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𝑙𝑜𝑔(𝑁𝑇𝑃𝑡 ) = ß0 + ß1 log⁡(𝑇𝐵𝑆𝑡 ) + ß2log⁡(𝐼𝐻𝐾𝑡 ) + ß3𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑛 + 𝜀𝑡

log⁡(𝑇𝐵𝑆𝑡 ) = 𝛾0 + 𝛾1 log⁡(𝐶𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑁𝑇 𝑡 ) + 𝛾2 log⁡(𝐼𝐻𝐾𝑡 ) + 𝛾3 𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑛 + 𝜙𝑡

𝑁𝑇𝑃𝑡
𝑇𝐵𝑆𝑡
𝐼𝐻𝐾𝑡
𝐶𝑃𝑂𝐼𝑁𝑇⁡𝑡

𝜀𝑡 𝜙𝑡
γ

Tanaman Jumlah RT Pangsa


No.
Perkebunan (Ribu) (%)
1. Karet 211,6 58,39
2. Kelapa Sawit 125,7 34,69
3. Kelapa 62,8 17,33
4. Pinang/ Jambe 38,7 10,68
5. Kopi 25,3 6,98
6. Kayu Manis 16,0 4,41
7. Kakao 10,7 2,95
8. Cengkeh 1,8 0,49
9. Kemiri 0,4 0,11
10. Lainnya 0,2 0,06
Total 362,4
Elastisitas NTP Perkebunan terhadap Perubahan Harga TBS
Periode Konstan TBS IHK TREN ECM R2
Jangka Pendek 0,00 0,09*** 0,11 - -0,40*** 0,62
Jangka Panjang 3,34*** 0,12*** -0,88*** 0,00*** - 0,24
Pass-through Harga CPO Internasional terhadap Harga TBS
Periode Konstan CPO_INT IHK TREN ECM R2
Jangka Pendek 0,00 0,90*** 0,81* - -0,37*** 0,61
Jangka Panjang -8,21*** 1,07*** 4,14*** -0,00*** - 0,8
keterangan: ***, **, dan * signifikan pada 1%, 5% dan 10%

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