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Prestroke Anticoagulation and Paroxysmal Type Are Correlated

With Favorable Outcome in Ischemic Stroke Patients With Atrial


Fibrillation

Haruhiko Hoshino, MD,* Yoshiaki Itoh, MD,* Hiroaki Kimura, MD,*


Koichi Miyaki, MD,† and Norihiro Suzuki, MD*

Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF), which often precedes permanent AF, is reported
to be a risk factor for milder ischemic stroke. We assessed whether the type of AF and
prestroke treatment with an anticoagulant were associated with physical disabilities
in patients with AF-related acute ischemic stroke. We identified 162 consecutive
acute ischemic stroke patients with AF who were admitted to our hospital over
a 3-year period. Disability was measured using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS)
at the time of discharge and was categorized according to favorable clinical outcome
(mRS score 0-2). Of the 162 patients, 71 (43.8%) had paroxysmal AF and 91 had
permanent AF. Fifty-six patients (34.6%) had been treated with a prophylactic
anticoagulant. A total of 103 patients (63.6%) had a favorable outcome. Multivariate
logistic analysis revealed that paroxysmal AF (odds ratio [OR], 1.58; P 5 .0187),
prestroke anticoagulation treatment (OR, 1.95; P 5.0019), and noncardiogenic embo-
lism (OR, 2.20; P 5 .0073) were independent factors associated with a favorable
clinical outcome. Our data indicate that paroxysmal AF and prestroke anticoagula-
tion treatment are independently associated with favorable clinical outcome at the
time of hospital discharge in patients with AF. Key Words: Permanent atrial
fibrillation—antithrombotic treatment—disability.
Ó 2012 by National Stroke Association

As the proportion of elderly individuals increases in (24.7% at 5 years).2 Although the risk of stroke is compa-
a population, so does the prevalence of atrial fibrillation rable in patients with paroxysmal AF and those with
(AF). Because AF is closely associated with ischemic permanent AF,3,4 a few previous reports have suggested
stroke, the incidence of AF-related stroke has increased that strokes arising from paroxysmal AF are less severe
recently. AF-related strokes are generally severe, with an than those arising from permanent AF.5,6
estimated 1-year mortality rate of 50%.1 Many randomized controlled studies have shown that
Paroxysmal AF, which often precedes permanent AF, anticoagulation treatment is effective in reducing the inci-
progresses to a permanent subtype slowly but steadily dence of ischemic stroke in patients with AF, irrespective
of the type of AF.4 Analysis of pooled data from 5 random-
ized trials shows that warfarin consistently decreased the
From the *Department of Neurology, Keio University School of risk of stroke in patients with AF by 68%, with virtually
Medicine, Tokyo, Japan; and †Division of Genomic Epidemiology,
no increase in the frequency of major bleeding.7 In addi-
Department of Clinical Research and Informatics, International
Medical Center of Japan, Tokyo, Japan.
tion, anticoagulation therapy that results in a prothrombin
Received December 16, 2009; accepted March 10, 2010. time International Normalized Ratio (PT-INR) of $2.0 at
The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. the time of stroke onset reportedly reduces not only the
Address correspondence to Haruhiko Hoshino, MD, Department frequency of ischemic stroke, but also its severity, as well
of Neurology, Keio University School of Medicine, 35 Shinanomachi,
as mortality from stroke once it occurs.8,9 However, the
Shinjuku, Tokyo, 160-8582, Japan. E-mail: hhoshino-keio@umin.ac.jp.
1052-3057/$ - see front matter
Japanese Guidelines for the Management of Stroke 2009
Ó 2012 by National Stroke Association recommend a target PT-INR for anticoagulation in elderly
doi:10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2010.03.014 patients with AF of 1.6-2.6.10 Thus, the optimum PT-INR

Journal of Stroke and Cerebrovascular Diseases, Vol. 21, No. 1 (January), 2012: pp 11-17 11
12 H. HOSHINO ET AL.

for Japanese patients with AF might differ from that for angioplasty. The physician in charge of the patient’s
Western patients. care was responsible for diagnosing the presence of
We first assessed whether the type of AF was a con- congestive heart failure. The CHADS2 score was calcu-
founding clinical background factor, and then evaluated lated based on these risk factors.13 Blood samples were
the essential efficacy of prestroke anticoagulation treat- obtained on admission, and prothrombin time, INR, and
ment. We also evaluated the effect of the type of AF on D-dimer and fibrin degradation product (FDP) levels
physical disability at the time of hospital discharge, which were determined. Transthoracic ultracardiography
was considered an index of the severity of ischemic stroke (UCG) was performed whenever possible. A PT-INR
in Japanese patients with AF. value of 2.0-3.0 (or 1.6-2.6 in patients age .75 years)
was considered therapeutic. The ischemic stroke subtype
was determined based on the criteria used in the analysis
Methods
of Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation (SPAF).14 The
We enrolled all the patients admitted to Keio University modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at the time of hospital
Hospital due to a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or an discharge was used as an index of clinical outcome.
ischemic stroke accompanied by AF (known previously Clinical outcome was classified a priori as minimal or
or diagnosed during admission) between January 1, no dependency (mRS score 0-2) or dependency or death
2005, and December 31, 2008. TIA is thought to be the (mRS score 3-5 and death). Patients with a preadmission
mildest clinical outcome of ischemic stroke. The inclusion mRS score .2 were excluded from the study.
of TIA was considered appropriate in an evaluation of the
effect of preadmission anticoagulants. Patients receiving Statistical Analysis
thrombolytic treatment were excluded.
We evaluated the associations of AF types, preadmis-
The presence of comorbid conditions was determined
sion anticoagulation treatment, and clinical outcome at
based on the patients’ medical records, including the
the time of discharge with the presence of comorbid con-
records of regular medical checkups performed in the
ditions and other clinical characteristics using analysis of
Japanese general population. The presence of hyperten-
variance, Fisher’s exact test, Pearson’s c2 test, and
sion, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus, smoking,
Wilcoxon’s rank-sum test for continuous and categorical
history of TIA/stroke, history of congestive heart failure,
variables, as appropriate. We then applied a multivariate-
coronary artery disease (CAD), and preadmission use of
adjusted logistic regression model to adjust for sequential
antihypertensive or antithrombotic agents were investi-
confounders. Factors found to contribute to the clinical
gated. Hypertension was defined blood pressure $140/
outcome at the time of discharge in initial univariate anal-
90 mm Hg or the use of antihypertensive medication.
yses (P value ,.10, because of the risk of type II errors
Hypercholesterolemia was defined according to the crite-
arising from the low statistical power of such an analysis)
ria established by the Japan Atherosclerosis Society (low-
were included in the multivariate model as candidate
density lipoprotein $140 mg/dL),11 as well as a medical
variables and then removed using a backward stepwise
history of hypercholesterolemia. Diabetes mellitus was
selection procedure. All of the P values were 2-sided,
diagnosed according to the criteria defined by the Japan
and a P value ,.05 was considered statistically signifi-
Diabetes Society: fasting plasma glucose level $126
cant. All of the analyses were performed using a commer-
mg/dL and/or plasma glucose level $200 mg/dL at 2
cially available software package (JMP version 6.0).
hours after a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test. A casual
plasma glucose level .200 mg/dL also was considered
indicative of diabetes mellitus.12 In addition, patients Ethics
with a history of treatment for diabetes mellitus were The data used in this study were collected from our
considered to have diabetes. AF was diagnosed in each hospital’s prospective clinical protocols, which comply
patient when previous electrocardiography (ECG) or with the local ethics guidelines.
ECG monitoring performed on admission revealed AF.
Patients were categorized based on their clinical data
Results
(medical history, admission, and other available ECG
results, including the results of Holter ECG) according During the study period, 639 patients were admitted
to whether AF was paroxysmal (recurrent AF with spon- with TIA or ischemic stroke. Of these, 198 had paroxys-
taneous conversion to sinus rhythm) or permanent. Most mal or permanent AF. Thirty-seven patients who had an
cases of paroxysmal AF were diagnosed based on previ- mRS score .2 before admission were excluded from the
ous ECG results or ECG monitoring during admission. analysis. Of the 162 patients included, 71 (43.8%) were
Smoking habit was classified as current or noncurrent diagnosed with paroxysmal AF and 91 (56.2%) were diag-
smoker. CAD was defined as a history of angina pectoris nosed with permanent AF. Table 1 summarizes the base-
or myocardial infarction, with or without coronary artery line characteristics for the study population. Fifty-six
bypass surgery or percutaneous transluminal coronary patients (34.6%) were receiving anticoagulation therapy,
PAROXYSMAL AF AND PRESTROKE ANTICOAGULATION 13

Table 1. Patient characteristics of overall and paroxysmal/permanent AF groups

Atrial fibrillation

Overall Paroxysmal Permanent P value

Number of patients 162 71 91


Age, years, mean 6 SD 74.6 6 9.7 73.7 6 1.2 75.3 6 1.0 .2869
Male sex, n (%) 98 (60.5%) 42 (59.2%) 56 (64.5%) .8714
Hypertension, n (%) 104 (64.2%) 46 (64.8%) 58 (63.7%) 1.0000
Hypercholesterolemia, n (%) 50 (30.9%) 25 (35.2%) 25 (27.5%) .3082
Diabetes mellitus, n (%) 39 (24.1%) 17 (23.9%) 22 (24.2%) 1.0000
Smoking, n (%) 21 (13.0%) 8 (11.3%) 13 (14.3%) .6424
Coronary heart disease, n (%) 21 (13.0%) 12 (16.9%) 9 (9.9%) .2397
Congestive heart failure, n (%) 18 (11.1%) 5 (7.0%) 13 (14.3%) .2079
Previous stroke/TIA, n (%) 54 (33.3%) 21 (29.6%) 33 (36.3%) .4044
CHADS2 score, n (%) .8788
0 17 (10.5%) 8 (11.3%) 9 (9.9%)
1 37 (22.8%) 17 (23.9%) 20 (22.0%)
2 51 (31.5%) 24 (33.8%) 27 (29.7%)
3 27 (16.7%) 12 (16.9%) 15 (16.5%)
4 22 (13.6%) 7 (9.9%) 15 (16.5%)
5 8 (4.9%) 3 (4.2%) 5 (5.5%)
6 0 (0.0%) 0 (0.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Preadmission medication, n (%)
Antihypertensives 91 (56.2%) 43 (60.6%) 48 (52.8%) .3421
ARB/ACEI 48 (29.6%) 23 (32.4%) 25 (27.5%) .6032
CCB 50 (30.9%) 24 (33.8%) 26 (28.6%) .4971
Statins 30 (18.5%) 17 (23.9%) 13 (14.3%) .1535
Antithrombotic therapy
Anticoagulants 56 (34.6%) 16 (22.5%) 40 (44.0%) .0048
Antiplatelets 70 (43.2%) 34 (47.9%) 36 (39.6%) .3384
NIHSS score at admission, mean 6 SD 8.0 6 9.4 6.89 6 0.11 8.85 6 0.98 .2111
Median 4 3 5 .0690
PT-INR, mean 6 SD (n)
With anticoagulant 1.53 6 0.45 (56) 1.47 6 0.11 (16) 1.56 6 0.07 (40) .5073
Without anticoagulant 0.97 6 0.07 (104) 0.97 6 0.01 (54) 0.97 6 0.01 (50) .9461
D-dimer, mean 6 SD (n)
With anticoagulant 3.79 6 10.40 (34) 2.19 6 3.32 (10) 4.46 6 2.14 (24) .5703
Without anticoagulant 4.36 6 11.88 (74) 5.64 6 1.95 (37) 3.08 6 1.95 (37) .3565
FDP, mean 6 SD (n)
With anticoagulant 52.6 6 78.6 (40) 47.6 6 22.1 (12) 54.7 6 14.5 (28) .7915
Without anticoagulant 78.4 6 213.4 (78) 53.0 6 32.5 (43) 109.6 6 36.0 (35) .2461
Left atrial size on UCG, cm, mean 6 SD (n) 4.3 6 0.9 (123) 3.8 6 0.1 (57) 4.6 6 0.1 (66) ,.0001
TIA/cerebral infarction subtype, n (%) .2397
Cardioembolism 128 (79.0%) 54 (76.1%) 74 (81.3%)
Large artery atherosclerosis 5 (3.1%) 1 (1.4%) 4 (4.4%)
Other cerebral infarction 4 (2.5%) 3 (4.2%) 1 (1.1%)
Small vessel occlusion 11 (6.8%) 4 (5.6%) 7 (7.7%)
TIA 14 (8.6%) 9 (12.7%) 5 (5.5%)
ADL on discharge, n (%) .1563
mRS 0 38 (23.5%) 23 (32.4%) 15 (16.5%)
mRS 1 41 (25.3%) 17 (23.9%) 24 (26.4%)
mRS 2 24 (14.8%) 11 (15.5%) 13 (14.3%)
mRS 3 11 (6.8%) 4 (5.6%) 7 (7.7%)
mRS 4 20 (12.3%) 9 (12.7%) 11 (12.1%)
mRS 5 12 (7%) 2 (2.8%) 10 (11.0%)
Death 16 (9.9%) 5 (7.0%) 11 (12.1%)
mRS 0-2 103 (63.6%) 51 (71.8%) 52 (57.1%) .0702

Abbreviations: ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; ACEI, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor; CCB, Ca channel blocker.
14 H. HOSHINO ET AL.

and 70 patients (43.2%) were taking an antiplatelet agent. factors associated with a good clinical outcome at the
The mean PT-INR was 1.53 6 0.45 in the 56 patients time of hospital discharge (Table 3).
receiving anticoagulation treatment. Eighteen of these
patients (32.1%) had a therapeutic INR at the time of
Discussion
admission for ischemic stroke. The most common ische-
mic stroke clinical subtype was cardioembolism (79.0%). In this study, paroxysmal AF and preadmission anticoa-
gulation treatment were independently associated with
a favorable clinical outcome at the time of hospital dis-
Paroxysmal and Permanent AF
charge in patients with AF. Paroxysmal AF is thought to
Table 1 compares clinical features of the patients with precede permanent AF. A Japanese study found that
paroxysmal AF and those with permanent AF. The patients 5.5% of patients with paroxysmal AF developed perma-
with paroxysmal AF had a lower rate of preadmission anti- nent AF while receiving conventional antiarrhythmic ther-
coagulation treatment (22.5% vs 44.0%; P 5 .0048). The apy.15 The prevalence of paroxysmal AF in the present
prevalences of typical risk factors, including hypertension, study was relatively high compared with previous reports
dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, and smoking, were similar (6.3%-35%).1,6,16 This difference might reflect the more
in the 2 groups. Although data were not available for all common usage of prophylactic anticoagulation treatment
patients, the PT-INR and D-dimer and FDP levels were in patients with permanent AF than in those with
similar in the 2 groups, regardless of prestroke anticoagula- paroxysmal AF, resulting in a reduced stroke rate in
tion treatment. Echocardiography demonstrated a smaller patients with permanent AF and a relatively higher
left atrium in the patients with paroxysmal AF (3.8 cm vs 4.6 incidence of stroke in those with paroxysmal AF. Our
cm; P , .0001). The patients with paroxysmal AF had data may support this explanation, given that 44.0% of
a slightly lower National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale permanent AF patients, but only 22.5% of paroxysmal
(NIHSS) score on admission (P 5 .0690) and a more AF patients, were receiving anticoagulation treatment at
frequent favorable clinical outcome (mRS score 0-2) on the onset of stroke. The possibility that paroxysmal AF is
discharge (71.8% vs 57.1%; P 5 .0702), although these associated with a greater risk of stroke than permanent
differences were not statistically significant. AF has been explored and shown to be untrue.4
Paroxysmal AF also was significantly associated with
a favorable clinical outcome in this study. One explanation
Clinical Outcome at Hospital Discharge
for the more favorable stroke outcome in patients with par-
A total of 103 patients (63.6%) had a good clinical out- oxysmal AF is the lower incidence of noncardioembolic
come (mRS score 0-2) at the time of hospital discharge. strokes, which are usually less severe than strokes of
Clinical background information and laboratory results cardiac origin.5 Staszewski et al6 reported more favorable
are summarized in Table 2. Younger age (73.4 years vs stroke outcomes in patients with paroxysmal AF than in
76.7 years: P 5 .0349), paroxysmal AF type (49.5% vs patients with permanent AF, because the strokes in the for-
33.9%; P 5 .0702), preadmission use of antihypertensives mer were more frequently categorized as noncardioem-
(62.1% vs 45.8%; P 5 .0495), including a calcium channel bolic (35% vs 18%). In the present study, however, the
blocker (CCB) (36.9% vs 20.3%; P 5 .0340), and prestroke clinical subtypes of ischemic stroke were similar in
anticoagulation treatment (42.7% vs 20.3%; P 5 .0057) patients with paroxysmal AF and those with permanent
were correlated with good clinical outcome. The D-dimer, AF. Another possible explanation is the size of the throm-
FDP, and C-reactive protein levels were significantly botic emboli. Emboli might be smaller in patients with par-
lower in patients with a favorable clinical outcome. In ad- oxysmal AF than in those with permanent AF. Li-Saw-Hee
dition, the frequency of cardioembolism was significantly reported a significantly higher soluble P-selectin level
lower in the good clinical outcome group (70.9% vs 93.2%; (an index of platelet activation) in patients with permanent
P 5 .0006). The admission periods were significantly lon- AF compared with those with paroxysmal AF,17 indicating
ger in the severe clinical outcome group (20.3 vs 53.0 days; a more severe prothrombotic state in the former. Although
P , .0001). Age, type of AF, preadmission CCB treatment, no clinical background differences were observed in the
preadmission anticoagulation treatment, and subtype of present study, in the study of Staszewski,6 prevalences of
cerebral infarction were found to contribute to clinical chronic heart failure and diabetes mellitus were higher
outcome at the time of discharge using initial univariate in the group with permanent AF. We found a significantly
analyses (P , .10); these variables were then removed larger left atrial size in the permanent AF group, but
using a backward stepwise selection procedure. Multivar- our routine laboratory coagulation tests revealed no
iate logistic analysis disclosed that paroxysmal AF (odds differences between the 2 groups.
ratio [OR], 1.58; 95% CI, 1.09-2.34: P 5 .0187), preadmis- In this study, preadmission oral anticoagulation treat-
sion anticoagulation treatment (OR, 1.95; 95% CI, ment was significantly associated with favorable clinical
1.30-3.02: P 5 .0019), and noncardiogenic embolism (OR, outcome in patients with AF. Consistent with previous
2.20; 95% CI, 1.30-4.21; P 5 .0073) were independent reports, anticoagulation treatment resulting in an INR
PAROXYSMAL AF AND PRESTROKE ANTICOAGULATION 15

Table 2. Characteristics of patients with favorable clinical outcome

Clinical outcome at hospital discharge

mRS 0-2 mRS 3-6 P value

Number of patients 103 59


Age, years, mean 6 SD 73.4 6 0.9 76.7 6 1.3 .0349
Male sex, n (%) 63 (61.8%) 35 (59.3%) .8670
Hypertension, n (%) 70 (68.0%) 34 (57.6%) .2334
Hypercholesterolemia, n (%) 32 (31.7%) 18 (30.5%) 1.0000
Diabetes mellitus, n (%) 24 (23.3%) 15 (25.4%) .8493
Smoking, n (%) 13 (12.6%) 8 (13.6%) 1.0000
Coronary heart disease, n (%) 15 (14.6%) 6 (10.2%) .4761
Congestive heart failure, n (%) 12 (11.7%) 6 (10.2%) 1.0000
Previous stroke/TIA, n (%) 39 (37.9%) 15 (25.4%) .1212
CHADS2 score, n (%)
0 8 (7.8%) 9 (15.3%) .7254
1 25 (24.3%) 12 (20.3%)
2 32 (31.1%) 19 (32.2%)
3 18 (17.5%) 9 (15.3%)
4 14 (13.6%) 8 (13.6%)
5 6 (5.8%) 2 (3.4%)
6 0 (0.0%) 0 (0.0%)
Atrial fibrillation, n (%)
Paroxysmal 51 (49.5%) 20 (33.9%) .0702
Permanent 52 (50.5%) 39 (66.1%)
Preadmission medication, n (%)
Antihypertensives 64 (62.1%) 27 (45.8%) .0495
ARB/ACEI 33 (32.0%) 15 (25.4%) .4748
CCB 38 (36.9%) 12 (20.3%) .0340
Statin 19 (18.5%) 11 (18.6%) 1.0000
Antithrombotic therapy
Anticoagulants 44 (42.7%) 12 (20.3%) .0057
Antiplatelets 43 (41.8%) 27 (45.8%) .6255
NIHSS score at admission, median 2 17 ,.0001
PT-INR, mean 6 SD (n)
With anticoagulant 1.54 6 0.07 (44) 1.53 6 0.13 (12) .9730
Without anticoagulant 0.96 6 0.01 (57) 0.98 6 0.01 (47) .1174
D-dimer, mean 6 SD (n)
With anticoagulant 2.19 6 2.04 (25) 8.24 6 3.40 (9) .1363
Without anticoagulant 1.68 6 1.81 (41) 7.69 6 2.01 (33) .0296
FDP, mean 6 SD (n)
With anticoagulant 35.3 6 13.2 (29) 98.1 6 21.4 (11) .0168
Without anticoagulant 41.0 6 32.5 (42) 122.0 6 35.1 (36) .0947
CRP, mean 6 SD (n) 0.82 6 0.41 (95) 2.30 6 0.55 (52) .0325
Left atrial size on UCG, cm, mean 6 SD (n) 4.4 6 0.1 (82) 4.0 6 0.1 (41) .0091
TIA/cerebral infarction subtype, n (%)
Cardioembolism 73 (70.9%) 55 (93.2%) .0006
Large artery atherosclerosis 3 (2.9%) 2 (3.4%)
Other cerebral infarction 2 (1.9%) 2 (3.4%)
Small vessel occlusion 11 (10.7%) 0
TIA 14 (13.6%) 0
Admission period, days, mean 6 SD 20.3 6 2.9 53.0 6 3.8 ,.0001

of $2.0 reduced not only the frequency of ischemic stroke, stroke severity. First, anticoagulants prevent thrombus
but also its severity and the risk of death from stroke.6,8,9,18 formation and reduce the size of thrombi in the left
There may be several reasons for the correlation between atrium. Smaller thrombi cause smaller infarctions,
preadmission anticoagulation treatment and the lower possibly leading to a more favorable clinical outcome.
16 H. HOSHINO ET AL.

Table 3. Multivariate-adjusted logistic regression model and Informatics, International Medical Center of Japan, for
assessing predictors of favorable clinical outcome his advice on the statistical analysis.

OR (95% CI) P value


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PAROXYSMAL AF AND PRESTROKE ANTICOAGULATION 17

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