Bulan
Tahun
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
2015 36 35 43 54 36 42 24 27 37 26 40 48
2016 41 48 35 52 40 21 39 43 31 46 45 30
2017 46 36 43 33 37 28 55 39 32 50 40 38
2018 31 29 33 28 32 36
Menentukan sinyal peringatan adanya KLB menggunakan pola maksimum dan minimum :
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Maximum 46 48 43 54 40 42 55 43 37 50 45 48
Minimum 36 35 35 33 36 21 24 27 31 26 40 30
60
50
40
max
30
min
20 2018
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Menentukan batas max berdasarkan pola rata-rata dan Standar Deviasi :
1. Bulan Januari
Varians :
∑(x – X)²
s² =
n–1
s² = 50/2
s² = 25
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √25
S=5
Rata-rata + 2SD = 41 + 10 = 51
2. Bulan Februari
∑(x – X)²
s² =
n–1
s² = 104,66/2
s² = 52,33
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √52,33
S = 7,23
3. Bulan Maret
Varians :
∑(x – X)²
s² =
n–1
s² = 42,66/2
s² = 21,33
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √21,33
S = 4,62
4. Bulan April
Varians :
∑(x – X)²
s² =
n–1
s² = 268,67/2
s² = 134,33
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √134,33
S = 11,59
Varians :
∑(x – X)²
s² =
n–1
s² = 8,68/2
s² = 4,34
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √4,34
S = 2,1
6. Bulan Juni
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √114,33
S = 10,7
7. Bulan Juli
Varians :
∑(x – X)²
s² =
n–1
s² = 480,66/2
s² = 240,33
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √240,33
S = 15,5
8. Bulan Agustus
Varians :
∑(x – X)²
s² =
n–1
s² = 138,62/2
s² = 69,31
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √69,31
S = 8,32
Varians :
∑(x – X)²
s² =
n–1
s² = 20,67/2
s² = 10,33
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √10,33
S = 3,21
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √165,33
S = 12,86
Varians :
∑(x – X)²
s² =
n–1
s² = 16,63/2
s² = 8,31
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √8,31
S = 2,88
2SD = 2 x Standar Deviasi
= 2 x 2,88 = 5,76
Varians :
∑(x – X)²
s² =
n–1
s² = 162,67/2
s² = 81,33
Standar Deviasi :
S = √s2
S = √81,33
S = 9,02
80
70
60
50
40 X+2SD
2018
30
20
10
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14