Tahun R (X-Xr) (X-Xr)^2 S

2001 64.667 -26.94 725.98 20.89

2002 83.333 -8.28 68.53 20.89
2003 70.000 -21.61 467.04 20.89
2004 135.333 43.72 1911.61 20.89
2005 101.000 9.39 88.15 20.89
2006 113.000 21.39 457.49 20.89
2007 80.667 -10.94 119.77 20.89
2008 113.667 22.06 486.46 20.89
2009 88.333 -3.28 10.75 20.89
2010 70.333 -21.28 452.76 20.89
2011 91.000 -0.61 0.37 20.89
2012 88.000 -3.61 13.04 20.89
Jumlah 0.00 4801.95

Xr= 91.61
n= 12

Tahun R (X-Xr) (X-Xr)^2 S

2001 64.667 -26.94 725.98 20.89
2002 83.333 -8.28 68.53 20.89
2003 70.000 -21.61 467.04 20.89
2004 135.333 43.72 1911.61 20.89
2005 101.000 9.39 88.15 20.89
2006 113.000 21.39 457.49 20.89
2007 80.667 -10.94 119.77 20.89
2008 113.667 22.06 486.46 20.89
2009 88.333 -3.28 10.75 20.89
2010 70.333 -21.28 452.76 20.89
2011 91.000 -0.61 0.37 20.89
2012 88.000 -3.61 13.04 20.89
Jumlah 0.00 4801.95

Xr= 91.61
n= 12
 Tahun R log X log X - log Xr (log X - logXr)^2
2001 64.66700 1.81068 -0.14136 0.01998
2002 83.33300 1.92082 -0.03123 0.00098
2003 70.00000 1.84510 -0.10695 0.01144
2004 135.33300 2.13140 0.17936 0.03217
2005 101.00000 2.00432 0.05228 0.00273
2006 113.00000 2.05308 0.10103 0.01021
2007 80.66700 1.90670 -0.04535 0.00206
2008 113.66700 2.05563 0.10359 0.01073
2009 88.33300 1.94612 -0.00592 0.00004
2010 70.33300 1.84716 -0.10489 0.01100
2011 91.00000 1.95904 0.00700 0.00005
2012 88.00000 1.94448 -0.00756 0.00006
Jumlah 23.42454 0.00000 0.10144
Rata - Rata 1.95204 0.00000 0.00845

Xr = 91.6111
n= 12.0000
Log Xr = 1.9520

Y 1.7083333333 X
Rumus Interpolasi Y1 1.64 X1
Y2 2.05 X2

Chi Kuadrat
dk = G-m-1
G= 4.4043221102 dk = 2
= 5 Derajat kepercayaan = 5%

Peluang tidak diterima (Ptd) P = 1-Ptd k (Tabel)

grup 1 0.2 0.8 -0.84
grup 2 0.4 0.6 -0.25
grup 3 0.6 0.4 0.25
grup4 0.8 0.2 0.84
grup 5 1 0 -

Sub
Oi (Jumlah
Kelas data pd kelas dibawah nilaiEix) Oi-Ei
 X <= 25.25 3 2 1
25.25<=X<=44.74 2 2 0
44.74<=X<=61.26 2 2 0
61.26<=X<=80.75 1 2 -1
80.75<=X 2 2 0
Jumlah 10 10 0

Uji Smirnov-kolmogorov

D= Max (p(x)-p'(X)) n= 10
p(x) = m/(n+1) n+1 = 11
F(t) = (X-xr)/s Xr = 55.8
p'(x)=f(t)=1-t a= 0.05

X m P(X) P(X<) F(t)

110 1 0.090909 0.9090909091 1.62
100 2 0.181818 0.8181818182 1.32
75 3 0.272727 0.7272727273 0.57
65 4 0.363636 0.6363636364 0.28
60 5 0.454545 0.5454545455 0.13
50 6 0.545455 0.4545454545 -0.17
40 7 0.636364 0.3636363636 -0.47
30 8 0.727273 0.2727272727 -0.77
25 9 0.818182 0.1818181818 -0.92
3 10 0.909091 0.0909090909 -1.58
Jumlah 558 55 5 5 0

Kesimpulan = Data tidak dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi

 ?
T Xr S K X
10 25 20.89 1.28 51.74
15 25 20.89 1.46 55.50
25 25 20.89 1.71 60.73
50 25 20.89 2.05 67.83

Grafik Data vs Nilai X

80.00
70.00
60.00
50.00
Nilai X

40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Data

Col umn L Li near (Col umn L)

? ? ?
T Xr S Yn Sn Yt
10 25 20.89 0.50 0.97 2.25
15 25 20.89 0.50 0.97 2.73
25 25 20.89 0.50 0.97 3.20
50 25 20.89 0.50 0.97 3.90

Grafik Data vs Nilai X

120.00

100.00

80.00

Col umn O
Nilai X

60.00
Li near (Col

40.00

20.00

0.00
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
Data
 40.00

20.00

0.00
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
Data

(log X - logXr)^3 S Log X T Xr s Cs

-0.00282 0.0960 10 25.00000 0.09603 0.02802
-0.00003 0.0960 15 25.00000 0.09603 0.02802
-0.00122 0.0960 25 25.00000 0.09603 0.02802
0.00577 0.0960 50 25.00000 0.09603 0.02802
0.00014 0.0960
0.00103 0.0960
-0.00009 0.0960 Grafik Data vs Log X
0.00111 0.0960
2.16000
0.00000 0.0960
-0.00115 0.0960 2.14000
0.00000 0.0960 2.12000
0.00000 0.0960
0.00273 2.10000
Log X

0.00023 2.08000

2.06000

2.04000

2.02000
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Data

25
20
50

Xrt = 91.61 Binomial dan norma 2

n= 10 Poisson-m= 1

S X
20.89 74.06
20.89 86.39
20.89 96.83
20.89 109.16
20.89 -

(Oi-Ei)^2 X^2 *h (hitung)

 1 0.5
0 0
0 0
1 0.5
0 0
2 1

P'(x) (tabel) P'(X<) D X-Xr (X-Xr)^2 S

0.9474 0.0526 0.856490909 54.2 2937.64 33.412572484
0.9066 0.0934 0.724781818 44.2 1953.64 33.412572484
0.7157 0.2843 0.442972727 19.2 368.64 33.412572484
0.6103 0.3897 0.246663636 9.2 84.64 33.412572484
0.5438 0.4562 0.089254545 4.2 17.64 33.412572484
0.4325 0.5675 -0.11295455 -5.8 33.64 33.412572484
0.3192 0.6808 -0.31716364 -15.8 249.64 33.412572484
0.2206 0.7794 -0.50667273 -25.8 665.64 33.412572484
0.1788 0.8212 -0.63938182 -30.8 948.64 33.412572484
0.0571 0.9429 -0.85199091 -52.8 2787.84 33.412572484
4.932 5.068 -0.068 0 10047.6 334.12572484
0 45 50 55

K X
1.81 62.80
2.30 73.05
2.79 83.28
3.52 98.47

Col umn O
Li near (Col umn O)

55
 55

?
Kt Log X
1.28160 2.07511
1.43830 2.09016
1.74980 2.12008
2.05100 2.14900

Data vs Log X

Col umn O
Li nea r (Col umn O)

35 40 45 50 55
D0 (tabel)
0.41
0.41
0.41
0.41
0.41
0.41
0.41
0.41
0.41
0.41