KNE314 Transportation Engineering KNE314 Transportation Engineering KNE314 Transportation Engineering KNE314 Transportation Engineering Context • “The only kind of improvement we can hope to make in the road accident situation is to reduce probabilities. • We can aim to make it less likely that a motorist will have an accident; or less likely that he will be badly hurt when he does. • But short of closing the roads we cannot eliminate the risk completely, any more than we can in any other walk of life. • The problem therefore boils down to an assessment of risk. We can judge any suggestion only by asking what it will do to the odds.” • Skillman, 1965 KNE314 Transportation Engineering Context • Transportation professionals and others make decisions which affect people’s safety. • When a road is built to certain standards, or an intersection is upgraded, the frequency and severity of crashes are affected. • Professionalism requires that the safety consequences of such decisions be known. KNE314 Transportation Engineering Context • But …Factual knowledge of road safety implications are hard to come by. • There is widespread belief that personal experience as a driver, pedestrian or engineer is a good source of factual knowledge about road safety This is dangerously untrue! • Just as the experience of one person or one physician is of no use for determining the effect of smoking on the incidence of lung cancer, so the experience of a driver or a traffic engineer is insufficient to know the safety effect of various infrastructure modifications.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Context • One of the main sources of factual knowledge about the effect of engineering measures on road safety is the ‘Observational Before and After study’. • This type of study involves the observations of crash data, rather than observations ‘in the field’.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Context • Road Safety is a critical component of traffic engineering and plays a part in almost everything. • Increasing number of vehicles, more people, stronger economy road safety challenge.
‘000 Registered Vehicles
Fatalities
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
The Social Cost • Each year around half a million people die and 10- 15 million are injured in road crashes. • In 2006 it was conservatively estimated that the cost of crashes in Australia was $18M (BTRE 2010). • Road crashes contribute to approximately 2% of deaths in Australia. • 25 times higher death rate from circulatory disease, 15 times higher from cancer.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
The Social Cost • However, road crashes are a major cause of death for the 17-25 year old group, particularly men. • When total productive male working years lost is considered, then road fatalities become of the same order of the cost of both heart disease and all forms of cancer.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Nominal and Substantive Safety • No road can ever be made ‘safe’, only safer or less safe. • Two definitions for ‘working safety’ for a road network: • Nominal Safety – level deemed appropriate by current practitioners (standards, etc). • Substantive Safety – matter of degree and is derived from the count of crashes taking place and their severity (performance). KNE314 Transportation Engineering Nominal and Substantive Safety • Road safety practitioners in Australia are trying to move their current concepts of nominal safety as close to absolute safety as possible, but their success will always be measured in terms of substantive safety of the system.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Multidisciplinary • Road safety involves a large range of professionals: – Police – Psychologists – Engineers – Planners – Lawyers – Designers – Community – Everyone ... KNE314 Transportation Engineering Crash Rates • Broad crash rates can be measured in terms of: – Fatalities per 10,000 registered vehicles – Fatalities per 100,000 population (as measure of public health) – Fatalities per 100 million vehicle kilometres travelled (exposure rate) • This type of macro assessment is useful for regions, countries, areas, etc.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
We have come a long way …
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
We have come a long way …
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
We have come a long way …
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Causing Factors • Causes of crashes can be attributed to – Road User – Vehicle – Road • Often a combination of the above • Above system is inherently unstable and is kept in equilibrium only by frequent intervention by the human. • Knowledge of human performance, capabilities and behavioural characteristics is essential as a prerequisite for detailed road safety assessment. KNE314 Transportation Engineering Causing Factors • Vehicles – much work has been done to minimise consequences of crashes (seat belts, airbags, crumple zones, etc). Also reduce occurrence of crash (ABS, ITS, warning devices, electronic stability control, etc) • Road Users – most resistant to change. Major contributing factor to crash rates. Publicity campaigns, law enforcement, education, etc. • Road – Core of Road Safety Engineering. Treatment of hazardous locations, Road Safety Audits, Development of design standards, etc. Focus of this part of the course.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Guiding Factors • Road safety is driven by a number of factors including: – Public expectations – Political will (road safety strategies, etc) – Increasing awareness – Economic factors (funding, reducing hospital admissions, insurance, etc)
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Defining the Problem • UK Department of Transport defines an accident (crash) as a: • “rare, random, multi-factor event always preceded by a situation in which one or more persons have failed to cope with their environment” • A systematic approach combines elements of pre- crash, in-crash and after-crash to form what is known as the Haddon Matrix KNE314 Transportation Engineering Haddon Matrix
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Human Response
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Human Response • Expectancy. Prior driving experience results in a set of expectancies for the driving task. • Continuation expectancy. This is the expectation that the events of the immediate past will continue. It results, for example, in small headways, as drivers expect that the preceding vehicle will not suddenly change speed. • Event expectancy. This is the expectation that events which have not happened will not happen. It results, for example, in disregard for railway crossings and perhaps for minor intersections as well, because drivers expect that no hazard will present itself where none has been seen before.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Human Response • Temporal expectancy. This is the expectation that where events are cyclic (eg. Traffic signals), the longer a given state occurs, the greater the likelihood that change will occur. This is of course a perfectly reasonable expectation, but it can result in inconsistent responses. • Driver behaviour is largely governed by habit, experience and expectations.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Reaction Time • Information takes time to process. “Reaction time” is used to describe the period between the occurrence or appearance of a ‘signal’ and the driver’s physical reaction to it. (Garber and Hoel, 1988) 1. Perception: the use of vision capabilities to see a visual signal. 2. Identification: the driver identifies the signal and thus understands the stimulus. 3. Emotion: the driver decides what action to take in response to the stimulus. 4. Volition: during which the driver actually executes the action decided upon. KNE314 Transportation Engineering Road Safety Engineering • Road engineering, (or Road Design) can have a dramatic effect on road safety - a modern freeway can be 10 times safer per vehicle kilometre than an undivided 2-lane road, for example. • Road design, construction, maintenance and management all contribute to safety. However, the costs of this are high, and interestingly the adoption of high road design standards can rarely be justified on safety grounds alone. • Safety benefits are typically of the order of 15 per cent of the total benefits of an urban road project and 5 per cent of the benefits of a rural road project - although since benefits usually outweigh costs by 4 or 5 to one, safety benefits are considerable (Lay, 1986) KNE314 Transportation Engineering Road Safety Engineering • Road safety engineering may be defined as: “A process, based on analysis of road and traffic related accident information, which applies engineering principles in order to identify road design or traffic management improvements that will cost-effectively reduce the cost of road accidents.”
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Road Safety Engineering • Some specific road-oriented safety programs include: – Road design, – Intersection design and control, – Delineation, lighting and signing, – Road construction and maintenance, – Roadside hazard management, – Traffic management (including traffic calming), – Speeds and speed limits, and – Treatments directed at vulnerable road users. KNE314 Transportation Engineering Delineation • Most information which the driver requires to guide, operate and control the vehicle is visual. Road system must provide adequate visual information to enable driver to control and navigate the vehicle. • Roadway delineation is used to (Freedman, et al, 1988): – Control the placements and movements of vehicles by supplying visual information to the driver that identifies the safe and legal limits of the travelled way. – Regulate the direction of travel, lane changing and overtaking. – Mark lanes or zones where manoeuvres such as turns or parking are permitted, required or restricted. – Improve lane discipline, particularly during night time driving. – Aid in identifying potentially hazardous situations such as obstacles and pedestrian crossings. KNE314 Transportation Engineering Crash Investigation • From a road safety engineering perspective, the purpose of crash investigations is to determine the factors involved in crash(s) so that appropriate road or traffic engineering remedial or preventative measures may be applied. • Often there is a parallel activity undertaken by the police aimed at determining fault (in a legal sense) so that charges can be laid against a guilty party. Unfortunately, the aims and intentions of the police and the road safety engineer are not the same and are often in conflict. KNE314 Transportation Engineering Crash Investigation • Crash investigations are carried out in three levels. 1. Analysis of mass crash data. Identifies crash ‘black spots’, trends at high crash locations, etc. 2. Collection of supplementary data. Gain a better understanding of a specific crash type, causing factors, etc. 3. In-depth multi disciplinary investigation involving detailed crash scene data. May involve range of disciplines such as medicine, police, traffic engineer, forensics, etc.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Safe Systems Approach • The Safe System approach recognises that, even with the best preventive programs in place, road crashes will still occur – and aims to build a road system that offers maximum protection to all users by providing safer road infrastructure, increasing the proportion of safe vehicles on our roads and improving the safe behaviour of road users by targeting areas such as speeding, drink and drug driving, fatigued driving and driver distraction.
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Safe Systems Approach • Safe Systems approach has origins Safer Speed in Sweden and has now been adopted Human by other countries Tolerance (including the Safer Safer Roadside Netherlands) as well Vehicles Environment as some states of Australia (including Tasmania & Victoria) KNE314 Transportation Engineering Safe Systems Approach • The Safe Systems Approach includes: – Designing and maintaining roads and roadsides to reduce risk to as low as reasonably practical – Setting speed limits according to the safety of the road and roadside – Advising, educating and encouraging road users to comply with road rules, be unimpaired and alert, and drive according to the prevailing conditions – Encouraging consumers to purchase safer vehicles with primary safety features that reduce the likelihood of a crash, such as electronic stability control, and secondary safety features that reduce injury in a crash, such as side curtain airbags. KNE314 Transportation Engineering Safe Systems - Detail
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Safer Vehicles • The car has evolved ...
KNE314 Transportation Engineering
Safe Systems Approach • The success of the Safe System approach is dependent on road users acting within the limits of the system’s design. • Hence the importance given to ensuring the community becomes more aware of the risks associated with road travel and that people are able to make better informed decisions on issues such as vehicle choice, speed and behaviour.KNE314 Transportation Engineering The Role of Infrastructure