BO NNIE G. BU C H ANAN
Securitization and the Global Economy
Bonnie G. Buchanan
vii
viii PREFACE
in legal, political, and cultural regimes. For example, why have securiti-
zation attempts been more successful in Europe rather than the USA?
Ultimately I will provide an overall assessment of the costs and benefits of
securitization in the current global economy, particularly in the aftermath
of the recent financial crisis. I also intend to offer a roadmap for future
research. The book is structured as follows:
In the first chapter I focus on securitization, viewed as both a catalyst
and solution to the global financial crisis, or to quote Haldane (2013)—“a
financing vehicle for all seasons”. Securitization also shed new light on the
nature of money as debt (Dodd 2015). In the first chapter I examine finan-
cialization and the key transformation of securitization in global markets. I
also detail how the modern securitization market boomed after the 1980s.
Two mini cases—Carrington Capital Asset Management and Northern
Rock—are provided to highlight the early casualties of the financial crisis.
In Chap. 2 I examine securitization in a global historical context. I argue
that securitization is not the relatively new phenomenon many believe it
to be. What can be termed “crude”6 forms of securitization trace their ori-
gins back to the twelfth-century Genoa. Snowden (1995) describes early
US attempts prior to World War II at rebundling mortgages as tradable
securities as “a fundamental misreading of the European experience”. In
1877, The New York Times provides an account of failing assets based on
mortgages in the Western part of the United States, “…it is quite clear
that investors cannot be over-vigilant in connection with a system which
practically takes the management of their money out of their own hands
and places them at the mercy of agencies whose responsibility is seldom
or never equal to the responsibilities they assume”. Frederiksen (1894b)
documents new Western loan companies in 1887 disposing of mortgages
in the form of securities to investors in the Eastern states. Lance (1983)
and Goetzmann and Newman (2009) describe a smaller situation in the
1920s that was generated by a mortgage pooling experiment and its sub-
sequent collapse. Although these events may be described a “crude” form
of securitization, they highlight a flaw that we see repeated in the current
crisis. Quite simply, when the link between those who sell mortgages and
those who bear the risk of default is broken, lax lending ensues with disas-
trous consequences as witnessed in 1880s as well as more recently. The
earliest use of this style of structured financing was largely confined to a
localized market in twelfth-century Italy. Kohn (1999) acknowledges this
as an early attempt at securitization.
In Chap. 3 I discuss the evolution of asset-backed securitizations beyond
the more familiar mortgage-backed securities market. I will include exam-
x PREFACE
Notes
1. The Oxford Dictionary of Quotations, Partington, Angela (ed.),
Oxford University Press, 1992.
2. Ferguson, Charles, Predator Nation, Crown Publishing, 2012.
3. Gordon, G. and A. Metrick (2011), Securitization. Working paper.
McConnell, J. and S. Buser (2011), The Origins and Evolution of
the Market for Mortgage Backed Securities, Annual Review of
Financial Economics.
4. Too Big to Swallow, The Economist, May 2007.
xi
xii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
6 Alternatives to Securitization173
8 Conclusion221
References229
Index245
xiii
List of Figures
xv
xvi List of Figures
Fig. 5.1 Chinese Bank non-performing loans to total gross loans 156
Fig. 6.1 CB issuance (mill. EUR) by country excl. total 174
Fig. 6.2 CB new issuers by country excl. total 174
Fig. 7.1 Credit crisis filings 192
Fig. 7.2 American securitization issuance 1996–2014, USD bn 196
Fig. 7.3 Total assets of the US Federal Reserve 198
Fig. 7.4 European issuance—placed versus retained 2007–2015 205
Fig. 7.5 Total assets of European Central Bank 211
Fig. 7.6 A Summary of the European Comission’s framework
on securitization Regulation and Amendments to the
Capital Requirements Directive 214
Fig. 8.1 European securitization issuance—% Retained 2007–2015 225
List of Tables
xvii
CHAPTER 1
1 Introduction
In 1858 William Gladstone wrote, “Finance is, as it were, the stomach
of the country, from which all other organs take their tone.”1 This sen-
timent still rings true (Mason 2015; Turner 2015). Mukunda (2014)
describes the financial system as the “economy’s circulatory system” and
the large banks as “the heart”. Furthermore, (Mukunda 2014) attributes
the “enlarged heart” of the US economy to the impact of financializa-
tion. Financialization is a term used to describe the expansion of finan-
cial trading associated with the abundance of new financial instruments
(Phillips 1994; Orhangazi 2008; Krippner 2009). The increasing influ-
ence of financial markets and institutions impacts other societal institu-
tions (including the government) placing a reliance on short-term liquid
assets. Eventually, investment in real assets is crowded out by financial
asset investment, an activity Orhangazi (2008) describes as “distributive”
rather than “creative”. Due to the transference of income from the real
sector to the financial sector, financialization is also credited with contrib-
uting to increased income inequality, wage stagnation, increased private
and public debt, ownership concentration, and destabilizing economies
due to an increasingly complex and opaque financial system (Palley 2007;
Engelen 2008; Kindleberger 2011; Giron and Chapoy 2013; Rajan 2010;
Lagoarde-Segot 2015b). Since 1973, in many developed countries, debt
has soared and wages have stagnated. If wages stagnate and more profits
are generated from mortgage and credit card loans, there will reach a
point where this is clearly not sustainable.
It is clear that we live in a financial system that bears little resemblance
to previous generations (FCIC Report 2011). Between 2000 and 2007,
global financial assets soared from US$94 trillion to US$196 trillion, a
phenomenon that Former Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Paul
Volcker refers to as the “modern alchemy of financial engineering.”2 This
transformation of financial markets at both the macro and micro level may
be attributed to both globalization and financialization.
Globalization describes the process by which national economies have
become increasingly interdependent. Economic, political, and techno-
logical changes are influential drivers of the process (SIFMA 2015).3
Financialization may be defined as the expansion of financial trading and
abundance of new financial instruments (Phillips 2008; Epstein 2001;
Orhangazi 2008; Krippner 2005; Engelen 2008; Krippner 2009; Giron
and Chapoy 2013; Buchanan 2015b; Aalbers 2015). Globalization and
financialization are not the same thing (Montgomerie 2008; Engelen
2008; Aalbers 2009a, b). Financialization needs globalization and, in turn,
globalization takes place through financialization (Aalbers 2009a, b).
One example of the complexity that results from financialization
is securitization. Securitization is a technique which has come to be
epitomized as a key trigger of the 2007–2008 financial crisis (FCIC
Report 2011). Once referred to as the “alchemy” by Lewis Ranieri4
at the Salomon Bros mortgage-backed securities (MBS) trading desk,
securitization became the funding model and risk transfer method of
choice for many global investors over the last four decades. Prior to
the financial crisis two thirds of the outstanding US home mortgages
were securitized (Aalbers 2009a, b) and between 30 and 75 percent of
consumer loans were securitized (Gorton and Metrick 2012). By 2007,
more than half of student and credit card loans were securitized in the
USA (Arnold et al. 2012).
Collier and Mahon (1993) argue that financialization may reverberate
with globalization and securitization, viewing financialization as a higher-
order concept, while securitization may be thought of as a tertiary con-
cept. Thus securitization refers to a set of techniques or a process which
is a precondition for financialization but does not in itself contain all the
properties financialization purports to possess. This is best illustrated in
Fig. 1.1.
SECURITIZATION AND THE WAY WE LIVE NOW 3
Globalization
Financialization Commodification
So, where does securitization fit in? I will start by broadly defining
securitization as the sale of underlying assets or debt so that they are
removed off the issuer’s balance sheet [usually to a special purpose vehi-
cle (SPV)], by pooling of illiquid assets, credit enhancement, and tranch-
ing of the underlying pool. To make the securitized products more
palatable to international investors, the tranches are assigned a rating
by the major credit ratings agencies (such as Moody’s and Standard and
Poor’s). The securitization process should be able to sell and redistribute
risk (especially credit risk and liquidity risk) to those investors who are
more capable of bearing it. Results should include improved functional-
ity and stability of the markets. In theory, anything that is expected to
bring in a steady stream of revenue can be securitized. In recent years,
the more popular securitized assets have included: mortgages, accounts
receivables, student loans, business equipment leases, small business
loans, credit-card receivables, automobile loans, computer and truck
leases, farm and energy loans, gold, carbon emission rights, mutual-
fund management fees, taxi medallions, and even the royalties paid on
music.5 In addition, during the last decade, governments (for example,
Greece) securitized many assets including highway tolls, airport landing
fees, future national lottery receipts, and even grants from the European
Union (Buchanan 2015b).
Securitization is the result of the globalization of finance and the declin-
ing role of banks in favor of managed money (Minsky 2008). Prior to the
1970s, banks retained loans on their own books and had to grow either
through mergers or by attracting new deposits. Securitization changed
this (Sellon and VanNahmen 1988; Minsky 2008; Buchanan 2015b) and
brought about a new way for banks to accelerate lending, as well as gener-
ating more fees and income. This would be balanced against liquidity needs
and capital regulatory requirements. By redistributing loans, banks could
cut their capital needs which allowed them to lend more. Securitization
4 B.G. BUCHANAN
the global have suffered unemployment, and the figure remains dismal.
For example, in 2007, the Spanish unemployment rate was 8 percent
and rose to 26 percent in 2013 (Turner 2015). In addition, real wages
continue to fall, as does per capita income. Public debt figures have
soared since 2007, leaving global markets facing a weak and unbalanced
recovery.
In terms of the securitization market, many aspects such as home
equity loans, mortgages and CDOs have been decimated. In the USA,
the Federal National Mortgage Association, Fannie Mae (FNMA), the
Government National Mortgage Association, Ginnie Mae (GNMA), and
the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Association, Freddie Mac (FHLMA)
are presently funding more than 80 percent of the nation’s mortgages.8
Growth in the private label securitization (PLS) market continues to
remain weak. The failures of Countrywide Financial, New Century
Financial, Indymac, Ameriquest, Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Merrill
Lynch, AIG, and Washington Mutual quickly became linked to toxic
securitized products. Since then more than 1300 US mortgage-related
entities have declared bankruptcy, have been acquired, or have closed.9
The IMF estimates that US banks alone have lost more than $885 billion
due to credit write-downs.10 Many key segments of the European securi-
tization market continue to rely on the European Central Bank’s liquid-
ity program. China banned the sale of asset-backed securities (ABS) in
2009 when the global financial crisis tarnished the market’s reputation.
However, the ban was lifted in early 2013. There are still concerns about
the sustainability of the market due to China’s growing debt moun-
tain and non-performing loans. Despite this, China became the largest
securitization market in Asia in 2014, surpassing both Japan and South
Korea (Buchanan 2015a).
Reflecting on the role of financialization and securitization in the
financial crisis, Palley (2007) and Giron and Chapoy (2013) suggest
that there is a need to restore effective control over financial markets.
In the next sections I focus on securitization, viewed as both a catalyst
and a solution to the global financial crisis. Or, in terms of Haldane’s
more optimistic quote at the start of this chapter, “a financing vehicle
for all seasons”. Securitization also shed new light on the nature of
money as debt (Dodd 2015). In this chapter I examine financializa-
tion and the key transformation of securitization in global markets.
In the next section, I outline the evolution of the research area of
financialization.
6 B.G. BUCHANAN
2 Financialization
Financialization has changed the structure and operation of the financial
system. Financialization results from intensified competition during peri-
ods of hegemonic transition where profit in the economy is generated
through financial channels rather than productive channels (Arrighi 1994).
Lin and Tomaskovic-Devey (2011) describe financialization as the merg-
ing of two processes after the 1970s, namely the increasing dominance of
the finance sector in the US economy and the increased participation of
non-finance firms in the financial sector.
Since the mid-1990s there has been a growing literature around finan-
cialization (Engelen 2008). Historically, financialization is usually dis-
cussed by economic geographers, sociologists, historians, and political
scientists, but rarely in the finance literature. This has recently changed
with more discussions appearing in finance-related literature, such as
Mason (2015), Kay (2015), Plender (2015), Turner (2015), Buchanan
(2015c), and Lagoarde-Segot (2015).
Epstein (2001) offers the following definition of financialization:
holder value, and (3) the financialization of daily life. Stock market turnover
has increased dramatically as a percentage of GDP (Turner 2015).
Financialization changed the relationship between banks and compa-
nies and was marked by four changes that started in the 1980s (Mason
2015). Firstly, companies went to the open markets to fund expansion
rather than turn directly to banks. Next, banks turned to investment bank-
ing for high-risk and complex activities. Banks also placed more emphasis
on their customers as a source of profit with credit cards, student loans,
mortgages, car loans, home equity loans, and overdrafts representing a
growing proportion of profit. Finally, these loans were then used in more
complex financial arrangements where the payments were packaged into
financial instruments.
To see how the influence of the financial sector has grown as a percent
of GDP, we can measure it using financial assets, employment, or average
wages. Greenwood and Scharfstein (2013) measure the financial sector
as a percent of US GDP and observe a substantial change rising from
2.8 percent in 1950 to 4.9 percent in 1980 and 8.3 percent in 2006.
They also observe that the rate of increase is much faster after 1980 (at
13 basis points per annum) compared with 7 basis points in the previous
30 years.
The finance sector share of profits soared between 1980 and 2007, tri-
pling from a stable postwar average of 15 percent to a peak of 45 percent
in 2007 (Krippner 2011; Lin and Tomaskovic-Devey 2011). According to
Pasquale (2015), while the US finance sector accounts for 29 percent (or
$57.7 billion) of overall profits, it accounted for less than 10 percent to
the value added in the US economy in 2010.
Is the current financial system any better at transferring borrowers’
funds to savers than the financial system 100 years ago? Apparently not,
according to Philippon (2012), who cites financial intermediary total
compensation as 9 percent of GDP.
Financialization studies also examine credit availability changes and
how these impact macroeconomic changes and the business cycle. An
increase in the volume of debt and credit has been defining features of
financialization in the USA and developed countries. To illustrate the
rapid rise of financialization in the USA, Fig. 1.2 shows the evolution of
total US credit market debt outstanding between 1973 and 2014. During
this period, total debt as a percent of US GDP rose from 157.1 percent
to 337.0 percent.
8 B.G. BUCHANAN
400.0%
350.0%
300.0%
250.0%
Perecnt of GDP
200.0%
150.0%
100.0%
50.0%
0.0%
Year
Figure 1.3 shows the evolution of financial sector debt and non-financial
sector debt during the same period. US financial sector debt rose much
faster than non-financial sector debt during the same period. Specifically,
financial sector debt rose from 9.7 to 24.1 percent of total debt.
100.0%
90.0%
80.0%
70.0%
% of US GDP
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
Year
Financial Sector debt/GDP (%) Non-Financial Sector debt/GDP (%)
250
200
150
100
50
1990 2013
250.0
200.0
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
2007 2013
120.0%
100.0%
80.0%
% of GDP
60.0%
40.0%
20.0%
0.0%
Year
25.0%
20.0%
FIRE/GDP (%)
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
Year
3 Securitization
According to Krippner (2011) financialization was not a deliberate out-
come sought by policymakers but rather an inadvertent result of the
state’s attempts to solve other economic problems. Financialization was
a response to financial liberalization reforms occurring in the early 1980s
(Lagoarde-Segot 2015). These reforms were a response to low economic
growth rates, high and persistent inflation, and low investment in the
previous decade. As a result, interest rates, bond markets, capital flows,
stock market trading, and foreign exchange markets were all liberalized.
In addition, there was increasing deregulation in banking activities and
credit control policies were relaxed. This was perceived as a necessary step
for globalization and financialization. The same may be said of modern
securitization, which had its origins in government and government-
sponsored institutions like Fannie Mae (FNMA), Ginnie Mae (GNMA),
and Freddie Mac (FHLMC). These three government sponsored enti-
ties were instrumental in implementing and institutionalizing three other
important changes: secondary mortgage markets, credit scoring (or the
financialization of daily life), and risk-based pricing.
The more common presentation securitization is that it originated
approximately three decades ago at the Salomon Brothers’ mortgage trad-
ing desk. The typical description of the rise of securitization tends to fol-
low a pattern like the one by Zandi (2009) who describes three waves
of growth in the securitization market. Ginnie Mae started with mod-
ern securitization in 1970, by selling securities based on Federal Housing
Authority (FHA) and Veteran’s Authority (VA) loans and providing a
SECURITIZATION AND THE WAY WE LIVE NOW 13
guarantee for the principal and interest. The following year Freddie Mac
took the lead in the securitization of conventional mortgages. In the
1970s, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the FHA dominated the mortgage
securitization market. In the late 1980s, the Resolution Trust Corporation
(RTC) (a regulatory response to the S&L crisis) securitized everything
from commercial mortgages to auto loans. Eventually, Wall Street firms
became the dominant players in the securitization market after the RTC
wound down its operations in 1995.
3.1 What’s in a Name?
Although the 2007 global financial crisis exhibits many boom and bust
characteristics, compared with other crises the role of securitization is
relatively new (Laeven and Valencia 2009). Securitization can be broadly
defined as a technique or process where a financial intermediary acquires
financial assets (such as equity or debt instruments), repackages the cash
flows on those equity or debt instruments, and issues marketable securities
representing claims on the repackaged cash flows. This allows the original
asset owners to remove the original items from their balance sheets and
free it up for more lending (Culp and Neves 1998; Cummins and Weiss
2009). Lipson (2012) states that the initial Dodd–Frank (2010) docu-
mentation does not provide a working definition of securitization.
Compared with other structured financial products, there is nothing
inherently injudicious about securitization as a technique process. Indeed,
the term “securitization” does not make its meaning immediately apparent
(Lanchester 2014). He refers to the “reversification” of financial words,
and in the case of securitization he states that what initially appears to be a
word that suggests security or reliability, ends up in the public conscious-
ness being associated with a product put to malign use.
The origins of the word “securitization” are mixed. One of the earliest
mentions in the literature is a 1981 edition of American Banker, which
refers to securitization as “those mortgages that tend to be securitized
through the secondary mortgage market pipeline and sold to a still reluc-
tant group of institutional investors”. However, Lewis Ranieri (2000)
takes credit for being the father of modern securitization and describes
the rather colourful history behind the origins of the word. He claims the
word first appeared in the Wall Street Journal in 1977 in the “Heard on
the Street” column. He goes on to say,
14 B.G. BUCHANAN
Ann Monroe, the reporter responsible for writing the column, called me
to discuss the underwriting by Salomon Brothers of the first conventional
mortgage pass-through security, the landmark Bank of America issue. She
asked what I called the process and, for want of a better term, I said secu-
ritization. Wall Street Journal editors are sticklers for good English, and
when the reporter’s column reached her editor, he said there was no such
word as securitization. He complained that Ms. Monroe was using improper
English and needed to find a better term. Late one night, I received another
call from Ann Monroe asking for a real word. I said, ‘But I don’t know any
other word to describe what we are doing. You’ll have to use it.’ The Wall
Street Journal did so in protest, noting that securitization was a term con-
cocted by Wall Street and was not a real word.
The term securitization refers to the process of converting assets with pre-
dictable cash flows into securities that can be bought and sold in finan-
cial markets. In other words, securitization allows financial institutions to
bundle and convert illiquid income-producing assets held on their balance
sheets, such as individual mortgage loans or credit card receivables, into
liquid securities.
However, the Office for the Comptroller of the Currency provides the
following definition:
property (IP) securitization industry. In the last few years life insurance
contracts, solar energy contracts, microcredit, carbon emission rights,
and comic book leases have also shown growth potential for the secu-
ritization market. Prior to the Eurozone debt crisis the Greek govern-
ment securitized many assets including: highway tolls, airport landing
fees, future receipts from the national lottery, and even grants from the
European Union. What this allowed the Greek government to do was
to realize future revenues sooner and increase spending immediately.
Some Eurozone countries also securitized their sovereign debt, result-
ing in a lower debt/GDP ratio (Buchanan 2015b).12 For many emerg-
ing markets, securitization has proved a cost-effective way to deal with
non-performing loans.
After the mid-1990s, the PLS market started to rapidly accelerate
along with the creation of more elaborate securitized instruments, some
of which started to achieve quite bizarre levels of complexity. Therefore
it is not surprising that the securitized products came to be thought of
colloquially as an “alphabet soup”. Here is a sampling of other instru-
ments to emerge prior to 2007: CMO (collateralized mortgage obli-
gations where all the tranches drew their payouts from the same pool
of mortgages), CLO (collateralized loan obligations), CSO [collateral-
ized synthetic obligations (consisting of a synthetic asset pool)], CFO
(a CDO-like structure that acquires investments in hedge funds or pri-
vate equity funds), CCO (collateralized commodity obligation—this
acquires exposures in c ommodity derivatives) and CXO (collateralized
foreign exchange obligations which acquire exposure in exchange rate
derivatives).
Securitization requires not only an expanding market, but also the
deregulation and internationalization of domestic financial markets
(Sassen 2001). Schwarcz (2009) and Aalbers (2008, 2009a, b) have
focused on financialization and the mortgage markets and have placed
considerable emphasis on the technological development of securitization.
To Minsky (2008) both globalization and securitization reflect new com-
munication technology, computation, and record keeping. Lipson (2012)
even refers to “securitization” as a disruptive technology. Minsky (2008)
attributes the development of modern securitization to the globalization
of finance, the declining role of banks, and the increased importance of
managed money. Securitization altered the liquidity transformation role of
bank funding (Diamond 1984; Holstrom and Tirole 1997; Loutkina and
SECURITIZATION AND THE WAY WE LIVE NOW 17
years the credit ratings agencies (CRA) played no explicit role in govern-
ment sponsored entities (GSE) MBS and collateralized mortgage obliga-
tions (CMO) issuance, because the GSE sponsorship denoted an implicit
government guarantee. In the late 1990s, as the private label market
in MBS and CMOs expanded, CRAs were called upon to provide rat-
ings of tranches. In theory, the investment grade tranche should have an
extremely remote chance of default. Securities could be structured accord-
ing to different tiers of risk.
Consider the following example based on a mortgage-backed security
structure. Assume there are 100 mortgage loans, each nominally worth
$1 million, totaling a mortgage pool worth $100 million. The loans have
a maturity of one year and all the loans have a zero recovery rate. This
means that if the borrower defaults, the lender loses the entire invest-
ment. Now under the OTD model, the MBS sets up a SPV which funds
the loan portfolio by debt. The SPV is legally insulated from the banks.
Credit default swaps (CDS) can also be purchased to protect structured
investment vehicle (SIV) commercial paper, residential mortgage-backed
securities (RMBS), and CDOs. Prior to 2007, popular monoline insurers
included Ambac Financial Corporation and MBIA.
Assume that the borrowers make their mortgage payment each month.
Netting out administration costs, each interest payment that the borrower
makes is then passed through to the investor via the MBS structure. The
MBS that is created is displayed in Appendix 2. Also assume that the MBS
structure has three tiers that are rated: senior tranche, mezzanine tranche,
and equity tranche. The same $100 million pool of loans collateralizes the
three different tranches.
The tranche breakdown of the loan pool creates a “waterfall” or a “cas-
cade” structure. The different tranches will appeal to different investors.
The senior tranche, or investment grade tranche, has the lowest default
risk and lowest yield. The equity tranche is considered to be high risk, high
yield, and is usually retained by the originator (although that changed in a
number of instances prior to 2007). The equity tranche holders will only
be paid after the more senior tranche holders have been paid. In this exam-
ple, the equity tranche holders will only be paid something if fewer than
10 mortgage loans default (and hence is called the “residual tranche”). If
between 10 and 30 mortgages default, the senior tranche holders will still
be paid in full while the mezzanine tranche holders will have their nominal
amounts reduced accordingly. In this instance the equity tranche holders
SECURITIZATION AND THE WAY WE LIVE NOW 19
will receive nothing. If more than 30 loans default, the equity and mez-
zanine tranche holders will receive nothing and the senior tranche holders
will have their nominal amounts reduced accordingly. For an investor, a
MBS potentially offers higher yields compared to other low risk securities
(such as government securities).
Securitization also provided the possibility for the originator to improve
its credit rating. For example, an originator with an overall credit rating
of AA might be able to issue securities that are rated AAA. What this
signals to the market is that the securitized products pose less default risk
than does the originator’s credit. Since the securities are considered a safer
bet than the originator, investors will pay more for the AAA-rated securi-
tized bonds than they would if the AA-rated originator had borrowed the
money directly. The originator’s cost of capital should then be lower in the
securitization versus the secured loan because it receives a discount based
on the quality of the payment rights it sold.
The OTD model meant that the risk was now handled by the market
instead of by the banks themselves. Fueling the growth prior to 2007
was bank leverage and this was a debt explosion in terms of volume and
geographical scope. But the debt relation was fragmented and diffuse.
Securitization transformed a localized lending market into a global invest-
ment asset class.
Global financial institutions (FIs) of all sizes benefited from securiti-
zation. It appeared that gone were the days when the small regional bank
had no choice but to place concentrated bets on local housing markets.
What this financial innovation presented was the opportunity for the
same bank to dispatch credit risk to distant investors such as insurers
and hedge funds around the world. In the USA, approximately half of
the securitized assets such as CDOs and MBS were eventually sold to
foreign investors. The largest portion of these securitized assets ended
up in European banks’ (and their subsidiaries) portfolios. For banks such
as BNP Paribas and UBS, hedge funds attached to these banks placed
high-risk bets on a range of subprime securities. Gramlich (2007) finds
that during the subprime securitization market grew sizably. Mian and
Sufi (2009) find that securitization contributed to the growth of the
subprime mortgage market. For example, when a mortgage defaulted
in Las Vegas or Cleveland, it rippled up the securitization food chain,
affecting everyone from Norwegian pensioners to investment banks in
New Zealand (Buchanan 2015b).
20 B.G. BUCHANAN
3.8 CDO Securitization
So where do CDOs fit into the securitization story? CDOs are not really
that new either. Collateral debt obligations will include collateralized
bond obligations (CBO) and CLO. Back in the late 1980s, Drexel
Burnham Lambert assembled CDOs out of different companies’ junk
bonds and investors could pick their preferred level of risk and return
from the resulting tradable securities. The term “collateralized loan obli-
gation” (CLO) was coined in 1989 (Lucas et al. 2006) when corporate
loans were first used as collateral in CDOs. However, this changed after
2001 when the US housing market started to surge and the demand for
more securitized products increased. Wall Street banks would take the
lower rated tranches (think of the BBB rated MBS) and repackage them
into new securities, namely a CDO. CDO securities would then be sold
with their own waterfall structures and the CDO market was concen-
trated among six or seven issuers. Eventually, 80 percent of the CDO
tranches would be rated triple-A despite the fact that they generally com-
prised the lower-rated tranches of MBS. Griffin and Tang (2012) inves-
tigate 916 CDOs between 1997 and 2007 and find that 91.2 percent
of AAA-rated CDOs only comply with the credit rating agency’s own
AA default rate standard. Benmelech and Dlugosz (2009a,b) examine
CDOs and the credit ratings agencies and find that the ratings were not
always accurate measures of default risk, nor were they necessarily a suf-
ficient statistic for risk.
Out of this market evolved synthetic securitized products such as the
CDO2 and CDO3. The Bank for International Settlements reports that
synthetic CDO volumes reached $673 billion in 2004 (Das et al. 2007). A
CDO2 is produced from the lower rated CDO tranches and restructured
through the securitization process again. Then the lower rated CDO2
tranches are put through the process again to produce CDO3. The height
26 B.G. BUCHANAN
of the global CDO issuance market mimics the growth in the housing
and mortgage-backed securitization bubbles. After 2008, the global CDO
issuance market plunged to historic low levels and was still struggling to
rebound in 2012.
3.9 Securitization Performance
Over the last two decades greater distance has started to be placed between
mortgage borrowers and the people who finally purchase securitized assets
(Petersen and Rajan 2002). Now it is truly global in scope. Since the 2007
financial crisis many aspects of the global securitization market such as
home equity loans and mortgages have been decimated. This is evident if
one observes Figs. 1.8, 1.9, and 1.14 which profile US securitization issu-
ances respectively during the pre- and postcrisis periods. After 2007 non-
agency CMBS declined from $229.2 billion to $4.4 billion and RMBS
also rapidly dropped from $509.5 billion to $32.4 billion. The growth
of the US MBS market is displayed in Fig. 1.8 and the growth of the US
securitization issuance market in ABS is shown in Fig. 1.9.
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
3,50,000.00
3,00,000.00
2,50,000.00
2,00,000.00
1,50,000.00
1,00,000.00
50,000.00
-
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Auto Credit Cards Equipment Housing-Related Other Student Loans
4,000.00
3,500.00
3,000.00
2,500.00
2,000.00
1,500.00
1,000.00
500.00
0.00
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Agency NonAgency
10,000.0
9,000.0
8,000.0
7,000.0
6,000.0
5,000.0
4,000.0
3,000.0
2,000.0
1,000.0
0.0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Agency Non-Agency
Panel A Panel C
Student Loans
Other 1%
Manufactured 5% Student Loans
Housing
12%
4%
Other Auto
Home Equity 9% 15%
13%
Auto
Manufactured
40%
Housing
Equipment 0% Credit Cards
6% 20%
Home Equity
Credit Cards 43%
31% Equipment
1993 2007 1%
Panel B Panel D
Student Loans
Student Loans 6%
5%
Manufactured
Housing
2% Other Other
Auto
9% 26% 10%
Housing- Auto
Related 43%
10%
Home Equity Credit Cards Equipment
34% 8%
21%
Credit Cards
23%
2001 Equipment 2014
3%
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year
14,00,000.00
12,00,000.00
10,00,000.00
8,00,000.00
6,00,000.00
4,00,000.00
2,00,000.00
0.00
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
during the same period. Many European banks were active securitizers,
slicing and dicing mortgages from homeowners in European countries
with Britain, Spain, and the Netherlands providing most of the loans for
the process. Figure 1.16, Panel A confirms this. In Panel B it is evident
that by 2012 that Spanish participation in the securitization market is
severely diminished due to the ongoing sovereign debt and banking crisis.
In 2012, the UK, Italy, and the Netherlands were the three main securi-
tizing markets in Europe. In 2007 alone, $690 billion (€496.7 billion)
worth of European loans became the basis for ABS, MBS, and CDOs.
Many of the loans and securities that European banks had in the securiti-
zation pipeline were stored in SIVs. When the 2007 crisis hit, European
banks had to bring them back onto their balance sheets, much in the same
way as their American counterparties did. By the end of 2009, the ECB
raised estimates of write-downs to $765 billion (€550 billion).
32 B.G. BUCHANAN
Greece
Belgium France
Germany 1%
1% 1% Ireland
3%
3%
Italy
6%
2007 United
Kingdom Mulnaonal
27% 9%
Netherlands
22%
Spain
20%
Russian
Federaon Other
Portugal PanEurope
0% 1% 5% 1%
Belgium
2%
2014
France
United Kingdom 24%
23%
Spain
Germany
12%
8%
Italy Greece
Portugal
Netherlands 9% 0%
1%
PanEurope 12% Ireland
7% Other Mulnaonal 1%
1% 0%
140,000.00
120,000.00
100,000.00
80,000.00
60,000.00
40,000.00
20,000.00
0.00
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
3.10
Subprime Mortgage Market and Securitization
Often borrowers were highly leveraged with little or no equity in the
home. Subprime borrowers took out “piggyback loans” of home equity or
second mortgages to cover down payments on residences. Gorton (2010)
states that subprime mortgages accounted for 20 percent of all new resi-
dential mortgages in 2006. Relatively high interest rates on subprime
mortgages made them particularly appealing candidates for securitization
and investment. In 2007, SIVs had 8.3 percent exposure to the US sub-
prime mortgage market (IMF 2008). Throughout the 2000s, subprime
mortgages contributed to an even bigger proportion of the securitization
market. In 2001, 9 percent of US mortgages issued were subprime, which
accounted for 6.5 percent of the MBS market. Four years later, 22 percent
of mortgages issued were subprime, which now accounted for 23 percent
of the MBS market.
In the case of subprime RMBS, overcollateralization and/or excess
spread was usually involved.13 What both of these devices provide is an
opportunity to transform subprime mortgages into AAA rated RMBS. The
34 B.G. BUCHANAN
smaller unrated equity tranche bears most of the risk. This shifted the risk
to investors and the lenders were now provided with funds to purchase
more mortgages.
Creating synthetic CDO products also means that if one considers the
risk exposure, the volume of risk exposure in CDOs can possibly exceed
the number of subprime mortgages actually securitized. Risk perception
was distorted by several additional factors.
One was the belief that diversification provides protection. Another
was that RMBS and CDO buyers are afforded some protection against
adverse selection if issuers with superior information could cherry-pick
mortgages, securitizing the least attractive ones for sale and retaining the
best mortgages.
Nadauld and Sherlund (2009) and Mian and Sufi (2009) examine
whether securitization leads to an increase in subprime lending. Investment
banks securitized more loans from subprime zip codes than prime zip
codes. Mian and Sufi (2009) confirmed this and note that the relationship
was particularly strong between 2002 and 2005 when private loan secu-
ritizations dominated the market. Purnanandam (2011) also finds sup-
port for this. Both groups of authors observe higher default rates between
2006 and 2007. In summary, an increase in subprime private label MBS
increases the supply of credits and increases the default rates during 2006
and 2007. Keys et al. (2010) look at credit scores. Loans above this score
are more likely to be securitized and are more likely to default than loans
below that score, most possibly reflecting declining incentives to screen
borrowers.
Other institutional investors competed heavily with the banks in the
mortgage securitization market. In the next section, I detail the events for
Carrington Capital Asset Management (CCAM).
This is the case with the subprime mortgage market. Between 2001
and 2006 subprime mortgage lending had grown from $160 billion to
$600 billion (Mason 2015). Most of the subprime loans were made in
the ARMs market which accounted for 48 percent of all loans issued in
the three years prior to the collapse of the mortgage bubble. Many of the
ARMs were structured as follows. If the ARM mortgage was a 2/28 mort-
gage, for the first two years the mortgage rate was set according to a low
fixed rate, called a “teaser” rate. After the “teaser” period, the loan was
reset against a floating rate (usually LIBOR) plus a risk premium.
As long as LIBOR18 remained low, the ARM borrower faced lower
monthly payments than a fixed rate mortgage borrower. The LIBOR-
OIS spread remained low until LIBOR spiked in summer 2007. By the
end of 2007 the spread increases, and spikes again throughout 2008. US
home prices increased and borrowers who were relying on refinancing
for loan repayments could not refinance and many subprime mortgages
had ARMs. Borrowers who had expected to refinance at lower rates now
could not make payments because LIBOR was higher. This caused many
low rated tranches to default, and many better rated AAA− ones to be
downgraded as well. For those who thought that AAA− meant invest-
ment grade, or iron clad safety, this disadvantaged many investors. It also
adversely impacted institutional investors like mutual funds and pension
funds which were legally restricted to investing only in AAA securities.
Investors started to avoid many debt rated securities of all ratings. The
prices of debt rated securities kept falling because there were now fewer
investors. Firms had to mark the debt securities to cash, which required
selling more securities pressing more prices downwards, causing a “death
spiral”.
In June 2007, two Bear Sterns hedge funds failed due to investments
in subprime CDOs. Kelly and Ng (2007) state that one fund had a lever-
age ratio of 21:1. In July 2007, further downgrades occurred and German
firm IKB suffered a major loss on subprime mortgage investments. This
in turn required an emergency infusion from IKB’s shareholders and the
German government. In July 2007, the downgrade of subprime RMBS
was concentrated between Fremont General Corporation, New Century
Financial, Long Beach savings, and WHC Mortgage Corporation.
In the ABCP market issuers had increasing difficulty in locating buy-
ers for their paper. August 9, 2007, marks the start of the housing crisis
when BNP Paribas cited “evaporation of liquidity in certain segments of
the US securitization market” (Cassidy 2009). BNP Paribas had to halt
38 B.G. BUCHANAN
redemptions from three funds that could not be valued because of its
very illiquid subprime holdings. The three investment funds were holding
substantial proportions of American mortgage securities. Before the sus-
pension these three funds had a combined value of approximately US$2.2
billion (or €1.6 billion). At the time BNP Paribas had €600 billion under
management. This may at first glance seem a relatively minor fraction of
BNP’s portfolio. But after August 9, 2007, it sent stock markets around
the world plunging.
Losses quickly spread beyond the European Union. A $13 million
loss (of a $14 million investment in CDOs) was incurred by Springfield,
Massachusetts, as well as the multimillion dollar write-downs by King
County, Washington, connected with its investments in Rhinebridge
(sponsored by IKB Deutsche Industriebank, Chinn and Frieden 2011).
Countrywide Financial was one of the earliest casualties of the financial
crisis. At its peak Countrywide Financial was the nation’s largest mortgage
lender and issued 17 percent of all US mortgages. It was citing financial
difficulties after American Home Mortgage collapsed in August 2007. On
August 10, 2007, a run on Countrywide Financial started and the com-
pany quickly filed for bankruptcy. It was later bought by Bank of America
in January 2008.
Pani and Holman (2013) detail the consequences of write-downs in
securitized products in eight Norwegian municipalities. The Norwegian
municipalities had been hoping to yield a regular income stream by swap-
ping against future revenues from hydroelectric sources. None of the
eight municipalities had any immediate links to either the US subprime
mortgage market or the MBS CDO market, and even participants in
the program describe the securitized structures as being too complex to
understand and comprehend.
Bank of America and JP Morgan Chase announced that they were tak-
ing assets and liabilities onto their balance sheets. By the end of 2007,
UBS announced a US$10 billion loss largely from its AAA category of
subprime investments. Monoline insurers were also struggling with AAA
rated products. Between August 2007 and Spring 2008, the US govern-
ment provided US$1 trillion in direct and indirect support to FIs. The
specific measures are detailed in Chap. 7.
Notes
1. The Oxford Dictionary of Quotations, Partington, Angela (ed.),
Oxford University Press, 1992.
2. “Restoring the Economy: Strategies for Short-term and Long-
term Change”, Joint Economic Committee, February 27, 2009.
3. http://www.sifma.org/
4. Ranieri is credited with being the father of modern securitization.
5. An example of this is Bowie bonds based on music royalties of
David Bowie.
6. World Finance, July/August 2010.
7. “Morgan Stanley Pays $2.6 Billion to Settle Mortgage Claims”,
Ben McLananhan, Financial Times, Feb. 25, 2015.
8. Fannie and Freddie set for Reduced Role, Shaheen Nasiripour,
Financial Times, March 5, 2013.
9. Mortgage Daily.Com, http://www.mortgagedaily.com/
MortgageGraveyard.asp. Last accessed May 4, 2014.
10. Factbox—European, US Bank Writedowns, Credit Losses. Reuters,
February 24, 2011.
11. http://www.occ.gov/publications/publications-by-type/
comptrollers-handbook/assetsec.pdf
12. The Eurozone target is 60 percent.
13. Overcollateralization is defined as the value of assets that exceeds
liabilities. When the interest payments on the underlying mort-
gages are expected to exceed the payments offered to purchasers of
RMBS, this is defined as excess spread.
14. A Servicer’s Alleged Conflict Raises Doubts About “Skin in the
Game” reforms, Jeff Horowitz, American Banker, February 24,
2011.
15. A Servicer’s Alleged Conflict Raises Doubts About “Skin in the
Game” reforms, Jeff Horowitz, American Banker, February 24,
2011.
SECURITIZATION AND THE WAY WE LIVE NOW 41
Loans Originator
(e.g. mortgages)
Proceeds of asset
Sell Cash flows from asset sales
pool
Senior tranche
(AAA) Next tranche Next tranche Last Tranche (equity
tranche)
42 B.G. BUCHANAN
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CHAPTER 2
CDO2 and CDO3 and the “alphabet soup”). In the third stage, termed
“paroxysm and reversal”, enthusiasm for securitized products explodes
leading to the fourth stage—pessimism and general mistrust because there
is a flight to quality and everyone tends to follow the crowd. In this case,
the securitization market becomes less liquid and in the final stage of the
crisis, there is an increased risk of insolvency and many institutions restruc-
ture their balance sheets.
There has been a plethora of “bubble” studies since the 2007 financial
crisis. The natural question in studying any financial crisis is to ask: What
happened? What can we learn? How can we prevent it from happening
again? On the first page of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Report (2011) it
states, “If we do not learn from history, we are unlikely to fully recover
from it.” This is not an isolated comment on the importance of history
in understanding the recent financial crisis. Jeffrey Garten1and Niall
Ferguson2 have also echoed these sentiments. The Economist (September
12, 2009) presses the case for looking back before forging ahead: “The
problem lies in the human tendency to be optimistic and forget lessons
of the past.” White (1990) wrote that if one means to identify common
characteristics and causes of bubbles then one should do so by historical
comparisons. He concludes the bigger the bubble, the more there is to
study and so it is not a surprise that as a result there tends to be a bubble
in “bubble studies”.
Snowden (1995) describes early attempts prior to World War II at
rebundling mortgages as tradable securities in the US market as “a fun-
damental misreading of the European experience”. The growth of the
American securitization market has been due to investments related to
mortgage-backed securities, whereas Europeans have historically tended
to trade in mortgage bonds (or covered bonds). The “covered” nature
of European mortgage bonds derives from the fact that the bonds are a
direct liability of a mortgage institution and rely solely on the creditwor-
thiness of that financial institution. Two of the most successful covered
bond markets have been in Germany and Denmark.
offices was a form of prudent lending to the state, made necessary by weak
public finances. Formal mechanisms provided incentives to tax collectors
to help overcome this weakness (Laiou 2002; Swart 1949).
Mortgage credit has been an important element of European finances
since the Middle Ages. In the twelfth century, European nobles were able
to obtain credit from local monasteries by pledging usage fees (or cens)
that peasants had paid instead of mortgaging the land itself. The idea
of using one’s property to generate an annual income from it (or rente)
throughout Europe started to become more entrenched. Creditors had
the right to seize property against whose income the contract had been
secured if there was a default of interest payments.
If the income was from real estate where state property was involved,
the cens could also be identified as a “compera”. The term “compera” refers
to a syndicate formed when a commune needed capital. The Genoese
compera dates back to the twelfth century (Kohn 1999; Hocquet 1995;
Munro 2003). Each compera had its own legal personality, directly man-
aged revenues, and was in turn administered by a group of trustees. If the
Genoese commune wished to borrow, it would pledge its tax revenues and
entrust its creditors to raising them (these tax purchases were known as
“comperisti”). Sieveking (1906a,b) claims that the compera membership
was at first voluntary and then compulsory. Each investor would hold one
share per 100 lire. They would then form a compera which would then be
vested with tax ownership that was specially created to pay interest and
retire the loan.
Not only did the investment yield an attractive rate of return, but pri-
vate citizens enjoyed the arrangement because of an easy cash conver-
sion feature. In the early thirteenth century public debt could also be
converted into “luoghi”. The “luogo di monte” was used to describe the
different tranches or slices of the monti capital. A luoghi had a nominal
value of 100 lire (Felloni and Guido 2004). The currency-to-luoghi ratio
was 100:1 and this was a common denominator used in order to simplify
administrators’ calculations3. Fratianni and Spinelli (2006) describe an
active secondary market in luoghi which could be used as collateral by tax
collectors, bankers, and borrowers.
The Banco San Giorgio was established in 1407 when shareholders of a
larger compera pooled their assets together4. A ledger entry in 1412 describes
one entry bundling a group of Genoese loans into a single debt pool.
Creditors could now be combined into the same ledger and savings could
be made on management expenses. The San Giorgio compera generated
52 B.G. BUCHANAN
The Deutz Co served the twin roles of financier and commission agent.
The proceeds from the sale of bonds issued in the Dutch market were used to
provide mortgages to plantation owners. In terms of Deutz’s role of commis-
sion agent, the plantation owners were required to ship their crops back to the
firm in Holland. The plantation properties, which included slaves and equip-
ment, served as collateral for principal and interest payments. Approximately
200 plantation loans accounted for the majority of new security introductions
between 1753 and 1776 (Riley 1980). Average returns were between 5 and
6 percent per annum. These ideas were soon transplanted to British planta-
tions in the West Indies. The plantation loans promoted further foreign lend-
ing, a pattern that was increased by accelerating demand from Britain and
Austria during the Seven Years’ War (Buchanan 2014).
Credit practices became increasingly fragile in 1763, and the Dutch
market faced new challenges. One challenge was caused by overexten-
sions in British East India Company stock, encouraging developments in
London where a speculative boom had collapsed in 1772. There was also
a short-term deterioration in the West Indian trade which led to the sus-
pension of many plantation loans. These loans had been negotiated in the
1750s and 1760s on sugar and coffee speculation. The speculative boom
in the East India Company stock coincided with an expansion in credit
availability. But when stock and commodity prices both fell, this imme-
diately forced overextended firms into liquidation. In the 1760s lenders
were noticed that some planters were inflating the value of their assets and
even manufacturing fraudulent assessments that could be used to secure
loans. The loans had also become increasingly more complex and opaque.
The high yields of the plantations clearly did not reflect all the risks
involved. For instance, some contracts named specific individual planta-
tions or groups of plantations. Others were vaguer, just mentioning the
region where the capital would eventually be employed. For the latter, this
left the Deutz commission agent some flexibility and latitude in allocating
the bond proceeds. The merchant who issued the bonds could expand the
business without tying up the firm’s capital, so the securities did not pro-
vide much in the way of diversification. Because in some cases the investor
was promised payments from an unspecified portfolio of mortgages, this
left the investor without any recourse to the financier-commission agent.
The Dutch Hope Company was one of the most active investment houses
organizing foreign loans during the 1770s and 1780s. In the late 1790s
when the plantation loans defaulted, investors were forced to convert their
bonds into equity in the plantations when the plantation loans defaulted.
54 B.G. BUCHANAN
The C.A.P.L. model shifted risks away from both the immediate lender
(a bank) and the borrower. Baptist (2015) states that the faith bonds
shifted, or “socialized”, risks onto two groups of people, the first being
the enslaved because their work would have to repay the loans. Second,
if their owners did not pay their debts, the enslaved people themselves
would be foreclosed upon.
Baptist (2010) also describes how sometimes slaves were mortgaged
multiple times, or even with fraudulent identities. After 1832, the market
pioneered by C.A.P.L. started to proliferate across Mississippi, Alabama,
Tennessee, and the territories of Arkansas and Florida. Cotton entre-
preneurs created a number of banks much larger than C.A.P.L. and the
number of banks expanded from 4 to 16. Authorized capital grew from
$9 million to $46 million and by 1836 New Orleans had the country’s
densest concentration of banking capital—larger even than New York and
Philadelphia.
However, there were a number of agency cost problems. For example,
the roles of banker and planter started to blur. Baptist (2015) provides
an example where ten of the top eleven borrowers from the Union Bank
of Florida were members of its board of directors, or were immediate
relatives. In the C.A.P.L. case, unregulated borrowers also became heavily
leveraged and there were problems of moral hazard. This is demonstrated
by the fact that judges, politicians, and state officials controlled debt col-
lection in their states. This made it less likely that those elite borrowers
would be foreclosed, even if they fell behind on their payments. Borrowers
also used slaves bought with long-term mortgages to bluff lenders into
granting unsecured commercial loans. This fueled further problems as
borrowers kept buying more slaves on credit.
in 1765, many estates were bankrupt. Typically the value of the estate was
worth less than the outstanding debt that could be recovered. 5In 1767,
Bühring, a Berlin merchant, presented a plan for a credit association to
Frederick the Great. Bühring had been influenced by his experience in
Amsterdam with mortgage securities and bills of exchange instruments
which had been used to finance the Dutch colonies (Wandschneider 2013).
The plan was first rejected by Finance minister von Hagen, but was later
approved on July 9, 1770 with the establishment of the Die Schlesische
Landschaft. Frederick the Great initially provided the initial capital of
200,000 talers at a rate of 2 percent for the Silesian Landschaften. Twenty
others soon followed in other Prussian states. A cornerstone of Bühring’s
plan according to Frederiksen (1894a) was:
Under the Landschaft structure, membership from the noble estate was
mandatory, and members were jointly liable for each other’s debts. The
association would guarantee principal and interest through this joint
liability structure. From the beginning efforts were made to make sure
the mortgages were in no way separated from other assets of the bank.
Depending on the jurisdiction, mortgage bonds were never issued for
more than 60–80 percent of the value of the collateral. It was also essen-
tial that the banks had to keep the collateral on their own balance sheet. In
other words, there was “skin in the game”. Lenders based their valuations
on average net income for the prior three to five years and were closely
scrutinized. Rather than relying on individual repayments from borrow-
ers, lenders would turn to the Landschaften. Instead of individual private
loans, the Pfandbriefe were also standardized. Consider the terms issued
by one such bank as described in Frederiksen (1894a):
The following are a few of the rules of the Prussian Hypotheken Aktienbank:
valuations shall be based on the average income from similar property; unim-
proved portions of a lot must not be included in the valuation; fixtures in
the nature of luxuries shall only be valued at the price of the corresponding
necessaries; hotels, restaurants, concert halls, school-houses, and buildings
reduced by wear are excluded; lands must be valued by a man of experience,
who shall not be a resident of the immediate locality; the reason for desiring
WHAT HISTORY INFORMS US ABOUT SECURITIZATION 59
the loan must be stated, also whether the borrower is an experienced farmer;
buildings must be insured against fire, livestock against disease, and crops
against hail-storms.
The Raiffeisen system was created in the second half of the nineteenth
century and extended membership throughout Germany. Under this sys-
tem, every farmer would pledge an equal sum and be allowed to bid for
a loan, which all other members would guarantee. The governance struc-
ture of early associations was very closely regulated. Specifically, the gov-
ernment appointed officials who were further supervised by the Minister
of Agriculture and his representatives. Members were elected to make sure
no excessive valuations occurred.
Nor was the geographic link between the mortgage and mortgage bond
ever broken. The Landschaften was always on the hook. Transaction costs
could be reduced even further by pooling the loans, creating a deeper
group of creditors. With lowered transaction costs and standardization
came higher liquidity. The Pfandbriefe were deemed very safe, on a par
with government bonds. Eventually Pfandbriefe were listed on the Berlin
Bourse. The Landschaften helped the landed aristocracy (or Junker class)
consolidate their economic dominance (Wandschneider 2013). Access to
the Berlin market made this possible.
The Landschaften and Pfandbriefe also overcame the asymmetric prob-
lems of adverse selection and moral hazard. Under certain conditions only
poor credit risk borrowers would be attracted into the market and credi-
tors would not be willing to lend to them. This created a pool with a “lem-
ons problem”. To overcome this “lemons problem”, if all the loans come
from aristocratic estates in the same geographic region, then the joint
liability structure with its active participation had the incentive to increase
the supply of credit and improve its quality. To reinforce this, credit limit
determinations were necessary, along with correct estate assessment to
guarantee collateral. To discourage moral hazard problems associated with
too generous a land valuation assessment and collateral requirement, the
assessor was to be held personally liable for any losses.
According to Sinn (2010), not a single Pfandbrief has defaulted since
1769. This was due to the statutes that limited the associations to certain
cities or districts outside which they could not make loans. Frederiksen
(1894a) found the German credit associations formed a useful link
between the borrowers and lenders in the regional community that was
not apparent in America:
60 B.G. BUCHANAN
board issuing bonds ahead of the loan origination back in the USA. The
New York board quickly found that loan correspondent agents were
tending to approve loans of inferior quality in order to meet demand
for the European market. The members of the US board of directors
also proved to be “time poor” because they held high-profile posi-
tions at other financial firms and the staff struggled to maintain daily
operations.
Added to this was that in 1874 the USA experienced a recession, forc-
ing a scaling back of operations. The news coverage of these events was
extremely colorful in describing this collapsing market (that also rings
true after 2007 as well). Consider the following quotes drawn from The
New York Times:
As well as:
The St Louis Journal stated, “The farmer who paid $50 an acre for land in
1872 cannot sell it for ten, or even five.”
…there is absolutely no sale for land in the West because there is no demand
Western Mortgages, The New York Times, December 13, 1877
WHAT HISTORY INFORMS US ABOUT SECURITIZATION 65
And even:
An investor who can judge for himself as to the value of the farm and the
character of the farmer and who in the event of foreclosure can watch over
his own interest is reasonably safe. He is wholly dependent upon the integ-
rity and vigilance of others. He can have no knowledge as to the worth of
the property or the reputation and purposes of the borrower, he may be
imposed upon in the matter of valuation, and the borrower may be a scoun-
drel in league with the agent
The New York Times, September 13, 1878
Yet, this did not completely halt the growth of the mortgage market. By
the 1880s investment in mortgages anywhere in the USA was permitted.
The mortgage companies that originally acted as middlemen started to
guarantee the mortgages sold. The guarantee was then converted to a
general debenture issued against a portfolio of mortgages. In 1881, the
Iowa Loan and Trust Company (founded in 1872) became the first com-
pany to issue debenture bonds secured by mortgages. One thing that was
lacking was care in recording the name of the trustee responsible in the
assignment of mortgages underlying the debentures. In most states there
appeared to be no such examinations. So clearly a lack of recourse added a
level of opaqueness to the process.
The next development in the market was mortgage bonds issued in the
mid-1880s. During the 1870s and 1880s capital had moved from states
such as New York, Massachusetts, Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire,
Connecticut, Rhode Island, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware,
Maryland, and the District of Columbia to states such as Ohio, Indiana,
Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, North and
South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, New
Mexico, and Oklahoma.
Aggressive marketing worked, because the eastern press was flooded
with pages of advertising. One advertiser, the New England Mortgage
Security Company, commonly advertised five percent ten-year bonds
which were backed by Western mortgages (Levy 2012). Due to prohibi-
tions on farmers making early prepayments, the New England Mortgage
Security Company sought to better match farmers and investors and
spread investors’ risk. In 1887, new companies were offering debentures
for as low as $50 so that small investors could join the mortgage deben-
ture market. By 1893, private eastern investors had purchased at least $93
million of mortgage debenture bonds (Levy 2012).
66 B.G. BUCHANAN
I have seen a dozen of these land inspectors. The larger portion of them
were callow and self-sufficient youths who were fair judges of cigarettes, but
who knew nothing relative to the productive capacity of the soil or to the
climate of the country they happened to be in—but they did know that their
employers greedily desired to pocket the 10 percent commission the farmers
would have to pay to obtain the money.
Unsafe Farm Mortgages, The New York Times, December 27, 1887.
Bogue (1955) notes, “The Eastern promoter who saw investment capital
flowing westward beyond his reach, the eastern observer who distrusted
the rapidity with which land values were rising in the west and the investor
who had been unfortunate in his choice of a western agent were all willing
and eager to stress the danger of western mortgages.”
Levy (2012), “The investor in mortgages securities was like a man who
bought a horse ‘without the examination as to whether the animal was
blind, halt or lame.’”
The Western land boom turned to bust in 1893. By 1897 only 7 out
of 74 mortgage companies were still operating in New York. This sec-
ond generation of American mortgage banks had violated two central
principles of European mortgage banking, namely that: (1) mortgage
securities should be fully secured by high-quality loans and (2) organizers
of the mortgage bank should pledge their own capital as additional secu-
rity against default. For the next few decades it became very difficult to
attract US eastern financing into western mortgages.
68 B.G. BUCHANAN
During the 1920s, two financial innovations dominated the American real
estate market. The first was the GMPC, or guaranteed mortgage partici-
pation certificate. GMPCs represented pools of residential mortgage cash
flows from a basket of cities across the USA. The other innovation was the
real estate bond, which was issued against a single commercial mortgage.
A departure from the European style of mortgage banking, the US real
estate bond was a liability of the borrower. Simon Straus is credited with
originating this style of real estate bond in 1909. This is coincidentally the
same year Moody’s was founded so the ratings industry was still relatively
non-existent.
Straus had emigrated from Prussia in 1852, the same year the Credit
Foncier was founded in France. By this time the Prussian mortgage market
had also been well established. The real estate bond Straus designed was
a security with a senior claim on a building, and these were sold to inves-
tors in small denominations and at high rates of interest. A Straus bond
yielded 6 percent and was twice the rate paid on a commercial bank savings
deposit. It was also more than 2 percentage points higher than the rate
offered by savings banks. Straus bonds also competed with foreign govern-
ment bonds that flowed to the American market during the 1920s. These
single-property real estate bonds were used to finance the construction
of very large commercial buildings in the nation’s largest urban centers,
especially in New York and Chicago. Gradually, Straus became a lead-
ing financier of skyscrapers that were increasingly forming the New York
skyline (Goetzmann and Newman 2009). Straus’ advertisements were
also considered to be quite appealing and distinctive. The advertisements
claimed that not a single customer had lost a cent in a Straus investment
since 1882. In 1912 one advertisement claimed, “thirty-five years without
loss to any investor”.
In 1916 the US Congress established the Federal Land Bank System, a
successful system of central mortgage banking enjoying a federal guaran-
tee. However, more extensive regulation and centralization was still absent
from the securitization wave of the 1920s. Overly optimistic speculation
contributed to overbuilding. Goetzmann and Newman (2009) chart the
extent of the real estate mortgage bond market during the 1920s. The real
estate bond issuance business eventually accounted for approximately 23
percent of all corporate debt issuance by 1925.
WHAT HISTORY INFORMS US ABOUT SECURITIZATION 69
Mortgage pooling collapsed in the early 1930s as real estate prices col-
lapsed nationwide during the Great Depression. In the aftermath of the
collapse of the market, real estate bond issuance accounted for 0.14 per-
cent of all corporate debt issuance by 1934. The New York Real Estate
Securities Exchange was established in 1928 but very few transactions
subsequently took place. Johnson (1936a,b) found that 61 percent of real
estate bonds failed to meet their contractual obligations.
According to Ross (1989), the Equipment Trust Certificate (ETC) is
the financial instrument that inspired the modern mortgage-backed secu-
rity. As previous historical examples show, the ETC was not the first collat-
eralized debt instrument, but it certainly moved well beyond just pledging
payment streams. The ETC represented a relatively homogeneous pool
of business equipment, which, during its working life, produced steady
income to service its own debt. It was quite a simple financial instrument
because any physical damage could be insured. Failing to meet expecta-
tions was the major risk involved, but the ETC proved to be a success-
ful instrument in industrial equipment financing. The concept behind the
ETC was then applied to home mortgages in the late 1960s.
to sell their muni investments all at once, but that only led to massive price
declines. Money flowed out of depository institutions into the securities
market. Because Regulation Q continued to stay locked in at 5.25 percent,
savings and loan institutions could not raise their interest rates. In 1968
interest rates on US bank deposits were facing liquidity and low capital-
ization problems. The mortgage-backed securities market development
in the 1970s can be attributed to structural problems in the US banking
system. Another view is that it is the result of a federal policy to solve a
political problem7. Higher interest rates continued to have the effect of
choking off the US home mortgage supply to consumers. The Fed wanted
to increase the US money supply but the 1960s credit crunch was a very
fresh memory. Savings and loans institutions could no longer be depended
upon to provide mortgage capital to the US economy.
Under the new 1968 U.S. Housing Act, FNMA was divided into two
new agencies: the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie
Mae or GNMA) and a newly privatized FNMA. Whilst GNMA was
responsible for social programs, FNMA served as the market-making pro-
gram. The same year, Ginnie Mae (GNMA) announced that it would be
issuing RMBS. Dealing with prepayment risk was a major issue, because
any unexpected repayments would end up being invested at too low a rate.
The “pass-through” concept came out of this and was adopted from its
use at the time in the savings and loans industry. Since the new mortgage-
backed security aggregated mortgage revenue and repackaged it to resem-
ble a coupon-paying bond, it was a much easier security to administrate.
GNMA announced that it would offer these new MBS in August 1969.
Initially two types of mortgage-backed securities were offered:
Notes
1. “A Return to Reality” by Tricia Bisoux (BizEd May/June 2009)
Garten said, “For all the discussion of the need for long-term think-
ing, we have markets that are very short-term oriented… If I could
devise a curriculum, it would be heavily geared toward history. I bet
very few CEOs had an education in financial history.”
2. Guardian (May 25, 2009). Ferguson stated, “Economists with their
more mathematical approach to social science conspicuously failed
74 B.G. BUCHANAN
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76 B.G. BUCHANAN
1 Introduction
The Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA, or Ginnie
Mae) started the modern securitization era in 1970 with the creation of
US government guaranteed pass-through mortgages. Freddie Mac issued
its first pass-through security in 1971, followed by Fannie Mae in 1981.
In 1983 Freddie Mac issued its first collateralized mortgage obligation
(CMO). A competing private label securitization market emerged in
1977 when Bank of America issued residential mortgage-backed securities
(RMBS). Fidelity Mutual Life followed with one of the first commercial
mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) in 1983 (IMF 2013).
Bleckley (1985) quotes William Benedetto of Dean Witter Reynolds
remarking “The mind boggles at the number of things you can do”. In the
same article securitization is described as the “hot new game in creative
financing”. 1985 was a banner year for the emerging ABS market. In
March 1985, Sperry Lease Financial Corporation borrowed $192 mil-
lion of debt backed by computer leases in order to pay down company
debt. In May 1985 the first private car loan ABS was issued by Chrysler
Financial. Several banks quickly followed suit, continuing to service the
car loans they originated, while passing principal and interest payments
onto investors. Later that year Marine Midland cited a desire to expand
the company’s nationwide presence when it securitized $60 million of
car loan receivables. Two years later, Imperial Savings Association issued
the first collateralized debt obligation (CDO). In 1987 the first credit
card backed ABS was issued (IMF 2013). After 1985 RMBS became
more widespread in the UK and then internationally (IMF 2013). Auto
loan-backed ABS were first issued in the UK in 1990 and ABS deals first
emerged in Continental Europe the same year.
After its successful foray into the securitization market in the 1970s,
Salomon Brothers did not take long to find other products to securitize.
By the mid-1980s, Lewis Ranieri and his Salomon Brothers team raised
approximately $1 billion through CMBS, mainly office buildings, apart-
ments, and shopping malls. Salomon's first CMBS deal was relatively
small, where the bank sold $25 million in mortgages. By the mid-1980s
the group had raised nearly $1 billion through a CMBS transaction for
Olympia & York (one of the largest developers in the world at the time).1
At the same time a number of industry insiders were approaching the
growth of the securitization market with a degree of caution due to the
potential complexity and lack of historical information behind securitized
products.
Former Salomon Brothers trader Andy Stone took the securitization
market in another direction during the 1990s. The Resolution Trust
Corporation (RTC) was established by the US government in the after-
math of the Savings and Loan crisis, and was responsible for assuming the
toxic loans from failed thrift institutions. Stone2 bought mobile home and
apartment loans from the RTC for pennies on the dollar, then bundled the
loans and securitized them and sold them at a handsome profit.
By the 1990s the SEC recognized that asset securitization was becom-
ing one of the dominant methods of producing capital in the USA.3 New
securitization products continued to emerge throughout the 1990s, includ-
ing collateralized loan obligations (CLO) and the first subprime backed
RMBS. The first synthetic CDO was issued in 1997, followed by ABS-backed
CDOs in 1999. Securitization developed along three broadly defined asset
classes: fixed income assets, tangible assets, and firms. Edmunds (1996)4
viewed the outlook for securitization very optimistically by saying “…the
potential gain from securitization is over half a year’s income for every per-
son on earth and more than the increase in income achieved during the past
decade”. The SEC also established a new office to oversee securitization
transactions in 1997.5 A watershed moment was reached in 2005 when the
US private label securitization mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market
exceeded the government MBS market (Fig. 3.1).
BEYOND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES 79
3,000.0
2,500.0
2,000.0
USD Billions
1,500.0
1,000.0
500.0
0.0
way to invest in gold. Zhang (2015) shows that the securitization of com-
modities can have a negative effect on commodity company stocks if the
new securities attract investors away from the stocks. A sample list of secu-
ritized asset classes is displayed in Table 3.1.
In this chapter, I discuss the evolution of asset-backed securitiza-
tions beyond the more familiar MBS market. I will include examples
such as accounts receivables securitization market and student loan
asset backed (or SLABs) market. The SLABs market has received closer
attention in the last few years, as US student debt now exceeds $1.2
trillion dollars and the student debt mountain has been compared to
the mortgage bubble. Intellectual property securitization accelerated
after 1997 with Bowie Bonds, which are discussed at length along
with film rights and brand name securitization. Finally, the chapter
concludes with a short mini-case-based discussion on sovereign debt
securitization, specifically that of Greece in the run-up to the 2010
Eurozone debt crisis.
Buy furniture
Department store
Customers
Master Trust
Sell asset backed securities
Investors
Cash
Can the investment decision be made without concern for the com-
pany’s financial condition? Sure, because the company and SPV no longer
own the receivables. So one of the benefits for the issuing company is
that it can now obtain a lower cost of financing, even if it had previously
been in a weakened financial condition. What about concern over future
receivables? Yes, definitely, and this depends on the assignment of future
receivables such as franchise or license fees.
By 1996 receivables securitization was one of the most rapidly grow-
ing segments of the US credit markets (LoPucki 1996). One reason for
the popularity of transferring relatively illiquid receivables to a bankruptcy
remote entity is that once these assets are legally separate from the com-
pany and its creditors, these repackaged securities typically carry higher
ratings than the company’s own debt issues.
BEYOND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES 83
3.1
Overview of US Student Loan Market
In 2015, despite an improvement in US labor market conditions, student
loan borrowers were still experiencing high debt distress levels. One in
four US student loan borrowers was considered to be delinquent or was in
default on other obligations.6 In 2015 average student debt was $29,0007
and this represents a 20 percent increase from 2010. US student debt
balances have tripled over the past decade8 and are currently estimated
to be close to $1.3 trillion, higher than credit card borrowing.9 By 2015,
student loans were the second largest source of consumer debt in the US,
and comprised a larger portion of household debt than auto or credit
card loans.10 The federal loans student balance doubled from $516 bil-
lion to $1.2 trillion between 2007 and 2015.11 An additional $150 billion
in loans from banks and private lenders was also owned by students and
parents.12
In 2008, two thirds of bachelor degree graduates had student debt
compared to less than 50 percent in 1993. Concern has started to focus
on the increase in one-year default rates among student loan borrowers.
For every borrower who defaulted, there were at least another two bor-
84 B.G. BUCHANAN
rowers who fell behind in their payments (Lewin 2011b). As many states
are poised for further tuition increases, this will place more pressure on the
student loan market.
Throughout the financial crisis comparisons were made between the
student loan market and mortgage market, with references being made to
the formation of a higher education “bubble” (Lieber 2010, Surowiecki
2011, and Abraham and Macchiarola 2010). It also focused attention on
the Sallie Mae and the SLABs market. “Sallie Mae” was formed in 1972 as
a federally chartered government sponsored enterprise called the Student
Loan Marketing Association. It currently represents the largest private
source of funding, delivery, and servicing of student loans in the USA. It
is also the largest issuer of SLABs in the nation.
In 1997, Sallie Mae began privatizing its operation. In 2004, Congress ter-
minated its federal charter and it became a private company. In that time, its
stock price increased by nearly 2000 percent. The company is the country’s
largest originator of federally-insured student loans and provides debt man-
agement services and technical and business products to colleges, universi-
ties, and loan management guarantors. Sallie Mae has the ability to control
the entire loan process—making loans, guaranteeing them and collecting on
them. (Simmons 2008: 34)
BEYOND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES 85
Sallie Mae began to expand further into the private student loan arena
(i.e., loans made when government sponsored loans are not adequate for
the total cost of education) which generally caters to middle and upper-
class families and into the loan consolidation arena (i.e., bundling all loans
into one loan). Loan consolidation becomes a particularly curious venture
because student loans can only be consolidated once. In essence, there
is only one opportunity to refinance student loans unlike other forms of
credit.
A great deal has changed at Sallie Mae since 1972. Currently known
as SLM Corporation, Sallie Mae is a for-profit publicly traded enterprise
worth approximately five billion dollars in market value (SLM Corporation
2010 annual report). According to its 2008 annual report, Sallie Mae
expected 90 percent of the company’s needs to be funded through secu-
ritization. The company has also entered into other areas of consumer
finance such as auto loans, debt collection, guarantor servicing, and more
recently, in 2010, retail banking.
Basically, the securitization of student loans is the mechanism that
allows Sallie Mae to keep growing. The demand for student loans increases
with ever-increasing college tuition and the existence of student loans cre-
ates more demand for college enrollment. To accommodate student loan
demand, the loans are originated and securitized so that originators can
then generate more loans to meet the growing demand. Both systems feed
into each other generating an ever-increasing student loan business.
The securitization of loans is certainly not unique to student loans and
even though many student loans carry a guarantee, other types of securi-
tized loans also have insured payouts as well. However, what makes stu-
dent loans different is that student loans cannot be discharged through
a personal bankruptcy making the risk taken by the guarantor well miti-
gated and the guarantor’s position very profitable. New measures make
repayment more feasible for borrowers, but this feature of not being able
to discharge a student loan through bankruptcy is still very prominent.
Consequently, from a default liability perspective, student loans are a very
attractive investment for the originator, the guarantor, and the investor in
the securitized loan (Arnold et al. 2012).
Because of the close ties between origination, servicing, guaranty,
and collection inside Sallie Mae, conflicts of interests begin to emerge.
Providing students or the federal government with the best value may not
be the best value for the shareholder. It was noted that having a borrower
default became more lucrative than working with a borrower to maintain
86 B.G. BUCHANAN
300.0
250.0
200.0
USD Billions
150.0
100.0
50.0
0.0
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
80,000.00
70,000.00
60,000.00
50,000.00
USD Millions
40,000.00
30,000.00
20,000.00
10,000.00
0.00
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Fig. 3.4 US student loans—Securitization issuance.
Source: SIFMA
issuance market was reached in 2006, and Fig. 3.4 reveals a sharp decline
of SLABs issued between 2007 of $61.4 million to $28.2 million in 2008.
SLABs have been considered to be appealing to investors because they
usually carry high credit quality, low spread volatility, and credit stability.
Both government loans (guaranteed loans or directly funded by the US
government) and private loans typically serve as the pools for SLABs. SLM
Corporation used securitization as part of its privatization plans in order
to refinance its assets.
SLABs payments are typically made on a quarterly basis and are backed
by future interest and principal payments from the student loan borrow-
ers. Like many other ABS, a multi-tranche structure can be issued with
tranches typically organized with weighted average lives varying from one
to more than eight years. The shorter-lived tranches tend to receive the
senior principal distributions first.
Most SLABs are indexed against the London Interbank Offer Rate
(LIBOR). The three-month T-bill rate may be used in other SLABs issues.
Since a short-term T-bill or commercial paper is used to determine stu-
dent loan interest, lenders such as Sallie Mae will attempt to manage the
88 B.G. BUCHANAN
with the senior and safer tranches that have very low default probabili-
ties. This should hold as long as the originator holds the riskiest tranche,
meaning that the SLABs originator will be the first to suffer any losses of
the lower quality student loans.
This solution to the “lemons” problem with student loans and its con-
sequences play a large role in what Sallie Mae would eventually come to
be. In 2000, Sallie Mae would purchase USA Group and assume most of
its activities except for USA Funds (the largest guarantee agency in the
country). USA Funds would enter into an exclusive agreement with Sallie
Mae to contract all of its guarantee services to Sallie Mae.
4.2 Mini-Case—Bowie Bonds
The securitization industry changed markedly in February 1997 when
David Bowie securitized his music royalties. Bowie’s financing team
found that more money could be raised through a securitization deal than
through the usual royalty distribution networks. Why did Bowie need the
cash? To satisfy UK residency tax concerns and to buy out his manager
who owned some of the rights to Bowie’s songs. The resultant “Bowie
Bonds” had no associated underlying existing loans, but was based on
the rights (for approximately ten years) to the future income stream of 25
of his albums that had been released between 1969 and 1990. This was
equivalent to future royalty payments generated from the sale and use of
more than 250 songs (including Space Oddity, Changes and Heroes) in
Bowie’s recording catalogue. The bonds were issued in a $55 million pri-
vate placement deal. The $55 million lump-sum payment allowed Bowie
to borrow more money upfront rather than get a steady stream of income
from royalty revenue in his back catalogue. Copyright ownership was cru-
cial to the deal, as Bowie owned the rights to all his songs at the time.
Bowie assigned payment of his royalties to an SPV which then issued the
bonds at an interest rate of 7.9 percent, an average life of 10 years and
maturity of 15 years. The bonds were non-recourse but carried a guaran-
tee by EMI Music. In addition, the underlying pool was overcollateralized
which ensures that the bonds receive a high credit rating from the ratings
agencies. Moody’s initially rated the Bowie bonds as an A-3 rating.
Fahnestock and Company were underwriters for the Bowie bond issue.
Fahnestock’s Managing Director, David Pullman, later established the
Pullman Structured Asset Sales Group which specialized in securitizing
celebrity royalties. After the Bowie Bond issue, securitized music royal-
ties became known as “Pullman Bonds”. In August 1998, the Pullman
Group completed a $30 million private offering with the securitization of
Motown music royalties. Later in the year the group completed an $11
million securitization for Ashford and Simpson’s royalties. In May 1999,
750 of James Brown’s songs were securitized earning the entertainer
between $35 and $55 million. Global Entertainment Capital LLC con-
ducted a $30 million securitization for the heavy metal band Iron Maiden,
with a longer maturity of 20 years. Other IP securitizations at the end of
the 1990s included the music royalties of Dusty Springfield, Rod Stewart
(who raised $15 million through securitization), Bob Dylan, and Michael
Jackson.
BEYOND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES 95
4.3 Film Securitizations
Since 1997, other artists and companies who have utilized IP securiti-
zation include: Iron Maiden, Rod Stewart, Dreamworks, Calvin Klein,
Arbys’ Restaurant Group, Quiznos, BCBG Max Azria Group and Sears.
Securitization deals started to gain more traction in Hollywood after
the turn of the century. Universal Studios employed securitization tech-
niques in the late 1990s (Sear 2006) and Dreamworks used them in
2002. Dreamworks was acquired by Viacom Paramount Studios and in
96 B.G. BUCHANAN
International concern over Greece’s deficit and debt levels followed the
country’s October 2009 election. Newly elected PM George Papandreou
promised to address nationwide corruption as well as welfare and state
reform issues. After the election, a closer examination of the government
coffers caused the new Socialist government to revise its reported budget
deficit of 6 percent of GDP upwards to 13 percent of GDP, then to 15
percent of GDP (well above the Eurozone limits). The Greek current
account deficit was in excess of 10 percent of GDP, triggering further
concerns about Greece’s ability to cope with its existing debt obligations.
Additionally, widespread tax evasion was exposed meaning that Greece
had to spend more on benefits and receive less in taxes.
100 B.G. BUCHANAN
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
Fig. 3.5 Spread between Greek bonds and German bunds. Source: Bloomberg
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
10,000.00
20,000.00
30,000.00
40,000.00
50,000.00
60,000.00
70,000.00
0.00
1985
1986
Source: SIFMA
Source: SIFMA
1993
1987
1994 1988
1995 1989
B.G. BUCHANAN
1996 1990
1991
1997 1992
1998 1993
1999 1994
1995
2000
1996
2001 1997
2002 1998
other eurozone members, Greece had raised smaller amounts, but the
securitization issues as a percent of GDP was higher than other member
countries. After the Eurostat ruling, Greece’s public debt rose from 99.8
percent to 107.6 percent of GDP, the third highest after Belgium and
Italy.24 Those countries affected by the Eurostat ruling suffered a sharp
deterioration of public finances as capital transfers, essentially subsidies to
state-controlled corporations, were reclassified as expenditures, increasing
the budget deficit. Proceeds from securitization, convertible bonds and
privatization certificates were added to the public debt.
Additionally, another problem Eurostat statisticians had was how to
treat future-flow ABS deals from the Italian and Greek governments.
In future these would be regarded as pure government borrowing.
Unsurprisingly these types of trades immediately disappeared from the
landscape. The Four Eurostat Principles for securitization created in 2002
are listed as follows:
Under this principle, Eurostat has the power to enforce policy choices
upon governments. For example, consider the licences granted for lot-
tery tickets and the licence fees generated. The licence fees can be used to
reduce national debt. Yet if the licence fee receivables from government
owned lotteries are securitized this is treated as borrowing and cannot be
used to reduce the national debt.
use as loan collateral. If the bank falls below this floor, it means the spon-
soring bank needs to pump in cash to boost the rating or unwind the deal.
Moody’s had already reviewed 27 securitization deals.
As the debt crisis unfolded in early 2010, debate emerged over whether
the Bank of England would accept ABS as collateral. The Bank of
England’s discount window only accepted sovereign credit of G10 coun-
tries with credit ratings of at least AA-, which is four notches higher than
Greece's BBB+ credit rating (rated by Standard and Poor’s). Moody’s
estimated that the deals were worth €54bn ($73bn) in total of which €27
bn was rated AAA, and started to request credit enhancement to maintain
its ratings. For example, residential mortgage-backed deals would require
an enhancement between 25 and 45 percent of the outstanding notes, up
from between 15 and 20 percent.
After the ECB shut off repo facilities using bonds issued or guaranteed
by the Greek government, Greek banks face ever-diminishing options for
financing. Since the ECB announced its ABS purchasing program (ABSPP)
in late 2014, there has been a significant improvement in spreads. Yet
there are still concerns about the return of redenomination risk.25 What
if Greece defaults and has to leave the Eurozone? This means that the
country would have to return to the drachma and this represents a huge
downside risk to the sector. For Greek RMBS, these would be denomi-
nated in euros as they were issued by non-Greek issuers. The mortgages
themselves are likely to be converted to drachmas, because every loan in
the securitization is linked to the country of origin. This leaves a mismatch
in cash flows. And even if this were not the case, the collateral backing the
loans would fall in value given the expected decline in the drachma relative
to the euro and this would place further stress on the ability of borrowers
to make interest payments.
A new government, led by Alexis Tsipras, was elected in January 2015.
Old fears of sovereign deafult were rekindled. The Tsipras led govern-
ment promised to renegotiate Greece’s bailout from the Eurozone. In
early 2015 Greece’s unemployment was 20 percent and the Greek econ-
omy had contracted 25 percent since its debt crisis had started. The
country had improved its national budget deficit by raising taxes, spend-
ing cuts, and structural reforms. After a “no” vote in a national refer-
endum in June 2015 Greece defaulted. This led to bank closures and
enforcement of capital controls. Tsipras finally capitulated in July 2015
and a new bailout agreement was reached, including similar austerity
measures as before.
BEYOND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES 107
Notes
1. Lewis Ranieri and the Road to Hell. Crains’ New Business, June
27, 2010.
2. Lewis Ranieri and the Road to Hell. Crains’ New Business, June
27, 2010
3. Investment Company Act Release No. 19, 105 [1992 Transfer
Binder] Fed. Sec. L. Rep.
4. Edmunds, J. C. (1996), Securities: The New World Wealth
Machine, Foreign Policy, Fall Issue No. 104, pp. 118–134.
5. SEC Creates new group to handle ABS, new products, Steve
Goldstein, Corporate Financing Week, December 15, 1997.
6. A Student Loan System Stacked Against the Borrower, Gretchen
Morgenson, NY Times, October 9, 2015.
7. Hufington Post.
8. America’s Student Debt Pain Threatening a Corner of Bond
Market, Bloomberg, April 29, 2015.
9. The Indebted Ones, The Economist, October 29, 2011.
10. We’re Frightenly in the Dark about Student Debt, Susan Dynarski,
NY Times, March 20, 2015.
11. The Student Debt Collection Mess, Natalie Kitroeff, Bloomberg
Magazine, June 8, 2015.
12. IBID.
13. SIFMA.
14. “Bowie Bonds” blazed a trail through capital markets, Peter
Campbell, January 11, 2016.
108 B.G. BUCHANAN
15. Wall Street Goes Green. Why Solar is Booming, Michael Grunwald,
Time. August 28, 2014.
16. Dunbar, Nick. Revealed: Goldman Sachs’ mega-deal for Greece,
Risk Magazine, July 1, 2003.
17. Securitisation plans on hold in Greece, Kerin Hope, Financial
Times, April 30, 2002.
18. Market Opens up to financial sector securitizations, Euromoney, 2003.
19. Sovereign ABS: Greece puts together tax deal, Euromoney,
September 2005.
20. Greece faces up to taxing times, Kerin Hope FTimes, October 2005.
21. Portugal actually pioneered the securitization of tax arrears deals.
22. Greeks drop Euros 1.5 bn securitization plan for budget, Kerin
Hope, FTimes, December 16, 2005.
23. Investors should watch out for the sovereign effect, Jennifer
Hughers, FTimes, February 20, 2010.
24. Moves to balance budget and reduce debt ratio, Kerin Hope,
FTimes, November 12, 2002.
25. Progonati, Evis. Securitization Offers Funding Lifeline to Greek
Banks but Redenomination Risk Remains, Forbes Business, February
19, 2015.
2001–2004 Greece raises more than EUR4 billion ($5.44 billion) from a series
of securitizations.
March 2002 Eurostat announces four principles for sovereign securitization.
April 4, 2002 Greece announces a Euros 9.6 bn (Dollars 8.4 bn, Pounds 5.9 bn)
refinancing plan for its biggest state pension fund, IKA.
April 30, 2002 The government also plans to securitize a second tranche of income
from OPAP, the state lottery.
Greece announces it is freezing all securitization plans until
Eurostat conclusions are released.
November 2003 Apsis Bank carries out the first securitization of Greek residential
mortgages.
December 2003 Greece securitizes €2 billion of future revenues from the Third
Community Support Framework.
September 2005 Greece plans to securitize delinquent tax receiavbles. An €11 billion
pool of delinquent taxes stood ready to back the transactions.
October 2005 Greece announces plans to use a €2 bn securitization deal to offset a
projected shortfall in tax revenue.
December 2005 Greece drops plans of securitization deal due to Eurostat opposition.
BEYOND MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES 109
February 2010 Greek securitization and structured deals either have their ratings
cut or are placed on review for a downgrade.
March 2010 Greece is carrying a BBB+ rating by S&P. Moody’s signal more
downgrades are imminent.
July 2010 Greek banks start to unwind securitization deals to main access to
central bank funding, including EFG Eurobank ERGAS IAS,
Greece’s second largest bank.
August 2012 Greek government announces that it is planning to launch
Chinese-style “economic zones” with special tax and regulatory
breaks in a desperate bid to attract foreign investment.
June 2014 Greece’s Alpha Bank announces plans to securotize $1.36 billion of
shipping loans.
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CHAPTER 4
The role that financial institutions and corporations should play in the
global economic and political framework has been widely debated since
the financial crisis. In 2009, at a meeting of UK bankers and clergy, Mark
Costa, Chairman of Lazard International, stated, “Capitalism has slipped
its moral moorings.”1 Five years later, Mark Carney, the Governor of
the Bank of England, stated, “…just as any revolution eats its children,
unchecked market fundamentalism can devour the social capital essen-
tial for the long-term dynamism of capitalism itself” (Longley 2014). An
examination of ethical lapses is inevitable in the aftermath of any finan-
cial crisis. Aspects of the 2007 financial crisis may be characterized by
greed, recklessness, and dishonesty, but it may also be described as the
result of good intentions gone amiss (Tett 2009; FCIC Report 2011).
Scalet and Kelly (2012), Donaldson (2012), and Graafland and van de
Ven (2011) have examined moral and ethical issues that emerged from the
recent credit crisis. Securitization has been attributed to be one channel
that facilitated the amplification of systemic risk by increasing excessive
leverage and risk concentration across the financial sector.
A study of the securitization industry in ethical terms is not just impor-
tant because of the complex ethical relationships that exist between origi-
nators, special purpose vehicles (SPVs), ratings agencies, investors, and
regulators but also because of the role it plays in the global financial sys-
tem. When assessing securitization and the financial crisis a less explored
aspect of the literature is the ethics of risk transfer. In this chapter we
explore the ethics of risk transfer and securitization.
The borrower can choose how fast to amortize the principal and thus
interest rate risk is shifted to the borrower. If the borrower exercises the
option to defer part of the interest then that deferred interest is added to
the borrower’s outstanding balance. The loan has become riskier, and the
borrower’s leverage has increased. But what if these mortgages are then
bought by a SPV which funds the securitization process with senior, sub-
ordinate, and residual securities? The subordinate class is not only lever-
aged but also funds a disproportionate part of the pool’s credit risk. Since
the pay-option ARM negatively amortizes, the credit risk increases over
time, adding more risk to the financial system.
The huge volume in available loans prior to 2007 fueled predatory
lending and the amplification and dispersion of risks arising from bad
loans. Consider the collateralized debt obligation (CDO). Originally this
market had been based on junk bonds in the late 1980s. However, after
2001 the demand for securitized products escalated. Low investment
grade tranches [think of BBB mortgage-backed securities (MBS)] were
repackaged into a new CDO—a resecuritized product. Despite the fact
600000
500000
U
S
D 400000
M
i
300000
l
l
i
200000
o
n
s
100000
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Year
that the CDO was based on lower rated tranches of MBS, 80 percent of
the CDO market received a triple A rating (FCIC Report 2011). The
growth of the CDO issuance market is displayed in Fig. 4.1.
As the CDO market approached its peak volume in 2006, the US cur-
rent account deficit approached 6.25 percent of GDP. To finance this
debt, the US needed to attract 70 percent of the world’s capital flows
(Rajan 2010). With US interest rates at historical lows, these higher yield-
ing (and riskier) CDO instruments became more attractive. After 2004,
demand for CDOs surged and gave rise to synthetic securitized products,
namely CDO2 and CDO3. Effectively the CDO boom “created the inves-
tor” (FCIC Report 2011).
for booking loans there was an incentive to boost the volume of loans. The
ratings agencies also had skewed incentives (Scalet and Kelly 2012) due
to the information and servicing payments supplied by the securitization
originators.
The OTD model tended to present a false sense of confidence that
risks were understood and being effectively managed. Tett (2009) quotes
Charles Pardue:
I don’t think we should kid ourselves that everything being sold is fair value.
I have been to dealer events where bankers are selling this stuff, and the sim-
plicity of the explanation about how it works scares me … there are people
investing in stuff they don’t understand, who really seem to believe the
models, and when models change, it will be a very scary thing.
are put through the process again to produce CDO3. The rise and fall of
the global CDO market is displayed in Fig 4.1, and it is clearly evident this
segment is struggling to rebound. From the above description it quickly
emerges that with the creation of synthetic CDOs the securitization pro-
cess started to achieve quite bizarre levels of complexity. Therefore it is not
surprising that the securitized products came to be thought of colloquially
as an “alphabet soup”.
MBS and CDOs created further leverage because they were initially
financed with debt. The original mortgage creates leverage particularly
when the loan is low on down payments and a high loan-to-value ratio.
With synthetic securitized products, CDOs purchased as collateral in cre-
ating other CDOs creates another round of leverage. The CDO backed
by MBS that in turn was backed by mortgages creates another level of
leverage. Credit default swaps (CDSs) applied to securitized products in
the 1990s played a central role to the securitization market, especially to
investors. A firm wishing to reimburse its credit risk gets a counterparty to
take on that risk, the risk of default, and effectively pays a premium to it
to do so. The counterparty buys a CDS from another firm (AIG was the
most famous example (Tett 2009)). The default risk does not necessarily
stay with the original seller because these products can be freely traded.
What emerges out of the CDO market prior to the crisis is opaqueness
and complexity, making risk assessment extremely difficult. If the risk is
properly priced by the market and the market remains liquid then it is
sound, otherwise it indicates unethical factors may be present and this was
the case with CDOs.
Another way of considering the complexity of CDO related products is
to calculate the number of pages of documentation for a prospective inves-
tor. Haldane (2009) considers a diligent investor attempting to understand
securitized products. Table 4.1 provides data on the level of documentation
MBS tranches and 40 CDOs. Two of these 155 MBS tranches were
from a $1 billion RMBS pool created in 2004 by a large investment
bank, composed of almost 7000 mortgage loans (of which 90 percent
were subprime loans). In this RMBS issue there were $865 million of
AAA notes, about half of which were purchased by the Federal National
Mortgage Association, Fannie Mae (FNMA) and the Federal Home
Loan Mortgage Association, Freddie Mac (FHLMC) and the rest by
a variety of banks, insurance companies, pension funds, and money
managers. As of the WSJ writing in 2009, 1800 of the 7000 mort-
gages remained in the pool, with a delinquency rate of approximately
20 percent.
And relatively recent historical episodes tell us that this is not the first time
that such correlation trading has gone awry. At the turn of the century
multi-sector CDOs were constructed based on loans that were assumed
to have low correlations with respect to each other. Yet in 2002 after the
dot.com bust, 9/11, and large defaults in the mobile home loan mar-
ket, the multi-sector CDO market experienced write-downs. Backed by
mortgages, mobile home loans, aircraft leases, and mutual fund fees and
defaults in these markets happened simultaneously, causing losses in the
multi-sector CDO market.
122 B.G. BUCHANAN
spiked during the 2002 recession. Despite this the CDO market contin-
ued to prosper until 2007.
The recent financial crisis is not the first time controversy over cash
CDOs versus synthetic CDOs has occurred. In 2002, the Head of the
UK Financial Services Authority, Howard Davies, described synthetic
CDOs as “the most toxic element of the financial markets today.”9 Cash
CDOs have collateral of bonds or loans whereas synthetic CDOs contain
credit derivatives such as CDSs. In 2004, the UK bank, Barclays, was fac-
ing legal proceedings from one of its CDO investors, HSH Nordbank. A
German Landesbank, HSH Nordbank, was seeking compensation over
losses it claimed it suffered regarding a $151 million investment in syn-
thetic CDOs arranged and managed by Barclays Capital. The losses were
incurred as a result of investment in aircraft leases. HSH Nordbank and
Barclays eventually settled out of court in 2005.
The LTV Steel case represents an extremely powerful challenge to the
notion of a “true sale” to a SPV in the securitization market (Fabozzi
2005). The issue of “true sale” is very important in the event that the
originator of the SPV’s assets goes bankrupt. If the arrangement is not
deemed a “true sale” then it is termed a secured lending arrangement.
With a true sale, the originator shifts all the risks to the SPV. A secured
loan usually suggests that if investors have any recourse against the origi-
nator or if he risk shifts from the SPV to the originator. If the seller ever
files for bankruptcy, then “bankruptcy remoteness” means that the col-
lateral is removed from its bankruptcy estate. At the time of the LTV Steel
case there did not appear to be any case law directly addressing whether a
contested securitization transaction is a sale or secure financing. The LTV
Steel case challenged the bankruptcy remoteness concept and indeed chal-
lenged the legal foundation of the ABS industry (Strak 2002).
Prior to its Chapter 11 filing, LTV Steel was one of the US’ largest steel
companies. As of September 30, 2000, LTV Steel had $5.8 billion in assets
and $4.7 billion in liabilities. In addition to this the company had a work-
force of 17,500 people, 100,000 retirees who depended on LTV Steel
for its medical benefits, and the company made a profound impact on the
economy of northern Ohio. Regarding its securitization arrangements,
LTV Steel established two structured financing arrangements. The first
was set up in 1994 when LTV Steel created a wholly owned corporation;
LTV Sales Finance Co. to serve as the SPV. LTV Sales Finance Co. securi-
tized all the accounts receivable for LTV Steel. The issue received an AAA
rating and UK bank, Abbey National, was a major investor.
124 B.G. BUCHANAN
Additional concerns over litigation risk were also raised when Conseco
Finance Corporation (a major originator of manufactured housing loans)
declared bankruptcy in December 2002. This was the third largest bank-
ruptcy filling in US corporate history (after Enron and WorldCom). At the
time of its bankruptcy Conseco had been servicing its securitizations for a
50 basis point servicing fee. The controversies centered on the cash flow
waterfall, which the bankruptcy court altered without consent (a trust-by-
trust basis is required of all the note holders) and the servicing contracts.
The court ruled that a 50 basis point servicing fee was inadequate and
ordered the fee be increased to 115 basis points. Additionally, by chang-
ing the waterfall cash flow structure the bankruptcy court avoided the
documenting and legal protections that were assumed to apply to ABS
investors.
Asset-backed security returns depend on whether borrowers will be
able to service their loans. Arnold and Buchanan (2009, 2010) reinforce
this danger of breaking the link between the originator and lender in
their analysis of Heilig-Meyers’s securitization of accounts receivables.
Once the largest furniture retailer in the USA, Heilig-Meyers had been
experiencing cash flow problems prior to 1998 and in order to acceler-
ate cash flow, Heilig-Meyers decided to securitize its accounts receiv-
able. The company held the riskiest tranche of a financial product that
was securitized with low-quality loans, or what is termed toxic waste.
In 2000 a sudden downgrading in ratings was the result of significant
portfolio deterioration following a controversial servicing transfer. The
servicing transfer became controversial because borrowers were usually
assessed on individual store credit scoring models and made payments
at individual retail locations. Problems arose when Heilig-Meyers shut
its doors during bankruptcy proceedings. The accounts receivable cer-
tificates defaulted once stores began closing. Even if borrowers wanted
to repay their debt, there was no store open to make a payment.
Consequently, in 2001, Heilig-Meyers became the first company in
which the senior notes of ABS suffered a principal loss. In addition, by
2000, an estimated one out of nine bankrupt Americans owed money
to Heilig-Meyers. In 2003, Union Bank and Bank of America were
accused of misreporting the credit quality of Heilig-Meyers’s ABSs.
First Union settled out of court and in late 2008 the plaintiffs (includ-
ing AIG) were awarded $141 million in damages from the Bank of
America case.
126 B.G. BUCHANAN
Securitization of more esoteric sources, such as cash flows from solar pan-
els and home rental income have picked up since the financial crisis. Yet it
raises the question, is every asset necessarily a suitable candidate for secu-
ritization? To satisfy these criteria, the assets must be sufficiently strong to
support a high credit rating without the backing of the originating lender.
More specifically, the prospective asset pool should have a stable history
of rate, delinquencies, prepayments, and default data. To facilitate such a
statistical analysis, the asset volume should be sufficiently large and homo-
geneous. The prospective asset also needs to be unencumbered and trans-
ferable. The asset pool also should be sufficiently diversified in terms of
geography and socio-economic characteristics in order to reduce exposure
to economic stresses. In the next two sections, I discuss the securitization
of life insurance settlements and future flow securitizations.
At the heart of the SEC filing (dated April 16, 2010) were allegations
that Paulson and Co., a large hedge fund, had taken a prominent role
in the ABACUS 2007-AC1 deal. According to the SEC filing, Goldman
Sachs told investors that the RMBS were selected by an objective and
independent third party, ACA Management LLC (ACA), which special-
ized in credit risk analysis. ACA served in the role as “portfolio selection
agent”. Paulson and Co. played a significant role in the portfolio selec-
tion of RMBS. Paulson’s selection criteria tended to favor relatively lower
FICO scores, a high percentage of ARMs, and a high concentration of
mortgages in states that had been experiencing substantial price appre-
ciation (such as Arizona, Nevada, Florida, and California). This was not
known to investors such as IKB, nor was it included in the Goldman Sachs
marketing materials. After participating in the RMBS selection, Paulson
and Co. effectively shorted the portfolio by entering into a CDS to buy
protection on its investment. The CDS also references the RMBS perfor-
mance in a portfolio. By taking the short position, Paulson and Co. was
economically incentivized to select RMBS that had a higher likelihood of
a credit event in the near future.
The SEC charged Goldman Sachs Vice President Fabrice Tourre for
defrauding investors. The SEC complaint details how Tourre, who was in
charge of structuring the synthetic CDO transactions, also communicated
directly with investors and prepared the marketing materials. According to
the charges, Tourre also misled ACA into believing Paulson and Co. had
taken a $200 million long position, a sharp contrast to what the hedge
fund was actually doing.
The ABACUS 2007-AC1 deal closed on April 26, 2007. By October
24, 2007, 83 percent of the ABACUS 2007-AC1 RMBS had been down-
graded and 17 percent was on negative watch. By January 2008, 98
percent of the portfolio had been downgraded.15 The Goldman Sachs syn-
thetic CDOs ultimately failed as a result of the subprime market meltdown
in 2007. The final losses from the failure of the ABACUS 2007-AC1 are
staggering. Whereas John Paulson netted approximately $1 billion, IKB
lost approximately $150 million, ACA Capital lost approximately $900
million, and Goldman Sachs lost approximately $100 million (which was
only partially offset by the $15 million fee it received from Paulson &
Co.). Goldman and the SEC reached a settlement in July 2010. Tourre
decided not to settle with the government and his trial went ahead in
2013. The trial largely depended on email evidence in which the SEC
claims that Tourre knew he was selling compromised investments to inves-
tors. A timeline charts these events in the Appendix 1.
SECURITIZATION AND RISK TRANSFER 133
ing circulars. Four of the judges concluded that if the Basis Yield Alpha
Fund’s allegations were true, then this revealed a picture of a “‘vast gap
between the speculative picture Goldman presented to investors and the
events Goldman knew had already occurred in 2007.”19 The fifth judge
on the appeals panel concurred with different reasoning. However, the
2014 New York appeals court ruling was modified to throw out claims of
negligent misrepresentation, unjust enrichment, and rescission. The court
refused to allow the case to go into arbitration, which had been requested
by Goldman Sachs.
In 2012 Justice Kornreich had declined to dismiss the fraud claims
because the disclaimers and disclosures in the offering circulars did not
preclude Basis Yield’s claim that it relied on Goldman Sachs’s misrepresen-
tations and omissions. So what the subsequent trial had to determine was
whether Goldman’s misrepresentations and omissions were the reasons
Basic Yield Alpha Fund invested in Point Pleasant CDOs and Timberwolf
CDSs, or whether Basic Yield Alpha Fund simply entered into a bad deal.
The structures of the GSAMP2007-FM1, ABACUS and Timberwolf
deals are summarized in Table 4.2.
Tourmaline (named after a gem with variable hues because the stones
passed over a rainbow on their journey from the center of the Earth). In
the case of Greek sovereign debt securitizations, SPVs commonly carried
names from Greek mythology such as Aeolos (the god of wind); Ariadne
(who found her way through the Knossos labyrinth) and Atlas (who held
the world on his shoulders).21
In 2013, CDO dealmakers were choosing more neutral, longer-lasting
names that were able to buffer various economic cycles. A sampling of
names includes: Marathon CLO, Symphony CLO Ltd., Arbor Realty
Collateralized Loan Obligation Ltd, and Jamestown CLO II. The last one
is named after the first permanent English settlement in the US and the
Jamestown CLO II was meant to evoke a connection between the USA
and Europe as well as longevity and stability.
This optimistic redubbing also applies to the former subprime MBS. A
September 2015 Financial Times report22 details two deals for a bond
based on “non-prime mortgages”. This term is used to describe mort-
gages that do not meet government standards. Again after the financial
crisis “ability to repay” rules to raise lending standards and to insulate
against credit being extended to borrowers unable to make good on a
loan.
Notes
1. Faith and Finance: Of Greed and Creed. Patrick Jenkins. FTimes.
December 23, 2009.
2. Securitization Founder Defends MBS. Total Securitization and
Credit Investment, SEC News, July 23, 2010.
3. “Why Toxic Assets are so Hard to Cleanup”, Kenneth Scott and
John B Taylor, WSJ, July 2009.
4. “Instruments of Destruction”, Frank Partnoy, NYTimes, Room
for Debate, April 27, 2010.
5. “Why Toxic Assets are so Hard to Cleanup”, Kenneth Scott and
John B Taylor, WSJ, July 2009.
6. SecondMarket is a firm which specializes in illiquid assets.
7. A CMO is issued as a debt obligation not a sale in which the issuer
can actively manage the cash flow of the underlying collateral.
8. “Instruments of Destruction”, Frank Partnoy, NYTimes, Room
for Debate, April 27, 2010.
SECURITIZATION AND RISK TRANSFER 137
2004 Goldman Sachs launches Abacus 2004-1, a deal worth $2 billion. This is
Goldman’s first major synthetic CDO issue.
Mid- John Paulson, a hedge fund manager, creates the Paulson Credit Opportunity
2006 Fund. This fund is set up with a target of making bearish bets on the mortgage
market.
Dec. Goldman begins to go short the U.S. housing market.
2006
138 B.G. BUCHANAN
Early Paulson & Co.’s joint head of “credit opportunity,” Paolo Pellegrini, asks
2007 Goldman salesmen and Wall Street bankers to create a synthetic CDO. The
purpose is so that the firm can short.
Early Goldman Vice President, Fabrice Tourre, contacts portfolio selection agent
2007 ACA Management, a firm that oversees CDO portfolios.
Feb. Paulson and Tourre discuss the portfolio with ACA. The portfolio becomes a
2007 CDO called Abacus 2007-AC1.
Feb. The US subprime mortgage market weakens but it soon recovers some of its
2007 strength. This makes it easier to get the Abacus 2007-AC1 deal done.
March The SEC forms a working group that focuses on mortgages securitized by Wall
2007 Street—especially CDOs sold during 2006 and 2007.
April The Abacus 2007-AC1 deal closes. Goldman gets paid $15 million in fees.
2007
Early The SEC requests information from Paulson and his team about the ABACUS
2008 2007-AC1 deal.
Aug. Goldman is subpoenaed by the SEC.
2008
Late Paulson & Co. executives meet with the SEC and share details of the Abacus
2008 deal.
July The SEC informs Goldman Sachs that it is being served with a Wells notice.
2009 This is a formal warning that civil fraud charges could be forthcoming.
Sept. Goldman Sachs meets with the SEC to discuss the Wells notice.
2009
April The SEC convenes a meeting to vote on the Goldman charges on April 14. On
2010 April 16, 2010, the SEC announces the suit against Goldman Sachs. Goldman
Sachs shares drop 12 percent. Fabrice Tourre is also placed on paid leave by
Goldman Sachs.
April Tourre testifies at a Senate subcommittee and denies the SEC’s charges against
2010 him. Tourre also argues that all of the investors involved in the deal were
sophisticated investors and should have been aware of the inherent risks in the
deal. He also claims that he never told ACA Capital Management that Paulson
was an equity investor in the Abacus CDO.
July Goldman and the SEC announce a settlement. Tourre decides not to settle and
2010 he is scheduled for a later trial. Goldman pays $550 million to settle the charges,
a record at the time. Approximately $300 million is allocated to SEC fines and
the rest is intended to compensate those who lost money on the investment. As
part of the settlement, Goldman acknowledges it should have revealed Paulson
& Co.’s role in the ABACUS deal.
Dec. Tourre leaves Goldman. He later enrolls as a doctoral student in economics at
2012 the University of Chicago.
May ACA’s fraud claims against Goldman Sachs are dismissed by the New York state
2013 appeals court. The court’s verdict is that as a “highly sophisticated commercial
entity,” ACA should have realized something was amiss with the ABACUS
offering.
July Fabrice Tourre’s trial commences.
2013
SECURITIZATION AND RISK TRANSFER 139
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CHAPTER 5
While not a “true” securitization (Kendall and Fishman 2000), the earli-
est application in emerging markets is the Brady Plan (1989–1992/1994),
or Brady Bonds. Brady Bonds are bonds issued by emerging market coun-
tries but are credit enhanced by US Treasuries. Named after former US
Treasury Secretary Nicholas Brady, investors are at least assured of pro-
tecting their principal from default risk because US Treasury zero coupon
bonds serve as the collateral. They are not a “true” securitization because
it is a transaction that has merely converted syndicated debt into securities.
In fact, in the early years of emerging market securitization, many of the
funds that moved through emerging bond markets rather than through
bank loans did not qualify as securitized products. Nevertheless, this credit
enhancement program for troubled emerging market assets proved suc-
cessful and there have been many analogies made with the recent financial
crisis and Brady Bonds (Gumbrau-Brisa and Hann 2009).
The utilization of securitization technology in times of economic cri-
sis has been a common theme across emerging markets. This is best
demonstrated with the securitization of NPLs in Latin America dur-
ing the 1994 Mexican Peso Crisis and the 1997–1998 Asian Financial
Crisis. Non-performing loans are a major problem in the banking sys-
tem of many emerging market countries. The legal infrastructure and
recovery systems are attributed to the accumulation of NPLs (Kothari
2006; Gyntelberg and Remolona 2006) and often bad loans remain on
a bank’s balance sheet well after a financial crisis. For example, in 1997
Japanese banks’ balance sheets had US$1 trillion in non-performing
assets (Kothari 2006). The 1997 Asian financial crisis was the impetus
for a number of Asian countries to implement securitization as a means
of recycling NPLs. The Asian Bond Markets Initiative (ABMI) included
securitization as a proposal to introduce more sophisticated bond mar-
kets to the Asian region in the aftermath of the 1997 Asian Financial
Crisis (Sekine et al. 2009).
Koth et al. (1998) discuss the problems Eastern European firms face
when trying to raise capital in international financial markets during the
1990s. Due to significant losses sustained on NPLs, commercial banks
had been hesitant to provide funding for Eastern Europe’s debt problems.
Koth et al. (1998) suggest securitization as a partial solution to the NPL
problem. They focus on how Eastern European loan portfolios of large
commercial banks might be packaged for securitization in international
capital markets.
Securitization has also proved to be an effective tool in mitigating sov-
ereign risk. Even if a firm carries a good credit rating, domestic firms can
SECURITIZATION IN EMERGING MARKETS 143
2 MICROFINANCE SECURITIZATION
Schwarcz (2009) and Hartig (2011) propose that securitization techniques
can be applied to microfinance to disintermediate the need for commer-
cial banks. Microfinance refers to the provision of sustainable small loans
146 B.G. BUCHANAN
asset pool backing each tranche. This mirrored the overall risk profile
of BRAC’s microcredit loan portfolio. The loans had an average life of
6.5 years and each tranche had a maturity of 12 months. The MCBS were
primarily sold to local Bangladesh investors.
In 2004 the first microfinance CDO was issued by BlueOrchard
Finance S.A., a Geneva-based microfinance investment consultancy in
cooperation with Developing World Markets, a US investment advisory
group. The Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC), a US gov-
ernment development finance institution, guaranteed the investments and
supported the transaction’s credibility. JP Morgan Securities was respon-
sible for distribution of the securities to private and institutional investors
(Hartig 2011). USD 99 million of funding was provided for five years at
a fixed rate to 21 MFIs in 13 emerging markets. The countries included:
Albania, Azerbaijan, Bolivia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Cambodia,
Colombia, Ecuador, Georgia, Mexico, Mongolia, Nicaragua, Peru, and
Russia (Jobst 2011).
gages have their own unique legal issues. Insuring a good title is more
important in a commercial transaction because there are fewer properties
worth proportionately more in a given mortgage pool. Failure of title in
one property could impact the pool severely. In the initial stages of mort-
gage securitization title insurance did not exist in Latin America as it does
in the USA. Applications were first attempted in Argentina and Mexico.
But rule of law on the books is not sufficient. Investors also had to have
confidence that the laws would function as enacted. Laws regulating issues
such as foreclosure, the ability to transfer or assign rights in mortgages,
and the creation of SPVs had to be scrutinized. Even well into the 2000s,
in a number of Latin American jurisdictions, securitization was still a rela-
tively new process. This meant the courts had not tested many of the exist-
ing and newly enacted laws. Even today, legal foundation, interpretation,
and enforcement still play a significant role in assessing the growth of the
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) market.
Despite the financial crisis, securitization in Latin America has con-
tinued to demonstrate a great deal of promise. Legal infrastructure for
securitizations has improved across many Latin American economies,
along with the possibility of introducing covered bond markets into the
region as a competing market. A major factor has been high commodity
prices boosting local economies. This includes both hard (i.e., metals and
mining) and soft commodities (i.e., agricultural goods). Due to sound
economic fundamentals (i.e., continued GDP growth), there have been
a growing number of investment grade countries (e.g., Brazil, Mexico,
Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Panama). RMBS have been relatively stable.
Local pension funds also represent a growing investor base, attracted by
the prospect of potentially higher returns compared with corporate bonds
of equal risk.
Latin American securitization markets have also attracted the interest
of multinational agencies such as the International Finance Corporation
(IFC). The World Bank also approved key loans to promote the develop-
ment of securitization secondary markets. For example, in 2000 a hous-
ing agency in Mexico received a US$500 million loan to reorganize the
primary mortgage market. This was intended to improve foreclosure
laws, develop mortgage insurance, and make mortgage rates in Mexico
more uniform. In Argentina the IFC also invested $150 million in the
country’s first major secondary mortgage company, Banco de Credito y
Securitizacion, and provided $50 million to the Banco Hipotecario, (for-
150 B.G. BUCHANAN
4 SECURITIZATION IN ASIA
Securitization of bank loans, mortgages, and other liabilities started to
gain momentum in the Asia-Pacific region after the 1990s. Lejot et al.
(2008) examine the use of securitization in East Asian countries including
China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Philippines,
Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The primary reason for the establish-
ment of the Asian securitization market was to deal with the NPLs left in
the wake of the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis.
ABS were initially issued in Korea, Thailand, Malaysia, and the
Philippines to address the credit risk that had accumulated in the NPLs
throughout the crisis. The appeal of securitizing NPLs is that it provides a
means to quantify pools of assets that are difficult to value, usually to make
their sale look more feasible. Alternatives to dealing with NPLs can include
discontinuation of the loss-making business segment; seeking cost reduc-
tions to improve margins; cutting excess labor or a merger and acquisition
with a financial viable partner. At the time securitization was considered
a more cost-efficient alternative to high cost financing. Secondly, a high
credit quality instrument could be created out of lower quality debt.
In the mid-1990s Hong Kong, Korea, Thailand, and Indonesia were
the first Asian markets to adopt securitization. In Asia there has been an
emphasis on existing receivables/flows securitization rather than FFS that
dominates Latin American markets (Hill 1998). However, in the later
1990s there was a marked shift toward FFS, especially in the Philippines,
Korea, and China. In 1999, Daewoo, a Korean firm, issued the first domes-
152 B.G. BUCHANAN
tic ABS. A major factor driving this was that future expected offshore dol-
lar cash flows could now be captured offshore. Additionally, there was no
perceived transfer or inconvertibility risk. In 2000, Asiana Airlines pursued
a FFS and Korean Air in 2011. By 2000, Japan and Korea were the domi-
nant securitization markets in Asia. However, in 2014 the number of new
securitization issues in the Chinese market overtook the South Korean
and Japanese securitization markets. That year the ratio of Chinese secu-
ritization issues relative to South Korea was a ratio of approximately three
to one. However, in 2015 there has been a decline in CLO issuances and
a rise in RMBS and ABS backed by smaller loans such as car loans. It is
also evident that the number of issuances in Japan started to wane after the
2007 financial crisis, whereas issuances increased in Korea. The introduc-
tion of a covered bond market is a new focus in Asia.
While issuance remained stable in Japan and declined in South Korea
between 2012 and 2015, securitization issuance in China surged between
2013 and 2014. In 2014, Chinese securitization issuance (69 issues) is
three times the figure for South Korea (22 issues). Between 2005 and
mid-2015 there were a total of 141 securitization issuances in China.
Japan’s issuance of securitized products declined as a result of the sub-
prime mortgage market crisis (Sekine et al. 2009) but it was not due to
any direct impact exposure to US subprime loans. The performance of
Japanese securitized products was also relatively stable with a much lower
downgrade rate (0.3 percent) compared with the global figure (27 per-
cent) (Sekine et al. 2009). The decline may largely be attributed to the
decline in investor sentiment on the part of insurance companies, trust
banks, and megabanks. The Japanese issuance trends downwards until
2012, when there is a reversal in the number of issues.
Securitization types in China, South Korea, and Japan between 2005
and mid-2015; CMOs are the most common type of securitization deal
in Japan and South Korea, whereas in China CDOs are the most com-
mon type of securitization, followed by ABS. Securitization collateral is
presented. In Japan and South Korea, whole business loans serve as the
most common form of securitization collateral between 2005 and mid-
2015. Chinese government owned banks and lenders continued to move
loans off their balance sheet and bundle them into collateralized loan obli-
gations (CLOs) which comprises the bulk of the Chinese securitization
market.
In 1997, Pakistan Telecommunications was able to securitize $250 mil-
lion in receivables from dollar-paying companies such as MCI WorldCom,
SECURITIZATION IN EMERGING MARKETS 153
Korea was the first Asian country to introduce legislative reforms and
host a wave of securitization activity. Securitization became a valuable tool
for expanding the South Korean corporate and financial sector after the
1997 Asian financial crisis. South Korean legislation also allowed large
volumes of NPLs to be employed as collateral for new collateralized debt
obligations (CDOs) that were being issued in the country at the time.
In the USA, securitization has been used to accelerate the liquidity of
assets, whereas in Asian emerging markets it has often been used to rectify
the NPLs of state banks. Emerging markets drew on a previous financial
crisis for guidelines in securitizing NPLs (Hill 1998). The first mover in
the area of reorganizing non-performing assets was the Resolution Trust
Corporation (RTC) in the USA. In the 1980s it was through the “N”
series programs that the RTC first undertook the first securitization of
NPLs. In the wake of the Savings and Loans (S&L) crisis, RTC bought
154 B.G. BUCHANAN
5 SECURITIZATION IN INDIA
The Indian securitization market has been in existence since the early
1990s and auto loan securitization was the mainstay in these early years.
It was particularly successful in the early years because of the homogenous
nature of its receivables, The Indian securitization market matured after
the turn of the century and post-2000, the Indian securitization market
when it was characterized by a regular group of issuers and narrow field
of investors. Over time, the Indian securitization market has diversified
into housing loans, corporate loans, commercial mortgage receivables,
telecom receivables, lease receivables, medical equipment receivables, toll
revenues, project receivables and microfinance loans. During its growth
the Indian securitization market has not depended on the equivalent of
government sponsored entities.
Much of securitization activity in India on the demand side has been
driven by mutual fund requirements and insurance companies trying to
satisfy priority sector lending targets. On the supply side, securitization
activity has been driven by prevailing liquidity conditions and retail loan
portfolio growth.
There was a brisk start to the Indian securitization market. This contin-
ues well into 2008, but after 2009 and 2010 there is a substantial decline
in issuance due to the impact of the global financial crisis. The market
started to rebound after 2010 and appears to have been growing quite
healthily since then. Over the period 2002–2015, the most common secu-
ritized products have been ABS, CDO and CMOs. It is quite clear that
auto loans are the most common type of collateral followed by CLOs.
With regards to the MBS market in India there are a number of chal-
lenges, namely:
7 WHY SECURITIZATION?
Why the resurgence in interest by Chinese regulators about securitization?
The Chinese economy has been growing at its slowest pace since 1990.
Various regulatory responses have included cutting benchmark interest
rates; restricting initial public offerings; lowering housing down payments
(from 60 percent to 40 percent); extracting pledges from 21 brokers to
buy shares as long as the Shanghai Composite remains below 4500; sus-
pending trades in some stocks and easing rules on loans.11 All of these
measures have been implemented in an effort to prevent a liquidity crunch
in the financial system.
In early 2015, Baoding Tianwei Group (a power equipment manufac-
turer) became the first state-owned firm to fail to pay its bond interest.12
As a result there is also a renewed focus on the increase in NPLs. This was
once endemic in China reaching approximately 23 percent in 1990 (see
156 B.G. BUCHANAN
Fig. 5.1). Despite the fact that the ratio of NPLs to gross loans declined
over the last two decades, it has increased during the past year. In addi-
tion, the bad debt generated by China’s five largest state-owned banks
increased to 50.1 billion yuan—double the level for the same period one
year earlier.13 There was a rise in NPLs between 2013 and 2014. The big-
gest bank in the world measured by assets is Industrial and Commercial
Bank of China (ICBC). ICBC’s NPL ratio rose to 1.4 per cent at the
end of June 2015, from 1.29 per cent at the end of March 2015. The
Bank of China’s NPL ratio rose to 1.4 per cent from 1.33 per cent and
Agricultural Bank of China’s hit 1.83 per cent from 1.65 per cent over the
same period.14
The Chinese financial system has become more volatile over the last
couple of years. For nine consecutive days in July 2015 the Shanghai
Composite Stock Index dropped a total of approximately 40 per cent15
and foreign investors pulled cash out of mainland China markets. Margin
lending has declined and the Chinese housing market has also been slug-
gish. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) introduced a new mechanism
for trading the renminbi, but its value subsequently fell.16
25
20
Percentage (%)
15
10
0
1990 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
with the CBRC scheme, the rules regarding legal, tax, and accounting
issues are more complex. As far as disclosure requirements, the SAMPs are
only required to report to SAMP investors. One hurdle in the initial stages
was that with CSRCs has been that bankruptcy was not guaranteed and
the notion of a true sale and bankruptcy remoteness had never been tested
by a Chinese court.22 Approvals of CSRC ceased after September 2006.
In 2013, there was major restructuring of NPLs for the four major banks
(Buchanan 2015). The CSRC also changed the quotas on the Qualified
Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) Program26 in order to internation-
alize the renminbi. In the QFII program accredited foreign investors
can buy CLOs in the interbank bond market or on the stock exchange.
Growth in securitization products was relatively lackluster in 2012–2013,
largely due to the fact that investors could generate higher yields from
wealth management products issued by banks and trust companies.
China’s money market experienced a series of credit crunches in 2013,
mainly liquidity crunches due to a classic maturity mismatch, between
long-term assets used to generate higher yields and the shorter-term
products that were being sold. Lacking a secondary market for the wealth
management products meant that investors were constrained to hold
them until maturity. Banks were rushing to raise cash to pay off matur-
ing shadow bank products which could not be easily sold. Global mar-
kets were adversely impacted by this credit crunch in the Chinese market.
Regulations also curbed banks and trusts to offer wealth management
products at yields as high as 10 percent.27 The securitization market was
thus provided a boost, coinciding with this reduction in competitive
advantage in wealth management products.
In 2014, CLOs served as the most common form of securitization in
China. It is evident that the most active issuer of CLOs is the policy banks
(34 percent of originations). Of this group, China Development Bank, a
state-owned lender has been the most active issuer packaging infrastruc-
ture loans such as railway construction loans. Banks account for an aggre-
gate issuance of 76 percent of CLOs. It is also evident that corporate loans
account for 86 percent of underlying assets of CLOs, followed by residen-
tial mortgages and auto loans. In China resecuritized products (think of
CDO2) are rarely seen, which was not the case in the USA prior to 2008
(Schwarcz 2013).
In January 2015, HSBC became the first foreign bank to complete a
Chinese securitization deal selling CLOs in the interbank market while
retaining the equity tranche on its own balance sheet (Buchanan 2015).
Gyntelberg and Remolona (2006) compare the appeal of collateralized
bond obligations (CBOs) versus CLOs. They observe that CBOs may well
be less liquid than the assets in the underlying pool. On the other hand
bank loans to companies are already highly illiquid, so the resulting CLO
is likely to be more liquid than the underlying assets. Most Chinese CLOs
are usually backed by company loans which are kept on the balance sheet.
164 B.G. BUCHANAN
the Volkswagen Auto-loan ABS issued in 2014 was the first debt instru-
ment in China to receive international credit ratings (Buchanan 2015).
The main risk concern in the case of ABS based on car loans is whether
the car buyer will repay the loan installments. In the case of a CLO the
primary default risk concern is whether the company will repay the loan.32
Accounting for credit risk in Chinese business transactions is not necessar-
ily straightforward because many investors are also lenders (think of the
US analogy in the lead up to the 2007 crisis where banks who were issu-
ers also were ABS/MBS investors). Risks are also compounded by poorly
regulated informal lending channels and thus many of the risks are likely
to remain in the financial system.
In January 2015, the CBRC streamlined its registration procedure,
allowing approval requirement for 27 commercial banks to conduct secu-
ritization deals. At the same time with record low bond yields in Europe,
investors were seeking higher yields in alternative investments such as
ABS. The global ABS issuance market had risen nearly 16 percent by mid-
2015, with the biggest contribution coming from China.33 In 2015, the
Chinese government took steps to ban asset management companies from
securitizing local government debt. There was uncertainty as to whether
the move would have any substantial impact, unless banks and trust com-
panies followed suit.34
The Central Bank of China relaxed rules on the sale of ABS in April
2015. This made it easier for banks to transfer outstanding loans into trad-
able notes and institutions did not need to seek approval from regulators
for each ABS sale. ABS are now tending to becoming more standardized.
If they become more transparent and closely regulated, this should create
a more active market for the Chinese securitization market.
Despite these significant changes, as 2015 has progressed, there has
been a 50 percent drop in ABS volume around CLO issuance in China.
Banks have been less incentivized to sell CLOs because they are able to
obtain more liquidity through various interest rate and capital ratio cuts.
Of concern is that NPLs have started to increase (see Fig. 5.1). Bad debt
generated by China’s five largest state-owned banks increased to 50.1 bil-
lion yuan in the first quarter of 2015, double the level relative to the same
period in 2014. So if China’s growth continues to decline, NPLs are likely
to increase, and then it is likely to follow that the write-down of ABS will
continue to increase (Buchanan 2015).
166 B.G. BUCHANAN
in its courts, so there is no legal precedent. Chen and Goo (2015) recom-
mend that the best thing that could happen for Chinese securitization
market development (for both domestic and cross-border transactions), is
for the National People’s Congress (NPC) to enact a formal securitization
statute.
NOTES
1. Jaffee, D. and Renaud, B. 1997 World Bank Study. Strategies to
Develop Mortgage Markets in Transition Economies 4 (World
Bank Policy Research Working Paper 1697).
2. Based on the 5/6 loan in the Philippines. This is where 5 pesos is
loaned in the morning and six pesos has to be repaid in the eve-
ning, equivalent to 20 % daily or 5000 % annually.
3. BRAC is an international development organization based in
Bangladesh.
4. Securitization in the Global Marketplace, P.A. Burke and J.P. de
Mollein, American Securitization Forum, 2012.
5. BRIC stands for Brazil, Russia, India and China.
6. Securitization in the Global Marketplace, P.A. Burke and J.P. de
Mollein, American Securitization Forum, 2012.
7. An Exit Plan for Japan? Brenner and Peterson, Business Week,
October 26, 1998, 132–134.
8. Euroweek (492), March 7, 1997.
9. China CLO market stutters on economic slowdown, Xiao Wang,
Asia Risk, 27 July 2015.
10. Sliced and diced loans take off in China, Gabriel Wildau, Financial
Times, February 19, 2015.
11. China’s problem is the economy itself, not the market sell-off,
David Daokui Li, Financial Times, August 30, 2015.
12. China CLO market stutters on economic slowdown, Xiao Wang,
Asia Risk, July 27, 2015.
13. China CLO market stutters on economic slowdown, Xiao Wang,
Asia Risk, July 27, 2015.
14. China’s banks face tightening bad loans squeeze, Ben Bland,
Financial Times, August 30, 2015.
15. Beijing’s Big Push Raises a Red Flag, Chao Deng and Fiona Law,
Wall Street Journal, July 18, 2015.
16. China’s problem is the economy itself, not the market sell-off,
David Daokui Li, Financial Times, August 30, 2015.
168 B.G. BUCHANAN
REFERENCES
Arner, D. (2002). Emerging market economies and government promotion of
securitization. Duke Journal of Comparative and International Law, 12,
505–519.
Battaglia, F., & Gallo, A., (2015). Risk governance and Asian bank performance:
An empirical investigation over the financial crisis. Emerging Markets Review,
25, 53–68. Forthcoming.
Buchanan, B. G. (2015a). Securitization in China—Déjà vu? Journal of Structured
Finance, 21(3), 36–50.
Buchanan, B. G. (2015b). Securitization: A financing vehicle for all seasons?
Journal of Business Ethics, 138(3), 559–577.
Buchanan, B. G. (2015c). The way we live now: Financialization and securitiza-
tion. Research in International Business and Finance (in press).
Bystrӧm, H. (2008). The microfinance collateralized debt obligation: A modern
Robin Hood? World Development, 36, 2109–2126.
CBRC. 2012. China banking regulatory commission annual report, 2011. China
Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC). Retrieved from http://www.cbrc.
gov.cn/showannual.do
Chen, J., & Goo, S. H. (2015). Can China develop a viable cross-border securiti-
zation market? Journal of Structured Finance, 21, 95–100.
Chen, J. P. (2004). Non-performing loan securitization in the People’s Republic of
China. Working paper, Stanford University.
Faleris, N. J. (2005). Cross-border securitized transactions: The missing link in
establishing a viable Chinese securitization market. Northwestern Journal of
International Law and Business, 26, 201–223.
Ferreira de Mendonça, H., & Barcelos, V. I. (2015). Securitization and credit risk:
Empirical evidence from an emerging economy. North American Journal of
Economics and Finance, 32, 12–28.
Galal, A., & Razzaz, O. (2001). Reforming land and real estate markets. World
Bank Policy Research, Working paper no. 2616.
Gumbrau-Brisa, F., & Hann, C.L. (2009). Reviving mortgage securitization:
Lessons from the Brady Plan and duration analysis. Federal Reserve Bank of
Boston, Discussion Paper.
Gyntelberg, J., & Remolona, E.M. (2006). Securitization in Asia and the Pacific:
Implications for liquidity and credit risk. BIS Quarterly Review.
Hartig, P. (2011). The role of public and private investors for structured finance
in Emerging markets. In D. Koehn (Ed.), Mobilizing capital for emerging mar-
kets. Heidelberg: Springer.
Hill, C. A. (1998). Latin American securitization: The case of the disappearing
political risk. Virginia Journal of International Law, 38, 293–330.
Hu, M. (2008). Developing securitization laws in China. Review of Banking and
Financial Law, 27, 565–596.
SECURITIZATION IN EMERGING MARKETS 171
Alternatives to Securitization
1 COVERED BONDS
The growth of the US securitization market has been primarily due to
mortgage-backed securities, whereas Europeans have historically tended
to trade in covered bonds. Covered bonds are very much part of the
European bond framework. As of mid-2007, the covered bond market
ranked as the sixth-largest market in the world and the largest asset class in
Europe. One of the strongest cases for a covered bond market is in reac-
tion to the 2007 global financial crisis. Relative to the US securitization
market, the covered bond market is regarded as having had a “good crisis”
(Blommestein 2011) because the market continued to be very resilient
against the backdrop of the 2007 global financial crisis. When bank fund-
ing markets seized up European lenders were still able to issue covered
bonds.
The argument for increased use of covered bonds has been made due to
the protection the covered bond market offered to investors throughout
the 2007 global financial crisis. Yet even prior to the crisis, the covered
bond market showed lots of growth in Europe. According to Dealogic,
the global issuance of covered bonds rose by 78 percent between 2001
and 2005. In 2011, a record $335 billion of covered bonds were sold in
Europe.1 Today the European covered bond market continues to enjoy a
strong reputation and is dominated by Germany and Denmark. Issuance
in the global covered bond market between 2003 and 2010 is profiled in
Fig. 6.1. One and the new covered bond issuers during the same period
are displayed in Fig. 6.2. According to the figure, Germany, Denmark,
and the UK are the biggest covered bond markets in terms of size. In late
2015, as part of its asset purchase program, the European Central Bank
was buying billions of euros worth of covered bonds each month.2
250000
200000
2003
150000
2004
2005
100000 2006
2007
2008
50000
2009
2010
0
16
14
12
2003
10
2004
8 2005
2006
6
2007
4 2008
2009
2
2010
0
the mortgages, issues the covered bond. The subsidiary lends the funds to
the parent bank. The parent bank retains and guarantees the cover assets.
The issuer will take possession of the cover assets and continue to service
the bond in the event of insolvency.
Prior to the 2007 financial crisis, two banks adopted covered bonds
in the USA, namely Washington Mutual (WaMu) and Bank of America.
When WaMu became the first US covered bond issuer in 2006 it did so
with a dual tranche 6 billion euro issue. The WaMu covered bond struc-
ture was somewhat unusual, in that the collateral for the covered bonds
was not the mortgages directly, but mortgage bonds. Mortgage-backed
bonds were issued by WaMu Bank to a SPV, the Washington Mutual
Covered Bond Program. The SPV was responsible for issuing covered
bonds to investors. Deutsche Bank was designated to be the indenture
trustee for the mortgage bonds. In the event of a default by WaMu Bank
Deutsche Bank was to be responsible for seizing and liquidating collat-
eral. The mortgage bonds, not the mortgages served as collateral for the
covered bonds. Deutsche Bank would then be responsible for deposit-
ing the proceeds a GIC account—AIGMFC was the provider. AIGMFC
would pay the interest and principal amounts for the covered bonds to
the Bank of New York. The Bank of New York served as the trustee for
the covered bonds. Note the trustee for the covered bonds and mortgage
bonds were different. The covered bonds were denominated in euros.
WaMu Covered Bond Program first had to swap the dollar-denominated
proceeds from the mortgage bonds into euro-denominated payments for
investors (most were European pension funds and banks). The swap pro-
gram, typical of covered bond programs, was used to manage timing and
currency mismatches between payments to the covered bondholders and
payments from the underlying mortgages. That is where Barclays Bank
comes in. Barclays served as the counterparty to the SPV on the currency
swap agreement.
In summary, the main benefits of covered bonds are:
to the probability of a poor harvest. One solution was for mortgage credit
institutions to pool borrowers’ funds, diversifying event risk for both the
lender and investor. The basic principles have remained almost unchanged
for 150 years in the Danish mortgage and covered bond market. In its first
100 years, the Danish mortgage credit sector consisted of many mortgage
credit associations, where mutuality was emphasized. Mutuality contrib-
uted to a very restricted lending policy for Danes. The most important
duty of the mortgage credit associations was to safeguard the interests of
its members. The Danish system is a very robust system that has survived
several subsequent crises. For example, in the 1880s farm crisis there was
less than 1 percent loan loss and this figure was repeated during the Great
Depression and throughout changes in the macroeconomic regime in the
1980s and 1990s.
A more liberal lending policy was introduced after the 1950s. After
the 1970s reform included a provision that new mortgage banks would
only be approved if there was an apparent need for them. Subsequently,
the number of mortgage banks in Denmark was reduced from 24 to 7
banks. In addition, the system became a two-tier system (previously it was
a three-tier system) of ordinary and special mortgage credit loans.
In 1989, in order to comply with European Union internal market
standards, the ownership structure was transformed into limited compa-
nies (Haldrup 2014). The bonds were also subsequently referred to as
mortgage bonds.
The success of the Danish model has been attributed to its balanc-
ing principle, which includes interest rate matching; duration/liquidity
matching; and currency matching. This balancing principle and fund-
ing mechanism keeps cash flows simple and protects the financial system
against mismatching. In the 1970s, even though the Danish financial
system experienced difficulties investors did not suffer losses due to
bankruptcy.
In 2005, George Soros marketed the Danish Mortgage Solution on a
worldwide basis with the Absalon Project and the first loans were issued
in Mexico in 2007. During the 2007 financial crisis Soros (2008) advo-
cated making some modifications to the US based system. With regard to
the massive losses sustained in the mortgage industry, Soros believes the
US system broke down because the originators did not retain any part of
the credit risk—instead they were motivated to maximize fee income. In
other words, there was no “skin-in-the-game”. This would be termed an
agency conflict because the interest is not identical with the interests of
the ultimate owners. Soros praises service companies in the Danish system
that have to replace mortgages that are in default because they retain the
credit risk.
The US government sponsored entities also came in for harsh criticism
by Soros. Again he cites the Danish system which does not have a reliance
on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac style entities. Instead it is an open sys-
tem where all the mortgage originators participate equally while operat-
ing without government guarantees. Even during the recent crisis Danish
mortgage bonds retained their traditional high AAA rating even though
they often yield less than government bonds. The bonds are highly rated
because the mortgage originators retain the credit risk and just pass on the
interest rate risk. Even after foreclosure and bankruptcy the borrower is
still responsible for the full loan.
From the mortgage banks’ point of view there are distinct advantages
to the Danish system. Firstly, there is the “in-house” principle where all
functions are performed within the same company. This includes funding,
credit evaluation, and loan processing—all of these actions are conducted
in-house instead of services offered from different organizations. Secondly,
the loans are distributed cheaply and efficiently, representing controlled
costs. In addition, in terms of risk management, the only primary risk
remaining is credit risk. Finally, the specialized mortgage institutions rep-
resent a good basis for co-operation with commercial banks. From the
investors’ point of view, the balance principle ensures a high bond rating
ALTERNATIVES TO SECURITIZATION 183
and the bonds behind each loan are perceived as safe and low cost. These
covered bonds consequently serve as an important investment for pension
funds and credit institutions.
However, when the FDIC made the public statement, it gave no indi-
cation as to whether the cover pool of assets would remain segregated
from other bank assets in the event of a bankruptcy. Even though cov-
184 B.G. BUCHANAN
claims. This is called the “encumbrance issue” and is a major concern of the
FDIC. Until that is resolved US lenders will continue to miss the low-cost
funding that covered bonds provide. Yet what is agreed is that regulation
and supervision remain stringent. It is also of paramount importance that
the quality and homogeneity of the cover pool be crucial in the resilience
of the covered bond market.
2 ISLAMIC SECURITIZATION
After the market turmoil of 2008, the securitization market effectively
ground to a halt. Banks tried to deliver, sell non-core assets, and raise
capital, all in an attempt to boost their balance sheets. Central banks
had to support the inter-bank money markets with substantial liquidity
injections. The securitization market remained stagnant. At the time,
securitization was viewed as a disrupter of financial markets because of
imprudent credit origination, opaque valuation methods, and insuffi-
cient regulatory oversight. Conventional securitization was viewed as
having adverse consequences for global financial stability and economic
growth. A lot of doubt was cast upon securitization as a technique to
unbundle, transform, and reallocate credit risk. Yet the demand for
credit remained unabated.
186 B.G. BUCHANAN
Jobst (2009) states that from 2010 to 2013 approximately US$2 tril-
lion of credit demand is estimated to be unmet as the conventional securi-
tization market remains in flux. The current situation creates a number of
opportunities in alternative markets. In addition, some financial centers are
looking at ways they can best accommodate the trading of sukuk bonds.
For example, in order to retain its financial clout as a global financial cen-
ter, London is looking at ways to issue shariah-compliant bonds and has
started to adjust its tax regulations so that sukuk bonds can be held and
traded. As an alternative to conventional securitization, sukuk issuance is
believed to be an efficient means of capital allocation and financial stability.
NOTES
1. Invasion of Covered Bonds Stall at US Gate by Tracy Alloway on
May 25, 2012.
2. Covered bonds advance beyond Europe, Financial Times,
December 10, 2015.
3. National Real Estate Investor, Securitization’s Sole Survivor,
Bennett Voyles, February 1, 2009, Vol. 51, No. 2.
4. Danish covered bonds—a primer. Global Credit Research, 2008.
5. Danish Mortgage Bonds, Realkredit Denmark.
6. https://www.fdic.gov/news/news/press/2008/pr08060a.html
7. Invasion of Covered Bonds Stall at US Gate by Tracy Alloway on
May 25, 2012.
8. Covered bonds gain ground in Asia, Thomas Hale, Financial
Times, November 25, 2015.
9. This prohibits investment in alcohol, tobacco, gambling, and por-
nography, for example.
10. The Ijarah sukuk is the most popular sukuk bond and represents
leased assets.
REFERENCES
Bhanot, K., & Larsson, C. (2015). Should financial institutions use covered bond
financing? Working paper.
Blommestein, H. J., Harwood, A., & Holland, A. (2011). The future of debt
markets. OECD Journal: Financial Market Trends, 2011(2), 263–281.
Haldrup, K. (2014). On security of collateral in Danish mortgage finance: A for-
mula of property rights, incentives and market mechanisms. European Journal
of Law and Economics, 1–29.
190 B.G. BUCHANAN
Rising credit risks and intense risk aversion have pushed credit spreads to
unprecedented levels, and markets for securitized assets, except for mort-
gage securities with government guarantees, have shut down. Heightened
systemic risks, falling asset values, and tightening credit have in turn taken
a heavy toll on business and consumer confidence and precipitated a sharp
slowing in global economic activity. The damage, in terms of lost output,
lost jobs, and lost wealth, is already substantial.
Lawsuits were also on the rise. A rising trend in lawsuits filed against
lenders, originators, and home builders erupted as the US housing market
started to decline during late 2006 and into 2007. There were a number
of other surprising responses to the US mortgage crisis, including the sug-
gestion that local governments use “eminent domain”. Eminent domain
usually applies to the government seizure of real property (not loans), such
as homes for an urban renewal project or highway construction project. In
this case, eminent domain was intended to take underwater, but performing
mortgages, in the private label securitization market. The seizure of trou-
bled mortgages would enable the homeowners’ debt to be written down.
San Bernardino County in California was one of the first and more visible
cases during the crisis where eminent domain was proposed. Numerous
criticisms by Wall Street groups and the mortgage industry argued that
60
50
40
No. of Filings
30
20
10
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009
Fig. 7.1 Credit crisis filings. Source: “An update on the credit crisis litigation: a
turn toward structured products and asset management firms”, NERA Economic
Consulting Working Paper (2009)
such a plan would spark lawsuits, higher interest rates, and a tightened
market for borrowers.1 The measure was eventually voted down in 2013.
In 2007, 35 percent of the lawsuits were filed against lenders and home
builders and 14 percent were filed against asset management firms. By the
end of 2007, lawsuits started to specifically focus on structured products
and investment management firms. In 2008, 17 percent of the lawsuits were
filed against lenders and home builders while 33 percent were filed against
asset management firms (Sabry et al. 2009). Most cases involved allegations
relating to the purchase, ownership, or sale of securities. According to Sabry
et al. (2009) in this initial wave of litigation the key allegations included (i)
the concealment of subprime risk exposure and failure to adequately allo-
cate reserves for such exposure; (ii) misrepresentation of subprime exposure
and failure to write down assets in a timely manner; and (iii) misrepresenta-
tion of the collateral underlying the securities. Figure 7.1 shows the surge
in credit crisis filings between the first quarter of 2007 and first quarter of
2009. The figure shows the dispersion of 303 credit crisis filings over the
same period. Sabry et al. (2009) find that credit crisis filings increased to
172 percent in 2008 relative to 2007, rising to 188 cases from 69 cases.
REFORMING THE GLOBAL SECURITIZATION MARKET 193
funds over a 28- or 84-day time period as opposed to the overnight matu-
rity for the discount window. The initial response by the US Congress was
to pass the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008, signed into law by President
Bush on February 13, 2008. Focusing on tax rebates and incentives, the
Economic Stimulus Act was estimated to cost approximately US$152
billion. President Bush also signed into law the Housing and Economic
Recovery Act of 2008 on July 30, 2008, and this law principally reformed
the regulation of government-sponsored enterprises such as Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were placed into government conserva-
torship in September 2008. Along with Ginnie Mae, these three agencies
were funding 90–95 percent of US mortgages by 2011. The US govern-
ment also raised the maximum GSE conforming loan limit in high-cost
areas from USD 417,000 to USD 729,790 in 2008. It was set to expire in
2011 and fall back to a loan limit of USD 625,000. These measures also
had the effect of crowding out the private label securitization market. This
is best illustrated in Fig. 7.2.
4,000.00
3,500.00
3,000.00
2,500.00
2,000.00
1,500.00
1,000.00
500.00
0.00
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Agency NonAgency
5000000
4500000
4000000
3500000
3000000
in US $ millions
2500000
2000000
1500000
1000000
500000
0
8-Aug-07 8-Aug-08 8-Aug-09 8-Aug-10 8-Aug-11 8-Aug-12 8-Aug-13 8-Aug-14
Date
February 2009, the Federal Reserve and the Treasury jointly announced
the expansion of the facility up to US$1 trillion due to further deteriora-
tion of the financial markets.
The Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF) was created on March 16,
2008, in response to the liquidity crisis facing primary market dealers in
the spring of 2008, especially after events at Bear Stearns. PDCF was dif-
ferent to other lending programs that were implemented because this is
an overnight fully collateralized loan facility for primary market dealers
who deal and trade in US Treasury securities with the Federal Reserve
Bank of New York. The facility was intended to provide liquidity for only
six months, but after two years, the program was officially terminated on
February 1, 2010. The Term Securities Lending Facility (TSLF) was cre-
ated on March 11, 2008, during the same time the PDCF was announced.
The facility was suspended on July 1, 2009, and the program was termi-
nated on February 1, 2010.
As a response to the crisis at Bear Stearns, the Federal Reserve lent
US$29 billion to a special purpose investment vehicle named ‘Maiden
Lane’ in March of 2008. Later in the year, the Federal Reserve also made
two additional loans to AIG which was similar to the Bear Stearns Maiden
Lane facility. It was implemented through two special purpose vehicles
(SPVs) referred to as Maiden II and Maiden III. Regarding the Maiden II
vehicle, the Federal Reserve lent funds on a non-recourse basis in order to
purchase residential mortgage-backed securities from the AIG subsidiar-
ies securities lending portfolio. The Federal Reserve also lent funds on a
non-recourse basis to Maiden Lane III, but this was in order to purchase
multi-sector CDOs on which AIG Financial Products had written CDS.
As they were at the core of the financial crisis, the value of ABS as col-
lateral was brought into question, causing runs on the asset-backed com-
mercial paper and repo markets. During 2008 the market for commercial
paper quickly dried up, and companies that usually depended on com-
mercial paper for short-term debt financing found it extremely difficult
to finance their activities. As a response, the Commercial Paper Funding
Facility (CPFF) was announced on October 7, 2008. The average matu-
rity for the majority of commercial paper issued during 2008 was less than
a week (even though the maturity for commercial paper can be up to
270 days).
After the Lehman Brothers failure, a run on money market mutual
funds (MMMFs) was triggered after shares issued by the Reserve Primary
Fund “broke the buck”. This now meant that shares in the Reserve
Primary Fund were trading at less than one US dollar per share. Many
200 B.G. BUCHANAN
position, so the pure risk must be retained. The proposed rules regard-
ing risk retention exempts transactions guaranteed by Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac.
Under Dodd-Frank, there was an exception to the 5 percent risk reten-
tion rule. The lender did not need to retain any risk in mortgages deemed
to be super safe. These mortgages were termed Qualified Residential
Mortgages (or more colloquially, QRM). When the regulators first pro-
posed terms to carry out the risk retention rules in 2011, the idea was that
there would be a two-tier mortgage market. Mortgages deemed to be
QRM would be characterized by substantial down payments that would
minimize the risk of default. The second tier of mortgages would include
riskier loans—although still safer than the ones characterized the boom
(such as no-document loans, interest only loans, negative amortization
loans, and balloon payment loans). The second-tier mortgages could only
be securitized if the originators responsible for either the loans or the secu-
ritizations kept some of the risk. These details on the risk retention rules
were left to regulators, but it was not until October 2014 that the details
were finally settled. Essentially, the idea above was dropped leaving Barney
Frank, the former chairman of the House Financial Services Committee
to comment, “The loophole has eaten the rule, and there is no residential
mortgage risk retention.”12
Under the 2014 terms, it appears that government-sponsored enter-
prises would have the major advantages, leaving many to wonder if there
would be a private securitization market at all in the future. If they guar-
antee a loan, there is no need under the rules for any risk retention by
those who made the loans. According to Mr. Frank those fighting the risk
retention rules included mortgage lenders, homebuilders and consumer
groups.
Section 942 of the Dodd-Frank Act mandates improved disclosures
and ongoing reporting obligations for all ABS issuance. This includes
individual loan data and use of computer programs indicating the
cash flow waterfall. The type of assets involved in the transaction are
important for the due diligence and disclosure reporting requirements.
The review of actual assets underlying the ABS must be performed by
registered issuers who are also required to disclose their findings. If
the underlying assets in the securitization pool have been originated
under different conditions, then the issuer must disclose these facts.
The Dodd-Frank Act also has specific due diligence proposals regard-
ing loan level data. It suggests revising the previous reporting regime
REFORMING THE GLOBAL SECURITIZATION MARKET 203
where issuers were only required to report pool-level data. The new
requirements would include: terms of the asset, service identity, an
identity number, whether or not it conforms to applicable underwrit-
ing criteria and obligor characteristics.
Gorton and Metrick (2010) state the Dodd-Frank Act has three sig-
nificant gaps—in securitization, repos, and money market mutual funds
and require even further regulation. Their suggestion is the formation
of Narrow Funding Banks (NFBs). Gorton and Metrick (2010) propose
NFBs as a complement to traditional banking and securitization activi-
ties. Traditional banks would continue to fund loans through securitiza-
tion but the ABS must be purchased by NFBs. Under their proposal, the
NFBs would fund themselves with repos and other debt instruments. The
Group of Thirty MMMFs proposed the clustering of NFBs to monitor
and control securitization. This would be in combination with regulatory
oversight for what serves as minimum acceptable collateral. So the NFBs
are intended to accomplish one task: to buy securitized products and issue
liabilities for investors. This would bring a former major participant in the
shadow banking system under a regulatory umbrella. Just like commercial
banks, the NFBs would have capital funding requirements and discount
window access. However, the NFB would not be able to buy anything
except ABS. Gorton and Metrick (2010) term this “securitized banking”,
which is a combination of repos and securitization.
3,50,000.00
3,00,000.00
2,50,000.00
2,00,000.00
1,50,000.00
1,00,000.00
50,000.00
0.00
Dec-09
May-10
Dec-14
May-15
Jun-07
Jun-12
Jan-07
Apr-08
Oct-10
Mar-11
Aug-11
Jan-12
Apr-13
Nov-07
Sep-08
Feb-09
Jul-09
Jul-14
Nov-12
Sep-13
Feb-14
Placed Retained
the vast majority of issued transactions were retained by the issuing banks.
Blommenstein et al. (2011) document that by the end of March 2011
more than half (57.1 percent) of the €2.1 trillion European securitization
market was being “retained” by originating banks in Europe. The grow-
ing share of retained issuance over the 2008–2014 period is an indication
of funding difficulties faced by European banks and the role of the ECB as
liquidity provider to the European banking system.
European regulators responded quickly to enact regulations and
update existing ones. Various regulatory reforms have included the
Capital Requirements Directive (CRD), the Credit Agency Regulation
(CAR), Solvency II Proposals as well as the Basel II, 2.5 and III Accords.
Regulatory efforts regarding credit ratings agencies have included improv-
ing transparency, disclosure requirements, internal governance structures,
supervisory oversight, and registration requirements.
Since 2007 the EU securitization market has been stalled and thus a
key financing channel could potentially be lost. Without securitization, a
bank’s ability to sell assets is constrained. In Europe 80 percent of finan-
cial intermediation takes place through banks, the implications for growth
206 B.G. BUCHANAN
The Basel 2.5 proposals were introduced in July 2009. Basel 2.5 was
intended to revise the securitization framework and strengthen the trading
book regime. The CRD III contains new rules on resecuritizations and
capital requirements for trading book exposures. A definition of resecu-
ritization was also introduced. The punch line in this directive is that the
capital charges for securitizations and resecuritizations have gone up con-
siderably. CRD III also requires higher collateral haircut of securitization
208 B.G. BUCHANAN
3500
3000
2500
Asset Size (Euros)
2000
1500
1000
500
0
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
1–
1–
1–
1–
1–
1–
1–
1–
1–
1–
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
–0
06
06
06
06
06
06
06
06
06
06
Fig. 7.5 Total assets of European Central Bank
• The loans that are bundled and pooled in the securitization process
must be created using the same lending standards as any other loan.
This is intended to eliminate any “cherry-picking”, or adverse selec-
tion problems.
• The originator must retain at least 5 percent of the loans portfolio.
So effectively, the originator is now “on the hook” for those loans.
• The supporting securitization documentation must provide details
of the structure used and the ‘waterfall’ payment structure (i.e., the
division of payments to each of the tranches)
216 B.G. BUCHANAN
NOTES
1. “San Bernardino County abandons mortgage plan”, Alejandro
Lazo, LA Times, January 25, 2013.
2. Complaint for Plaintiff at 2, Jacksonville Police and Fire Pension
Fund v. American International Group, Inc., et al. No. 08-CV-
47727 (S.D.N.Y. filed May 21, 2008).
3. Complaint for Plaintiff at 2, Jacksonville Police and Fire Pension
Fund v. American International Group, Inc., et al., No. 08-CV-
47727 (S.D.N.Y. filed May 21, 2008).
4. “FHFA’s update on private label securities actions”, Federal
Housing Finance agency, September 12, 2014.
5. Explain difference between a dealer and investment bank.
6. http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_fedsbal-
ancesheet.htm
7. Financial Times, July 7, 2009.
8. Plender (2015) provides some wonderful data on the Glass-Steagall
documentation versus Dodd-Frank documentation. The Glass-
Steagall Act ran to 37 pages. The initial Dodd-Frank was 848
218 B.G. BUCHANAN
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arising from the 2007–2008 credit crisis. Harvard John M. Olin discussion
paper.
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zation market. OECD Journal – Financial Market Trends, 2011, 1–18.
Buchanan, B. G. (2016). The way we live now: Financialization and securitization.
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Gorton, G., & Metrick, A. (2010). Regulating the shadow banking system. Working
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Humphreys, P., & Jaffe, B. (2012). Regulatory developments in the United States
and Europe: An analysis of recent reforms affecting securitization transactions.
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finance companies: Efficient financial contracting or regulatory arbitrage?
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CHAPTER 8
Conclusion
demand that loans be fully documented, and most lenders either elimi-
nated non-traditional products or began using them more selectively. This
was codified by the ability-to-repay rules promulgated by the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau. In late 2015, the SEC will require that third
party due diligence to the ratings agencies be furnished, and the results
should be furnished with the SEC as well. The Federal Reserve imple-
mented a comprehensive capital analysis and review (CCAR). CCAR anal-
ysis calls for a broad-based, macroeconomic stress test by the banks.
Securitization has since resumed in most asset classes, including auto-
mobiles, credit cards, collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), and com-
mercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBSs). In 2015, securitization
issuance, including agency and non-agency mortgage-backed securities
(MBS) and asset-backed securities (ABS), totaled $1.9 trillion—a 19.8
percent increase from 2014. Since ABS issuance volumes fell by 14.1
percent, the increase was driven entirely by agency and non-agency MBS
issuance (SIFMA 2016). Outstanding volumes rose to $10.1 trillion, rep-
resenting an increase of 0.4 percent. This was largely driven by agency
MBS, agency collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) and ABS. On
the other hand, in 2015 non-agency outstanding volumes have fallen
7.2 percent. In 2015, average daily trading volumes were $196.7 billion,
an increase of 7.4 percent from the previous year and this was driven by
agency MBS trading. Non-agency MBS and ABS volumes fell 17.1 per-
cent and 3.1 percent (SIFMA 2016).
In terms of delinquencies, loss rates on credit card ABS have been low
and have been declining since the financial crisis (SIFMA 2016). This is
most likely because consumer ABS quality appears to be strong in terms of
liquidity and market depth. Approximately 8.4 percent of credit card ABS
were delinquent in 2015; 3.3 percent of auto loan ABS were delinquent and
11.1 percent of student loan ABS were delinquent in 2015 (SIFMA 2016).
The MBS performance metrics are back approximately halfway to where
they were prior to the financial crisis (SIFMA 2016). In May 2013, the
US housing market appeared to display signs of improved performance, in
fact, the most optimistic figures in approximately six years.1 In the USA,
Fannie Mae, Ginnie Mae, and Freddie Mac are presently funding more
than 90 percent of mortgages.2 In early 2013, Freddie Mac reported
2012 earnings of $11 billion income, its first annualized profit since 2006.
However, after the crisis, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac faced a potentially
reduced role for the future as regulatory changes were debated. There
was a proposal for creating a new two-tier company that would establish
a single securitization platform which would be intended to decrease the
CONCLUSION 223
dominance of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The proposed new platform
would also be independent of Fannie and Freddie and would provide a
framework whereby issuers could securitize home loans and be able to
track payments from borrowers to buyers of MBS, thus forming a new
secondary market infrastructure.
During the financial crisis, eminent domain was a program that gener-
ated considerable investor wrath but never took effect. Under eminent
domain, performing, underwater loans were to be seized out of pri-
vate label securitizations. The investors would be paid whatever the city
deemed appropriate, and the loans would be written down and then refi-
nanced into an FHA loan. The eminent domain program was proposed by
several cities throughout the USA. These cities claimed that they would
pay a fair market rate. However, investors indicated that the only way the
economics worked was if the loans were purchased at a deep discount to
the market value of the troubled property. Eminent domain essentially
took advantage of the weak investor protections in the private label securi-
tization market, and bank portfolio loans and loans from the FHA, GSEs,
and the Department of Veterans Affairs were not subject to this program.
Due to steps taken by regulators and investor protests, the eminent
domain proposals were never implemented in any municipalities. In
August 2013, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) released a
statement which dampened any future for the eminent domain proposal.
In December 2014, Congress settled the issue when it announced it would
prohibit the FHA, Ginnie Mae, or HUD from insuring, securitizing, or
establishing a federal guarantee on any mortgage or mortgage-backed
security that refinances or otherwise replaces a mortgage that had been
subject to eminent domain condemnation or seizure. Even though no US
municipality utilized eminent domain, the issue highlighted to investors
that the private label securitization structure did not adequately protect
their interests. It is argued that because the eminent domain issue took
several years to resolve, this hindered the return of the private label secu-
ritization market after the financial crisis.
Today, much of the long-term health of the securitization market
depends on revival of the private label residential mortgage-backed secu-
rities (RMBS) market, which still remains relatively stagnant. Warranties
and representations are two conflicting issues in the private label RMBS
market. So what has to change in the private label securitization market
to restore issuance? First, the market needs to standardize the documenta-
tion so that investors can quickly understand how each deal differs from
others. Secondly, a deal agent (who should not be the trustee) should be
224 B.G. BUCHANAN
Source: AFME
CONCLUSION 225
120.0%
100.0%
80.0%
60.0%
40.0%
20.0%
0.0%
May-07
May-08
May-09
May-10
May-11
May-12
May-13
May-14
May-15
Jan-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
Sep-15
Fig. 8.1 European securitization issuance—Percentage Retained 2007–2015
that are backed by asset classes that have performed well throughout the
financial crisis. Also considered to be eligible are European SME loans,
auto loans, and leases and credit card receivables.
In the wake of the financial crisis, alternative models are being formu-
lated to create a more transparent and efficient securitization market. One
solution is the Open Models Company (OMC). The OMC detours the
credit ratings agency system and allows participants to independently input
their assumptions on future economic activity and run a “what-if” analysis
on asset pricing. This independent network of modelers is also encouraged
to comment on underlying data and assumptions. Tapscott and Williams
(2012) compare the OMC process with the scientific peer review pro-
cess. The OMC business model is intended to deal with new securitization
offerings as well as existing problematic offerings. Additional efforts have
been made at “rebranding” the securitization process.
Peer-to-peer (or P2P) lending is presenting opportunities for securiti-
zation as well. Under the P2P model, lenders seek to use online platforms
to directly connect borrowers with lenders, often at cheaper rates than
those available at banks, and at significantly increased returns for inves-
tors. The prospective higher yields from investing in the P2P asset class
have drawn interest from many Wall Street participants. These investors
are also attracted to the potential opportunities of securitized P2P loans.
The securitization process transforms illiquid assets (the P2P loans) into
marketable securities (the tranches of the securitized deal). This provides
access to a new asset class and potentially favorable risk/return payoff for
asset managers, pension funds, and wealth managers because the process
lowers cost of funding for the originators and replenishes capital. ABS
based on P2P platforms potentially provides a new source of revenue and
risk diversification and will continue to be a much-watched asset class in
the near future.
Nevertheless, securitization will be an important channel for long-term
recovery despite many of the short-term hurdles it faces. It is apparent that
securitization can be a powerful facilitator of economic growth if imple-
mented judiciously. Global regulatory reform has been gradual but is nec-
essary for confidence gains in financial markets. Questions remain about
how the securitization market should be designed, supervised, and regu-
lated in the future. It is difficult to find a “single bullet” solution because
of competing factors such as different coupon types, maturity profiles,
asset types, and interest rate determination techniques. Different, legal,
cultural, and market frameworks add to this complexity.
CONCLUSION 227
NOTES
1. Home Prices Rise, Putting Country in Buying Mood, Catherine
Rampell, New York Times, May 28, 2013.
2. Fannie and Freddie set for Reduced Role, Shaheen Nasiripour,
Financial Times, March 5, 2013.
3. Asset-Backed Securities: Back from Disgrace, Christopher
Thompson and Claire Jones, FTimes, September 30, 2014.
4. Asset-Backed Securities: Back from Disgrace, Christopher
Thompson and Claire Jones, FTimes, September 30, 2014.
5. Securitisation industry battles with stigma, Financial Times, March
23, 2016.
6. VW Issues Raises Questions about ABS Safety, Thomas Halen,
October 21, 2015.
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Index
Bank of America, 4, 14, 38, 72, 77, collateralized loan obligations (CLO),
125, 177, 183 x, 16, 25, 78, 79, 114, 118, 120,
Basel III reforms, 208 136, 141, 152, 154, 155, 163,
Basel II Principles, 205, 207–9 165, 222
Basel 2.5 Principles, 207 collateralized mortgage obligations
Bear Stearns, 5, 22, 37, 199 (CMO), 16, 18, 73, 77, 79, 114,
Boston Mortgage Company, 62 122, 136n7, 150, 152, 154, 222
Bowie bonds, x, 80, 94–5, 127 collateralized synthetic obligations
Brady Bonds, 142 (CSO), 16, 79
brand name securitizations, x, 80, 97–8 commercial mortgage backed securities
British East India Company, 53 (CMBS), 25, 26, 77, 78, 149,
Bühring, 58 151, 157, 159, 162, 222
Commercial Paper Funding Facility
(CPFF), 198, 199
C compera, 51, 52, 74n3, 74n4
capital regulatory requirements, 3 conduits, 6, 11, 23, 24, 73, 113
Capital Requirements Directive Conseco Financial Corporation, 125
(CRD), 205–7, 217 Consolidated Association of Planters
capture theory, 88–90 of Louisiana (CAPL), 54–5
Carrington Capital Asset Management counterparty risk, 99, 113
(CCAM), ix, 34–6 Countrywide Financial, 5, 38, 193
CDO. See collateralized debt covered bonds, 39, 50, 60, 173–85,
obligations (CDO) 187, 210, 212, 217
Chinese market, securitization, x, 141, CRA. See credit ratings agencies (CRA)
152, 160, 163, 166 CRD. See Capital Requirements
Citigroup, 4, 22, 34, 103, 193 Directive (CRD)
CLO. See collateralized loan Credit Agency Regulation (CAR), 205
obligations (CLO) credit card securitization, 2, 14, 15,
CMBS. See commercial mortgage 23, 30, 73, 78, 83, 91, 92, 114,
backed securities (CMBS) 145, 148, 222, 226
CMO. See collateralized mortgage credit enhancement, viii, 3, 21, 35, 36,
obligations (CMO) 81, 98, 106, 113, 142, 144, 153,
collateralized commodity obligation 161, 188
(CCO), 16, 79 Credit Foncier, 61, 68, 178
collateralized debt obligations (CDO), Credit ratings agencies (CRA), 3, 18,
4, 5, 16, 18, 19, 22, 25–6, 27, 31, 25, 130, 201, 205, 206
34, 36–8, 40, 78, 79, 113–16, credit risk, viii, 3, 15, 17, 19, 20, 22,
118–21, 122, 123, 131–8, 146–8, 54, 56, 59, 99, 103, 113, 115,
152–4, 163, 193, 194, 199, 204, 119, 132, 133, 143, 151, 161,
206, 213, 215, 225 165, 166, 177, 181, 182, 185,
collateralized foreign exchange 201, 208, 209, 211, 216
obligations (CXO), 16, 79 currency risk, 113
INDEX 247
N
narrow funding banks (NFB), 203 Q
negotiates (plantation loans), 52 qualifying securitizations, 212
non-performing loan (NPL), 5, 16,
141, 142, 151, 153, 155, 156,
158–61, 163, 165 R
Northern Rock, 38–40 Ranieri, Lewis, 2, 13, 40n4, 72, 78,
NPL. See non-performing loan (NPL) 107n1, 107n2, 112
ratings based approach (RBA), 208
Regulation Q, 69, 70
O regulatory arbitrage, 20, 207
off balance sheet financing, 22, 23, 96, regulatory responses, 155, 195–203,
97, 101, 112, 113, 122, 160, 206, 212
200, 209, 213 residential mortgage backed securities
originate-to-distribute model (OTD), (RMBS), 18, 24–6, 30, 33, 34,
17–19, 116–17, 195 37, 40n13, 70, 77, 78, 106, 113,
Originate-to-Hold model (OTH), 118, 120–2, 131–3, 147–50, 152,
17–19, 116, 128 157, 159, 161, 175, 194, 195,
OTD. See Originate-to-distribute 199, 203, 204, 223–5
model (OTD) Resolution Trust Company (RTC),
OTH. See Originate-to-Hold model 13, 78, 153, 154, 160
(OTH) ring fence, 175
250 INDEX
risk,, 2, 3, 20–2, 50, 56, 69, 70, 81, 136, 144, 145, 149, 159, 161,
98, 111–39, 142, 143, 145, 150, 176, 177, 199, 200, 216
151, 175, 195, 221 SPV. See special purpose vehicle (SPV)
RMBS. See residential mortgage Standard and Poor’s, 3, 17, 88, 106,
backed securities (RMBS) 187
standardized approach (SA), 208
Straus bonds, 68
S structured investment vehicles (SIV),
Sallie Mae, 84–6, 87, 89–90 18, 23, 133, 195
Salomon Brothers, 12, 14, 72, 78, 112 student asset backed securities
Sears (securitization), 95, 97 (SLABS), x, 27, 80, 83–92
SEC, 4, 36, 78, 131–3, 138, 184, student loan securitization, 87
185, 201, 221, 222 subprime borrowers, 33, 36
securitization synthetic collateralized debt
Asia, 151–4 obligations, 4
benefits, ix, 19, 22–4, 98, 99, 157
complexity issues, 36, 119
definition, 13–15 T
disadvantages, 121 teaser rates, 36, 37
ethical issues, 111 Term Asset-Backed Securities loan
India, 154 Facility (TALF), 91, 198
Latin America, 147, 149–51, 164 Term Auction Facility (TAF), 195
lawsuits, 4, 191, 193–5 Term Securities Lending Facility
servicing risk, 113 (TSLF), 199
Seven Years War, 53, 56, 57, 178 Timberwolf CDOs, 133–5
shadow banking, 11, 157, 162, 195, tranches, 3, 16, 18, 23–5, 35–7, 51,
201, 203 52, 79, 81, 87–90, 98, 103,
“simple, transparent and standardized” 112–16, 118, 120, 121, 130,
securitization (STS), 215 131, 143, 146, 159, 209, 211,
SIV. See structured investment vehicles 215, 226
(SIV) “transparent and standardized”
skin in the game, 36, 58, 175, 180, Securitization, 214, 215,
182, 195, 200, 201, 204 218n20
SLABS. See student asset backed trente demoiselles de Geneve, 55–6
securities (SLABS) Troubled Asset Relief Program
solar lease securitization, 98–9 (TARP), 197
sovereign debt securitization, 80, “true” securitization, 142
99–107, 136
sovereign ratings, 103, 143, 145
sovereign risk, 113, 142, 145, 147 U
special purpose vehicle (SPV), x, 3, 17, United States Mortgage Company, 63
18, 24, 57, 81, 82, 93, 94, 96, U.S. Housing Act, 70
98, 101–3, 111, 115, 123, 124, U.S. western mortgages, 63, 65, 67
INDEX 251
V W
Value at Risk (VaR), 36 Watkins Land Company, 66
Veteran’s Authority West Indies plantation mortgages, 52
(VA), 12 Workers’ Remittances Securitization,
Villard, Henry, 62 144–5