TABEL DATA SURVEI LALU-LINTAS

Lokasi : Jl. Merdeka Timur,

Kota Lhokseumawe
Waktu : 7:00 - 18:00 WIB
Hari : Rabu
Tanggal : 7/11/2018
Cuaca : Cerah
Kelompok : IV (EMPAT)

Vol Kendaraan
No Golongan Kendaraan
Per Hari Per Tahun
1 Gol - 1 3297 1203405
2 Gol - 2 1275 465375
3 Gol - 3 1088 397120
4 Gol - 8 88 32120
5 Gol - 9 42.9 15658.5
6 Gol - 17 2 730

Gol Jenis Kendaraan

1 Sepeda Motor
2 Mobil Pribadi
3 Kendaraan Umum
8 Mobil Pick Up, Hantaran
9 Mobil Truck 2 As (Bus)
17 Kendaraan Lain-Lain
TABEL PERKIRAAN PERTUMBUHAN LALU-LINTAS (LHR) 2018-2028

Golongan 1%
Tahun Volume Pertumbuha Pertumbuhan
Kendaraan n Lalu-Lintas
2018 1203405 0% 0
2019 1203405 9% 108306
2020 1311711 9% 118054
2021 1429765 9% 128679
2022 1558444 9% 140260
2023 1698704 9% 152883
2024 1851588 9% 166643
2025 2018231 9% 181641
2026 2199871 9% 197988
2027 2397860 9% 215807
2028 2613667 9% 235230
Total 19486653

Golongan 2%
Tahun Volume Pertumbuha Pertumbuhan
Kendaraan n Lalu-Lintas
1 2018 465375 0% 0
2 2019 465375 5% 23269
3 2020 488644 5% 24432
4 2021 513076 5% 25654
5 2022 538730 5% 26936
6 2023 565666 5% 28283
7 2024 593950 5% 29697
8 2025 623647 5% 31182
9 2026 654829 5% 32741
10 2027 687571 5% 34379
11 2028 721949 5% 36097
Total 6318812

31
TABEL PERKIRAAN PERTUMBUHAN LALU-LINTAS (LHR) 2018-2028

Golongan 3%
Tahun Volume Pertumbuha Pertumbuhan
Kendaraan n Lalu - Lintas
2018 397120 0% 0
2019 397120 7% 27798
2020 424918 7% 29744
2021 454663 7% 31826
2022 486489 7% 34054
2023 520543 7% 36438
2024 556981 7% 38989
2025 595970 7% 41718
2026 637688 7% 44638
2027 682326 7% 47763
2028 730089 7% 51106
Total 5883908

Golongan 8%
Tahun Volume Pertumbuha Pertumbuhan
Kendaraan n Lalu - Lintas
1 2018 32120 0% 0
2019 32120 4% 1285
2020 33405 4% 1336
2021 34741 4% 1390
2022 36131 4% 1445
2023 37576 4% 1503
2024 39079 4% 1563
2025 40642 4% 1626
2026 42268 4% 1691
2027 43958 4% 1758
2028 45717 4% 1829
Total 372039
TABEL PERKIRAAN PERTUMBUHAN LALU-LINTAS (LHR) 2018-2028

Golongan 9%
Tahun Volume Pertumbuha Pertumbuhan
Kendaraan n Lalu-Lintas
1 2018 15659 3% 470
2 2019 16128 3% 484
3 2020 16612 3% 498
4 2021 17110 3% 513
5 2022 17624 3% 529
6 2023 18152 3% 545
7 2024 18697 3% 561
8 2025 19258 3% 578
9 2026 19836 3% 595
10 2027 20431 3% 613
11 2028 21044 3% 631
Total 179507

Golongan 17%
Tahun Volume Pertumbuha Pertumbuhan
Kendaraan n Lalu-Lintas
1 2018 730 4% 29
2 2019 759 4% 30
3 2020 790 4% 32
4 2021 821 4% 33
5 2022 854 4% 34
6 2023 888 4% 36
7 2024 924 4% 37
8 2025 961 4% 38
9 2026 999 4% 40
10 2027 1039 4% 42
11 2028 1081 4% 43
Total 8764
 NPV1
% B DF Cost Benefit
tahun
1 5% Rp 3,629,646,904.76 Rp 181,482,345 0.91 Rp 4,545,454,545.45 Rp 3,299,679,004.33
2 5% Rp 3,811,129,250.00 Rp 190,556,463 0.83 Rp 4,132,231,404.96 Rp 3,149,693,595.04
3 5% Rp 4,001,685,712.50 Rp 200,084,286 0.75 Rp 3,756,574,004.51 Rp 3,006,525,704.36
4 5% Rp 4,201,769,998.13 Rp 210,088,500 0.68 Rp 3,415,067,276.83 Rp 2,869,865,445.07
5 5% Rp 4,411,858,498.03 Rp 220,592,925 0.62 Rp 3,104,606,615.30 Rp 2,739,417,015.75
Rp 18,953,933,847.04 Rp 15,065,180,764.54

B/C 0.795

NPV2
DF Cost Benefit

0.2 0.83 Rp 4,166,666,666.67 Rp 3,024,705,753.97

0.69 Rp 3,472,222,222.22 Rp 2,646,617,534.72
0.58 Rp 2,893,518,518.52 Rp 2,315,790,342.88
0.48 Rp 2,411,265,432.10 Rp 2,026,316,550.02
0.40 Rp 2,009,387,860.08 Rp 1,773,026,981.27
Rp 14,953,060,699.59 Rp 11,786,457,162.86

IRR 0.31
1

Rp (1,245,775,541.13)
Rp (982,537,809.92)
Rp (750,048,300.15)
Rp (545,201,831.76)
Rp (365,189,599.55)
Rp (3,888,753,082.50) NPV1 Rp (2,414,609,709.04)

Rp (1,141,960,912.70)
Rp (825,604,687.50)
Rp (577,728,175.64)
Rp (384,948,882.08)
Rp (236,360,878.81)
Rp (3,166,603,536.73) NPV2 Rp (1,272,586,940.88)
Biaya Operasional kendaraaan 40 km/jam

Konsumsi Komponen BOK (RP/KM) Total BOK Panjang rute Total biaya per Benefit dalam 1
Jenis Kendaraaan (km) hari
BBM OLI BAN UPAH (RP/KM) kendaraaan
Sepeda motor Rp 805 Rp 30 Rp 4 Rp 3 Rp 842 2.7 Rp 2,273 Rp 455,809,802
kendaraaan ringan Rp 2,614 Rp 39 Rp 16 Rp 18 Rp 2,687 2.7 Rp 7,254 ###
kendaraaan berat Rp 3,213 Rp 92 Rp 65 Rp 5 Rp 3,375 2.7 Rp 9,114 Rp 298,409,178

Biaya Operasional kendaraaan 60 km/jam

Konsumsi Komponen BOK (RP/KM) Total BOK panjang rute Total biaya per Benefit dalam 1
Jenis Kendaraaan kendaraaan hari
BBM OLI BAN UPAH (RP/KM) (km)
Sepeda motor Rp 691 Rp 28 Rp 6 Rp 4 Rp 728 2.7 Rp 1,965 Rp 394,203,423
kendaraaan ringan Rp 2,214 Rp 208 Rp 25 Rp 21 Rp 2,468 2.7 Rp 6,665 ###
kendaraaan berat Rp 2,726 Rp 141 Rp 100 Rp 7 Rp 2,975 2.7 Rp 8,033 Rp 263,023,288

Benefit setelah pembuatan jalan

Jenis Kendaraaan Benefit dalam 1 tahun

Sepeda Motor Rp 22,486,328,279

kendaraaan Ringan Rp 67,633,466,601
kendaraaan Berat Rp 12,915,849,956
Total Rp 103,035,644,835

1 Benefit BOK Rp 103,035,644,835

2 Benifit UMR Rp 3,629,646,905
Total (1)+ (2) Rp 106,665,291,740
 Pertumbuhan di asumsikan (i =5%)
Biaya perawatan di asumsikan setiap tahun 10 % dari nilai investasi
0.3
NPV1
Pertumbuhan
DF
Tahun Investasi (RP) Perawatan Cost (2+3) Ekonomi Benefit
(30%)
(5%)=5*2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
0 Rp5,000,000,000.00 Rp 5,000,000,000 1.00
1 Rp 500,000,000.00 Rp 500,000,000 Rp 106,665,291,740 0.77
2 Rp 605,000,000.00 Rp 605,000,000 5% Rp 117,598,484,144 0.59
3 Rp 665,500,000.00 Rp 665,500,000 5% Rp 123,478,408,351 0.46
4 Rp 732,050,000.00 Rp 732,050,000 5% Rp 129,652,328,768 0.35
5 Rp 805,255,000.00 Rp 805,255,000 5% Rp 136,134,945,207 0.27
6 Rp 885,780,500.00 Rp 885,780,500 5% Rp 142,941,692,467 0.21
7 Rp 974,358,550.00 Rp 974,358,550 5% Rp 150,088,777,090 0.16
8 Rp 1,071,794,405.00 Rp 1,071,794,405 5% Rp 157,593,215,945 0.12
9 Rp 1,178,973,845.50 Rp 1,178,973,846 5% Rp 165,472,876,742 0.09
Rp 12,418,712,301 Rp 1,229,626,020,454

0.1
NPV2
Pertumbuhan DF
Tahun Investasi (RP) Perawatan Cost Benefit
Ekonomi (5%) (10%)
0 Rp5,000,000,000.00 Rp 5,000,000,000 1.00
1 Rp 500,000,000 Rp 500,000,000 Rp 106,665,291,740 0.91
2 Rp 605,000,000 Rp 605,000,000 5% Rp 117,598,484,144 0.83
3 Rp 665,500,000 Rp 665,500,000 5% Rp 123,478,408,351 0.75
4 Rp 732,050,000 Rp 732,050,000 5% Rp 129,652,328,768 0.68
5 Rp 805,255,000 Rp 805,255,000 5% Rp 136,134,945,207 0.62
6 Rp 885,780,500 Rp 885,780,500 5% Rp 142,941,692,467 0.56
 7 Rp 974,358,550 Rp 974,358,550 5% Rp 150,088,777,090 0.51
8 Rp 1,071,794,405 Rp 1,071,794,405 5% Rp 157,593,215,945 0.47
9 Rp 1,178,973,846 Rp 1,178,973,846 5% Rp 165,472,876,742 0.42
Rp 12,418,712,301

Jadi Nilai IRR didapat

IRR =15%+ (���1/(���1−���2)x(30%-10%) = 0.35 34.50%

 Benefit' Cost' NPV1

8 9 10
Rp 5,000,000,000
Rp 82,050,224,416 Rp 384,615,385
Rp 69,584,901,860 Rp 357,988,166 B'/C'
Rp 56,203,189,964 Rp 302,913,063 Rasio
Rp 45,394,884,202 Rp 256,311,054
=ΣB'-ΣC'
Rp 36,665,098,778 Rp 216,878,584
Rp 29,614,118,244 Rp 183,512,648
Rp 23,919,095,505 Rp 155,279,933
Rp 19,319,269,446 Rp 131,390,712
Rp 15,604,025,322 Rp 111,176,757
Rp 378,354,807,736 Rp 7,100,066,309 Rp 371,254,741,427 53.28891

Benefit' Cost' NPV2

Rp 5,000,000,000
Rp 96,968,447,037 Rp 454,545,455
Rp 97,188,829,871 Rp 500,000,000
Rp 92,771,155,786 Rp 500,000,000 B'/C'
Rp 88,554,285,068 Rp 500,000,000 Rasio
=ΣB'-ΣC'
Rp 84,529,090,292 Rp 500,000,000
Rp 80,686,858,915 Rp 500,000,000
 B'/C'
Rasio
=ΣB'-ΣC'

Rp 77,019,274,419 Rp 500,000,000
Rp 73,518,398,309 Rp 500,000,000
Rp 70,176,652,932 Rp 500,000,000
Rp 761,412,992,629 Rp 9,454,545,455 Rp 751,958,447,174 80.5341