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a= 7971.

372
b= 69.35785 43853503.5283

Y Prediksi
year t Y (juta) SSE SSPE
(juta)
1960 1 6577 8040.730339 2142506.5055 325.757413
1961 2 5855 8110.088191 5085422.74929 868.560675
1962 3 6939 8179.446043 1538706.38555 221.74757
1963 4 7557 8248.803895 478592.629057 63.3310347
1964 5 8065 8318.161747 64090.870094 7.94679108
1965 6 9134 8387.519599 557232.989285 61.0064582
1966 7 9009 8456.877451 304839.309313 33.8371972
1967 8 8357 8526.235303 28640.5877067 3.42713745
1968 9 9404 8595.593155 653521.627466 69.4940055
1969 10 9447 8664.951007 611600.627925 64.7401956
1970 11 8388 8734.308859 119929.825584 14.2977856
1971 12 9831 8803.666711 1055413.68748 107.35568
1972 13 10409 8873.024563 2359220.54437 226.651988
1973 14 11351 8942.382415 5801438.67301 511.094941
1974 15 8701 9011.740266 96559.5132207 11.097519
1975 16 8168 9081.098118 833748.173923 102.074948
1976 17 9752 9150.45597 361855.219532 37.1057444
1977 18 10826 9219.813822 2579834.0372 238.299837
1978 19 10946 9289.171674 2745080.10074 250.783857
1979 20 10357 9358.529526 996943.28687 96.2579209
1980 21 8761 9427.887378 444738.775269 50.7634717
1981 22 8444 9497.24523 1109325.51496 131.37441
1982 23 7754 9566.603082 3285529.93349 423.720652
1983 24 8924 9635.960934 506888.371724 56.8005795
1984 25 10118 9705.318786 170305.784317 16.8319613
1985 26 10889 9774.676638 1241716.555 114.03403
1986 27 11140 9844.03449 1679526.6031 150.765404
1987 28 10183 9913.392342 72688.2892713 7.13819987
1988 29 10398 9982.750194 172432.401446 16.5832277
1989 30 9833 10052.10805 48008.3357707 4.88236914
1990 31 9160 10121.4659 924416.672714 100.918851
1991 32 9234 10190.82375 915511.688185 99.1457319
1992 33 8054 10260.1816 4867237.25995 604.325461
43853503.5283 5092.15305
Cavanaugh Company (sales) Kalau sudah random berarti boleh

12 month Two year 12 Month Seasonal


Year Month No Sales moving moving centered
total total moving average Index

January 1 518
February 2 404
March 3 300
April 4 210
May 5 196
June 6 186
2000
July 7 247 4869 9833 409.708333333 0.60
August 8 343 4964 9916 413.166666667 0.83
September 9 464 4952 9877 411.541666667 1.13
October 10 680 4925 9962 415.083333333 1.64
November 11 711 5037 10067 419.458333333 1.70
December 12 610 5030 10131 422.125 1.45
January 13 613 5101 10279 428.291666667 1.43
February 14 392 5178 10417 434.041666667 0.90
March 15 273 5239 10691 445.458333333 0.61
April 16 322 5452 11082 461.75 0.70
May 17 189 5630 11444 476.833333333 0.40
June 18 257 5814 11682 486.75 0.53
2001
July 19 324 5868
August 20 404
September 21 677
October 22 858
November 23 895
December 24 664
ah random berarti boleh stop kalau belum bole dilakukan lagi perhitungan.
Buat ramalan terus divalidasi
Jumlah penumpang pesawat
Jumlah pemudik
Jumlah penumpang kapal

cari data kemudian diramalkan


jumlah laporan maksimal 10 lembar, dibuat PDF kemudian dikirim ke email pak subagio
sebelum selasa minggu depan sudah harus dikirim ke email pak subagio
12 Month
12 month Two year centered Seasonal
Year Month No Sales moving moving moving Index
total total average
January 1 518
February 2 404
March 3 300
April 4 210
May 5 196
June 6 186
2000
July 7 247 4869 9833 409.7 0.60
August 8 343 4964 9916 413.2 0.83
September 9 464 4952 9877 411.5 1.13
October 10 680 4925 9962 415.1 1.64
November 11 711 5037 10067 419.5 1.70
December 12 610 5030 10131 422.1 1.45
January 13 613 5101 10279 428.3 1.43
February 14 392 5178 10417 434.0 0.90
March 15 273 5239 10691 445.5 0.61
April 16 322 5452 11082 461.8 0.70
May 17 189 5630 11444 476.8 0.40
June 18 257 5814 11682 486.8 0.53
2001
July 19 324 5868
August 20 404
September 21 677
October 22 858
November 23 895
December 24 664