马来西亚
RHB Research
技术分析 Institute Sdn Bhd
A member of the
RHB Banking Group
Company No: 233327 -M
每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 10 月 21 日
市场技术解读
一旦重拾 10 日移动平均线,这将会再度激励士气…
图 1∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(FBM KLCI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 2∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(单日线图)
单日线图)
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 随着大部分亚洲股市在午盘的趁低吸购活动下成功收复失地,这也带动了本地股市于周三收窄跌势。
♦ 此外,上海综合指数的强力反弹也进一步激励士气。虽然在中国中央银行周二出人意表地宣布加息后,上海综合指数一度大
跌将近 2%,但该指数在收市时反起 0.07%。
♦ 整体大市在低线股和胶手套相关股项出现轮流炒风下维持强劲,包括了先进联营(ASB)(+2 仙),时光网(TimeCom)
(+2 仙),怡观资本(Equine)(+5 仙)和利得股本(Latexx)(+29 仙)。每日成交量保持炽热于 14 亿 9 千万股,
有 408 只下跌股超越 385 只上涨股。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 其实,我们认为,假如它能在今日完全收复并企稳于 10 日移动平均线以上,那么该指数有望掀起一轮技术反弹。
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请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露(
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露( IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES)
2010 年 10 月 21 日
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
♦ 除此外,我们对于低线股和特定领域所出现的轮流炒风也感到振奋,而这也成功确保交投士气一直维持强劲。
♦ 有鉴于此,我们认为,一旦富时综指今日能进一步复苏至 10 日移动平均线以上,这将会吸引跟进买气。
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶
∶主要海外指数及原产品
10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 14 日 15 日 18 日 19 日 20 日 本地主要指数 (点) (%))
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,486.78 -1.87 -0.1
348 324 299 438 385
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 9,800.30 -9.66 -0.1
455 405 468 369 408
平盘 富时大马创业板 4,244.48 59.54 1.4
302 341 298 276 293
无交易 各大海外指数
260 296 306 288 286
道琼斯工商指数 11,107.97 129.35 1.2
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,457.39 20.44 0.8
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,178.17 12.27 1.1
(百万股) 1,274 1,021 1,331 1,500 1,489
伦敦金融时报指数 5,728.93 25.04 0.4
总成交值 恒生指数 23,556.50 -207.23 -0.9
(百万令吉) 2,042 1,647 1,610 1,820 1,803 雅加达综合指数 3,578.95 -13.84 -0.4
东京日经 225 指数 9,381.60 -157.85 -1.7
首尔综合指数 1,870.44 13.12 0.7
外汇 上海综合指数 3,003.95 2.10 0.1
令吉兑美元 3.0820 3.0800 3.1005 3.1070 3.1165 曼谷综合指数 988.81 -0.46 0.0
新加坡海峡时报指数 3,179.15 -13.14 -0.4
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg)
台湾加权指数 8,124.62 78.39 1.0
印度 Sensex 指数 19,872.15 -110.98 -0.6
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 81.77 2.28 2.9
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 2,990.00 71.00 2.4
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 9 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
21 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 11 月 2 日-3 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
Page 2 of 6
2010 年 10 月 21 日
图 3∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 4∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(单日线图
)(单日线图)
单日线图)
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
表 3∶∶吉隆坡综合期货指数
吉隆坡综合期货指数(
坡综合期货指数(FKLI))收盘
月份)
月份
FKLI (月份 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 10 月 1480.50 1493.50 1476.00 1491.00 1.00 1491.00 7250 20680
10 年 11 月 1479.00 1493.00 1477.00 1491.50 1.00 1491.50 613 842
10 年 12 月 1481.00 1493.00 1477.00 1490.50 0.50 1490.50 110 383
11 年 3 月 1481.00 1483.00 1480.00 1483.00 -8.50 1490.00 36 123
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2010 年 10 月 21 日
图 5∶
∶美国道琼斯工商指数(
美国道琼斯工商指数(DJIA)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图 图 6∶
∶美国纳斯达克指数(
美国纳斯达克指数( Nasdaq)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图
美国股市的交投指引∶
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 经过周二大幅调整后,公牛趁着许多公司公布不俗的季度业绩和美元转弱而强力回弹。
♦ 除此外,随着美联储的褐皮书(Beige Book)显示,美国经济正以“温和步伐”增长,并无显著的成长迹象后,美元便应
声回跌,而这提高了投资者对股票的风险偏好。简言之,投资者将该报告视为美联储必须推出更多措施来刺激经济的另一个
铁证。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 虽然它以一根阳烛收盘,但起落参半的动力解读却建议任何反弹潜能或将受到限制。
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2010 年 10 月 21 日
每日技术焦点∶
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶
∶安联金融(
安联金融( AFG)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 8∶
∶ 安联金融(
安联金融(单日线图)
单日线图)
整体上,
整体上,中长期上升趋势仍维持稳健…
中长期上升趋势仍维持稳健
♦ 技术而言,该股可能会在近期面对更多下跌动力。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 10 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(10-day SMA): RM3.225
♦ 40 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(40-day SMA): RM3.151
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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
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be contrary to opinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be
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may from time to time have an interest in the securities mentioned by this report.
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Technical Recommendation:
Trading Buy = Short-term positive opportunity spotted. It is an aggressive trading recommendation with a book to sellers’ price for short-term technical upside.
Bargain Buy = Short-term positive but technical signals have yet to trigger a rally. Traders can park and queue for their desired entry level within a small range.
Buy on Weakness = Short- to Medium-term positiveness anticipated, but technical readings are still negative. Traders can pick-up the stock for future rally.
Sell on Strength = Short-term momentum still positive, Traders are advice to lock in profit base on current strength.
Take Profit = Short-term target achieved. Traders are advice to exit before the technical readings turn bearish.
Avoid = Risky situation in the short-term and high volatility expected on the share price. Traders’ best strategy is staying away until it stabilises.
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