, when it
finally accounted for the main share in the Soviet energy mix.118
CONCLUSION
The development of Western Siberia’s oil and gas industry made the Soviet
Union a global player on the international energy market. Although initial
announcements had already been made during the 1960s concerning the
region’s great potential for domestic economic development and for mak-
ing the Soviet Union the global energy power, leaving behind the US in the
race for resources, it was not anticipated that the project would become
such a success. The Soviet leadership publicly praised the country’s great
future, but the political leaders and experts remained undecided about the
energy strategy and they were well aware of the technological gap between
the Soviet Union and Western companies. International cooperation on the
oil and gas market as a means of achieving détente was thought to be the
country’s way out of its frustrating energy situation. At the same time, it was
a chance for European countries to resolve their own energy and economic
crises. But the Soviet Union’s export obligations to Western countries as
RISE OF WESTERN SIBERIA AND THE SOVIET–WEST GERMAN ENERGY. . . 273
well as CMEA countries put even more pressure on the political leadership.
During the 1970s, the industry’s inefficiency became obvious and even
necessitated a possible return to the coal and nuclear strategy favored by
some of the leading party members of the country. Although the decision-
making process in Soviet energy policy remains opaque due to a lack of
comprehensive access to archival sources, one can conclude that the “Sibe-
rian campaign” was a project officially led by the general secretary. Despite
his poor health, but in order to underline his continuing ability to rule,119
he took a leading part in an attempt to foster the development of Western
Siberia and its resources, while hoping to kill several birds with one stone:
mobilization of technological development to cope with problems of the
Soviet North and the mobilization of Siberia’s population and oil and gas
specialists as a desperately needed workforce, and the realization of inter-
national projects in Western Siberia that would ultimately pave the way for a
long-desired rapprochement with the West by building the “biggest pipe-
line in the world.”120 It was the final realization of the Western Siberian
project that made gas the number one energy resource in the Soviet Union.
Furthermore, it firmly established the Soviet Union, and later the Russian
Federation, as a global energy power. The West Siberian project further led
to long-term dependencies between Western Europe and Russia.
All in all, international cooperation played a significant role, and it was
the FRG that was to become the Soviet Union’s most important trading
partner. The FRG may have profited more than any other country, includ-
ing the US and other Western countries, from détente both in political and
economic terms. One of the main aspirations of the West German political
establishment, the improvement of economic relations with the Soviet
Union in the late 1960s provided a basis for solving the country’s long-
lasting political conflict with both the Soviet Union and the GDR in the
early 1970s. And, again, this facilitated the extension of economic relations
in the later 1970s, which benefited the German industry. While meeting the
economic interests of both sides, it is no surprise that the Soviet Union and
the FRG in particular agreed on such an important and extensive long-term
energy relationship.
NOTES
1. Marina V. Komgort, Zapadno-Sibirskaia neftegazonosnaia
provintsiia: Istoriia otkrytiia (Tiumen’: Vektor Buk, 2008), 16–59.
274 D. KREMPIN
18. The total consumption of energy rose from 264.6 million tons of
coal equivalent (TCE) in 1965 to a preliminary peak of 408.2
million TCE in 1979. Consumption of oil rose from 108 million
TCE in 1965 to 206.8 million TCE in 1979, while gas consump-
tion rose from 3.3 million TCE in 1965 to 65.3 million TCE in
1979. Klaus H. Dahl, “Erdgas in Deutschland: Entwicklung und
Bedeutung unter Berücksichtigung der Versorgungssicherheit
und des energiepolitischen Ordnungsrahmens sowie des
Umweltschutzes” (PhD diss., Clausthal University of Technology,
1998), 10.
19. H€ ogselius, Red Gas, 67.
20. “Planmässig unterbrochen,” Der Spiegel 43 (1966), 29.
21. Akten zur Ausw€ artigen Politik der Bundesrepublik Deutschland
(AAPBD) 1969, 2 vols. (Munich: Oldenbourg, 2000), vol. 1, 454.
22. H€ ogselius, Red Gas, 77.
23. Ibid., 86.
24. Ibid., 81.
25. AAPBD 1969, vol. 1, 454.
26. Angela Stent, Wandel durch Handel: Die politisch-wirtschaftlichen
Beziehungen zwischen der Bundesrepublik Deutschland und der
Sowjetunion (Cologne: Wissenschaft und Politik, 1983), 142.
27. AAPBD 1969, vol. 1, 740–2.
28. This number consisted of 6.5 bcm of gas from own production and
1.5 bcm from Dutch production. AAPBD 1969, vol. 1, 741.
29. In 1965, gas accounted for just 2 percent of German energy
production. At the same time, Austria and Italy were using far
more gas. H€ogselius, Red Gas, 68.
30. AAPBD 1969, vol. 1, 740–2, here 742.
31. AAPBD 1969, vol. 2, 854.
32. Ibid., 854–5.
33. The deliveries were scheduled to start in 1972 and were to be
extended for five or six years. AAPBD 1969, vol. 2, 858.
34. Falk Illing, Energiepolitik in Deutschland: Die energiepolitischen
Massnahmen der Bundesregierung 1949–2013 (Baden-Baden:
Nomos, 2012), 150.
35. Stent, Wandel durch Handel, 143–4.
36. AAPBD 1970, 3 vols. (Munich: Oldenbourg, 2001), vol. 1, 86–88.
37. “Salto am Trapez,” Der Spiegel 7 (1970), 34.
276 D. KREMPIN
38. The Soviets finally wanted to cope with problems of air pollution in
areas containing other natural energy sources, e.g. in the Kuznetsk
Coal Basin (Kuzbass). AAPBD 1970, vol. 2, 1645.
39. AAPBD 1971, 3 vols. (Munich: Oldenbourg, 2002), vol. 1, 202–4.
40. “Leonid Breschnew—Kann man ihm trauen?,” Der Spiegel
51 (1971), 86–100.
41. AAPBD 1969, vol. 2, 857.
42. The Diary of Anatoly S. Chernyaev 1972, ed. Svetlana Savranskaya,
transl. Anna Melyakova (Washington, DC: National Security
Archive, 2012), entry of April 8, 1972, 11, http://nsarchive.
gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB379
43. Ibid.
44. AAPBD 1972, 3 vols. (Munich: Oldenbourg, 2003), vol.
2, 913–14.
45. Ibid.
46. Jonathan P. Stern, “Soviet Natural Gas in the World Economy,” in
Robert G. Jensen et al., eds., Soviet Natural Resources in the World
Economy (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1983), 363–84,
here 375–6; see also: Joseph T. Kosnik, Natural Gas Imports from
the Soviet Union: Financing the North Star Joint Venture Project
(New York: Praeger, 1975).
47. For further reading, see Jeronim Perović and Dunja Krempin,
“‘The Key is in Our Hands:’ Soviet Energy Strategy during
Détente and the Global Oil Crises of the 1970s,” Historical Social
Research 39, 4 (2014), 113–44.
48. Stern, “Soviet Natural Gas in the World Economy,” 376.
49. Arthur Jay Klinghoffer, The Soviet Union and International Oil
Politics (New York: Columbia University Press, 1977), 247–8.
50. Klinghoffer, Soviet Union and International Oil Politics, 250.
51. General‘nyi sekretar L. I. Brezhnev, 133.
52. “Greifen sie zu!,” Der Spiegel 22 (1973), 23–4, here 23.
53. AAPBD 1973, 3 vols. (Munich Oldenbourg, 2004), vol. 2, 721.
54. AAPBD 1973, vol. 2, 759–60. But the deal had been discussed
even earlier. In October 1972, representatives of the German
economy had discussed a trilateral deal on oil with involvement of
the Soviet Union in Teheran. During a visit of German industrial
representatives in Iran in spring 1973, the talks focused on a
trilateral deal on gas. In: AAPBD 1973, vol. 1, 418.
RISE OF WESTERN SIBERIA AND THE SOVIET–WEST GERMAN ENERGY. . . 277
69. Leonid I. Breschnew, Auf dem Wege Lenins: Reden und Aufs€ atze,
9 vols. (Berlin: Dietz, 1971–1984), vol. 5, 549.
70. Klüter, Die territorialen Produktionskomplexe in Sibirien, 9. See
€
also Johanna Roos, Sibirien zwischen Okonomie und Politik: Zur
Erschliessung der Energietr€ ager Erd€ ol und Erdgas (Cologne:
Wissenschaft und Politik, 1984).
71. Aleksei N. Kossygin, Ausgew€ ahlte Reden und Aufs€ atze 1939–1976
(Berlin: Staatsverlag der Deutschen Demokratischen Republik,
1977), 487–538, here 506–7, 521.
72. RGAE, f. 4372, op. 67, d. 1114, l. 58.
73. Ibid., ll. 107–9.
74. “ER 77-10,436 U, July 1977, Soviet Economic Problems and
Prospects,” in CIA’s Analysis of the Soviet Union, 1947–1991,
ed. Gerald K. Haines and Robert E. Leggett, https://www.cia.
gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/
books-and-monographs/cias-analysis-of-the-soviet-union-1947-
1991
75. Chung, Interest Representation in Soviet Policymaking, 40.
76. George W. Breslauer, Khrushchev and Brezhnev as Leaders: Build-
ing Authority in Soviet Politics (London: Allen & Unwin, 1982),
230–2.
77. “Poezdka tov. A. N. Kosygina,” Pravda, no. 82, March 23, 1978,
2.
78. “Prebyvanie A. N. Kosygina v Tiumeni i Tomske,” Pravda,
no. 84, March 25, 1978, 2.
79. “Poezdka tov. A. N. Kosygina,” Izvestiia, no. 74, March
28, 1978, 2.
80. “Prebyvanie tovarishcha L. I. Brezhneva v Tiumeni,” Pravda,
no. 90, March 31, 1978, 1; “Prebyvanie tovarishcha L. I.
Brezhneva v Chite,” Pravda, no. 94, April 4, 1978, 1; “Pribytie
tovarishcha L. I. Brezhneva v Chabarovsk,” Pravda, no. 96, April
6, 1978, 1; “Poseshchenie L. I. Brezhnevym tikhookeanskogo
flota,” Pravda, no. 98, April 8, 1978, 1.
81. Dnevniki A. S. Cherniaeva: Sovetskaia politika 1972–1991 gg.—
vzgliad iznutri, 1978 g., Project of the National Security Archives,
Washington, DC, 10, http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/rus/text_files/
Chernyaev/1978.pdf
RISE OF WESTERN SIBERIA AND THE SOVIET–WEST GERMAN ENERGY. . . 279
100. Blinken, Ally Versus Ally, 37–38. See also Thane Gustafson, Soviet
Negotiation Strategy: The East-West Gas Pipeline Deal 1980–1984
(Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corp., 1985).
101. AAPBD 1980, vol. 2, 1045.
102. Ibid., vol. 2, 1045–50.
103. Blinken, Ally Versus Ally, 31.
104. Thane Gustafson, The Soviet Gas Campaign: Politics and Policy in
Soviet Decisionmaking (Santa Monica, CA: Rand Corp., 1983),
48–9.
105. AAPBD 1980, vol. 2, 1047.
106. Annual Soviet gas deliveries in 1980 amounted to 26.5 bcm; the
Federal Republic of Germany received 11.5 bcm, Italy 7.4 bcm,
France 4.2 bcm, Austria 2.6 bcm, and Finland 1.5 bcm. AAPBD
1980, vol. 2, 1047.
107. AAPBD 1981, 3 vols. (Munich: Oldenbourg, 2012), vol. 2, 1835.
108. “Schnell festgezurrt,” Der Spiegel 47 (1980), 129.
109. “Diskret geklärt,” Der Spiegel 26 (1980), 29.
110. “Der unverziehene Strang nach Osten,” Der Spiegel 12 (1982),
32–41, here 32.
111. Christian Th. Müller, “Der Erdgas-R€ohren-Konflikt 1981/1982,”
€
in Bernd Greiner, ed., Okonomie im Kalten Krieg (Hamburg:
Edition, 2010), 501–20, here 512–18. See also David Painter’s
chapter in this book.
112. “Gilt nicht mehr,” Der Spiegel 13 (1980), 129.
113. Juri Semjonow, Erd€ ol aus dem Osten: Die Geschichte der Erd€
ol- und
Erdgasindustrie in der Sowjetunion (Düsseldorf: Econ, 1973), 74.
114. S. Klepikov and V. Linnik, “‘Sdel’ka veka’ i delo mira,” Pravda,
no. 179, June 28, 1982, 6.
115. AAPBD 1981, vol. 3, 1841.
116. Valentin M. Falin, Politische Erinnerungen (Munich: Droemer
Knaur, 1993), 274.
117. Breschnew, Auf dem Wege Lenins, vol. 8, 766.
118. Katharina Preuss-Neudorf, “Die Erdgaswirtschaft in Russland:
Merkmale, Probleme und Perspektiven unter besonderer
Berücksichtigung der Integration der russischen und der
europäischen Erdgaswirtschaft” (PhD diss., University of Cologne,
1996), 20.
RISE OF WESTERN SIBERIA AND THE SOVIET–WEST GERMAN ENERGY. . . 281
119. Vladislav M. Zubok, A Failed Empire: The Soviet Union in the Cold
War from Stalin to Gorbachev (Chapel Hill: University of North
Carolina Press, 2007), 229, 241.
120. AAPBD 1980, vol. 2, 1047.
From Linkage to Economic Warfare: Energy,
Soviet–American Relations, and the End
of the Cold War
David S. Painter
The end of the Cold War was one of the most important events in the
twentieth century. Understanding why the Cold War ended is deeply
intertwined with understanding the nature and dynamics of the conflict
and central to assessing the wisdom and effectiveness of Western, and
especially United States (US), policies toward the Soviet Union. Most
studies focus on such issues as the arms race, competition in the Third
World, and the ideological and economic rivalry between the two systems.
Very few examine the role of oil, and energy in general.1 This lack of
attention is surprising because energy resources were potentially an impor-
tant element in the power position of the Soviet Union. In addition, oil and
natural gas exports accounted for around 80 percent of the Soviet Union’s
hard currency earnings, and the drop in oil prices by two-thirds in real terms
between 1980 and 1986 followed by a decline in Soviet oil production
beginning in 1989 played an important role in the collapse of the Soviet
system.2
One of the few writers to examine the role of energy in the end of the
Cold War, conservative journalist Peter Schweizer, claims that the Reagan
administration orchestrated the oil price collapse and that US export con-
trols limiting Soviet access to Western credits and oil and gas technology
and equipment hindered Soviet gas exports and cost them billions of dollars
in export earnings.3 Based largely on interviews with former Reagan admin-
istration officials and selected quotations from US documents, some of
which are unavailable to other analysts, Schweizer’s work is a key text for
the so-called “Reagan Victory School,” which claims that the US military
buildup and political and economic offensive of the early 1980s forced the
Soviet Union into a corner from which there was no escape save surrender.
Victory School advocates usually focus on the US military buildup, espe-
cially on the Strategic Defense Initiative (popularly known as Star Wars),
US support for anti-communist insurgents in Afghanistan, Angola, and
Nicaragua, and Reagan’s anti-communist rhetoric, but the Reagan
administration’s anti-Soviet energy strategy is an integral part of the overall
Victory School argument.4 Although popular among US politicians, pun-
dits, and large sections of the general public, the Reagan Victory School has
found limited scholarly support.
Drawing on recently declassified documents from the Carter and Reagan
libraries and the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), documents published
in the Foreign Relations of the United States series, and selected secondary
sources, this chapter examines US efforts to influence Soviet energy devel-
opments during the 1970s and 1980s. It argues that during the 1970s, the
US sought to implement a strategy that would link US trade with the Soviet
Union to changes in Soviet foreign policy.5 US dominance in oil and gas
equipment and technology and the Soviet Union’s need for credits seemed
to offer the US a golden opportunity to influence Soviet policy. However,
this policy failed because the Soviets were able to acquire the equipment,
technology, and credit they needed from other Western countries.
After the Soviet intervention in Afghanistan, US policy shifted to denying
oil and gas technology and equipment to the Soviet Union as a means of
weakening its economy, limiting its military power, and undermining Com-
munism. The Reagan administration continued this policy, and in 1982
tried to prevent Western companies from supplying equipment and tech-
nology for the construction of a natural gas pipeline from Western Siberia to
Western Europe. This policy also failed because US allies refused to
cooperate.
FROM LINKAGE TO ECONOMIC WARFARE: ENERGY, SOVIET–AMERICAN. . . 285
Finally, this chapter argues that Saudi Arabia decided to increase oil
production in fall 1985 not because of US lobbying but because its previous
policy of cutting production to maintain prices was not working and was
costing the kingdom billions of dollars in revenue. The resulting collapse in
oil prices had a devastating impact on the Soviet economy and contributed
significantly to the demise of the Soviet system, but this outcome stemmed
from changes in global oil markets and the Soviet Union’s ongoing internal
crisis rather than from US economic warfare.
also found several gigantic natural gas fields in Western Siberia, giving them
around 27 percent of the world’s proven natural gas reserves by 1980.
Although gas production took longer to develop, the Soviet Union over-
took the US as the world’s top natural gas producer in the mid-1980s.9
The Soviet Union benefitted from the oil price increases in the 1970s.
World oil prices rose from $1.80 a barrel in current dollars in 1970 to
$36.83 a barrel in 1980. Soviet oil exports rose from 1.9 million bpd in
1970 to 3.2 million bpd in 1978. Most of the exports went to Eastern
Europe—42 percent in 1970 and 47 percent in 1978—but Soviet oil
exports to hard currency markets also increased, from 620,000 bpd in
1970 to 1.1 million bpd in 1978. Soviet hard currency earnings from oil
exports doubled in 1973 and again in 1974 and continued to increase for
the rest of the decade. By 1976, oil exports were responsible for around half
of the Soviet Union’s hard currency earnings and energy exports for almost
80 percent.10 Their rapid rise allowed the Soviets to import large amounts
of Western grain and machinery during the 1970s. Higher oil revenues may
have made it possible for the Soviets to afford increased involvement in the
Third World in the 1970s. This involvement, along with the dynamics of
the arms race, gave rise to concerns about Soviet “geopolitical momentum”
and helped bring about the demise of détente.11
Energy exports to Eastern Europe, of which oil was the most important
by the 1970s, were a key element in Soviet efforts to maintain its sphere in
Eastern Europe. Except for Romania, Eastern Europe lacked significant
indigenous oil reserves and depended on the Soviets for almost all its oil
needs. Soviet deliveries of oil and natural gas were a critical energy source for
most countries in the region, as the share of coal in total energy consump-
tion declined during the 1960s and 1970s in every country except Romania.
Oil imports from the Soviet Union as a percentage of total energy con-
sumption in the region rose from 11.3 percent in 1970 to 15 percent in
1977.12
equipment and $4.1 billion worth of steel pipe. The US portion of these
sales was more than $550 million.16
In 1977, the CIA produced a number of studies that predicted that
Soviet oil production would peak in 1980 and decline sharply thereafter
due to declining production in existing fields, declining success in finding
new fields, outdated exploration and production equipment and technol-
ogy, and formidable transportation and technical problems. The CIA
argued that it would be difficult for the Soviets to avert an energy crisis by
the mid-1980s. The Soviet Union used oil mostly in industry, not trans-
portation. This meant that natural gas, coal, and nuclear power could be
substituted for oil; so, in the long run, the Soviets could try to develop
natural gas, coal, and nuclear power as alternatives to oil. The CIA did not
think this would happen quickly enough to avoid an oil crisis. Reducing oil
exports to the West would decimate hard currency earnings; reducing
domestic oil consumption through conservation and/or fuel switching
would be time-consuming, expensive, and disruptive. Reducing oil exports
to Eastern Europe and other clients could lead to economic and political
unrest, since shortfalls would force them to buy oil on the world market in
hard currency at higher prices or reduce consumption.17
US President Jimmy Carter’s National Security Advisor Zbigniew
Brzezinski and his staff at the National Security Council (NSC) seized on
these studies to argue that Soviet oil problems provided a unique opportu-
nity for the US to pressure the Soviet Union. Admitting the US had limited
leverage “in the current context,” they argued that US leverage would
increase as Soviet oil problems worsened. The Soviets would need vast
amounts of Western equipment and technology to stave off or slow the
expected decline in oil production. The Soviets needed rotary drills to drill
deeper wells through harder rocks (because their turbo drills were not well
suited for such conditions), high-capacity submersible pumps and other
equipment, and chemicals to enhance recovery from existing wells. They
also needed Western exploration technology and Western offshore technol-
ogy. Although the Soviets could get most of what they needed from other
Western countries, the US was the leading producer of most of the equip-
ment and technology the Soviets needed. Either the Soviets changed their
policies, or the US would deny them critical technology that they needed.18
Proponents of a less confrontational policy led by Secretary of State
Cyrus Vance, Secretary of the Treasury Michael Blumenthal, and Secretary
of Commerce Juanita Kreps were skeptical about the possibilities of using
economic leverage to force the Soviets to make political concessions. They
FROM LINKAGE TO ECONOMIC WARFARE: ENERGY, SOVIET–AMERICAN. . . 289
argued that the CIA underestimated the ability of the Soviet system to deal
with the threat of declining oil production. They also noted that Defense
Intelligence Agency (DIA) analysts believed the CIA’s analysis to be flawed
and that the Soviets would be able to meet their oil production goals in the
1980s. Even if the CIA analysis proved to be correct, they did not believe it
would necessarily or even probably give the US significant leverage over
Soviet policy.19
Brzezinski and his NSC colleagues refused to give up. Harvard political
scientist Samuel Huntington, who served as coordinator of security plan-
ning at the NSC from 1977 to 1978, argued that US dominance in oil and
gas equipment and technology needed by the Soviets gave the US unprece-
dented leverage. To be able to exercise this leverage, control over US
economic relations with the Soviets should be centralized in the White
House, and oil and gas equipment and technology should be subject to
export controls. Huntington also recommended that the US work to gain
the support of its allies for this new economic diplomacy.20
Brzezinski gained the president’s support in July 1978, when Carter, in
response to a series of Soviet trials of Jewish dissidents, approved new
policies on trade with the Soviet Union that re-established export controls
on oil production equipment and technology and made it harder for US
companies to export computers to the Soviet Union. In addition, Carter
took steps to set up centralized NSC control over licensing of sensitive
exports to the Soviet Union.21
Soon after Carter’s decision, however, the Department of Commerce
approved a request by Dresser Industries of Texas for an export license for a
drill bit factory in the Soviet Union. Opposition from Brzezinski and
conservatives in Congress forced Carter to reconsider the case, and the
Department of Defense asked J. Fred Bucy of the Defense Science Board,
executive vice president of Texas Instruments and author of a controversial
1976 report on technology transfer, to study the issue. Bucy’s report
opposed the sale, arguing that deep well drilling technology and rock drill
bit manufacture were “critical” technologies, wholly concentrated in the
US. They were “very significant to national security in the broadest terms,”
because they contributed to the overall Soviet economy even though they
were not linked directly to Soviet military capabilities. He also argued that
that two other components of the deal, electron beam welding and tungsten
carbide inserts for the drill bits, had military applications. The Department
of Defense rejected Bucy’s recommendations, however, pointing out that
the technology in question was available from other countries and did not
290 D.S. PAINTER
continued to press for action. In late October Casey sent Reagan a CIA
study that emphasized dependence on Western equipment and technology.
A month later he sent the president a Special National Intelligence Estimate
on how trade with the West strengthened Soviet military. The estimate
concluded that “short of comprehensive trade restrictions, a Western
embargo on oil and gas equipment would have the greatest impact” on
the Soviets.36
Events in Poland provided Reagan with an opportunity to act. On
December 12, 1981, with political authority deteriorating and unrest
spreading and a Warsaw Pact intervention apparently imminent, Polish
Prime Minister General Wojciech Jaruzelski, who was also defense minister
and first secretary of the Communist Party, declared a state of siege and
ordered the arrest of more than 5000 opposition leaders, including the
leaders of the independent trade union Solidarity.37
The US and its North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies had
issued several warnings against a Soviet military intervention in Poland.
Although the Soviets refrained from direct intervention, the Reagan admin-
istration, ignoring years of NATO contingency planning and agreements on
how to respond to Soviet actions in Poland, unilaterally imposed a number
of economic sanctions on the Soviet Union, including suspension of sales of
oil and gas technology and licenses for various high-technology exports.38
The restrictions affected around sixty US companies. Officials at the Com-
merce Department interpreted the restrictions as being retroactive, thus
requiring US firms to break existing contracts with the Soviets, their sub-
sidiaries in Europe, and European firms. The affected US companies
protested, and the Europeans rejected the US interpretation.39
Casey and Weinberger stepped up their campaign against the Siberian
natural gas pipeline. Weinberger argued that events in Poland provided an
opportunity to rally European behind US policy and that it was “time to
mount a major effort to dismantle the project.” He favored extending
sanctions to the subsidiaries of US firms in other countries. Casey believed
that the US should focus on convincing its allies to limit government and
government-guaranteed and subsidized credits to the Soviets. Casey also
argued that the US and its allies should be working to increase the avail-
ability of oil and gas in their own countries in order to limit dependence on
Soviet oil and gas.40
Reagan decided to defer decision on the question of applying US sanc-
tions to foreign companies pending a State Department mission to Europe
to discuss restrictions on credits. After hearing a briefing on the Soviet
FROM LINKAGE TO ECONOMIC WARFARE: ENERGY, SOVIET–AMERICAN. . . 295
economy in March 1982, Reagan wrote in his diary: “They are in very
bad shape and if we can cut off their credit they’ll have to yell ‘Uncle’ or
starve.”41 Harvard professor Richard Pipes, who was the Soviet specialist at
the NSC in 1981–82, warned there was “virtually no chance” that the
Europeans would agree to effective credit controls and that relaxing or
ending sanctions would have a “catastrophic” impact on US credibility. As
negotiations with the Europeans dragged on, Reagan grew impatient. The
Soviet Union was “on the ropes economically,” he exclaimed at an NSC
meeting on May 24, and “this is the time to punish them.” Casey continued
to argue for tougher action against the Soviets to delay the pipeline, saying
credit restrictions by themselves were inadequate. The State Department
conceded that if talks with the Europeans on credit restrictions failed, the
US should make the sanctions applicable to US subsidiaries abroad and
foreign companies using US licenses.42
Talks with the allies revealed little enthusiasm for credit restrictions,
leading pipeline opponents to conclude that it was time to switch from
persuasion to coercion.43 At a NSC meeting Assistant for National Security
William Clark scheduled to take advantage of Haig’s absence—he was
meeting with the Soviet foreign minister in New York—Reagan decided
to extend the sanctions against the Soviet Union to include equipment
produced by subsidiaries of US companies abroad and equipment produced
abroad under licenses issued by US companies. Angered that the situation in
Poland had not improved and convinced that the Soviets were vulnerable,
Reagan declared that the US had to take a strong stand.44
The major Western European nations protested the US action as an
illegal attempt to impose extraterritorial trade sanctions and rejected the
US argument that the proposed pipeline could provide the Soviets with a
means of applying economic pressure on Western Europe. The announce-
ment on July 30, 1982 of a large new US grain deal with the Soviets further
infuriated the Europeans. Not convinced by arguments that grains sales
absorbed hard currency while selling the Soviets oil and gas equipment
helped them earn hard currency, the British, German, French, and
Italian governments instructed their firms to honor their contracts with
the Soviet Union. British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher was especially
upset, publicly stating that the US action left her “deeply wounded by a
friend.”45 Privately, she told Weinberger that she “desperately needed some
face-saving solution.”46
As shipments of pipeline equipment started on their way to the Soviet
Union, the US retaliated by announcing that companies violating the US
296 D.S. PAINTER
These changes in the world oil economy put enormous pressure on oil
producers. After peaking in the fourth quarter of 1980 at $38.60 per barrel,
the average spot price of a barrel of light crude oil fell to $34.17 in 1981,
$31.76 in 1982, $28.67 in 1983, to a range around $27 in 1984–1985. The
drop in prices hit Saudi Arabia especially hard. For almost five years, the
Saudis attempted to stabilize prices around $29 a barrel by cutting back
their production, but other OPEC producers failed to reduce their produc-
tion, and the Saudis lost market share even as prices dropped sharply. Saudi
production fell from an average of 10.27 million bpd in 1980 to around 2.2
million bpd in August 1985, and Saudi revenues fell from $113.2 billion in
1981 to $25.9 billion in 1985, forcing the kingdom to cut back many
government programs and draw down its foreign-exchange reserves. Low
oil production levels also meant less associated gas production, threatening
the Saudi petrochemical industry, which used natural gas as its main feed-
stock.56
In September 1985, the Saudis decided to regain their position as the
leading OPEC producer, stem the drop in oil revenues, and ensure a long-
term market for their oil by increasing production. An added bonus was that
lower prices also hurt Iran, which was engaged in a bloody war with Iraq
and threatened Saudi Arabia and other Gulf producers, who were providing
economic assistance to Iraq. Rather than selling oil at a fixed price, they
would be paid based on what refined products sold for in the marketplace
minus a fixed profit for the refiner.57 The new “netback” system put a
premium on volume rather than price and led to a collapse of world oil
prices, which fell to around $17 a barrel in the first quarter of 1986 and $11
in the second quarter.58
oil to gas. Expanding coal production and nuclear power were not good
options. Coal reserves were concentrated in Siberia, and using them would
require sizable investment in technology for using low-quality coal and
transmitting electricity over long distances. Reviving nuclear power after
the Chernobyl disaster of 1986 would require investment in safety and an
intensive public relations effort to restore public acceptance of nuclear
energy.67
Soviet oil production, oil exports, and hard currency earnings from oil
exports declined in 1985, but the Soviets restored oil production levels in
1986 by pouring huge additional amounts of money, workers, and equip-
ment into Western Siberia. Due to a slight increase in oil prices in 1987, hard
currency export earnings increased from $6.96 billion in 1986 to almost
$10.3 billion in 1987. Prices fell again in 1988, however, and earnings from
hard currency exports dipped to around $9.77 billion in 1988, even though
the volume of oil exported increased from 3.92 million bpd in 1987 to 4.09
million bpd in 1988. Revenues from sales to Eastern Europe also fell because
prices were pegged to world crude oil prices for the previous year.68
By 1989, energy-associated problems had become a major barrier to
Gorbachev’s plans. There was no easy way out. If he continued to allow
energy to soak up a growing share of investment resources, his moderniza-
tion and consumer welfare goals would be unachievable. At the same time,
energy shortages and declining hard currency earnings, which would result
from failure to maintain production and exports, would be equally devas-
tating to his reform plans. Cutting domestic consumption to increase
exports risked starving the domestic economy of needed energy, and there
were already complaints about domestic fuel shortages. Cutting exports to
Eastern Europe carried the risk of political unrest.
Labor and political unrest, shortages of equipment, and general eco-
nomic disruption due to the uneven impact of Gorbachev’s economic
reforms, combined with the natural depletion of fields, led to a decline in
oil production—to 12.254 million bpd in 1989, 11.523 million bpd in
1990, and 10.431 million bpd in 1991. In addition, the mounting violence
between Azerbaijan and Armenia over Karabakh contributed to shortages in
oil equipment, most of which came from Baku.69
Falling oil output undermined the domestic economy and the Soviet
Union’s ability to service its growing foreign debt. At the same time, the
general decline in domestic output led to an increase in demand for imports
to ease critical shortages and bottlenecks, and in 1989, Gorbachev
attempted to rekindle economic growth by increasing imports of machinery
302 D.S. PAINTER
Schweizer also claims that the economic pressures caused by falling oil
prices were a key factor behind Gorbachev’s efforts to improve relations
with the West and end the Cold War.79 This argument echoes Reagan’s
own views. Reagan actually believed that the changes in Soviet policy under
Gorbachev were the result of his earlier hardline policies.80
Economic constraints were a factor in Gorbachev’s calculations, but
there is little evidence that they were the result of US policies.81 In the
late 1980s, the CIA believed that Gorbachev’s goal in improving relations
with the West was to gain breathing space and access to Western technology
to modernize the Soviet economy and rebuild Soviet military power.82 The
dominant strong scholarly consensus, however, argues that Gorbachev and
the new generation of Soviet leaders that emerged in the 1980s had already
concluded that the policies of their predecessors were counterproductive
and that continued conflict threatened their goal of overcoming the disas-
trous legacy of Stalinism, reforming their economy, and revitalizing their
society. Gorbachev believed that a certain degree of openness and democ-
racy was necessary to achieve these goals. Ending the Cold War was central
to Gorbachev’s plans. A less confrontational relationship with the US and
the West in general, Gorbachev and his allies hoped, would permit a drastic
reduction in military spending and allow the Soviet Union to devote greater
attention and resources to internal reform and renewal.83
While Gorbachev succeeded in ending the Cold War, he was unable to
transform Communism into social democracy or preserve the Soviet Union.
In the end, the Soviet Union was unable to escape the legacy of economic
backwardness it had inherited from its Tsarist predecessor; the unforgiving
realities of geology and geography, which, among other injustices, located
its oil and gas reserves far from the main centers of population, production,
and consumption; and the inherent contradictions of the Soviet system. The
Soviet Union’s energy resources were not able to overcome these problems
and indeed often reflected and exacerbated them. The Soviet system finally
collapsed when the piecemeal economic reforms Gorbachev instituted led
to economic chaos and to the defection of a large portion of the Soviet elite,
whose continued privileges were threatened by political reforms. In addi-
tion, democratization and self-determination proved incompatible with
empire, putting an end not only to the Soviet sphere in Eastern Europe,
but also to one of the last of the great multinational empires.84
FROM LINKAGE TO ECONOMIC WARFARE: ENERGY, SOVIET–AMERICAN. . . 305
NOTES
1. David S. Painter and Thomas S. Blanton, “The End of the Cold
War,” in Jean-Christophe Agnew and Roy Rozenzweig, eds., A
Companion to Post-1945 America (Malden, MA: Blackwell Publish-
ing, 2002), 479–500.
2. Gas prices were linked to oil prices. Studies that examine oil include
Yegor Gaidar, “The Soviet Collapse: Grain and Oil,” American
Enterprise Institute, April 2007, http://www/aei.org/wp-con-
tent/uploads/2011/10/2007040419_Gaidar.pdf; Yegor Gaidar,
Collapse of an Empire: Lessons for Modern Russia, transl. Antonina
W. Bouis (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2007);
Stephen Kotkin, Armageddon Averted: The Soviet Collapse,
1970–2000 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2001), 10–27; Doug-
las Reynolds, “Soviet Economic Decline: Did an Oil Crisis Cause the
Transition in the Soviet Union,” Journal of Energy and Development
24, 1 (1998), 65–82; “Cheaper Oil: Many Winners, a Few Bad
Losers,” Economist, October 25, 2014, 16.
3. Peter Schweizer, Victory: The Reagan Administration’s Secret Strat-
egy that Hastened the Collapse of the Soviet Union (New York: Atlan-
tic Monthly Press, 1994); Peter Schweizer, Reagan’s War: The Epic
Story of His Forty-Year Struggle and Final Triumph Over Commu-
nism (New York: Doubleday, 2002), 238–41.
4. In addition to Schweizer, see Roger W. Robinson, Jr., “Reagan’s
Soviet Economic Take-Down Strategy: Financial and Energy Ele-
ments,” in Douglas E. Streusand, ed., The Grand Strategy that Won
the Cold War: Architecture of Triumph (Lanham, MD: Lexington
Books, 2016), 159–74. Robinson’s account is based on his experi-
ences on the NSC staff, 1982–1985.
306 D.S. PAINTER
40. FRUS 1981–1988, vol. 3, docs. 139, 141, 145, 152; Casey to the
President, March 25, 1982, with attachment “DCI Remarks to the
President’s Economic Policy Advisory Board, March 18, 1982, CIA
Documents, Reagan Collection; CIA, “Western Alternatives to
Soviet Natural Gas: Prospects and Implications,” attached to Direc-
tor of Soviet Analysis to Deputy Director of Intelligence, May
20, 1982; Casey to McMahon, May 17, 1982, CIA Documents,
Reagan Collection.
41. Ronald Reagan, The Reagan Diaries, ed. Douglas Brinkley
(New York: Harper Collins, 2007), 75.
42. FRUS 1981–1988, vol. 3, docs. 146, 152, 172, 174; CIA, The Soviet
Bloc Financial Problem as a Source of Western Influence, NIC M
82-10004, April 1982, CIA Documents, Reagan Collection;
Schweizer, Victory, 102; Mastanduno, Economic Containment,
253–5.
43. Henry R. Nau, The Myth of America’s Decline: Leading the World
Economy into the 1990s (New York: Oxford University Press, 1990),
309–12, Nau was on the NSC staff 1981–1983.
44. Minutes of NSC Meeting, June 18, 1982, www.thereaganfiles.com
(hereafter Reagan Files); Reagan, Reagan Diaries, 137–9; Haig,
Caveat, 312–14; Reagan’s decision was released as National Security
Decision Directive 41 on June 22, 1982: http://www.reagan.utexas.
edu/archives/reference/Scanned%20NSDDS/NSDD41.pdf; AFP
CD 1982, 436–41; Telegram, Paris 3921, July 13, 1982, folder
“USSR-Economy (5/10),” Jack F. Matlock, Jr. Files, RRL. Dis-
agreement over sanctions was a factor in Reagan’s dismissal of Haig
on June 25.
45. Jentleson, Pipeline Politics, 196; FRUS 1981–1988, vol. 3, doc. 190;
Thatcher to Reagan, June 25, 1982, Thatcher MSS, Churchill
Archive Centre, THCR 3/1/22 Part 2 f38 (T138/82); Thatcher,
TV Interview for BBC, September 1, 1983, Thatcher Archives;
Thatcher, Downing Street Years, 256; Mastanduno, Economic Con-
tainment, 255–58. For the text of the European Common Market
statement on the embargo, see US Congress, Senate, Committee on
Foreign Relations, Economic Relations with the Soviet Union, 97th
Congress, 2nd Session, August 12 and 13, 1982, 176–7; see also
“Europe Protests Reagan Sanctions on Pipeline Sales;” and “Text of
Common Market Statement on Embargo,” New York Times,
FROM LINKAGE TO ECONOMIC WARFARE: ENERGY, SOVIET–AMERICAN. . . 313
The Soviet Union in the Cold War from Stalin to Gorbachev, (Chapel
Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 2007), 287–91.
68. CIA, USSR: Facing the Dilemma of Hard Currency Shortages, SOV
86-10027X, May 1986, CREST; CIA, Soviet Energy Data Resource
Handbook, May 1990, 7; CIA, USSR: Coping with the Decline in
Hard Currency Revenues, April 1988, CIA Documents; Smith,
Russia and the World Economy, 81, 91.
69. BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2015; “Oil Outlook Dims for
the Soviet Union,” Oil and Gas Journal, January 16, 1989; “Soviet
Oil, Gas Industry Languishes,” Oil and Gas Journal, May 15, 1989;
“USSR Warned Oil Flow Could Drop Sharply,” Oil and Gas Jour-
nal, July 3, 1989; “USSR’s Oil Output Slide Continuing in 1990,”
Oil and Gas Journal, May 21, 1990.
70. Smith, Russia and the World Economy, 156–76; Marshall
I. Goldman, “Soviet Economy Heads for a Crash,” Wall Street
Journal, June 27, 1990, A10.
71. Anders Åslund, “The Demise of the Soviet Economic System,”
International Politics 48, 4 (2011), 552–8; CIA, Beyond Perestroika:
The Soviet Economy in Crisis, DDB 1900-164.91, June 1991, CIA
Documents; Gaidar, Collapse of an Empire, 220–49. Gaidar provides
a wealth of information on economic conditions in the Soviet Union
in the 1980s, but his account is episodic rather than systematic.
72. Robinson, “Reagan’s Soviet Economic Take-Down Strategy,” 169;
CIA, The Soviet Energy Plight, January 1989; Jentleson, Pipeline
Politics, 212–14.
73. Author’s notes from the conference “Energy in International
Relations (1945–1991),” MGIMO University, Moscow, November
22–23, 2007.
74. Rachel Bronson, Thicker than Oil: America’s Uneasy Partnership
with Saudi Arabia (New York: Oxford University Press, 2006),
168–90; Bob Woodward, Veil: The Secret Wars of the CIA,
1981–1987 (New York: Simon & Schuster, 1987); Jonathan Mar-
shall, “Saudi Arabia and the Reagan Doctrine,” Middle East Report
155 (1988), http://www.merip.org/mer/mer155.
75. AFP CD 1981, 659, 809, 812–13, 816, 818, 820, 823–4;
Schweizer, Victory, 29–32; William Safire, “The Reagan Corollary,”
New York Times, October 4, 1981, E19.
76. Schweizer, Reagan’s War, 240.
FROM LINKAGE TO ECONOMIC WARFARE: ENERGY, SOVIET–AMERICAN. . . 317
Falk Flade
INTRODUCTION
Following the example of the Soviet Union, the young socialist command
economies of the Central and Eastern Europe Countries (CEEC) started to
build up energy-intensive industries after World War II. This industrializa-
tion drive led to a rapid increase in energy demand, which could no longer
be met by domestic brown or hard coal deposits. Whereas most of the
CEEC were net exporters of energy before World War II, the picture
changed fundamentally over the following two decades. This paradigm
shift was made possible with the construction of a colossal pipeline system
transporting Soviet oil and gas from fields in the Volga-Ural and Western
Siberia regions as far west as to the Oder and Danube rivers. At the
beginning of the 1960s, the Druzhba (“Friendship”) pipeline came into
being, to be followed by other large-scale projects with illustrious names
such as Bratstvo (“Brotherhood”), Soiuz (“Union”), or Progress. These
pipelines were frequently expanded in order to increase the network’s
transport capabilities, which had far-reaching consequences for all sides
involved. The Soviet Union thus entered into long-term commitments
F. Flade (*)
Center for Interdisciplinary Polish Studies, European University Viadrina,
Frankfurt/Oder, Germany
structure, explaining the various steps of the planning and building process
and analyzing the consequences of the Druzhba project for the communist
states of Eastern Europe.
Fig. 1 The Druzhba pipeline in 1964 (Source: author’s own drawing based on a
map created by the Leibniz Institute of European History, http://www.ieg-maps.
uni-mainz.de)
one ton of crude oil would amount to 1 kopeck on the northern and 0.91
on the southern route, compared to 3.2–3.5 kopecks by rail. Hence,
pipeline transport was three times cheaper than railway transport.15
According to the “general scheme,” the following quantities of crude oil
where scheduled to be pumped through the Druzhba pipeline after its
planned opening in the years 1962–64 (Table 2). To ship these amounts,
the whole northern line had to be made from pipes with a diameter of
529 mm. In such a case, however, the capacity could merely cover the needs
of Poland’s and the GDR’s oil import needs until 1967. Afterwards, it
would be necessary to construct a second pipeline. As early as April 1959,
a commission of Gosplan experts criticized this inadequate solution. Nev-
ertheless, the commission had to accept that production facilities for large-
diameter pipes in Poland and the GDR were rather insufficient and turned
to the CMEA’s Standing Commission for Metallurgy and Foreign Trade to
search for additional ways of providing pipes.16 A solution was found in less
than two months; however, it was proposed not by the Standing Commis-
sion for Metallurgy and Foreign Trade, but by the special Pipeline Con-
struction Working Group of the Standing Commission for the Oil and Gas
Industry. At its next meeting in Warsaw in Mai 1959, the working group’s
328 F. FLADE
insufficient steel plate with a required strength of 8–9 mm for the produc-
tion of pipes with a thinner wall thickness. Meanwhile, the share of steel
plate below the minimum thickness tolerance has risen sharply to some 30%
of total supply.”27
The Soviet Union’s decisive clout in the bargaining process becomes
visible in the case of the Kuibyshev–Mozyr’-section. The tenth CMEA
session, held in December 1958, advised interested countries that they
had to clarify their potential participation in the construction of the
Kuibyshev–Mozyr’-section, too. This demand met with widespread disap-
proval from the representatives of the smaller countries. The GDR, like
Poland, rejected any such participation. Poland’s Deputy Prime Minister
Eugeniusz Szyr argued that such an additional burden could lead to the
opening being postponed for several years if smaller countries had to invest
their limited resources in Soviet sections, too.28 Czechoslovakia had initially
completely refused to take part in such an endeavor, but “after long talks
accepted its moral duty to help the Soviet Union.”29
At the fifth meeting of the Standing Commission for Oil and Gas
Industry in February 1959, the Soviet representative, Vartan Kalamkarov,
warned that the opening date of the whole pipeline had to be postponed to
the end of 1963 because the Soviet Union could not manage to deliver all
the pipes and material in time. As an alternative, he proposed using rail
shuttles to bridge the gap.30 For other commission members, especially the
GDR, it was crucial that oil shipments should begin as planned at the
beginning of 1963. Otherwise, the newly constructed refinery in Schwedt
would stand idle for several months. This worsened the bargaining position
of the GDR, which lobbied strongly for an opening date at the beginning of
1963.31 At a meeting in June 1959, the Soviet Union made clear that it
expected the oil-importing countries to participate. Czechoslovakia and the
GDR were each supposed to deliver 300 km of pipes, Poland 160 km, and
Hungary 40 km. Additionally, it was expected that equipment and
machines would be supplied.32 The Soviet Union might have strengthened
its bargaining position by postponing the construction of one of its own
refineries in Mozyr’. Nevertheless, the construction process was seriously
and unexpectedly interrupted for different reasons.
CREATING A COMMON ENERGY SPACE: THE BUILDING OF THE DRUZHBA OIL. . . 331
WESTERN OBSTRUCTION
On November 21, 1962, in light of the Berlin and Cuba missile crises, the
North Atlantic Council decided to ban the export of large-diameter pipes
from its member states to the Soviet Union.33 While other North Atlantic
Treaty Organization (NATO) countries managed to evade the US initia-
tive, the FRG had to stick to the embargo due to its limited scope of action
regarding foreign affairs at that time.34 This decision affected shipping
contracts between the German pipe producers Mannesmann, Hoesch, and
Phoenix-Rheinrohr with the Soviet foreign trade organization
Promsyr’eimport for 163,000 tons of steel pipes with a diameter of
40 inches.35
The embargo explicitly targeted the Druzhba pipeline, which was then
under construction. A US State Department memorandum entitled “Esti-
mated Impact of Western Economic Sanctions against the Sino-Soviet
Bloc” from July 1961 stated several strategic and economic reasons why
this pipeline project threatened US interests.36 In light of the Berlin crisis,
the US authors argued, the pipeline would significantly tilt the military
equilibrium in the region toward Soviet dominance in strategic and logisti-
cal matters. Among other things, fuel depots could be built up undetected.
The transportation capacities thus freed up could be used for the haulage of
other strategic goods. Finally, the Soviet Union could use the pipeline to
export more crude oil to Western Europe and thus expand its economic
leverage with NATO countries, especially the FRG and Italy. The minimum
goal of the embargo was thus to delay the construction work for as long as
possible.37
The assumption that the Druzhba pipeline would be used to supply
Warsaw Pact forces was no figment of the imagination. In fact, such plans
existed from the very beginning. The head of the above-mentioned plan-
ning institute Giprotruboprovod recommended consultations with military
specialists on the transportation of diesel and kerosene through the
Druzhba pipeline as early as 1958.38 Apparently, the Czechoslovak govern-
ment was especially interested in such a solution and proposed an
unscheduled meeting of the Pipeline Construction Working Group, which
was held in Prague in June 1960. At this meeting, the question of how to
use the pipeline for the transportation of refined oil products in case of war
must have been discussed. In the instruction for the Soviet representative,
Gosplan stated that the Soviet Union would be willing to pump fuel
through the Druzhba pipeline to Uzhgorod “in case of need.” Moreover,
332 F. FLADE
Soviet Union could import some 870,000 tons of large-diameter pipes from
the FRG, Italy, Sweden, and Japan between 1958 and 1962. Around
80 percent of these imports came from the FRG.42
The Soviets responded angrily to the pipe embargo enforced by the
US. In a speech published in the Pravda newspaper in February 1963,
Khrushchev expressed the Soviet point of view as follows: “Of course,
anything one pleases can be regarded as strategic material, even a button,
because it can be sewn onto a soldier’s pants. A soldier will not wear pants
without buttons, since otherwise he would have to hold them up with his
hands. And then what can he do with his weapon? If one reasons thus, then
buttons also are a particularly strategic material. But if buttons really had
such great importance and we could find no substitute for them, then I am
sure that our soldiers would even learn to keep their pants up with their
teeth, so that their hands would be free to hold weapons.”43
The capitalist West, as embodied by the FRG, was blamed for the
unilateral annulment of signed contracts. As a reaction, the Soviet Union
took up the production of large-diameter pipes itself. Production started
already in March 1963 in Cheliabinsk. Facilities in Novomoskovsk, Zhda-
nov (now Mariupol’), and Khartsiz’k joined in later.44 Although the Soviets
were able to produce their own large-diameter pipes, they did not, in terms
of quantity and quality, always meet their expectations.45
The embargo particularly affected the section between Kuibyshev (now
Samara) and Unecha on the Russian–Belarusian border, which had to be
constructed with 40-inch pipes.46 This section had a total length of
1275 km. By January 1, 1963, 466 km of large-diameter pipes had been
delivered. The remainder of 809 km had to be provided by the FRG
(650 km) and domestic production (159 km).47 Due to the supply shortage
created by the FRG, the opening of this section had to be postponed from
the fourth quarter of 1963 to the third quarter of 1964. To comply with
current export obligations, the Soviet Union had to find alternative ways to
ship crude oil scheduled for delivery in the beginning of 1964. The amounts
in question for Poland and the GDR were 1.17 and 2.97 million tons for
1963, respectively. The Soviet Ministry of Gas Industry (Gazprom) pro-
posed shipping these quantities by rail to the pumping station in Brodi, in
the western part of Ukraine, where the oil could be delivered through the
already existing sections via Mozyr’ and Brest to Poland and the GDR. This
proposal by Gazprom minister Aleksei Kortunov was met with disapproval
by Vartan Kalamkarov and other Gosplan members. They feared it would
cost up to ten million rubles of additional expenditure for the period of nine
334 F. FLADE
months. The Gosplan group, in turn, proposed to use the pipeline for oil
products from Kuibyshev to Briansk on the section Michurinsk–Unecha,
which ran almost parallel to unfinished Druzhba sections. In this way, the
huge cost of rail transportation could be avoided.48 In response, Gazprom
instructed its in-house institute Giprotruboprovod to conduct a technical
and economic analysis of Gosplan’s proposal. Unsurprisingly,
Giprotruboprovod reached the conclusion that this proposal would not
pay off. The shipment of 3.3 million tons of crude oil for export there
would have required the translocation of 3 million tons of white oil products
on railroads.49 In the end, the representatives from Gazprom and Gosplan
agreed to concentrate construction efforts on the section Kuibyshev–
Unecha to meet their export obligations at least in the second half of
1964, and not to use the parallel line for oil products. Aleksei Kortunov
and Gazprom had thus prevailed in the discussion.50
1966, some of the crude oil was shipped via rail or sea to importing countries
such as the GDR and Hungary, because the section between Płock and
Schwedt had not yet reached the planned capacity, and because Czechoslo-
vakia and Hungary quarreled about the use of the pipeline. This led to
increasing costs for the Soviet Union itself.58
Such problems were of minor importance compared to the CMEA
countries’ inexhaustible thirst for more energy. This development was
taken into consideration by the “general scheme” of 1959, which had
already scheduled a second line to ship ever-increasing amounts of crude
oil to Czechoslovakia, the GDR, Poland, and Hungary. Therefore, planning
for the second line started as early as 1966. Gosplan’s division for the
coordination of the Soviet national economy with socialist countries
predicted the following amounts of crude oil exports through the extended
Druzhba pipeline (Table 3). Compared to earlier predictions, the increase
was considerable and showed the significant rise of Soviet export obligations
towards its socialist partner countries.
The planning and construction of the second line was approached analo-
gously to the first one. Gosplan issued a respective “general scheme” in
November 1966; and bilateral agreements between the Soviet Union and
importing countries were signed in 1968 and 1969. This time, however,
sanctions were designated to ensure the scheme’s punctual implementation.59
Already in November 1972, the Százhalombatta refinery received the first
oil shipments; Schwedt got the second line’s first oil in May 1973.60 In an
innovative move, the Hungarian refinery and the newly constructed petro-
chemical facility in Leninváros (now Tiszaújváros) were supplied directly
from Soviet Uzhgorod through a direct branch. This solution also aimed at
avoiding further quarrels of the kind seen between Czechoslovakia and
Hungary over the first branch.
To make sure the Soviet Union could meet its growing export obliga-
tions, it constructed pipeline connections to the booming oil regions in
Western Siberia. In 1974, such a connection between Al’met’evsk and
Nefteiugansk went onstream. Neighboring Surgut was linked to the
Druzhba system by Soviet and Polish construction units, too.61 In addition,
Gosplan considered importing Iranian crude oil in order to exploit the full
capacity of the second line. Once more, Giprotruboprovod was entrusted
with the technical and economic research. Two possible routes were taken
into account: one running from the west of the Caspian Sea via Astara at the
Soviet–Iranian border to Mozyr’, another one on the eastern shore of the
Caspian Sea to Gur’ev (now Atyrau).62 Nevertheless, Gosplan itself deemed
the onshore transport from southern Iran to the Soviet Union unrealistic.
Therefore, transportation by sea across the Persian Gulf to Odessa, and
alternatively up the Danube, to refineries at Budapest and Bratislava was
recommended.63
The building of another link between the Adria and Druzhba pipelines
was decided in an agreement between Yugoslavia, Hungary, and Czecho-
slovakia in February 1974. A branch was to connect the refineries in
Százhalombatta and Bratislava with the oil terminal at Omishal’ on the
island of Krk. In this way, it would be possible to feed crude oil from the
Middle East into the Druzhba network as well as to supply Yugoslavia with
Soviet oil.64
Finally, planners contemplated extending the Druzhba pipeline further
westward through the Iron Curtain. Given its geographic proximity, linking
the Bratislava refinery to the nearby Austrian refinery in Schwechat would
have been a fairly low-cost project.65 Austria would have thereby strength-
ened its status as an energy hub between Eastern and Western Europe.
Another idea was to extend the Druzhba pipeline from Schwedt to the
northern part of the FRG. Such an offer was probably made by representa-
tives of the Mannesmann enterprise to the Soviet delegate Aleksei Kortunov
at the Tenth International Gas Congress in Hamburg in 1967. In his report,
Kortunov characterized these offers as “serious suggestions, which deserve
thorough analysis on the part of the Soviet Union.”66 Nevertheless, those
plans never came true.
CREATING A COMMON ENERGY SPACE: THE BUILDING OF THE DRUZHBA OIL. . . 337
CONCLUSION
Despite all the minor problems related to the construction and exploitation
of the Druzhba pipeline, its political and economic significance is beyond
doubt. Especially for energy-importing countries such as Czechoslovakia,
the GDR, Hungary, and Poland, economic factors were certainly in the
foreground. That is not to say that politics did not use this project to
celebrate socialist brotherhood. The choice of druzhba (“friendship”) as
the pipeline’s official name indicates that propagandistic aspects were also
taken into account. Moreover, the naming implies a kind of relationship
that was believed to exceed solely material considerations. But the mere
need for ever-increasing energy imports, especially crude oil, made this
project an attractive endeavor for industrialized nations such as Czechoslo-
vakia and the GDR as well as for industrializing ones like Poland and
Hungary. The further extension of the Druzhba pipeline and the realization
of other comparable or even larger projects—namely the Bratstvo, Soiuz,
and Progress pipelines—indicate that Soviet energy sources were seen as
profitable by the importing countries of the CEEC area. This became even
more important after the oil-price shocks and the considerable price
increases on global markets in 1973/74 and again after 1979. Due to an
elaborate mechanism to calculate oil prices in the internal bloc trade, these
price explosions reached Eastern Europe only with a delay of about three to
five years. When they hit the region in the first half of the 1980s, they hit it
hard. Unlike their Western counterparts, socialist economies were unable to
react to the price developments by improving their energy efficiency.
Accounting only for oil prices does not yet reveal the whole picture, how-
ever. Due to the highly complicated mechanisms of socialist foreign trade
and the inconvertibility of East European currencies, the calculation of net
benefits is a tricky problem. A great number of Western experts have
struggled with this task for several years and have not yet reached a clear
conclusion.67
For the Soviet Union, the Druzhba pipeline was the beginning of long-
term oil supply to its East European allies, which continues until today.68 As
a result, the Soviet Union undertook a commitment toward its satellites,
who in a fundamental way became dependent on Soviet energy imports.
The extent to which this dependence was consciously caused by the Soviet
leadership is hard to tell; it is very difficult to gain access to valid archive
material about political and strategic considerations of the Soviet political
leadership. At the time, energy dependence, which is a pivotal issue in
338 F. FLADE
NOTES
1. Western studies: Alexander Uschakow, Der Rat f€ ur gegenseitige
Wirtschaftshilfe, COMECON, Dokumente zum Ostrecht
2 (Cologne: Wissenschaft und Politik, 1962), 38–43; Rolf C. Ribi,
Das Comecon: Eine Untersuchung u€ber die Problematik der
wirtschaftlichen Integration sozialistischer L€ ander (Zurich:
Polygraphischer Verlag, 1970), 402–6; Jochen Bethkenhagen,
“Die Zusammenarbeit der RGW-Länder auf dem Energiesektor,”
Osteuropa Wirtschaft 22, 2 (1977), 63–80; Dieter Mentz and
Joachim Pfeffer, Die rechtliche Regelung der internationalen
Energiebeziehungen der RGW-L€ ander (Munich: Saur, 1982),
162–4. Studies published in Eastern Europe: Kornijenko, A., “Die
Erd€olleitung ‘Druschba’ in Betrieb,” Aussenhandel 7 (1973),
13–14; Elizaveta Boltalina, “Iarkii primer bratskogo
sotrudnichestva,” in Ekonomicheskoe Sotrudnichestvo Stran-Chlenov
3 (1975), 68–70; Margot Hegemann, Kurze Geschichte des RGW
(Berlin: Deutscher Verlag der Wissenschaften, 1980), 130–9;
CREATING A COMMON ENERGY SPACE: THE BUILDING OF THE DRUZHBA OIL. . . 339
Suvi Kansikas
INTRODUCTION
In February 1975, the executive committee of the Council for Mutual
Economic Assistance (CMEA) decided—acting on a Soviet request—to
change its foreign trade price formation mechanism with immediate effect.
This was one year before the end of the five-year plan (1971–1976).
Although such major changes before the end of the plan period were
unusual, in the aftermath of the October 1973 oil crisis, this seemed like a
reasonable policy for the Soviet leadership to pursue. With skyrocketing
S. Kansikas (*)
Department of Political and Economic Studies, University of Helsinki, Helsinki,
Finland
world market prices for oil, the existing price system, in place since 1958,
had become highly unfavorable to the Soviet Union as the main energy
exporter in the CMEA area. While the fixed-price system had brought the
Soviet Union considerable profits in the 1950s—some estimates show an
extra gain of around $17 billion during the 1950s—the tables were turned
in the 1960s.2
By 1975, Soviet economists and policy-makers were discontent with
CMEA pricing and had already been pushing for the price change for a
decade. In the late 1960s, the Soviet leadership even tried to introduce this
change for the new five-year plan of 1971, but the effort failed. Given the
huge power asymmetry in Soviet–East European relations, it is crucial to
analyze why the Soviet Union was unable to use its power position and
modify the pricing system.
In this chapter, Cold War politics and the ensuing need to safeguard bloc
coherence is seen as a key factor restraining Soviet actions vis-a-vis its allies.
This study is the first one to set the intra-CMEA trading system into a Cold
War framework and analyzes the ways in which the trade created intra-bloc
rivalry.3 It is argued here that, on the one hand, Soviet oil and gas financed
the economic system of the socialist bloc. On the other hand, however,
energy resources also fueled the pattern of interdependency in both East–
East and East–West trade. The extent of interdependency created through
the energy trade during the 1970s became clear in the mid-1980s, when
socialist countries ran into economic difficulties just as the world market
price for oil began to plummet. By the late 1980s, Soviet allies had become
hugely indebted to Western creditors, and the Soviet Union was now both
unwilling and unable to assist them economically. The empire had become a
liability.4
The central institutions that held together the socialist bloc, such as
ideology and mutual trade, were challenged by centrifugal forces resulting
from trading with, and later lending from, capitalist countries. The Soviet
Union had initially wanted to increase intra-CMEA trade to secure the
necessary imports of consumer goods and manufactures from East
European producers. But as détente opened more trade prospects in the
West, and, in particular, created the possibility to earn hard currency from
energy exports, Moscow began to push its allies to find alternative sources of
energy. To finance the growing volumes of these imports, the East
Europeans needed to increase their exports to the West.
The issue was problematic not just because of the prospect risk of
ideological degradation, but also for economic reasons. The allies’ options
CALCULATING THE BURDEN OF EMPIRE: SOVIET OIL, EAST–WEST TRADE. . . 347
for earning hard currency with which raw material could be bought from
other sources were suddenly diminishing. Their major West European trade
partners, the members of the European Community (EC), started to imple-
ment new trade policies. The EC’s Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) and
Common Commercial Policy (CCP) launched in the 1960s would soon
restrict East European exports into the Common Market. This had political
implications: the CMEA and its members did not acknowledge that Brussels
had authority over EC member states’ trade policy. Until they did, they
were unable to negotiate new trade agreements, while the existing ones
would nonetheless soon expire.
Records of the CMEA Executive Committee meetings show that the
1975 price change was tightly connected to the socialist countries’ relations
with the EC. At this very time, the EC was planning to increase protectionist
measures in trade with non-members, which would limit the CMEA coun-
tries’ access to its markets. The Soviet leadership needed its allies to first
secure their exports to the Common Market before it could push for the
price change and, in effect, demand a higher price for its oil deliveries.5
Even though the Soviet Union was the only major oil exporter in the
CMEA, energy was not an easy weapon to be used in exploiting or control-
ling the allies.6 Soviet intra-bloc and international trade politics became
entangled due to the fact that one central item—Soviet oil—was in high
demand in both the socialist and the capitalist markets. This entwinement
was echoed in CMEA discussions as well. While the Soviet Union intensi-
fied its efforts to change the mechanism of energy price formation and the
composition of its trade, the East European allies pushed to change the
council’s policy on the outside world, particularly the EC. In the Cold War
context, these issues were of crucial importance for foreign policy. A deci-
sion to change the price system could only be made via the multilateral
CMEA forum and had to consider constraints created by global
developments.
The essay starts by analyzing the CMEA’s negotiations on price change at
the turn of the 1970s, which is an important time period due to several
simultaneous, albeit not clearly interrelated developments: the post-Bretton
Woods development of finance capitalism; détente, which gave a boost to
East–West trade; the first oil crisis in 1973/74, which showed the socialist
bloc’s exposure to world market fluctuations; and the failed attempt at
socialist integration, which consequently led to the socialist countries’
decision to turn to import-led growth, an economic model of moderniza-
tion based on credits.7
348 S. KANSIKAS
It is argued here that the Soviet leadership continued to subsidize its allies
via cheap oil deliveries only as long as it considered the alliance to be its
number one priority. This ceased to be the case at the end of the 1980s. In a
radical change of priorities, the Soviet leadership no longer considered the
East European part of its empire to be paramount—not if harmonious inter-
bloc relations constituted an obstacle to a rapprochement with the West,
nor if they came at the expense of the wellbeing of Soviet society.8 The
dissolution of the Soviet bloc in late 1989 can partly be explained by the
Soviet Union’s decision—due to the external shock created by a drop in oil
export revenues—no longer to support its alliance.
were not reached because East European economies were unable to pro-
duce saleable produce to be imported and lacked foreign currency to make
purchases in the West. There were obstacles for the West, too: West
European importers had to obtain import licenses, arrange export credits,
or enter into barter arrangements for most of the commodities.19
Even so, the West’s interest in continuing trade agreements with the
CMEA countries should not be underestimated. Because of the socialist
state monopoly on foreign trade, the only way to access Eastern markets was
through government-to-government agreements. Also, the planned econ-
omy model made them quite stable and thus profitable trade partners.20
Most importantly, the Soviet Union was becoming an interesting alternative
source of energy.21
As détente eased East-West relations, Soviet foreign policy started to
change. Due to increased demand in the West, the Soviet Union gained
other profitable markets for its energy besides the market covered by the
CMEA. Therefore, it sought to revise the terms of trade on which it
supplied its allies with raw materials. Moreover, it started to push CMEA
partners to find alternative sources of energy. In fact, the allies themselves
also wanted to reduce their dependency on Soviet raw materials, hoping this
would allow them to loosen the strict coordination of economic planning
and trade more freely with the West.
The problem was, of course, that the new Soviet goals contradicted the
old ones: if the allies were to buy their energy from other sources, they would
need to increase their hard currency exports, that is trade with the
non-socialist world. But where would the Soviet Union get the much-
needed manufactured goods if its allies turned to trade with the West? And
how could they ensure this trend would not weaken ties within the bloc?
Increased collaboration with the West was a problematic topic. On the
one hand, the Soviet leadership wanted to increase trade with the West; on
the other hand, it needed to control the foreign trade policies of CMEA
members. The situation, as they soon were forced to acknowledge, was
influenced by developments outside their bloc, and processes outside their
control required that the intra-CMEA trade policy be adjusted. In the late
1960s, access to the EC market was becoming much harder for the
Soviet allies. The integration process in the EC was advancing rapidly: the
CAP was launched in 1965, and in June 1968, the EC established its
Customs Union ahead of schedule. The implementation of its CCP was
to start in 1970. The CCP transferred authority over the member states’
foreign trade policy to the community. This meant the socialist countries
352 S. KANSIKAS
CMEA states. Trying to correct the trade flows, they often pressured their
allies in negotiations.28
As the negotiations for the Comprehensive Program continued, how-
ever, the East Europeans began voicing dissenting ideas. The Soviet lead-
ership was forced to acknowledge that its allies’ needs differed considerably
from its own. More industrialized countries such as Czechoslovakia, the
GDR, Hungary, or Poland were interested in production specialization,
deeming it profitable in terms of exports and investment costs. CMEA
mechanisms were to be used for maximizing the member states’ benefits
from trade and cooperation.29
Expanding foreign trade relations, especially with the capitalist world,
nonetheless posed both structural and political problems. This form of
trade, based on hard currency, had to be planned separately from bilaterally
balanced trade. Politically, the EC’s increasing authority and prestige was
becoming a challenge to the unity of the bloc and the Soviets’ role in it. The
EC was becoming a prospective and attractive trade partner for some
CMEA countries; many of them had strong economic motives to take up
negotiations. Securing the bloc’s internal economic policy became crucial
for the Soviet Union to ensure that none of its allies unilaterally breached
the policy of nonrecognition of the EC. The high politics of the Cold War
thus made a dramatic entry to intra-CMEA trade policy discussions at the
turn of the 1970s.
rising on the world market. It received Poland’s support,31 which so far had
mostly pushed for liberalization measures the Soviet leadership had
opposed. Poland’s reasoning for supporting the Soviet proposal was related
to the prices of one of its major export items: coal.32 Nevertheless, the
opposition from a majority of CMEA members made it clear that the issue
would not be settled in line with the Soviet requests. One could argue that
Poland’s support might also have been a tactical move to gain some political
capital for pushing through its other interests.
In July 1970, everyone else wanted to keep the old system. The Soviet
Union was opposed even by the GDR, which was otherwise a loyal ally. In
his report to the SED Politburo, the East German representative, Gerhard
Weiss, said he had argued that maintaining the current system was in the
GDR’s economic interest: “[A]ny change would lead to significant negative
effects for our economy.”33
The issue clearly highlighted the diversity of national interests amongst
CMEA members. Even the GDR, which was politically dependent on the
Soviet Union, had come to oppose Soviet goals: political loyalties were
overruled by economic needs.
The Comprehensive Program, the socialist community’s long-term eco-
nomic plan, was finally adopted at the CMEA’s twenty-fifth session in
Bucharest in the summer of 1971. The Program was a hundred-page report
on practically all aspects of economic life. Nevertheless, many issues were
left unresolved, and it was possible to regard it as a compromise solution.
The mechanisms and measures of integration, for instance, were still quite
ambiguously formulated and needed more specification in the years to
come. On relations with the outside world, particularly the EC, the program
was rather evasive. With regard to pricing, the program stated only that
“[b]efore the end of 1972, the CMEA member countries shall, according
to a coordinated program, make a comprehensive study of questions related
to the improvement of the system of foreign trade pricing.”34
Since it was not yet possible to protect the CMEA countries’ economic
relations through a common trade policy, changing the foreign trade pric-
ing system had to be postponed as well. The year 1972, which the Com-
prehensive Program had set as a deadline for the working group on foreign
trade pricing, ended without results. None of the minutes of the executive
committee’s meeting from that year show any progress.
This lack of progress agitated the Soviet leadership. At the plenary
session of the CPSU’s CC in April 1973, Brezhnev noted some positive
development in CMEA affairs such as the increase of its international
356 S. KANSIKAS
authority: Cuba had joined in 1972, and Finland—as the first market
economy country—was about to sign a cooperation agreement.35 Iraq
had also announced its interest in cooperating with the CMEA.36
Still, Brezhnev went on to criticize the CMEA at length. The Soviet
leadership was not satisfied with its work—progress in industrial integration
and other economic fields was too slow. The main concern was that the
Soviet Union was not receiving enough economic benefits from CMEA
cooperation. According to Brezhnev, the Comprehensive Program had set
out ten projects to be established on the territory of the Soviet Union, but
only one of these was actually being developed. This was clearly not enough,
and CMEA cooperation would have to be improved.37
In September 1973, less than half a year after the CMEA had been
reprimanded by Brezhnev, the executive committee convened for a meet-
ing in Moscow. Pricing was again on the agenda. Representatives of all the
member states, with the exception of the Soviet Union, emphasized the
need to continue using the foreign trade price mechanism in force since
the Bucharest session in July 1958. Furthermore, Bulgaria again requested
that prices for agrarian products be considered separately as a special
issue—a topic it had brought up on several occasions before.38
After a lengthy discussion, the executive committee decided to dissolve
the existing CMEA working group on prices and instead established a new
independent organ, the regular meetings of the directors of the national
pricing offices. It also directed the Standing Commission on Foreign Trade
to prepare an analysis on how to improve the price system. The Soviet
representative, Mikhail Lesechko, made it very clear that he only accepted
the decision because all others were in favor of the agreement. But he did
not hide his disappointment with the decision and eventually demanded
that rules be set out for the new organ. He required that the work of this
new organ be bound by all resolutions and materials already accepted by the
executive committee.39 Lesechko sought to tie the new body to CMEA
mechanisms, probably to retain control over its work. The result was,
however, that CMEA pricing would not be a regular issue on the executive
committee’s agenda during 1974, because it was already being tackled by
two other bodies. Moreover, the CMEA’s economic technocrats were now
in charge of the task instead of party officials from the member states.
During 1974, the CMEA also made progress on the other front
concerning its relations with the EC. It had in fact established the first
unofficial contact with the EC in August 1973. With a mandate from the
member states, CMEA Secretary Nikolai Fadeev made a private visit to
CALCULATING THE BURDEN OF EMPIRE: SOVIET OIL, EAST–WEST TRADE. . . 357
Denmark, the presiding chair of the EC’s Council of Ministers. Fadeev was
charged with finding out whether the EC was indeed interested in opening
a dialog, preferably on a government-to-government level.40
It took over a year and another approach by the CMEA towards the EC
before the road was cleared for a meeting of the two organizations. In
September 1974, Fadeev invited the president of the EC commission,
François-Xavier Ortoli, to begin preliminary talks with the CMEA in Mos-
cow. He underlined the CMEA’s openness to establish a contact with the
EC. Eventually he received a positive reply.41
The meeting took place in Moscow February 2–4, 1975. On the EC side,
the delegation was led by the general director for foreign relations, Edmund
Wellenstein; the CMEA delegation was led by the director of the foreign
trade department, Viacheslav Moiseenko. Although the CMEA had been
preparing for this meeting since 1969, the parties did not get past discussing
procedural issues regarding possible next negotiations. Their demands and
goals were too diverse.42 The executive committee meeting that had taken
place two weeks in advance of the CMEA–EC meeting had not even
discussed the EC delegation’s visit. What it did deliberate, however, was
the Soviets’ request to change prices within the CMEA. They wanted to
raise most, if not all, of the prices at which they exported raw materials to
CMEA partners.43
This was in fact what the executive committee ultimately decided to do,
and the changes took effect immediately. This meant that during 1975, the
price of Soviet crude petroleum would more than double. According to
contemporary analysts of CMEA affairs, what was surprising was not so
much the decision itself, but its timing. It came a year earlier than expected:
so far, the established rule had been that prices were fixed for the entire
period of the five-year plan.44
The decision entailed two significant changes in the Bucharest formula.
First, the method of selecting the years to be used as reference points was
modified. Second, the period of validity of the prices was shortened. From
1975 onwards, the five-year average of prices for a particular commodity
would be valid for one year only. This attainment notwithstanding, the price
change did not diminish the Soviet requirement for its customers to con-
tribute their share of the costs of raw material extraction before it would
consent to increase its deliveries.45
358 S. KANSIKAS
In April 1973, in his address to the plenary session of the CPSU’s CC cited
above, Brezhnev had underlined problems integral to Cold War trade
politics. This was the first time these problems had been brought into the
open in such a forum and in such detail: the Soviet leader’s report was aimed
not only at the Soviet party members, but also at the numerous represen-
tatives of fraternal countries present at the plenary session in Moscow. He
addressed many problems in trade relations between the socialist countries
themselves, as well as between members of the two opposing Cold War
blocs. As Brezhnev noted, in a globalizing world economy, these issues were
becoming interlinked.46
In his report, Brezhnev made two remarks that reveal a lot about Soviet
considerations on international trade and the country’s role in the global
market. Firstly, he quite blatantly admitted that the Soviet Union and its
allies were unable to finance all the projects they needed. Cooperation with
the West in the form of so-called compensation deals47 might allow them to
construct important projects on the basis of foreign loans and equipment.
He strongly advocated an increase of foreign trade with the non-socialist
world, which, according to him, might prove to be a means of inducing
economic growth in the Soviet Union and the CMEA member states: “We
can save much time and energy if we import the necessary equipment and if
we use the experience of the world. These are the reasons why we are
interested in advancing foreign economic relations.”48
Another acknowledgement in Brezhnev’s report was that as the leader of
the socialist bloc, the Soviet Union could not concentrate solely on pursu-
ing its national interests. Brezhnev stated that there was a crucial foreign
policy aspect to the Soviet role as a bloc leader: “If our partners cannot solve
their problems in economic cooperation with the Soviet Union, they are
forced to increase their relations with the West. This is why the significance
of economic questions in our relations with the socialist countries will
continue to increase.”49
These two quotes on Soviet foreign trade policy considerations show that
by 1973, the Soviet Union had come to accept its allies’ dependency on the
capitalist market and their commitment to continue trading with the West.
The Soviet leadership also understood that the dependency of the allies on
Soviet energy was a double-edged sword. If they were to remain tied to
intra-bloc trade, the allies could continue to request economic assistance
CALCULATING THE BURDEN OF EMPIRE: SOVIET OIL, EAST–WEST TRADE. . . 359
from the Soviet Union. The unintended consequences of the push for the
allies to diversify their trade relations were a simultaneous weakening of
links holding the bloc together and, for Moscow’s allies, a greater depen-
dence on, and later indebtedness to, the Western partners.
The strength of the Soviet alliance was tested in the beginning of the
1980s when Poland neared insolvency as a result of its strategy of import-led
growth. As records of the CPSU CC Politburo discussions in 1980 and
1981 show, the Soviet Union not only gave Poland economic assistance in
the form of increased oil deliveries and, even more concretely, money, but it
also pleaded with the other CMEA members to join efforts to help Poland
in its distress.
The CPSU CC Politburo session on October 31, 1980 discussed the
Polish economic situation based on information from the Polish United
Workers’ Party. As Brezhnev noted, Poland’s economy was “directly
dependent on the West,” because all imports crucial to the functioning of
its domestic market were already obtained on credit. The Polish feared that
these credits might not be extended if the country stopped servicing the
foreign debt, which was already approaching $500 million. The Polish
comrades thus requested Soviet assistance worth $150 million.50
Despite its own economic problems, the Soviet Union felt obliged to
provide this aid to its ally, but it did not have the resources to do so on its
own. Brezhnev therefore turned to his comrades to ask for a helping hand.
Even though the Soviet Union would “assume the main burden in this
matter,” the allies would be asked to contribute as well: “We propose to
reduce oil shipments somewhat to a number of countries in the socialist
commonwealth. This oil will be sold on the capitalist market, and the hard
currency revenues will be transmitted to Poland in the name of the
corresponding countries. This will enable Poland to alleviate its critical
financial situation and to purchase certain vitally necessary products and
other goods.”51
Consequently, the CPSU Politburo decided to reduce oil shipments to
Hungary, Bulgaria, the GDR, and Czechoslovakia on November 28, 1980
to provide additional aid to Poland.52 Nonetheless, Poland’s economy
continued to deteriorate. By March 1981, Poland’s debt to Western
creditors had risen to $23 billion, its critical imports to $9.5 billion, its
debt payoffs to $1.5 billion, and the amount of assistance requested from
the Soviet Union to $700 million.53 To help its allies, the Soviet Union
decided to sell Poland 13 million tons of oil originally intended for other
markets at a price per barrel that was 80 rubles below the world market
360 S. KANSIKAS
price. Although the decision was not questioned in the Soviet Politburo,
one member noted that “[w]e could have sold all this oil for hard currency,
and our earnings would have been enormous.”54
By late 1981, the Soviet leadership had come to view this brotherly aid
more critically. This was largely due to the Polish leadership’s indecisiveness
on taking harsher measures against the Solidarity movement, but also
because Poland did not seem to make all necessary efforts to improve the
functioning of its economy. The Polish industry was not even close to
fulfilling its plans, while at the same time the country’s request for assistance
had already reached $1.5 billion. As Politburo member Konstantin Rusakov
concluded, the quantity of goods delivered to Poland should not exceed the
level delivered the previous year, because even those amounts could be met
“only by drawing on state reserves or at the expense of deliveries to the
internal market.” The Politburo echoed Rusakov’s stance: “We must be
concerned above all with our own country and about the strengthening of
the Soviet Union. That is our main line.”55
The consensus on providing economic aid to the allies prevailed through
the first part of the 1980s. One of the Politburo members who had
discussed the critical economic situation during the Polish crisis was Mikhail
Gorbachev, who took office as general secretary of the CPSU in March
1985, and who became the first leader of the Soviet Union to question the
need to hold on to the Soviet Union’s European outer empire at any cost.
By the end of the decade, the willingness to continue privileging Eastern
Europe at the cost of the USSR’s economic interests was gone. In January
1987, the CPSU Politburo for the first time suggested that it was not in the
Soviet interest to be held responsible for what was happening in Eastern
Europe.56 A year later, Gorbachev complained that a number of socialist
countries had gone into debt and that they kept living off subsidies provided
at the expense of the Soviet Union. This system of exploitation needed to
come to an end: “It has become unbearably hard for us to conduct business
as we have been doing in previous decades. The comprehensive program is
dead.”57
As a result of the fourfold drop in oil prices, a simultaneously diminishing
oil output, and the increasing burdens of empire, the Soviet Union was both
unable and unwilling to continue subsidizing its allies. As Gorbachev con-
cluded in a Politburo session in March 1988, in relations with the CMEA,
“we must first take care of our own people.”58
CALCULATING THE BURDEN OF EMPIRE: SOVIET OIL, EAST–WEST TRADE. . . 361
CONCLUSION
This chapter has focused on the issue—addressed by Valerie Bunce as early
as 1985—at what point in time the Eastern European part of the Soviet
Union’s empire turned from an asset into a liability.59 Since the mid-1960s
Soviet economists and planners had been reporting to the leadership that
the country was incurring significant losses in foreign trade with CMEA
partners. But the Soviet Union continued to provide economic assistance to
its allies for two more decades, even though the amounts involved had
become unbearable considering the poor state of its own economy.
One of the problems, which had been debated in Soviet economic
journals since the mid-1960s, was the composition of its foreign trade:
exports to its allies in Eastern Europe consisted of raw materials, particularly
oil and gas, which were referred to in socialist terminology as “hard goods.”
In return, it received manufactured products, “soft goods,” usually of
sub-par quality. As Soviet raw materials could have been sold on Western
markets for hard currency, its trade with CMEA partners was unsatisfactory.
Another problem was the price formation mechanism in intra-CMEA trade;
and the third was that the allies did not share the costs of raw material
extraction.
The terms of intra-bloc trade left the Soviet Union unable to reap all
benefits from its Western trade. As it was not selling its raw materials to the
West, it could not acquire hard currency with which to import required
technology, manufactured goods, licenses, and the like. The losses were
considered not just in absolute terms, they were also relative. While the
Soviet Union had to restrain itself when it came to imports from the West,
its allies were at the same time growing increasingly dependent on them. To
alter the situation, the Soviet leadership had sought to change the CMEA
price mechanism since the 1960s; it only succeeded in doing so in 1975.
While the first oil crisis in 1973/74—and the rise in oil prices several
times over—finally sealed the Soviet determination to switch to a new
pricing formula, its first effort to change the CMEA price mechanism had
been frustrated by its allies’ objections. The allies were able to oppose Soviet
aims for a while because the Soviet leadership remained hesitant to push for
a change even at the expense of its own interests. Even after the Soviet
efforts had finally succeeded, its allies were at the same time given a green
light to increase their trade with Western partners.
Despite Soviet counter-arguments, the East Europeans had even lobbied
to include establishing contacts with the EC on the CMEA agenda. The
362 S. KANSIKAS
Soviet leadership was against any rapprochement, but since the allies’
predicament was growing worse in the face of growing EC protectionism
and it installed higher prices for its energy exports, it ultimately accepted to
opening up to the EC as a compromise. Due to the failure of the simulta-
neous effort at CMEA integration, the socialist countries de facto opted for
a growth strategy based on foreign imports rather than modernization
based on their own strength.
Instead of gaining a stronger position within its bloc, the Soviet Union
ended up observing its allies grow indebted to Western creditors. By 1988,
the total volume of the socialist countries’ debt to the West had reached a
staggering $206 billion.60 The Polish Crisis of 1980–1981 was the last in
which the Soviet leadership decided to assist an ally in overcoming its
economic distress. By the late 1980s, all of the socialist countries were
facing economic turmoil, and intra-CMEA trade was consequently on the
verge of collapse. As CPSU Politburo discussions show, the Soviet leaders
had by then already started to think about saving their own country first,
even at the cost of letting the empire go.61
Negotiations within the CMEA shed more light on the debate about the
so-called “energy weapon” and Moscow’s ability to use its raw materials
trade as a tool of foreign policy. The CMEA price change of 1975, intended
to boost Soviet economic growth, had failed. In fact, there was no real
energy weapon to be used to pressure the allies into obedience. The Soviet
Union was just as dependent on its allies buying its resources as they were on
the bloc leader selling them cheap oil. The East Europeans resorted to
Soviet help because it was economically beneficial for them, and the Soviet
Union continued to assist its partners because it felt obliged to support its
alliance. As Eastern Europe became indebted to the West, it dragged the
Soviet Union down with it.
In studying the dissolution of the Soviet Union and its bloc, it is neces-
sary to consider multiple intertwined internal and external pressures. The
economic collapse, as this analysis has shown, was a result of the socialist
countries’ unproductive domestic and regional economic policies and their
systemic inability to adapt to the developments of the global economy. East
European and Western leaders alike believed that the Soviet Union would
continue to subsidize its allies and help them survive the economic difficul-
ties resulting from indebtedness to Western creditors. It seems that when
the Soviet leadership finally reassessed its alliance policies during the Gor-
bachev era, the conclusions drawn and the measures taken were too meager
and they came too late to save the Soviet economy from collapsing. If there
CALCULATING THE BURDEN OF EMPIRE: SOVIET OIL, EAST–WEST TRADE. . . 363
is one thing the CMEA failure should teach Moscow leaders today, it is that
keeping together an economically nonviable empire—and relying on export
earnings from as volatile a commodity as oil—comes at a very high price.
NOTES
1. Rossiiskii gosudarstvennyi arkhiv noveishei istorii (Russian State
Archive of Contemporary History, RGANI), f. 2, op. 3, d. 292,
l. 54, Aprel’skii Plenum Tsentral’nogo Komiteta KPSS-a, L. I.
Brezhnev, “O mezhdunarodnoi deiatel’nosti TsK KPSS po
osushchesvleniu reshenii XXIV s”ezda partii,” 1973. All quotes
from archival sources are the author’s translations.
2. Ivan Berend, An Economic History of Twentieth-Century Europe:
Economic Regimes from Laissez-Faire to Globalization (Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 2006), 166–8. Intra-CMEA trade was
based on bilateral agreements and administratively set prices; its
pricing system was unique in international trade. In 1950, all prices
had been fixed to world price levels of that year and remained
unchanged until 1957. In 1958, the CMEA adopted the so-called
“Bucharest formula;” henceforth, prices were adjusted every fifth
year to the average of the world market prices of the previous five
years. Those prices then remained unchanged for five years through-
out the whole CMEA.
3. For instance, a 1996 study by Randall Stone, which is still considered
a good source on intra-bloc trade, does not discuss East–West trade
at all. Randall W. Stone, Satellites and Commissars: Strategy and
Conflict in the Politics of Soviet-Bloc Trade (Princeton: Princeton
University Press, 1996).
4. Valerie Bunce, “The Empire Strikes Back: The Transformation of
the Eastern Bloc from a Soviet Asset to a Soviet Liability,” Interna-
tional Organization 39, 1 (1985), 1–46.
5. The two organizations met for the first time in February 1975, but
official relations between the CMEA and the EC were established
only in 1988.
6. For more discussion of the energy weapon, see Margarita
Balmaceda, The Politics of Energy Dependency: Ukraine, Belarus
and Lithuania Between Domestic Oligarchs and Russian Pressure
(Toronto: University of Toronto Press, 2013) and Per H€ogselius,
364 S. KANSIKAS
22. The EC twice postponed the implementation of its CCP vis-a-vis the
socialist bloc, in 1969 and in 1972. Romano, “Untying Cold War
Knots,” 164–5.
23. OSA, Records of Radio Free Europe, HU OSA 300-8-3-3662, “A
few current problems of Hungarian economic policy,” May 8, 1968
(Remarks on Jenő Fock’s radio and TV statement on April 23,
1968), http://hdl.handle.net/10891/osa:7152ae85-a16f-4bad-
b95a-40c936e71486.
24. Suvi Kansikas, “A Frustrated Start for CMEA Integration,” chap.
3 in Suvi Kansikas, The Socialist Countries Face the European Com-
munity: Soviet-Bloc Controversies over East-West Trade (Frankfurt am
Main: Peter Lang, 2014).
25. Stone, “The Comprehensive Program,” chap. 6 in Satellites and
Commissars.
26. Lee K. Metcalf, The Council of Mutual Economic Assistance: The
Failure of Reform, East European Monographs 485 (New York:
Columbia University Press, 1997). See esp. chap. 4, “The Issue of
Supra-National Planning.”
27. OSA, Records of Radio Free Europe, HU OSA 300-8-3-3258,
“Moscow’s Efforts to Rig Comecon Prices,” April 20, 1972,
http://hdl.handle.net/10891/osa:7cfbe7d6-b961-464c-99db-
62fe0e3325e4.
28. Stone, Satellites and Commissars, 38–9; Peter Marsh, “The Integra-
tion Process in Eastern Europe 1968 to 1975,” Journal of Common
Market Studies 14, 4 (1975), 312, fn. 1.
29. OSA, Records of Radio Free Europe, HU OSA 300-8-3-16090, “Pres-
sure for ‘Integration’ within CMEA,” June 19, 1970, http://hdl.
handle.net/10891/osa:5400eafb-5681-4691-b561-22bc9b369b52.
30. Stiftung Archiv der Parteien und Massenorganisationen der DDR
im Bundesarchiv (SAPMO-BArch), DY 30/3453, “Information
über die 48. Sitzung des Exekutivkomitees des Rates für
Gegenseitige Wirtschaftshilfe (21.-24.7.1970 Moskau),” G. Weiss
to SED Politburo, July 31, 1970.
31. SAPMO-BArch, DY 30/3453, Weiss to SED Politburo, July
31, 1970.
32. Stone, Satellites and Commissars, 120.
33. SAPMO-BArch, DY 30/3453, Weiss to SED Politburo, July
31, 1970.
CALCULATING THE BURDEN OF EMPIRE: SOVIET OIL, EAST–WEST TRADE. . . 367
58. Ibid.
59. Bunce, “The Empire Strikes Back.”
60. Gaidar, Collapse of an Empire, 127. Gaidar refers to a document in
the State Archive of the Russian Federation (Gosudarstvennyi arkhiv
Rossiiskoi Federatsii, GARF), dated July 13, 1989.
61. On this argument, see also Lorenz Lüthi’s chapter in this book.
Drifting Apart: Soviet Energy and
the Cohesion of the Communist Bloc
in the 1970s and 1980s
Lorenz M. Lüthi
INTRODUCTION
Throughout most of the Cold War, the socialist states of Eastern Europe
were highly dependent on subsidized energy supplied by the Soviet Union.
Their rapid economic development after World War II, the adoption of the
energy-hungry Soviet economic model, and the relative scarcity of their
own energy resources increased their reliance on energy deliveries to such a
degree that the Soviet Union found it progressively difficult to supply the
quantities needed.1 Nevertheless, the economic development—and, by
extension, the social peace and financial health—of the socialist East
European countries depended on annually increasing Soviet energy deliv-
eries. To a certain degree, energy formed the glue that held the Council of
Mutual Economic Assistance (CMEA) together. The exhaustion of the
Soviet capability to satisfy the ever-increasing needs in Eastern Europe in
the early 1980s, together with unrelated concurrent problems, helped to
trigger the economic disintegration of the CMEA.
Given that many archival documents in Russia, particularly for the 1970s
and early 1980s, remain inaccessible, the story told here relies on party and
government papers from the former German Democratic Republic (GDR;
East Germany). They mainly consist of reports from official CMEA meet-
ings, internal assessments, and conversations between Soviet and East
German officials. The East German archives provide us with not only a
detailed window into the situation of the GDR but also information about
other socialist states in Eastern Europe, particularly Poland, Hungary,
and—to a lesser degree—Czechoslovakia. Coincidentally, these states
formed the region that received the lion’s share of Soviet energy deliveries.
During the whole period of its existence, the CMEA suffered from an
endemic energy crisis that was related to the lopsided distribution of energy
resources within the organization’s territorial expanse. The problem was
related to recurrent Soviet production shortages and transmission bottle-
necks in all of the CMEA. By the late 1960s, this endemic crisis began to
turn into an acute crunch. The main reasons for this development were the
slowing of Soviet oil production growth and the ever-increasing energy
demands in Eastern Europe. The construction of the joint Soiuz (“Union”)
gas pipeline, completed in 1979, addressed some of these shortages. The
establishment of an integrated high-voltage electricity grid during the 1980s
was supposed to help CMEA countries to switch from fossil fuel—burning
electricity plants to nuclear power stations. However, the ambitious electricity
program was far from complete when the socialist world, and with it the
CMEA, collapsed in 1989–91.
The following pages focus mainly on multinational oil, gas, and electricity
projects within the CMEA. Coal supplies and bilateral energy projects
receive attention only when they matter to the overall story of CMEA
energy politics. Unlike oil, gas, and electricity, coal was not transported
through a dedicated and specially constructed delivery system (pipelines or
high voltage lines), but mostly by train on existing, multipurpose railroad
networks. Still, coal mattered to the cohesiveness of the CMEA in certain
periods, as, for example, during the Polish crisis in the early 1980s. Further-
more, the CMEA member states often concluded bilateral energy projects
outside of the organization’s structures; these projects will receive attention
only when they mattered to multinational projects. Many of CMEA’s
multinational projects in fact emerged in the wake of bilateral projects or
arose from their shortcomings.
DRIFTING APART: SOVIET ENERGY AND THE COHESION OF THE COMMUNIST. . . 373
model for nuclear energy production in the Soviet Union and, by extension,
in all of the CMEA.8
Energy was a central point of discussion throughout the CMEA’s exis-
tence from 1949 to 1991. Originally, though, the organization’s creation
had been a Soviet “stopgap” measure in the emerging Cold War. Iosif
Stalin’s refusal to let socialist Eastern Europe participate in the Marshall
Plan forced Moscow to implement its own economic scheme for the recon-
struction and economic development of the war-torn region.9 Proposals for
multinational solutions to energy problems appeared on the agenda as early
as the organization’s first meeting in April 1949.10 The fifth session of the
CMEA council in June 1954 discussed the creation of an integrated elec-
tricity grid, but no decisions were taken.11 In December of 1955, all
members promised to increase their national energy production in order
to remove bottlenecks in mutual supplies.12 The seventh CMEA council
session in May 1956 eventually adopted concrete measures; Poland was
tasked with developing plans and capabilities to deliver coal to the other
“people’s democracies” in socialist Eastern Europe.13
As the energy needs of the socialist states continued to increase in the
second half of the 1950s,14 the CMEA faced the problem of preventing the
emergence of future supply bottlenecks. The ninth CMEA council session
in June 1958 discussed plans for an oil pipeline from the Soviet Union to
Poland, Czechoslovakia, and East Germany.15 The following council meet-
ing in late 1958 finally decided on the construction, within five to seven
years, of an oil pipeline from the Volga region to Mazyr (Belarus), where it
split into a northern arm—via Brest to Poland and East Germany—and a
southern arm—leading to Ushgorod, where it split again into branches to
Czechoslovakia and Hungary. Connected to the domestic Soviet oil pipe-
line system, the international Druzhba (“Friendship”) oil pipeline started
operation in 1963.16
solve the acute energy problems, and that it would do so on the cheap.56
The Soviet Union hoped that any increase of electricity production in
CMEA countries in the 1980s would come exclusively from nuclear energy,
with no new power plant generating electricity on the basis of fossil fuels
necessary to be built.57 The twenty-sixth CMEA council session in July
1972 approved cooperation among member states in developing a unified
electricity supply system and introduced plans for thermal (fossil-fueled),
hydro, and nuclear electricity power plants.58 Working out the final plan for
the grid question would take yet another four years.
The thirtieth CMEA council session in July 1976 eventually adopted the
so-called “general scheme.”59 The 60-page-long document analyzed the
causes of the energy crisis (the lopsided geographical distribution of fossil
fuels within the CMEA) and advocated the construction of a unified 750-kV
grid with nuclear and other electricity power plants in various countries. The
general scheme envisaged power plant construction close to centers of
consumption (see Fig. 1). Upon its planned completion date in 1990, the
scheme would have significantly increased the share of nuclear power in the
overall mix of the CMEA’s energy consumption. Eastern European CMEA
Fig. 1 The integrated 750-kV electricity net of the CMEA for 1990 (plan from
1976) (Source: “Addendum no. 3,” no date [July 1976], BArch, DC 20/22109, 41)
380 L.M. LÜTHI
country faced four consecutive harvest failures. Not only did this circum-
stance necessitate additional food imports from the NSW on hard currency
basis, but it also led to negative ripple effects throughout the Soviet econ-
omy.65 This crisis occurred at a time when Soviet oil production—and with
it an important generator of hard currency—was on the verge of decline.66
Second, as will be shown below, the Polish crisis additionally affected the
CMEA’s economic health and overall cohesiveness. And third, a confluence
of international developments further exacerbated the situation. The
Islamic revolution in Iran in 1979 cut substantial Persian gas deliveries,
which were supposed to free up Soviet gas supplies to Eastern and Western
Europe, to the Soviet Caucasus region.67 The war between Iran and Iraq
that started in the fall of 1980 terminated oil and gas deliveries from both
countries to the Soviet Union.68 And following the Soviet intervention in
Afghanistan in late 1979, credit markets in the NSW virtually dried up for all
CMEA countries.69 East German observers in early 1981 expected interest
rates of a least 15 percent for new loans.70
By the late summer of 1981, one East European leader after another
visited Brezhnev on Crimea for their annual meetings, at a time when the
Soviet Union had reached a breaking point in its relations with the other
CMEA members. Reviewing the dire economic situation in the Soviet
Union, Brezhnev told East German leader Erich Honecker on August 3,
1981 that the Soviet Union would not be able to deliver the long-promised
amounts of oil and gas.71 Moreover, Brezhnev demanded the emergency
delivery of 300,000 tons of potatoes to the Soviet Union; the GDR even-
tually delivered even 410,000 tons by late October.72 In a letter to
Honecker from August 23, 1981, Brezhnev announced that the Soviet
Union was forced to divert oil deliveries intended for CMEA countries to
the NSW in exchange for food imports.73 The East German Politburo
discussed on September 1, 1981 what the estimated cut of 20 percent in
Soviet oil, gas, and coal deliveries for the next five years meant for the
country.74 In a letter to Brezhnev, Honecker claimed that the announced
cuts “undermined the fundamental pillars of the existence of the German
Democratic Republic.”75 Nevertheless, Brezhnev remained unmoved when
it came to the principle of energy cuts.76 Moscow eventually agreed to
reduce oil deliveries by roughly 10 percent, from 19 million tons to 17 mil-
lion tons per year.77
The Soviet Union, however, treated its socialist friends in a graduated
manner. Czechoslovakia had to adjust to a similar cut of oil deliveries.78
However, when Bulgaria’s Todor Zhivkov visited Crimea only days after
382 L.M. LÜTHI
announced to his Polish counterpart Stanisław Kania that his country had
decided to reduce raw material deliveries to Poland in the future, in retal-
iation for shortfalls in energy deliveries.94 Warsaw reassured East Berlin that
deliveries to the GDR were a top priority,95 even if it claimed it might be
forced to import coal for domestic consumption in 1981.96 Still, Poland
neither delivered at the agreed rate, nor was it able to honor its delivery
agreements later on in the year. By August 1981, the GDR assessed
that Poland had overfulfilled its annual coal deliveries to the NSW by
20 percent during the first half of the year while, at the same time, it had
failed to fulfil its annual supplies to CMEA partners by a similar rate.97 By
mid-October 1981, Poland announced to the GDR it would not honor its
contractual delivery obligations for the running year.98 After the introduc-
tion of martial law in mid-December, Warsaw even informed East Berlin
that it would deliver only 12.5 percent of the agreed amount in the first
quarter of 1982.99
energy-related expenses (in the case of the GDR, the latter amounted to
only 1 percent of the $7.7 billion debt by 1979),102 the NSW and the IIB
hard-currency debt crises became intertwined in the early 1980s.
In the summer of 1980, in the wake of strikes, the Polish Central Bank
announced to its Soviet counterpart that it was no longer able to serve the
interest payments of its $20 billion debt in the NSW, let alone to repay the
actual loans.103 In comparison, Poland had a relatively low debt of $1 billion
to CMEA financial institutions, $440 million of which were with the IIB.
Virtually all of it was related to the Soiuz project.104 On December
30, 1980, Poland failed to pay $27.5 million in interests and $32.5 million
of the scheduled debt repayment to the IIB.105 To insure its own liquidity,
the bank was forced to raise an emergency short-term credit of $32.5
million in the NSW markets—at an interest rate of 20.5 percent.106 In
March, after Poland’s debt to the NSW had reached $25 billion, the IIB
informed its members that it did not expect Poland to honor its dollar
obligations toward the CMEA bank. Thus, Polish debt to the CMEA
would increase to $660 million by late 1981 alone. In the light of tight
NSW credit markets, the IIB proposed that all member countries collec-
tively raise $700–$800 million to save the bank.107
During the debt rescheduling talks with more than 400 NSW banks in
April 1981, the 15 Western countries involved demanded that Poland
undertake an analogous rescheduling of its debt with CMEA countries.108
Nevertheless, by July, the NSW banks were offering to defer 95 percent of
the 1981 debt repayment for another four years, without demanding any
corresponding action by CMEA countries.109 The offer, however, con-
firmed Poland’s lack of credit in the NSW, which now made it even more
difficult for the IIB to raise funds and solve its own liquidity problems.110
Only after Poland had introduced martial law and was facing the danger of
credit boycott by the NSW did the GDR propose deferring the repayment
of Poland’s ruble and dollar debt to the IIB until 1985.111 But East
Germany itself balked when the IIB subsequently proposed—in view of its
own liquidity problems—that CMEA countries receiving gas through the
Soiuz pipeline should sell some of it to the NSW to help repay Poland’s
dollar debt.112 Luckily for Poland, martial law did not impede the signing of
the debt rescheduling agreement with the NSW in April 1982.113
With the IIB liquidity problem still unsolved, the Soviet Union and the
GDR tried to address Poland’s dollar debt to the CMEA bank once more in
October 1982.114 But for years, all CMEA members continued to play a
game of “chicken” with each other and with the IIB, hoping or deluding
DRIFTING APART: SOVIET ENERGY AND THE COHESION OF THE COMMUNIST. . . 385
themselves that the bank would not collapse. By 1982, however, Poland
had failed to service $315 million in annual financial obligations (interests
plus scheduled debt repayments). The IIB even expected the country to
postpone payments until 1985, increasing its arrears to $600 million or
more. The Soviet Union notified all CMEA countries in early 1983 it was
no longer willing to carry the burden of the IIB alone.115
But again, nothing happened, even after the IIB warned in October 1983
that the credit boycott of the NSW, together with the need to refinance an
unusually large number of dollar loans in 1984 and 1985, would break the
bank.116 In April 1984, the IIB decided that Poland simply had to repay its
debt, since the bank was unable to refinance itself in the NSW.117 Warsaw
responded three months later, however, with a request to reschedule its
ruble and dollar debt for another ten years.118 Eventually, the members of
the IIB agreed in October 1984 to what the NSW banks had done two and
a half years before. Still, by this point in time, the IIB had to strike a more
comprehensive deal; Poland’s complete debt (and not only the repayment
for 1981) was rescheduled for a duration of ten years (and not just four).119
Luckily, with the start of East–West rapprochement in 1985, the IIB was
able to refinance itself in the NSW on better conditions again.120 The
liquidity crisis and danger of bankruptcy had passed. But the Soiuz project
still cast a long shadow over the IIB.
The GDR pursued the solution of its own problems by turning to its
capitalist enemy-brother, West Germany, while concurrently thinking about
austerity. Assessing its own ballooning debt with the NSW in mid-August
1981, the GDR recognized that it was projected to reach 24.6 billion
Deutsche Mark (DM; $13.67 billion) by the end of the year.134 Honecker
decided to embark on “strictest savings” in the economy while pursuing a
policy of being “flexible towards the Western countries.”135 He thereby
benefitted from Brezhnev’s decision to give him the green light during the
meeting on Crimea to accept a proposal by West Germany’s Chancellor
Helmut Schmidt to meet bilaterally.136 Schmidt visited the GDR from
December 11–13, 1981, immediately before the introduction of martial
law in Poland. Discussions centered on East–West relations in general and
the idea, raised by Honecker, of an economic framework agreement between
the GDR and the European Community (EC), which the GDR would sign
despite its membership in the CMEA.137 In fact, two days before Schmidt
travelled to the GDR, he had received Wolfgang Vogel, an East German
lawyer, who had proposed the establishment of a similar bilateral GDR–FRG
framework agreement, encompassing a joint economic commission along the
lines of the Soviet–GDR model.138 After Schmidt’s departure from the GDR
on December 13, the East German leaders believed the visit had opened
many opportunities in the West and marked the beginning of a new phase in
relations with the FRG, including the possibility of a long-term trade agree-
ment.139 But none of these ideas were able to solve the debt crisis in the short
term. Neither NSW credit markets nor Soviet banks were willing to finance
East Germany’s red-ink-spilling economy.140 The German Foreign Trade
Bank (Deutsche Aussenhandelsbank, DABA) warned in mid-January 1982
that the GDR would soon follow the Polish example and become incapable
of servicing its NSW debt.141 By March, the bank started to prepare the
paperwork for an emergency bankruptcy.142
At the same time, the GDR leaders continued to pursue—unsuccessfully,
as it turned out—the idea of an economic framework agreement with
the FRG designed to raise DM 4 billion ($1.78 billion) in exchange for
concessions in economic affairs and human contacts.143 However, the
GDR also realized over the summer that the Schmidt government might
fall soon.144 Without a solution in sight, Honecker travelled in August 1982
to Crimea to demand an increase of Soviet energy and raw material deliv-
eries. He returned only with Brezhnev’s requests for more food assistance in
his hands.145
388 L.M. LÜTHI
The new West German government under Helmut Kohl, voted into
office in early October 1982, did not pursue the framework agreement.
Locked into an internal struggle over control of policy toward East Ger-
many, it provided the GDR with a DM one billion loan in mid-1983 at
virtually no political costs.146 Another DM 950 million loan followed in the
late spring of 1984.147 In a June 1984 meeting with Konstantin Cher-
nenko, Brezhnev’s indirect successor, Honecker once more raised the
issue of reversing the 1981 Soviet oil cuts. The new man in the Kremlin,
however, warned the GDR not to get involved too closely with the
“revanchist” FRG. But at that point, Moscow’s energy leverage over its
minion had vanished, and with it East Berlin’s esteem for its impotent
master.148
Given the decline in Soviet oil production in the 1980s, the superpower’s
inability to deliver more oil continued throughout the 1980s. A GDR
assessment of the overall health of the CMEA economic area in mid-1982
revealed that the economic development of its member countries was
stagnating.149 The CMEA repeatedly called for energy saving programs in
subsequent years to counter the stagnation.150 Given the general decline
of Soviet power in the late 1980s, Moscow also tried to reduce the volume
of its oil supplies to the GDR in late 1988 and early 1989—both times
without success, after facing East Germany’s panicky resistance.151 In gen-
eral, the Soviet Union was willing to compensate its inability to supply oil
with increases in gas deliveries. East European socialist countries, in turn,
had to contribute money and labor to pipeline construction in the Soviet
Union.152
By 1983, the Soviet Union envisioned that the production of electricity
(including nuclear energy) in the CMEA would be significantly accelerated
until 2000.153 But the integrated electricity grid and the joint nuclear power
program suffered from delays over the course of the 1980s. In October
1981, the Soviet energy ministry announced that Soviet nuclear power
plants would go online soon in the western part of the Soviet Union, but
criticized the slow development of the 750-kV lines in Eastern Europe.154
A month later, the Soviet government had to renege on earlier promises
to provide all participating CMEA countries with control systems for
nuclear power plants due to production bottlenecks.155 Eventually, by
early 1983, the 750-kV section from the Soviet Union to Poland became
operational.156 In December 1985, the CMEA reconfirmed its strategy of
using nuclear energy to solve its energy problems.157 The Chernobyl disas-
ter on April 26, 1986, which involved a plant essential to the integrated
DRIFTING APART: SOVIET ENERGY AND THE COHESION OF THE COMMUNIST. . . 389
grid, did not shake the CMEA’s nuclear convictions.158 Anyway, the joint
program had already fallen so far behind schedule by 1987 that it had to be
extended for another decade until 2000.159
By 1988, the Soviet domestic reform spirit reached the CMEA as well.
The Soviet Union now heavily criticized the general lack of integration and
functionality of the whole organization. At the forty-fourth CMEA council
session in early July, Soviet representatives criticized that most members
were neither fulfilling their obligations nor implementing the council’s
decisions.160 Moscow was obviously losing patience. Instead of
implementing ambitious, integrated plans, it now pushed to create a free
market within the CMEA that would help resolve problems by itself.161
This new approach followed a CMEA agreement with its long-time capi-
talist enemy, the EC, to establish formal relations in late June 1988.162 But
none of these last-minute changes had any impact on the CMEA. Within a
period of only three years, the organization and its ambitious energy plans
would become history.
CONCLUSION
Even though the Soviet Union had become the world’s largest oil and gas
producer by 1980, it was unable to satisfy its own energy needs and those of
its empire in Eastern Europe.163 In many respects, it was the victim of its
own Cold War policies. The disintegration of the socialist countries from
the global economy forced the Soviet Union to assume the lead in their
economic development. Although they benefited from the Soviet “solidar-
ity” by way of subsidized energy deliveries, they showed little mutual
solidarity themselves in times of crisis. This system of de facto transfers of
economic assets worked as long as the Soviet Union was able to supply the
resources, while keeping its own economy at an operational minimum.
Once economic problems simultaneously hit the core and the periphery of
the Soviet empire, the whole house collapsed.
The energy sector was partially responsible for the long-term develop-
ment of Soviet economic imperialism and its eventual decline. However,
problems in the energy sector did not directly cause the collapse of the
Soviet empire in the 1980s. On the contrary, energy was an important pillar
that kept the house standing for a long time. Economic waste and
misallocation, characteristics inherent to the Soviet model, had led to a
debt crisis in the socialist world by the late 1970s and early 1980s that
taxed the ability of that pillar to carry additional weight past its technical
390 L.M. LÜTHI
NOTES
1. The development of East German energy consumption from the
late 1940s to the early 1970s serves as a good example, see Claire
P. Doblin, “German Democratic Republic Energy Demand Data,”
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Research Mem-
orandum RM-76-43 (1976), 17–18.
2. I. Dudinskii, “The Problems of Fuels and Raw Materials in the
Comecon Countries, and the Ways to Solve it,” American Review
of Soviet and Eastern European Foreign Trade 2, 5 (1966), 19–39.
3. George W. Hoffman, “Energy Dependence and Policy Options in
Eastern Europe,” in Robert G. Jensen et al., eds., Soviet Natural
Resources in the World Economy (Chicago: University of Chicago
Press, 1983), 660.
4. Arthur A. Meyerhoff, “Soviet Petroleum: History, Technology,
Geology, Reserves, Potential and Policy,” in Jensen et al., eds.,
Soviet Natural Resources, 306–15; United States, Department of
Energy, National Energy Information Center, Annual Energy Review
(Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, 2009), 314.
5. “Dear Comrade Honecker,” March 3, 1982, Bundesarchiv
(BArch), DY 30/11357, 62–3.
6. Meyerhoff, “Soviet Petroleum,” 308, 310, 314.
7. Jonathan P. Stern, “Soviet Natural Gas in the World Economy,” in
Jensen et al., eds., Soviet Natural Resources, 363–384.
8. Paul R. Josephson, Red Atom: Russia’s Nuclear Program from
Stalin to Today (Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press,
2005), 20–46.
9. Morroe Berger, “How the Molotov Plan Works,” The Antioch
Review 8, 1 (1948), 17–25; Geoffrey Roberts, “Moscow and the
Marshall Plan,” Europe-Asia Studies 46, 8 (1994), 1371–86.
10. “Protocol no. 2/1,” undated [April 1949], BArch, DC
20/22080, 1–5.
11. “Protocol no. 1/5,” undated [June 24–25, 1954], BArch, DC
20/22084, 3.
DRIFTING APART: SOVIET ENERGY AND THE COHESION OF THE COMMUNIST. . . 391
123. Vladislav M. Zubok, A Failed Empire: The Soviet Union in the Cold
War From Stalin to Gorbachev (Chapel Hill: University of North
Carolina, 2007), 51.
124. “Romania Joins IMF, First in Soviet Bloc,” Washington Post,
December 7, 1972, E1.
125. [No title], November 20, 1981, BStU, MfS HA XVIII, 16067,
51, 53.
126. “Information,” November 17, 1981, BStU, MfS HA XVIII,
16067, 64.
127. “Statement,” November 12, 1981, SAPMO-BArch, DY 30/IV
2/2.036/80, 71.
128. “Information,” November 17, 1981, BStU, MfS HA XVIII,
16067, 65.
129. “ADN-Information,” November 13, 1981, SAPMO-BArch, DY
30/IV 2/2.036/80, 84–5.
130. “Information,” November 16, 1981, SAPMO-BArch, DY 30/IV
2/2.036/80, 74.
131. “Information,” August 25, 1980, BStU, MfS HA XVIII, 18843,
21.
132. “Information,” August 23, 1980, BStU, MfS HA XVIII, 18843,
24–5.
133. “Statement,” November 12, 1981, SAPMO-BArch, DY 30/IV
2/2.036/80, 71.
134. “Information,” August 14, 1981, BStU, MfS HA XVIII, 13259,
30–5.
135. [No title], December 12, 1981, SAPMO-BArch, DY 30/25759,
47–48.
136. “Dear Mister Federal Chancellor,” undated [late August 1981],
SAPMO-BArch, DY 30/J IV 2/2A/2420, 15–18.
137. “Memory Protocol,” undated [December 1981], SAPMO-BArch,
DY 30/2408, 3–18.
138. “Conversation with the F[ederal] C[hancellor] of 12/9/1981,”
December 11, 1981, SAPMO-BArch, DY 30/2407, 60–5.
139. “On the assessment (draft),” December 30, 1981, SAPMO-
BArch, DY 30/IV 2/2.035/86, 12–22.
140. “Information,” January 22, 1982, BStU, MfS AIM 15827/89,
vol. 5, 19–22; “Information,” March 3, 1982, SAPMO-BArch,
DY 30/J IV 2/2/1936, 159.
398 L.M. LÜTHI
Margarita M. Balmaceda
This chapter tackles this issue by reviewing the essential features of the
Soviet–CMEA1 energy relationship as a system. It then focuses on the
legacies of this system for the CMEA states, the post-Soviet republics, and
Russia itself, allowing us to get a better sense of the path dependencies that
limited both the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) states’ range of energy
options in the post-1991 period and Russia’s ability use energy as a foreign
policy tool in the post-Soviet period.
While much was published on CMEA energy relations in the 1980s and
early 1990s,2 these publications did not, for obvious reasons, enjoy the
benefit of hindsight, nor could they assess the way in which the legacies of
the system affected its participants. More recent work on the region’s
energy politics has mainly concentrated on individual states, not on the
legacies of the CMEA as a system. In particular, recent work on Russia
has discussed the possible impact of Soviet-period property relations3 and
oil production legacies,4 as well as of heating and electricity distribution
networks,5 yet has largely avoided the question of the CMEA’s impacts
per se.
faced severe limitations, as there was no real energy “stick” to balance the
“carrot.” The need to keep East European regimes afloat after political
crises reduced the scope for energy-based sanctions; indeed, “after a polit-
ical crisis in an East European country, the Soviet Union was constrained to
use its energy and other resources to bail out that troubled East European
regime,”8 regardless of its degree of loyalty. In the context of a heavily
propagandized competition with the United States (US), the economic
collapse of any of these states would have been seen as a failure of the
Soviet/CMEA system as a whole.9
A third key element concerned the type of trade arrangements used.
Much of Soviet–CMEA energy trade was organized through barter
arrangements of three types: payback agreements, merchandise barter, and
gas-for-transit. Payback agreements involved the use of oil and gas supplies
to pay back CMEA states for construction services (this was the case with
the Druzhba, Orenburg, and Yamburg pipelines). Though the actual coop-
eration forms and division of labor differed from project to project, in
general, each CMEA participant “assumed complete responsibility for a
section of the pipeline”10 and was paid back in the form of gas or oil
deliveries from the respective fields. Yet there is much evidence that East
European states were not satisfied with these types of agreements, which
made collaboration with the USSR more costly and less convenient. Mer-
chandise barter, with the CMEA states supplying industrial and consumer
goods not readily available in the USSR, played an important role in energy
trade. This barter often involved “soft goods”—goods that were subpar by
Western quality standards, with little chance of being sold for hard currency
on international markets, as opposed to “hard goods,” which could be sold
at world market prices—whose sale prices to the USSR were usually set
above world market prices. In other cases, deliveries were covered by
payment in the form of transit services.
Several conclusions emerge from this brief overview. First of all, although
not imposed by the USSR outright, some of the long-term shifts in the
energy situation of the East European states (the growing role of natural
gas, for example) were the result of Soviet strategies that were aimed first
and foremost not at Eastern Europe, but at increasing exports to Western
Europe, and that were also designed to deal with Soviet domestic energy
issues such as the increasing costs of oil production. Second, despite the
stated Soviet intention to develop multilateral, CMEA-coordinated pro-
jects, relationships remained largely bilateral. Third, while energy trade
played an important role in what William M. Reisinger calls “alliance
THE FALL OF THE SOVIET UNION AND THE LEGACIES OF ENERGY. . . 405
management,”11 this did not simply mean that Moscow could easily use
hydrocarbon supplies to prod allies toward desired behavior. Flexibility in
pricing was used in a variety of ways: to reward the most loyal allies, but also
to help less supportive regimes in times of crisis. However, it was not easy to
use energy to force non-collaborative allies into compliance.
What were the effects of this system beyond 1991? These legacies created
patterns and path dependencies that continued to limit the range of energy
choices of East European states after 1991. They also affected (and some-
times limited) Russia’s ability to play a role in these countries’ energy sectors
and to use energy as a tool of foreign policy, and they affected the possibilities
open to private and semi-private Russian energy players in the region. The
next three sections focus on the legacies of the Soviet/CMEA energy system
for each of the three main types of players involved: Russia, the former CMEA
states, and the new post-Soviet states.
Barter trade, a central part of the CMEA system, also had consequences
for Russia. As barter trade continued to flourish in the Russian energy sector
and in exports to post-Soviet states, particularly in the early 1990s, it
rendered the energy trade and the respective financial flows largely
non-transparent. Trade arrangements, prices, and even trade flows them-
selves were thus hard to document. The consequence was the spreading of
semi-legal and illegal deals throughout the energy sector, from tax evasion
to asset-stripping. This became especially clear in 2001–2002 with the
unearthing of scandals surrounding Gazprom’s dealings for the benefit of
the gas trading company ITERA.
By helping to cushion the effects of untenable economic conditions, high
prices on the world’s oil and gas markets allowed the Soviet Union to delay
much-needed reforms. This connection has proved strong in the post-
Soviet period as well, when calls for the reform and de-monopolization of
the gas sector have been delayed by fears that they may negatively affect the
sector’s ability to continuously generate high revenue. This legacy affects
Russia’s energy relationship with CEE in two ways: first, because reform is
ultimately necessary for the Russian energy sector to become fully compet-
itive; and second, because one of the most significant obstacles to the CEE
states’ ability to access better energy—especially natural gas—prices has
been the continuing lack of competition in the Russian energy export
market itself. The central role of revenue raised from energy exports for
the Soviet Union not only held reforms hostage to the ups and downs of the
sector, but also kept the CEE states largely hostage to the fact that supplies
from their largest source country were monopolized by a single company.
the individual states in this region to become more and more dependent on
Soviet energy.
The lack of price competition characteristic of centrally planned econo-
mies left little space for real demand-and-supply competition between
various energy sources. Competition was additionally limited by the
regional energy companies’ monopoly on supply decisions in the areas
under their authority.15 Although there were significant changes in the
energy mix of most CMEA states, such as the greatly increased use of gas
from the 1970s onward, more often than not these changes were the result
not of real competition between fuel types, but of changing Soviet supply
and export patterns. In fact, the development of each CMEA country’s
particular energy mix was determined not only by their own stocks of
natural resources and the concrete policies followed by the leadership of
the country in question, but also by changes in Soviet energy export
priorities. In particular, two of Moscow’s initiatives had a large impact on
CMEA states’ energy mixes: the early 1970s initiative to substitute some of
the oil exported to CMEA partners by gas, so that more oil would be
available for export to Western Europe, and the building of pipelines to
export gas to Western Europe, which created incentives for the further
domestic gasification of the CEE states.
The energy roles that had evolved during the CMEA period could not be
undone overnight. In particular, the development of oil and gas pipelines
involved high sunk costs—initial investment costs recoverable only after a
project had operated successfully for years. These costs make it impossible
for a government to suddenly change its energy mix after a full-fledged
pipeline system is in place—certainly not as fast as CMEA arrangements
dissolved. The pipeline system, which had been created largely to serve the
export needs of the USSR, could not, once it was in place, be easily and
quickly reshaped nor retooled for use in a reversed direction. In addition, as
the pipeline system serving CEE countries developed in parallel to their
development into industrialized economies, the new energy mix patterns
became a central aspect of their economic growth (especially in the cases of
East Germany, Poland, Bulgaria, and the Slovak parts of Czechoslovakia).
As a result, most former CMEA states, though gas-poor, have dispropor-
tionately high levels of gas in their energy mix. High reliance on gas came
together with a set of expectations (piped-in gas supplies, reliable and
affordable residential gas heating) that have become part of the population’s
definition of welfare and, thus, limit the government’s freedom of action in
energy policies. These social aspects have many of their roots in the
THE FALL OF THE SOVIET UNION AND THE LEGACIES OF ENERGY. . . 409
members, this was even more the case for post-Soviet states. Where large
storage capacities did exist (Ukraine’s gas storage facilities, for example, are
some of the largest in Europe), they were built during the Soviet period not
as a means to guarantee the republic’s supply security, but to “park” gas for
further transit to Western Europe.
The post-Soviet states also inherited from the Soviet system infrastruc-
tural objects originally built as part of a union-wide energy system but
which, with the demise of the USSR, were left in their territories. For
example, Ukraine, Belarus, and Lithuania inherited a well-developed oil
refinery system, but these refineries could only work profitably as part of a
larger, former Soviet market that could guarantee regular crude oil supplies
from Russia and access to sales markets throughout the area. A key post-
1991 effect was the keen interest of Russian oil companies in acquiring this
infrastructure. Since a refinery’s profitability depends directly on the degree
to which its production capacity is used, the end of stable oil supplies from
Russia led to a virtual paralysis of the sector in Belarus, Ukraine, and
Lithuania. Such vulnerability also makes embargos on crude oil supply
(like the one imposed by Russia on Ukraine in the winter of 1994) an
especially effective means of exerting influence, whether for political or
economic goals. By 1999, such dependence on former union-wide supply
and sale markets and the disastrous effects of their dissolution made coun-
tries such as Ukraine especially receptive to Russian oil companies’ offers to
take over refineries in debt-for-shares deals. By 2002, most Ukrainian
refineries had come under the control of Russian oil companies; by late
2014, only two of the country’s six refineries were working. In the case of
Belarus, the key role of domestic refineries, in synergy with specific policies
pursued by the regime of Aleksandr Lukashenka, served to establish a highly
profitable relationship between Minsk and Moscow, largely based on the
Belarusian export of Russian oil refined in situ.24
In a manner similar to the case of the CMEA economies, artificially low
energy prices sheltered the economies of the energy-dependent Soviet
republics from the hard constraints of resource scarcity. The effect was
more significant in this case, however, because Soviet republics were far
less engaged with foreign markets and thus had less of an incentive to
produce internationally competitive products. In particular, former Soviet
states such as Ukraine and Belarus found themselves in a path dependency
that encouraged them to continue living according to a model of develop-
ment based on the availability of plentiful energy resources at low domestic
prices, while in reality being energy-poor states.
THE FALL OF THE SOVIET UNION AND THE LEGACIES OF ENERGY. . . 413
The legacy of an energy trade system based on artificial prices and barter
carried with it a number of problems. The persistence of barter in many
areas of energy trade after 1991 helped maintain a non-transparent envi-
ronment prone to rent-seeking. Barter practices made it more difficult to
establish the price paid for gas actually supplied, and opened the door to
misunderstandings and mutual accusations of stealing (or undersupplying)
gas from the common pipeline, as was repeatedly the case between Ukraine
and Russia. While barter was often a response to a lack of liquidity in the
market, it led to further demonetization of the energy sector and loss of
investments.
Supplied with inexpensive and plentiful fuel, the energy-dependent
Soviet republics were encouraged to develop energy-intensive industries
and to gear their economies toward a gas-based economy that largely suited
the needs of the Soviet energy export system, which created enormous
incentives to rely more and more on energy from other parts of the
USSR. In contrast to the CMEA states, here the importance of bargaining
between both sides was much more limited, with most key energy decisions
made on the basis of central planning decisions extended to the various
republics.
Another set of Soviet legacies relates to cultural and mental frameworks
regarding energy. Instead of looking at energy from a national perspective,
most economic elites in Ukraine and Belarus, for example, continued to
consider energy in Soviet Union-wide terms. They continued to see energy
inputs as basically unlimited, and continued to behave as if they lived in an
energy-rich state. Only gradually did they come to realize their countries’
poverty in energy. The second issue concerns what could be called “Soviet
energy culture.” In the same way as cheap and plentiful energy supplies
served as a bonding agent that—however inefficiently—kept the Soviet
economy together, expectations of cheap and plentiful electricity and
piped-in residential heating supplies became part of the Soviet population’s
cultural definition of welfare, and part of a minimal “social contract”
between the regime and its citizens, turning household consumers into
carriers of Soviet energy culture. As the role of ideology faded, it was this
expectation of energy-related welfare, blending into the general anticipation
of rising living standards, that became integral to the very legitimacy of
Soviet power. Even after the demise of the Soviet system, being able to
provide such services was widely perceived as a central element of the new
states’ legitimacy, with the effect that any problems with such supplies were
interpreted by the population—or instrumentalized by the opposition—as
414 M.M. BALMACEDA
serious breaches of the social contract between the state and its citizens. As
shown in the “Stop Benzin” protests in Belarus in 2011 and also the 2015
Armenian protests against residential electricity price increases, these lega-
cies also boost the ability of energy issues to mobilize broad segments of the
population in ways few other issues have been able to.25
This contributed to a situation where, for the post-Soviet states (and
especially for countries such as Belarus lacking strong and widely influential
elites articulating more identity-based sources of legitimation), the conti-
nuous provision and expansion of residential energy services, especially to the
countryside, became an important legitimation element for both the states
themselves and for their leaders.26 Implied in this unspoken social contract
was the expectation of continued affordable energy prices, which, in the case
of the Soviet legacy, could be achieved by the cross-subsidization of resi-
dential consumption by industrial consumers. Thus, a growing emphasis on
the absolute importance of low energy prices began to take shape; the rise of
such expectations to a central societal value was facilitated by the economic
crisis and high inflation in the early 1990s, which reduced household
incomes and would have made hypothetical cost-covering, inflation-
indexed energy prices even less affordable for the average household. This
had important effects in both the short and medium term: an excessive focus
on sustaining low energy prices in the short term served to exclude some
policy options from the discussion and made others much more attractive.
Low residential prices insulated consumers from the worst effects of energy
dependency on Russia and “made diversification policies, more expensive in
the short term, hard to sell politically.”27
The impact of Soviet energy legacies went beyond energy and the
economy and also affected the structure of political relationships and polit-
ical development in these states. First among these was the indirect impact
of energy relationships on the vertical and horizontal value-added chains
(VACs) that had developed around them. Important VACs were created
along the chain of energy supplies—both vertical VACs, which processed a
specific commodity further, and horizontal VACs, related to one
commodity’s role in the production of other products (such as in the case
of natural gas, where natural gas by-products are used as feedstock for
chemical industries, metallurgy, and fertilizers). Once in place, VACs set
off path dependencies affecting suppliers, markets, and interest groups alike.
In fact, it was the economic sectors most closely related to energy VACs,
which served as the basis for the rise of some of the richest “oligarchs” in
THE FALL OF THE SOVIET UNION AND THE LEGACIES OF ENERGY. . . 415
CONCLUSION
As we have seen from the example of trade arrangements and their legacies,
the actual legacies of the CMEA/Soviet energy system were often more
complex than appears at first glance. Some of the legacies of the Soviet/
CMEA system (such as the impact of barter and lack of price transparency)
affected all participants in the system, regardless of whether they were
suppliers or importers, a constituent republic of the USSR itself, or part of
the more lax CMEA framework. Other legacies, such as the long-term
416 M.M. BALMACEDA
and retail in EU states was able to weaken Gazprom’s ability to control the
entire natural gas marketing process, it could not physically undo the
physical reality of preexisting gas pipeline networks. Similarly, if the “steel
logic” of preexisting pipelines limited geographic diversification by
highlighting the high relative price of building new pipelines to access
new suppliers, the example of Russia’s massive investments in projects
such as the Nord Stream (gas) pipeline and the Baltic Pipeline System
(oil) to move away from sole reliance on CMEA-period export pipelines
transiting Ukraine tells us that overcoming such structural legacies is possi-
ble given the political will and the ability to command the necessary eco-
nomic resources.
Especially following Russia’s armed intervention in 2014–2015,
Ukraine’s attempts to secure gas supplies from Slovakia and Hungary
through reverse supplies of Russian gas purchased by these states highlight
the interconnection between these two types of legacy-related logics (that
is, the logics of seemingly static infrastructure and of more modifiable
contractual regulations with destination clauses and the resale of Russian
gas). Attempts at contractual diversification such as seen in this case are
limited both by the infrastructural legacies and by the governance realities
affecting whether the leadership of countries such as Slovakia and Hungary
will support such proposals. When looking at the legacies of the CMEA
period as a whole, it becomes clear that these legacies include ways of
dealing with energy as well as the most obvious elements of physical
infrastructure.
These legacies bring both opportunities and constraints to Russia’s abil-
ity to use energy as a political tool vis-a-vis these states. On the one hand,
Russia’s role as a (near-) monopolistic supplier of oil and gas was given
permanence by the “steel logic” of pipeline infrastructures. On the other
hand, the importance of oil and gas in Russia’s own domestic economic and
political system—partly as a result of CMEA-related impulses—carries
important consequences. For example, Gazprom’s domestic political
weight as employer, supplier, and investor forced the company to “juggle”
markets and commitments within the country, the CMEA, and Western
Europe. More broadly, post-Soviet Russian energy actors use energy for a
variety of domestic purposes, which entail both intended and unintended
consequences also affecting the use of energy as a means of external political
leverage.
418 M.M. BALMACEDA
NOTES
1. CMEA members were the USSR, Bulgaria, Cuba, Czechoslovakia,
the GDR, Hungary, Mongolia, Poland, Romania, and Vietnam. In
this chapter, the term “CMEA countries” is meant in the narrower
sense of east European CMEA members, excluding Cuba, Mongolia
and Vietnam. In reference to the pre-1991 period, I use the term
“Eastern Europe” to refer to Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, the GDR,
Hungary and Poland, because it is the historical term used in refer-
ence to this period. I use the term “Central and Eastern Europe”
(CEE) to refer to the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slova-
kia, as well as to Ukraine, Belarus and the Baltic states after 1989/
1991.
2. See, for example, John P. Hardt, “Soviet Energy Policy in Eastern
Europe,” in Sarah M. Terry, ed., Soviet Policy in Eastern Europe
(New Haven, CT: Yale University Press, 1984); John M. Kramer,
The Energy Gap in Eastern Europe (Lexington, MA: Lexington
Books, 1990); William M. Reisinger, Energy and the Soviet Bloc:
Alliance Politics After Stalin (Ithaca: Cornell University Press,
1992); Leslie Dienes, Istvan Dobozi, and Marian Radetzki, Energy
and Economic Reform in the Former Soviet Union: Implications for
Production, Consumption and Exports (New York: St. Martin
Press, 1994).
3. See Timothy Frye, “The Limits of Legacies: Property Rights in
Russian Energy,” in Mark Bessinger and Stephen Kotkin, eds.,
Historical Legacies of Communism in Russia and Eastern Europe
(Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2014), 90–110.
4. Thane Gustafson, Wheel of Fortune: The Battle for Oil and Power in
Russia (Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press of Harvard University
Press, 2012).
5. Stephen J. Collier, Post-Soviet Social: Neoliberalism, Social Moder-
nity, Biopolitics (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2011).
6. Data for 1989 from the PlanEcon energy database as quoted in
Reisinger, Energy and the Soviet Bloc, 19; data for 1970 from Vienna
Institute of Comparative Economic Studies, COMECON Data
1989 (New York: Greenwood Press, 1990), 398–403.
7. Reisinger, Energy and the Soviet Bloc, 21.
8. Ibid., 70.
THE FALL OF THE SOVIET UNION AND THE LEGACIES OF ENERGY. . . 419
Mattei, Enrico, 140, 153n18, 202, 204– Patolichev, Nikolai, 209, 238, 258, 259,
11, 214–18, 223, 228n55 261, 262, 329
Maudling, Reginald, 107, 117, 118, Pella, Giuseppe, 206
128n66 Pervukhin, Mikhail, 168
McGhee, George C., 216 Pietromarchi, Luca, 153n12, 153n13,
Medvezhe, Vadim, 22 153n18, 207
Merchant, Livingston, 212 Piggott, Francis, 143, 146
Metz, Victor de, 134 Pipes, Richard, 295
Middendorf, John William, 14, 15 Pishevari, Jafar, 93, 96, 97, 103n52
Mikoian, Anastas, 65, 101n19, 104n59, Podgornyi, Nikolai, 17, 262
107, 118, 341n29 Pompidou, Georges, 232, 237, 238,
Mitchell, Timothy, 129n81, 132 250n11, 250n14, 250n15
Mitterrand, François, 244, 246 Powell, Richard, 119, 120, 127n54
Moiseenko, Viacheslav, 357
Molotov, Viacheslav, 55, 86, 87, 91–3,
95, 98, 99, 101n21, 102n22, Q
102n25, 102n26, 102n28, Qavam os-Saltaneh, Ahmad, 94–7
103n38, 103n41, 103n48,
103n50, 104n58, 104n60, 167
Morgenthau, Henry, 87 R
Moro, Aldo, 220 Radice, Edward, 146
Mossadegh, Mohammad, 104n62 Raimond, Jean Bertrand, 238, 250n15
Rasputin, Valentin, 25, 42n105
Rathbone, Monroe J., 108, 138
N Ratti, Giuseppe, 140, 155n35, 156n45,
Nekrasov, Nikolai, 18 208, 230n70
Neporozhnii, Pëtr, 176 Reagan, Ronald, 25, 31, 233, 244, 284,
Nixon, Richard, 16–18, 286, 287 290–6, 303, 304, 311n35,
Nove, Alec, 53 311n39, 312n44, 312n45,
Novikov, Vladimir, 173, 182, 194n36, 313n49, 317n82
264, 342n39 Reed, Gordon, 138
Regan, Donald, 292
Reifman, Alfred, 142
O Reinhardt, Frederick, 215, 216
Odell, Peter R., 106 Reisinger, William M., 404
Ordzhonikidze, Grigorii, 52 Rickett, Denis, 116, 119, 126n33,
Ortoli, François-Xavier, 357 126n36, 126n45, 127n56,
127n58, 127n61–3
Różański, Henryk, 325
P Romero, Federico, 82
Pahlavi, Reza Shah, 91 Rootham, Jasper St. John, 117, 118,
Panov, Andrei, 54 126n37
INDEX 425