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Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359

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Journal of Great Lakes Research


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A mercury transport and fate model (LM2-Mercury) for mass budget


assessment of mercury cycling in Lake Michigan
Xiaomi Zhang a, Kenneth R. Rygwelski b,⁎, Russell G. Kreis Jr. b, Ronald Rossmann c
a
Trinity Engineering Associates, Inc Large Lakes Research Station, 9311 Groh Road, Grosse Ile, MI 48138, USA
b
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, Mid-Continent Ecology Division,
Large Lakes and Rivers Forecasting Research Branch, Large Lakes Research Station, 9311 Groh Road, Grosse Ile, MI 48138, USA
c
Large Lakes Research Station, 9311 Groh Road, Grosse Ile, MI 48138, USA

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: LM2-Mercury, a mercury mass balance model, was developed to simulate and evaluate the transport, fate, and
Received 7 August 2013 biogeochemical transformations of mercury in Lake Michigan. The model simulates total suspended and
Accepted 10 February 2014 resuspendable solids (TSRS), dissolved organic carbon (DOC), and total, elemental, divalent, and methylmercury
Available online 26 April 2014
as state variables. Simplified processes among the mercury state variables including net methylation, net reduc-
tion of divalent mercury, and reductive demethylation are incorporated in the model. Volatilization of elemental
Communicated by Erik Christensen
mercury as a kinetic (phase transfer) process and partitioning of total, divalent, and methylmercury as a set of
Index words: instantaneous equilibrium processes were also simulated. The model was calibrated to data collected in 1994
Water quality modeling and 1995 and corroborated by comparing model output generated from a long-term model hindcast to total
Mass balance model mercury measured in high quality sediment profiles. Model hindcast predictions of total mercury in the water
Mass budget assessment column were within estimates of total mercury calculated from observed lake trout bioaccumulation factors.
Mercury Using the model, a mass budget assessment of mercury cycling in the lake was conducted. Atmospheric deposi-
Lake Michigan tion, including wet and dry (particle) deposition and absorption of gaseous divalent mercury, was the dominant
source of total mercury to the lake, followed by sediment resuspension, and then tributary loads. The major loss
mechanism of total mercury from the water was associated with the settling of solids, followed by net volatiliza-
tion. Methylmercury loading associated with wet deposition was the dominant source to the lake, followed by
tributary loadings, and in situ net methylation.
Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of International Association for Great Lakes Research.

Introduction water temperatures (Ulrich et al., 2001), thereby increasing the poten-
tial for the production of MeHg in a smaller lake.
Mercury is a global, persistent, and bioaccumulative toxic pollutant. A series of linked numerical models are often used to simulate com-
Its organic form, CH3Hg (methylmercury or MeHg), is the most biolog- plex physical and chemical cycling of mercury in aquatic ecosystems
ically active and toxic form of mercury. It can accumulate in organisms and to evaluate the effects of external mercury inputs on aquatic and
within the food chain, such as fish, posing a risk to wildlife and terrestrial organisms and humans that consume them. As an important
humans. component in the linked modeling framework, water quality models
Smaller lakes have the potential to have more severe mercury provide both short-term and long-term predictions on the mercury
problems than large lakes, such as the Great Lakes in the United environmental exposure concentrations in the water column and
States. With relatively large ratios of area/volume, smaller lakes are like- sediments of a water body. The predicted environmental exposure
ly to have relatively higher mercury concentrations than the larger lakes concentrations are used for further predicting the level of mercury
in response to atmospheric deposition, which is usually the most accumulated in the organisms such as fish and their predators.
predominant source of mercury to both small and large lakes (Mason Mercury transformation processes in an aquatic ecosystem can be
and Sullivan, 1997). In addition, small lakes warm up more quickly very complex, and some of the processes have not been well defined.
and attain higher summer temperatures than large lakes such as Lake In general, most of the rate constants for these processes have not
Michigan. Mercury methylation rate constants increase with increasing been experimentally determined. However, over the last few decades,
significant modeling efforts have been made to describe and simulate
⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +734 692 7641. the fate, transport, and biogeochemical transformation of mercury in
E-mail address: rygwelski.kenneth@epa.gov (K.R. Rygwelski). aquatic ecosystems. Several notable mechanistic models have been

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2014.03.008
0380-1330/Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of International Association for Great Lakes Research.
348 X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359

developed and applied to various aquatic ecosystems that utilized sim-


plifying assumptions such as those used in this paper (key processes
modeled, equilibrium speciation of mercury complexes, and first-
order biogeochemical kinetics among mercury components). These
models include the MCM (Mercury Cycling Model) by Hudson et al.
(1994), SERAFM by Knightes (2008), SERAFM and Wasp7 by Knightes
et al. (2009), MERC4 by Martin (1992), and WASP5 by Tsiros and
Ambrose (1998).
The United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) select-
ed mercury as one of the target contaminants for the Lake Michigan
Mass Balance Project (LMMBP) to support the development of a Lake
Wide Management Plan (LaMP) for Lake Michigan. A mercury mass bal-
ance model, LM2-Mercury, was developed to: 1) describe and evaluate
the fate, transport, and biogeochemical transformations of mercury in
Lake Michigan; 2) forecast mercury concentrations in the lake (both
water column and sediment); and 3) provide insights for policy makers
to evaluate the long-term responses of the lake to various mercury load-
ing scenarios. The mercury transport and fate model independently
simulates total mercury (tHg, an analytical measurement that combines
all mercury components) and the three individual mercury components
(elemental mercury (Hg0), divalent mercury (Hg2+), and methylmer-
cury (MeHg)) and their interactions with total suspended and
resuspendable solids (TSRS) and dissolved organic carbon (DOC).
MINTEQA2 (Allison et al., 1991), an equilibrium metal speciation
model applied to Lake Michigan water with mean estimates of 22
major cation and anion concentrations for the year 1991, predicted
that N 99% of the dissolved Hg2+ and MeHg was Hg(OH)2 and MeHgOH,
respectively. The LM2-Mercury model was designed to have enough so-
phistication in overall model conceptualization to capture key processes
while maintaining simplicity of speciation processes where permitted.
This paper provides details on model development, conceptual frame-
work, and model input. The results of model calibration and corrobora-
tion as well as a mass budget are presented and discussed. A future
paper will provide results and a discussion on forecasts with the consid-
eration of impacts of global and local contributions to mercury concen-
trations in the lake and a post-audit corroboration. Fig. 1. LM2-Mercury water column segmentation. The numbers on the left side of the
boxes are segment numbers. The numbers on the right side of the boxes are average
Model development and construct segment thickness. This figure is from Zhang et al. (2008) and reused with permission
from Elsevier.

LM2-Mercury is based on the principle of conservation of mass. The


lake water and sediments are represented in the model as a series of dis- mercury, mercury components, TSRS, and DOC) in water column and
crete computational elements (segments). The sediment compartments sediments, and aggregation of the inputs of hydrodynamic fields
are linked to the water compartments via particle settling, resuspen- based on the outputs from the hydrodynamic model (POMGL —
sion, and diffusion processes. Princeton Ocean Model for the Great Lakes) can be found in the ESM
LM2-Mercury adapted the generic code and structures from the Lake Appendix B.
Michigan PCB model, LM2-PCBs (Zhang et al., 2008), including the LM2-Mercury simulates TSRS, DOC, total mercury (tHg), and three
water transport fields and the sediment transport scheme. The spatial mercury components (Hg0, Hg2 +, MeHg) as model state variables.
segmentation for LM2-Mercury is the same as that used by LM2-PCBs. Among the mercury state variables, tHg, Hg2 +, and MeHg exist in
The segmentation includes forty-one water segments (Fig. 1 shows both the water column and the sediment as dissolved and associated
only the surface water segments) with five horizontal layers and 53 with particulate phases. In this paper, whenever tHg, Hg2+, and MeHg
surficial sediment segments categorized to address distinct sediment are used without a qualifier, they should be interpreted as containing
non-depositional, transitional, and depositional zones. Details of the Hg in both dissolved and particulate phases. Hg0 exists in the system
model segmentation scheme including sediment segmentation are only in the dissolved phase. Equilibrium partitioning is assumed be-
provided in the Electronic Supplementary Material (ESM Appendix B). tween the dissolved and particulate-associated mercury components
Several specific modifications were made in the adaptation of LM2- in both the water and sediment. The time step used in the model simu-
PCBs for mercury components: 1) the temperature-dependent Henry's lations is about 3 h which is assumed to be long enough for mercury or a
Law constant for tHg and Hg0; 2) air–water exchange formulations for mercury component to reach equilibrium between the dissolved and
tHg and Hg0; 3) an approach similar to that used by Vette, 1998 and particulate phases in a large fresh water system. The transport and
Vette et al., 2002) to estimate absorption of gaseous divalent mercury fate of mercury is closely linked to the movement of water, TSRS, and
(reactive gaseous mercury abbreviated as RGM) to Lake Michigan; DOC, including processes such as advection, dispersion, settling,
4) a distribution factor was added to specify the fraction of the dissolved resuspension, partitioning to TSRS and DOC, etc. In addition, the
phase of total mercury allowed to be volatized; and 5) simplified transformation processes among the mercury components, including
speciation processes (Tsiros and Ambrose, 1998) were added for trans- net reduction of inorganic mercury, net methylation, and reductive de-
formation among the mercury components for both the water column methylation, are critical to the fate of mercury in the lake. Conceptuali-
and the sediment. A detailed model description including numerical zations of the dynamics of TSRS, mercury components, and total
method, general mass balance equations for the state variables (total mercury in the lake are given in Appendix A. The conceptual framework
X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359 349

(Appendix A Figs. A1 to A5) is an integration of current scientific knowl- air, versus water. The air–water transport kinetics of Hg0 is dominated
edge and site-specific parameterization derived from mercury data col- by the water-side transfer coefficient. Partitioning to solids is not signif-
lected during the period of LMMBP. Water sample collection for LMMBP icant for Hg0. Pore-water diffusion of Hg0 occurs at the water–sediment
was from 1994 to 1995 and sediment sample collection was from 1994 interface. Hg2 + net reduction and reductive demethylation of MeHg
to 1996. The diagrams in Appendix A illustrate the key physical and bio- generate Hg0 in the water. The dissolved Hg0 mass change rate (Saw)
geochemical processes that control the concentration of tHg and the in a surficial water segment due to the air–water exchange process
mercury components in both water and surficial sediments of Lake was calculated using the following equation:
Michigan.
  
C
Saw ¼ − kol C dw − a0 A ð3Þ
TSRS and DOC dynamics H

TSRS is one of the two mercury sorbents in the model. Loads of TSRS where kol is the overall mass exchange rate coefficient (m/d), Cdw is the
from tributaries, shoreline/bluff erosion, primary production, sediment, segment-specific dissolved Hg0 concentration in a surficial water seg-
and the atmosphere are major sources of TSRS to Lake Michigan and are ment (ng/m3), Ca is the segment-specific Hg0 vapor concentration
included in the model. In the water column (both lake water and (ng/m3), H′ is the temperature-dependent Henry's law constant for
tributary water), TSRS are fine grained, settleable and resuspendable Hg0 (dimensionless), and A is the surface area of a surficial water
particles and include biotic carbon, abiotic carbon, clay, and silts. TSRS segment (m2).
settle through the water column to the surficial sediment layer and The overall mass exchange rate coefficient (kol) was calculated using
can be re-introduced back to overlying water by resuspension. Water the Whitman two-film theory formulation (Whitman, 1923):
column TSRS is operationally defined as the dried (105 °C) mass
retained on a 0.7 μm glass fiber filter per unit volume of water. Water 1
kol ¼   ð4Þ
column TSRS is often called Total Suspended Solids. In the sediment, ð1=kl Þ þ 1=kg H 0
TSRS includes the following resuspendable solids: silt, clay, and particu-
late organic carbon. Sediment TSRS was estimated using the measure- where kl is the liquid film mass transfer rate coefficient (m/d) and kg is
ments of bulk density, porosity, and organic carbon contents of the gas film mass transfer rate coefficient (m/d). Both kl and kg were cal-
sediment samples. The TSRS load derived from bluff erosion culated using the O'Connor equations (O'Connor, 1983). The
(Montieth and Sonzongni, 1976) includes the following resuspendable temperature-dependent Henry's law constant (H′) for Hg0 was calculat-
components: clay, silt, and particulate organic carbon (Schawb, 2000). ed using the equation of Sanemasa (1975):
The estimation by Harrsch and Rea (1982) for the input of fine-
grained inorganic material from the air to Lake Michigan was used as
H ¼ 10ð T
0 −1078
− logðT Þþ5:592Þ
the TSRS load from the atmosphere in our model. TSRS does not include ð5Þ
a sand fraction due to the low sorption of mercury to this solid phase.
DOC is the second sorbent in the model. It is predominantly com- where T = interfacial temperature, K.
posed of humic and fulvic organic acids with colloidal-sized particles
that pass through an ashed GF/F glass fiber filter with a pore size of Divalent mercury dynamics
0.7 μm. The sources for DOC are mainly from tributaries, a byproduct
from primary production, and decay from particulate organic carbon. A conceptualized framework for Hg2 + dynamics can be found in
The particulate organic components of TSRS and DOC decay in the Appendix A Fig. A3. Hg2+ is reactive and very water soluble. The rate
water column and the sediment (Fig. A1 in Appendix A). To avoid intro- of air–water exchange is air-side resistance limited. Hg2 + partitions
ducing too much complexity, we chose the generalized, temperature- strongly to fine-grained particles (TSRS) and DOC relative to water
corrected, Michaelis–Menten equation for decay rate constants of (Stein et al., 1996; Tsiros and Ambrose, 1998). Wet and dry (particle) at-
TSRS and DOC in the water column: mospheric deposition and gaseous absorption (Landis and Keeler, 2002)
! and tributaries are significant sources of Hg2+ to Lake Michigan. The
kd C T−20 primary sinks for Hg2+ in the water compartment are through settling,
kdw ¼ θ ð1Þ net reduction to Hg0, and net methylation to MeHg. In the sediment,
k1=2 þ C
major losses for Hg2+ are through burial, resuspension, and net methyl-
where kdw is the decay rate constant of TSRS or DOC in water (d− 1), ation. The transformations (net reduction and net methylation) of Hg2+
where d is day; kd is the substrate saturated decay rate constant of are modeled as either pseudo-first-order sinks in the water column or
TSRS or DOC in water at 20 °C (d−1); k1/2 is the Michaelis–Menten first-order sinks in the surficial sediments, based on our best understand-
half-saturation constant for TSRS or DOC in water (mg/L); C is the ing of the processes (Amyot et al., 2000; Tsiros and Ambrose, 1998). In
segment-specific concentration of TSRS or DOC in water (mg/L); θ = the water column, the generalized
  and temperature-dependent net re-
1.05 is the Arrhenius temperature coefficient (dimensionless); and T is duction rate constant kRw−Hg2þ and net methylation rate constant
  d

the segment-specific temperature (°C). kMw−Hg2þ for dissolved Hg2+ are computed using the following
d
In the surficial sediment layer, the equation used for TSRS and DOC equations:
decay rate constants was formulated as:
0 1
kRw−Hg2þ  C d ðT−20Þ
kRw−Hg2þ ¼ −@ Aθ
T−20
kds ¼ kds θ ð2Þ d
ð6Þ
d kð1=2Þ−Hg2þ þ C d
d

where kds is the segment-specific and temperature-dependent decay


rate constant of TSRS or DOC in sediments (d−1) and kds is the decay
0 1
rate constant of TSRS or DOC in sediment at 20 °C. kMw−Hg2þ  C d ðT−20Þ
kMw−Hg2þ ¼ −@ Aθd
ð7Þ
0 d kð1=2Þ−Hg2þ þ C d
Elemental mercury (Hg ) dynamics d

A conceptualized framework for Hg0 dynamics can be found in where kRw−Hg2þ is the substrate saturated net reduction rate constant of
d
Fig. A2 in Appendix A. Hg0 has very strong equilibrium partitioning to Hg2+ in water column at 20 °C (d−1), kMw−Hg2þ is the substrate saturated
d
350 X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359

net methylation rate constant of Hg2+ in water column at 20 °C (d−1), LMMBP and historical databases are reported as tHg, so modeling tHg
kð1=2Þ−Hg2þ is half-saturation constant for Hg2+ in Lake Michigan water and comparing its output to sums of the individual Hg component con-
d
column (ng/L), and Cd is segment-specific dissolved Hg2+ concentration centrations from the Hg component model helped us gain confidence
in water (ng/L). that the mercury component model yielded reasonable results (see
In the surficial sediment layer, the equations used for calculating Appendix A Fig. A5). The tHg mercury model has a major limitation
temperature-dependent net methylation rate constants for both partic- though in that it cannot predict the bioaccumulative MeHg component
ulate and dissolved Hg2+ were formulated as: in the water. In both the water column and the sediments, tHg exists in
dissolved and particulate (sorbed to TSRS and DOC) phases. Equilibrium
ðT−20Þ partitioning is assumed between dissolved and particulate tHg. The air–
kMs−Hg2þ ¼ −kMs−Hg2þ θ ð8Þ
p p water exchange for dissolved tHg is governed by the same equations
used for Hg0 (Eqs. (4) and (5)). However, only the dissolved gaseous
mercury (DGM), a relative small portion (10–30%) of dissolved tHg
ðT−20Þ (Mason et al., 1995), is subjected to the air–water exchange process.
kMs−Hg2þ ¼ −kMs−Hg2þ θ ð9Þ
d d
Hg0 is often operationally defined as the dissolved gaseous mercury
(DGM) which includes very volatile Hg0 and other volatile mercury
where, kMs−Hg2þ
p
, kMs−Hg2þ are net substrate methylation rate constants components that are mostly undetectable (Poissant et al., 2000;
d
for particulate and dissolved Hg2 + at 20 °C (d− 1) in sediments, Rolfhus and Fitzgerald, 2001; Vette, 1998). Based on the literature
respectively. (Mason et al., 1995) and field measurements (Mason and Sullivan,
1997), a distribution factor was estimated and applied to only allow
Methylmercury (MeHg) dynamics 17% (dissolved gaseous mercury) of dissolved tHg to engage in the
volatilization process. The settling and resuspension of particulate
Due to its bioaccumulative and toxicological potential, MeHg is an tHg, diffusion at water–sediment interface for dissolved tHg and
important mercury component. MeHg can be generated from Hg2 + DOC sorbed tHg, and burial process for tHg are also conceptualized
under hypoxic or anoxic conditions and the presence of mercury meth- in the model.
ylating bacteria. A conceptualized framework for MeHg dynamics can
be found in Appendix A Fig. A4. Air–water exchange through volatiliza-
tion and absorption of MeHg is not significant. MeHg also has a relative- Input data and parameterization
ly high affinity to fine-grained solids (TSRS) and DOC (Stein et al., 1996;
Tsiros and Ambrose, 1998). Reductive demethylation of MeHg to Hg0 is The inputs used for the LM2-Mercury calibration, including trans-
shown to occur in the water. The sources of MeHg to the water column port fields, external loads, initial and boundary conditions, and parame-
are from wet deposition, tributary loads, and in situ methylation of ters for the processes, were assembled based on field data collected
Hg2+. It was reported by Glass and Sorensen (1999) that 1.5% of total during the project period (1994–1995), outputs from other models,
mercury wet deposition in the Upper Midwest was methylmercury and from the literature. Transport fields including bi-directional hori-
based on a six-year trend (1990–1996). Hall et al. (2005) reported zontal advective flows, net vertical advective flows, tributary flows,
that the percentage of total mercury as MeHg in the majority of precip- and vertical dispersion at adjacent water segments are the same as
itation events collected at five US sites in the Great Lakes region ranged those used in LM2-PCBs (Zhang et al., 2008) and are derived from a so-
from N1% to 6%. Hammerschmidt et al. (2007) reported that the mean phisticated hydrodynamic model (Princeton Ocean Model for the Great
molar ratio of MeHg and Hg2+ measured in continental precipitation Lakes (POMGL), Schwab and Beletsky, 1998). Among the inputs, sources
(based on data from the peer-reviewed literature) was 0.025 ± 0.006 of TSRS and mercury, field data, and parameterization of physical,
(2.5%). Based on these literature values, it was assumed that 2.5% of chemical, and biogeochemical processes are of particular importance
the LMMBP-measured tHg in wet deposition was methylmercury. to model calibration and results.
Hg2+ wet deposition was calculated by subtracting MeHg wet deposi-
tion from tHg wet deposition. The primary losses for MeHg in the TSRS and mercury loads
water column are reductive demethylation of MeHg to Hg0 and settling
of the particle-associated fraction to the sediment. The source of MeHg TSRS loads enter Lake Michigan from shoreline/bluff erosion, primary
in surficial sediment is mainly from particulate-bound MeHg settled production of organic particles, atmospheric deposition, and tributaries
from the overlaying water. The losses of MeHg in surficial sediment (Table 1). The TSRS load (including fine-grained sediment = silt +
are due to resuspension and burial to a deeper sediment layer. clay) from shoreline erosion was derived based on county by county es-
The
 rate constant
of reductive demethylation for dissolved MeHg timates from a technical report to the International Joint Commission
kDw−MeHgd in the water column is temperature dependent and (IJC) (Montieth and Sonzongni, 1976). The load of TSRS derived from
calculated using the following equation: the phytoplankton was estimated based on the primary production
(carbon dry weight) generated from the high-resolution eutrophication
!
kDw−MeHgd  C d model LM3-Eutro (Pauer et al., 2006) and the conversion of model-
ðT−20Þ
kDw−MeHgd ¼ − θ ð10Þ
kð1=2Þ−MeHgd þ C d
Table 1
Total suspended and resuspendable sediment (TSRS) annual loads (1994–1995) to Lake
where kDw−MeHgd is the substrate saturated reductive demethylation Michigan and data sources.
rate constant of MeHg in water column at 20 °C (d−1), kð1=2Þ−MeHgd is
Loading component Annual load Data source
half-saturation constant for MeHg in the Lake Michigan water column
(ton/year)
(ng/L), Cd is the segment-specific dissolved MeHg concentration in
Shoreline erosion 5.45 × 106 Montieth and Sonzongni (1976)
water (ng/L).
Primary production 5.77 × 106 Pauer et al. (2006), Rygwelski
et al. (2011)
Total mercury dynamics Atmosphere 0.82 × 106 Harrsch and Rea (1982)
Monitored tributaries 0.53 × 106 Hall and Robertson (1998)
Modeling total mercury is a simplification compared to modeling in- Unmonitored tributaries 0.18 × 106 Hall and Robertson (1998)
Total 12.75 × 106
dividual mercury components. Most of the mercury data from the
X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359 351

Table 2 where, u10 is the wind velocity measured at 10 m above water surface
Mean annual external loads of total mercury and mercury components to Lake Michigan (cm/s), DRGM (Hg2 + molecular diffusivity in air, cm2 s− 1) = 0.09
for 1994–1995.
(Marsik et al., 2007), Dg_H2O (water vapor molecular diffusivity in gas
Loading Annual load (kg/year) Data source phase, cm2 s−1) = 0.26 (Schwarzenbach et al., 2003).
component
tHg Hg0 Hg2+ MeHg
Field data, initial conditions, and vapor concentrations
Tributary 236 8.6a 222b 5.8 USEPA (2004), Hurley et al.
(1996), Hurley et al. (1998)
Dry deposition 53 53 Landis and Keeler (2002) During the 1994–95 project, field data for DOC and TSRS in the water
Wet deposition 616 600c 15.4c Landis and Keeler (2002) column were collected at 41 water survey stations (ESM Appendix B
RGM absorption 651 651 Estimated using Equation (3.1) Fig. S3) during 8 field sampling cruises. The measured DOC in lake
Total 1556 8.6 1526 21.2
water averaged 1.6 mg/L and showed very little spatial or temporal var-
a
Assumes that 17% of dissolved tHg load from the tributaries is Hg0 and that 10–30% of iation (ESM Appendix B). The range of measured TSRS in lake water was
dissolved mercury in water was in the Hg0 form (Mason et al., 1995).
b between 0.11 and 6.84 mg/L with a mean concentration of 1.3 mg/L and
Hg2+ tributary load was calculated by subtracting Hg0 and MeHg tributary loads from
the tHg tributary load. a median concentration of 0.92 mg/L. There was no clear seasonal vari-
c
Based on literature (Hammerschmidt et al., 2007; Hall et al., 2005; Stein et al., 1996), ation of TSRS during the project period. However, a very distinct spatial
assumes that 2.5% of the LMMBP-measured total Hg wet deposition is methyl mercury, variation of TSRS concentration was observed for samples collected in
and then Hg2+ wet deposition was calculated by subtracting MeHg wet deposition from the open lake (0.89 mg/L) versus the nearshore (1.43 mg/L). The TSRS
tHg wet deposition.
field data also showed that at a given station, the concentration of
TSRS increased with water sampling depth.
TSRS concentrations for the sediment layer, where the sand compo-
generated phytoplankton carbon to total algal biomass via a method nent is subtracted due to low Hg partitioning, were estimated based on
from a technical report by Rygwelski et al. (2011). Tributary TSRS loads the measurements of bulk density, porosity, organic carbon contents
provided by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) included loads from the sediment samples (ESM Appendix B Fig. S3), and locational
from 11 monitored tributaries and 18 unmonitored tributaries (Hall information such as depositional and non-depositional zones. The
and Robertson, 1998). range of TSRS concentration in sediment varied from 52,000 to
The external load of total mercury to Lake Michigan is mainly from 250,000 mg/L or from 51 to 218 mg (dw)/g (ww), where dw = dry
the atmosphere and tributaries (Table 2). Direct inputs of mercury weight, ww = wet weight. ESM Appendix B Fig. S4 shows the distribu-
from the atmosphere include dry (particle) and wet deposition and tion of TSRS in the surficial sediments of the lake.
mercury (RGM) absorption. The load from tributaries, including 11 The field data for tHg were collected at 17 water survey stations
monitored and 18 unmonitored tributaries, was measured and estimat- from 6 sampling cruises. The measured tHg concentrations in the
ed for tHg and MeHg in both dissolved and total (dissolved + particu- water column ranged from 0.037 to 0.777 ng/L with a mean ± one stan-
late) forms (Hurley et al., 1998). Atmospheric dry (particle) and wet dard deviation concentration of 0.32 ± 0.12 ng/L. About 60% of tHg in
deposition for tHg was provided by the University of Michigan Air Qual- Lake Michigan is in the dissolved phase. Data analysis based on the
ity Laboratory based on measurements during 1994–95 (Landis and total mercury concentrations measured from the six sampling cruises
Keeler, 2002). It is believed that there is no significant Hg0 associated showed no clear spatial or temporal variation trends in Lake Michigan
with dry (particle) or wet deposition (Mason et al., 1994; Poissant water column during the two-year sampling period. It appears that
et al., 2000). Therefore, it is assumed that the LMMBP-measured atmo- the average tHg concentration (0.34 ng/L) for samples taken in greater
spheric dry (particle) and wet deposition fluxes were primarily Hg2+. than 30 m water depth is slightly higher than the average tHg concen-
The MeHg associated with wet deposition made up a small percentage tration (0.29 ng/L) for the ones taken from less than 30 meter water
of tHg, but it was the largest source of MeHg to the lake. Under the as- depth. In general, the results from our data analysis of tHg in the
sumption that the air–water transport of RGM is exclusively from the water column are consistent with reported values in the literature
atmosphere to water surface, absorption of RGM was treated as a direct (Mason and Sullivan, 1997).
atmospheric load to Lake Michigan. The amount of absorption of RGM Sediment samples were collected during the project (1994–1996)
during the project period was calculated using a simplified form of for mass of total solids, tHg, and MeHg at 117 sediment sample stations
Eq. (3), that included 55 box cores, 61 PONAR grabs, and 1 gravity core (ESM
Appendix B Fig. S3). Rossmann (2002) was used to define the distribu-
  tions of total and MeHg concentrations in the surficial sediments of the
Ca
Saw ¼ kol A ¼ kg C a A ð11Þ main lake (ESM Appendix B Fig. S5 and Fig. S6). The measured tHg
H0
concentrations in the surficial sediments of the main lake ranged from
260 to 35,000 ng/L (or from 2 to 264 ng/g (dw), dw = dry weight)
where Saw is mass flow rate (annual load) for RGM absorption (kg/year), with average tHg concentration of 18,000 ng/L (or 140 ng/g (dw)) for
Ca is the segment-specific Hg2+ vapor concentration (ng/m3), H′ is the box core samples and 4500 ng/L (or 37 ng/g (dw)) for Ponar samples.
temperature-dependent Henry's law constant for RGM (dimension- Based on the work of Rossmann et al. (2001), the range of measured
less), A is the surface area of a surficial water segment (m2), and kg is MeHg concentrations in the surficial sediment varied from 20 to 206
the gas film mass transfer rate coefficient (m/d). The overall mass ex- ng/L (or from 0.16 to 1.68 ng/g (dw)) with an average MeHg concentra-
change rate coefficient (m/d), kol, is approximated as the product of kg tion of 75 ng/L (or 0.57 ng/g (dw)) for box core samples.
and H′ (kg H′), assuming that the liquid film mass transfer rate coeffi- The segment-specific initial concentrations used in the model for
cient (m/d), kl, is much greater than kg H′ in Eq. (4). kg was computed TSRS, DOC, and tHg in the water were based on an interpolation of an-
using the Schwarzenbach formulation (Schwarzenbach et al., 2003) nually averaged cruise measurements collected at the water survey
with correction of Hg2 + (RGM) molecular diffusivity to water vapor stations. The segment-specific initial concentrations used in the model
molecular diffusivity across the air–water interface. Eq. (12) was chosen for TSRS, tHg, and MeHg in the surficial sediment were based on the in-
for its simplicity. terpolation of the measurements collected at the sediment sampling
stations. Due to the lack of measurements and information from the lit-
!0:67 erature for DOC concentration in the lake sediments, the initial concen-
DRGM
kg ¼ ð0:2u10 þ 0:3Þ ð12Þ trations of DOC for the sediment segments were assigned to be equal to
Dg H2 O
the average DOC concentrations in the overlaying water columns.
352 X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359

Unlike tHg, there was no routine cruise measurement at the water the sediment box core samples were compared to model output during
survey stations for mercury components (Hg0, Hg2+, and MeHg) and the model calibrations and further model corroboration. Hundreds of
no measurement at the sediment sampling stations for Hg0 and Hg2+ model calibration runs were conducted in order to finalize the set of
during the project period. The segment-specific initial concentrations values for the majority of parameters listed in Table A1 in Appendix A.
for Hg0 were estimated by assuming 17% of dissolved tHg in Lake The overall LM2-Mercury model calibration was carried out in sepa-
Michigan being Hg0 (or DGM = dissolved gaseous mercury). Mason rate calibrations. It was first calibrated for TSRS and DOC, and then for
et al. (1995) indicated that 10–30% of total dissolved mercury in fresh- tHg, and finally for the mercury components.
water is Hg0. For modeling purposes, the lake-wide average initial con-
dition concentration of the estimated Hg0 in our study was 32 pg/L Calibration of TSRS and DOC
which is consistent with the value 28 ± 17 pg/L reported in a previous
study of Hg in Lake Michigan (Mason and Sullivan, 1997). The segment- Sorption of mercury to fine-grained particles in an aquatic system
specific initial concentrations for MeHg were estimated by assuming 4% increases with increasing organic carbon content of the particles
of tHg in Lake Michigan was MeHg. The percentage was derived based (Stein et al., 1996; Tsiros and Ambrose, 1998). Measured during the
on the data (MeHg/tHg = 0.063 pM/1.6 pM = 0.04, where M = LMMBP, TSRS in Lake Michigan water is relatively high in organic car-
molar) reported from the study by Mason and Sullivan (1997). Given bon contents (23%). Therefore, mercury tends to partition quite strongly
the limited data available to estimate this value, mercury data from 13 onto TSRS in Lake Michigan. Using a previous study (Zhang et al., 2008)
northern freshwater lakes (Watras et al., 1998) were statistically ana- on modeling PCBs in Lake Michigan, the TSRS data sets provided helpful
lyzed using a multiple linear regression of methylmercury as a function insights and estimates for parameters related to TSRS solids cycling and
of DOC and pH (ESM Appendix B). This resulted in an estimate of 4.7% dynamics as well as TSRS and DOC biotransformation processes. In that
(R2 = 0.71) for Lake Michigan, which corroborated reasonably well study, the daily resuspension rates were computed as a function of
with the 4% measured. These MeHg/tHg ratios are lower than those measured wave heights and water depth of each segment. The number
occurring in the small 13 northern lakes. Finally, the segment-specific of parameters needing adjustment during the calibration of TSRS and
initial concentrations for Hg2 + were derived by subtracting Hg0 and DOC were narrowed down to only six. These included saturated decay
MeHg from tHg. rate constants for the particulate organic components of TSRS and
Vapor concentrations serve as forcing functions in air–water ex- DOC in the water, a decay rate constant for the particulate organic com-
change for tHg and Hg0. The segment-specific time functions of vapor ponents of TSRS in sediments, yield coefficients of DOC due to TSRS
concentration for tHg were obtained from the University of Michigan decay in both water and sediments, and the TSRS settling velocity
Air Quality Laboratory and were based on the interpolation of the mea- (Appendix A Table A1).
surements collected at the air sampling stations (ESM Appendix B The results of TSRS and DOC calibration are presented in Fig. 2. Here
Fig. S3). The time functions of vapor concentration for Hg0 were the model-generated volume-weighted, lake-wide average TSRS and
estimated for Lake Michigan as 98% of tHg vapor concentration, which DOC concentrations are plotted against the volume-weighted, lake-
is consistent with the percentage reported in the literature (Mason wide average TSRS and DOC cruise measurements during the LMMBP
et al., 1995; Poissant et al., 2000; Vette, 1998; Vette et al., 2002). project period. Modeled outputs for individual water segments in the
epilimnion indicated that there were mild seasonal variations for both
Parameterization TSRS and DOC due to strong seasonal algae blooms in late spring and
early summer. However, the lake-wide average TSRS and DOC concen-
Defining values of parameters used for describing physical, chemi- trations in Fig. 2 show little variation for TSRS and DOC over the two-
cal, and biogeochemical processes is very important to the model. year period. There is also evidence of resuspension events (small spikes)
Table A1 in Appendix A lists the parameters associated with the major in winter periods presented in the TSRS plot in Fig. 2.
processes conceptualized in Fig. A1 through Fig. A5 in Appendix A. The segment-specific concentrations generated from the model and
There were very few historical data available to determine the model the observed data (segment mean concentrations derived from cruise
parameters for Hg that were specific to Lake Michigan or the Great samples = the data from a cruise sampling averaged by segment) for
Lakes, especially the rate constants of mercury components transforma- DOC and TSRS agreed well (Fig. 3) yielding the correlation coefficients
tions which are significantly influenced by various site-specific factors such as R2 (R2 = 0.6 for DOC; R2 = 0.44 for TSRS) and linear slopes
and temperature (Hudson et al., 1994; Stein et al., 1996; Vette, 1998). near 1.0 (1.15 for DOC; 1.08 for TSRS where the slope represents the
Most of the parameters in Appendix A Table A1 were initialized with mean bias). Some of the disagreement between modeled and measured
values from a very limited set of references and finalized during
model calibrations.
3.0 3.0
Model calibration, corroboration, and results DOC Cruise Mean
DOC Model Output
The parameters used in the model (Appendix A Table A1) were not TSRS Cruise Mean
permitted to assume arbitrary values and were not automatically ad- TSRS Model Output
TSRS (mg/L)

2.0 2.0
DOC (mg/L)

justed using statistical analysis in order to obtain the best “curve fits”
in a strictly mathematical sense. Instead, the parameters were initially
specified either from estimation based on field measurements or from
the literature and were then adjusted during model calibration. When 1.0 1.0
literature values were used, the calibrated parameters were constrained
to be within the reported range.
Samples and measurements gathered during the LMMBP over the
two-year period for water and three-year period for sediments (1994– 0.0 0.0
Jan-94 Jul-94 Dec-94 Jul-95 Dec-95
1996) produced the most comprehensive data sets to date for the
Lake Michigan system which locally defined the external inputs (such
Fig. 2. Time series of the model-generated volume-weighted, lake-wide average Total
as loads from tributaries, the atmosphere, and vapor concentrations) suspended and resuspendable sediments (TSRS) and DOC (dissolved organic carbon)
and parameters related to the water transport fields (Schwab and concentration versus the volume-weighted, lake-wide average TSRS and DOC cruise mea-
Beletsky, 1998). Concentrations measured for the water column and surements from the Lake Michigan Mass Balance Project.
X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359 353

4.00 4.00
y = 1.0801x - 0.0583

TSRS cruise field data mg/L


y = 1.1508x - 0.2918

DOC cruise field data mg/L


R² = 0.6016 R² = 0.4398
3.25 3.00

2.50 2.00

1.75 1.00

1.00 0.00
1 1.75 2.5 3.25 4 0 1 2 3 4
DOC model outputs mg/L TSRS model outputs mg/L

Fig. 3. Observed data (segment-specific cruise mean measurements) versus the model predictions of DOC (left panel) and TSRS (right panel) in respective segments.

values can be attributed to comparison of point measurements to model (Table A1) for these two parameters were within the range of 103.14 to
output that represents an average over a large segment. In particular, 107.0 reported in the literature (Lyon et al., 1997; Mason and Sullivan,
TSRS has a strong concentration gradient from nearshore to offshore 1997; Miles et al., 2001; Tsiros and Ambrose, 1998).
regions of the lake that complicates comparison of modeled values The initial values of partition coefficients for Hg2 + and MeHg on
from large segments to point measurements. Considering these caveats, TSRS and DOC in lake water were assigned based on the final values of
there is reasonable agreement between modeled and measured values. partition coefficients from the calibration of tHg. The final partition co-
efficients for tHg, Hg2+, and MeHg (Appendix A Table A1) are very com-
Calibration of total mercury and mercury components parable to the 105.5 to 105.8 for tHg, and 105.7 for MeHg observed by
Mason and Sullivan (1997) and within the range of 102.8 to 106.6 for
Due to the simplicity of the conceptualization for its mass balance MeHg reported in the literature (Lyon et al., 1997; Miles et al., 2001;
(Fig. A5 in Appendix A), tHg was calibrated first. Two parameters, Tsiros and Ambrose, 1998). The model calibration for mercury compo-
KTSRS,tHg and KDOC,tHg (partition coefficients for tHg on TSRS and DOC nents (Hg2 +, Hg0, and MeHg) was conducted through iterations
in lake water), were adjusted during the calibration, and the final values where the parameters, including partition coefficients and rate

0.8 0.20

Cruise Mean Cruise Mean


0.6 Model Output 0.15 Model Output
∑Hg (ng/L)

Hg0 (ng/L)

0.4 0.10

0.2 0.05

0.0 0.00
Jan-94 Jul-94 Dec-94 Jul-95 Dec-95 Jan-94 Jul-94 Dec-94 Jul-95 Dec-95

0.8 0.04

Cruise Mean Cruise Mean


0.6 Model Output 0.03 Model Output
MeHg (ng/L)
Hg2+ (ng/L)

0.4 0.02

0.2 0.01

0.0 0.00
Jan-94 Jul-94 Dec-94 Jul-95 Dec-95 Jan-94 Jul-94 Dec-94 Jul-95 Dec-95

Fig. 4. Time series of lake-wide, volume-weighted averaged concentrations of ∑Hg (upper left panel), Hg2+ (lower left), Hg0 (upper right), and MeHg (lower right) generated from the
LM2-Mercury model versus the volume-weighted, lake-wide averaged concentrations of total mercury derived from the cruise measurements and Hg2+, Hg0, MeHg estimated using the
fractions of total mercury concentration. Note: ∑Hg = Hg0 + Hg2+ + MeHg; the “observed” data for Hg0, Hg2+, and MeHg were estimated as a fraction of tHg, assuming that 17% of
dissolved tHg in Lake Michigan is Hg0, 4% of tHg in Lake Michigan is MeHg, and rest of tHg is Hg2+. The error bars in ∑Hg plot represent one standard deviation from mean of the cruise
measurements.
354 X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359

constants for mercury transformation, were adjusted simultaneously. during the short-term model calibration, cannot be fully constrained.
The objective in calibration was to achieve the best possible agreement To investigate long-term model performance after the short-term
between model output and measurements as indicated by R2, the slope model calibration and provide confidence in model predictability, a
of linear regression between model outputs and observed data, and long-term (146-year) tHg mercury hindcast was conducted for the
graphically visualizing the model calibration plots against field LM2-Mercury model.
observations. As is the case with most contaminants, measured historic mercu-
The model-generated, volume-weighted, lake-wide average con- ry loads for Lake Michigan do not exist. However, a record of historic
centrations of Σ Hg (based on summing the independently modeled mercury loads can be obtained from the lake sediments (Rossmann,
mercury components), Hg2+, Hg0, and MeHg are plotted against the 2010). The reconstruction of a Lake Michigan historical tHg loading
volume-weighted, lake-wide average concentrations derived from the function used for the mercury hindcasts was based on the average
LMMBP cruise results (Fig. 4). In general, there is good agreement be- annual tHg load measured in 1994–1995 and the information on
tween the model-generated and field-observed mercury concentra- the time variation of mercury fluxes to sediment based on a high
tions. It appears that there was some seasonal variation in model- quality core (core 41) collected from Lake Michigan during the
generated lake-wide concentrations for ∑ Hg, Hg2 + and Hg0 due to project period. Only core 41 was used in deriving the historical mer-
strong seasonal variations observed in mercury atmospheric wet cury loads to the lake (the other cores were used in model corrobo-
deposition and RGM absorption which are the dominant sources to ration). Among the 52 sediment cores collected and analyzed for
the lake. The total mercury atmospheric wet deposition in the summer mercury, core 41 was selected to represent the time variation of mer-
was much higher than the winter wet deposition, which is likely due to cury loads to the lake due to a high sediment accumulation rate (one
the higher concentrations of Hg in rain than in snow and the greater of the highest rates) observed at the core location which leads to lit-
precipitation amounts observed in the summer (Keeler and Dvonch, tle or no time delay for delivery of annual mercury loads to its loca-
2005; Vette et al., 2002). RGM absorption was highest for the summer tion. A detailed description of the protocol to reconstruct historical
seasons and lowest for winter seasons caused by strong seasonal differ- tHg loadings to Lake Michigan can be found in Rossmann (2010).
ences in the deposition velocities and ratios of RGM and TGM (total gas- The water transport fields (advection and dispersion) and meteoro-
eous mercury) with the maximum in summer and the minimum in logical condition such as wind speed, air and water temperature, etc.
winter (Shannon and Voldner, 1995; Vette et al., 2002). The seasonal for the two-year (1994–1995) project period were repeated
variation in Hg0 concentration in the water was related to variation of during the hindcast simulations. The meteorological conditions dur-
the following: Hg2+ concentrations, reduction rates, and Hg0 saturation ing the 1994–1995 period are close to the means for these parame-
percentage (higher in the summer and lower in the winter; Rolfhus and ters (Rossmann, 2006). Values of the parameters (Appendix A
Fitzgerald, 2001; Vette et al., 2002). The model-generated MeHg con- Table A1) finalized during the short-term (two years — 1994 and
centration shows slight variation throughout the LMMBP period due 1995) model calibration were kept the same during the hindcast
to variation in wet deposition loads. No seasonal variation was observed simulation.
in the load from tributaries. In order to corroborate the representativeness of the site-specific pa-
The segment-specific concentrations generated from the model and rameters used in the LM2-Mercury model for the important physical
observed data (segment mean concentrations derived from cruise sam- and biogeochemical processes in Lake Michigan, the results of the mer-
ples = the data from a cruise sampling averaged by segment) for tHg cury hindcast must demonstrate that the model is able to generate the
and ∑Hg are compared in Fig. 5 where tHg is an analytical measure- temporal variation of total mercury concentrations that reasonably
ment of total mercury and ∑ Hg is an independent estimate of the match the observed historical data and profiles in both the water
same collective mass of mercury components. The linear regression be- column and sediments. The historical water and sediment data
tween the model prediction and observation gives reasonable statistical are independent data sets; and, therefore, they help to evaluate model
results for tHg (R2 of 0.53 with a slope of 1.05) and ∑ Hg (R2 of 0.50 corroboration in a more rigorous manner than comparing model
with a slope of 0.95). predictions to observed mercury concentrations in just one model
compartment.
Model corroboration For purposes of corroborating the model's predictions of tHg in lake
water (see Fig. 6, Chart a), the only data available that could be used to
Parameters, especially water–sediment cycling rates (settling and make these estimates were lake trout data (whole fish). A mean bioac-
resuspension rates) and mercury partition coefficients determined cumulation factor (BAF) was calculated for lake trout utilizing data from

Model vs Observed Data for tHg Model vs Observed Data for ∑Hg
1.00 1.00
y = 1.05x + 0.01 y = 0.95x + 0.02
R² = 0.53 R² = 0.50
Cruise field data ng/L

Cruise field data ng/L

0.75 0.75

0.50 0.50

0.25 0.25

0.00 0.00
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
Model outputs ng/L Model outputs ng/L

Fig. 5. Observed data (segment-specific cruise mean measurements) versus the model predictions of tHg (left panel) and ∑Hg (right panel) in respective segments (Note: ∑Hg = Hg0 +
Hg2+ + MeHg).
X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359 355

1.2 were collected from sites near Saugatuck, MI, Sheboygan, MI and Stur-
Volume-weighted, lake-wide mean (model)
Cruise mean(1994-1995)
geon Bay, WI during 1994–1995.
Total Mercury (ng/L)
Historical Estimates by using BAF Lake trout data (composites of 5 fish) collected prior to the 1994–
0.9
1995 LMMBP period along with the calculated BAF from 1994 to 1995
were used to estimate dissolved MeHg in the water. Once dissolved
in water

MeHg was estimated, it was used to estimate tHg in water assuming


0.6
the 1994–1995 ratio (0.32 ng tHg/L/0.00963 ng dissolved MeHg/L) was
constant (see ESM Appendix B for a discussion on this topic). Therefore,
0.3
tHg in the water column for any given year where fish data were available
was estimated by dividing the mean fish concentration by the average
1994–1995 BAF and then use the resultant dissolved MeHg concentration
Chart a estimate to estimate tHg from the 1994–1995 ratio. The fish data were
0.0
1850 1879 1908 1937 1966 1995 obtained from the US Geological Survey's National Contaminant Biomon-
Year itoring Program (USGS, 2013) and were collected during the period
1972–1987. The average age of these fish was estimated to be
6.1 years (range of 5.2–7.5 years). The fish were collected near
9A 15a 41a 13A 17A 19a 21A
22a 24A 25A 26A 27A 29A 31A
0.50 33A 34a 36A 37A 39A 46A 48A
53A 54A 55A 58a 61a 62A 63a some of the same sites as those associated with the 1994–1995 sam-
65A 66a 70a 78A 79a 80A 82A
pling (Saugatuck, MI and Sheboygan, WI). The third site was near
Total mercury (μg/g dw)

83A 85A 86a 87A 97A 99A 101A


0.40 103a 107A 108a 110a 112a 120a Model
Beaver Island in the northern part of the lake.
Measurements of mercury in sediment were more plentiful than his-
in sediments

0.30 torical mercury in water data, with fifty-two box core sediment samples
collected for the LMMBP. Among the box core sediment samples, forty-
0.20 eight sediment core profiles were analyzed for tHg.
Fig. 6 shows that the lake-wide average tHg concentrations generat-
0.10 ed from the model compare well to the observations in both the lake
water column (Chart a) and sediments (Chart b), respectively. As ex-
Chart b pected, the model-generated tHg concentration profile in sediment seg-
0.00
1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 ment #53 (Chart c) matches very well to the profiles from the two high
Year quality box cores (cores 41 and 15) collected within the same segment.
The high quality cores were defined as those having highest sediment
0.50
sed_core_15
accumulation rate, a thin mixed layer representing less than two years
of deposition, and little delay in the delivery of mercury from sources
in sediment segment 53
Total mercury (μg/g dw)

sed_core_41
0.40 to the two sites (Rossmann, 2010). In general, the hindcast results
Model
shown in Fig. 6 confirmed that the model is in reasonable agreement
0.30

0.20 Table 3
Mercury (tHg, Hg0, Hg2+, and MeHg) mass budget assessment for Lake Michigan. Mass
flow rates and inventories are annual averages of the 2-year LMMBP period (1994–1995).
0.10
Mass budget component tHg Hg0 Hg2+ MeHg
Chart c Mass flow rates (kg/year) in water
0.00
1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 column
Total external loads (see Table 2) 1556 8.6 1526 21
Year
Settling −1701 −1656 −24
Resuspension 438 433 2.8
Fig. 6. Comparison between the modeled and observed historic total mercury (tHg) Absorption from atmosphere 326 319
concentration in Lake Michigan water (Chart a), lake-wide sediment trends (Chart b), Gross volatilization from lake −722 −644
and two high quality cores from sediment segment #53 (Chart c). The locations of the Gain or loss (−) from Hg2+ net 325 −325
sediment cores collected during LMMBP can be found in Fig. 1 of Rossmann (2010). The reduction
bioaccumulation factor (BAF) is defined as the field measured MeHg in the whole lake Gain or loss (−) from Hg2+ net −5.4 5.4
trout divided by the field measure dissolved MeHg in the water and was used to estimate methylation
tHg in the water. Gain or loss (−) from MeHg 5.4 −5.4
reductive
demethylation
Diffusion 20 15 2.6
Input from Lake Huron 10 1.5 8 0.4
Export to Lake Huron −21 −1.4 −20 −0.8
Chicago diversion −2.14 −0.1 −1.0 −0.04
1994 to 1995, and this factor (assumed to be constant) was then applied Total net gain or loss (−) −96 14 −25 2.0
Mass flow rate (kg/year) in surficial
to historical lake trout data where only MeHg concentration in whole
sediments
fish were available. Although the predicted historical tHg mercury in Settling 1701 1656 24
the water column exhibits a relatively high variability, the central ten- Resuspension −438 −433 −2.8
dency of these predictions is captured by the model. Burial −587 −586 −0.6
Gain or loss (−) from Hg2+ net 19 −19
The BAF is defined as the field measured MeHg in the fish (Raymond
methylation
and Rossmann, 2009) divided by the field measured dissolved MeHg in Diffusion −20 −15 −2.6
the water. Based on the 1994–1995 MeHg measurements in whole lake Total net gain or loss (−) 656 0 641 −1
trout (wet weight) and dissolved MeHg concentrations in lake water Inventory (kg)
(0.00963 ng/L), a mean BAF of 11.8 × 106 was calculated. Lake trout Water column 1270 195 1120 53
Surficial sediment (0–4 cm) 18,210 0.05 18,098 77
composites (5–6 year old fish) were used to calculate the BAF and
356 X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359

with historical data and provided further confidence and constraint in methylation, resuspension, diffusion, and gain from Lake Huron. The
the parameters determined during the short-term model calibration. losses of MeHg from the water column, ordered from the highest to
the lowest, are associated with settling, loss from in situ reductive
demethylation, export to Lake Huron, and loss through the Chicago
Mass budget assessment Diversion. In the surficial sediments, the principal source of MeHg is
from settling. The major loss of MeHg from the sediment, ordered
With the inclusion of the total tHg external load and various from highest to lowest, are negative net methylation, resuspension, dif-
modeled processes, a mass budget assessment was conducted for total fusion, and burial. Ulrich et al. (2001) supports our finding that in well
mercury (tHg) and the individual mercury components in order to oxygenated sediments such as those of Lake Michigan, negative net
quantify mercury cycling among the various compartments of Lake methylation (demethylation predominates) can be a significant MeHg
Michigan (Table 3). Comparisons of tHg and ∑Hg can be made using loss mechanism. Cold temperatures in the lake sediments also facilitate
this table. demethylation (Ulrich et al., 2001). The negative net methylation alone
Using Tables 2 and 3, one can gain insight on what is controlling tHg accounted for a 76% loss of MeHg from the sediment.
cycling. The gains of tHg to the water column, ordered from highest to The gain of MeHg from in situ Hg2 + net methylation contributed
lowest, are RGM absorption, wet deposition, resuspension, Hg0 absorp- 17% of the MeHg sources to the water column. Mercury methylation
tion, tributary load, dry (particle) deposition, diffusion from sediments, has been well documented to occur within hypoxic/anoxic zones
and input from Lake Huron. The atmospheric contribution to the total facilitated by methylating bacteria. Hypoxic zones in the Lake
tHg load was 85%. The losses from the water column, ordered from Michigan system include Green Bay and nearshore areas of Lake
highest to lowest, are settling, gross volatilization, export to Lake Michigan where the green, filamentous Cladophora alga are abun-
Huron, and loss through the Chicago diversion. In the surficial sedi- dant. There is also speculation that micro-hypoxic zones exist within
ments, the only source is settling from the water column. Losses from the “deep chlorophyll layer” — a zone just below the thermocline in
the sediment, ordered from the highest to the lowest, are burial, resus- the lake where enhanced concentrations of MeHg have been found in
pension, and diffusion. The input of mercury from Lake Huron and ex- the Great Lakes (Ogorek et al., 2011). The rest of the lake is well
port of mercury to Lake Huron are the results of bi-directional water oxygenated and methylation would not be expected in those zones.
flow through the Straits of Mackinac. In the sediment, settling and demethylation were the most dominant
Although not as comprehensive as the one conducted in this study, source and sink for MeHg, respectively.
mass budget assessment for tHg cycling in Lake Michigan has been Some other comments on mercury transport and fate during the pe-
done by a few other researchers (Jeremiason et al., 2009; Mason and riod 1994–1995 can be made when reviewing Table 3. The results show
Sullivan, 1997; Vette et al., 2002). Table 4 shows a comparison between that the Lake Michigan system had a net loss from the water column of
the results from this study and the other researchers. In general, our 96 kg/year and was likely not at steady state for tHg during the project
assessment on tHg cycling is in good agreement with their estimates. period, which is in agreement with the downward trend in water
Using Tables 2 and 3, Hg0 gains to the water column, arranged from column predicted by the model hindcast (Fig. 6, Chart a) and the con-
the highest to the lowest, are Hg2+ net reduction, absorption from the tinuing downward trend observed from the recent post-audit data
atmosphere, tributary loads, reductive demethylation, and input from (the mean concentration of 0.332 ng/L in the main lake for 2005
Lake Huron. The major loss of Hg0 from the water column was from spring–summer by Jeremiason et al., 2009 and the mean concentration
gross volatilization. Some minor amounts were also lost from export of 0.253 ng/L for 2010 by Krabbenhoft and Dove, 2012). Most of the
to Lake Huron and through the Chicago diversion. In the surficial sedi- mercury coming into the lake water is in the form of Hg2+ from external
ment, there were no mercury gains or losses of Hg0. sources, and most of it leaving the water column is also in the form of
The gains of Hg2+ in the water column, arranged from highest to Hg2+. The water column inventory of tHg and MeHg was 1270 kg and
lowest, are RGM absorption, wet deposition, resuspension, tributary 53 kg, respectively, and the inventory of tHg and MeHg in the sediment
load, dry (particle) deposition, diffusion from the surficial sediment, was 18,210 kg and 77 kg, respectively. Hg0 mass inventory was very low
and input from Lake Huron (Tables 2 and 3). The largest losses of in the sediment.
Hg2+ in the water column, arranged from highest to lowest, are settling,
Hg2 + net reduction, export to Lake Huron, net methylation, and the Conclusions
Chicago diversion. The loss from both net reduction and net methylation
accounted for 16% and 3% of the total loss for Hg2+ in the water column, Results from the LM2-Mercury calibration and corroboration dem-
respectively. The major source of Hg2+ to the surficial sediments is from onstrate the representativeness of the model construct and parameter-
settling. A minor gain of Hg2 + in the surficial sediments was from ization for describing mercury cycling in Lake Michigan. Atmospheric
negative net methylation meaning the mass of Hg2+ generated from sources, including loads from RGM absorption and wet and dry
demethylation is greater than the mass of Hg2+ lost to methylation. (particle) deposition, were the primary external loads of mercury to
The sources of MeHg to the water column, ordered from the highest Lake Michigan. A mass budget assessment conducted based on the
to the lowest, are wet deposition, tributary loads, gain from in situ net model results illustrated that, in addition to the loading from atmo-
sphere, interaction between water and the surficial sediment, and air–
Table 4 water exchange are the other key processes controlling tHg cycling
Comparison of mass fluxes for reactive gaseous mercury (RGM) deposition, dissolved and concentrations in the lake. In situ production of Hg0 from Hg2 +
gaseous mercury (DGM) emission, and tHg net settling and burial done by different net reduction was the dominant internal source of Hg0 for Lake
researchers for Lake Michigan.
Michigan. The largest Hg2+ mass loss was from the settling to the sed-
RGM deposition (kg/year) DGM emission (kg/year) Reference iment. The gain of MeHg from in situ Hg2+ net methylation contributed
320–959 286–797 Vette et al. (2002) approximately 17% of the MeHg to the water column. Most of the MeHg
520 Mason and Sullivan (1997) gain in the water column is coming from MeHg loads associated with
380–850 Jeremiason et al. (2009) wet deposition and the tributary inputs. Net methylation in the sedi-
651 644 This study
ment is −76%. Settling was another key process influencing the concen-
Net settling (kg/year) Burial (kg/year) Reference trations of MeHg in both the water and surficial sediment.
Model results indicate that mercury in Lake Michigan water during
742 632 Mason and Sullivan (1997)
1263 587 This study
the period 1994–1995 was likely not at steady state (mechanisms that
tend to reduce the mercury water concentrations dominated over
X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359 357

mechanisms that tend to increase mercury concentrations), and this re- WHg2+ Absorption
sult is consistent with a continuing downward trend confirmed by more
recent measurements of mercury in Lake Michigan water.
Advection Advection
Bound Hg2+ KTSRS,Hg 2+ Out
In Dissolved kRw-Hg 2+
Acknowledgments Hg2+
TSRS DOC K DOC,Hg 2+ kMw-Hg 2+ Exchange
Water
Funding sources for this project came from the U.S. Environmental Column
Settling Resuspension Diffusion Diffusion
Protection Agency (Great Lakes National Program Office, Office of Re-
search and Development, and Contract No. EP-D-11-092). It has been Surface
subjected to review by the National Health and Environmental Effects Mixed Bound Hg 2+ KTSRS,Hg 2+ Dissolved
Research Laboratory and approved for publication. Approval does not Sediment
Hg 2+
kMs-Hg 2+
TSRS DOC KDOC,Hg2+
signify that the contents reflect the views of the Agency, nor does men- Layer
tion of trade names or commercial products constitute endorsement or
Burial
recommendation for use. Special thanks goes out to the agency person-
nel at the Large Lakes Research Station, Grosse Ile, Michigan for general
support and technical direction; anonymous technical reviewers (J. Fig. A3. Conceptual framework for Hg2+, where kRw–Hg2þ ¼ Hg2þ net reduction to Hg0 in
water; kMw–Hg2þ ¼ Hg2þ net methylation to MeHg in water; net methylation to MeHg in
Great Lakes Res.); and Dr. James Pauer and Dr. Mark Rowe for their help- sediments; K TSRS;Hg2þ = partitioning of Hg2+ between dissolved phase and particulate
ful comments. (TSRS) phase; K DOC;Hg2þ = partitioning of Hg2+ between dissolved phase and particulate
(DOC) phase; W = sum of all loads.

Appendix A. Conceptual framework for model state variables and


a table of parameters specified for processes conceptualized in
LM2-Mercury
WMeHg

Advection Advection
In Bound MeHg KTSRS,MeHg Dissolved kMw-Hg 2+ Out
MeHg kDw-MeHg
TSRS DOC KDOC,MeHg Exchange
Water
Column
Settling Resuspension Diffusion Diffusion
WTSRS WDOC
Surface
Mixed Bound MeHg KTSRS,MeHg
Dissolved
Sediment kMs-Hg 2+
Advection In Advection Out Layer TSRS DOC KDOC,MeHg MeHg
TSRS TSRS
DOC DOC
Decay Exchange
to
Water Burial
Column Settling Resuspension Diffusion
Fig. A4. Conceptual framework for MeHg, where kMw–Hg2þ ¼ Hg2þ net methylation to
Surface MeHg in water; kDw–MeHg = MeHg reductive demethylation to Hg0 in water; kMs–Hg2þ ¼
Mixed DOC Hg2þ net methylation to MeHg in sediment; KTSRS,MeHg = partitioning of MeHg between
Sediment
TSRS TSRS
DOC Decay dissolved phase and particulate (TSRS) phase; KDOC,MeHG = partitioning of MeHg between
Layer to dissolved phase and particulate (DOC) phase; W = sum of all loads.

Burial

Fig. A1. Conceptual framework for TSRS and DOC cycling, where TSRS = total suspended
and resuspendable solids; DOC = dissolved organic carbon; W = sum of all loads.

Volatilization
WtHg + Absorption

Volatilization
WHg0 + Absorption
Advection Advection
In Bound tHg KTSRS,tHg Dissolved Out

Advection Advection TSRS DOC KDOC,tHg tHg


Exchange
In 2+ Dissolved Out Water
k Rw-Hg
Hg0
k Dw-MeHg Exchange Column
Settling Resuspension Diffusion Diffusion
Water
Column Surface
Diffusion
Mixed Bound tHg KTSRS,tHg Dissolved
Sediment
Surface
Layer TSRS DOC K DOC,tHg tHg
Mixed Dissolved
Sediment
Layer
Hg0 Burial

Fig. A5. Conceptual framework for tHg, where tHg = total Hg; KTSRS,tHg = partitioning of
Fig. A2. Conceptual framework for Hg0, where kRw–Hg2þ ¼ Hg2þ net reduction to Hg0 in total Hg between dissolved phase and particulate (TSRS) phase; KDOC,tHG = partitioning
water; kDw–MeHg = MeHg reductive demethylation to Hg0 in water; W = sum of all loads. total Hg between dissolved phase and particulate (DOC) phase; W = sum of all loads.
358 X. Zhang et al. / Journal of Great Lakes Research 40 (2014) 347–359

Table A1
Final parameters specified for processes conceptualized in LM2-Mercury.

Parameter Definition and units Value Data Source

kdðDOCÞ Saturated decay rate constant of DOC in water at a temperature of 20 °C, d−1, d = day 0.006 Zhang et al. (2008); then calibrated
k1/2(DOC) Half-saturation constant for DOC decay in water, mg/L 3.1 Zhang et al. (2008); then calibrated
kdsðDOCÞ Decay rate constant for DOC in sediments at a temperature of 20 °C, d−1 0.015 Zhang et al. (2008)
kdðTSRSÞ Saturated decay rate constant of TSRS in water at a temperature of 20 °C, d−1 0.023 This study1; then calibrated
k1/2(TSRS) Half-saturation constant for TSRS decay in water, mg/L 1.7 Estimate from this study
kdsðTSRSÞ Decay rate constant for TSRS in sediments at a temperature of 20 °C, d−1 10−6 This study2; then calibrated
Y(TSRS–DOC) Yield coefficient (%) of DOC during TSRS decay in water, dimensionless 40 Zhang et al. (2008); then calibrated
Ys(TSRS–DOC) Yield coefficient (%) of DOC during TSRS decay in sediment, dimensionless 50 Zhang et al. (2008); then calibrated
vs(TSRS) Lake wide average TSRS settling velocity, m/d 0.71 Calibration from this study
vb Lake wide average sediment accumulation rate, cm/year 0.17 Zhang et al. (2008)
Ds Diffusion coefficient for dissolved Hg and DOC diffusion at water and sediment interface, m2/d 1.73 × 10−4 Zhang et al. (2008)
KTSRS,tHg In situ partition coefficient for tHg on TSS, L/kg TSRS 105.95 This study3; then calibrated
K TSRS;Hg2þ Partition coefficient for Hg2+ on TSRS, L/kg TSRS 106.05 This study4; then calibrated
KTSRS,MeHg′ Partition coefficient for MeHg on TSRS, L/kg TSRS 105.30 This study4; then calibrated
KDOC,tHg Partition coefficient for tHg on DOC, L/kg DOC 104.95 This study5; Calibration
K DOC;Hg2þ Partition coefficient for Hg2+ on DOC, L/kg DOC 105.05 This study5; then calibrated
KDOC,MeHg Partition coefficient for MeHg on DOC, L/kg DOC 105.50 This study5; then calibrated
kRw−Hg2þ Net saturated reduction rate constant for dissolved Hg2+ in water at 20 °C, d−1 0.012 Vette et al. (2002); then calibrated
d
kð1=2Þ−Hg2þ Half-saturation constant for dissolved Hg2+ in water, ng/L 0.3 Estimate from this study
d
kMw−Hg2þ Net saturated methylation rate constant for dissolved Hg2+ in water at 20 °C, d−1 0.0002 Tsiros and Ambrose (1998); then calibrated
d
kDw−MeHgd Saturated reductive demethylation rate constant for dissolved MeHg in water at 20 °C, d−1 0.002 Tsiros and Ambrose (1998); then calibrated
kð1=2Þ−MeHgd Half-saturation constant for dissolved MeHg in water, ng/L 0.018 Estimate from this study
kMs−Hg2þ p
Rate constant of net methylation for particulate Hg2+ in sediment at 20 °C, d−1 −6.0 × 10−6 Tsiros and Ambrose (1998); then calibrated
kMs−Hg2þ Rate constant of net methylation for dissolved Hg2+ in sediment at 20 °C, d−1 −6.0 × 10−6 Tsiros and Ambrose (1998); then calibrated
d
1,2
Estimated initially based on saturated decay rate constant of particulate organic carbon (POC) (Zhang et al., 2008) and the ratio of POC and TSRS measured in the water and sediment of
the lake. 3Estimated initially based on field measurements from LMMBP. 4Assumed that partition coefficient was initially assigned as the one used for tHg. 5Assumed that partition coef-
ficient for mercury on DOC is an order of magnitude less than that on TSRS (Tsiros and Ambrose, 1998; Zhang et al., 2008).

Appendix B. Supplementary data response times to changes in atmospheric deposition. Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 28
(4), 881–893.
Krabbenhoft, D., Dove, A., 2012. Mercury and methylmercury in surface waters across the
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Landis, M.S., Keeler, G.J., 2002. Atmospheric mercury deposition to Lake Michigan during
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