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Journal of Transport Geography 74 (2019) 299–312

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Journal of Transport Geography


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jtrangeo

Associations of built environments with spatiotemporal patterns of public T


bicycle use
Hung-Chi Liu, Jen-Jia Lin

Department of Geography, National Taiwan University, Taiwan

ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT

Keywords: This study examines the association of built environment attributes with spatiotemporal patterns of public bi-
Built environment cycle use. The study observations are based on the rental records of YouBike, which is a public bicycle system
Public bicycle system (PBS) in Taipei Metropolitan Area, Taiwan, from July to December 2015. A hierarchical clustering method is
Spatiotemporal pattern applied to identify the spatiotemporal patterns of YouBike use, and multinomial logit regression is used to clarify
the associations. Empirical results indicate that the spatiotemporal patterns of PBS utilization differ in weekdays
and holidays and are associated with locations, land use and facilities in a city. The empirical evidence fills the
knowledge gap on the factors associated with the spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use and provides system op-
erators with a valuable basis for the integrated planning and management of PBSs and built environments.

1. Introduction fully reported. Given that PBSs are public transportation modes that are
usually utilized in cities, built environment attributes appear to be
Sustainable and green transportation developments have been potentially correlated with PBS use. Previous studies confirmed that
widely explored because of their potential to limit air pollution and built environments are associated with general bicycle (Cervero et al.,
energy consumption. Given such awareness, the public bicycle system 2009; Winters et al., 2010; Zhao, 2014) and public bicycle use (Faghih-
(PBS) has been considered as an alternative to and complementary Imani et al., 2014; Rixey, 2013). However, these studies have focused
mode for traditional transportation systems. The advantages of PBSs in on modal shares or amounts of bicycle use and disregarded their spa-
terms of transportation and health include flexible mobility, promotion tiotemporal attributes. Numerous studies have investigated the spatio-
of physical activity and support for multimodal transport connections temporal patterns of PBS use (Borgnat et al., 2011; Vogel et al., 2014;
(Shaheen et al., 2010). According to the Bike-sharing blog (http://bike- Zhou, 2015), but these studies have poorly clarified the reasons that
sharing.blogspot.tw/), 1525 PBS programs, including dock-based and lead to different patterns.
dockless systems, have operated approximately 18.9 million public bi- To fill the knowledge gap in literature, we investigated the asso-
cycles worldwide at the end of 2017. ciation of built environments with the spatiotemporal patterns of PBS
To design and operate effective and sustainable PBSs, local admin- use. The rental records of YouBike, which is a PBS in Taipei
istrators and system operators should possess comprehensive knowl- Metropolitan Area (TMA), between July and December 2015 were used
edge of the spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use and the factors influ- as the study sample. The spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use were
encing these patterns. For instance, with regard to dock-based systems, identified, and their correlations with built environments were clar-
if an area is expected to attract PBS use and cover large hinterland, then ified. The empirical findings contributed evidence supporting the issue
a large rental station equipped with many docks and bicycles should be and provided system operators with a valuable basis for the integrated
considered in this area. Moreover, bicycle rebalancing operations planning and management of PBSs and built environments.
should be well planned in advance when rental peaks are obvious in an
area. Comprehensive information about the spatiotemporal attributes 2. Literature review
of PBS use enhances the effectiveness of PBSs and prevents the re-
dundant allocation of resources. Previous studies on the spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use extended
However, existing knowledge on the spatiotemporal patterns of PBS our understanding of the characterisation of PBS use in terms of time
use is still insufficient because differences in patterns have yet to be and space. However, they presented limited information on the causes


Corresponding author at: Department of Geography, National Taiwan University, No. 1, Sec. 4, Roosevelt Road, Taipei 10617, Taiwan.
E-mail address: jenjia@ntu.edu.tw (J.-J. Lin).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.12.010
Received 13 August 2018; Received in revised form 27 November 2018; Accepted 20 December 2018
Available online 26 December 2018
0966-6923/ © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
H.-C. Liu, J.-J. Lin Journal of Transport Geography 74 (2019) 299–312

of variations in patterns. Existing empirical evidence on the correlation identified different usage types related to commuters, leisure users and
between built environment and PBS use contributes to the knowledge tourists on the basis of the divergence of spatial characteristics and
about rental frequency determinants rather than spatiotemporal attri- usage flows of the investigated cities. Vogel et al. (2014) applied
butes. Hence, a knowledge gap exists in the exploration of the asso- principal component analysis and K-means method to classify Velo'v
ciation of built environments with the spatiotemporal patterns of PBS uses into four different usage patterns and determined that high-fre-
use. quency users mostly live in places where transportation is convenient.
Existing studies on PBS usage have mainly performed surveys in Zhou (2015) adopted community detection methods to categorise PBS
Europe and North America. Their empirical findings represent the facts flows and suggested that PBS flows change with different peak hours.
in the surveyed regions and are inapplicable to other parts of the world For example, PBS rentals for travel into a city center are high in
because local contexts, such as culture, land use and user behavior, vary morning peak hours, whereas rentals for travel out of the city center are
among regions. Local knowledge on travel behavior should be empiri- high in afternoon peak hours. Moreover, Zhou used a hierarchical
cally gathered to develop bicycle-friendly built environments for a city. clustering method to classify PBS use into five clusters and confirmed
that different clusters are located in different land use areas.
2.1. Spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use
2.2. Built environments and PBS
Travel behavior observations are no longer limited to the collection
of sample surveys via personal interviews or questionnaires because of Numerous transportation studies have investigated the relationships
the evolution of information and communication technologies. These between built environments and travel behavior and concluded that
observations are also available in operating records that reveal the such relationships exist in their investigated cities (Cervero and
spatiotemporal attributes of travel behavior in intelligent transporta- Kockelman, 1997; Ewing and Cervero, 2001; Handy et al., 2005). With
tion systems. A large number of studies have applied such data to in- regard to bicycling research, empirical evidence also supports the ex-
vestigate the spatiotemporal patterns of travel behavior. For example, istence of a correlation between built environment and general bicycle
Schlich et al. (2004) identified the spatiotemporal structures of personal use (Heinen et al., 2010; Moudon et al., 2005; Titze et al., 2008; Zhao,
leisure travels. Novák and Sýkora (2007) analyzed the spatiotemporal 2014).
patterns of the activities and levels of mobility of outskirt residents in With the rising popularity of PBSs worldwide, bicycling behavior is
Prague. Delmelle and Delmelle (2012) investigated the spatial, tem- bound to change. For example, travelers can use public bicycles, al-
poral and gender differences in transportation modal choice among though they do not have their own bicycles. Hence, numerous studies in
student commuters in a university environment. The spatiotemporal North America, West Europe and China have investigated the built
patterns of PBS use have gradually been widely explored because of the environment correlates of PBS use, and most of them involve aggregate
booming development of PBSs and the wireless communication tech- analyses with rental stations as observations. In the US, Daddio (2012)
nology applications of borrow–return operations. In general, studies on and Rixey (2013) investigated Capital Bikeshare in Washington DC and
the spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use can be classified into two ca- confirmed that bikeways, transit stations, retailers, universities and
tegories. parks are positively related to PBS use. Maurer (2011), Rixey (2013)
The first category aims to determine the temporal patterns of PBS and Wang et al. (2015) surveyed Nice Ride in Minnesota and identified
use and to develop models for predicting future use. For example, that bike-share docks, proximity to parks and universities, density of
Froehlich et al. (2009) used the preliminary data about available bi- high-income jobs and retail density are related to the rentals of PBS
cycles at Bicing rental stations in Barcelona to develop four different stations. Mattson and Godavarthy (2017) analyzed the data of Great
models for predicting the availability of bicycles at rental stations, and Rides Bike Share in North Dakota and found a positive relationship
the accuracies of their prediction results are higher than 80%. between proximity to college campuses and PBS use. Faghih-Imani and
Kaltenbrunner et al. (2010) analyzed the changes in available bicycles Eluru (2016b) examined CitiBike in New York City and indicated that
in each Bicing station to identify the periodic patterns and then applied population density, job density and proximity to bicycle route, transit
these patterns to predict the number of available bicycles for each stations, parks and restaurants are positively associated with PBS use. In
station. Borgnat et al. (2011) examined the moving data of Velo'v Canada, Faghih-Imani et al. (2014) and Faghih-Imani and Eluru
system in Lyon from spatial and temporal views to estimate the rental (2016a) investigated BIXI in Montreal and concluded that development
frequencies and flows of each station and applied the nonstationarity density and proximity to transit stations, restaurants, bicycle lanes,
and cyclostationarity of each station to develop prediction models. minor roads, other PBS stations and central business districts are po-
Zhao et al. (2015) explored the rental records of Nanjing PBS in China sitively related to BIXI use, whereas proximity to major roads is nega-
and determined that males and females have different usage patterns in tively related to BIXI use. El-Assi et al.'s (2017) evaluation on Bike
different spatiotemporal situations compared with those studies on Share Toronto has concluded that population density, employment
Europe cities. They also mentioned that built environment factors can density and proximity to transit stations, university campuses and bi-
be related to the spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use, but they did not cycle infrastructure are positively related to PBS use. In France, Tran
provide concrete evidence. et al. (2015) investigated Velo'v in Lyon and determined that popula-
The second category focuses on clustering PBS use into different tion, employment, students, road networks, transit stations, cinemas
usage patterns. Froehlich et al. (2009) applied a hierarchical clustering and restaurants are positively correlated with PBS use, whereas altitude
method to identify the usage patterns of Bicing stations and argued that is negatively related to PBS use. In Spain, Faghih-Imani et al. (2017)
clustering results may likely be influenced by station locations. For studied Bicing in Barcelona and Sevici in Seville and concluded that
instance, outgoing clusters are generally at the edge of a city, whereas population density and points of interests, including businesses, re-
incoming clusters are typically situated near major roads or business creational facilities, transportation, restaurants and hotels are posi-
districts. Borgnat et al. (2011) used a modularity index to identify tively associated with PBS use, whereas elevation is negatively related
clusters and found that more PBS movements occur within a cluster to PBS use. In China, Zhang et al.'s (2017) analysis of PBS rental records
than between clusters in Lyon. Come and Oukhellou (2014) applied in Zhongshan, Guangdong have found that PBS use is positively related
Poisson mixture models and an expectation–maximization algorithm to to population density, length of bicycle lanes, branch roads and diverse
classify Vélib’ stations in Paris into eight groups, and their results in- land use types near rental stations and negatively related to distances to
dicated that clustering results are associated with social economic si- city centers and number of nearby rental stations. Guo et al. (2017)
tuations, such as population, job opportunity and shop densities. conducted a questionnaire survey in Ninbo, Zhejiang, as part of the only
O'Brien et al. (2014) surveyed 38 PBS schemes worldwide and disaggregate analysis by using individuals as observations and

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confirmed that proximity to PBS stations is positively related to the (Kaltenbrunner et al., 2010), 1 h (Come and Oukhellou, 2014; Vogel
probability of PBS usage. et al., 2014) and 2 h (Zhou, 2015), in response to their research pur-
The aforementioned studies have identified multiple built environ- poses and data context. The 15 min interval is suitable for this research
ment attributes associated with PBS use frequency. However, Faghih- to reveal the temporal features of YouBike use because more than a half
Imani et al. (2014) suggested that the associations reveal temporal (59.7%) of the collected rental records were with rental time of 15 min
variations in Montreal, Canada, and they found that the relationships of or less. The daily average statistic indicates the sum of a statistic in all
some built environment attributes, such as restaurants, university and observation dates divided by the number of observation dates. Built
job density, to PBS use in the morning are remarkably opposite to that environment attributes may have different associations with borrowing
in the afternoon because of activity features of land uses. For example, and return behavior (Faghih-Imani et al., 2014). As such, the daily
the arrival rates of public bikes in a job-dense area should be high in the average statistics are calculated on the basis of borrowing and return
morning and low in the afternoon because commute trips to work records. Furthermore, holidays and rainy days may reveal different
places are mostly implemented in the morning. In addition to temporal attributes of PBS use (Rixey, 2013; Faghih-Imani et al., 2014). Hence,
variations, built environment attributes are associated with travel dis- this study excluded rainy days from the observation dates and calcu-
tances and correlated with spatial variations in PBS use. According to lated the daily average statistics by weekday and holiday. The holidays
the theoretical inference of Boarnet and Crane (2001), a benefit-max- studied in this research denote weekends and public holidays. From
imization model shows that grid roadway networks, mixed land use and July to December 2015, the observation dates covered 73 weekdays and
land-use intensification are associated with short travel distances. 30 holidays for Taipei City and 74 weekdays and 29 holidays for New
Clarifying the associations of built environments with spatiotemporal Taipei City.
patterns of PBS use benefits the efficient planning and operation of a
PBS scheme. For example, system operators should consider equipping 3.2. Spatiotemporal attributes
large-scale PBS stations and operating bike rebalancing mechanisms
during peak hours in a neighborhood whose built environments are This study investigated two spatiotemporal attributes of PBS use at a
associated with high dock turnover rates, multiple usage peaks and long rental station. The first attribute is the temporal distribution of dock
rental distances. However, these associations have been disregarded in turnover rates (DTRs). A DTR is defined as the daily average borrowing/
previous research. return count within a time interval per dock at a rental station. In
Fig. 2(a), the horizontal axis represents the 96 time intervals that begin
3. Methods at 00:00–00:15 and end at 23:45–24:00. The vertical axis represents the
DTRs of the return counts on weekdays at a rental station. Morning,
3.1. Data noon and evening peaks are observed in terms of bicycle returns, and
the evening peak reveals the highest DTR of return on weekdays at this
This study uses the YouBike rental records as the study data. station. To prevent the situations that all docks in a rental station are
YouBike is a PBS that has been operating in the TMA since August 2012. fully parked and leaving no more docks for bike arrival and the rental
The TMA includes Taipei, New Taipei, and Keelung Cities, and YouBike station has no more bike available for borrowing, the staff of the
provides its services in the two former cities with approximately 6.7 YouBike operator conducts bike-rebalancing works at busy rental sta-
million residents within a land area of 2324 km2. YouBike has been a tions during peak hours. However, this overflow and under-supply si-
remarkable transport mode for short distance and connecting travels of tuations occasionally happen at some stations. Consequently, DTRs
transit systems in the metropolitan area. In December 2017 over 3.85 represent implemented demands rather than full demands of PBS use,
million rentals occurred, and over 400 rental stations and 12,000 public that is, the potential demands of PBS use that are not implemented
bicycles were in service. because of overflow and under-supply situations at rental stations are
According to the municipal regulations of the cities under study, not studied in this research.
only rental records from the last six months were available for research. The second attribute is the temporal distribution of origin–destina-
Hence, we used the complete rental records between July and tion distances (ODDs). An ODD indicates the daily average origin-des-
December 2015 except during the rainy days as the study data when the tination (OD) distance of a rental (borrowing or return records) within a
research started in September 2016. Considering that several rental time interval. The OD distance of a rental refers to the shortest travel
stations launched their services between July and December 2015 and distance between a rental's borrowing station and return station.
were not ideal to be included in the study data, we used the rental Accordingly, the ODD represents a spatial extent of hinterland for a
records of 355 rental stations that have been in service since July 1, rental station during a time interval. In Fig. 2(b), the horizontal axis
2015. Fig. 1 illustrates the geographical distribution of the target rental denotes 96 time intervals, and the vertical axis denotes the ODDs of
stations in the TMA. Given the fact that the TMA is a basin in terms of borrowing records on holidays at a rental station. This example reveals
topography and developments are mostly located at the bottom, the that the ODDs of borrowing before 6:00 (the first 24 time intervals) at
distribution of the rental stations is consistent with that of develop- this station are 2–2.5 km, and they decline to 1–1.5 km after 6:00. The
ments. A total of 14,695,640 rental records (8,798,684 records in Taipei significantly long OD distances of PBS use at midnight or early morning
City and 5,896,956 in New Taipei City) are collected as the study data. can be due to the insufficient public transport services during that time
Each record contains the information of check-in time, check-in station, in the TMA.
check-out time and check-out station. The collected rental records were
originally prepared in .accdb file format for Microsoft Access and 3.3. Identifying spatiotemporal patterns
transferred to .csv file format in this research in order to be reorganised
into rental station statistics by R programming language. This study applied the two attributes and conducted cluster analyses
To use rental stations as observations, we aggregated the original to identify the spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use at the rental stations.
rental records into daily average statistics for each station and each A total of 355 rental stations that have been operating since July 1,
time interval. This study adopted 15 min as the time interval, with 96 2015, were used as observations in the cluster analyses. In the cluster
time intervals occurring in a day. A longer time interval may lose analyses, we grouped a set of observations in such a way that the ob-
variability within each interval, while a shorter time interval may in- servations in the same cluster were more similar to one another in terms
troduce too many features that are not representative of temporal be- of spatiotemporal attributes than to those in other clusters. Relatively
havior clustering (Zhou, 2015). Previous studies adopted different time dissimilar spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use were identified on the
intervals, including 5 min (Froehlich et al., 2009), 10 min basis of the clustering results.

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Fig. 1. Study PBS rental stations in Taipei Metropolitan Area.

In the cluster analyses, each rental station was characterized by two agglomerative algorithm, the complete-linkage agglomerative algo-
attributes (i.e., DTR and ODD), and each attribute was a temporal se- rithm, the average-linkage agglomerative algorithm and Ward's method
quence that contained 96 time-series performances. We applied the in the cluster analyses and consequently selected the results from
hierarchical clustering method on the basis of the review of clustering Ward's method to determine the distances among the clusters on the
methods applicable to time series analyses in the work of Liao (2005) basis of Silhouette coefficients. The details of the hierarchical clustering
and the results of the PBS study of Froehlich et al. (2009). When op- method for time series data, DTW and Ward's method are found in
erating this method, the distance matrix among observations should be Liao's (2005) review. Fig. 3 illustrates a hierarchical clustering result as
determined first. This study applied the dynamic time warping (DTW) an example. Based on the dendrogram, this study identified four clus-
method to measure the distances among the observations. DTW is one ters (A, B, C and D) of rental stations for borrowing records on week-
of the algorithms used to measure the similarity between two temporal days. The complete results and discussions of cluster analyses are pre-
sequences that may vary in speed. For instance, the similarities between sented in the next section.
two rental stations performing similar DTR fluctuation patterns over
time can be detected using DTW even when their fluctuations occur in 3.4. Logit regressions
shifted time intervals.
Apart from the distance matrix, the hierarchical clustering method To clarify the association of built environment attributes with the
should also determine the distances among clusters. This study applied spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use, we applied the multinomial logit
popular methods used in the literature, including the single-linkage (MNL) model to analyze the observations. The MNL method is

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1.4

1.2

count/dock
0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
me interval

(a) The temporal distribution of DTRs of return records on weekdays

3000

2500

2000
meter

1500

1000

500

0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
me interval

(b) The temporal distribution of ODDs of borrowing records on holidays


Fig. 2. Spatiotemporal attributes of PBS uses at the rental station of Gongguan Metro Station Exit 2.

which the empirical associations of explanatory variables with the


clusters are clarified. Details about the MNL model can be found in
textbooks related to discrete choice analysis (Ben-Akiva and Lerman,
1985; Washington et al., 2011).
The explanatory variables considered in the utility functions are
categorised into two groups, namely, built environments and control
variables, and their definitions are listed in Table 1. This study selected
these explanatory variables based on previous empirical findings de-
scribed in the Literature Review section. These variables were measured
within a rental station area. A rental station area refers to the area
within a 350 m buffer ring measured using the travel distance on a
practical road network and the center of a rental station. A distance of
350 m is the service distance of a rental station used in the Station
Setting Criteria of Taipei City. The built environment variables were
organized into six dimensions, namely, density, diversity, design, des-
Fig. 3. The dendrogram of hierarchical clustering results for borrowing records
tination accessibility and distance to transit (5D), as applied in the work
on weekdays.
of Cervero et al. (2009), and the distribution of PBS rental stations.
All of the obtained variable data were for the base year of 2015.
commonly applied to examine category-dependent variables, such as Some of the newest databases and published documents did not match
the clustering results in this research. The maximum likelihood method the base year, so the period of 2011–2015 was used as the data years.
is commonly applied to estimate the utility functions of MNL models in Variable data were collected from multiple sources. Data on population

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Table 1
Definitions of explanatory variables for the MNL models.
Variable Definition Unit

Built environments
Density
Population density Number of residents/area of land in an RSA1 People/m2
Employment density Number of employees/area of land in an RSA People/m2
Student density-E Number of elementary school and junior high school students/area of land in an RSA People/m2
Student density-H Number of senior high school, undergraduate, and graduate students/area of land in an RSA People/m2
Building density Area of floor space/area of land in an RSA m2/m2
Diversity
Land use mix Land use entropy2 in an RSA, –
s
i = 1 (Di) ln(Di ) s
entropy = , i = 1 Di = 1, where Di is the proportion of floor space i, i denotes the land use type, and s is the total
ln(s )
number of i
Commercial ratio Floor space area of commercial and business use/area of total floor space in an RSA %
JH balance Job-housing balance index3 in an RSA –
Design
Arterial length Length of arterials4/area of land in an RSA m/m2
Street length Length of streets5/area of land in an RSA m/m2
Road space Area of road space/area of land in an RSA m2/m2
Intersection Number of intersections/area of land in an RSA Intersection/m2
Bikeway Length of bikeways/area of land in an RSA m/m2
Greenness Area of parks, green fields, squares, and playgrounds/area of land in an RSA m2/m2
Tree Number of street trees/area of land in an RSA tree/m2
Lamp Number of street lamps/area of land in an RSA lamp/m2
Destination accessibility
Local center Shortest travel distance between a rental station and the nearest local commercial center m
Education facility Number of education facilities/area of land in an RSA facility/km2
Leisure facility Number of leisure facilities/area of land in an RSA facility/km2
Retailer Number of retailers/area of land in an RSA retailer/km2
Distance to transit
Metro distance Shortest travel distance between a PBS station and the nearest metro station m
Bus distance Shortest travel distance between a PBS station and the nearest bus stop m
Distribution of PBS
PBS station Number of PBS rental stations/area of land in an RSA station/m2
PBS dock Number of PBS docks/area of land in an RSA dock/m2

Control variables
Demography
Age 15–64 Population aged 15–64 years/total population in an RSA –
Gender ratio Male-to-female ratio in an RSA –
Higher education Population having college degree/total population in an RSA –
Income Average household income in an RSA TWD
Mobility
Car Number of cars/area of land in an RSA vehicle/m2
Scooter Number of scooters/area of land in an RSA vehicle/m2
Environment
Slop Maximum slops in a buffer %
Accident Number of traffic accidents/area of land in an RSA accident/m2

1
RSA denotes a PBS rental station area. RSA refers to the area within a 350 m buffer ring measured by the travel distance on a practical road network and the
center of a PBS rental station.
2
The land use entropy was developed by Cervero (1988) and has been popularly used as a land use mix measure in literature.
3
Job-housing balance index = ln ( )
J
H max
| ln ( )|
J
H
/ ln ()
J
H max
, where J is the number of employees, H is the number of households, and ln ( )
J
H max
denotes

the maximum ln ( )
J
H
value among all the RSA. The index was originally developed by Zhao (2014) and modified in Lin et al. (2018) to maintain a positive value
meaning to land-use diversity, such that the higher the index value, the higher the diversity degree.
4
Arterial refers to arterial or expressway.
5
Street refers to the collector or local street.

(number, age and gender), students, households, bikeways, street trees Accounting and Statistics. Traffic accident data were acquired from the
and lamps, bus stops, local commercial centers, retailers, education, National Police Agency. Slopes were estimated using the digital topo-
entertainment facilities and YouBike rental stations were obtained from graphy database provided by the Department of Land Administration
Taipei City and New Taipei City governments. Data on population under the Ministry of Interior. Intersections, road lengths and OD dis-
educational attainment were obtained from the Ministry of Interior. tances were estimated using the digital maps of roadway networks from
Household income data were collected from the Ministry of Finance. the Institute of Transportation under the Ministry of Transportation and
Car and motorcycle registrations were acquired from the Ministry of Communications.
Transportation and Communications. Land use data were obtained from Some of the variable data were statistics provided by Li, which is the
the Land Use Investigation Database provided by the National Land most basic administration unit in Taiwan. Considering the boundaries
Surveying and Mapping Center. Floor area data were obtained from the of Lis are not consistent with that of rental station areas, this research
house tax databases of the Revenue Service Offices of Taipei and New measured these variables, including the variables of density, diversity,
Taipei Cities. Employment data were collected from the Commerce and demography and mobility, in accordance with the following two prin-
Service Census published by the Directorate-General of Budget, ciples. Firstly, if a renal station area was completely within a single Li’s

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boundary, then its variable values were the same as the Li’s values. that cluster A contained three peaks, cluster B had only an evening
Secondly, if a rental station area was geographically covered by mul- peak, cluster C had only a morning peak, and cluster D corresponded to
tiple Lis' boundaries, then its variable values were as follows: morning and evening peaks. However, only quantity differences existed
among the clusters on holidays. Thirdly, the DTRs during daytime and
xj = pjk xk evening on holidays were generally higher than those on weekdays,
k Kj (1) whereas the DTRs at midnight/early morning were consistently low
regardless of the period. The peaks of the DTRs appeared to be more
where xj is the variable value of rental station area j; pjk is the land area
significant among the return records than among the borrowing records
proportion of rental station area j belonging to Li k; k Kj pjk = 1; xk is
on weekdays or holidays.
the variable value of Li k; Kj is the set of Lis whose boundaries cover
Fig. 5 shows the temporal distributions of ODDs in four conditions,
rental station area j. No situation with two or more rental station areas
and no significant difference was observed between borrowing and
was completely within a single Li’s boundary.
return records. Three characteristics were notable. Firstly, the ODDs at
midnight/early morning were obviously longer than those during the
4. Results and discussions daytime and evening. Travelers were forced to use PBS to complete
their trips because no other public transport service operated at mid-
4.1. Spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use night in Taipei, and taking taxis was relatively expensive. Secondly, the
variations in ODDs among the clusters on weekdays were greater than
On the basis of the results of the cluster analyses, we identified not those on holidays. This condition implied that PBS use on holidays
only four clusters of PBS use for the records of borrowing on weekdays could be consistent in terms of OD distance. Thirdly, the ODDs during
(BW), the records of borrowing on holidays (BH) and the records of return holidays were generally longer than those on weekdays possibly be-
on holidays (RH) but also five clusters for the records of return on cause PBS use on holidays was reported to be mostly for leisure-related
weekdays (RW). Each cluster contained at least 20 observations. purposes. In the Taipei PBS survey, trip purposes of shopping, en-
Fig. 4 shows the temporal distributions of the average DTRs among tertainment, recreation, sports, and tourism revealed longer rental
the observations for each cluster in the four conditions (BW, BH, RW durations than other purposes (Thi Consultants Inc, 2015). The dis-
and RH). Three dissimilarities existed in the results about weekdays and cussions illustrated in Figs. 4 and 5 implied that PBS use on weekdays
holidays. Firstly, morning peaks were more obvious on weekdays than exhibited more diverse spatiotemporal attributes than that on holidays.
on holidays because of the reduced time stress of travel departure in the Moreover, they suggested that PBS operators should distinguish man-
morning on holidays. Secondly, the DTR distributions among the clus- agement policies on weekdays and holidays.
ters were more different on weekdays than on holidays. Changes in DTR Based on Figs. 4 and 5, Table 2 highlights the clusters that revealed
over time on weekdays revealed more diverse patterns than those on the highest and second-highest performances on various attributes
holidays. For example, the borrowing records on weekdays revealed under four conditions. This research characterized the clusters on the

Fig. 4. The temporal distributions of DTRs among the identified clusters.

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Fig. 5. The temporal distributions of ODDs among the identified clusters.

Table 2 basis of these highlights. Among the BW records, cluster A revealed a


Spatiotemporal attributes and patterns. pattern of high DTR, multiple usage peaks and long ODD (i.e. HML pat-
Attributes DTR DTR peak(s) ODD
tern), which was mainly located at the city center (Fig. 6 [a]). Cluster B
revealed a pattern of long ODD (i.e. –L pattern) mostly located at the
Peak number Morning peak Evening peak city periphery. Cluster D showed a pattern of high DTR and multiple
usage peaks (i.e. HM-) distributed along the metro lines in the city
Patterns
periphery and the areas surrounding the city center. For the RW re-
Borrowing on weekdays
(HML) A ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ cords, cluster A revealed an HML pattern and was mostly located at the
(–L) B □ city center and along the metro lines at the city periphery (Fig. 6 [b]).
C Cluster B revealed an HM- pattern, and its distribution is similar to that
(HM-) D □ □ □ □
of cluster A. Cluster C exhibited an –L pattern mainly located at the city
Return on weekdays periphery. Clusters A and B of the BH records displayed a pattern of high
(HML) A ■ ■ □ ■ ■ DTR and long ODD (i.e. H-L) mainly distributed along the metro lines
(HM-) B □ ■ ■ □
(–L) C □
(Fig. 6 [c]). Finally, among the RH records, clusters A and B revealed an
D □ H-L pattern and a distribution similar to clusters A and B of the BH
E records (Fig. 6[d]). Thus, this research identified three characterized
Borrowing on holidays patterns of PBS usage on weekdays: HML and HM in the city center and
(H-L) A □ □ □ along the metro lines in the city periphery and –L in the city periphery.
(H-L) B ■ ■ ■ One characterized pattern on holidays was also identified: H-L along
C
the metro lines.
D

Return on holidays
(H-L) A □ □ □
4.2. Associations of built environments with PBS usage patterns
(H-L) B ■ ■ ■
C To clarify the association of built environment attributes with the
D spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use, we used the clusters that had no
obvious characteristic in Table 2 as the base alternatives and estimated
Note: ■ denotes the highest performance among clusters, □ denotes the 2nd
the MNL regression models by applying NLOGIT 6.0 and the maximum
highest performance among clusters; HML denotes the pattern of high DTR,
multiple usage peaks and long ODD, –L denotes the pattern of long ODD, HM-
likelihood method. The Appendix lists the estimated results of the BW,
denotes the pattern of high DTR and multiple usage peaks, H-L denotes the RW, BH and RH models. Explanatory variables with coefficient sig-
pattern of high DTR and long ODD; C, D and E denote the base alternatives in nificances below α = 0.1 in all utility functions were collected from the
the multinomial logit regressions. estimations. The MNL models included base models that considered
control variables and extended models that considered control and built

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Fig. 6. Geographical distributions of the PBS rental stations of the identified clusters.

environment variables. The results of the likelihood ratio tests to ex- Based on the results in the Appendix, Table 3 presents the sig-
amine the significance levels of the superior goodness-of-fit of the ex- nificant associations of the explanatory variables with the identified
tended models relative to that of the base models revealed that the built clusters of PBS use in the extended models. For example, ‘-(BD)’ at the
environment attributes significantly contributed in explaining PBS top left corner indicates that employment density was negatively as-
usage patterns. sociated with clusters B and D which were characterized as patterns –L

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Table 3 Table 4
Multinomial logit regression results. Associations of built environment variables with PBS usage patterns.
Model Borrowing on Return on Borrowing on Return on Patterns Weekdays Holidays
weekdays weekdays holidays holidays
Variables HML HM- –L H-L
Base cluster C E D D
Built environments
Built environments Density
Density Population density /−
Population − (AD) + (C) Employment density −/+ −/+
density Student density-E −/ +/+
Employment − (BD) + (BC) + (C) Student density-H +/+
density Building density −/− −/− −/− −/−
Student density- − (A) + (ABC) + (BC) Diversity
E Land use mix +/
Student density- + (ABC) + (AB) Commercial ratio +/ +/
H JH balance −/
Building density − (ABD) − (ABCD) − (A) − (AC) Design
Diversity Arterial length
Land use mix + (A) Street length /− /− −/
Commercial + (AB) + (D) Intersection +/
ratio Bikeway /− +/+
JH balance − (B) − (C) Greenness /+ −/
Design Tree −/
Arterial length − (D) Lamp /+ /+ −/−
Street length − (B) − (ABD) Destination accessibility
Intersection + (BC) Local center /−
Bikeway − (C) + (ABC) + (A) Education facility −/
Greenness + (C) − (A) Leisure facility +/ +/ +/+
Tree + (D) − (A) Retailer +/+ +/
Lamp + (AC) − (B) − (A) Distance to transit
Destination accessibility Metro distance −/− −/ /+ −/−
Local center − (C) Bus distance /−
Education − (AC) − (C) Distribution of PBS
facility PBS station +/
Leisure facility + (AD) + (AB) + (AB) PBS dock +/− +/ /− /+
Retailer + (AD) + (A)
Controls
Distance to transit
Demography
Metro distance − (AD) − (A); + − (AB) − (B)
Age 15–64 −/
(CD)
Gender ratio /−
Bus distance − (B)
Higher education +/+ +/+ +/ +/+
Distribution of PBS
Income +/ +/+
PBS station + (A)
Mobility
PBS dock + (AD) − (AC) + (A)
Car +/ +/ +/
Controls Scooter
Demography Environment
Age 15–64 − (A) Slop −/ −/
Gender ratio − (C) Accident −/ −/ −/
Higher + (ABD) + (ABD) + (A) + (AB)
education Note: HML, –L, HM- and H-L are defined in Table 2; +: positive association, −:
Income + (AD) + (B) negative association, borrowing / return.
Mobility
Car + (ABD)
Scooter peaks and long OD distances. In response to the HML pattern, system
Environment operators should focus on equipping large-scale PBS stations, operating
Slop − (AB) − (C) − (C) bicycle rebalancing mechanisms during peak hours on weekdays and
Accident − (ABD) considering large hinterlands of rental stations within the aforemen-
tioned built environments. As HML stations were mainly located at the
Note: +: positive association; −: negative association; all of the associations
are significant at α = 0.1, details are listed in Appendix; A, B, C, D and E denote
city center and along the metro lines in the city periphery (Fig. 6 [a],
the clusters in Figs. 4 and 5. [b]), the negative associations of the density variables with the HML
pattern in Table 4 indicates that middle-density areas were more prone
and HM-, respectively, in Table 2 in the BW model. Table 3 suggests to exhibit the HML pattern than low-density areas.
that the associations of the explanatory variables with PBS usage The HM- pattern was positively related to the accessibility to leisure
clusters partially varied with the borrowing and return records on facilities or retailers, proximity to metro stations and number of PBS
weekdays and holidays. Considering that the information in Table 2 is docks. These associations implied that PBS stations near leisure facil-
complicated to discuss, we applied the characterized patterns in Table 2 ities, retailers or metro stations tended to record high DTRs and mul-
to reorganize the findings of Table 3 into Table 4 and clarified the built tiple usage peaks. For the HM- pattern, system operators should focus
environment attributes that were found to be related to PBS usage on equipping large-scale PBS stations and operating bicycle rebalancing
patterns. mechanisms during peak hours on weekdays within the built environ-
Table 4 suggests that the HML pattern was positively related to land ments. These results suggested that the built environment attributes
use mix, commercial ratio, street lamps, accessibility to leisure facilities related to the HML pattern were also associated with the HM- pattern
or retailers and proximity to metro stations. These associations implied except land use mix and commercial ratio.
that PBS stations within mixed land use, commercial or recreational The –L pattern was positively related to commercial ratio, job–-
areas or near metro stations tend to record high DTRs, multiple usage housing imbalance, green space, number of lamps and distance to metro

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H.-C. Liu, J.-J. Lin Journal of Transport Geography 74 (2019) 299–312

stations. These associations implied that PBS stations within an area Remark 3. The spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use are associated with
that are mostly occupied by single land use (commerce, employment, land use and facilities.
residence or green space) or far from metro stations tended to record
In general, the HML pattern is positively related to mixed or com-
long OD distances on weekdays. For the –L pattern, system operators
mercial land use and proximity to leisure facilities, retailers and metro
should focus on considering large hinterlands of rental stations within
stations. The HM- pattern is positively related to proximity to leisure
the built environments.
facilities, retailers and metro stations. The –L pattern mostly occurs
Finally, the H-L pattern on holidays was positively associated with
within an area that is mainly occupied by a single land use and is far from
student density, number of intersections, bikeway length, accessibility to
metro stations. The H-L pattern is positively associated with proximity to
leisure facilities, proximity to metro stations and number of PBS stations
bicycle facilities, leisure facilities and metro stations. Although the em-
and nearby docks. A high student density was usually related to large/
pirical findings of this research have not been reported, a number of
many campuses in an area, and campuses were mostly opened for leisure/
surveys have revealed that PBS use is positively related to biking facil-
sports activities on holidays in Taiwan. As the H-L pattern was mainly
ities, accessibility of leisure facilities and daily life places and proximity
distributed along the metro lines, PBS stations that were near metro sta-
to metro stations and PBS stations (Daddio, 2012; El-Assi et al., 2017;
tions and surrounded by bicycle and leisure facilities tended to record high
Faghih-Imani and Eluru, 2016a, 2016b; Faghih-Imani et al., 2014;
DTRs and long OD distances on holidays. For the H-L pattern, system
Faghih-Imani et al., 2014; Maurer, 2011; Rixey, 2013; Tran et al., 2015;
operators should focus on equipping large-scale PBS stations, considering
Wang et al., 2015). Furthermore, the land use entropy index and com-
large hinterlands of rental stations or operating bicycle replenishment at
mercial ratio are positively related to general bicycle usage (Moudon
small-scale stations on holidays within the built environments.
et al., 2005; Winters et al., 2010; Zhao, 2014). These relationships are
associated with the high turnover rates of the HML, HM-, and H-L pat-
4.3. Remarks terns and support the findings of this research to a certain degree.

On the basis of the empirical findings, we present the following 5. Conclusions


remarks to broaden the knowledge on the spatiotemporal patterns of
PBS use. In this research, multiple rental station clusters are identified in terms
of the temporal distributions of the DTRs and ODDs by examining the
Remark 1. The spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use on weekdays
rental records of Taipei PBS through hierarchical clustering analyses. Four
significantly differ from those on holidays.
spatiotemporal patterns of PBS usage at rental stations are characterized
Specifically, three differences are found in this research. 1) The on the basis of DTR, peaks of DTRs and ODDs. The associations of these
differences in the temporal distributions of DTRs and ODDs among the patterns with built environments are clarified using MNL regressions. On
patterns on weekdays are larger than those on holidays. 2) Multiple the basis of the empirical findings, this research proposes three remarks in
peaks of DTRs exist on weekdays, whereas only an evening peak of DTR Subsection 4.3 that can serve as reference for PBS operators and for future
appears on holidays. 3) The DTR and ODD in the daytime and evening investigations/confirmations in other cities that are similar to Taipei.
on holidays are generally higher than those on weekdays. The second This study contributes to the existing literature through the fol-
difference is also reported in the studies on Velib in Paris (Come and lowing implications. Firstly, the empirical findings in Section 4 fill the
Oukhellou, 2014) and Divvy in Chicago (Zhou, 2015), whereas the two knowledge gap pertaining to the associations of built environment at-
other differences have yet to be reported. Remark 1 implies that the tributes with the spatial and temporal patterns of PBS use. To the best of
management policies for PBSs should vary on weekdays and holidays. our knowledge, the associations have yet to be fully clarified in existing
literature. Secondly, the findings provide valuable information for PBS
Remark 2. The spatiotemporal patterns of PBS use are associated with
operators in planning and managing PBS schemes in Taipei and other
different locations in a city.
cities in a similar context. The suggestions raised in Subsection 4.2 are
The four identified PBS usage patterns in this study have specific considered to assist PBS operators to improve services.
locations. On the basis of the empirical evidence in Fig. 6, we propose a To clarify the relationships between the built environments and the
location hypothesis (Fig. 7). On weekdays, PBS use shows HML or HM- spatiotemporal attributes of PBS use, future studies should focus on three
patterns at PBS stations that are located in the city center and along the issues that reflect the limitation of this research. The first issue is related to
metro lines due to commuting travels. For PBS stations in the city the time span of the study data. The PBS rental records within the last
periphery, the –L pattern emerges because of a low PBS station density. 6 months in 2015 are used as the study data in this research, and seasonal
On holidays, PBS stations along metro lines mostly exhibit the H-L comparisons of PBS use are not conducted. Seasonal differences in spa-
pattern because travels for leisure and daily activities usually do not tiotemporal attributes exist because monthly PBS rentals in winter (January
show multiple usage peaks. The location hypothesis is new in the lit- or February) are about half to two-thirds of those in summer (July or
erature and requires additional surveys in cities similar to Taipei for August) in the TMA. Future studies should use data covering a period of
confirmation and future revision. According to the clustering results of 1 year to ensure yearly representativeness and realize seasonal comparison.
O'Brien et al. (2014), Taipei City is relatively similar to Nantong, The second issue is related to the comprehensive attributes of built
Brisbane, Heihe, Dublin, Rennes, Mexico City, and Milan among the 38 environments that are associated with PBS use. The behavioral model of
investigated cities in terms of the system and usage attributes of PBSs. the environment proposed by Moudon and Lee (2003) suggests three

metro line

city center
city periphery

HML & HM- --L H-L


Fig. 7. Location hypothesis of spatial-temporal patterns of PBS uses.

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H.-C. Liu, J.-J. Lin Journal of Transport Geography 74 (2019) 299–312

components of the environment that can influence walking and biking: located and unlocked using a smartphone app. The rental records of a
the origin and destination of the walk or bike trip, the characteristics of dockless PBS provide more precise attributes of a trip, such as its final
the route taken for these trips and the characteristics of the area in origin/destination and travel route, than those of a dock-based PBS.
which the trip takes place. The present study uses rental stations as Few studies, such as Shen et al. (2018) in Singapore, have investigated
observations and considers the built environment attributes of origins/ the GPS data of dockless PBS. The spatiotemporal attributes of dockless
destinations and areas but overlooks the route attributes because of the PBS use should reveal novel and valuable patterns, and their associa-
absence of travel route records. To examine the comprehensive attri- tions with built environments should be investigated in the future.
butes of the environment, future studies should consider the attributes
along travel routes to explain PBS use if route records are available.
The third issue is associated with the different types of PBS. YouBike Acknowledgements
is a dock-based PBS in which users must borrow and return public bikes
at docks in rental stations. In recent years, an alternative system called This research is financially supported by Ministry of Science and
dockless PBS or dockless bike share has emerged, especially in China. A Technology in Taiwan (MOST 103-2410-H-002-160-SS2) and NTU
dockless PBS does not require rental stations, and public bikes can be Research Center for Future Earth (NTU-107L901004).

Appendix A. Multinomial logit regressions

Borrowing on weekdays (BW) (Base: C) A B D

Base model Extended model Base model Extended model Base model Extended model

Intercept 13.923⁎ 8.349 −3.711 −0.088 2.763 0.404

Controls
Age 15–64 −31.502⁎⁎⁎ −21.476⁎⁎ −3.846 2.122 −7.868 −1.895
Gender ratio 5.191⁎ 3.435 5.205⁎⁎ 2.698 2.027 0.867
Higher education 12.092⁎⁎⁎ 19.448⁎⁎⁎ 11.409⁎⁎⁎ 17.483⁎⁎⁎ 7.616⁎⁎ 13.012⁎⁎⁎
Income 0.002⁎⁎ 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.002⁎⁎ 0.001
Car 6.012⁎⁎⁎ 8.977⁎⁎⁎ 2.709 4.502⁎ −0.356 4.973⁎
Scooter −0.651 −0.542 2.572⁎⁎ 1.219 0.984 −0.503
Slop −0.732⁎⁎⁎ −0.435⁎⁎⁎ −0.166⁎⁎⁎ −0.185⁎⁎ −0.175⁎⁎⁎ −0.097
Accident −150.140 −252.569⁎⁎ −321.529⁎⁎⁎ −251.976⁎⁎ −136.406 −167.372⁎

Built environments
Employment density −91.211 −187.524⁎⁎⁎ −122.413⁎⁎
Student density-E −131.240⁎⁎ 57.765 65.826
Building density −0.484⁎⁎⁎ −0.343⁎⁎ −0.353⁎⁎⁎
Land use mix 5.547⁎ 2.960 3.636
Commercial ratio 19.490⁎⁎ 28.241⁎⁎⁎ 11.706
JH balance −5.779 −9.404⁎ −6.760
Street length −74.746 −80.949⁎⁎ 35.617
Leisure facility 0.160⁎⁎ 0.097 0.107⁎
Retailer 0.016⁎⁎ 0.008 0.010⁎
Metro distance −0.001⁎ 0.000 −0.001⁎
PBS dock 682.418⁎⁎ −277.361 570.197⁎
Base model ρ2=0.269
Extend model ρ2=0.447
Base model χ2=253.633⁎⁎⁎
Extend model χ2=421.993⁎⁎⁎
Likelihood ratio test χ2=168.361⁎⁎⁎
Note: ⁎⁎⁎significant at α = 0.01, ⁎⁎significant at α = 0.05, ⁎significant at α = 0.1.

Return on weekdays (RW) (Base = E) A B C D

Base model Extend model Base model Extend model Base model Extend model Base model Extend model

Intercept 8.652 ⁎
2.682 10.140⁎
2.355 10.638⁎⁎
12.292⁎⁎
3.865 0.527

Controls
Age 15–64 −16.734⁎⁎ −7.768 −22.358⁎⁎⁎ −8.587 −12.191⁎ −10.101 −12.618 2.131
Gender ratio 0.786 0.616 3.519⁎⁎ 1.991 −2.421 −7.422⁎⁎ 3.533⁎ −0.324
Higher education 13.054⁎⁎⁎ 19.813⁎⁎⁎ 6.567⁎⁎ 12.521⁎⁎⁎ 4.280 4.307 7.475⁎ 13.194⁎⁎
Income −0.000 −0.000 0.001⁎ 0.001⁎ −0.000 0.001 −0.000 0.000
Slop −0.080 −0.045 −0.174⁎⁎ −0.156 0.039 0.066 −0.087 −0.163

Built environments
Population density −725.654⁎ −465.132 43.437 −1026.840⁎
Employment density 64.909 82.927⁎ 124.739⁎⁎⁎ 61.245
Building density −0.387⁎⁎⁎ −0.246⁎ −0.336⁎⁎ −0.329⁎
Commercial ratio 5.990 8.861 4.974 16.476⁎⁎
Arterial length −27.853 −4.950 19.106 −206.860⁎⁎
Street length −139.891⁎ −156.054⁎⁎⁎ −55.354 −344.693⁎⁎⁎
Bikeway 173.902 166.757 −389.248⁎⁎ −107.534
Greenness 3.653 0.157 8.761⁎ −3.779
Tree 419.297 604.344 432.341 1377.820⁎⁎
Lamp 1411.540⁎⁎ 303.617 1959.960⁎⁎⁎ 1653.420
Local center −0.000 0.000 −0.001⁎⁎ 0.000

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Retailer 0.008⁎ 0.004 0.002 0.003


Metro distance −0.001⁎ 0.000 0.001⁎⁎ 0.001⁎
Bus distance −0.000 −0.002⁎ −0.001 −0.003
PBS dock −448.028⁎⁎ −128.231 −1727.660⁎⁎⁎ −205.428
Basic model ρ2=0.139
Extend model ρ2=0.356
Basic model χ2=152.411⁎⁎⁎
Extend model χ2=390.621⁎⁎⁎
Likelihood ratio test χ2=238.210⁎⁎⁎
Note: ⁎⁎⁎significant at α = 0.01, ⁎⁎significant at α = 0.05, ⁎significant at α = 0.1

Borrowing on holidays (BH) (Base = D) A B C

Base model Extend model Base model Extend model Base model Extend model

Intercept 5.105 −0.753 4.558 1.123 7.850⁎⁎ 4.694

Controls
Age 15–64 −12.689⁎⁎⁎ −1.125 −13.675⁎⁎ −4.696 −9.025⁎⁎ −4.861
Higher education 4.520⁎ 5.369⁎⁎ 3.223 5.093 −0.393 0.364
Car −0.552 0.856 1.728 1.887 −2.328⁎ −1.044
Slop −0.161⁎⁎⁎ −0.088 −1.690⁎⁎ −1.576 −0.145⁎⁎⁎ −0.141⁎⁎

Built environments
Population density 276.120 319.453 461.733⁎
Student density-E 123.265⁎⁎ 183.093⁎ 82.335⁎
Student density-H 101.113⁎⁎⁎ 126.410⁎⁎⁎ 91.495⁎⁎⁎
Building density −0.308⁎⁎⁎ −0.030 0.024
JH balance −1.377 −1.326 −2.579⁎
Intersection 739.506 6132.090⁎ 3053.350⁎⁎
Bikeway 333.345⁎⁎⁎ 311.594⁎⁎ 146.238⁎
Greenness −6.892⁎⁎ 0.784 0.461
Tree −525.113⁎ −295.274 −224.499
Lamp −603.577 −1993.270⁎ −362.057
Education facility −0.210⁎⁎⁎ −0.253 −0.096⁎
Leisure facility 0.092⁎⁎⁎ 0.149⁎⁎⁎ 0.099
Metro distance −0.001⁎⁎ −0.003⁎⁎ −0.000
PBS station 44,378.700⁎⁎⁎ 15,286.400 8611.590
Base model ρ2=0.099
Extend model ρ2=0.224
Base model χ2=85.593⁎⁎⁎
Extend model χ2=194.138⁎⁎⁎
Likelihood ratio test χ2=108.545⁎⁎⁎
Note: ⁎⁎⁎significant at α = 0.01, ⁎⁎significant at α = 0.05, ⁎significant at α = 0.1

Return on holidays (RH) (Base = D) A B C

Base model Extend model Base model Extend model Base model Extend model

Intercept −1.125 −1.538 −1.772 2.355 −1.230 12.292⁎

Controls
Higher education 6.251⁎⁎ 6.911⁎⁎ 4.226 8.413⁎⁎ 2.307 2.142
Income 0.000 −0.000 0.000 −0.000 0.001⁎ 0.000
Slop −0.099 −0.076 −1.441⁎ −1.230 −0.224⁎⁎⁎ −0.124⁎

Built environments
Employment density 10.319 20.770 32.902⁎⁎
Student density-E −22.659 194.792⁎⁎ 91.843⁎⁎
Student density-H 41.957⁎ 62.408⁎ 30.257
Building density −0.397⁎⁎⁎ −0.039 −0.168⁎⁎
Bikeway 228.793⁎⁎⁎ 28.116 98.160
Lamp −1331.470⁎⁎ −488.602 223.957
Education facility −0.097 −0.242 −0.109⁎
Leisure facility 0.075⁎⁎ 0.113⁎⁎⁎ 0.007
Metro distance −0.000 −0.003⁎⁎ −0.000
PBS station 22,271.700⁎⁎ 13,063.100 11,315.000
Base model ρ2=0.098
Extend model ρ2=0.192
Base model χ2=74.012⁎⁎⁎
Extend model χ2=145.024⁎⁎⁎
Likelihood ratio test χ2=71.012⁎⁎⁎
Note: ***significant at α = 0.01 **significant at α = 0.05 *significant at α = 0.1

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